I read this NYTimes ‘Opinionator’ from Thomas Edsall in the wee hours, but it seemed like a lot to drop on people at breakfast:
How Fragile Is the New Democratic Coalition?
… In 1988, the Democratic presidential nominee, Michael Dukakis, carried 26 percent of the nation’s counties, 819 of 3144, on his way to losing the Electoral College 426-111 and the popular vote by seven percentage points. In 2012, President Obama won fewer counties, 690, but he won the popular vote by four points and the Electoral College in a landslide, 332-206.The forces behind this shift illuminate the internal realignments taking place within the two major political parties. But first let’s look at how a candidate could carry 129 fewer counties but come out way ahead on Election Day.
In the simplest terms, Democrats started to win populous suburban counties in big states with lots of Electoral College votes beginning with Bill Clinton’s first presidential campaign in 1992, at the same time that they began to lose sparsely populated rural counties, many of which lie in small states with very few Electoral College votes…
“The Big Sort” focuses on one of the key factors behind these geographic trends: people are increasingly choosing to move into neighborhoods and communities of like-minded people who share their political views, creating what Bishop and Cushing call “way-of-life segregation.”
Americans, in their view,
have been sorting themselves over the past three decades into homogeneous communities — not at the regional level, or the red-state/blue-state level, but at the micro level of city and neighborhood.
Other analysts, including Alan Abramowitz, a political scientist at Emory, have produced evidence of an additional factor encouraging increased local homogeneity: individual voters are becoming more consistently liberal or conservative in their views on a range of issues from abortion to safety net spending to gun rights.
Long Read(s): Good Neighbors Make Good Fences?Post + Comments (74)

One thing that’s pretty clear about the Congressional vote on Syria: voting for an attack will not be popular.