Tim F is right that the Social Security
rule cut that the House passed last night is political poison. I can think of three ways that this thing will ripen, like any other pustule, long before the 2016 election.
Yertle is not a stupid turtle, and he will not have his quest to reach to the moon thwarted by some Teaturds in the House. My guess is that he’ll quietly have that provision stripped out in committee, and it will remain just a fond memory that Louie Gohmert uses to stroke himself to sleep at night.
If McConnell doesn’t do that, then Democrats can wage a loud filibuster to stop the bill, thus once again saving Social Security.
If that doesn’t happen, Obama can veto whatever bill this dingleberry is clinging on, and he can do so in a photo op followed by a press conference explaining how he used his superpowers to save Social Security.
If I were to bet, I’d bet on McConnell, because the end game here is to make Obama’s use of the veto look dangerous and capricious. Mitch is going to make sure whatever bills cross Obama’s desk in the early parts of the year are fairly unobjectionable. He doesn’t want people to get in the habit of seeing Obama’s use of the veto as the invisible fence that keeps the mad dogs in Congress from straying out of the yard. Around the end of the year, Congress will pass the one, true CROmnibus bill to rule them all, a few seconds before the deadline for a government shutdown, and adjourn immediately thereafter. That thing will be packed with tons of caca, some of it inserted by chickenshit Senate Democrats. Obama will have to choose whether to veto it and shut the government down, or sign it and piss off his base. If he does veto it, that will cue the DC media’s solemn remembrances of how Ronnie and Tip had a couple of stiff belts in the White House instead of Ronnie using that nasty old veto. tl;dr: Sad face for Democrats.
My guess is that Jack Lew has his bean counters working night and day on alternatives that will allow Obama to avoid signing a CROmnibus-kill-the-poors bill under a shutdown hostage threat. I also assume that Harry Reid has a few tricks up his sleeve which will block amendments declaring poors as 3/5 of a human being. Still, I’d be surprised if the really nasty stuff that the House is brewing will survive McConnell, who’s a lot craftier than that crew of imbeciles currently manning the House.
Update: As pointed out in the comments, it’s a rule not a bill, so nothing to veto. Still interesting to speculate on what’s going to happen when the House does push out a turd.