I’m not an expert in Wyoming politics but I did live there for a while, and I still have relatives who live there and know something about the political environment. So, this Times beat sweetener/puff piece notwithstanding, I’m pretty sure that Liz Cheney is not going to be the next Senator from the Equality State.
First, the piece indicates that Cheney “lives” in Jackson Hole (in reality, she moved there last year from McLean, VA in an transparent attempt to quickly establish residency). Jackson Hole is not real Wyoming–it’s where the rich fucks have summer houses and ski condos. Second, Mike Enzi, her erstwhile opponent, is a gross incompetent do-nothing back bencher, but he’s been making it rain Federal checks in Wyoming long before Liz began running her mouth on Fox News. Like Alan Simpson, Enzi grew up in Wyoming, and is a long-time politician (he was a mayor and state senator before winning the Senate race in 1996) with real roots and connections throughout the state. Third, as usual, Alan Simpson is full of shit:
It would bring about “the destruction of the Republican Party of Wyoming if she decides to run and he runs, too,” Alan K. Simpson, a former Republican senator from the state, said in an interview last week. “It’s a disaster — a divisive, ugly situation — and all it does is open the door for the Democrats for 20 years.”
Wyoming has had a couple of Democratic governors in the past 20 years, but the last Democrat who actually won a Senate election served in the 50’s, and the last time any Democrat won a federal office in Wyoming was in the 70’s. There just isn’t much there for Democrats in Wyoming. If Cheney did win a Republican primary, maybe someone like ex-Governor Dave Freudenthal could sneak in for one term, but that state is just too conservative to support a Democrat in the Senate.
Wyoming is also a state that loves its Republican incumbents, no matter how terrible they are. Enzi might not be a world-beater, but he’s Abe Fucking Lincoln compared to the awful Barbara Cubin, who made a racist remark on the House floor, threatened to slap a wheelchair-bound opponent who had MS, and who was absent from voting a good deal of the time while she cared for her ill husband. Cubin’s retirement from the House was voluntary, just as Enzi’s retirement from the Senate will be in 2020 or 2026 or whenever he feels like it. By then, Liz Cheney will have stopped making her kids barrel race so she can post their pictures to Facebook, Dick won’t be around to get her tickets to the Cattleman’s Dinner in Cody, and she won’t be able to face another forkful of Jell-O salad at the Lander American Legion Auxiliary luncheon and gun raffle.