The polls and Mitt repeatedly stomping on his own dick are nice, but this item from the National Journal is better (emphasis added):
With absentee and early voting set to begin next week in Iowa, a battleground state in the presidential race, Democrats have a 6-to-1 edge in ballot requests so far, The Wall Street Journal reported.
Democrats requested roughly 100,000 ballots, compared with 16,073 ballots requested by Republicans, the newspaper said. Absentee voting and in-person early voting begins on Sept. 27.
“I see the early vote numbers, and I grimace a little bit,” said Craig Robinson, a former political director of theIowa Republican Party and editor of a popular blog…
Early voting is about to begin. It is time to get involved and GOTV. Make sure that you’re registered to vote (along with family, neighbors and friends) and learn how to get involved in the campaign at: www.gottavote.org
If we all put in some GOTV time: we will re-elect President Obama, keep the Senate and take back the House.
This is known.
Cheers
ps: You can now text a donation to President Obama. Dial 62262 and text GIVE. Reply YES to the confirmation text you get and your donation is added to your phone bill.
MikeJ
Half of the states will have absentee or early voting going starting tomorrow.
Speaking of registration, I needed to update mine. Totally pain free in Washington if you’ve got a driver’s license[1]. Pop your DL# in the web form and they get all the info from the DMV.
[1] This is not a endorsement of requiring state issued id for voting.
japa21
Every early vote for Obama is a vote that can’t be changed if something drastic does happen. That is why it is critical to get as many Dem votes in early as possible. Plus, when things like these numbers come out, it tends to demoralize the opposition even more.
the Conster
Stu Rothenberg’s internal presidential polls that aren’t published says it’s all over except for the recrimination, so the down ticket races are critical now. Yes We Can!
earl-of-scruggs
Early-vote ballot requests in Iowa: Rasmussen has Romney ahead by 2.
Ben Franklin
stomping on his own dick
I think you overestimate him.
Patricia Kayden
But it’s Mitt’s turn now!
http://thehill.com/video/campaign/221783-romney-tells-obama-to-start-packing
Pavonis
I plan to go to Vegas in a couple of weeks. Not to gamble… but to GOTV! Yeah!
redshirt
Was that a GoT reference, Dennis G?
If so, bravo!
Dennis G.
@Ben Franklin: Sure, he has hired a lot of folks to do that for him, but he still seems to enjoy giving himself a stomp…
Comrade Mary
And these early voters should know how to vote for House, Senate, etc., not just the Presidential ticket. This still gives me nightmares.
Professor
Please DO NOT forget your parents and grandparents. Try and persuade/convince them to vote for the DEMOCRATIC candidate! EVERY LITTLE HELPS! Thanks
Roger Moore
I’m sorry, but it’s happened too often to believe that he’s stepping on his own dick. The man is masturbating with his feet.
Anoniminous
Early voting is crucial. It allows the campaigns to bank their sure votes so they can concentrate on getting leaners. It helps to reduce people standing in line while the clock ticks down to poll closing time. It helps to undercut the GOP voter suppression laws by giving people notice they’ve been scragged and time for them to do something about it.
The actual election is about to start. Time to double down and get people voting.
Dennis G.
@redshirt: I heard that it is an old Dothraki saying…
Raven
Here’s the schedule for Georgia by county.
Pavonis
@Comrade Mary: Yikes. I’ve heard stories too about many first time voters in 2008 voting only for Obama and not for the other Dems. Some people say we could have picked up one of Georgia’s Senate seats and knocked off chickenhawk Chambliss had there been a stronger push in the state.
? Martin
Holy fuck:
Obama beat McCain by a mile in Iowa, with 800,000 votes. That’s 12% of the Dem electorate clearing their schedule for election day, and making sure that the SoSs push for ID fails before it even starts. If you want to measure Obama vs Romney’s ground game – that’s it right there.
Grimace a little? That’s the margin of victory you’re looking at, pal.
Omnes Omnibus
@Ben Franklin: Detachable.
lamh35
I’m reading this morning, that Romney’s money advantage over Obama is not what it was lauded to be. seems all the money is really in hands of RNC and I bet superpac groups. so on terms of campaign funds, OfA has more money on hand than Romney does. so question will RNC use their money advantage to help Romney and his crappy campaign or use their resources for down ticket races & leave Romney on his own.
also I read that Romney camp gave their tops people $200,000 bonuses after convention for “job well done” I guess????
Ben Franklin
@Omnes Omnibus:
Strap-on?
Villago Delenda Est
Mittens has no ground game. It’s all “we’re going to saturate the airwaves with a deluge of UNLIMITED CORPORATE CASH and that will do the trick!”
Just like saturating the airwaves led to the triumph of Governor Whitman and Senator Fiorina in 2010.
Schlemizel
@earl-of-scruggs:
Always take Rass with a huge dose of salt – the further away from election day the more salt needed.
If you assume no malicious intent, Rass must use some very broad definition of “likely voter” early on because they are always the outlier often way off anyone else. That deviation fades the closer they get to the vote & in the end (the number they brag about) they are close enough. Since this error always favors the GOP the assumptions on no malicious intent are hard to make but there you have it. Rass is either in the tank for the GOP or uses a very poor model take your pick
Citizen_X
OT, from the Coulda-Shoulda-Woulda file: Remember Herman Cain, the guy who got his ass kicked by the guy who’s now getting his ass kicked by Obama? He now claims that if he were the Republican nominee, he’d be ahead of Obama, by a “substantial lead.” Why? “I have some depth to my ideas.” He’s right; here’s an example: NINE-NINE-NINE. Depth!
LanceThruster
More from the pukefest that is Morning Joe. He continues in his starry-eyed fellating of St. Reagan, while Donny Douche bloviates that “even though the media is liberal,” they continue to prop up Mitt’s campaign as there is only money for the MSM in a close horserace.
Re: Donny Douchenozzle – while the first part is demonstrably nonsense, the second part is partially true in that having a candidate become roadkill early on (which is what would be happening to OvenMitt in a just world) would take all the “fun” out of their breathless pontifications.
JGabriel
__
__
Roger Moore:
Romney is 65 years old. I really don’t think he’s that limber.
.
LanceThruster
@Citizen_X:
Run silent, run deep.
TooManyJens
Anti-early-voting legislation introduced in Iowa in 3… 2… 1…
amk
@japa21:
@Comrade Mary:
@Professor:
@Anoniminous:
This!
? Martin
@lamh35: The problem from day one with the strategy was that ground campaigns are built with candidate money. That’s where the iPhone app comes from, and the calling lists, and the local offices, and the support for Kay – either paid staffers, or donut and coffee, or swag, or whatever. The RNC/DNC doesn’t pay for that, nor will the superpacs.
The Obama ad strategy is clever. They’re running positive ads here in CA – the Clinton one, for instance – which seem more designed to get Dems to volunteer than anything else. I haven’t seen any real efforts to get conservatives to help Romney in other states. If the message is ‘Call Iowans and tell them how much you hate Obama’, I think it’s about as useless a strategy as you can dream up.
Pavonis
@Schlemizel: It’s possible Ras just uses a bad methodology. Dem voters usually seem to tune in and get excited about an election pretty late in the process while GOP voters (presumably enraged by Limbaugh/Fox/etc…) are usually always excited. Rasmussen’s rapid one-day automated polls miss a lot of so-so engaged voters (automated pollster PPP puts a lot more effort into tracking them down). Rasmussen’s partisan weighting and strict likely voter cuts would therefore cause a pro-GOP bias until shortly before an election. It doesn’t help that he misses cell phone only voters.
redshirt
@Dennis G.: LOL. Sweet! You might enjoy this post: http://redshirtlament.blogspot.com/2012/09/send-eraven.html
I just finished the last book. What great fun! No spoilers, by the by.
MikeJ
@? Martin:
That’s not entirely true. Look for the “Democratic Coordinated Campaign”. Local parties doing GOTV for the downticket races and they also work for the presidential campaign.
S. cerevisiae
Got my registration form in this week, my mail-in ballot will come next month. Our county in MN went all mail about a decade ago and it works just fine.
Southern Beale
So Romney’s campaign took out a $20 million loan in August, then handed out $200,000 in bonuses to top campaign staff after the RNC convention, despite it being a disaster for Romney. And this, my friends, is how you run government (or at least a campaign) like a business.
A taste of things to come should, God help us, the man from Bain win.
Alex S.
I have a feeling that the Romney campaign is completely ignoring the basic get-out-the-vote mechanisms. They simply don’t care about the tricks of the trade. I wonder if this is going to make a difference on election day, like a 1-2% advantage in crucial states.
Odie Hugh Manatee
Those Iowa numbers have to be giving nightmares to Rmoney, his wealthy owners and Republicans/Teahadists. I can’t wait until November 7th when everyone on the right will be pointing their fingers at Rmoney as the reason for the losses since he never was a conservative to begin with. They will gloss over their own parts in the making of this epic fail because they never fail, everyone else fails them. They lack the capacity to admit that they have driven the Republican party off the rails, over the cliff and into the abyss.
All the while Obama is standing on the edge of a nearby cliff, watching their descent, cheering them on with a hearty “Meep! Meep!”
;)
gwangung
@Alex S.:
Oh, a sucker’s bet for sure. Nobody who’s really run a business well will ignore fundamentals like that.
Mitt is not a businessman. He’s never run a going business concern ln retail or manufacturing. He’s just a financier.
ericblair
@JGabriel:
If you want a picture of the future, imagine a boot stomping on his own dick–forever.
LD50
this is what Electoral-vote.com says about Rasmussen:
http://electoral-vote.com/evp2012/Info/rasmussen.html
They even provide Rasmussen-free maps.
The maps *with* Rasmussen are in effect a sort of worst-case scenario.
vawolf1974
Just tried the text donation thing and apparently it doesn’t work on AT&T yet.
Schlemizel
@Pavonis:
Agreed it is entirely possible that it is a poor model that they are using.
Then my question would be, since it is obvious we are not even close shouldn’t we try to fix that?
Its hilarious to see them showing the R at +2 when all the other polls bunch up around D+4 to +6. Particularly when they obviously are not that far off in the poll just before election day. Its not like they can’t see they are doing something different.
Villago Delenda Est
@ericblair:
Win, covered in awesome sauce.
Chris
@Alex S.:
They’re counting on vote suppression to make the difference.
Forum Transmitted Disease
@lamh35: RNCC is pouring money – I mean, they’ve got to have spent over 250k on ad buys – for a STATE Senate seat in LA County. One that they probably won’t win regardless.
They’ve decided to cut their losses on Rmoney well over a month ago. This election’s no longer about who’s going to be president. I’m pretty sure it never was. The rubes care. The people in charge didn’t and don’t.
It’s about the House, and getting the new players in place for 2014 and 2016.
FormerSwingVoter
@Schlemizel: I’m pretty sure he was using sarcasm to make the exact same point you are.
That said, I’d go with flawed methodology over ill intent. I seem to recall that Rass uses robo-calls instead of live operators (which for some reason skews Republican) as well as calling land-lines only (which also skews Republican). Doesn’t explain the weird early numbers, though.
Another Halocene Human
@Citizen_X: That man talks so much trash he ought to star in a Febreze commercial.
FormerSwingVoter
@LD50: Thanks, this is way more detailed (and accurate) than my fumbled explanation above ;)
Ms. D. Ranged in AZ (formerly IrishGrrrl)
What Mitt must have been hearing his whole life:
“Some day you’ll sit on the throne and the truth will be what you make it.”
We don’t want a liar in chief. We gotta get out there and get people to vote, vote, vote!
The Lodger
@Odie Hugh Manatee:
I really, really want to see that video.
The Lodger
@gwangung:
Yes. We can’t emphasize this point enough. The word “businessman” has an associated image that implies dealing with real-world issues like inventing and making products, selling them, and hiring people to do all that. Romney’s history never included anything of the sort.
Roger Moore
@ericblair:
Where would you like your internets delivered?
Shadow's Mom
I’m working with OFACA as a data specialist; however, it is annoys me that the gottavote site only supports a new registration. This was particularly so after I received a campaign email that asked me to go to the site to ‘verify my voting status.’
If you want to verify your current voter registration status, you can do this at . This site hooks into the state voter rolls and lets you confirm your voter registration status.
Just saying.
WereBear
Oh, man, you made Merlot come out my nose!
And, may I add, totally worth it. On vacation this week, meaning wine with lunch, and the ability to roll around on the Internet…
Kathy in St. Louis
So, Romney runs the campaign exactly the way private business is run in this country. Executives are paid big money, even if they fail to deliver. Mitt knows a “winning” business model when he sees it.