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You are here: Home / Politics / Politicans / David Brooks Giving A Seminar At The Aspen Institute / CBO refudiates glibertarian spokesmodel

CBO refudiates glibertarian spokesmodel

by DougJ|  April 5, 20118:00 pm| 34 Comments

This post is in: David Brooks Giving A Seminar At The Aspen Institute, Ever Get The Feeling You've Been Cheated?

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Don’t suppose this will mean much to the fanbois:

The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office’s initial analysis of the House GOP budget released today by Rep. Paul Ryan (R-WI) is filled with nuggets of bad news for Republicans.

In addition to acknowledging that seniors, disabled and elderly people would be hit with much higher out-of-pocket health care costs, the CBO finds that by the end of the 10-year budget window, public debt will actually be higher than it would be if the GOP just did nothing.

Under the so-called “extended baseline scenario” — a.k.a. projections based on current law — debt held by the public will grow to 67 percent of GDP by 2022. Under the GOP plan, public debt would reach 70 percent of GDP in the same window.

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34Comments

  1. 1.

    JPL

    April 5, 2011 at 8:02 pm

    The MSM won’t cover it so it didn’t happen. Ryan is a serious person.

  2. 2.

    freelancer

    April 5, 2011 at 8:02 pm

    In addition to acknowledging that seniors, disabled and elderly people would be hit with much higher out-of-pocket health care costs, the CBO finds that by the end of the 10-year budget window, public debt will actually be higher than it would be if the GOP just did nothing.

    I love you.

  3. 3.

    General Stuck

    April 5, 2011 at 8:03 pm

    Don’t suppose this will mean much to the fanbois:

    Oh no. They are running on high octane ideological fuel with the afterburners wide open on the clown jet. Just hope they brought their parachutes along, or at least a voucher for them.

  4. 4.

    John Cole

    April 5, 2011 at 8:03 pm

    I already linked this…

  5. 5.

    arguingwithsignposts

    April 5, 2011 at 8:04 pm

    @freelancer:

    public debt will actually be higher than it would be if the GOP just did nothing.

    This is a truism if ever there was one, regardless of the issue.

  6. 6.

    Comrade DougJ

    April 5, 2011 at 8:05 pm

    @John Cole:

    Yeah, but did you call Ryan a glibertarian spokesmodel? ;)

  7. 7.

    BGinCHI

    April 5, 2011 at 8:10 pm

    Come on, Doug, that’s the price of doing business.

    Amirite?

  8. 8.

    JPL

    April 5, 2011 at 8:11 pm

    @Comrade DougJ: this is for both of you…Count the times that MSM mentions the CBO report in the next 24 hours.

  9. 9.

    zach

    April 5, 2011 at 8:11 pm

    Additionally, the CBO score assumes revenues will reach 19% GDP under Ryan’s proposed tax reforms (they won’t) and is stingy with savings from Obamacare. I think the CBO traditionally underestimates GDP growth as well; this will underestimate the drop in revenues associated with widening the tax base (ie cutting taxes for the wealthy, who tend to pay more when GDP growth is strong).

  10. 10.

    JPL

    April 5, 2011 at 8:16 pm

    It really doesn’t matter if every front page poster on Balloon Juice mentions the CBO score because MSM won’t. Ryan is a serious, courageous, truthful person and that is what they want you to believe.

  11. 11.

    agrippa

    April 5, 2011 at 8:19 pm

    Sullivan ? His ability to discriminate intelligently runs the gamut from “A” to “B”.

    Ryan is playing. That budget of is an affectation.

    Ryan is as morally and intellectually bankrupt as Sullivan.

  12. 12.

    BGinCHI

    April 5, 2011 at 8:21 pm

    @JPL: Isn’t it amazing that the GOP gets huge props and tons of coverage for being “serious”?

    Is that the bar?

    Is it an admissions that they are so lackluster or pathetic that if they could just get serious it would all come right?

    Were they joking before? What was funny about it?

    Unbelievable.

  13. 13.

    JPL

    April 5, 2011 at 8:24 pm

    @BGinCHI: Could it be that MSM is owned by corporate America.

  14. 14.

    Garrigus Carraig

    April 5, 2011 at 8:33 pm

    Am I banned? I don’t see my post.

  15. 15.

    Walker

    April 5, 2011 at 8:33 pm

    What is “redudiates”? Is that like refudiates? Except that “dude, you have been redudiated”.

  16. 16.

    General Stuck

    April 5, 2011 at 8:33 pm

    And Obama apparently repudiates the House Wingnuts.

    “We’ve made clear that we’re fighting for the largest spending cuts possible,” Boehner said. “And we’re talking about real spending cuts here, no smoke and mirrors. It was also made clear that there was never an agreement of $33 billion, that we’re going to continue the fight for, again, the largest cuts possible. And we’re not going to allow the Senate or the White House to put us in a box where we have to make a choice between two bad options: cutting a bad deal this week in order to keep the government open or allow the government to shut down due to Senate inaction.”

    House Majority Leader Eric Cantor already accused the White House Tuesday of setting up a shutdown by rejecting a short-term deal that would slash $12 billion and keep the government running for another week.

    “The White House has indicated now that they are already rejecting that notion,” Cantor said of the proposal, “raising the risk for a government shutdown.”

    Looks like obama called their bluff and showed them the door, and the bold by me seems maybe Boehner leaving himself and the wingers a little wiggle room. Otherwise, an epic whine from Boehner.

  17. 17.

    Comrade Luke

    April 5, 2011 at 8:37 pm

    It’s amazing to me how worthless the current crop of Republicans are: Boehner, Cantor, Ryan, Paul, Bachmann.

    These are the so-called leaders of the party? How in the sweet holy fuck are they driving the conversation? I doubt they can drive themselves to work.

  18. 18.

    ben

    April 5, 2011 at 8:49 pm

    Shooting down Ryan really shouldn’t take anyone more than, say, five minutes on Google. As Krugman has pointed out numerous times, his plan is basically mandatory Medicare Advantage, the private insurance option for current Medicare beneficiaries. Medicare Advantage costs currently run about 109% of the cost of traditional Medicare. So, switching everyone over today to voucherized Medicare would probably raise Medicare costs by 9% – i.e., no savings.

    What would be funny if it weren’t sad is that I’ve been around Dems for a long time, and I honestly think that if this were a good idea, Dems would have supported it long ago. The fact is that it’s a terrible idea, that Medicare Advantage was itself only reluctantly accepted to appease GOP interests and has proven itself the money sink it was predicted to be, and that the Dems were right all along to reject voucherizing Medicare. It’s not that complicated a story, unless you’re desperately looking for someone to bestow the “serious adult” title on in the GOP.

  19. 19.

    TaMara (BHF)

    April 5, 2011 at 8:54 pm

    So glad we’ve got those serious republicans doing serious work in the gov’t, making sure the debt will continue to be high in 2022, so they have something to run on…again.

  20. 20.

    Comrade DougJ

    April 5, 2011 at 8:55 pm

    @Walker:

    Sorry, a typo.

  21. 21.

    Calouste

    April 5, 2011 at 9:01 pm

    @efgoldman:

    Well, at least they are not actively apologizing for Nazis like nazi-apologist Pat Buchanan does. Boehner might be seen with candidates who like to dress up in traitor Nazi uniforms, but Republicans like them some traitors. Maybe Cantor being there keeps things slightly in check.

    So if Nazi-apologist Pat Buchanan is a soul of reason compared to the clowns, what does that make the clowns?

  22. 22.

    JasonF

    April 5, 2011 at 9:03 pm

    Why does CNN say the opposite of TPM?

    CNN: A CBO analysis says Paul Ryan’s budget proposal would dramatically cut debt.

    My internet connection is acting goofy so I can’t read the letter on TPM. But the fact that they posted the actual CBO letter and CNN didn’t doesn’t predispose me to believe CNN…

  23. 23.

    Steve

    April 5, 2011 at 9:16 pm

    @JasonF: Over the next 10 years, debt would go up. 10 years from now, once they start getting rid of Medicare, of course public debt will start going down because we’re not paying for Medicare any more. So they’re both right, but the takeaway is that aside from getting rid of Medicare, Ryan’s plan does nothing to help the deficit at all.

  24. 24.

    JC

    April 5, 2011 at 9:30 pm

    Obama has to be on the right side of this, correct? I know Krugman gets all doubtful on this, because of the tax cuts for millionaires that Obama signed – I get doubtful too.

    As always, american media is atrocious on this, and psychopathic. We just extended tax cuts for millionaires and billionaires, and yet we are supposed to take this seriously.

    Especially considering the laughable assumptions – less than 3 % unemployment?

  25. 25.

    Maude

    April 5, 2011 at 9:48 pm

    @JC:
    Obama went along with the Bush Tax Cuts to keep the middle class tax cuts and unemployment benfits. He did the right thing.
    He also got DADT which would not have happened if he had stone walled the Repubs on the Bush Tax Cuts. He also got Senate aproval of START.

  26. 26.

    j

    April 5, 2011 at 9:51 pm

    Just curious, can any legal eagles explain what will happen to all those Medicare (Part B) motorized scooters that the teabagger lardasses have been riding around on?

    I mean, they were all paid for by “gummint” Medicare, and are all warranteed under contracts paid for by “da gummint”, so all those warrantees would be invalid (Ha! I made a funny.).

    Did any of the Kock brothers mouthpieces explain this to those bagers?

    Oh hell. They will all be dead within a year due to the bagger manifesto of “no gummint!”. It’s too bad they are too stupid to realize it.

  27. 27.

    Ming

    April 5, 2011 at 10:04 pm

    shouldn’t the Clown Shoes tag be deployed here?

  28. 28.

    Ruckus

    April 5, 2011 at 10:08 pm

    @efgoldman:
    Disagree on buchanan. He was a huge turd then and he hasn’t changed. But he did try to pivot on the religious angle which meant that you didn’t see the crazy as much different than other pious assholes. This group is just fucking crazy and is trying to pivot the world around that roll of dollars that’s stuffed up their asses.

    There seems to be a theme about my prose tonight.

  29. 29.

    ChrisB

    April 5, 2011 at 10:35 pm

    Looking forward to seeing this highlighted on Morning Joe tomorrow.

  30. 30.

    Mark S.

    April 5, 2011 at 10:45 pm

    @JasonF:

    This might explain the problem:

    Ryan’s office asked the CBO to assume that spending for programs other than Medicare, Medicaid and Social Security would be reduced from 12% of GDP currently to 6% by 2022 and 3.5% by 2050.

    Just assume we’ll cut the budget in half in ten years. It could happen.

  31. 31.

    Thomas

    April 5, 2011 at 11:05 pm

    Lost in all the rush of everyone in the media to kiss Paul Ryan’s ass and praise his “courage” for wanting to gut the safety net is that his proposal would last exactly one election cycle in practice. Then Congress would raise the limit of his vouchers and the next thing you know it would end up costing more than what we are doing now.

    Face it rich people. Your taxes will be raised eventually. you’ve done too good a job convincing people the debt is a problem.

  32. 32.

    Morbo

    April 5, 2011 at 11:07 pm

    @Mark S.: Yeah, and we might get unemployment down below 3%. No, seriously, they’re claiming that will happen.

  33. 33.

    Thomas

    April 5, 2011 at 11:16 pm

    @Morbo:
    That’s hilarious. But don’t worry. This is a very serious plan … to pass massive tax cuts for the affluent and leave the disabled and elderly out on the street.

  34. 34.

    Erik Vanderhoff

    April 5, 2011 at 11:41 pm

    Under the so-called “extended baseline scenario” — a.k.a. projections based on current law — debt held by the public will grow to 67 percent of GDP by 2022. Under the GOP plan, public debt would reach 70 percent of GDP in the same window.

    HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA — WHEEZE — HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHA!

    Gotta love those leg-humping-the-rich Republican plutocratic sycophants.

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