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I wonder if trump will be tried as an adult.

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You are here: Home / 2017 / Archives for April 2017

Archives for April 2017

Surely the Germans have a word for this…

by Betty Cracker|  April 25, 201711:13 am| 149 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Politics, Republican Stupidity, Trump Crime Cartel, Assholes, General Stupidity, Our Failed Media Experiment

I’ve long thought we’d be better off if the entire Beltway media contingent were summarily converted to Walmart greeters and their papers’ foreign correspondents recalled to replace them, then instructed to cover domestic politics as if still writing dispatches from a foreign capital.

That view was reinforced this morning by the spectacle of the German media politely covering Ivanka Trump like the presumptuous banana republic princess she is, something American infotainment personalities have repeatedly failed to do. Via Politico:

BERLIN — Ivanka Trump arrived in Berlin Tuesday morning armed with facts and figures to recite at what was expected to be a high-brow international summit to discuss women entrepreneurship, alongside German Chancellor Angela Merkel.

But on her first international trip as an official representative of the United States, the first daughter was put on the spot about her father’s attitudes toward women, booed and hissed at by the crowd, and grilled by the moderator about what, exactly, her role is in President Donald Trump’s administration.

“You’re the first daughter of the United States, and you’re also an assistant to the president,” the moderator, WirtschaftsWoche editor-in-chief Miriam Meckel, said. “The German audience is not that familiar with the concept of a first daughter. I’d like to ask you, what is your role, and who are you representing, your father as president of the United States, the American people, or your business?”

“Certainly not the latter,” Ivanka Trump said. “I’m rather unfamiliar with this role as well…It has been a little under 100 days and it has just been a remarkable and incredible journey.”

We’re all unfamiliar with the role because it shouldn’t exist, not outside a tin-horn kleptocracy. But while Trump’s sole non-fluff response about her role was to explicitly deny that she represents her business, the only tangible results she’s achieved in “office” have accrued to her brand. She’s done exactly nothing to “moderate” her lunatic father or advance the vague objectives she supposedly champions, i.e., empowering women and families.

Ivanka Trump, who was deeply involved with her father’s campaign and has been instrumental in his administration in the first three months in office, positioned herself as someone who is still in humbling listening tour mode. “I’m striving to think about how best to empower women in the economy,” she said, at one point calling herself a feminist. “I have no doubt that coming out of this trip I’ll be more informed.”

But she was booed and hissed at by the majority-women audience at the conference when she lauded her father for supporting paid leave policies. “I’m very proud of my father’s advocacy,” she said, calling him “a tremendous champion of supporting families and enabling them to thrive.”

The Politico account overdramatizes the reaction (shocking, I know) — it was more of a collective groan at the absurdity of framing the grotesque orange pussy-grabber as an advocate rather than actual booing and hissing (at least on the audio I heard). When asked to respond to the audience reaction, where the elder Trump would have screeched “FAKE NEWS,” Ivanka replied with a more modulated, polysyllabic version of that non-response:

“I’ve certainly heard the criticism from the media, that’s been perpetuated,” she said, drawing laughs from the audience.

Good for them, because laughter is an appropriate response to that ridiculous deflection. But Ivanka, still determined to pass her gross old fart-sack of a father off as pro-woman, barfed up the following treacle:

“As a daughter, I can speak on a very personal level. I grew up in a house where there were no barriers to what I could accomplish beyond my own perseverance and tenacity. That’s not an easy thing to do, he provided that for us. There was no difference [between Trump’s treatment of her and her brothers].

Well, Trump didn’t repeatedly imply that he’d like to shag the sons, so that’s at least one difference. But again, the overweening entitlement and self-regard. This isn’t a person who was born on third base and thinks she hit a triple. This is someone who was born in the Diamond Suite in the clubhouse and thinks she won the World Series.

Still, even people who should know better will go on assuming the shitgibbon’s chief enabler is a good influence and deserves credit for curbing the worst of her vile shit-stain of a father’s excesses. Jon Oliver dispatched this myth ably late last week:

The most telling tidbit was a quote from Ivanka’s book, “The Trump Card: Playing to Win in Work and Life,” which flat-out telegraphs her current role in the Trump shit-show:

Perception is more important that reality. If someone perceives something to be true, it is more important than if it is in fact true. This doesn’t mean you should be duplicitous or deceitful, but don’t go out of your way to correct a false assumption if it plays to your advantage.

As Oliver says, the apple didn’t fall very far from the orange. And the word I was looking for up top is “Scheiße,” which I imagine in thought-bubbles over the heads of the accomplished women who had to share a stage with this vapid dilettante. It’s just so embarrassing.

Surely the Germans have a word for this…Post + Comments (149)

Clinical Narcissism And Our Brand New War

by John Cole|  April 25, 20179:33 am| 146 Comments

This post is in: Dolt 45, Hail to the Hairpiece, War

This is but a mere sign of the insanity:

Top Trump administration officials will hold a rare briefing on Wednesday at the White House for the entire U.S. Senate on the situation in North Korea.

All 100 senators have been asked to the White House for the briefing by Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, Secretary of Defense Jim Mattis, Director of National Intelligence Dan Coats and General Joseph Dunford, chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, said White House spokesman Sean Spicer on Monday.

While administration officials routinely travel to Capitol Hill to address members of Congress on foreign policy matters, it is unusual for the entire Senate to go to the White House, and for all four of those officials to be involved.

Wednesday’s briefing was originally scheduled for a secure room at the Capitol, but President Donald Trump suggested a shift to the White House, congressional aides said.

So they are wasting a shitload of money building a secure room at the WH that can fit that number instead of having Der Hairpiece going to the Capitol for no reason other than dickwagging “make them come to me” bravado.

Meanwhile, at the NY Times:

Behind the Trump administration’s sudden urgency in dealing with the North Korean nuclear crisis lies a stark calculus: a growing body of expert studies and classified intelligence reports that conclude the country is capable of producing a nuclear bomb every six or seven weeks.

That acceleration in pace — impossible to verify until experts get beyond the limited access to North Korean facilities that ended years ago — explains why President Trump and his aides fear they are running out of time. For years, American presidents decided that each incremental improvement in the North’s program — another nuclear test, a new variant of a missile — was worrisome, but not worth a confrontation that could spill into open conflict.

Judith Miller was unavailable for comment. *** READ THIS ***

What color will we have to change the blog title to for our impending Korean adventurism?

Clinical Narcissism And Our Brand New WarPost + Comments (146)

Cutting subsidies to spend more on subsidies

by David Anderson|  April 25, 20178:08 am| 3 Comments

This post is in: Anderson On Health Insurance, C.R.E.A.M.

That is what the Kaiser Family Foundation is projecting. If Cost Sharing Reduction (CSR) subsidies are eliminated with enough time for insurers to price the change into their 2018 products, the federal government will spend on net more money on Exchange than if they are funded.

NEW: Fed govt could see net ↑ of $2.3 billion in costs in 2018 if #ACA cost-sharing reduction payments eliminated https://t.co/0eCLhhuUNp pic.twitter.com/7SJAgHQvYs

— Kaiser Family Found (@KaiserFamFound) April 25, 2017

How does this happen?

CSR subsidies are narrowly means tested. People who make between 100% and 150% of Federal Poverty Line (FPL) get an actuarial value (AV) bump to 94% of AV instead of the standard 70% Silver plan. People who between 150% and 200% FPL get bumped to an 87% AV plan. People who make between 200% and 250% FPL get bumped to a 73% AV plan. Anyone who makes more than 250% FPL does not get a CSR subsidy.

If CSR subsidies are pulled, insurers are still obligated to provide the CSR bumps. Their choices are to either raise rates or run for the hills. Wesley is the finance director at a small insurer.

If insurers are on exchange, we are obligated to provide CSRs; either we will get off exchange, or get paid for them another way https://t.co/7MpFDZgeI3

— Wesley Sanders (@wcsanders) April 25, 2017

Kaiser has projected that raising rates to pay for CSR without receiving CSR subsidies means a 20% index rate increase. This would apply to all buyers of Silver plans. The least expensive Silver plan would increase by 20%. Far more importantly, the benchmark Silver plan would increase by 20%. In some regions, like Alaska, this does not matter, everyone who was subsidy eligible was already receiving subsidies. However in low cost regions like Pittsburgh, subsidies currently fade out for younger buyers around 300% FPL. A 20% increase in the benchmark will qualify these buyers for subsidies that they otherwise would not have received.

This transmission mechanism is why I have not been too worried about CSR for 2018 as the premium tax credit structure provides a lot of protection for people who make under 400% FPL and buy on Exchange. The people who will be hurt will be off-Exchange or more generally non-subsidized buyers and even then carriers who can split their business into an on-Exchange pseudo CSR filing ID and an off-exchange non-pseudo CSR filing ID can provide protection as well as carriers who only operate off-Exchange. The key question has been if the Exchanges can limp to 2018 without CSR blowing them up.

At this point, it looks like the Exchanges can at least limp intact to the end of 2017. Once there, insurers can price in whatever they need to guard against sabotage.

Cutting subsidies to spend more on subsidiesPost + Comments (3)

Medical Marijuana, Medicaid and drug testing regimes

by David Anderson|  April 25, 20177:12 am| 16 Comments

This post is in: Anderson On Health Insurance

Health Affairs has an interesting paper that looks at Medicaid pharmacy spending differentials depending on state medical marijuana laws. It has an interesting finding:

We found that the use of prescription drugs in fee-for-service Medicaid was lower in states with medical marijuana laws than in states without such laws in five of the nine broad clinical areas we studied. If all states had had a medical marijuana law in 2014, we estimated that total savings for fee-for-service Medicaid could have been $1.01 billion

There are two caveats with this estimate. The first is not every state has a medical marijuana law although the number of states with this type of law is increasing. Secondly, Medicaid Fee for Service is a shrinking means of service delivery. More and more states are moving more of their Medicaid population and spending to Medicaid managed care organizations. Managed care increases the impact of the laws diverting prescription drug. A realistic all sources Medicaid estimate is at least double if not triple the fee for service estimate on my back of the envelope guess.

This is interesting as hell. I wonder how full legalization and decriminalization efforts change state spending on prescription drugs as those steps dramatically lower the retail cost of marijuana compared to the medicalization schemas.

More importantly, how does this work in a world of Medicaid 1115 waivers where the states want to test Medicaid beneficiaries for illegal drug use? Are they just testing for everything but marijuana? Are they testing for everything, sending people who ping positive for weed to expensive treatment and costing their Medicaid systems significantly more money due to both treatment and increased pharmacy costs?

How does this work? And should we as a society encourage medication substitution with medicalized marijuana?

I have no good answers for that.

**Bradford, A. C., & Bradford, W. D. (2017). Medical Marijuana Laws May Be Associated With A Decline In The Number Of Prescriptions For Medicaid Enrollees. Health Affairs. doi:10.1377/hlthaff.2016.1135

Medical Marijuana, Medicaid and drug testing regimesPost + Comments (16)

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: No Sooner Than Time

by Anne Laurie|  April 25, 20176:12 am| 112 Comments

This post is in: Dolt 45, Fables Of The Reconstruction, Open Threads, Post-racial America, Republican Venality, Ever Get The Feeling You've Been Cheated?

You can't be anti-participation trophies and pro Confederate statues. They are the world's biggest participation trophies.

— Larry Beyince (@DragonflyJonez) April 24, 2017

I first saw the story in the Washington Post, but here’s how one of the local papers covered it. From the New Orleans Advocate:

The removal of New Orleans’ monument to the Battle of Liberty Place under the cover of darkness early Monday morning marks a turning point in the nearly two-year-old debate over the fate of four Jim Crow-era statues.

Three other monuments targeted by Mayor Mitch Landrieu — memorializing Confederate generals Robert E. Lee and P.G.T. Beauregard and Confederate President Jefferson Davis — also are scheduled to come down, though the timing and other details of the removal are closely guarded secrets.

The dismantling of the Liberty Place obelisk came hours before a federal judge dismissed a lawsuit by groups seeking to keep the four monuments in place. The case had held up the removal for more than a year before judges on the 5th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals ruled recently that the city could proceed with its plans.

Of the four, the Liberty Place monument was widely seen as the most objectionable, and Landrieu explicitly described it that way. The 1891 monument commemorated a violent 1874 uprising by a local militia known as the White League, which fought with members of New Orleans’ biracial police force as it ousted the state’s “carpetbagger” Reconstruction-era government for several days before President Ulysses S. Grant sent in federal troops…

City officials said they were keeping details about the removals under wraps in light of threats and harassment reported by contractors who had previously been hired or expressed interest in the job. The Police Department’s SWAT team watched over the removal, with sharpshooters posted in a nearby parking garage and K-9 units checking the scene…

At one point, Joey Cargol, an opponent of taking down the statues who had been loudly criticizing the police and demanding to see a permit for the work, walked up to Suber. Acknowledging that they were on opposing sides, Cargol said he hoped they could agree the removal itself should have been handled more transparently.

“I know we’ve disagreed on a lot of things, but this is not the ways things should be handled,” Cargol said.

“They could have done this, announced it and let people show their opinion,” Suber said. “This is the coward’s way.”

“It’s hard to handle a defeat like this and hard to celebrate a victory like this,” Cargol replied.

With all due respect for those more immediately impacted, given the temper of the times, I can see why the Mayor chose this path. We’ve got quite enough would-be “heroes” wandering around armed and dangerously stupid, and too many martyrs already.

Apart from ongoing civic improvements, what’s on the agenda for the day?

Tuesday Morning Open Thread: No Sooner Than TimePost + Comments (112)

On The Road

by Alain Chamot (1971-2020)|  April 25, 20175:00 am| 14 Comments

This post is in: On The Road, Open Threads, Readership Capture

Good Morning All,

This weekday feature is for Balloon Juicers who are on the road, travelling, etc. and wish to share notes, links, pictures, stories, etc. from their escapades. As the US mainland begins the end of the Earth day as we measure it, many of us rise to read about our friends and their transient locales.

So, please, speak up and share some of your adventures, observations, and sights as you explore, no matter where you are. By concentrating travel updates here, it’s easier for all to keep up-to-date on the adventures of our fellow Commentariat. And it makes finding some travel tips or ideas from 6 months ago so much easier to find…

Have at ’em, and have a safe day of travels!

 

Should you have any pictures (tasteful, relevant, etc….) you can email them to [email protected] or just use this nifty link to start an email: Start an Email to send a Picture to Post on Balloon Juice

 

Now with even more Raven!

show full post on front page

On The RoadPost + Comments (14)

Late Night Creepshow Open Thread: Whither Bannon?

by Anne Laurie|  April 25, 20172:25 am| 27 Comments

This post is in: domestic terrorists, Hail to the Hairpiece, Open Threads, Post-racial America, Republican Stupidity, Trump Crime Cartel, Assholes, Decline and Fall, Our Failed Media Experiment

(Matt Davies via GoComics.com)

.

Dead Man Walking: A Bannon friend likened him to a terminally ill family member who had been moved to hospice care. https://t.co/l2FZWfd99L

— Ashley Parker (@AshleyRParker) April 13, 2017

Now that Steve Bannon is (theoretically) in eclipse — Vanity Fair even found a handful of former loyalists willing to be quoted denying their dark lord before cockcrow — his true disciples are debating what he might’ve done differently in the civil war against the Kushner/Cohn/Mnuchin globalist oligarchs. Olivia Nuzzi, professional sharpshooter, reports for NYMag: “The Alt-Right Is Debating Whether Bannon Needs a Better Press Strategy“:

Now that Steve Bannon has been temporarily or permanently sidelined by President Donald Trump, his nationalist allies — people who formerly identified as “alt-right,” but now reject that label as it has become synonymous with white supremacy — are debating what their man in the White House did wrong and what he might do to salvage the situation. One of the key questions up for debate is whether Bannon should have made better use of ideologically sympathetic media outlets — when he ran Breitbart News, he described it as “the platform” for the alt-right — to get out his side of the story.

The chief strategist to the president might have done better job of holding onto power, the thinking goes, if he were talking to those who want what he wants and have the benefit of seeing things the way they appear outside of the bubble of his “war room,” the name Bannon’s given his West Wing office…

In some ways, the question of whether Bannon should be cultivating more allies in the press is part of a larger debate over his operating style in the White House — which is to operate in isolation. “I’m not doing this to have friends,” he told me. “I don’t socialize a lot, I don’t bring people into my life. This is like being in the Navy, this is like a duty. I don’t enjoy this every day. This is not living; this is a kind of existence.”

Though he brought into the White House some of his own staff — Julia Hahn from Breitbart; Andrew Surabian from the Tea Party Express and Alexandra Preate, his personal flack — he has spent little political capital fighting for high-level strategists with whom he could align in ideological disputes…

Perhaps coincidentally, questions are being raised about the oft-told tale that Bannon made $32 million on a canny Seinfeld deal. It wouldn’t really matter, at this point, whether he made his grubstake off the Hollywood version of a scratch ticket… except that the alternative would cast his political success as entirely the product of semi-legitimate Robert & Rebekah Mercer money. Not a good look for a self-styled swashbuckling free spirit, at the very least.

But then, Bannon’s expulsion from Mar-a-Lago Eden would be a loss to Media Village Idiots far more “respectable” than the Pepe kkkrew… even those at the Grey Lady…

Whether u respect him or not Bannon is a deep if narrow reader who is trying to create an ideological/intellectual foundation for Trumpism. https://t.co/ayLRgX1hta

— Glenn Thrush (@GlennThrush) April 15, 2017

@GlennThrush @maggieNYT This is a dubious conclusion. If you were a deep reader of alchemy, you're no closer to making lead into gold. Not without an atom smasher

— (((Dileep Rao))) (@leepers500) April 15, 2017

Late Night Creepshow Open Thread: Whither Bannon?Post + Comments (27)

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