• Menu
  • Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

Before Header

  • About Us
  • Lexicon
  • Contact Us
  • Our Store
  • ↑
  • ↓
  • ←
  • →

Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

So it was an October Surprise A Day, like an Advent calendar but for crime.

He seems like a smart guy, but JFC, what a dick!

The republican speaker is a slippery little devil.

I really should read my own blog.

“The defense has a certain level of trust in defendant that the government does not.”

If you don’t believe freedom is for everybody, then the thing you love isn’t freedom, it is privilege.

When I decide to be condescending, you won’t have to dream up a fantasy about it.

“In the future, this lab will be a museum. do not touch it.”

When tyranny becomes law, rebellion becomes duty. ~Thomas Jefferson

Republicans: slavery is when you own me. freedom is when I own you.

“When somebody takes the time to draw up a playbook, they’re gonna use it.”

Text STOP to opt out of updates on war plans.

Too often we confuse noise with substance. too often we confuse setbacks with defeat.

Live so that if you miss a day of work people aren’t hoping you’re dead.

I’m starting to think Jesus may have made a mistake saving people with no questions asked.

This year has been the longest three days of putin’s life.

Humiliatingly small and eclipsed by the derision of millions.

Hot air and ill-informed banter

Wow, I can’t imagine what it was like to comment in morse code.

We still have time to mess this up!

When your entire life is steeped in white supremacy, equality feels like discrimination.

If you cannot answer whether trump lost the 2020 election, you are unfit for office.

Not all heroes wear capes.

Let’s delete this post and never speak of this again.

Mobile Menu

  • Seattle Meet-up Post
  • 2025 Activism
  • Targeted Political Fundraising
  • Donate with Venmo, Zelle & PayPal
  • Site Feedback
  • War in Ukraine
  • Submit Photos to On the Road
  • Politics
  • On The Road
  • Open Threads
  • Topics
  • COVID-19
  • Authors
  • About Us
  • Contact Us
  • Lexicon
  • Our Store
  • Politics
  • Open Threads
  • 2025 Activism
  • Garden Chats
  • On The Road
  • Targeted Fundraising!
You are here: Home / Politics / Predictions

Predictions

by John Cole|  November 7, 20062:35 pm| 135 Comments

This post is in: Politics

FacebookTweetEmail

I forgot. My predictions:

Democrats pick up 36 in the House and 3 in the Senate. Tomorrow, Nancy Pelosi, Ted Kennedy, and Chuck Schumer come over to my house, and, at taser-point, I am forced to give all my money, have an abortion, and promise I will never ever enjoy gun violence on TV. Afterwards, they hand me the new National Anthem- in Spanish. Then we are we are all forced to attend a mandatory rally for the Democrats and Al-Qaeda, because, after all- the terrorists have won.

***

Tom’s Prediction:

I say the Dem’s get 20 in the House. They’ll get 5 more in the Senate,it breaks down the middle, and we all get to watch Lieberman and Cheney decide our fate for the next two years.

***

Tim’s Prediction:

I think that Dems will win enough House seats to eke out a majority but not much more, say 16-18 pickups. In the Senate I predict a Dem pickup of 4 to 5 seats. If we win 5 and Lieberman stays on then his last middle finger to the Democratic party will be to accept the Defense Secretary post and let Jodi Rell name a Republican replacement. Bush may value Rumsfeld but he values a friendly Senate even more.

FacebookTweetEmail
Previous Post: « Robocalls – Upping The Ante
Next Post: Election RunDown and an Open Thread »

Reader Interactions

135Comments

  1. 1.

    Zifnab

    November 7, 2006 at 2:39 pm

    hahaha. Awesome.

  2. 2.

    Dave

    November 7, 2006 at 2:40 pm

    As much as I’ve been looking forward to election day, and the Dems taking control of at least one branch of Congress, I will be a little sad. Because I know that John really won’t like a lot of the policy ideas that that the Democratic party will propose, so I’m expecting more “Democratic Stupidity” posts and less of this type that really do make me laugh.

  3. 3.

    The Asshole Formerly Known as GOP4Me

    November 7, 2006 at 2:41 pm

    As much as I’ve been looking forward to election day, and the Dems taking control of at least one branch of Congress, I will be a little sad. Because I know that John really won’t like a lot of the policy ideas that that the Democratic party will propose, so I’m expecting more “Democratic Stupidity” posts and less of this type that really do make me laugh.

    It all depends on how well those robocalls work. The GOP may pick up some seats yet! When I used to say that on Scrutator, it was a spoofy joke. If it really happens, I’m going to have to cry, and then punch myself in the face a couple times.

  4. 4.

    ThymeZone

    November 7, 2006 at 2:46 pm

    House Dem + 25

    Senate Dem +4-5

    George Bush: Lamest.Duck.Ever.

    Not even his frigging mother is going to back him after today. James Baker is going to take the little shit out to the woodhshed behind the White House and beat the you now what out of him.

  5. 5.

    Tom in Texas

    November 7, 2006 at 2:47 pm

    I say the Dem’s get 20 in the House. They’ll get 5 more in the Senate,it breaks down the middle, and we all get to watch Lieberman and Cheney decide our fate for the next two years.

  6. 6.

    canuckistani

    November 7, 2006 at 2:50 pm

    Don’t forget being forced to gay-marry the newly transgendered Chuck Sheehan.
    House +20
    Senate +4
    Right wing coup d’etat by the weekend.

  7. 7.

    Mr Furious

    November 7, 2006 at 2:51 pm

    I am hopeful we take back the House, but I have no faith in the electorate of this country anymore, so I won’t be surprised if we don’t. I think we fall just short in the Senate.

    Here’s a specific scenario to ponder…

    Lieberman is the swing. Both parties will pull out all the stops to seduce him into their fold — Dems: “It was nothing personal, just procedure…come on back.” Republicans: “Screw them. They sold you out. We gave you money and endorsements. You owe us. You can have your seniority transfer over.”

    Which does he choose? I will NOT be suprised if he flips to R, but I think he will remain independant and vote with Dems on social issues and Reps on defense/war.

    OR…

    Lieberman is the swing, he caucuses with the Dems, so Bush offers him Rumsfeld’s job. He takes it. CT Gov. Rell (R) appoints a Republican replacement for Lieberman. Senate flips back.

    What do you all think?

  8. 8.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 2:52 pm

    Prediction: So many Democrats will win that it’ll be considered an imminent threat to national security, Alberto Gonzales will have the ballots nullified, and the winning Democrats will have their seat replaced by a super-secret operative at an undisclosed location.

  9. 9.

    The Asshole Formerly Known as GOP4Me

    November 7, 2006 at 2:54 pm

    What do you all think?

    I think your prediction, however plausible and indeed probable, is depressing me. I’m gonna go canvass door to door in about 20 minutes here, to try and force your vision out of my head.

  10. 10.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 2:55 pm

    Predlection: whoever is elected has one for screwing things up.

  11. 11.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 2:56 pm

    Predilection

  12. 12.

    Tim F.

    November 7, 2006 at 2:58 pm

    I think that Dems will win enough House seats to eke out a majority but not much more, say 16-18 pickups. In the Senate I predict a Dem pickup of 4 to 5 seats. If we win 5 and Lieberman stays on then his last middle finger to the Democratic party will be to accept the Defense Secretary post and let Jodi Rell name a Republican replacement. Bush may value Rumsfeld but he values a friendly Senate even more.

  13. 13.

    Jon

    November 7, 2006 at 2:59 pm

    Take the D’s but don’t give the points. And hope against hope that Art Shell isn’t running anything.

  14. 14.

    The Asshole Formerly Known as GOP4Me

    November 7, 2006 at 3:00 pm

    I think that Dems will win enough House seats to eke out a majority but not much more, say 16-18 pickups. In the Senate I predict a Dem pickup of 4 to 5 seats. If we win 5 and Lieberman stays on then his last middle finger to the Democratic party will be to accept the Defense Secretary post and let Jodi Rell name a Republican replacement. Bush may value Rumsfeld but he values a friendly Senate even more.

    If Rumsfeld moves to Connecticut, can Rell appoint him? That would make it even funnier, from the perspective of someone who hates America and finds its demise thoroughly amusing.

  15. 15.

    Pooh

    November 7, 2006 at 3:02 pm

    Lieberman is the swing, he caucuses with the Dems, so Bush offers him Rumsfeld’s job. He takes it. CT Gov. Rell® appoints a Republican replacement for Lieberman. Senate flips back.

    That one.

  16. 16.

    Tsulagi

    November 7, 2006 at 3:04 pm

    My prediction is pretty close to the canuck’s numbers.

    One other prediction, before the new Congress is sworn in Gonzales prepares an executive finding that the administration is not subject to House subpoena power. You know, Bush having wartime president status and all.

  17. 17.

    Walker

    November 7, 2006 at 3:07 pm

    I am waiting for how long it takes for the Republicans to admit that their economic numbers are bogus so that they can blame it on the Democrats.

    My prediction: One month after taking office

  18. 18.

    Bombadil

    November 7, 2006 at 3:09 pm

    [The Senate}…breaks down the middle, and we all get to watch Lieberman and Cheney decide our fate for the next two years.

    You’re a sick man, Tom.

  19. 19.

    Zifnab

    November 7, 2006 at 3:10 pm

    My prediction: One month after taking office

    Oh please. They practically do that already whenever they begin a sentence “Clinton’s effect on the economy”.

  20. 20.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 3:11 pm

    CT Gov. Rell® appoints a Republican

    If she has any interest in continuing to be Gov, dropping a Republican in that vacant seat would be a big mistake.

  21. 21.

    ThymeZone

    November 7, 2006 at 3:16 pm

    I tell you what { voice of Hank Hill } if the Dems win today, before the week is out banks will be closed and there will be soldiers marching in the streets.

  22. 22.

    The Other Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 3:20 pm

    What do you all think?

    Well, maybe this is hopeful thinking, but…

    I think the race is going to be a lot closer than the polling has showed.

  23. 23.

    Doug

    November 7, 2006 at 3:22 pm

    I’m just going to assume the Dems won’t win enough seats to take control of either House or Senate. I’ve spent too many election days over the past 6 years hearing encouraging poll numbers only to be made very, very sad when the votes were counted or “counted” as the case may be.

    So, let’s just say House Dems +10; Senate Dems +2.

  24. 24.

    The Other Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 3:23 pm

    Katherine Harris will win in Florida!

    You heard it here first!

  25. 25.

    Cyrus

    November 7, 2006 at 3:26 pm

    Tom in Texas Says:
    I say the Dem’s get 20 in the House. They’ll get 5 more in the Senate,it breaks down the middle, and we all get to watch Lieberman and Cheney decide our fate for the next two years.

    People think this is depressing? Clearly, I’m the only professional-quality misanthropist here. If Lieberman were to accept the nomination of Secretary of Defense, sure, he’s be replaced by a Republican. But he’d be on Bush’s sinking ship, Connecticut voters would be royally pissed off at Rell and Lieberman’s appointee, and (the thing that he would hate the most) he’s no longer a Fox News Democrat, he’s just another Republican.

    But ponder this: in a 50/50 Senate, not only can Lieberman continue to give all the rhetorical cover to Republicans that he wants, he can do so while regaining every bit of reputation he has lost recently. The Republicans won’t need his vote, so he can refresh his liberal credentials by voting with his party, secure in the knowledge it would’nt actually matter. Within a week, we’ll be seeing “sensible liberals” and “moderate conservatives” say things like this: “The blogosphere and MoveOn.org are sooo unhinged, and it’s so uncivil of them to hold Lieberman’s speech where he called Speaker Pelosi a traitor against him, because he voted their way on the Preserve and Strengthen Free Trade with Iraq Act!”

  26. 26.

    Tsulagi

    November 7, 2006 at 3:26 pm

    …only to be made very, very sad when the votes were counted or “counted” as the case may be.

    Well, as Stalin said, “The person who votes in unimportant, the person who counts the votes is.”

  27. 27.

    Mr Furious

    November 7, 2006 at 3:26 pm

    If she has any interest in continuing to be Gov, dropping a Republican in that vacant seat would be a big mistake.

    Yeah, I considered that… If Rell was replacing a Democrat, the class move would be to replace that person with a candidate reflective (?) of the voter’s preference. A fantasy, to be sure…

    But therein lies the wrinkle — if Lieberman wins, that means the Dem (Lamont) already lost. Rell really is under less (no) obligation to tab a Dem.

    If she plans to only ever run for office in Connecticut, she could appoint a Dem. If she has higher sights, the GOP will force her hand.

  28. 28.

    Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 3:26 pm

    If she has any interest in continuing to be Gov, dropping a Republican in that vacant seat would be a big mistake.

    She’s a Republican, she’s clearly going to nominate a Republican. I doubt Connecticut voters would hate her for nominating someone like, say, Chris Shays.

  29. 29.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 3:28 pm

    Katherine Harris will win in Florida!

    And if she doesn’t, you’ll find her exploited lush life spread out in a Hustler centerfold within a year.

  30. 30.

    The Other Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 3:31 pm

    Wow, the Markets are really rallying with predictions of a Democratic sweep.

    Bonds are up, the DOW is up 67 points.

    Interesting article

    Treasury bonds rallied Tuesdays as investors bet that a change in control in Congress after the midterm elections could lead to greater fiscal discipline in Washington.

    If the Democrats take control of the House, as expected, and possibly the Senate, which is less of a sure bet, that could make it harder for Republicans to cut taxes and Democrats to raise spending – the so-called gridlock that some experts say leads to less upward pressure on the federal budget deficit.

    The bond market typically reacts well to more fiscal discipline since a lower budget deficit means the government has to sell fewer bonds to finance the deficit, which in turn helps support bond prices.

  31. 31.

    Buck

    November 7, 2006 at 3:31 pm

    we all get to watch Lieberman and Cheney decide our fate for the next two years.

    Holy friggin’ shit!

  32. 32.

    Mr Furious

    November 7, 2006 at 3:37 pm

    If the Democrats take control of the House, as expected, and possibly the Senate, which is less of a sure bet, that could make it harder for Republicans to cut taxes and Democrats to raise spending – the so-called gridlock that some experts say leads to less upward pressure on the federal budget deficit.

    Jesus, STFU. After the last five years why do we still have to put up with that fucking bullshit.

  33. 33.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 3:37 pm

    She’s a Republican

    who holds office in a very blue state at the request of blue voters. Voters who threw 95% of their votes at the two blue candidates [I know, I know. I’m giggling a little too] currently vying for the seat in question.

  34. 34.

    Mr Furious

    November 7, 2006 at 3:37 pm

    Oh, and on Rell? What Steve said.

  35. 35.

    gariemer

    November 7, 2006 at 3:38 pm

    Katherine Harris will win in Florida!

    And if she doesn’t, you’ll find her exploited lush life spread out in a Hustler centerfold within a year.

    now THAT’s a mental image that will haunt me all day!

  36. 36.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 3:39 pm

    Joemo and Dick the Shooter already run the country, haven’t you heard? I mean run the country for Rove

  37. 37.

    Mr Furious

    November 7, 2006 at 3:39 pm

    The fact that Bush just gave Rumsfeld the old “Steinbrenner vote of confidence” means he is ripe for the replacin’.

  38. 38.

    Pb

    November 7, 2006 at 3:42 pm

    About that national anthem…

  39. 39.

    LLeo

    November 7, 2006 at 3:52 pm

    My predictions are all wishfull thinking:
    Senate: +6 Dems
    House: +30 Dems

    Voting-wise I am the contrarian here. I voted (in MD) for Erlich(R.) governor; the Dems for senate and house (I don’t even remember their names); then Republican for State offices like clerks, comptroller, whatever; and Dems in my county. I consider it a straight line vote for the Divided Government Party(tm). Actually, I voted for Erlich cuz he’s been a strong advocate for voter verified electronic voting.

  40. 40.

    zzyzx

    November 7, 2006 at 3:53 pm

    I expect an increase in “Democratic Stupidity” posts in the next few years, but I also expect that I’ll agree with many of them.

    Here’s hoping.

  41. 41.

    Punchy

    November 7, 2006 at 3:57 pm

    One other prediction, before the new Congress is sworn in Gonzales prepares an executive finding that the administration is not subject to House subpoena power. You know, Bush having wartime president status and all.

    While you may written this in jest, I FULLY expect this to happen. I fully and completely expect for Bush, Cheney, and Rumsfeld to simply ignore subpoenas from a Democratic House.

    They WILL push a constitutional crisis, probably b/c they think they have the votes in the SC. How an SC could, in good conscience, allow for the executive to ignore the legislative is beyond me, but it’s clear that Alito and Scalia don’t really judge in a non-partisan fashion.

  42. 42.

    zzyzx

    November 7, 2006 at 4:09 pm

    I like this line of reasoning from Mickey Kaus:

    Just asking: What does it tell you about a political party if in a year of epic disaster for their opponents the best they can hope for is a 51-49 majority in the Senate? … 8:21 A.M.

    Does he understand that only 15 Republican seats are even up for election this year? A 6 seat pick up would mean that 40% of all eligible seats would have flipped. That’s a pretty impressive pickup.

  43. 43.

    Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 4:09 pm

    What was the Republican margin in the Senate following the 1994 election? Just wondering.

  44. 44.

    Perry Como

    November 7, 2006 at 4:12 pm

    Just asking: What does it tell you about a political party if in a year of epic disaster for their opponents the best they can hope for is a 51-49 majority in the Senate?

    The Dems need to pick 2^32 seats in the Senate. Otherwise they are a total failure.

  45. 45.

    zzyzx

    November 7, 2006 at 4:13 pm

    Steve 52-48

  46. 46.

    Tom

    November 7, 2006 at 4:13 pm

    Oops! Sorry, Dems. Looks like someone thought of the Stay Puf Marshmallow Man and used up his one wish:

    Britney Spears Files for Divorce

    Britney Spears has filed a petition for divorce from Kevin Federline.

    Spears filed legal papers today in Los Angeles County Superior Court, citing “irreconcilable differences.” In her petition, Spears asks for both legal and physical custody of the couple’s two children, one-year old Sean Preston and two-month old Jayden James, with Federline getting reasonable visitation rights.

    Both Congress and Senate remain Repub.

  47. 47.

    The Other Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 4:16 pm

    Interesting… Apparently the GOP is bussing homeless people up from Pennsylvania to Maryland and telling them to tell voters that Ehrlich and Steel are really a Democrats?

    per multiple sources, but link to tpm

    I don’t understand many of these tactics. Are political parties so bereft of ideas that they have to resort to trickery?

  48. 48.

    Andrew

    November 7, 2006 at 4:18 pm

    Are political parties so bereft of ideas that they have to resort to trickery?

    The Republicans are full of ideas, but they all involved fucking the country over.

  49. 49.

    Andrew

    November 7, 2006 at 4:22 pm

    Also, I am pledging to boycott Connecticut if they re-elect Lieberman.

    I’ll take my valuable vacation dollars elsewhere, thanks. Take that, Hartford and Waterbury!

  50. 50.

    ThymeZone

    November 7, 2006 at 4:26 pm

    The Republicans are full of ideas, but they all involved fucking the country over.

    Spit ramen into adjoining cubicle here.

  51. 51.

    Zifnab

    November 7, 2006 at 4:27 pm

    Interesting… Apparently the GOP is bussing homeless people up from Pennsylvania to Maryland and telling them to tell voters that Ehrlich and Steel are really a Democrats?

    But those homeless people need to be voting for Santorum, or we’ll all be forced to mate with box turtles!

    Furthermore, you know the times are tough for a Republican when they literally have to tell you to “Vote Democrat” to win a Senate race.

  52. 52.

    jcricket

    November 7, 2006 at 4:28 pm

    I don’t understand many of these tactics. Are political parties Republicans so bereft of ideas that they have to resort to trickery?

    Fixed.

    Seriously Steve, I know you’re a Republican (although you voted for mostly Dems this time), but look around. Something like 90-99% of the “trickery” is being committed by Republicans, and a lot of that organized by the NRCC.

    Please point me to the similar Democratic chicanery, especially at an organized/national level. The best Democrats can muster are a few misleading attack ads (you know the typical out-of-context vote misrepresentations).

    I will give you the credit that the Republican party is clearly best at political dirty work (esp. if it’s illegal). They’ve chalked up all the fines and convictions as merely “the cost of doing business”, and figured that winning is more important than winning even remotely honestly.

  53. 53.

    The Other Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 4:29 pm

    Seriously Steve, I know you’re a Republican (although you voted for mostly Dems this time), but look around. Something like 90-99% of the “trickery” is being committed by Republicans, and a lot of that organized by the NRCC.

    Oh come on, everybody knows they’re both the same. It’s a Known Fact(tm).

  54. 54.

    Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 4:30 pm

    Here’s a link to the fake voting guide being passed out by the Republicans in Maryland. None of the gentlemen pictured on the front of the guide has endorsed Erlich. Only one of the three has endorsed Steele.

    And it’s disgusting to watch the Republicans pretend like there’s no such thing as a low-information voter, like no one could ever conceivably be misled by this tactic. This is not some wacko activist slashing tires. This is the First Lady of the State of Maryland personally taking part in these tactics!

    They have nothing to lose, because the Republicans who are honest enough to denounce these tactics, like John Cole, have already turned their back on the Republican Party. The rest of the dead-enders cheer these tactics on.

  55. 55.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 4:30 pm

    Just asking: What does it tell you about a political party if in a year of epic disaster for their opponents the best they can hope for is a 51-49 majority in the Senate?

    Curing Stockholm Syndrome is a bitch.

  56. 56.

    jcricket

    November 7, 2006 at 4:32 pm

    Furthermore, you know the times are tough for a Republican when they literally have to tell you to “Vote Democrat” to win a Senate race.

    I understand how the “a message about democratic candidate x” annoying robo-call scam is supposed to work, but doesn’t the “vote steele he’s a democrat” thing potentially not work? When people go in, isn’t there a good chance they’ll look for the “D” and vote for that person?

    I get it, they’re trying hail mary passes at this point and flinging around all the mud they have left to see what’ll stick, but I don’t think of this particular tactic as the most effective. Must be really worried.

    When Democrats take over the House and anywhere Democrats control the state legislatures, they need to up the fines and penalties for this misrepresentation, voter suppression, etc. Can’t fix everything, but we can bleed them dry a little bit with fines and convictions or they can stop acting illegally, their choice.

  57. 57.

    Punchy

    November 7, 2006 at 4:35 pm

    NEW PREDICTION:

    BRITTNAY SPEARS TO DIVORCE KEVIN FEDERLINE BY…oh….TODAY. Now, vote Spears in as Secretary of Double-D-fence.

  58. 58.

    Punchy

    November 7, 2006 at 4:38 pm

    Sorry, TnT, you scooped me. Damn you.

  59. 59.

    Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 4:38 pm

    I understand how the “a message about democratic candidate x” annoying robo-call scam is supposed to work, but doesn’t the “vote steele he’s a democrat” thing potentially not work? When people go in, isn’t there a good chance they’ll look for the “D” and vote for that person?

    And how would such a person vote if they didn’t try the trick? The whole idea is to target people who plan to vote Dem regardless, and try to fool them into thinking Steele is the Dem. If they’re going to walk in and vote for whoever appears on the Dem line, it won’t work, but if they look for the name instead, then you’ve got them.

    was also on scene. A volunteer supporting O’Malley, she was convinced the pamphlets could have an impact. “People don’t know necessarily who the candidates are. I’d hand them the O’Malley literature, and they’d say, ‘Oh, is he the Democrat?’ And when I say yes, they say, ‘Oh, OK, I’ll vote for him.’ But if someone hands them literature that says Ehrlich’s the Democrat, then who knows?”

  60. 60.

    Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 4:39 pm

    Sorry, somehow my link got eaten. I wish preview worked better.

  61. 61.

    carpeicthus

    November 7, 2006 at 4:39 pm

    House+25 Senate+7 … REPUBLICAN pick-ups. Welcome to Diebold nation.

  62. 62.

    jcricket

    November 7, 2006 at 4:41 pm

    I know the Republicans will spin anything less than a 100-seat switch in the Senate as a Democratic loss and a mandate for more Dobson-style Republicanism, but us Democrats should chew on this:

    There is about a 0 percent chance of any seat currently held by a Democrat falling into the hands of a Republican.

    There is about a 0 percent chance of any governorship currently held by a Democrat falling into the hands of a Republican.

    There is about a 0 percent chance of any state legislature that is currently Democratic, turning Republican.

    We will never pick up every Republican open seat, or even a majority of them, but holding all of our own seats, picking up a number of governorships, state legislatures, taking the House and several seats in the Senate is a massive rout.

    No matter what the talking heads say, these results mandate the Democrats to fight the Republicans even harder for the next 2 years. If we do, we’ll see “more of the same” (bigger majorities in the House, re-taking the Senate, more governorships, more state legislatures and hopefully the presidency).

  63. 63.

    skip

    November 7, 2006 at 4:42 pm

    Dems gain 28 in the House, 5-6 in the Senate.

    Whatever the actual numbers, the word subpoena will be ringing in some GOP ears in coming days.

  64. 64.

    jcricket

    November 7, 2006 at 4:43 pm

    Steve, I get how it’s supposed to work, and you’re right that it will work some percentage of the time. But compared to the other dirty tricks and racist ads, this one at least feels more like it could backfire… Dunno.

    It’s odious, of course, and it shows how little faith Republicans have. Republicans keep saying “Democrats don’t have a plan”, but apparently their only plan is “Pretend to be a Democrat”.

  65. 65.

    jcricket

    November 7, 2006 at 4:45 pm

    Whatever the actual numbers, the word subpoena will be ringing in some GOP ears in coming days.

    Starting with the NRCC and followed by Laura Ingraham.

    Can’t wait. Will make the $6 million the Republicans losing the New Hampshire phone jamming case in 2002 seem like pennies.

  66. 66.

    brendan

    November 7, 2006 at 4:57 pm

    John, you forgot to mention the part where nancy and chuck inject you with teh deadly gay. In the ass of course.

    And Baby Jane, the image of a naked Katherine Harris (or worse, naked Kathy in action as is typical for Hustler) is now burned into my brain. It hurts.

  67. 67.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 5:01 pm

    I know the Republicans will spin anything less than a 100-seat switch in the Senate as a Democratic loss and a mandate for more Dobson-style Republicanism

    Fields Medalist Ann Coulter has already said as much:

    This means that for Democrats simply to match the historical average gain for the party out of the White House during the first and second midterm, they would have to pick up 67 seats in the House and 11 seats in the Senate. They’re about 30 Mark Foleys short of having that happen.

    It at least seems clear that Democrat gains this year are going to fall far short of the historical average. No poll has the Democrats winning even half of their rightful midterm gains.

    I won’t link to it. Sorry. Find your own drugs.

  68. 68.

    jcricket

    November 7, 2006 at 5:08 pm

    I won’t link to it. Sorry. Find your own drugs.

    Can…feel…righteous…anger…slipping…away…

    I like how the average includes all midterms back to beginning of time (or whatever). Despite that for the last 30 years the “average” is much, much smaller.

    I’m not a fan of completely ignoring history, but I think we can fairly say that if a political trend or statistic is much different for the last 30 years than the previous 70, you can no longer use the previous 70 as political history.

    But we all know Coulter doesn’t care. Our only hope is that she becomes a felon, in Florida, for voting in the wrong precinct. Then she won’t be able to vote again :-)

  69. 69.

    Andrew

    November 7, 2006 at 5:10 pm

    I hope Pelosi puts up a stage like a KISS set with fireworks and flames and shit and comes on with a massive guitar riff and starts screaming “It’s subpoena time, BITCHES! Subpoena in your earhole!”

    P.s. Firefox 2.0 spell check rocks.

  70. 70.

    Face

    November 7, 2006 at 5:13 pm

    How about a Hustler spread of BOTH Harris and Coulter, together? Between the top junk on Katie and the stems on Coulter, that could be worth the $7 and 10 minutes with the shades down and door locked.

  71. 71.

    TenguPhule

    November 7, 2006 at 5:16 pm

    29 house

    6 seats senate

    Let the busing of Freepers to the workcamps begin….

  72. 72.

    chopper

    November 7, 2006 at 5:20 pm

    How about a Hustler spread of BOTH Harris and Coulter, together? Between the top junk on Katie and the stems on Coulter, that could be worth the $7 and 10 minutes with the shades down and door locked.

    you, sir, are on my list. the bad list.

  73. 73.

    Tsulagi

    November 7, 2006 at 5:20 pm

    Watching CNN now and they’re just starting their exit polling results. They say the #1 issue among voters was corruption. Hmmmm

    They say voters cited national issues affected their vote two to one over local issues.

  74. 74.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 5:21 pm

    How about a Hustler spread of BOTH Harris and Coulter, together?

    What did I start?
    Now I’m grossed out.

  75. 75.

    DougJ

    November 7, 2006 at 5:24 pm

    23 in the House
    4 in the Senate

  76. 76.

    jcricket

    November 7, 2006 at 5:29 pm

    What did I start?
    Now I’m grossed out.

    I dunno. They’ve both got boobies and va-jay-jays (well, one does. It might be described in the catalog as “she-male on mature female”. Plus I think most men subscribe to the “lettuce leaf” [1] theory of porn.

    [1] It could be a lettuce leaf up there, as long as it’s porn, men will jerk off to it.

  77. 77.

    jcricket

    November 7, 2006 at 5:30 pm

    DougJ Says:

    23 spoofers in the RedState House
    4 spoofers in the Powerline Senate

    Isn’t that what you meant? Maybe Lieberman’s a spoof?

  78. 78.

    Tsulagi

    November 7, 2006 at 5:31 pm

    How about a Hustler spread of BOTH Harris and Coulter, together?

    Don’t forget Ingraham!

    However, Angelina Jolie wipes out all three with just a wicked smile.

  79. 79.

    Andrew

    November 7, 2006 at 5:33 pm

    J.C. Watts is a bad person.

  80. 80.

    Zifnab

    November 7, 2006 at 5:36 pm

    Wow. Doonesbury is on its game.

    http://www.doonesbury.com/strip/dailydose/index.html?uc_full_date=20061017

    http://www.doonesbury.com/strip/dailydose/index.html?uc_full_date=20061019

    http://www.doonesbury.com/strip/dailydose/index.html?uc_full_date=20061020

  81. 81.

    The Other Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 5:47 pm

    Watching CNN now and they’re just starting their exit polling results. They say the #1 issue among voters was corruption. Hmmmm

    They say voters cited national issues affected their vote two to one over local issues.

    Republicans are also completely unmotivated.

    My Rush Limbaugh listening boss the last two cycles has always sent out a “Go out and vote” message via email, even giving us some bullshit article from the WSJ last election which was slanted towards Bush. This year… nothing.

    I also spoke to the nice young woman who voted for Bush last two times that makes no sense to me, and she was like “election? Why I wasn’t even paying attention.”

  82. 82.

    Punchy

    November 7, 2006 at 5:59 pm

    I just dont see it. I’m pessimistic that we get 10 in the House.

    I need to start drinking and hope I wake up hungover with new leaders in Congress. Shots, anyone?

  83. 83.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 6:02 pm

    Ok. It’s all my fault. I take full responsibility and must now put an end to this madness.

    This spread of political losers will also feature Mark Foley, Rick Santorum, and a three-legged daschund.

    Take that, Boys!

    And, if that doesn’t do the trick I’m gonna bring in the heavy artillery: Hastert.

  84. 84.

    The Other Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 6:02 pm

    Zifnab, keep going… Doonesbury of the day!

    http://www.doonesbury.com/strip/dailydose/index.html?uc_full_date=20061029

  85. 85.

    Zifnab

    November 7, 2006 at 6:16 pm

    IT HAS BEGUN!

  86. 86.

    edmund dantes

    November 7, 2006 at 6:29 pm

    Nothing quite as satisfying as hearing the Ka-chunk of the machine as you throw the red lever in the voting booths in NY.

  87. 87.

    Peter ve

    November 7, 2006 at 6:31 pm

    How about a Hustler spread of BOTH Harris and Coulter, together?

    Throw in Pam of Atlas Juggs, and I might even buy the issue!

  88. 88.

    Fledermaus

    November 7, 2006 at 6:44 pm

    Not much left to say, except

    ITMFA

  89. 89.

    gil

    November 7, 2006 at 7:02 pm

    Home page.

    Since the Democrats are going to be running the Government and making desicions in Iraq…. You are just going to take their plan, give them 4 + years for it to work, accept a Rummy like Dem (Kerry will do fine) making mistake, after mistake and if you dare to complain….. We will call you a Cut and Run Republican coward… How is that?

    Or call you a traitor because you are giving comfort to the enemy in times of war.

    If there are more Terrorists at the end of the 4 years, the Democrats will still call you soft on terrorism and will tell you that any republican victory will be a win for Osama.

    And that takes me to my next point;

    Just a remainder of your lie about the terrorist wining if Democrats win. The latest NIE report from Bush’s administration (That’s why it was clasiffied) shows terrorism going up under Bush exponentially.

    Pall, you and your crowd are probably in Osama’s payroll, and Christmas Gift list!!

    See terrorism going down???

    And please don’t start with “There has not been any attack in the U.S. since 9-11″….. If you know how to count (I doubt it) you would understand that since the first terrorist attack in New York World Trade Center’s towers in 1993 the next attack was in 2001… How many years WITH NO TERRORIST ATTACK IN AMERICA? 8 years!!!

    8 years with not one terrorist attack in America under Democrats!! And no hysterics, invasions, and name calling the Republicans. The terrorists were all cought, and put in jail. No invasion of a country with phantom WMD’s, no hysterics, no dividing the nation. You think you are great with 5 years …. Maybe when you grow up and stop taking money from Osama you will call it as it is.

    One final observation. If you or your crowd of Right Wing Neo Cons think that the war in Iraq can be won with no Democratic support, or no Centrist Support at all….. You are even more stupid that I tought.

    The only thing your “My way or the highway” attitude got you, is a kick in the ass by the American voters. It took you 12 years to loose what the Democrats kept for 40. It happened because of Iraq, and it Goes to show who the real idiots are here.

  90. 90.

    Perry Como

    November 7, 2006 at 7:11 pm

    Zifnab Says:

    IT HAS BEGUN!

    Get ready for a world of pain, moonbat.

  91. 91.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 7:13 pm

    There can, you know, be only one.

  92. 92.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 7:25 pm

    To Gil,

    All I have to say to you is this:

    The only thing your “My way or the highway” attitude got you, is a kick in the ass by the American voters. It took you 12 years to loose what the Democrats kept for 40. It happened because of Iraq, and it Goes to show who the real idiots are here.

  93. 93.

    Pooh

    November 7, 2006 at 7:27 pm

    Some senatorial exit polling, commentary mine:

    Dem leads:
    VA: 52-47 Suck it, George
    RI: 53-46 Bye Linc
    PA: 57-42 Beware the Boxturtles
    OH: 57-43 Some cheese with that DeWine
    NJ: 52-45 Holding my nose sense Menendez is no prize
    MT: 53-46 As the other Burns might say, “excellllent”
    MO: 50-48 Suck it Rush, and Jeff Suppan, and Kurt Warner…
    MD: 53-46 Shocked by the margin here

    GOPer leads:
    TN: 51-48 Come on Tennessee, do the right thing…
    AZ: 50-46 Never even knew this was in play so whatevs

  94. 94.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 7:29 pm

    I’ve been inside-out upside-down reversed-speed spoofed.

  95. 95.

    matt

    November 7, 2006 at 7:31 pm

    Pooh, do you mind keeping the updates coming? Thanks!

  96. 96.

    Proud Liberal

    November 7, 2006 at 7:33 pm

    oh….my prediction, not that anyone gives a shit, is that the Dems win 6 in Senate and take the majority. In the house 30+

  97. 97.

    Pooh

    November 7, 2006 at 7:39 pm

    Damnit Matt, I’m still at work…

    But to tide you over, goodies via Drezner:

    Fifty-seven percent of late deciders, the Fox exit polls show, are breaking for the Democrats, and 39 percent for Republicans. This is a very important harbinger.

  98. 98.

    matt

    November 7, 2006 at 7:42 pm

    Thanks, Pooh, for pulling double duty! :p

  99. 99.

    Dustbin Of History

    November 7, 2006 at 7:42 pm

    Latest news from Ohio: Not even God could save Ken Blackwell’s campaign, Ted Strickland wins in a laugher.

  100. 100.

    matt

    November 7, 2006 at 7:44 pm

    John, Tim, Tom, can we get another open thread?

  101. 101.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 7:47 pm

    TPM has a good election scorecard.

  102. 102.

    The Asshole Formerly Known as GOP4Me

    November 7, 2006 at 7:52 pm

    Throw in Pam of Atlas Juggs, and I might even buy the issue!

    The chick that runs townhall.com is kinda cute. But I think she’s a spoof.

  103. 103.

    delf

    November 7, 2006 at 8:10 pm

    ok John,
    that was pretty funny, thanks for the chuckle;
    not only does this “lefty” read your blog..think I’m now a FAN of it.

  104. 104.

    Aaron

    November 7, 2006 at 8:26 pm

    Bad News:
    You already cant enjoy gun violence on tv.
    I was watching robo-cop on regular cable at 2am. Robo enters the drug wherehouse and the scene is evicerated. every shot where someone is actually being hit or stabbed or killed has been removed. And If you havent seen if before, you have no idea of whats going on.
    And its every movie.
    I blame those PC schmucks on the right who were saving us from the horrors of Janet Jackson’s nipple.

  105. 105.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 8:29 pm

    Predict what you want, so long as Santorum goes bye bye I awaken a joyous human being, asumming I am one.

  106. 106.

    Pooh

    November 7, 2006 at 8:31 pm

    Kos has them calling it for Casey already.

    Worse news is TPM has Allen up a couple.

  107. 107.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 8:36 pm

    ONe last point, should either side gain a or maintain its majority and claim on that basis a mandate, like the impersonator in chief, we are in serious serious trouble.

  108. 108.

    Perry Como

    November 7, 2006 at 8:37 pm

    NEW OPEN THREAD!

    That said, I have beer and popcorn. This is my Superbowl.

  109. 109.

    ThymeZone

    November 7, 2006 at 8:39 pm

    so long as Santorum goes bye bye

    The race has been called (NBC) for Casey.

    Sleep happy.

  110. 110.

    demimondian

    November 7, 2006 at 8:45 pm

    Allen/Webb is going back and forth. We won’t know it until late tonight, East Coast time.

  111. 111.

    Perry Como

    November 7, 2006 at 8:45 pm

    Sleep happy.

    With Lassie.

  112. 112.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 8:47 pm

    Huzzah the good folks of PA, that man was is disgrace to the human race.

  113. 113.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 8:48 pm

    With Lassie

    or laddie

  114. 114.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 8:53 pm

    TPM currently shows Harris with 41%.
    Florida has a serious problem.

  115. 115.

    Proud Liberal

    November 7, 2006 at 8:55 pm

    Worse news is TPM has Allen up a couple.

    Schumer was just on tv saying that Webb’s strong areas in Northern Virgina haven’t reported yet so these numbers look pretty good at this point.

  116. 116.

    Dustbin Of History

    November 7, 2006 at 8:57 pm

    CNN calls for Sherrod Brown. Our long state-wide nightmare is over, Ohio is once again a very dark – dare we say bluish – purple once again. I’d crack open a brew if I wasn’t at work.

  117. 117.

    The Other Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 8:58 pm

    You already cant enjoy gun violence on tv.
    I was watching robo-cop on regular cable at 2am. Robo enters the drug wherehouse and the scene is evicerated. every shot where someone is actually being hit or stabbed or killed has been removed. And If you havent seen if before, you have no idea of whats going on.
    And its every movie.
    I blame those PC schmucks on the right who were saving us from the horrors of Janet Jackson’s nipple.

    It was all downhill when they started censoring Bugs Bunny cartoons in the 1990s.

    For you youngins… back in my day when Yosemite Sam entered into a room full of gun powder with a lit match, the whole place exploded. Now, nothing happens and somehow in the next seen Yosemite is all charred and burnt.

  118. 118.

    Proud Liberal

    November 7, 2006 at 9:00 pm

    Does anyone think its funny that on election night, during one of the most important elections we have had in a long time, that the three bloggers on this political blog are not posting? John? Tim? Tom? is there a football game on or perhaps a beer tasting party?

  119. 119.

    The Other Steve

    November 7, 2006 at 9:00 pm

    TPM currently shows Harris with 41%.
    Florida has a serious problem.

    Harris is going to win! I’m telling ya!

    Mark Foley is also doing well! He’s just coming in a little behind right now, but he’ll be up on top in no time!

  120. 120.

    Pooh

    November 7, 2006 at 9:00 pm

    Funniest thing I’ve seen so far, from TPM’s election site

    PA-SEN Casey: 83% Santorum: 17% 0.03% 08:44 pm EST

    With 3/100 % reporting, Casey leads by 66, good freakin times…

  121. 121.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 9:01 pm

    Sullivan has a great photo of Santorum.

  122. 122.

    Baby Jane

    November 7, 2006 at 9:04 pm

    Mark Foley is also doing well! He’s just coming in a little behind right now

    LOL!

  123. 123.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 9:10 pm

    Bill Frist: world’s second biggest asshole.

  124. 124.

    t. jasper parnell

    November 7, 2006 at 9:11 pm

    Liberman world’s third bigges asshole

  125. 125.

    Bob In Pacifica

    November 7, 2006 at 9:20 pm

    Can we go back to paper ballots? They worked fine.

  126. 126.

    Krista

    November 7, 2006 at 9:41 pm

    Sullivan has a great photo of Santorum.

    That photo was absolutely delightful. An overwhelming bitch-slapping like that could not have happened to a nicer guy.

    Dan Savage, wherever you are tonight, I salute you.

  127. 127.

    KC

    November 8, 2006 at 2:23 am

    “Democrats pick up 36 in the House and 3 in the Senate. Tomorrow, Nancy Pelosi, Ted Kennedy, and Chuck Schumer come over to my house, and, at taser-point, I am forced to give all my money, have an abortion, and promise I will never ever enjoy gun violence on TV. Afterwards, they hand me the new National Anthem- in Spanish. Then we are we are all forced to attend a mandatory rally for the Democrats and Al-Qaeda, because, after all- the terrorists have won.”

    Hahaha. Hahahaha. You’re right, kool aid drinking bitch. Now where’s your tinfoil hat?

  128. 128.

    BG

    November 8, 2006 at 9:27 am

    Tomorrow, Nancy Pelosi, Ted Kennedy, and Chuck Schumer come over to my house, and, at taser-point, I am forced to give all my money, have an abortion, and promise I will never ever enjoy gun violence on TV.

    We’re prepared to be merciful. If you promise to have only 1.7 kids, raise one as an atheist and the other as a lesbian, you can skip the abortion. Oh, and you have to vote for Hillary.

  129. 129.

    catcall

    November 8, 2006 at 12:15 pm

    When I read blogs such as yours, I have to question a lot of things. But the first one that comes to mind is, “Who do you think is a bigger enemy of the US, the democrats or the terrorists? Everytime I ask myself that question, the Repubs on sites like these seem to answer that the Dems are the enemy. Need an example, just read the posts above. How are we to actually beat a true enemy, like the terrorists who are out for all of us, when you have your sights set on the wrong target (Other political parties)? Just guessing, but if our Gov’t doesn’t get their “stuff” together and start working together, we will lose the WOT. We will not lose the WOT because the Dems won and it is about time you start recognizing this so that we can come together and win this thing.

  130. 130.

    legaleagle

    November 8, 2006 at 1:33 pm

    Whenever you think of The Republican Party, just think of Ned Beatty in Deliverance: SQUEEEAAALLLLL

  131. 131.

    Ben

    November 8, 2006 at 3:29 pm

    ter·ror·ist (trr-st)
    n.
    One that engages in the unlawful use or threatened use of force or violence against people or property with the intention of intimidating or coercing societies or governments, often for ideological or political reasons.

    Re·pub·li·can [ri-puhb-li-kuhn]
    n.
    One that uses the threat of terrorists with the intention of intimidating or coercing societies, often for ideological or political reasons.

    SUMMARY:
    Terrorists threaten suicide attacks like Republicans threaten terrorism.

    The Republicans lost because they found one note that worked after 9/11 and played it over and over and over again to cover their incompetence, cronyism and corruption. Unfortunately for them some of the electorate managed to tune it out. One hit wonders don’t last. If I’m going to pay high taxes (or my kids will be paying high taxes for a deficit) I’d rather that money was spent on me NOT on Exxon, Halliburton, BP, drug manufacturers, etc…

  132. 132.

    TenguPhule

    November 9, 2006 at 12:49 am

    Looks like I was right.

    John and Tim owe me a beer. ^_^

Comments are closed.

Trackbacks

  1. Balloon Juice says:
    November 8, 2006 at 12:15 pm

    […] Predictions […]

  2. GOP Candidates Dodge Bush | Election Reporter says:
    November 9, 2006 at 4:57 am

    […] BALLOON JUICE: Predictions […]

  3. MoveOn Offers $250,000 Reward for Evidence Leading to Voter Fraud Conviction | Election Reporter says:
    December 6, 2006 at 5:17 am

    […] BALLOON JUICE: Predictions […]

Primary Sidebar

On The Road - beckya57 - Copper Canyon, Mexico, April 2025
Image by beckya57 (7/31/25)

World Central Kitchen

Donate

Recent Comments

  • TONYG on Open Thread: Good for Rep. Jeffries (Jul 9, 2025 @ 4:29pm)
  • dnfree on Goebbels In, Goebbels Out (Open Thread) (Jul 9, 2025 @ 4:26pm)
  • rikyrah on Open Thread: Good for Rep. Jeffries (Jul 9, 2025 @ 4:26pm)
  • Enhanced Voting Techniques on Open Thread: Good for Rep. Jeffries (Jul 9, 2025 @ 4:25pm)
  • rikyrah on Open Thread: Good for Rep. Jeffries (Jul 9, 2025 @ 4:24pm)

Balloon Juice Posts

View by Topic
View by Author
View by Month & Year
View by Past Author

Featuring

Medium Cool
Artists in Our Midst
Authors in Our Midst
No Kings Protests June 14 2025

🎈Keep Balloon Juice Ad Free

Become a Balloon Juice Patreon
Donate with Venmo, Zelle or PayPal

Calling All Jackals

Site Feedback
Nominate a Rotating Tag
Submit Photos to On the Road
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Links)
Balloon Juice Anniversary (All Posts)
Fix Nyms with Apostrophes

Social Media

Balloon Juice
WaterGirl
TaMara
John Cole
DougJ (aka NYT Pitchbot)
Betty Cracker
Tom Levenson
David Anderson
Major Major Major Major
DougJ NYT Pitchbot
mistermix

Keeping Track

Legal Challenges (Lawfare)
Republicans Fleeing Town Halls (TPM)
21 Letters (to Borrow or Steal)
Search Donations from a Brand

Feeling Defeated?  If We Give Up, It's Game Over

Site Footer

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

  • Facebook
  • RSS
  • Twitter
  • YouTube
  • Comment Policy
  • Our Authors
  • Blogroll
  • Our Artists
  • Privacy Policy

Copyright © 2025 Dev Balloon Juice · All Rights Reserved · Powered by BizBudding Inc

Share this ArticleLike this article? Email it to a friend!

Email sent!