I can’t contribute, of course (no money, wrong nationality) but I wish you guys good luck.
5.
Dollared
I’ve spent all I can but please note that a number of organizations have set up phone banks that you can use.
I’m available to give Wisconsin accent training. Hint: talking about “working people,” and talking about education, are good tactics in Wisconsin. The reason why we have a chance to win, despite the literally millions being spent on ads targetted at only about 400,000 voters, is that most Wisconsin people don’t believe in the lottery dream. They get educated and they work.
Here’s my understanding of recent polling:
Jen Shilling (D) is well ahead of Dan Kapanke (R ) in LaCrosse
Jess King (D) has a small lead over Randy “Bed” Hopper (R ) in Fond du Lac/Oshkosh
Fred Clark (D) has a slight lead over Luther Olsen (R ) in the middle of the state
Nancy Nussbaum (D) is slightly behind Robert Cowles (R ) in Green Bay
Shelly Moore (D) is somewhat behind Sheila Harsdorf (R ) in the part of the state that’s basically Twin Cities suburbs
Sandy Pasch (D) is somewhat behind Alberta “Not My” Darling (R ) in the northern Milwaukee suburbs according to one poll, but Pasch is a point ahead in another poll
There’s scuttlebutt that even in races where the Dem is officially behind the real numbers are closer (particularly the Pasch/Darling race, which includes a small sliver of the city of Milwaukee that votes heavily Democratic and generally gets undersampled). I’m in the media market for Clark and Olsen, and the TV ads are in heavy rotation (and the Olsen ads have a distinct air of desperation). The enthusiasm is definitely higher on the Democratic end.
For the races where Democrats are defending seats, I don’t think there’s been polling completed since the Republican primaries last week. However, the candidates who won are pretty weak.
Jim Holperin (D) will face Kim Simac (R ) in the northeast. She’s a Tea Partier, tax evader, and general nutcase. She wrote a children’s book about how great the 2nd amendment is, but the NRA has still endorsed Holperin.
Bob Wirch (D) will face Jonathan Steitz (R ) in Kenosha. He’s a lawyer who commutes to Chicago and doesn’t seem to want to talk much about himself. Kenosha can be a swing district, but it tends to prefer Democrats (Paul Ryan actually seems to have a lot of trouble there).
8.
Felanius Kootea
Just contributed $50 which is all I can spare right now.
9.
VidaLoca
What kideni said.
To recap what many of you may already know, we need to hold the two Democratic seats under challenge (we already won in another of the challenge districts on July 19) and win at least three of the six Republican seats under challenge (listed at the top of kideni’s comment) to flip the Senate. We’re looking good in the first two of these 6 races, the remaining four are dead heats.
In the Pasch/Darling campaingn, a BIG “drag-n-drive” effort is being made to get voters in the mostly low-income and working-class wards in the NW corner out to vote early. This seems to be being met with good success. There are a lot of people working on this campaign, and a lot of momentum behind Pasch at the moment with the election just 11 days away.
These four races will all probably be decided by a few hundred votes or less each. It is just that close. So please know that the money and the time you’re spending (and your positive thoughts as well of course!) are both appreciated, and capable of making a crucial difference.
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arguingwithsignposts
Any update on how things are going in badgerland?
Ol' Dirty DougJ
A ton of races coming up on August 9. Right now, it looks like Dems will pick up two seats…the aim is to wing three.
WeeBey
… I’ve got the time.
Amir_Khalid
I can’t contribute, of course (no money, wrong nationality) but I wish you guys good luck.
Dollared
I’ve spent all I can but please note that a number of organizations have set up phone banks that you can use.
I’m available to give Wisconsin accent training. Hint: talking about “working people,” and talking about education, are good tactics in Wisconsin. The reason why we have a chance to win, despite the literally millions being spent on ads targetted at only about 400,000 voters, is that most Wisconsin people don’t believe in the lottery dream. They get educated and they work.
Dollared
Phone bank link:
http://www.ssdc-wi.org/content/virtual-phone-bank
kideni
Here’s my understanding of recent polling:
Jen Shilling (D) is well ahead of Dan Kapanke (R ) in LaCrosse
Jess King (D) has a small lead over Randy “Bed” Hopper (R ) in Fond du Lac/Oshkosh
Fred Clark (D) has a slight lead over Luther Olsen (R ) in the middle of the state
Nancy Nussbaum (D) is slightly behind Robert Cowles (R ) in Green Bay
Shelly Moore (D) is somewhat behind Sheila Harsdorf (R ) in the part of the state that’s basically Twin Cities suburbs
Sandy Pasch (D) is somewhat behind Alberta “Not My” Darling (R ) in the northern Milwaukee suburbs according to one poll, but Pasch is a point ahead in another poll
There’s scuttlebutt that even in races where the Dem is officially behind the real numbers are closer (particularly the Pasch/Darling race, which includes a small sliver of the city of Milwaukee that votes heavily Democratic and generally gets undersampled). I’m in the media market for Clark and Olsen, and the TV ads are in heavy rotation (and the Olsen ads have a distinct air of desperation). The enthusiasm is definitely higher on the Democratic end.
For the races where Democrats are defending seats, I don’t think there’s been polling completed since the Republican primaries last week. However, the candidates who won are pretty weak.
Jim Holperin (D) will face Kim Simac (R ) in the northeast. She’s a Tea Partier, tax evader, and general nutcase. She wrote a children’s book about how great the 2nd amendment is, but the NRA has still endorsed Holperin.
Bob Wirch (D) will face Jonathan Steitz (R ) in Kenosha. He’s a lawyer who commutes to Chicago and doesn’t seem to want to talk much about himself. Kenosha can be a swing district, but it tends to prefer Democrats (Paul Ryan actually seems to have a lot of trouble there).
Felanius Kootea
Just contributed $50 which is all I can spare right now.
VidaLoca
What kideni said.
To recap what many of you may already know, we need to hold the two Democratic seats under challenge (we already won in another of the challenge districts on July 19) and win at least three of the six Republican seats under challenge (listed at the top of kideni’s comment) to flip the Senate. We’re looking good in the first two of these 6 races, the remaining four are dead heats.
In the Pasch/Darling campaingn, a BIG “drag-n-drive” effort is being made to get voters in the mostly low-income and working-class wards in the NW corner out to vote early. This seems to be being met with good success. There are a lot of people working on this campaign, and a lot of momentum behind Pasch at the moment with the election just 11 days away.
These four races will all probably be decided by a few hundred votes or less each. It is just that close. So please know that the money and the time you’re spending (and your positive thoughts as well of course!) are both appreciated, and capable of making a crucial difference.