I thought this was the key passage of Nate Silver’s recent magnum opus on Palin’s chances:
Second, I would look toward whom Ms. Palin is hiring as her support staff. A presidential campaign is a huge endeavor, comparable to a medium-sized business. Perhaps, because of her facility in commanding attention, Ms. Palin requires less assistance than a typical candidate might. Perhaps, because she sometimes seems to have an impatience for details and has not run for president before, she requires more. But all presidential candidates need some help: those candidates, like the Republican Fred Thompson, who have become too enamored with the notion of running a “viral”, nontraditional campaign from the confines of their living rooms have usually failed miserably. Is she hiring good pollsters, media strategists, fundraisers, consultants, logisticians, and advertising gurus? If so, she may still be as likely as anyone to prevail from a large, but fairly weak, Republican field. If not, her campaign, if she decides to run one, is liable to be a bust.
Palin’s fundamental problem is that she’s too proud of her ignorance, and too fractious, to build a competent staff and take their advice. I doubt that this will change, assuming that she had something to do with the decision of one of her minions to hire a Wasilla dentist to run his Congressional staff. (via TPM)