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You are here: Home / Politics / Domestic Politics / I Don’t Know

I Don’t Know

by John Cole|  June 7, 20059:45 am| 4 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics

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I don’t know, but please tell me the answer isn’t “Because they redefined what qualifies as a violent crime.”

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4Comments

  1. 1.

    Ben

    June 7, 2005 at 11:59 am

    Well, here in the Disaster of Columbia, violent crime is down… if you stick to strict rules about cities. While violent crim in the peoples republic of DC has dropped it has skyrocketed in PG County, which borders the district. Essentially, the statisticians are just re-arranging deck chairs on the titanic. If there are more murders in PG county than the district, what’s to stop the criminals in PG county from making a 10 minute car ride to kill me? Nothing.

  2. 2.

    Kimmitt

    June 7, 2005 at 12:58 pm

    Last time, when they were up a little, the police chief shrugged and said something like, “Some years, people kill each other. Some years they don’t. I have no idea why.” I think that’s pretty accurate.

  3. 3.

    Ben Regenspan

    June 7, 2005 at 3:10 pm

    Was it here that I read about (federal-level?) plans to redefine certain types of dealer-level drug possession as “violent crime”? I don’t really see that one going anywhere, given how much major cities want to cut those rates.

  4. 4.

    tom scott

    June 7, 2005 at 11:41 pm

    Do you suppose that more incarceration and for longer periods of time might have an effect? It’s long been postulated that about 7% of criminals are responsible for the majority of crimes committed. Programs like 3 strike-you’re out and other similar ones are having their affect.
    An excerpt from this study:

    In one of the most comprehensive studies following offenders and the criminal justice system over time, University of Pennsylvania criminologist Marvin Wolfgang and his colleagues found that hard-core predators were a relatively small group of repeaters who rarely were punished.

    The Wolfgang group compiled arrest records up to the 30th birthday for two groups consisting of every male born and reared in Philadelphia in 1945 and in 1958. Their study, published in 1990, found that in both groups about 35 percent were arrested at least once for a nontraffic offense and nearly half of these never tangled with the law again. The group that turned 30 years old in 1988, however, was guilty of much more serious crime than the one that turned 30 in 1975. The two groups had two things in common: the hard-core predators were few in number and were rarely punished:
    * Just 7 percent in each cohort (the top 20 percent of those arrested at least once) committed two-thirds of all violent crimes, including three out of four rapes and robberies.

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