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You are here: Home / Economics / C.R.E.A.M. / When the light outside changes from red to blue

When the light outside changes from red to blue

by DougJ|  February 27, 201810:58 pm| 72 Comments

This post is in: C.R.E.A.M.

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Two more seats flipped from red to blue in special elections this evening.

In New Hampshire:

Tonight’s win comes in the New Hampshire House, where Democrat Philip Spagnuolo won a special election in House District Belknap-3, 54-46 percent. This marks a 19-point swing from Trump’s performance in this district in 2016; he won this district by a 54-41 margin. This is the fifth seat Democrats have flipped in the New Hampshire House this cycle, and it’s Democrats’ ninth win of the state’s 11 special elections.

Also:

And in Connecticut House District 120, Democrats just flipped their 39th state legislative seat of the cycle in Tuesday’s second red-to-blue flip (the first came in the New Hampshire House.) Democrat Phil Young won this seat 51-49 percent.

Let’s raise a little more money for the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, which is doing a great job helping Democratic candidates in all these state races.

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Reader Interactions

72Comments

  1. 1.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 27, 2018 at 11:01 pm

    Though you say I’m unkind
    I’m being as nice as I can

  2. 2.

    West of the Rockies (been a while)

    February 27, 2018 at 11:02 pm

    I hope these stories are causing visceral misery to conservative politicians, pundits, and voters.

  3. 3.

    Mike J

    February 27, 2018 at 11:03 pm

    The KY race had a 28 point swing to the Dems in a district Trump won by 62.

  4. 4.

    Doug!

    February 27, 2018 at 11:07 pm

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    Great song, right?

  5. 5.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 27, 2018 at 11:10 pm

    @Doug!: “Get Happy” is probably my favorite EC album.

  6. 6.

    Doug R

    February 27, 2018 at 11:11 pm

    Politico is gaming a 9 point swing still allowing the Republicans to keep the house. Not gonna work with 21-28 point swings.

  7. 7.

    mad citizen

    February 27, 2018 at 11:12 pm

    When pink turns to blue. Husker Du

  8. 8.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 27, 2018 at 11:16 pm

    @Doug R: Politico has become better since a couple of people left, but it still is stridently “Centrist.”

  9. 9.

    smike

    February 27, 2018 at 11:19 pm

    OT, but in Ben Carson news, Raw Story just ran a piece about Ben Carson spending over $31,000 to spruce up the dining room of his office while trying to cut the budget for the homeless and elderly HUD program. His spokesperson was quoted: “In general, the secretary does want to be as fiscally prudent as possible with the taxpayers’ money,” Williams added.

    Sounds like she wanted to add, “But, sometimes, you know, fuck a bunch of taxpayers.”

  10. 10.

    Mnemosyne

    February 27, 2018 at 11:23 pm

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    You said that and now I have an earworm of “Love for Tender.”

  11. 11.

    Mary G

    February 27, 2018 at 11:24 pm

    The Guardian says Ben Carson has just begun to spend:

    The US Department of Housing and Urban Development (Hud) has agreed to spend $165,000 on “lounge furniture” for its Washington headquarters, in addition to a $31,000 dining set purchased for housing secretary Ben Carson’s office.

    The revelations on Tuesday of Carson’s expensive decor spending come as Donald Trump’s administration has proposed a cut of $6.8bn to Hud’s annual budget, or roughly 14% of its total spending, which would lead to reductions in programs aimed at poor and homeless Americans.

    I guess the FTFNYT gets credit for breaking the table story, but WTF? Marie Antoinette has nothing on these people.

  12. 12.

    FlipYrWhig

    February 27, 2018 at 11:25 pm

    All news like this is good news but FYI there are about as many members of the New Hampshire state house as there are members of Congress.

  13. 13.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 27, 2018 at 11:27 pm

    @Mnemosyne: Listening to “King Horse” at this moment.

  14. 14.

    Mike J

    February 27, 2018 at 11:27 pm

    I mentioned it earlier, but Cook has moved PA-18 from lean R to toss up.

  15. 15.

    John Revolta

    February 27, 2018 at 11:29 pm

    @smike: @Mary G:

    In a November 2017 complaint obtained by CNN, Helen Foster said she was told to “find money” beyond the legal $5,000 limit for redecorating. In one instance, she says a supervisor said that “$5,000 will not even buy a decent chair.”

    Okaaaayyyy, then………..

  16. 16.

    Mike J

    February 27, 2018 at 11:30 pm

    Did the music people here see The 50 best southern rock albums list? Better than the name suggests.

  17. 17.

    dmsilev

    February 27, 2018 at 11:32 pm

    @Mary G:

    Williams, 29, is a former spokesman for the Republican National Committee, where he served as a deputy to Sean Spicer, Trump’s former White House press secretary. Williams is the son of the Fox News presenter Juan Williams.

    When asked on Tuesday to explain his misleading statement, Williams falsely stated that he had been asked only about spending on improvements to Carson’s office from what he called “the decorating budget”.

    “That’s what you were asking about, was the decorating budget, and no table was bought with the decorating budget,” said Williams. He then claimed he had actually been unaware a table had even been bought. “I walked over there and there was no new table there, so I did not know,” he said. “I did not find out until much later.”

    Williams then said that he had another phone call coming in and terminated the interview.

    First off, apparently Fox News is breeding a new generation of shameless liars. Second, kudos to the Guardian for explicitly calling out the lies. Our domestic media should (but won’t) take this as an example. Third, the $165K for “lounge furniture” either is or is not egregious. If they’re in the middle of redecorating the entire (big) headquarters building, it’s not ridiculous. If, as is quite possible, this is just for Ben Carson’s office, then not so much. The story doesn’t say one way or the other.

    Edit: Fourth, if your mentor in press-flack-dom is Sean Spicer, you should re-evaluate the life choices that brought you to this juncture.

  18. 18.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 27, 2018 at 11:35 pm

    @Mike J: I see Molly Hatchet. I begin to worry.

    ETA: Some real dreck, but some wonderful stuff too. Big Star should be higher.

  19. 19.

    John Revolta

    February 27, 2018 at 11:36 pm

    @Omnes Omnibus: @Mnemosyne: I was sitting around my friend’s house back when this record came out, watching TV and burning one, when outta nowhere Elvis Costello was on the tube, on a local UHF station no less, dressed and acting like a used car salesman………………

    “LOOK at these hits, ladies and gentlemen!! 20 Hits!! TWENTY!! You can’t go wrong with such a deal etc.etc.etc.”

    Then, just as suddenly, he was gone. I never saw it again.

  20. 20.

    LurkerNoLonger

    February 27, 2018 at 11:39 pm

    @Mary G: They’re making it all too easy for Dems to run (and win) on an anti-corruption platform. Keep it up guys.

  21. 21.

    Mnemosyne

    February 27, 2018 at 11:42 pm

    @Mary G:

    I know I’m not the only one to immediately think of this classic movie scene:

    “Thirty grand for a fucking table?!?”

  22. 22.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 27, 2018 at 11:45 pm

    @Mnemosyne: I love that movie. (No shit, right?)

  23. 23.

    GregB

    February 27, 2018 at 11:45 pm

    @FlipYrWhig:

    Republican hold a 216-173 advantage in the House, according to the latest update from the House speaker’s office.

    WMUR.

    This is the 5th Rep. to Dem. flip since the Trumpocalypse.

  24. 24.

    Mnemosyne

    February 27, 2018 at 11:47 pm

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    Tristram Shandy, by the same team, is also a terrific movie.

  25. 25.

    smike

    February 27, 2018 at 11:47 pm

    @John Revolta: To be fair, they have to eat while sitting in those chairs. Their sensibilities will NOT be ravaged by crappy government standards. Imagine eating steak and lobster at a $5,000 dollar dining room set. What would people say?

  26. 26.

    FlipYrWhig

    February 27, 2018 at 11:47 pm

    @LurkerNoLonger: And that’s the thing that not-particularly-political people really, really, REALLY hate. And it was what Trump, assisted by the media and the Russians and a big boost from the Sage of Burlington, successfully attached to Hillary Clinton like the world’s heaviest anchor: corruption. IMHO as a big-picture theme it tends to make a big difference, and could again.

  27. 27.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 27, 2018 at 11:48 pm

    @Mnemosyne: Based on the novel?

  28. 28.

    FlipYrWhig

    February 27, 2018 at 11:48 pm

    @Mnemosyne: The book, by Laurence Sterne in the 1750s and 1760s, is a brilliant Dada mindfuck in its own right.

  29. 29.

    Steeplejack

    February 27, 2018 at 11:48 pm

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    Plus (as usual) they are hyping the horse-race aspect—“Seriously, it could be close!”—to keep reader interest up. More clicks than eight months of “Yep, they’re gonna get slaughtered.”

    (Not that we should become complacent.)

  30. 30.

    efgoldman

    February 27, 2018 at 11:49 pm

    @dmsilev:

    If, as is quite possible, this is just for Ben Carson’s office, then not so much. The story doesn’t say one way or the other.

    Daddy Juan must be SO proud.

  31. 31.

    FlipYrWhig

    February 27, 2018 at 11:49 pm

    @Omnes Omnibus: It’s “meta.” About trying to make a film of an unfilmable book.

  32. 32.

    Mnemosyne

    February 27, 2018 at 11:52 pm

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    Yes and no. It’s somewhat similar to Charlie Kaufman’s Adaptation, except Winterbottom actually works some of the novel into the movie.

  33. 33.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 27, 2018 at 11:53 pm

    @FlipYrWhig: Ah. The book cannot be turned into a film, so they got that right. A Masterpiece or other series? Perhaps.

  34. 34.

    Mary G

    February 27, 2018 at 11:54 pm

    @dmsilev: The fact that they refuse to give any details of the $165,000 contract makes me think it’s bad.

  35. 35.

    Mnemosyne

    February 27, 2018 at 11:55 pm

    @FlipYrWhig:

    It’s pretty much the only way to make a film of that book, and the style is similar to 24 Hour Party People, which is one of my favorite unreliable narrator movies. Those are very hard to do.

  36. 36.

    hitchhiker

    February 27, 2018 at 11:55 pm

    I looked at that google doc the daily kos has been running about these off year races. By my rough count, the numbers so far are something like we’ve kept almost 90% of the seats we held and they’ve kept just over half of the ones they held.

    I wish it were more, and I hate it that they have so many seats to begin with, but I’d rather be us than them right now.

    I’m somehow on the R mailing list, so I get a lot of emails these days demanding $$$ to stop Nancy Pelosi. They’re going to run against her all year long.

  37. 37.

    Steeplejack

    February 27, 2018 at 11:57 pm

    @Mary G:

    I know I can’t really do my best work unless my workspace is just right.

  38. 38.

    Aleta

    February 27, 2018 at 11:59 pm

    @Doug R: Almost blue
    Flirting with this disaster became me
    It named me as the fool who only aimed to be
    Almost blue

  39. 39.

    chris

    February 27, 2018 at 11:59 pm

    Via Daniel Dale, two FTNYT headlines on Ben Carson.

    Two NYT stories, nine months apart: https://t.co/KAmyZEKzGm pic.twitter.com/5DoCuXGP1o— Daniel Dale (@ddale8) 27 February 2018

  40. 40.

    SiubhanDuinne

    February 28, 2018 at 12:00 am

    @dmsilev:

    Williams then said that he had another phone call coming in and terminated the interview.

    I’m about to go to bed and can’t be arsed to look for it, but I think this is almost word-for-word what Ivanka said to Teen Vogue a year or so ago when it dawned on her that the phone interview wasn’t going her way.

  41. 41.

    John Revolta

    February 28, 2018 at 12:05 am

    @smike: They must think they’re Greek tycoons……they have a mighty high opinion of their own asses

  42. 42.

    FlipYrWhig

    February 28, 2018 at 12:07 am

    @SiubhanDuinne: It calls to mind the dubbed Poochie voice saying “I have to go now, my planet needs me.”

  43. 43.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 28, 2018 at 12:12 am

    The Costello theme of this post just brought to mind the perfect EC song for our time. How To Be Dumb.*

    It is EC’s dis of his former bassist, Bruce Thomas, but it works, mate.

  44. 44.

    Steeplejack

    February 28, 2018 at 12:19 am

    @Mike J:

    Those Paste guys are contrarian fucksticks. Too much dragging in of personal-favorite albums from other genres. But the list has a lot of good stuff on it, as well as some stuff I need to check out.

    One from Wet Willie: “Everything That ’Cha Do (Will Come Back to You).”

    Les Dudek didn’t make the list, but “Old Judge Jones” is a classic Southern rocker. He worked with the Allmans and some other Atlanta groups.

  45. 45.

    lgerard

    February 28, 2018 at 12:20 am

    NFL boots Papa John’s through the uprights

    one more thing for the wingnuts to get butthurt about

  46. 46.

    Mnemosyne

    February 28, 2018 at 12:22 am

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    Note to self: never make EC mad at me.

    (That is also one of my favorites of his.)

  47. 47.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 28, 2018 at 12:24 am

    @Mnemosyne: That album doesn’t get a lot of love.

  48. 48.

    Washburn

    February 28, 2018 at 12:26 am

    The Earth cannot sustain 8 or 10 billion people. It’s impossible.

    Yes, it could if everyone was vegetarian and lived in high rise clusters in urban centers. But, guess, what, that is IMPOSSIBLE. You can’t change the behavior of 1/2 of the people with the best of intentions, and nobody else is going to change and there are far more assholes than people with the best of intentions. Hey, Balloon Juice folks, raise your hands: How many vegetarians who have given up air travel and live within walking distance of work? C’mon, how many. I am going to guess about 20 to 25% – tops.

    So, with any luck, there will be some kind of plague or asteroid to get the human population down to a non-destructive level. Yeah, it would be “bad” for 5 billion people to die suddenly. You know what is worse, having 9 billion people live in straightened circumstances, and then panic and desperation as most of them dies slowly over a few years and the survivors get to live out the decades of their life in desperation.

    What you are seeing now with the rocketing polar temps are the simple inevitable result of the billions of people living a conventional, industrial lifestyle that they will never give up. Never, never, never. If the population were 1/4 of what it is, people could all drive Escalades Would they be stupid and wasteful and killing the planet? Nope, they would not because their behavior wouldn’t be destroying the planet.

    Freaking out about the coming global inferno is absolutely pointless. You cannot change it. It’s like complaining about the rain. Nothing you can do will change it.

  49. 49.

    Mnemosyne

    February 28, 2018 at 12:28 am

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    That album one of my favorites. “Couldn’t Call It Unexpected” is a surprisingly good road trip song to belt out.

  50. 50.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 28, 2018 at 12:31 am

    @Mnemosyne: You are different.

  51. 51.

    Mnemosyne

    February 28, 2018 at 12:32 am

    @Washburn:

    You know what would work to get the population to manageable levels? Women having equal rights, with full access to abortion and birth control that they decide on.

    It’s been proven over and over again that if women are allowed to decide for themselves how many children to have, the vast majority will choose 2 or fewer, and many women will choose to have none at all.

    Your best bet for population control is women’s rights. So hop to it.

  52. 52.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 28, 2018 at 12:36 am

    @Mnemosyne: A new type of troll?

  53. 53.

    Mnemosyne

    February 28, 2018 at 12:39 am

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    He’s been here before. More of a one-note crank than a true troll.

    But it is true that anyone who’s serious about population control needs to support full equality for all women worldwide. Women in developing countries aren’t having 6 or 8 kids because they want that many. They don’t have any other choice.

  54. 54.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 28, 2018 at 12:45 am

    @Mnemosyne: “No glove, no love. Don’t drink and drive.” The best safety briefing I ever got from a senior officer.

  55. 55.

    MobiusKlein

    February 28, 2018 at 12:54 am

    @Washburn: can I bike to work? Or is that wrong think?

  56. 56.

    Washburn

    February 28, 2018 at 12:56 am

    @Mnemosyne:

    Sure that’s true. It would also solve global warming if every industrialized country devoted most of their budgets to carbon sequestration. Oh, and giving everybody cupcakes, too.

    About the same chance of those two things happening.

    They’re both very laudable goals, though, from the perspective of doing what is morally right.

  57. 57.

    Washburn

    February 28, 2018 at 12:58 am

    @MobiusKlein:
    Knock yourself out.

    Look, here is the thing. You are going to die. Everybody is going to die. The planet is going to undergo cataclysmic changes and nothing will stop that. The earth will survive Life, in some form will carry on. Humans just probably won’t be part of it. That’s fine, too.

    Nothing you can do is going to change that. Some things – like biking to work – don’t increase the load on the earth and more importantly here make you feel better. That is an undiluted good.

  58. 58.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 28, 2018 at 12:58 am

    Trying again.

  59. 59.

    Glenn

    February 28, 2018 at 12:59 am

    It is so weird to see my home district in a post like this. There hasn’t been a Dem in the CT state house in my district since ten years before I was born, and the guy who won today did it by fifty votes.

  60. 60.

    Washburn

    February 28, 2018 at 1:02 am

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    I’m sorry, I was talking to that other guy. You are going to go live at Grandma’s place in the country where the bacon is so pure that it doesn’t hurt your heart and the bourbon doesn’t hurt your liver. Say a prayer for those other folks though.

  61. 61.

    Omnes Omnibus

    February 28, 2018 at 1:04 am

    @Washburn: You are a very cheerful person. I shall mention to everyone else that we are going to die. I ask you how we should handle this?

  62. 62.

    Mnemosyne

    February 28, 2018 at 1:08 am

    @Washburn:

    It would also solve global warming if every industrialized country devoted most of their budgets to carbon sequestration. Oh, and giving everybody cupcakes, too.

    Well, let’s see — you can sit around and wait for the meteor strike you dream of to magically occur, or you can get up off your ass and actually take action towards mitigating the upcoming catastrophe.

    Not surprisingly, you’re choosing to sit on your ass and lecture other people rather than working towards an end result that would actually make a difference.

  63. 63.

    Mnemosyne

    February 28, 2018 at 1:12 am

    @Omnes Omnibus:

    I especially love the part where solving the problem by making billions of people’s lives better is actually less attractive to him than mass genocide.

    He’s actively unwilling to take steps to change the things he’s complaining about but thinks he’s morally superior because he’d rather stroke off to the thought of mass extinctions than take effective action.

  64. 64.

    Mnemosyne

    February 28, 2018 at 1:47 am

    Funny how the troll just up and vanishes as soon as I point out that there is an actual, real-world way to solve his pet issue that he refuses to take action on. ?

  65. 65.

    frosty

    February 28, 2018 at 2:05 am

    @Washburn: One of the commenters on the now-defunct Oil Drum blog had a sig that stuck with me: “Is mankind smarter than yeast?”

    My take:
    Beer: yeast consume all the sugar, die. Peak Oil.
    Wine: yeast consume all the sugar they can, die in their own waste alcohol. Climate Change.

    Answer: No.

  66. 66.

    frosty

    February 28, 2018 at 2:10 am

    @frosty: Hmm. Probably shouldn’t have responded to the troll. Nevertheless, I’ve always thought the yeast comparison was useful. Run out of fuel or poison ourselves in our own waste?

    Or hey, porque no los dos?

  67. 67.

    M. Bouffant

    February 28, 2018 at 2:38 am

    @John Revolta: Hope you’re as ready as you were in 1980. https://youtu.be/ztG3zQhEyKs

  68. 68.

    Chet Murthy

    February 28, 2018 at 4:49 am

    @Mnemosyne: Well, to be fair to him, the argument that change is useless, is a great one, if you’re trying to prevent change. It’s a great rhetorical tactic, eh?

  69. 69.

    Booger

    February 28, 2018 at 6:48 am

    @Steeplejack: boy, that brings back 1977 memories, dunnit?

  70. 70.

    Dave

    February 28, 2018 at 7:16 am

    @Mnemosyne: What gets me about that type is why waste time with the doomsaying and whining. If we are inevitably screwed unless there is mass die off catastrophe (which is kinda a form of being screwed) why waste anyone’s time on it? What’s the point?

  71. 71.

    MobiusKlein

    February 28, 2018 at 10:02 am

    @Dave: Because if we are doomed, no point in trying to stave it off. So long as the meteor hits when I’m already 6 feet under, no skin off my back.

  72. 72.

    Lalophobia

    February 28, 2018 at 10:09 am

    @Washburn: Well everybody’s going to die regardless of global warming. That’s just a fact.

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