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You are here: Home / Don’t you know the crime rate’s going up up up up up?

Don’t you know the crime rate’s going up up up up up?

by DougJ|  September 18, 201110:21 am| 76 Comments

This post is in: I Reject Your Reality and Substitute My Own

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The Obama crime wave continues (via):

Violent crime in the United States continues to drop significantly despite the difficult economic environment, according to new statistics released Friday by the Justice Department.

According to the Crime Victimization Survey released annually by the Bureau of Justice Statistics, in 2010 violent crimes dropped about 13% among U.S. residents ages 12 or older.

I’m sure polls will show that people think the opposite.

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76Comments

  1. 1.

    Mino

    September 18, 2011 at 10:24 am

    A)Our population is too old to get in trouble.
    Or
    B)We have them all locked up, so we’re OK until we can’t affort $40,00+ a year to lock them up.

  2. 2.

    Xenos

    September 18, 2011 at 10:25 am

    For two years the odious, odious drudgereport has been reporting a very bogus wave of black-on-white violent crime. I noticed some trolls picking up on this over the last few weeks, in response to the reported incidents at the Wisconsin State Fair.

    Has there been any reporting on this drudged up non-issue?

  3. 3.

    capt

    September 18, 2011 at 10:26 am

    So crime is up?

    (we are living in bass ackwards world where radicals are conservative and patriots want to destroy the country)

    :)

  4. 4.

    Mino

    September 18, 2011 at 10:29 am

    And why isn’t white-collar economic crime included in those statistics. That sure as hell would skew the numbers.

  5. 5.

    lawguy

    September 18, 2011 at 10:35 am

    This is bad news for my business.

  6. 6.

    cmorenc

    September 18, 2011 at 10:36 am

    What doesn’t seem to change very much is the relative composition of arrested perps (or their ahem…general sort of appearance) in various metro areas. For example, see the array of recent arrests/mug photos for Wake/Durham Counties, NC: (Raleigh/Durham area)

    There’s also the tabloid print/television media to fan awareness of sensational crimes, e.g. the nauseous Nancy Grace.

  7. 7.

    Baud

    September 18, 2011 at 10:36 am

    Clearly, criminals are running rampant now that Obama has taken away all of our guns.

  8. 8.

    Tim

    September 18, 2011 at 10:39 am

    And guns continue to sell well. There are more guns than ever in the hands of private citizens. 49 states allow concealed carry in some form or another now. (Wisconsin being the latest.)

    Crime rates, a function of the availability of guns or the availability of criminals?

  9. 9.

    PeakVT

    September 18, 2011 at 10:41 am

    Creating fear attracts eyeballs, which can be sold to advertisers.

  10. 10.

    Keith

    September 18, 2011 at 10:42 am

    I’m sure polls will show that people think the opposite.

    Well, yeah, especially when Drudge – the nexus of obscure stories-gone-mainstream – posts headlines of “packs” of minorities attacking white people seemingly on a regular basis.

  11. 11.

    El Cid

    September 18, 2011 at 10:42 am

    The problem with this country is all the higher crime rates and the high inflation.

  12. 12.

    Baud

    September 18, 2011 at 10:45 am

    You know what would lower the crime rate? Tax cuts.

  13. 13.

    sparky

    September 18, 2011 at 11:02 am

    a bit of whistling past the graveyard, perhaps–

    1. violent felonies are on the rise, significantly, in NYC.

    2. also, too, this:

    New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg warned yesterday if the national jobs crisis doesn’t end soon, the United States would see riots in the streets. “We have a lot of kids graduating college, can’t find jobs,” Bloomberg said on his radio show. “That’s what happened in Cairo. That’s what happened in Madrid. You don’t want those kinds of riots here.”

    personally, i rather doubt this given the american public’s apparent happiness with a boot on its neck, but sometimes a spark sets off a conflagration.

  14. 14.

    Mark S.

    September 18, 2011 at 11:02 am

    To live in this town you must be tough tough tough tough tough tough tough

  15. 15.

    Mark S.

    September 18, 2011 at 11:06 am

    I still think the crime rate is mostly a demographics thing.

  16. 16.

    Temporarily Max McGee (soon enough to be Andy K again)

    September 18, 2011 at 11:09 am

    I see what ya did there, Doug.

    According to the Crime Victimization Survey released annually by the Bureau of Justice Statistics, in 2010 violent crimes dropped about 13% among U.S. residents ages 12 or older.

    [emphasis added]

    Everyone knows we’re being overrun by gangs of swarthy 9-year olds.

  17. 17.

    MonkeyBoy

    September 18, 2011 at 11:10 am

    I am often amused by righttards who will counter such crime info by emphasizing the crime caused by illegal immigrants.

    However the serious crime rate among illegals is much less than citizens, mainly because illegals know to not do things that would get them noticed and deported.

    This point is then pivoted how to entering the US or using a fake SSN is a crime, all illegals are criminals, and theft, murder, and rape is the propensity of known criminals.

  18. 18.

    Omnes Omnibus

    September 18, 2011 at 11:12 am

    @MonkeyBoy: True, also too, most pickpockets eventually turn to mass murder. You can look it up.

  19. 19.

    mk3872

    September 18, 2011 at 11:13 am

    Of course, I mean, without executing every 10th prisoner, like they do in Texas, the crime rate is DEFINITELY going to go up!

  20. 20.

    Villago Delenda Est

    September 18, 2011 at 11:15 am

    The local TV news assures me that crime is running rampant in my community.

  21. 21.

    Temporarily Max McGee (soon enough to be Andy K again)

    September 18, 2011 at 11:19 am

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    I just happened to get some proof of the pickpocketing epidemic with my phone.

    Shitty phone, but it’s got a surprisingly good camera.

  22. 22.

    OzoneR

    September 18, 2011 at 11:25 am

    Cognitive Dissonance, how does that work?

  23. 23.

    OzoneR

    September 18, 2011 at 11:27 am

    @sparky:

    violent felonies are on the rise, significantly, in NYC.

    no they’re actually not, they’re down in most parts of the city, it just so happens that there’s been a string of high profile violent crimes in recent weeks.

  24. 24.

    Omnes Omnibus

    September 18, 2011 at 11:34 am

    @Temporarily Max McGee (soon enough to be Andy K again): Stunningly good camera. Speaking of stunningly good, are you ready for the game?

  25. 25.

    A Mom Anon

    September 18, 2011 at 11:34 am

    Sigh. Our media sucks. If you went by what you see on the local news alone, you’d be scared to walk to the end of the driveway to get the mail. Which I suppose is part of the idea,keep people scared of each other.

    I’d love to see someone do those same sorts of studies on white collar crime. Of course half the shit these fucks do anymore is legal thanks to a bought and paid for legislative branch so I don’t know if it would matter really.

    It’s hard not to get discouraged sometimes.

  26. 26.

    Raven (formerly stuckinred)

    September 18, 2011 at 11:39 am

    @Omnes Omnibus: Bear Down!

  27. 27.

    Temporarily Max McGee (soon enough to be Andy K again)

    September 18, 2011 at 11:41 am

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    Just about. Fueling up now, then showering, dressing and heading to the Packers bar.

  28. 28.

    Omnes Omnibus

    September 18, 2011 at 11:41 am

    @Raven (formerly stuckinred): Wrong game.

  29. 29.

    mikej

    September 18, 2011 at 11:44 am

    @Xenos: Roy Edroso has been doing good work on this all summer.

  30. 30.

    barath

    September 18, 2011 at 11:50 am

    Despite all the stupid stuff Moore has said recently (and maybe in general), this part of Bowling from Columbine was a great dissection of why we misperceive crime – a fear-oriented media:

    http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=W79Zn_V2JUk&t=6m0s

  31. 31.

    PurpleGirl

    September 18, 2011 at 11:55 am

    @cmorenc:

    There’s also the tabloid print/television media to fan awareness of sensational crimes, e.g. the nauseous Nancy Grace.

    I agree that she and others like her are obnoxious but I think it also partially because of all the true crime shows on cable TV. She is on a news channel. But there are channels that are devoted to true crime 24/7/365 and even National Geographic has crime shows. Hour-long shows on murders, shows about criminals almost getting away with a crime, border/drug wars, women behind bars, women murderers, people with spouses in prison, gangs, on and on and on. Of course it seems like crime is up.

  32. 32.

    wasabi gasp

    September 18, 2011 at 12:10 pm

    You can report criminals or you can eat criminals. You can’t do both.

  33. 33.

    Loneoak

    September 18, 2011 at 12:10 pm

    Hey man, crime is WAY up. The crime of stealing mah freedoms. I used to have freedoms and now I don’t.

  34. 34.

    Omnes Omnibus

    September 18, 2011 at 12:11 pm

    @Loneoak: Did you look under the couch?

  35. 35.

    mechanical jacobin

    September 18, 2011 at 12:13 pm

    What’s interesting about that graph is that when the crime rate was falling during the 90s, the public recognized that trend, presumably because people actually felt safer (and more economically secure). Then we hit 2001. The crime rate has kept falling since then, but after 9/11 we only seem capable of becoming more scared.

  36. 36.

    Loneoak

    September 18, 2011 at 12:14 pm

    Does anyone stream sports via dubious channels? Got recommendations for where I might find the Packers game online?

    Goddamned Bay Area football. I hate you.

  37. 37.

    Loneoak

    September 18, 2011 at 12:15 pm

    @Loneoak:

    Yeah, and all I found was two years worth of Cheetoe dust.

  38. 38.

    tomvox1

    September 18, 2011 at 12:15 pm

    @Mino:

    Probably because white collar crime is not considered a moral failing by the David Brookses/Ross Douthats of the world.
    For example, per their worldview I’m sure this UBS rogue trader was just a rugged Galtian individualist who despised the government but made one or two poor decisions on his way to siphoning 2.3 billion from the company. No true sin there, right Bobo/Chunky Bobo? Not at all like the sin of expecting the government to protect us from destitution or anything…

  39. 39.

    Omnes Omnibus

    September 18, 2011 at 12:19 pm

    @Loneoak: Id did it once last year during an outage at the Madison Fox affiliate. It worked reasonable well. Unfortunately, I have no idea where I found the link. Check the Packers.com site, they might have something.

    ETA: Checkout this and see if any of it works.

  40. 40.

    Mino

    September 18, 2011 at 12:23 pm

    @tomvox1: And when a (person) bank steals a home, totally not the same as a thief, who steals the silver. If you’re a made-up person, how can you go to jail?

    Rob them with a pencil, not a gun, and you never get in trouble.

  41. 41.

    Omnes Omnibus

    September 18, 2011 at 12:24 pm

    @Loneoak: I tried to link a thread at a packer fansite for you, but it got moderatededed.

    Look up PackerChatters dot com and do a search with your question.

  42. 42.

    lacp

    September 18, 2011 at 12:26 pm

    Hey, you go with the criminals you have, not the ones you wish you had.

  43. 43.

    Mike in NC

    September 18, 2011 at 12:30 pm

    I’m sure polls FOX News will show that people think the opposite.

    Fixed.

    Clearly what this country REALLY needs are more guns, more cops, and more prisons.

  44. 44.

    YellowJournalism

    September 18, 2011 at 12:31 pm

    I’ve heard this excuse on the radio and in conversations with wingnuts and the perpetually scared: The crime rate appears to have gone down because people are too scared to report it.

    I’ve also heard the excuse that the overall population boom due to all the illegals screws with the numbers. That one made my jaw drop.

  45. 45.

    Omnes Omnibus

    September 18, 2011 at 12:34 pm

    @YellowJournalism: Okay, per this view, why are people to scared to report it? They live in neighborhoods where retaliation will happen? The cops are corrupt? Obama did something? Sun spots?

  46. 46.

    Arclite

    September 18, 2011 at 12:46 pm

    Crime is down 40% over the past two decades while reporting on crime is up 300%. That’s why.

  47. 47.

    a hip hop artist from Idaho (fka Bella Q)

    September 18, 2011 at 12:49 pm

    @Omnes Omnibus: All of the above, of course. Duh. Though mostly, it’s Obama’s fault (he’s near you know).

  48. 48.

    OzoneR

    September 18, 2011 at 12:54 pm

    @YellowJournalism:

    The crime rate appears to have gone down because people are too scared to report it.

    ?!?!?!?!

    How do you NOT report a murder or a robbery?

  49. 49.

    Mino

    September 18, 2011 at 1:03 pm

    @OzoneR: Unless you have insurance, a lot of folks don’t report burglaries here in SA.
    The police will tell you that unless your stuff is tagged, it will be at the next fleamarket and cops can’t do squat.

  50. 50.

    Citizen_X

    September 18, 2011 at 1:04 pm

    @YellowJournalism:

    I’ve heard this excuse on the radio and in conversations with wingnuts and the perpetually scared: The crime rate appears to have gone down because people are too scared to report it.

    Then…by what magical means do they know that it’s actually gone up?

  51. 51.

    YellowJournalism

    September 18, 2011 at 1:17 pm

    Omnes: Retaliation seems to be the favorite reasoning. It’s usually accompanied with some vile discussion about black/Asian/Latino gangs terrorizing middle class neighborhoods. Corrupt or inept cops are the second favorite reason. I think sun spots would make more sense.

  52. 52.

    RinaX

    September 18, 2011 at 1:24 pm

    @PurpleGirl:

    I’m an admitted addict of many of the shows on Investigation Discovery, Snapped on Oxygen, and still curse TruTV from turning from true crime to the 24/7 pawn shows that that seem to show now, and I’ve always recognized that crime definitely isn’t on the level that I’d expect it to be, considering that many in my community have definitely been hit hard by this recession. Then again, I grew up in a high-crime area in the 90’s when shit was really popping off. Also, many of these shows seem to favor white men/women killing their spouses/lovers/children, particularly rich ones, so it’s not like they’re promoting this “OMG the OTHERS are coming for your womenz!” mentality, more “People can be fucked up sometimes, amirite?”.

    I’d slit my own throat before ever watching Nancy Grace or her ilk voluntarily, though. Hell with that.

  53. 53.

    Mino

    September 18, 2011 at 1:24 pm

    @YellowJournalism: Wonder if they get their plots from pulp novels?

  54. 54.

    Northeast Elizabeth

    September 18, 2011 at 1:43 pm

    Tough drug laws, stiff mandatory sentences, zealous local law enforcement, plenty of Republican governors, the fact that Obama WASN’T allowed to push for gun control — of course crime is down. Under President Perry, the rate will go to 0%.

  55. 55.

    Southern Beale

    September 18, 2011 at 2:13 pm

    I’m sure polls will show that people think the opposite.

    I’m sure some right wing blogger will say the Obama government has changed how the statistics are calculated or some such nonsense.

  56. 56.

    Argive

    September 18, 2011 at 2:15 pm

    Honestly, I think it’s fascinating that the over-incarceration in this country has gotten so bad that even hardcore douchelords like Bill Bennett and Grover Norquist have started to speak up about it. I always thought it was fascinating that conservatives always loved to talk about not spending money if it didn’t produce an effective result, but at the same time had no problem whatsoever with shoehorning non-violent offenders into jail on 2 year mandatory minimums. Now, while I do think that the Right on Crime movement is great, I still won’t trust these bastards until they flat out admit that it is morally wrong to do shit like incarcerate a 14 year old kid for simple assault.

    @Southern Beale:

    HAVEN’T YOU SEEN TEH WIRE ALL THOSE NUMBERS ARE FAKE LALALALALALALALA I CAN’T HEAR YOU

  57. 57.

    Argive

    September 18, 2011 at 2:26 pm

    Whoops, that should be 25 year mandatory minimums. Curse you, fingers!

  58. 58.

    PurpleGirl

    September 18, 2011 at 2:31 pm

    @RinaX: I watch some of those shows too. But then you have the ones on border/drug wars, gangs and inside prisons that I think really play of people’s fears. YMMV

  59. 59.

    Short Bus Bully

    September 18, 2011 at 2:45 pm

    There is a black man in the White House, therefore the crime rate must go up.

    The crime rate is going down.

    does.not.compute.

    /wingnut

  60. 60.

    Kelly

    September 18, 2011 at 3:21 pm

    Here in Canada our Conservative government is building new penitentiaries. While our crime rate is falling, they say that “unreported” crime is on the increase. Apparently we need more room to house these “unreported” criminals.

  61. 61.

    Nutella

    September 18, 2011 at 3:22 pm

    Speaking of Obama:

    President Obama on Monday will call for a new minimum tax rate for individuals making more than $1 million a year to ensure that they pay at least the same percentage of their earnings as middle-income taxpayers, according to administration officials.

    It won’t pass this congress but it’s a good way to emphasize the point that Warren Buffet pays a lower tax percent on his income than his secretary does.

    via Steve M

  62. 62.

    Chris

    September 18, 2011 at 3:23 pm

    Another case of what the American people “know” and what reality says not measuring up quite the way the American people expect.

    @MonkeyBoy:

    However the serious crime rate among illegals is much less than citizens, mainly because illegals know to not do things that would get them noticed and deported.

    How about that…

  63. 63.

    AA+ Bonds

    September 18, 2011 at 3:38 pm

    Somewhat related: expect to see an escalation of the narrative that labor unions are violent criminal gangs. Get out in front of it; start talking up unions now.

  64. 64.

    Mr Stagger Lee

    September 18, 2011 at 3:40 pm

    In the Great Depression of 2011, Brother can you spare a crime?

  65. 65.

    Chris

    September 18, 2011 at 3:51 pm

    @mechanical jacobin:

    What’s interesting about that graph is that when the crime rate was falling during the 90s, the public recognized that trend, presumably because people actually felt safer (and more economically secure). Then we hit 2001. The crime rate has kept falling since then, but after 9/11 we only seem capable of becoming more scared.

    The crime rate falling the 1990s coincided with the economy getting better, and the U.S. becoming the undisputed Master Of The World post-Soviet collapse (or so we thought). Things were looking up all over.

    Whereas the 2000s coincided with things going down the drain both economically and in terms of foreign policy. Actual crime may not be back, but the feeling of insecurity and the notion that society’s falling apart is. It makes sense that scared people would project that sentiment even onto the things that are still working. “Well, America’s going to hell in a handbasket, crime must be going up.”

  66. 66.

    OzoneR

    September 18, 2011 at 4:33 pm

    @Nutella:

    It won’t pass this congress but it’s a good way to emphasize the point that Warren Buffet pays a lower tax percent on his income than his secretary does.

    A message that will be completely lost when the left bitches “it’s just words, not actions”

  67. 67.

    OzoneR

    September 18, 2011 at 4:35 pm

    @Mino: In New York, there’s really no such thing as “no insurance”

  68. 68.

    Temporarily Max McGee (soon enough to be Andy K again)

    September 18, 2011 at 5:18 pm

    @Chris:

    Thing is, the violent crime rate started going down steadily in the mid-’80s. The rise and fall of the violent crime track almost exactly with the baby boomers passing through the age group where people are most likely to commit crimes. Thing is, it hasn’t tracked the same way with gen x and gen y- we committed crimes at a much lower rate.

  69. 69.

    mclaren

    September 18, 2011 at 5:49 pm

    There’s now a roiling debate among sociologists and law enforcement people as to exactly why the crime rate has plummeted in America. But there’s no question it has, and there’s absolutely no question whatsoever that the crime rate started plunging precipitously in the early 1990s. Moreover, the crime rate has dropped even faster in just the last few years.

    See America’s serious crime rate is plunging, but why?

    Also see Explaining the American and Canadian crime drop in the 1990s.

    The fact that the crime rate has dropped in both Canada and the U.S. makes it especially puzzling. If it were just America, you might be able to come up with some explanation involving American social policy or gun policy or crime policy. But Canada has a radically different social safety net, vastly more restrictive gun policy, and a very different crime policy…yet we see the same drastic drop in crime in Canada that we see in America.

  70. 70.

    RinaX

    September 18, 2011 at 6:08 pm

    @PurpleGirl:

    Oh, well, I don’t watch the jail or gang shows. They depress me vs sending me into a panic about crime in general, so I guess you do have to be wired to fear the OTHERS coming for you to let them have that sort of effect.

  71. 71.

    Dr. Psycho

    September 18, 2011 at 6:28 pm

    @Southern Beale: Well, he did, after all, change how the cost of the wars was calculated — you know, putting it actually on the books….

  72. 72.

    gocart mozart

    September 18, 2011 at 7:28 pm

    @Dr. Psycho:
    This. He put the cost of the wars on the books his first day in office and poof! a wingnut talking point was born “Obama doubled our deficit. OMG trillion dollar deficits.” Honesty pfft. What the hell was he thinking?

  73. 73.

    DougW

    September 18, 2011 at 9:11 pm

    @Raven (formerly stuckinred): Bear down Arizona!

  74. 74.

    Triassic Sands

    September 19, 2011 at 1:09 am

    I’m sure polls will show that people think the opposite.

    More likely, polls will show that people don’t think (American people, anyway).

  75. 75.

    Chet

    September 19, 2011 at 5:52 am

    @Short Bus Bully: Hey, this is still Obama’s America, isn’t it? White kids getting beat up on school buses and so forth, right?

  76. 76.

    anthony

    September 24, 2011 at 4:32 am

    According to the statistics the crime rate has been on the decline but nobody mentions the differences that still exist when it comes to particular types of crime. For example, Toronto is usually described as a safe city to live in and it is true that the the overall crime rate in the GTA has been on the decline in the last few years. However, there are still differences when it comes to particular types of break-ins (apartment break-ins and break-ins to houses). According to the statistics the number of house break-ins increased between 2008 and 2009 in our city which is a clear signal that the increase or decrease in the crime rate can hardly be generalized.

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