Thanks to Liz Szabo for willing to chase down a number that we needed in yesterday’s Zika post:
@bjdickmayhew The CDC’s Tom Frieden says lifetime costs for microcephaly could be $10 million.
— Liz Szabo (@LizSzabo) May 26, 2016
From the CDC on 3/10/2016:
we know the cost of caring for one infant with a birth defect can be up to $10 million or more. Funding is crucially important and urgently needed. The rains are coming and with the rains will come mosquito season and with mosquito season will be the risk of explosive spread of Zika as well as dengue and other Chikungunya.
That works out to be $120,000 in incremental costs assuming an 85 year lifespan. If we assume a 50 year life span, we’re looking at $200,000 per year in incremental costs.
Depending on the life span assumptions, a Zika birth defect case ranges from the equivilent of an additional Hep-C treatment year to a Cystic Fibrosis treatment year. If there are widespread but low level infections and a low probability of significant birth defects from Zika, then state budgets can handle a few more catastrophic on-going claims. If there are concentrated areas of infection with significant birth defects then state budgets will blow up.