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You are here: Home / 2015 / Archives for August 2015

Archives for August 2015

About Those High-Pitched Squeals You Heard Yesterday…

by Betty Cracker|  August 6, 20159:32 am| 172 Comments

This post is in: Black Jimmy Carter, Politics, Proud to Be A Democrat, Religious Nuts 2, Republican Stupidity, General Stupidity

If you haven’t already, check out President Obama’s speech on the Iran nuke deal. He makes a convincing argument for supporting the agreement and provides a plausible overview of what will happen if Congress doesn’t approve it.

Come for the well-reasoned summation, but stay to hear PBO strip the bark off the always-wrong neocons. Here’s an excerpt that explains the high-pitched squealing you heard yesterday, as if a million neocons suddenly cried out in rage and were suddenly silenced:

Between now and the congressional vote in September, you are going to hear a lot of arguments against this deal, backed by tens of millions of dollars in advertising. And if the rhetoric in these ads and the accompanying commentary sounds familiar, it should, for many of the same people who argued for the war in Iraq are now making the case against the Iran nuclear deal.

Now, when I ran for president eight years ago as a candidate who had opposed the decision to go to war in Iraq, I said that America didn’t just have to end that war. We had to end the mindset that got us there in the first place.

It was a mindset characterized by a preference for military action over diplomacy, a mindset that put a premium on unilateral U.S. action over the painstaking work of building international consensus, a mindset that exaggerated threats beyond what the intelligence supported.

Leaders did not level with the American people about the costs of war, insisting that we could easily impose our will on a part of the world with a profoundly different culture and history.

And, of course, those calling for war labeled themselves strong and decisive while dismissing those who disagreed as weak, even appeasers of a malevolent adversary.

More than a decade later, we still live with the consequences of the decision to invade Iraq. Our troops achieved every mission they were given, but thousands of lives were lost, tens of thousands wounded. That doesn’t count the lives lost among Iraqis. Nearly a trillion dollars was spent.

Today, Iraq remains gripped by sectarian conflict, and the emergence of al-Qaida in Iraq has now evolved into ISIL. And ironically, the single greatest beneficiary in the region of that war was the Islamic Republic of Iran, which saw its strategic position strengthened by the removal of its long-standing enemy, Saddam Hussein.

[snip]

I recognize that resorting to force may be tempting in the face of the rhetoric and behavior that emanates from parts of Iran. It is offensive. It is incendiary. We do take it seriously.

But superpowers should not act impulsively in response to taunts or even provocations that can be addressed short of war. Just because Iranian hardliners chant “Death to America” does not mean that that’s what all Iranians believe. In fact, it’s those…

In fact, it’s those hardliners who are most comfortable with the status quo. It’s those hardliners chanting “Death to America” who have been most opposed to the deal. They’re making common cause with the Republican Caucus.

The same people who have spent the last six years baselessly accusing the president of being a stealth-jihadist, anti-American, Israel-hating, limp-wristed appeaser / power-mad dictator haven’t been silenced, of course: They are meeping all over the Internet like schoolyard bullies who just took a shot in the stones.

But it’s a somewhat muted meeping. Like his predecessor Harry S. Truman, President Obama didn’t give them hell; he told the truth, and they thought it was hell.

About Those High-Pitched Squeals You Heard Yesterday…Post + Comments (172)

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Getchur Popcorn & Rolled-Up Socks Ready…

by Anne Laurie|  August 6, 20155:53 am| 110 Comments

This post is in: Election 2016, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Republican Venality, Assholes, Our Failed Media Experiment

The 9pm debate is all about name ID…if @KingJames ran for president he would be in that debate & @JohnKasich would be next to me @greta

— George E. Pataki (@GovernorPataki) August 5, 2015

Kasich walks by a table at a hotel in downtown Cleveland. Dude next to me asks who he is. (Governor of this state.)

— daveweigel (@daveweigel) August 5, 2015

Your National Paper of Record, Americans!…

CLEVELAND — Just over 24 hours before the first Republican primary debate here, more than a dozen Fox News executives and producers gathered Wednesday with their debate moderators — Bret Baier, Megyn Kelly and Chris Wallace — backstage at Quicken Loans Arena for a final run-through of logistics.

“I don’t think anybody knows — maybe he doesn’t know — what you’re going to get from Donald Trump,” Mr. Wallace said after the meeting. “What makes it such compelling television is that sense of, at the very least, uncertainty, and at the very most, danger.”

And so they found themselves, sitting at a long table, trying to minimize danger and uncertainty, while maximizing the sleek and high-octane television for which Fox News has become known. The team had already decided to eliminate opening statements from the field, to save time. Instead, at 9 p.m. sharp, the questions will begin.

To keep the debate on schedule, the Fox team was also discussing a possible alternative to the usual gentle ding sound that signals that a candidate’s time has expired: the actual shot clock buzzer used during Cleveland Cavaliers basketball games, which are played at the same arena….

The WaPo, meanwhile, treats this as just another business convention for the local industry:

Chris Wallace tapped the black three-ring binder resting on the corner of his desk. “I’ve got some doozies in there,” he said, eyebrow raised provocatively…

“There’s so doggone many,” said Wallace, 67, sitting at his desk in Fox’s Washington bureau. The decision to pack the stage was made above his pay grade, he adds. “Will [the debate] be as great as it would be if there were three or four candidates? No. But it’s clear from the polls, people are far from decided.”

But now the decision-making begins, with an event that TV analysts predict could draw the highest ratings in cable-news history. And as the candidates attempt to make their first impressions before a national audience, you can count on the veteran newsman to leave his imprint on this moment by interrupting, prodding and pressing the debaters in his trademark fashion.

“I certainly think my style is adversarial,” he said, absentmindedly pushing his penny loafers around under his desk with socked feet…

I believe it was commentor Gimlet who suggested rolled-up socks for throwing at the tv, as less liable to cause collateral damage than drink glasses…

"Candidates, please describe a situation in which you use lethal force against a home invader. Most vivid wins, please specify the handgun."

— David Roth (@david_j_roth) August 5, 2015

Ted Cruz: this is what i'll do to planned parenthood [tries ripping phone book in half & gives up] Jake Tapper: the question was about iraq

— raandy (@randygdub) August 5, 2015

@david_j_roth "Walls are for soft men. I would personally stand on the border naked, with a crudgel, intensely red and not mad at all."

— Huge Mantis (@HugeMantis) August 5, 2015

@david_j_roth "Look, we all want to create guns you can have sex with. The question is: how are we going to pay for it?"

— Matt Christman (@cushbomb) August 5, 2015

Then there’s always that one killjoy…

I wonder how much of tomorrow's GOP debates this graph could falsify. pic.twitter.com/WDqU3Zbo3p

— Daniel Drezner (@dandrezner) August 6, 2015

Thursday Morning Open Thread: Getchur Popcorn & Rolled-Up Socks Ready…Post + Comments (110)

Late Night Open Thread: Hiding Out from the Tough Ones

by Anne Laurie|  August 6, 201512:23 am| 75 Comments

This post is in: Election 2016, Open Threads, Republican Stupidity, Assholes

I rag on New Hampshire — it’s a proud local tradition! — but this makes me Shake My Head. The current crop of GOP chickenhearts are avoiding the Granite State in order to tonguebathe Steve “Pig Muck” King and spread smarm like holy oil at the Dixie Church of the Whited Sepulcher, per the Washington Post:

… New Hampshire Republicans say they have not seen much of Walker — or Sen. Marco Rubio (Fla.), Sen. Ted Cruz (Tex.) and former Arkansas governor Mike Huckabee, who skipped a candidate forum here on Monday night. Another forum-skipper was real estate magnate Donald Trump, who is leading in the polls and only recently started taking regular trips to the state.

Former Florida governor Jeb Bush is making a heavy push in New Hampshire [ed. note: it’s a convenient driving distance from the Bush Kennebunk summer compound], although some of the most frequent guests in the state are those in the GOP race’s second tier — including New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie, former New York governor George Pataki, Sen. Lindsey O. Graham (S.C.) and former Hewlett-Packard executive Carly Fiorina…

Meanwhile, several Southern states are relishing early visits from a host of presidential contenders. These voters are much less accustomed to seeing presidential candidates stop by their favorite breakfast joints and much more likely to ask for photos or hugs than to press for pithy answers to nuanced policy questions. The region has many wealthy Republican donors, lawmakers are eager to help and liberal activists haven’t spent decades studying ways to capitalize on presidential candidate visits. Plus, the local media are more likely to devote entire articles or evening news segments to a candidate’s visit…

… In early July, Huckabee and Cruz were both at the same mega-church in Milner, a tiny town in middle-of-nowhere central Georgia. Soon after, Walker held a private fundraiser in Atlanta, where several attendees said they were looking forward to a series of such events this summer, including a visit from Bush. Many candidates will be in Atlanta this weekend for the RedState Gathering, sponsored by the popular conservative RedState Web site.

Cruz is focusing heavily on Iowa and the South, and on Friday, he will kick off a seven-day, 20-stop bus tour of eight Southern states aimed at galvanizing conservatives. A news release announcing his trip noted that the region is home to 356 of the 1,236 delegates who will decide the Republican nominee…

Independents are allowed to vote in the New Hampshire primary and the political mood is much more moderate, especially on social issues such as same-sex marriage and abortion rights, where Walker has been staking out very conservative positions. Voters here are known for being stubbornly opinionated and carry their first-in-the-nation primary responsibility with a regal air. So the chances of Walker getting tripped up here are higher…

If they can’t summon the fortitude to face down a couple of pranksters, how are any of these Repub cowards going to back up their brags about “bringing back respect for America on the global stage”?

Late Night Open Thread: Hiding Out from the Tough OnesPost + Comments (75)

Meet-up tomorrow

by DougJ|  August 5, 201510:34 pm| 30 Comments

This post is in: Meetups and social events, Readership Capture

Tomorrow’s meet-up will be at either the Black Squirrel or Ventinor’s, both in Adams-Morgan within a few hundred yards of each other.

The Black Squirrel has half-price hamburger night and tvs. OTOH Ventinor’s is known as a place for watching SOTU etc. so it might be better on acoustics and so on.

I’ll leave it up to a vote: say which you’d prefer in the comments.

Meet-up tomorrowPost + Comments (30)

Well Played, Arby’s

by John Cole|  August 5, 20158:27 pm| 183 Comments

This post is in: Humorous

Smart reaction from the suits:

Long day on the road. I need to get prescription sunglasses.

Well Played, Arby’sPost + Comments (183)

Wednesday Evening Open Thread

by Betty Cracker|  August 5, 20155:39 pm| 232 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Food, Open Threads

My hubby was idled for a few days by the torrential downpours, so he decided to make Sephardic challah bread:

challah bread

It was/is delish!

I’m not a baker. Unlike cooking, baking seems (to me) more science than art, and I chafe at its restrictions. But I appreciate baked goods produced by others very much.

I’m thinking a couple of slices of that bread slathered in pimento cheese, slapped together, buttered and grilled would make a fine supper, perhaps with a bowl of tomato soup on the side.

What’s for dinner at your house? Please feel free to discuss other topics too — open thread!

Wednesday Evening Open ThreadPost + Comments (232)

Defined benefits, defined contributions, overinsurance and Pareto improvements

by David Anderson|  August 5, 20151:29 pm| 39 Comments

This post is in: Anderson On Health Insurance

The Communications Workers of America (CWA)/International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers (IBEW) vs. Verizon labor dispute is heavily focused on healthcare costs.  Verizon health insurance is very good coverage with minimal direct from the paycheck employee contributions.  From Fierce Telecom:

Verizon said that the cost of medical coverage for an East employee and one or more family members currently averages nearly $20,000 a year. In one of the company’s East plans, the annual cost for this coverage is over $23,000 a year. The company said these costs are higher than the national average for family healthcare coverage of about $16,800.

Verizon is most likely trying to get under the Cadillac tax line as well as minimize their actual cash outflow.  The unions like their benefits, but for most union members they are probably over-insured.  Is there a path that makes significant welfare improvements for everyone?

What if there was an agreement zone  where Verizon and all union members are either kept whole or made better off?

This would work by having Verizon maintain the current contribution to employee health care costs.  This contribution would increase at some pre-defined rate that should be sufficient to pay for the current benefit package.   Verizon gets some more predictability and probably lower net compensation costs after the mechanism that I describe goes into play.

What does the union get?

More choices.  The base choice would be the same benefit package (platinum or better) with the same basic set of networks and no gatekeeper restrictions.  The Verizon contribution is sufficient to cover this.  However for most union members and their families, broad network PPOs with almost no cost sharing is too much coverage if there is a way for them to access the savings. There would be two (or more) other choices.  The first other choice would be for a similar benefit package with a narrower network (it can still be a PPO, but more likely an EPO).  I know most major insurers can slice and dice their network to give 80% of the providers at a 10% to 15% discount.  The acturial value of the package would be the same, but there would be some limits on who the union members can see.  The other package or sets of packages could be slightly higher cost sharing (Gold or Gold Plus (80% to 85% actuarial value) on either the broadest network or the slightly narrower networks.

The union benefit is cash.  The union member would receive 70% of difference in cost between the cheaper plans and the baseline plan as a paycheck bump at the end of each month.  15% of the difference would go into a reserve fund for the entire bargaining unit for members who have catastrophic incidents, and 15% would go back to Verizon as a gain share.  If the reserve fund is more than 20% of the difference accumulated over two or more years, all union members get a bonus check.

No one is worse off behind the veil of ignorance.  Some people will be no worse off as they keep their current plan. Some people will be better off as their current choice of insurance is either too much insurance or nothing, now they can decrease the amount of insurance that they want and get cash instead, and Verizon’s health care costs would grow no faster than they otherwise would, all else being equal while having a high probability of being a bit lower than currently projected.

What are the flaws in this idea?

Defined benefits, defined contributions, overinsurance and Pareto improvementsPost + Comments (39)

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