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You are here: Home / Politics / Domestic Politics / The Fuel Crisis

The Fuel Crisis

by John Cole|  September 6, 20057:48 am| 16 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics

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Drudge has a round-up on the oil situation and the general disruption in power:

As half of the Gulf Coast refineries damaged by Hurricane Katrina begin to ramp up production this week, industry experts have this message: be patient.

“What you’ve got are a whole series of requirements and processes and that takes days, if not weeks,” said John Felmy, chief economist for the American Petroleum Institute.

The going is also slow for the restoration of offshore oil and gas production. Almost 70 percent of normal oil production and half of the natural gas output remains shut down, according to the U.S. Minerals Management Service, which said activity is slowly recovering.

Eight major refineries that produce gasoline, diesel and jet fuel and heating oil were knocked out of commission and the output at two others was cut by last week’s killer hurricane and the flooding that followed. That cut overall U.S. refining capacity by more than 10 percent and contributed to a surge in retail gasoline prices and spot shortages around the country.

And prices are responding:

With New York markets closed for the Labor Day public holiday, dealers reported only thin trading across many commodities in London yesterday.

Oil prices retreated to levels seen prior to the arrival of Hurricane Katrina as the release of emergency fuel stocks by industrialised nations soothed fears over a US energy crisis.

IPE Brent for October delivery fell $1.13 to $64.93 a barrel after the International Energy Association announced that its members would release 2m barrels of oil for thirty days to compensate for the loss of production and refining capacity cause by the impact of Katrina.

Dealers said futures prices were likely to continue their correction after WTI crude failed to break decisively through $70 a barrel last week, but said an aggressive sell-off appeared unlikely.

Other utilities are returning to service, as well:

Three utility companies that experience widespread Hurricane Katrina power outages reported progress Monday in restoring service to customers. But more than 800,000 customers still were without power, one week after Hurricane Katrina struck.

Entergy Corp. said it has restored service to more than half of the 1.1 million customers that lost power. Another 517,000 Entergy residential and business customers still have no power, mostly in Louisiana.

The Electric Power Association of Mississippi, a member-owned association akin to a credit union, said that more about 222,000 of its customers still remain in the dark.

Southern Co., whose utility subsidiaries serve customers in Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia, said it restored power to about 44 percent of its Mississippi customers, leaving about 80,000 still to be reconnected.

Crews from more than 20 states and some Canadian provinces have joined local workers to bring power back to the hardest hit areas of Mississippi and Louisiana.

These are positive steps in the road back after this disaster.

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Reader Interactions

16Comments

  1. 1.

    Don Surber

    September 6, 2005 at 8:49 am

    Classic case of panic in the market. Lines at pumps are generally people topping off and filling containers

    Poca Go-Mart Tuesday 2.49.9, Wednesday 2.99.9, Saturday 2.89.9

    The daggone thing cured itself before AGs across the country could get camera time for their investigations

    Kudos Bush for opening the reserves and ending summer gasoline two weeks early

    More kudos to the old crews for a job well done

  2. 2.

    Don Surber

    September 6, 2005 at 8:58 am

    old=oil

    Oh hell, them old oil crews

  3. 3.

    jobiuspublius

    September 6, 2005 at 10:23 am

    If this disaster does not spur a boom in the alternative energy industry, we are the dumbest country in the world.

  4. 4.

    Shygetz

    September 6, 2005 at 10:31 am

    My prediction: Don’t sell your Exxon stock. Recent history suggests that we are definitely not the smartest country in the world right now.

  5. 5.

    Mr Furious

    September 6, 2005 at 11:19 am

    Oil prices retreated to levels seen prior to the arrival of Hurricane Katrina

    Gas prices sure haven’t. They may have retreated slightly, but regular is pretty much $2.99 or more everywhere over the weekend and today. that’s a good 25-30 cents more than before the storm.

    In the long run, I fear, this whole Katrina surge will serve as nothing but a way for people to think $2.89-2.99 is “cheap.” They crossed the three dollar threshold, and we should get used to it.

    It’s only been a few months since a “refinery episode” pushed prices back over $2.00 for much of the country. I don’t recall prices ever going back down after that…

  6. 6.

    Mr Furious

    September 6, 2005 at 11:20 am

    If this disaster does not spur a boom in the alternative energy industry, we are the dumbest country in the world.

    We certainly have the dumbest leadership. I can’t wait for the calls for drilling and exploration. And, of course, tax cuts.

  7. 7.

    hadenoughofthisyet

    September 6, 2005 at 12:07 pm

    My prediction: Don’t sell your Exxon stock. Recent history suggests that we are definitely not the smartest country in the world right now.

    Absolutely right. I am very active in the stock market and the individual and sector oil and gas charts are in and continue to be in a very strong bull mode. As I am typing this the American Oil Index (XOI) has just reversed from it’s daily low and is headed back up. The charts and chatter I hear from those knowledgable in the field suggests that any pullback in prices is temporary.

  8. 8.

    DecidedFenceSitter

    September 6, 2005 at 12:13 pm

    And in other news, a friend who works for a local Toyota Dealership has seen a dramatic change in the pricing of the Prius:

    Early last week: The Toyota Prius, although rarely in stock, was available within a reasonable waiting period, between 2-6 weeks, we were just starting to realize then the we getting backed to about 2 months. We were regularly taking orders and selling them for about $500 off the MSRP for an incentive to buy from us.

    Now: Every allocated Prius to this dealership through Jan. 2006 has been sold, and selling prices are now $1500 over MSRP.

    Even on Ebay, used models with 27,000 miles on them are going for like 200 bucks under sticker price for a brand new one, used models with 7,000 miles or less are selling from right at, or a few hundred above new sticker price, and a brand new fully loaded Prius on Ebay is selling for between $28,000 and $29,900. MSRP is $26,722.

  9. 9.

    JonBuck

    September 6, 2005 at 12:54 pm

    In other news, there is now a method to economically get shale oil with a postive energy return. They say $30/barrel production costs and a 3.5:1 energy return.

    I hope they’re right.

  10. 10.

    jobiuspublius

    September 6, 2005 at 1:56 pm

    Great link, JonBuck, thx. Key words to monitor: BLM, Bureau of Land Management, in-situ conversion, shale oil. Add some more.

    From JonBuck’s link:

    Most of the best territory for this astonishing process is on land under the control of the Bureau of Land Management. Shell has applied for a research and development lease on 160 acres of BLM land, which could be approved by February. That project would be on a large enough scale so design of a commercial facility could begin.

    It’s almost disappointing though. Also, oil stinks, in so many ways. How will this impact other energy sources like wind? I read, forgot where, that the midwest from Montana on down to Texas can supply huge amounts of wind energy, far above what their politicians are already supplying.

    This article is chock full of info.


    HIGH WORLD OIL PRICES AND TECHNOLOGICAL DEVELOPMENTS COULD MAKE SHALE-DERIVED OI

    Sept. 2 2005

    Press Release – Rand Corporation

    Oil shale from the Western United States could become the source of millions of barrels of competitively priced oil each day in 20 to 30 years if technological, environmental and governance issues are resolved, according to a RAND Corporation study issued today.

    …

    The mid-point of the RAND estimate – 800 billion barrels – is three times the size of Saudi Arabia’s oil reserves. This is enough oil to meet 25 percent of America’s current oil demand for the next 400 years.

    The benefits of a competitive oil shale industry are substantial. For an output of 3 million barrels per day, the study estimates direct economic benefits of about $20 billion per year. Federal, state and local governments would receive about half of this amount in the form of lease payments, royalties and taxes.

    Production at 3 million barrels per day also could likely cause oil prices to fall by 3 to 5 percent, saving American oil consumers roughly $15 billion to $20 billion annually, according to the report. A multimillion-barrel per day oil shale industry could also create several hundred thousand jobs in the United States.

    …

  11. 11.

    jobiuspublius

    September 6, 2005 at 2:03 pm

    Another thing crept into my head. If this technology is so simple then American oil companies are going to face competition over seas, especially from China, India, Russia, and Europe. Some powerless countries might find a new source of power, of more than one type. This is revolutionary. It’s almost like a step back to the 19th century, with nukes and globalization. I wonder if the oil industry will become protectionist. BP.

  12. 12.

    jobiuspublius

    September 6, 2005 at 3:02 pm

    …
    How much energy can wind realistically supply to the U.S.?

    Wind energy could supply about 20% of the nation’s electricity, according to Battelle Pacific Northwest Laboratory, a federal research lab. Wind energy resources useful for generating electricity can be found in nearly every state.

    U.S. wind resources are even greater, however. North Dakota alone is theoretically capable (if there were enough transmission capacity) of producing enough wind-generated power to meet more than one-third of U.S. electricity demand. The theoretical potentials of the windiest states are shown in the following table.
    …
    Experience also shows that wind power can provide at least up to a fifth of a system’s electricity, and the figure could probably be higher. Wind power currently provides nearly 25% of electricity demand in the north German state of Schleswig Holstein. In western Denmark, wind supplies 100% of the electricity that is used during some hours on windy winter nights.

  13. 13.

    TallDave

    September 6, 2005 at 3:02 pm

    Maybe they’ll actually build some new refineries. And some nuke plants, while they’re at it.

  14. 14.

    JonBuck

    September 6, 2005 at 5:42 pm

    What’s really going to hit hard once winter hits are natural gas prices. Some are expecting $15 per thosuand cubic feet. That’s 3x as much as a year ago.

    Sounds like electric heat will be cheaper… though much of the electrical generating capacity that’s been built for well over a decade is produced from natural gas.

    Oops.

  15. 15.

    Randolph Fritz

    September 7, 2005 at 2:51 am

    You’re trusting Matt Drudge?

  16. 16.

    goonie bird

    September 7, 2005 at 9:18 am

    Its cuased by all those hollywood hypotcrits driving to their dumb awards shows in their gas guzzling limos

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