I was looking at the internals of the latest PPP poll of the Massachusetts Senate race [pdf] to see if things were dire for Markey, who’s only holding a 4% lead (more Democratic disarray, panic!). Markey is more well-known and more popular than his opponent, Gabriel Gomez, the undecideds describe themselves as “liberal” by 32-25, and 61% of the undecideds are women. So Markey can pull this out if he runs a decent campaign, which is always a question for someone who used to hold a seat in a district that hadn’t elected a Republican since the 1920’s, and won his last seat 76-24. Also, there’s this:
The 2012 exit polls showed that 18% of the voters were youngs. Turnout in a special election is always hard to predict, but the youngs break for Markey by 7 in this poll, so if a few more of them can lay off their bongs and WoW for the time it takes to stop by a polling place and vote, Markey will probably win this thing.