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You are here: Home / Economics / Free Markets Solve Everything / Wrong Analogy

Wrong Analogy

by John Cole|  May 12, 20107:59 am| 37 Comments

This post is in: Free Markets Solve Everything, Our Failed Media Experiment

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The NY Times:

It is the Wall Street equivalent of a perfect game of baseball — 27 up, 27 down, the final score measured in millions of dollars a day.

Despite the running unease in world markets, four giants of American finance managed to make money from trading every single day during the first three months of the year.

Their remarkable 61-day streak is one for the record books. Perfect trading quarters on Wall Street are about as rare as perfect games in Major League Baseball. On Sunday, Dallas Braden of the Oakland Athletics pitched what was only the 19th perfect game in baseball history.

But Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan Chase & Company produced the equivalent of four perfect games during the first quarter. Each one finished the period without losing money for even one day.

Their showing, disclosed in quarterly financial filings, underscored the outsize — and controversial — role that trading has assumed at major financial institutions. It also drives home the widening lead that a handful of big banks are enjoying over lesser rivals on post-bailout Wall Street.

They didn’t play a perfect game. They played a rigged game.

Someone want to explain the role of high frequency trading and the other tools at their disposal to the NY Times?

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Reader Interactions

37Comments

  1. 1.

    New Yorker

    May 12, 2010 at 8:04 am

    Yeah, Bank of America making money every day isn’t akin to what Dallas Braden did, unless Braden had gotten, in advance, MLB to enforce “rules” in which Evan Longoria and co. were required to swing at every pitch, regardless of whether it was 8 feet off the plate.

    Jeebus, Times.

  2. 2.

    zmullls

    May 12, 2010 at 8:07 am

    I look forward to an article on how Las Vegas casinos manage to make money every day, even though thousands of gamblers play and some win.

  3. 3.

    MattF

    May 12, 2010 at 8:11 am

    May we ask how the, y’know, customers of these banks have been doing? Has anyone in the “Go ahead, pick my pocket” world of everyday consumer finance made a profit every day of the last quarter? Well, golly…. why would anyone want to ask about that?

  4. 4.

    El Cid

    May 12, 2010 at 8:18 am

    Gosh! These guys must be amazing! And brilliant! They deserve a lot of money for doing this valuable work! They must be adding tons of jobs to the economy! They do all this good for us and how do we repay them? By failing to worship their brilliance and value to society in a proper fashion.

  5. 5.

    burnspbesq

    May 12, 2010 at 8:19 am

    @zmullls:

    As requested.

    http://www.americangaming.org/Industry/factsheets/statistics_detail.cfv?id=8

  6. 6.

    Mike Kay

    May 12, 2010 at 8:22 am

    this is Obama’s Willy Wonka moment

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rw_R9SS3kQ8

  7. 7.

    Admiral_Komack

    May 12, 2010 at 8:23 am

    coughBlackSoxcough

  8. 8.

    4tehlulz

    May 12, 2010 at 8:29 am

    It must be difficult, sucking on that many dicks at once.

  9. 9.

    Montysano

    May 12, 2010 at 8:31 am

    Someone want to explain the role of high frequency trading and the other tools at their disposal to the NY Times?

    High frequency trading = legalized theft

    Ur welcome.

  10. 10.

    Remember November

    May 12, 2010 at 8:34 am

    HFT’s= stock hacking. Should be illegal. These tradebots need to go to bit heaven- what do you think caused the 2:45 meltdown?

  11. 11.

    Paris

    May 12, 2010 at 8:35 am

    The Gambino family had many successful quarters too. Also.

  12. 12.

    MikeTheZ

    May 12, 2010 at 8:44 am

    So wait, they made money consistently by doing what in any other context would be considered fraud at best, and we’re supposed to be happy for them?

    Ugh…

  13. 13.

    chopper

    May 12, 2010 at 8:51 am

    it’s easy to pitch a perfect game when you use a laser-sighted bazooka.

  14. 14.

    bkny

    May 12, 2010 at 8:59 am

    and this just proves that those banksters deserve every penny of their hard-earned billions… meanwhile:

    May 11, 2010
    In New York’s Suburbs, Teachers Feel Budget Ax
    By WINNIE HU
    Teachers are giving up raises in at least five Long Island districts, including Brentwood, where the 1,400 teachers will also take individual pay cuts of $900 that will be repaid to them without interest when they leave or retire.

    Teachers are facing a wage freeze in 44 of the 69 Connecticut districts that reached new teacher contracts this year, something virtually unheard of in a state where the average raise has been about 2.5 percent.

    And in Pelham and Scarsdale, two places in Westchester County that have long been synonymous with well-paid teachers, they voted to reopen their contracts and shave off a portion of their scheduled raises.

    Such concessions come amid threats of widespread layoffs, state and local government budget cuts and insistent public calls that teachers make sacrifices in a tough economy.

    “Nobody wants to give up money,” said Joe Hogan, president of the Brentwood teachers’ union, whose members unanimously agreed to give up their raises to prevent hundreds of layoffs and save music, art and sports programs. “Did everybody do this happily? I don’t think so. But did they do this because of the times we’re in? Yes.”

  15. 15.

    EdTheRed

    May 12, 2010 at 9:02 am

    Yeah, it was more like McGwire and Bonds’s 70+ homer seasons. “Oh, wow, no one ever did that before! These guys are historically great!”

    I wonder if the Goldman Sachs folks will trot out the old “I’m not here to talk about the past” line the next time they’re testifying before Congress?

  16. 16.

    cmorenc

    May 12, 2010 at 9:03 am

    I think original rationale upon which HFT was later piggybacked was special traders whose role it was to “make” the market, each within a certain limited realm of stocks – their role was to act as a temporary middleman to smooth out buy and sell transactions, taking some risk of getting caught downside on a stock but being allowed enough of a small time advantage on upside fluctuations to net out what amounted to a small, steady commission. However, their fundamental role here was more analogous to the dealer in a poker game than to a player.

    The real problem with HFT is that it allows big firms like Goldman to BOTH be a de facto dealer AND a player at the same time. OK, so casinos enjoy this sort of position in e.g. blackjack games, but the difference is that in blackjack, the dealer is NOT priviliged to “peek ahead” at his cards before deciding whether to play or bet or not – he must play, draw, or not based on certain inflexibly fixed rules. That’s not true for Goldman’s HFT position. They’re like a dealer who’s allowed to peek ahead into the deck and make side bets on the players hands based on their advance knowledge of the cards coming in the deck. In other words, close to a sure thing.

  17. 17.

    R. Porrofatto

    May 12, 2010 at 9:03 am

    Speaking of high frequency trading, howzabout a teensy transaction tax to slow ’em down a bit and help reduce the deficit?

  18. 18.

    Wag

    May 12, 2010 at 9:19 am

    NEWS FLASH!!!!!

    The New York Yankees today played a perfect game, crushing the Douglas County HS Huskies of Castle Rock CO by the score of 98-0.

    Of course the NYYs win. They’re america’s favorite team.

    Right?

    America’s favorite team wouldn’t cheat, would they?

    Nah….

  19. 19.

    Redhand

    May 12, 2010 at 9:20 am

    Correct me if I’m wrong, but for the Federal bailout, didn’t these bastards recently nearly destroy themselves and our entire economy playing something less than “the Wall Street equivalent of a perfect game of baseball”?

  20. 20.

    Bullsmith

    May 12, 2010 at 9:23 am

    The financial sector has become a parasite that simply skims off a larger chunk of the overall economy each and every year. Used to be you put money in a bank to keep it safe, now you put it there so the bank can steal it, piece by piece.

  21. 21.

    angulimala

    May 12, 2010 at 9:27 am

    They didn’t play a perfect game. They played a rigged game.

    You say ‘Tomato’. I say ‘Giant Vampire Squid’……

  22. 22.

    rickstersherpa

    May 12, 2010 at 9:31 am

    I know we are all singing the same song, but deep in the story I found this quote, but apparently the editor and the reporter wanted to stay on the banksters good side and buried the lead.

    “This is just, as we call it, milking the market and your captive client base.”

    I hope these guys are investing in bodyguards because I think they are going to need them.

  23. 23.

    jurassicpork

    May 12, 2010 at 10:30 am

    Sorry, this was meant for this thread, not the birthday thread. Happy birthday, whoever you are.

    When I read articles like this, I think to myself, “Sweet Jesus, do I hate America.” Except now I’m not keeping it to myself.

  24. 24.

    russell

    May 12, 2010 at 10:43 am

    Here is my tiny contribution to moving the Overton window on the financial sector:

    It’s us vs them.

    That’s not a statement of “class warfare”, it’s just a statement of the plain facts.

    They don’t create enough value to justify what they take out of the productive economy.

    They warp public policy through the sheer amount of money they can throw at the political process.

    They demonstrate no sense of responsibility, whatsoever, to the broader public good, to the economy as a whole, or even to their own clients.

    It’s us vs them, and they bring a lot of juice to the table. We need to assume that they are not acting in good faith and proceed accordingly.

    If you want a billion dollars, create more than a billion dollars in value. Gates did, Buffet does, other folks do. These guys don’t.

    They’ll steal your face and smile at you with it. Fuck’em.

  25. 25.

    MobiusKlein

    May 12, 2010 at 10:43 am

    Now I’m pissed – comparing a legit baseball feat (go A’s!) to a corrupt snakepit like Wall Street.

    But that’s your “`’Liberal New York Times’`” (yes, mega scare quotes)

  26. 26.

    Evinfuilt

    May 12, 2010 at 10:53 am

    @jurassicpork:

    Come now, tell us how you really feel. Don’t hold it back, let it out.

  27. 27.

    Some immigrant guy

    May 12, 2010 at 11:04 am

    Don’t think HFT has much to do with it.

    Pretty simply, when you can effectively borrow for free and liquidity is a given, investment becomes a whole frickin’ lot easier. What the 61-day streak tells you is that the banksters are taking their spread-loot and sprinkling it across their daily pnl to smooth out the crappier days. It’s really not rocket science when you have a guaranteed positive funding spread.

    The Fed policy, in case is isn’t already clear, is to help banks earn their way out of a hole – by throwing free money at them for as long as necessary. The obvious questionn to ask is, if it works for banks, couldn’t it work for the country as a whole?

  28. 28.

    melmoth

    May 12, 2010 at 11:06 am

    @4tehlulz:

    Not when you’re so used to it.

  29. 29.

    Maude

    May 12, 2010 at 11:08 am

    It wasn’t a fat thumb that caused the mini panic last Thursday.
    Someone is going to have a hard time over this.

  30. 30.

    Waynski

    May 12, 2010 at 11:09 am

    When you borrow from the government at 0% and lend it back to them by buying Treasurys at 5%, you could make Trig Palin the CEO of Citibank and still have a winning quarter. If the Fed hadn’t being holding these guys up since fall 08, they’d all be sitting around their Connecticut mansions wondering how it all went wrong, just like Dick Fucking Fuld. The TARP was chump change compared to the Fed actions.

  31. 31.

    IronyAbounds

    May 12, 2010 at 11:17 am

    @Maude: My hope is that someone is going to DO hard time over this, but then, I’m a Bills’ fan and every year I hope they will win a Super Bowl. The odds are way better the Bills will accomplish that than someone even getting their hand slapped over the market manipulation.

  32. 32.

    jl

    May 12, 2010 at 11:22 am

    We don’t make things (or provide services) in the US anymore, we make deals.

    The Big Banks Really Own it All
    mcjoan, Daily Kos
    Wed May 12, 2010
    http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2010/5/12/865596/-The-Big-Banks-Really-Own-it-All

    The Secret of the Banks’ Success
    Paul Krugman, NY Times blog
    April 14, 2010
    http://krugman.blogs.nytimes.com/2010/04/14/the-secret-of-the-banks-success/

    I’ve been skeptical of people warning about another bubble and financial panic in the making, perhaps because the prospect was too awful to contemplate seriously.

    But now I am having my doubts.

    As you see from Krugman blog entry from earlier this year, profits in US are again dominated by financial firms. No one has figured out what service they provide that can honestly account for so much of the total domestic profitability in the US. So, what is it? Is it government giving them free money and they can buy poltical influence that allows them to make deals, and profit off from transactions of questionable value?

  33. 33.

    dollared

    May 12, 2010 at 1:20 pm

    Classic. Remember, these guys report on the Yankees over at their sports page. They think all games are rigged and the New York guys always win.

    Nevertheless, completely amazing how these guys can turn direct, incontrovertible proof of corruption into an exciting story of sports heroism.

    All Praise to the Narrative!

  34. 34.

    Ruckus

    May 12, 2010 at 1:51 pm

    @jl:
    Is it government giving them free money and they can buy poltical influence that allows them to make deals, and profit off from transactions of questionable value?

    You really weren’t looking for an answer, just conformation, right?

    Yes. SATSQ

  35. 35.

    jl

    May 12, 2010 at 3:28 pm

    @Ruckus: No, that was a serious question, and I was not looking for confirmation.

    I was pointing out that the combination of record profitable trading days, and climbing proportion of domestic profits by financial industry, and continued success of fianncial lobbying effort was cause for concern, not just the first of those three, which Cole seemed to suggest in his post.

    I myself, in my comment, pointed out my skepticism about continued bubble like behavior in the financial sector, until I heard today’s news about record profitable trading days and remembered Krugman’s post.

    So, were you asking a serious question, or making a cheap point?

  36. 36.

    Ruckus

    May 12, 2010 at 4:06 pm

    @jl:
    Probably both.

    What I’d like to know is what are the remedies? Because for me this is way past concern. I was somewhat going for snark, not directed at you but at the situation.
    If anyone has workable theories, is there any way they can be applied in the current political environment? I think the answer to that is no. I’d like to be wildly surprised. What I’m expecting is flowery laws that sound good but have the typical loopholes you could drive a corrupt financial system through. Right now the money has all the power and the power has all the money. Please tell me how that’s going to change whatsoever without major disruption far greater than the last 2-3 years.
    Snark is all I have left, but I’ll try to be better.

  37. 37.

    DMD

    May 13, 2010 at 3:32 pm

    Chris Matthews cited this story, approvingly, on Hardball last night.

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