We raised 42K for 40 candidates in six days on our last go around. Now I’ve got 46 more candidates, suggested by you, the readers. I love that not all of these 46 are top tier, I was just reading Dave Wasserman talk about how many non-top tier races end up being close, and how many of those could be swung by some money.
Remember, if we lose the House all the investigations are probably over.
You know what to do. If you want to avoid too many mailing lists, you can just give to a few candidates and not have it spread out.
Here’s the list of candidates:
Sara Dady (IL-16)
Ben McAdams (UT-04)
George Scott (PA-10)
Jess King (PA-11)
Jeramey Anderson (MS-04)
Tedra Cobb (NY-21)
Tracy Mitrano (NY-23)
Lauren Underwood (IL-14)
Liz Watson (IN-09)
Antonio Delgado (NY-19)
Betsy Londrigan (IL-13)
Carolyn Bourdeaux (GA-07)
Richard Ojeda (WV-03)
Nate McMurray (NY-27)
Jahana Hayes (CT-05)
Carolyn Long (WA-03)
Lucy McBath (GA-06)
MJ Hegar (TX-31)
Greg Stanton (AZ-09)
Karen McCormick (CO-04)
Lisa Brown (WA-05)
Jesse Colvin (MD-01)
Mallory Hagan (AL-03)
Cort VanOstran (MO-02)
Jamie McLeod-Skinner (OR-02)
Ammar Campa-Najjar (CA-50)
Diane Mitsch Bush (CO-03)
Julie Oliver (TX-25)
Kim Schrier (WA-08)
Christine Brown (WA-04)
Talley Sergent (WV-02)
J.D. Scholten (IA-04)
Leslie Cockburn (VA-05)
Tom Palzewicz (WI-05)
Justin Kanew (TN-07)
Mike Siegel (TX-10)
Mariah Phillips (TN-04)
Dana Balter (NY-24)
Jessica Morse (CA-04)
Todd Litton (TX-02)
Gina Ortiz Jones (TX-23)
Dan Feehan (MN-01)
Joe Radinovich (MN-08)
Joseph Kopser (TX-21)
Danny O’Connor (OH-12)
Mary Barzee Flores (FL-25)
Raoul
Schloten and Mitsche Bush are a couple of the one’s I’ve been giving to for a while. Thanks for this!
Oh, and I’m really worried about MN-08.
dmsilev
That ship has sailed. According to my Gmail trash folder, I got 345 please-send-money emails. Yesterday.
debit
@dmsilev: Ditto. I know they have to be aggressive about raising money, but it feels like never ending pressure. Read this before midnight! We must raise another $XXXX or democracy is finished! All of these within minutes of donating money that’s coming out of my grocery budget. I don’t mind eating on the cheap for the next month, but come on! If I had more I’d donate more.
And yes, I just kicked in again because it’s important, but I’m going to go on blocking spree with a vengeance.
Barry
Dana Nessel is running for AG of Michigan (currently known as ‘Michissippi’):
https://www.dana2018.com
Please put her on the list.
Anonymous At Work
Link to Wasserman’s piece?
??? Goku (aka Amerikan Baka) ??
So fellow Ohioans, what do you think of Issue 1? I overall like it, but a bunch of local candidates for county judge as well as a judge presiding over a drug court is talking about what a bad idea it is and that will allow drugs to flow into the state or something and that the current drug court system works just fine
I’m not very familiar with Ohio’s drug court system so I don’t how well it does. Kay would be a big help here considering she lives in Ohio and has a law background I believe.
wv blondie
I’m so glad Talley Sergent made the list (WV-02)! She’s taking on our incumbent carpetbagger Alex Mooney (or ALEC Money, as I call him) – one of the slimiest backbenchers the GOP’s got. His entry () doesn’t begin to cover what a shitheel he is.
Talley (), OTOH, is fifth-generation WVian – her grandfather was a doctor who used to make house calls! She worked for the U.S. State Department, then Coca Cola, and then moved back here. So she loves West Virginia, and knows there’s a big, wide world out there that we’re a part of.
Major Major Major Major
@??? Goku (aka Amerikan Baka) ??: gosh, I’m shocked that drug-conviction-happy law enforcement types are drug-conviction-happy.
WaterGirl
@debit: It’s pretty awful. Regardless, I have only about 5 people whose mailing lists I stay on once I donate:
Beto
Sherrod Brown
Richard Cordrey
Conor Lamb
Everybody else got booted off for their pushiness.
Doug!
@Anonymous At Work:
I can’t remember exactly where it was, I think it was on Twitter somewhere
WaterGirl
I have had this tab open for at least 2 days – I haven’t read it yet because even the title breaks my heart because of the truth of it:
This Was Never About Finding Out the Truth
Brett Kavanaugh’s testimony before the Senate was a lesson in power—who wields it, and at whose expense.
Mnemosyne
Brief off-topic whining: I seem to have contracted a cold virus that is very similar to one I had last April, in that it makes me cough until I can get my head positioned just right while I’m laying down, but the necessary body position now makes my bad knee hurt. Ugh.
This is why I got zero sleep last night — every time I got into a position where I could breathe without coughing, my knee would start to hurt and I would have to move back into a position that made me cough. I did that for about 8 hours straight, so I called in sick to work to see if I can get a little more sleep.
??? Goku (aka Amerikan Baka) ??
@Major Major Major Major:
Yeah, I figured that. My county is Democratic but it’s very red outside the city (many African-Americans live there) and even in the suburbs. The city repeatedly votes down a “Community Charter” that supposed to ban fracking at the local level and every Dem runs against it. I definitely don’t live in SoCal or NYC.
The county court is an open seat right now, so lots are running. I may leave it blank or just vote for a neighbor who has government administrative experience who’s running for the court.
WaterGirl
@Mnemosyne: That sucks, Mnem. Recovery is hard. I can’t take cold medicine because it makes me agitated, but with a really bad cough if I knock back a shot of hard liquor as I head to bed, that seems to quiet the cough and I can get to sleep. I shudder when I have to swallow the brandy (or whatever) but it’s worth it. Maybe you could try that?
WaterGirl
@Mnemosyne: This is Balloon Juice – is whining ever considered off topic??
SoupCatcher
@dmsilev: Baby steps. At least the solicitations aren’t via snail mail anymore. Leading up to the 2006 elections, I felt that my tiny donations were spent entirely on printing and postage, sending me invitations to donate again.
opiejeanne
@Mnemosyne: can you sleep sitting up? would that help or are you already doing this in an easy chair or on the sofa?
C Stars
@Mnemosyne: Ugh, that sounds miserable. I hope you can catch up on some sleep today. Are you sleeping with your head elevated?
C Stars
@Barry: I’ve been doing some campaign work supporting Dana but am not in Michigan. Some people are referring to some attacks against her that they feel have been worrisomely effective. I assume they are talking about a GOP ad earlier this year that took her words out of context, but do you have any further information about this?
seaninclt
@Doug!: Any chance we could start a local/state races – state houses and senate? I know a few good candidates around here could use some money, and as you said, a little money goes a long way in small seat races.
Marcopolo
To be fair, and I created a special gmail just for when I give campaign contributions and that account is buried under an avalanche of emails, yesterday was the end of the quarter and every campaign worth its salt was spamming folks for last minute contributions that could be included in the 3rd quarter FEC fundraising report.
Glad to see Jahana Hays & Cort VanOstran on this list.
Huge thanks to everyone here who is making any kind of contribution: cash, time, food, letters-to-the-editor, expertise to any campaign at any level. We are the citizen heroes/heroines we’ve been waiting for. At my regular Sunday GOtV postcard writing event yesterday, an amazing woman from Washington, MO (an hour drive to the west) came in with a bin that had 3,100 stamped completed postcards that she & her group had written over the past week. Washington is very conservative & it is likely no local D on the ballot there will win but they are working like crazy to make sure that no D vote in MO is left unturned out.
Finally, I am so happy that so many amazing and courageous people are running for office as Ds this year.
dmsilev
Oops, time to find a new talking point:
(TPM Livewire)
Remember, Kavanaugh testified under oath that he didn’t have any sort of drinking problem. Which was a lie, of course.
Villago Delenda Est
Steely Dan reference for the win!
Villago Delenda Est
@dmsilev: Everything douchebro testified to should merit a castration.
Mnemosyne
@WaterGirl:
I took some Benadryl before bed, which usually knocks me right out, but didn’t last night. I think my asthma inhaler made me jittery, which happens fairly often.
@opiejeanne:
What’s weird about this specific virus is that sitting up is actually worse. I basically have a reverse runny nose with a ton of post-nasal drip. If I sit up, it goes straight down to my lungs and makes me cough. If I can lay on my side, I can make it go down my esophagus instead and avoid the cough. But laying on my side makes my knee hurt, so I keep having to switch positions. ?
Marcopolo
Here is the first of many of these stories you will see this week:
Dana Balter raises record $1.5 million for race against John Katko
I can only imagine how much Beto will announce.
KSinMA
Thanks, Doug. I’m in!
dmsilev
@Villago Delenda Est: Somebody, at LG&M I think, brought up that as an option. They made the good point that it would have ensured that the hearings took place at a higher level, or at least in a higher register…
Hungry Joe
Donating is important … but so is volunteering. I walked a precinct (CA-49) for Mike Levin yesterday; he’s running for Issa’s seat, which has been red forever but is now reckoned to lean blue. And here’s an inspirational volunteer story for y’all:
The nonprofit my wife works for is very involved in San Diego’s Measure D, which would move important elections to November instead of June. There’s a much higher turnout in November, and the Powers that Be, and corporate interests, like to get things on a June ballot because it’s easier to sneak things through that way. Anyway, she told me there’s a house party/fundraiser for Measure D being held at the home of Bill Walton. (She has never followed sports of any kind, but she does know who Walton is.)
Walton has gotten involved in a number of progressive issues. A couple of years ago I was at a city council meeting about minimum wage. There were about 40 speakers signed up to address the council, so it was a long wait for some of them. One of them was Walton. He sat there for almost two hours, waiting for his three minutes at the mic. He was passionate and persuasive, arguing for higher wages for maids, janitors, and fast-food employees. He left with no fanfare.
This morning I asked my wife if she’d ever met him. She said, “Oh, yeah. He’s a nice guy. I phone banked with him one time. He brought his own chair.”
JohnMCinNc
DD Adams is a great candidate running against the horrible Trump Humper Virginia Foxx (NC 5). She is a former Teamster and City Councilperson. Virginia Foxx is the cross-eyed old harpy who loves to stand next to Mango Mussolini when he is signing some despicable order
WaterGirl
@Marcopolo: Does anyone have a link to Beto in the drive-through after the debate? The one where they are listening to Quadropheniaz in the car? I could use a pick-me-up today but the google is not cooperating.
PAM Dirac
@wv blondie:
Yes we thought we had gotten rid of him in MD, but his sliminess still stains. As I mentioned in the note yesterday, he hired a MD state sentor to be his chief of staff. ALEC, Jr. also called the Ted Cruz of the MD State Senate, represents my district and I’m working to defeat him (https://douglass4senate.com/). I sent some directly to Sergent yesterday and kicked in another couple hundred to the general fund because it would be so sweet to knock ALEC Jr out of two jobs.
squid696
Beto needs to up his game on the TV commercial front. He has ads up, which is nice, but I have only seen one generic ad. No ads saying what he wants to see done and nothing challenging Cruz. Cruz has the expected attack ads going even on MSNBC here
Marcopolo
@WaterGirl: Here you go
waratah
@Marcopolo: He said on the key note for the Trib Fest it would be lots. I watched the whole interview it was marvelous he is a consummate politician. This helped get my mind from Kavanaugh.
WaterGirl
@waratah:
Do you have a link? I could use some hope and inspiration about now.
WaterGirl
@Marcopolo: thank you!
waratah
@squid696: He won’t do ads attacking Cruz does not call him by name except sometimes as The Junior Senator. His ad answering those attacks were made in his kitchen on Facebook last night.
KSinMA
@WaterGirl: Someone posted this last night, I think. It’s a point-by-point analysis of BK’s lies, prevarications, and misleading statements from Friday. Mighty good (though you can skip the overlong intro).
https://www.currentaffairs.org/2018/09/how-we-know-kavanaugh-is-lying
waratah
@WaterGirl: I will try to find it
WaterGirl
@waratah: Thank you! Marcopolo posted a link a few comments up, so no need to look unless you have the slightly longer version. Beto is certainly a tonic for these times.
Marcopolo
@squid696: Really? I certainly don’t live in TX but my understanding is the key to Beto winning is to get folks to vote who either 1) don’t normally vote in midterms; or 2) don’t vote period. Putting money into TV or other media buys doesn’t help with that at all. Putting money into local offices, hiring campaign workers to do ground work, and investing money in other campaign infrastructure is much much more helpful. IMHO the worst thing about campaign funding is the huge amounts of money that flushed into last minute ads designed to persuade a tiny fraction of the electorate that for some godforsaken reason is still undecided on how they will vote in the last days leading up to the election.
And I’d note also that Beto seems to be the exception rather than the rule of getting shit-tons of earned media (free coverage the campaign gets from local/national press).
TenguPhule
So I wake up to news about Trump’s concentration camps for children, Republican women whoring themselves out to support Special K and now all I want is for the fucking meteor to arrive.
TenguPhule
@Villago Delenda Est:
So what happens after the second time?
Doug!
@Hungry Joe:
Great story!
Marcopolo
@TenguPhule: Maybe limit your exposure. Just a thought. I know I have had to change my news consumption regimen over the past year and a half. Go do something positive for yourself (or someone else, or an animal, or your community…) instead.
wv blondie
@PAM Dirac: I was a reporter when Mooney first oozed into elected office – he gave me the creeps from the very first time I met him. Jessica Douglass looks amazing! I’ll kick her a few dollars when I get paid.
TenguPhule
@Marcopolo:
it was literally the first thing I heard as the fucking alarm went off this morning and the radio started playing.
Marcopolo
@Hungry Joe: Thanks for this story! Timer just went off on how long I can goof off here but always great to leave on a positive note :).
guachi
Cook Political Report, which I trust for giving me unbiased ratings and breakdowns of races, moved five races to the Democrats last week out of five ratings changes. Cook is often late to change their ratings, but that’s typical of predictions. Cook makes sure to have good reason to change any one race.
But even so, based on past predictive patterns, the Democrats have the following predicted chance of taking the House with predicted number of seats. I’ve included the idea of a “swing” where races break more to one party than the other. If you believe in such a thing (and I do) you can see how it affects things. The biggest change is on toss-up districts — and there are a lot this cycle.
No further ratings changes, no swing – 90.89% and 221.9 seats
No further ratings changes, swing – 99.98% and 228.6 seats
Predicted ratings changes, no swing – 93.79% and 224.1 seats
Predicted ratings changes, swing – 99.99% and 231.0 seats.
The “no further ratings changes, no swing” numbers have changed dramatically in the past month as the numbers approach my predictions, which is that the Democrats gain about one seat every 20 days in Cooks ratings.
The Democrats don’t have a lock on things, especially if the “swing” doesn’t really happen. So late fundraising/enthusiasm will go a long way to putting marginal candidates over the line.
PAM Dirac
@wv blondie:
Much appreciated. She is the real thing. I highly recommend volunteering as form of therapy. If you only listen to the major media you can get the impression that everyone in politics are awful people, but there are plenty of people running like Jessica and Talley that are working hard to listen and make government work for everyone and it is a pleasure to be around them.
Mary G
Well, between today and yesterday, Doug, I gave more than a third of my monthly income. Best I can do. Writing postcards now.
trollhattan
Tick perhaps fucking tock.
WaterGirl
@Mary G: Do we need to put together an intervention? :-)
waratah
@WaterGirl: I had trouble trying to get the link to work from the Texas Tribune but Beto has the full thing on his Facebook put up with the thank you sit starts with because the rest is all Beto. Right now there are a lot of videos including the add he made and the concert. This and the concert is probably why the Republicans are going crazy with attack adds.
zhena gogolia
@debit:
So sick of it.
WaterGirl
@waratah: Oh, thank you! I should have read more carefully – I thought you were going to link to the car thing, but you were responding to the interview question.
I don’t do twitter, but I am off to read his page on-line.
stinger
I donated to JD Scholten, who probably won’t bounce the unspeakable Steve King out of the House, but it’s worth trying, and to the only Wisconsin candidate on the list, because I hate thinking of Wisconsin as a red state.
The Moar You Know
@dmsilev: Wonder if Trump’s about to yank him. Probably not. But he hates a drunk. One of the few things he and I have in common.
squid696
@waratah: If he does not want to run ads attacking Cruz that is his choice, but he does not have any ads saying what he is for. I just don’t understand the point of running the same generic ad over and over again.
debit
@zhena gogolia: I mean, I understand that they have to do it. It’s just that I already feel under so much pressure and stress that every ask is like a scream in the face.
squid696
I think Beto should run this a TV ad: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zx1GtOSaCgo.
H.E.Wolf
Thank you, Doug! – and thank you, jackals. It was inspiring to see this list being created in last night’s suggestion thread.
I’m thrilled that this list includes all 4 of the WA State Democratic women who are running in districts held by Republicans. Imagine an entirely blue Congressional delegation….
zhena gogolia
@debit:
Yep. And my best friend’s name is Nancy and last name begins with a P, so every time I get an e-mail from Nancy Pelosi with something like “I’m hyperventilating here! God, please help me!” I immediately think it’s my friend and get all upset until I realize what it is.
J R in WV
@wv blondie:
I was often in the same room as Talley Sargent during the 2016 election when she was state lead for the Clinton campaign. I was a lowly volunteer making phone calls on Hillary’s behalf every night for weeks. She never introduced herself, nor even made eye contact with me, even after I had been there over and over.
Arrogant and dismissive of volunteers! Come on, that’s no way to lead a campaign!
I wouldn’t vote for her for dog catcher, frankly, after the way she treated me, or didn’t treat me.
J R in WV
@J R in WV:
Well, actually, if I lived in the 2nd district, I would vote for Ms Sergent for Congress. I over spoke. But she did annoy me no end at the time. Maybe I was over sensitive? Could be.
wv blondie
@J R in WV: I’m really sorry to hear that! I’ve met her a couple of times, but only as a candidate (which means she’s solicitous of everyone she comes in contact with). But – and it’s the only “but” that matters right now – she will be better than Mo(o)ney.
ciotog
Just split my contribution between Lucy McBath (who I believe is the mother of Jordan Davis, who was murdered by a racist white man who claimed it was self-defense) and Ammar Campa-Najjar. Felt good to do something good.