Perspective on the import of Monday's results in determining our nominee. Here are your last 2 Iowa Caucus winners. pic.twitter.com/iiKicKuo1B
— Tim Miller (@Timodc) January 29, 2016
ICYMI (In Case You Missed It), per Ed Kilgore at NYMag:
The final pre-Caucus Iowa Poll from Ann Selzer for the Des Moines Register and Bloomberg Politics arrived via an unusual live-release event reminiscent of the revelation of March Madness NCAA basketball tournament brackets. Its results were only maddening, though, to those hoping for a big upset.
Selzer has Hillary Clinton holding a 3 percent margin over Bernie Sanders (she led by 2 in the last Register poll earlier this month). It appears preferences are relatively stable…
Among Republicans, the Iowa Poll confirms the conventional wisdom that Donald Trump has overtaken Ted Cruz; he leads Cruz 28 to 23 percent, reversing a 25 to 22 percent Cruz lead in the last Selzer poll. But the bit of conventional wisdom passionately hoped for by many establishment Republicans — a Marco Rubio surge past Cruz into second place — just ain’t happening…
More granular detail (well worth reading!) at the link.
The media people are starting to get cranky…
Cost of a 1-night stay at the Des Moines Residence Inn on Feb. 1: $689
Cost of Loews Regency on Park Ave. the same night: $399
— Alex Burns (@alexburnsNYT) January 31, 2016
Iowans complaining about political ads = New Yorkers complaining about abundance of tourists
Folks, you asked for it, and ya profit from it
— Alex Burns (@alexburnsNYT) January 31, 2016
… not least because, as the Guardian notes helpfully, if the predicted winter storm hits, they may not be able to get the hell out of Iowa first thing Tuesday morning…
… Fourteen presidential hopefuls have spent all month dashing from bowling alleys and shooting ranges to high schools and farm museums in pursuit of the elusive caucus-goers needed to get their 2016 presidential race off to a winning start…
But visiting voters where they live is not the same as getting them to come out for you. Only a small fraction of Iowans tend to vote in party caucuses, and uncertainty over turnout will be compounded on Monday night by a major storm due to sweep in from the west and dump 6in of snow on the state by Tuesday…
Residence of first five voters I talked to at this Davenport rally: Illinois, Illinois, Illinois, Illinois, California.
— daveweigel (@daveweigel) January 30, 2016
Iowa really needs to hold free pandering awareness seminars every 4 years.
— Bob Schooley (@Rschooley) January 30, 2016
As someone who merely has to bear with the advertising spillover from New Hampshire (which is quite bad enough thankyouverymuch), I salute you, Iowans!
Open Thread: Stay Calm, It’ll All Be Over Soon…Post + Comments (128)