Obama appears in a video for the Democrat running against 1 of his most frequent critics, @DarrellIssa https://t.co/FMt0PdSsle #CA49
— Kimberly Railey (@KimberlyRailey) November 2, 2016
I don’t know if this will help Doug Applegate win, but at least it will greatly perturb Darrell Issa… San Diegans?
Mary G
I still believe you can stick a fork in Darrell, because he’s done, but it’s going to be razor close.
JPL
I’ll watch in a bit.. Michelle is in the house.. Wow
La Caterina (Mrs. Johannes)
FLOTUS is killin’ it.
Major Major Major Major
Fuck Issa. Tomorrow is going to be glorious.
Baud
I really like our team.
Waiting for Snow
Since I’m near the top of an open thread…
Hi. Hello. Lurker here from the People’s Republic of Massachusetts.
I just wanted to say I’ve been reading all of you for awhile now. A couple of years anyway. And I wanted to personally thank all the regulars (and irregulars as the case may be) for keeping me sane through this election. Regardless of what happens tomorrow, I wanted to let everyone here know.
I’ll just re-engage lurker mode now…
lamh36
PLEASE DON’T LEAVE US MICHELLE!!!
Jim, Foolish Literalist
inventor
I live in the far north end of CA 49th. I don’t know if Colonel Applegate will win, but if he doesn’t he will get closer than any Democrat ever has.
Iowa Old Lady
I want Issa gone. Then I want Weld to run against Chaffetz next time.
Also, I’m listening to FLOTUS and she rocks.
Baud
@Jim, Foolish Literalist:
No. That would be false.
Baud
I’m getting a little wistful.
lamh36
Barack and Michelle…DON’T LEAVE US!!
JPL
@Baud: Well I’m feeling wistful, and the tissues aren’t helping.
jacy
I love the Obamas.
Jay Noble
Can somebody PLEASE tell me what soap/movie star Kellyanne Conway reminds me of!?!?!
the Conster, la Citoyenne
Mary G
He’s having so much fun.
Schlemazel
@Jay Noble:
Bonzo? Made a movie with a future POTUS one time
La Caterina (Mrs. Johannes)
@lamh36: I’M NOT READY FOR A NEW ONE!!
NotMax
(Not intended to be a downer.)
Reminder that Four Days in November on TCM at 4:30 a.m. Eastern time. Especially for those who weren’t around at the time, an immersive documentary record.
Baud
@La Caterina (Mrs. Johannes): At least no woman has to follow her.
gf120581
Kind of amazing to think that as bad a situation as the CA GOP has these days, it is likely to be even worse after tomorrow night. They could lose several more House seats, not just Issa.
Corner Stone
This is a Smackdown of WWE proportion. Just the “damn, man!” factor is Defcon 1 level already.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
that line about his campaign taking away his twitter toy must make the Shitgibbon’s thumbs twitch
Iowa Old Lady
POTUS is not holding back.
lamh36
the Conster, la Citoyenne
DOUBLE STANDARDS
Baud
Love the shout outs from the audience.
Corner Stone
Can we get a STFU on the guys chiming in from the catcall seats?
Baud
@Corner Stone: we disagree.
Corner Stone
@Baud: It’s annoying AF.
Baud
@Corner Stone: I like the emotion.
Anya
@Mary G: I hope so. His lose will be the icing on the election win.
LesGS
Hey, Scott Peters! My (D) rep in the district just south of Issa’s. Not as liberal as I would like but I voted for him gladly. He was the rep who used his Periscope account to boost the (D) reps’ gun control protest on the House floor, which CSPAN could then broadcast after Ryan made them turn their cameras off.
Major Major Major Major
Soon this will all be over and we can start talking about President-Elect Hillary Clinton’s emails!
Bill E Pilgrim
@Jay Noble:
Here
PsiFighter37
Why did PBO not do this in 2010 or 2014?
Ugh, if only he had fought for Democrats all around harder…
hovercraft
@Baud:
Ditto, it’s a black guy who thinks he’s in church.
Go to a black church any Sunday and you’ll hear that all the way through. That is what we cal the Amen chorus.
Corner Stone
@Baud: It’s the same three dudes yelling “Talk about it!” “That’s right!” “Tell it!”
Over and over and over again.
They seem to have finally realized it’s annoying BS and have stopped.
Mary G
@hovercraft: Yes, this.
Omnes Omnibus
@PsiFighter37: Did they want him?
Kathleen
@Iowa Old Lady: Love PBO’s digs at “both sides are to blame”, a well deserved slam of the media. Hovercraft will have to tell us tomorrow how Mornin’ Joke whinged about his hurt fee fees.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
He did in 2010. Massive rallies in WI, MI and OH.
ETA: and his popularity is a lot higher now, and, like Bill who was so effective in 2012 (not so much in 2014) he’s not running for anything this time.
sigaba
@PsiFighter37:
Because all the Democrats who needed him were begging him to stay away. Every Dem who was running in any district worse that D+2 treated him like kryptonite. “Oh god, if he appears in town the Republicans will put him in an ad with me and then It’ll be all over!”
David ?▶️?Blue Wall?▶️? Koch
Who is this guy speaking?
He’s pretty good.
the Conster, la Citoyenne
@PsiFighter37:
I’m sorry, I don’t know where you were, but he was out there all the time imploring Dems to vote. The candidates running, ran away from him!
delk
I saw the same anti-Hillary ad 14 times today.
Didn’t work.
Corner Stone
I want them all to intro her as Hillary Rodham Clinton. But that may be just me.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@Corner Stone: I was thinking the same thing
Major Major Major Major
@delk: which one was it?
Mary G
I keep thinking of Hamilton making his crazy six-hour speech in that building in the background 230 plus years ago. Now a black man and a woman will have stood in Washington’s place.
MomSense
@PsiFighter37:
Seriously?
David ?▶️?Blue Wall?▶️? Koch
This guy speaking – he really good and kind of charismatic. With any luck, if the chips go right and he hangs onto the friends he makes, this Irish guy Brock O’Bama one day can wind up being the President of the United States. He’s got it.
delk
@Major Major Major Major: It’s a cartoon about Hillary moving into the WH with all her baggage.
mdblanche
@delk: 15th time’s the charm.
Major Major Major Major
@delk: that doesn’t sound very fun. Turn on Bob’s Burgers or something.
Corner Stone
@MomSense: To be fair, Psifighter was 21 or so back in 2010.
Shana
@Jim, Foolish Literalist: He also did it in 2009 to try to get Deeds elected in Virginia as governor instead of McDonnell (ack). My daughter worked on that campaign and I went to an event where I got to shake his hand.
delk
@Major Major Major Major: They were running during Archer and Futurama reruns.
Gelfling 545
@PsiFighter37: As I recall, they were avoiding him. Didn’t want Kenyan dictator socialist germs or something. Then they were surprised his “base” didn’t turn out for them.
Adam L Silverman
@lamh36: We’re not making them walk out onto an ice floe in winter with no supplies. They’ll be around.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@Omnes Omnibus: Yeah, I don’t think Mary Landrieu or Mark Pryor or Allison Grimes were asking Obama to come campaign for them
Corner Stone
I hate to say it. But HRC should have tightened up this speech, bigly.
Adam L Silverman
@Major Major Major Major: And they can announce the GOP Presidential Primary Debate Schedule with the first debate scheduled for February 2017.
Major Major Major Major
@delk: ugh, that’s the worst! I’m so glad I got rid of my cable.
NotMax
@Adam L. Silverman
Go with the floe.
:)
Corner Stone
“Then Deal Me In!”
Still the best single line of this election cycle, IMO.
gogol's wife
@Corner Stone:
She’s perking up a little now.
Adam L Silverman
@NotMax: good catch, I’ll fix it.
Corner Stone
@gogol’s wife: I’m seeing an ice floe forming…
Jim, Foolish Literalist
I think they do it cause it works, but I always hate to hear pols give out websites and phone numbers.
Corner Stone
And HRC shoots the double bird rods and ends with a massive “Fuck Donald Trump!”
Holy Shit! And I am spent.
Jacel
@Adam L Silverman: Can a case be made to the TV networks that the Republican debates in 2015/2016 included so many candidate that the party already exhausted its debate quota for the coming eight years?
Adam L Silverman
@Jacel: I’m not sure the TV networks understand that a case can be made for anything other than profit.
sigaba
@Adam L Silverman: The new Fairness Doctrine is: if we can sell ads for it, it’s fair.
GregB
@Jay Noble:
Barnabas Collins?
Adam L Silverman
@sigaba: Pretty much.
JDM
@Jay Noble: Barnabas Collins?
Omnes Omnibus
@JDM: That was going to be my guess.
Spider-Dan
The LA Times is apparently a bunch of hacks.
After every one of their polls for months has shown Trump with YUGE leads, here is their prediction on the eve of the election:
Clinton 352, Trump 186
That’s right: the same organization that CURRENTLY has Trump leading by 4.8 points has him… losing AZ.
Guys, months and months of being laughably wrong doesn’t count if we give out a real result the day before!
Hungry Joe
I walked a precinct for Applegate, phone banked a couple of hours. If Issa goes down, I want full credit.
sigaba
@Spider-Dan: To the LAT’s credit, they’ve torn their national tracking poll apart a couple times and are totally open about their methodology, which is very strange and heterodox. It was an experiment and they admit it yielded bizarre conclusions.
If Trump gets under 200 EVs I will be quite happy.
Mnemosyne
@Mary G:
“Bright young man!”
“Yo, who the eff is this?”
I can’t be totally sure how Hamilton would have felt about a woman president (he wasn’t much of a feminist), but there are several writings of his saying that Africans were just as smart as Europeans and he helped Haiti write their original constitution, so he would have been all in for Barack H. Obama.
sigaba
@Mnemosyne:
You know the theory is that Hamilton made his proposal intentionally a little crazy, because he and Madison were coordinating behind the scenes and they thought they could make the Virginia Plan look reasonable by comparison.
Omnes Omnibus
@Mnemosyne:
Burr was.
Spider-Dan
@sigaba: It’s a shameless push poll. It’s openly partisan hackery designed to skew the narrative.
The fact that they came out literally THE DAY BEFORE THE ELECTION and said, “Oh, gee, maybe our sampling is a bit skewed,” is showing their hand. If they were honest and sincere, they would have went down with the ship. Instead, they shout for months that Trump is dominating, then at the last minute, add a late-breaking update that Based On Some Recent Information, Hillary is now going to win in a laugher.
Total lack of journalistic integrity.
Jay Noble
@Bill E Pilgrim: Not quite :-)
Steeplejack (tablet)
@Jay Noble:
Kathy Baker, maybe?
sigaba
@Spider-Dan: They’re pretty open about how they do it and the aggregators have adjusted accordingly. I have no problem with people innovating in polling as long as they’re open about their methodology. We can call it a push poll exactly because they’re open about how they ask their questions.
Jay Noble
@GregB: Barnabas is actually kinda close I think :-)
The lady I’m picturing was somewhat bitchy and wore pearls she kept wrapping around her fingers
Jay Noble
@Steeplejack (tablet): THAT’s IT!!!!! Thank you!!!! Thhis has been worse than ear worm. LOL
sigaba
@Omnes Omnibus:
The man’s lucky he shot Alexander Hamilton otherwise he’d literally be lower than dirt; who remembers Benjamin Rush or William Paterson? Assassination is a sure ticket to posterity for both sides of the equation.
Spider-Dan
@sigaba: My problem is not with their polling methodology.
My problem is with them ignoring their obviously absurd poll results when it comes time to put their name to a prediction. If they actually believe Trump is up by 4.8 points, they should have him sweeping all the swing states; instead, they have him losing OH and AZ.
Clearly, even the LAT does not believe the nonsensical garbage formula being used to calculate their own poll. So if you don’t think your own poll formula is trustworthy, why continue to publish it?
Omnes Omnibus
@sigaba: Okay….
Steeplejack (tablet)
@Jay Noble:
LOL. You’re welcome. It’s my odd, minor superpower, which, unfortunately, I have never been able to monetize or even harness for the good of humankind. Also manifests in identification of voice-over talent in ads.
Glad I was able to scratch the itch.
Jeffro
Back from the Kaine/Biden rally here in Fairfax…whole lotta energy out there for a big win tomorrow, folks! Mark Warner is a pretty good speaker and Biden was just on. fire. “C’mon, we’re America, man!” LOL Got to see him afterwards and shake hands, what a pip.
Kaine gave a really on-point speech about values, insights on Hillary, and what makes American strong – easily under 15 min. My understanding is, he’s crashing in Richmond tonight so he can vote in the a.m., then head on up to NYC for the results to come in.
I’d like to wish the GOP luck running against TK in 2024, they’re going to need it.
sigaba
@Spider-Dan: This is their tacit admission that they have no faith in their experiment. I have a level of respect for this, considering they aren’t wetting their pants on Twitter every few hours about their decision, unlike Nate Silver.
@Omnes Omnibus: I report, you decide. (Sorry I just finished re-reading Assassination Vacation.)
The Moar You Know
San Diegan here. That video would have been MUCH more helpful a week or two ago. Just saying.
Spider-Dan
@sigaba: Again, the fact that their tacit admission comes one day before the election is what stinks. If it didn’t come months ago, it should have waited until Wednesday. This is their attempt to eat their cake and have it too.
ruemara
@PsiFighter37: Shut the hell up.
AxelFoley
@PsiFighter37:
Are you fucking kidding me? He DID do this in 2010 & 2014–for the Dems who DIDN’T run away from him. Most Dems ran away from Obama, and we lost the House and Senate as a result.
Fuck that noise. Place blame on the cowardly Dems who didn’t have their President’s back.
Procopius
@PsiFighter37: I think he didn’t do this in 2010 and 2014 because the DNC discouraged it and he still had some fcks left to give from his big bag of fcks. I wish he had recognized reality and gone into NMFTG mode back in 2010. We all would have had a lot more fun the last six years.
Procopius
@Gelfling 545: Truman explained it at some Dem convention or gathering or something. Given a choice between a Republican and a Democrat trying to pretend to be “conservative,” Republican voters are going to go for the real Republican every time. They know the real thing when they see it.