The so-called Ferguson effect has caused police in New York City and elsewhere to be less proactive out of concern that they won’t be protected from backlash, NYPD Commissioner William Bratton said Friday.
Speaking with reporters after a promotion ceremony at police headquarters at which a majority of new captain jobs went to minorities, Bratton said he concurred with comments made this week by FBI Director James Comey.
Comey, citing anecdotal evidence, said at a conference of police chiefs that a “chill wind” has affected cops who don’t feel like getting out of their cars to fight crime.
Looks like it has been a total disaster (*ROLLS EYES*):
Yes, New York City’s murder rate is higher than it was last year.
But that is because the city set a record-low for murders in 2014 — just 333. This year, the city is on pace to have it’s second best year, in terms of murders, according to the police commissioner and a new report from NYU’s Brennan Center for Justice.
As of Nov. 22, there had been 310 murders in the city this year, compared to 293 by that date a year earlier, a 5.8 percent increase.
A report from the Brennan Center said the increase in homicides this year is, basically, insignificant.
In a report issued six days ago, called “Crime in 2015: A Preliminary Analysis,” researchers said the city’s murder rate “is on pace to increase 8 percent from 2014. This amounts to 28 more murders … [a] rate of 0.3 murders per 100,000 greater than it was last year, an extremely small increase —meaning that 2015 and 2014 are more or less comparable.”
The report, which looked at crime in major cities across the U.S., said Los Angeles — whose police force Bratton led from 2002 through 2009 — is projected to end 2015 with an 11 percent jump in its murder rate; Chicago’s murder rate is expected to increase 20 percent (to levels comparable to 2012); and in Houston, the murder rate is expected to rise 24 percent. Philadelphia and Phoenix are projected to have murder rates largely unchanged from 2014, according to the report.
If Bratton and the Brennan Center’s projections are borne out, it will be a boon for Mayor Bill de Blasio, who has constantly fought the perception that safety and the quality of life in New York City have been slipping since he took office in January 2014. (Republican presidential candidate and N.J. governor Chris Christie told CNN on Sunday the murder rate in New York City had increased 11 percent. When asked to verify the claim, a Christie campaign spokesperson referred POLITICO New York to a Daily News story … from July.)
Make of that what you will. It’s obviously too early to say what the statistics mean, but suffice it to say, people protesting the behavior of shitty cops executing people in the street is not leading to the crime wave some would like you to think is happening. Maybe in a civil society there’s no need for cops to get out of their cars and “proactively” act like goons.