Congrats to Ciro Rodriguez, the new Democratic representative from Texas 23. It’s hard to overstate the upset value of this race. Incumbent Henry Bonilla ( R) barely missed winning outright when he outpolled Rodriguez 49-20 in November. Since then polls have trended in Rodriguez’s favor, but to my knowledge none showed Rodriguez ahead or even particularly close.
Let’s stipulate that it is risky to treat this race as a general indicator. Too many factors could be specific to this district and the massive cash infusion from the DCCC must not have hurt. Caveats aside, I will go out on a limb and say that Republicans should be extremely grateful that the election wasn’t held one month later.
Think that Democrats will push for a revote in Katherine Harris’s district? It would be politically smart, though a touch cynical, to keep tonight’s upset in mind. Not that it isn’t the right thing to do anyway.