Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Jesus watching the most hateful people claiming to be his followers

rich, arrogant assholes who equate luck with genius

Dear legacy media: you are not here to influence outcomes and policies you find desirable.

Conservatism: there are people the law protects but does not bind and others who the law binds but does not protect.

Too often we confuse noise with substance. too often we confuse setbacks with defeat.

Their boy Ron is an empty plastic cup that will never know pudding.

I’m starting to think Jesus may have made a mistake saving people with no questions asked.

Dear media: perhaps we ought to let Donald Trump speak for himself!

There is no right way to do the wrong thing.

These days, even the boring Republicans are nuts.

Republicans don’t want a speaker to lead them; they want a hostage.

Republicans cannot even be trusted with their own money.

Disagreements are healthy; personal attacks are not.

The desire to stay informed is directly at odds with the need to not be constantly enraged.

The “burn-it-down” people are good with that until they become part of the kindling.

When do we start airlifting the women and children out of Texas?

Someone should tell Republicans that violence is the last refuge of the incompetent, or possibly the first.

When we show up, we win.

Since we are repeating ourselves, let me just say fuck that.

Historically it was a little unusual for the president to be an incoherent babbling moron.

When I was faster i was always behind.

Weird. Rome has an American Pope and America has a Russian President.

The real work of an opposition party is to oppose.

He really is that stupid.

You are here: Home / Politics / America / Open Thread: Returns Coming In

Open Thread: Returns Coming In

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I am settling in and starting to knit. The 538 election monitor just gave people heart palpitations, but as of this instant seems to be back to 5 out of 9 that Dems will take the House. Someone on Twitter commented that the way that indicator is fluctuating means it’s not a very good indicator. Which I tend to agree with.

Meanwhile, some good things are happening.

https://twitter.com/MonicaBPotts/status/1059979039157444608

I’m looking forward to the results of some of the New Mexico races, but the polls haven’t closed yet. They will at the hour.

Reader Interactions

304Comments

  5. 5.

    Mary G

    Some hope in Georgia, court orders a few places kept open until 10 p.m. EST:

    BREAKING: We secured an extension of poll hours at 3 sites in Fulton County, Georgia.Pittman Park Rec. Center NOW OPEN UNTIL 9pm.Morehouse: Archer & Booker T. Washington poll sites NOW OPEN UNTIL 10pm.Major victory for voters! Call us at 866-OUR-VOTE for help! @LawyersComm pic.twitter.com/qmhDTjNyP5— Kristen Clarke ☎️866-OUR-VOTE (@KristenClarkeJD) November 7, 2018

    If Kemp holds on, his election will be totally bogus.

  11. 11.

    Mnemosyne

    I’m going to try and stay away from the news tonight. I need to work on my novel and send s_c some movie review notes anyway, so it’s for my own good.

    Contrary to my foul-mouthed persona here, I never swear at my day job, so all of my coworkers came running after I yelled out, “Oh, shit!” when I dropped a full cup of hot chocolate on the office floor. They were worried that I had injured myself since they’d never heard me swear before. ?

  13. 13.

    guachi

    McGrath lost in Kentucky.

    Democrats still haven’t won a seat where the 538 chance was under 50%. They’ve lost 4 seats where the chance was 40-50%.

    This is looking like a disaster.

  14. 14.

    cain

    Florida is really driving me crazy. I swear to God, something has got to be done about that place. Maybe climate change will help.

  17. 17.

    Cheryl Rofer

  18. 18.

    Mnemosyne

    @guachi:

    Nothing personal, but this kind of stuff is why I need to check out tonight for my own sanity. I should get some good progress on my novel, at least. Good night, all!

  19. 19.

    dr. bloor

    Sorry Betty, I’m voting against every climate change initiative in the future until Florida is completely and irreversibly underwater. And I don’t want to hear any “purple state” shit. The borders are open.

    Fuck Florida.

  29. 29.

    Pogonip

    In my little corner of the world, various levies funding needed services are all passing by large margins. I’m pleased.

  33. 33.

    Jim, Foolish Literalist

    we need some good news

    Jamie Dupree @ jamiedupree
    UPSET ALERT in VA2, as Democrat Elaine Luria is now ahead of Rep Scott Taylor by 2,000 votes with 87% reporting

    Taniel @ Taniel
    9m9 minutes ago
    Abigail Spanberger has now taken a narrow lead over GOP Rep. Dave Brat, with 94% reporting (13 precincts left) in #VA07, a conservative seat. She’s up 533 votes.

  36. 36.

    Jim, Foolish Literalist

    I thought this R would pull it out, cross your fingers and spit three times

    Taniel @ Taniel
    Another place where Dems can build a House majority, IF they can hold on: #FL26 GOP Rep. Curbelo is trailing by 3,000 votes (50.7-49.3) with 87% of precincts reporting.

    voter rights restoration seems to have passed

  38. 38.

    Mary G

    It’s not as good as I hoped, but seems clear that Amendment 4 is going to pass in Florida, and I doubt many of the people who have their voting rights restored are going to be Republicans, so we need to sign them up for 2020.

  46. 46.

    gene108

    @Quinerly: @Baud:

    Wonder how much Phil killled his chances with his support of Kavanaugh?

    I can see people just not voting for him and voting down ballot

  48. 48.

    Raven

    DAN HOPKINS9:07 PM
    When election results differ from expectations, there is a tendency to assume that it was the result of recent campaign activities. But the evidence is that Americans’ preferences for the Republicans vs. Democrats have been very stable. Take a look, for instance, at polling from Civiqs and just how consistent it has been.

  53. 53.

    MomSense

    It doesn’t make sense to me that restoration of felon voting rights should would outperform Nelson and Gillum.

  57. 57.

    Mike J

    It should be pointed out that not only did Davis lose her county clerk seat, she lost it to somebody to whom she denied a license.

  58. 58.

    cain

    It’s amazing to me that everything is too close to call given the state of this country. It seems Trump’s stuff is perfectly fine for people.

  59. 59.

    Mai Naem mobile

    @tobie: I fucking hope so because Rick Scott should have never been elected governor forget senator. It’s a fucking disgrace.

  68. 68.

    schrodingers_cat

    @Baud: Sirota may be an idiot but Donnelly spoke approvingly of ending birthright citizenship for children of non-citizens after T floated his idea of ending birthright citizenship by an EO.

  71. 71.

    BlueDWarrior

    It looks decent at first blush for Spanberger (VA-07), since most of the vote remaining is coming from places where she’s winning by a good amount. Then again, you never know what actual neighborhoods haven’t counted yet so who knows. I dunno what to think about Luria in VA-02, since the one big place remaining is pretty much split.

  72. 72.

    Raoul

    Florida votes decisively for re-enfranchisement, something like 64%. We need to make this a platform in a lot of states going forward. Help undo the damned dissolution of the Voting Right s Act.

  74. 74.

    PIGL

    @FelonyGovt: yup. It looked so promising, too. Seems to me she played the cards she had just about perfectly … not her fault that nothing would be enough.

  77. 77.

    opiejeanne

    @Mnemosyne: I need to do that as well, stay away from the polls. I just looked at Twitter and people are rending their clothes and yelling “We’re fucked!”
    I don’t need that tonight.
    I’m going to watch Jack Irish, because murder is soothing compared to this.

  78. 78.

    Dave L

    @zhena gogolia: Same here. But most of the bad news so far is coming out of the Confederacy – I still think Dems will do well enough in the unhaunted parts of the country to take the House. And, yes, some individual losses are really hard to take – but getting control of the House is the one prize that matters this election.

  79. 79.

    PsiFighter37

    Worth repeating for good measure, but fuck Florida. The sun and humidity must bake the reason out of people’s brains there.

  80. 80.

    Raven Onthill

    It looks like the Trump/Republican coalition is mostly holding in the South, though there are v some Democratic pickups. I’m wondering about places like Wisconsin now.

  82. 82.

    Cheryl Rofer

    Florida is being Florida tonight, but the ballot measure restores voting rights to 1.4 million people. 2020 will be different.

    And where are Adam and Betty?????

  84. 84.

    Mai Naem mobile

    I would be embarrassed to be represented by Marsha Blackburn as my senator. Glad I don’t live in Tennessee. She not only doesn’t come across as the sharpest knife in the drawer she is a whackjob.

  85. 85.

    dr. bloor .

    @cain: At some point everyone will wake up and realize that gubmint isn’t some sort of political anomaly but a reflection of who we are as a country. Steve Kings aren’t secreted into the Congress by Old Scratch. He gets there by winning elections.

  88. 88.

    PaulWartenberg

    Majority of Floridians vote FOR felon enfranchisement but then turn out to vote for crooks like DeSantis and Scott into office over decent candidates like Gillum and Nelson.

    GILLUM WAS FCKING LEADING IN EVERY POLL. WHAT THE HELL HAPPENED.

    I may have to move. I need to start looking at library jobs in Illinois or Colorado or something.

  90. 90.

    Jim, Foolish Literalist

    close only counts with hand grenades and horseshoes, but it is pretty amazing that O’Rourke is pretty much tied with Cruz with almost 60% of votes in

  93. 93.

    Immanentize

    First ever Massachusetts black woman congresscritter from Mass. Yay! First ever Muslim woman congresscritter from Mich. Yay!

    Take the wins, people.

  94. 94.

    Mike J

    Reid J. Epstein @reidepstein 1h
    The NRCC spent $5.1 million to back Barbara Comstock in VA-10. That’s more than they spent in any other individual district and 9% of the total the NRCC spent on TV ads this cycle.

  97. 97.

    guachi

    I know I’m being doom and gloom, but I won’t stop until Democrats win a seat where their odds are less than 50%. That’s because they are at 220 seats in districts where their odds are greater than 50%. That’s not much of a margin.

    So I (and you, I’m sure!) would like to see Democrats win some low chance district.

  99. 99.

    Raven

    @PaulWartenberg:

    KRISTEN SOLTIS ANDERSON9:14 PM
    I should add that I was privately being told by those affiliated with Republican campaigns in Florida that the public polls were too bullish on Democrats. Just a reminder that public and private polling often differ in their approaches and assumptions about what the likely electorate will look like.

  102. 102.

    Mary G

    @Mike J: No, that’s going around, but the guy she denied a license to lost the Democratic primary to the guy who’s winning.

  104. 104.

    Jim, Foolish Literalist

    Tweety of all people just told Dems to buck up

    @guachi: I know I’m being doom and gloom, but I won’t stop until Democrats win a seat where their odds are less than 50%.

    Why not? what are you accomplishing by rubbing our faces in it?
    ETA: and I’m usually not on the side of the tone police, but you are really overdoing it

  107. 107.

    Adam L Silverman

    @cain: All of the folks who know Florida have said to ignore the public polling as the governor’s and senate races were going to be 1% to 2% either way affairs. That said, there’s a lot of Broward, Miami, Hillsborough, Pinellas, and Duval counties still to be counted. Both Gillum and Nelson did very well there in the early voting, the turnout was way up, and from what I just saw Gillum and Nelson are still doing well in them. It will be very close, there will be automatic recounts, but don’t give up just yet.

  112. 112.

    Quinerly

    @Raven: I always start out hopeful. Then get depressed pretty quickly. Blackburn’s opponent had been a very popular governor. I guess I still remember a night 10 years ago last night when my country elected a Black man with the middle name Hussein. That’s my hopeful side.

  120. 120.

    opiejeanne

    @Mike J: No, the guy she denied the license lost in the primary, but she did lose to a Democrat! YAY!
    Before she became infamous she ran as a Democrat. She ran this time as a Republican, and she lost. YAY!

  121. 121.

    Ruckus

    @Cheryl Rofer:
    Incompetence is not Kemp’s problem. Being a racist fucking asshole is his problem. If it was incompetence there would be problems at normally white polling places as well. And it seems there isn’t. Not incompetence. Blatant fucking racism.

  128. 128.

    PIGL

    @Emma: not wishes, sadly. Wishes I could change were wrong to ever fail and right to prevail. I Don’t actually wish for this outcome but when the rain is falling one can at least note that the unjust are getting wet as well.

  129. 129.

    Immanentize

    Tammy Baldwin wins reelection as senator in Wisconsin. This was a prime Republican pick up target. Yay!

  130. 130.

    Sister Golden Bear

    Yeah sex is great, but have you ever voted a Republican out of office?

    Oh yeah baby! Yeeesss! Do it! Don’t stop!

    joemygod.com/2018/11/christian-adulteress-kim-davis-loses-her-fucking-job/

    Four times married Christian adulteress Kim Davis has lost her job as county clerk in Rowan County, Kentucky. Davis, you surely recall, earned international headlines in 2015 for refusing to issue a same-sex marriage license on “God’s authority,” becoming a darling of anti-LGBT hate groups and going on to campaign for a failed same-sex marriage ban in Romania. Davis lost today to Democrat Elwood Caudill, who was endorsed by a local LGBT rights group. And THAT is a very good start to tonight.

  134. 134.

    MazeDancer

    Elaine Luria wins!

    Second BJ VA Candidate!

    So exciting.

    Yay, Elaine!

    Yay, Luria PostCard Writers

    ETA: She may not have won. Too confusing online.

  135. 135.

    Quinerly

    @Immanentize: He hasn’t been around on the few threads I dip in and out of. How’s your migraine. Any better? I have a friend who gets them. Brutal.

  137. 137.

    Mandarama

    None of our local outlets have called it for Blackburn…where did y’all see that?

    Davidson, Knox, and Shelby counties aren’t in at all. Sure, she’ll probably win…but right now it’s just outlying Assbackwardsvilles reporting.

    P.S. I do think we’re a dumb and troubled nation, generally. But I was told in 2008 to have hope and I still think of trying.

  143. 143.

    guachi

    I am so keeping my fingers crossed for VA 2 and 7 as those are reach districts for Democrats and would be the first districts Democrats will have won where their odds were less than 50% (or even 80%, for that matter).

  144. 144.

    ??? Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)  ??

    @zhena gogolia:
    Wasn’t losing a few seats in the Senate a likely possibility? It sucks, but I’m not surprised, based on the polling forecasts.

  145. 145.

    Jay

    @Ruckus:

    BTW, ProPublica and a bunch of regional newspapers are running a project to document ALL forms of poll fuckery, by polling station.

  150. 150.

    Immanentize

    Check out New Hampshire peeps. Gov. Sunnunu was supposed to walk away with his reelection, but it is within 2% without the cities…. Yay!

  152. 152.

    BlueDWarrior

    and now VA-02 has the Republican up by about a 1000 votes while VA-07 still has the Democrat ahead by a handful.

  153. 153.

    Adam L Silverman

    @Baud: I will admit to that. However, what we don’t know is whether Nelson is within striking distance because Gillum’s voters got him there. Had Gwen Graham been the nominee, and she was trailing DeSantis, would Nelson be doing worse? We don’t know. We may never know.

  154. 154.

    tobie

    @Baud:Progressive Liz Watson got crushed tonight in Indiana so I’m not sure what strategy works best in a deeply red state. Having a history with people? Being a strong candidate? Not being a woman or an African American. I dunno…

  156. 156.

    zhena gogolia

    @Raven:

    Well, he’s tweeting “Is there any good news?” when he could just read the comments here. I just find it a little strange . . . .

  158. 158.

    Yarrow

    Expect Texas results to go late. Harris county, the largest population county in TX, had several polling locations stay open until 8 p.m., so just half an hour ago.

  161. 161.

    cain

    @dr. bloor .:

    @cain: At some point everyone will wake up and realize that gubmint isn’t some sort of political anomaly but a reflection of who we are as a country. Steve Kings aren’t secreted into the Congress by Old Scratch. He gets there by winning elections.

    Agreed. I guess we aren’t ready let go. But the wheel moves on and the country is turning more colorful as time goes on. But in the meanwhile, we are going to be in deep shit for while, I guess we’ll continue to resist. But I feel that we are going to get the house, and we have flipped the governorship. We might be freaking out on stuff that was a longshot to begin with. Texas is looking VERY interesting and we’ll see what happens in two years.

    Trump is doing okay because the economy is still doing okay. But things will never stay the same.

  165. 165.

    PsiFighter37

    Despite Ohio being called early for Brown, it’s tightened up a lot. It also looks like Cordray’s going to lose Round 2 to that motherfucking asshat DeWine…

  166. 166.

    philpm

    I’m really frightened that Rick Scott may be allowed to fail upwards yet again, when his ass should be in jail.

  167. 167.

    Cheryl Rofer

    I have been thinking this. The racists won’t admit their racism to the pollsters.

  170. 170.

    cain

    @Adam L Silverman:

    @cain: All of the folks who know Florida have said to ignore the public polling as the governor’s and senate races were going to be 1% to 2% either way affairs. That said, there’s a lot of Broward, Miami, Hillsborough, Pinellas, and Duval counties still to be counted. Both Gillum and Nelson did very well there in the early voting, the turnout was way up, and from what I just saw Gillum and Nelson are still doing well in them. It will be very close, there will be automatic recounts, but don’t give up just yet.

    Florida has done htis every time if I recall. Gore Vs Bush being the worst. Thanks for the positive news. Beto is doing well in Texas, so I’m feeling good.

  171. 171.

    Ohio Mom

    I am happy Sherrod Brown won, again. But unless there is a fast turn around, looks like the big state offices —governor, etc. — are staying in Republican hands. How can the same state that understands how great Sherrod is, keep voting in Republicans for everything else?

    Sigh.

  178. 178.

    PsiFighter37

    Looks like Carlos Curbelo, one of those polite “Let me talk crap about my party but vote with them” is going to (barely) go down tonight. Probably the last piece of good news out of that worthless craphole of a state.

  182. 182.

    guachi

    @Cheryl Rofer: Yup. America is a lot more bigoted and racist than we think it is.

    The quiet bigotry of America shows up at the polls. Maybe affluent suburbs will pull this out for the Democrats. I hope so. We have the big targets of VA, NJ, PA, and CA still open. The Democrats can almost take the House just from winning the winnable races there.

  184. 184.

    cain

    @schrodingers_cat:

    @Baud: Sirota may be an idiot but Donnelly spoke approvingly of ending birthright citizenship for children of non-citizens after T floated his idea of ending birthright citizenship by an EO.

    I wish we would stop putting in conservatives in these places. It never works. Even if they do they don’t last very long. See Blue Dogs.

  190. 190.

    Quinerly

    @Raven: If that’s the case, how did Tennessee ever elect a popular Dem governor? Not looking for an argument but Bresden (sp?) appeared to be a strong candidate for TN.

  196. 196.

    BlueDWarrior

    FOX News believes that the Democrats will win the House.

    MSNBC believes that it is a 70% chance to win the House.

  198. 198.

    bluehill

    @Cheryl Rofer: Seems almost as big as taking back the house. Hope Ds in NC can undo a lot of the voter suppression stuff and help NC trend the way VA has trended blue. Could be big in 2020.

  199. 199.

    Adam L Silverman

    @cain: Regardless of what happens tonight, the Florida senate and governor’s races will likely wind up in mandatory recounts. At this point you could still get a DeSantis governor/Scott senator, DeSantis governor/Nelson senator, Gillum governor/Nelson senator, or a Gillum governor/Scott senator outcome.

  202. 202.

    PsiFighter37

    On the bright side, Kobach is down 11% in Kansas with 55% in. Hope that motherfucker burns tonight.

  206. 206.

    Mary G

    This is too early to tell anything, but a good start:

    Not completely sure where the outstanding vote is, but Kobach losing by 13 points with about 25% of the vote in— Michael Cohen (@speechboy71) November 7, 2018

  211. 211.

    PsiFighter37

    @Quinerly: Same reason Evan Bayh lost in 2016. They may have been popularly elected statewide in the past, but they disappear for 10+ years since their last election and think nothing has changed about the crowd they are catering to. It’s the same logic as to why Anchorman 2 and Diablo III stank – you don’t revisit franchises after leaving them dormant for a long time.

  215. 215.

    opiejeanne

    @LAC: I was about to feed him some pie but he seems to have wandered off.
    I had to walk away from Twitter tonight because people there who should know better are running around like their hair’s on fire and posting doom and gloom because early returns on a couple of races looked dire, but are still too close to call.

  217. 217.

    PsiFighter37

    @Raven: To be fair, Georgia hasn’t had a Democratic governor elected in the 2000s. The last one elected statewide in Georgia was 1998 (Roy Barnes). Not looking like Stacy Abrams is going to do much better tonight…

  218. 218.

    cain

    @tobie:

    @Baud:Progressive Liz Watson got crushed tonight in Indiana so I’m not sure what strategy works best in a deeply red state. Having a history with people? Being a strong candidate? Not being a woman or an African American. I dunno…

    Some places need a generation or so to work itself out. Indiana though has always been a deeply red state. I’m currently out here in West Lafayette, IN. A liberal oasis in a sea of red. Good people here.

  223. 223.

    Jim, Foolish Literalist

    @lgerard: and there were two flippable districts in Jersey that I thought we’d hear about by now: Lance’s and Freylinghausen’s, no?

  224. 224.

    PsiFighter37

    Beto shown down about 1% with 75% in – anyone know if he has a realistic shot of recovering? Lots of blank squares on the TX map seem to be Bumfuck counties, likely filled with supporters of the Canadian-Cuban.

  225. 225.

    Mary G

    @Raoul: I know, and also a gun control candidate! I always thought Colorado would be hard to turn, because hunting, but newp!

    Big win for gun sense! Moms Demand Action Gun Sense Candidate @PolisForCO was just elected as Colorado’s next governor! Congratulations, Governor-elect Polis! #ElectionNight pic.twitter.com/cZaOplTu24— Moms Demand Action (@MomsDemand) November 7, 2018

    Parkland kids/March4OurLives/Moms Demand Action really changed the narrative on guns.

  227. 227.

    Jim, Foolish Literalist

    @PsiFighter37: Chris Hayes was saying Beto’s own House district is El Paso, in the Mountain Time Zone part of the state, where the polls are open for another 11 minutes. Still a longshot, but let’s keep hoping

    ETA: MN-3 flips to the Dems

  229. 229.

    Ceci n est pas mon nym

    I thought I was going to be obsessively watching results, but my stomach can’t take this. I’ll take the occasional good news blip instead.

    Here’s some from here in PA. Our Democratic governor overwhelmingly won reelection, as did Bob Casey for Senate. In the newly ungerrymandered PA-05, the Democrat Mary Gay Scanlon is projected to win by 30 points or so. This area was formerly represented by the odious Pat Meehan and his memory is gone, gone, gone.

  231. 231.

    PsiFighter37

    Looking like we’re going to squeak by in VA-07 and VA-02. That would make me feel loads better – 3 out of 4 possible seats in VA would be great.

  239. 239.

    mdblanche

    @Adam L Silverman: How do you Floridians deal with your state’s insanity on a day by day basis? Only a brief exposure to it is enough to drive some people here around the bend.

  240. 240.

    BlueDWarrior

    Looks like 538’s Predict-O-Matic is now starting to get in line with what the major news orgs are thinking: up to 70% Overall Flip Chance for the Democrats in the House.

    We’re probably gonna lose 2 or 3 Senate seats though, it’s hard to win in the Senate when you have this shit of a map and you have Trump basically screaming “White People Uber Alles” all the time.

    MSNBC now saying 90% Chance of an overall Flip.

  247. 247.

    Quinerly

    @PsiFighter37: if we are talking about TN, pretty sure Bredesen was a two term governor. Don’t think he left the state. Could be missing your point but not like going to DC and not coming home to visit. I do think Bredesen has been out of office since 2011 or 2012. I could be talking out my ass… Used to drive through TN 4 times a year. Lots of stops along the way. I enjoy talking to strangers in my travels… diners, restaurants, gas stations, rest stops.

  254. 254.

    cain

    @Adam L Silverman:

    @cain: Regardless of what happens tonight, the Florida senate and governor’s races will likely wind up in mandatory recounts. At this point you could still get a DeSantis governor/Scott senator, DeSantis governor/Nelson senator, Gillum governor/Nelson senator, or a Gillum governor/Scott senator outcome.

    I look forward to another couple of days of WTFs then :-)

  258. 258.

    mad citizen

    @cain: Saw Liz Watson’s commercials here in Indy and I thought they were terrible. Much too stiff and robotic. Heard tonight that her opponent, a one term R incumbent, knocked on 30,000 doors, so that’s something.

  260. 260.

    Suzanne

    I am in AZ-9. Candidate is Greg Stanton, former mayor of Phoenix. Crossed fingers; polls just closed.

  263. 263.

    cain

    @Baud:

    @cain: What’s the alternative?

    Get good candidates that are charismatic and can talk to the issues. We’ve already tried to run conservative people, so we don’t lose anything by running people true to democratic values. Maybe focus more on worker issues as well.

  266. 266.

    Mandarama

    @Quinerly: I just wrote a long-ass post explaining Phil Bredesen and why he was a good chance…and the site went “server not responding.” Shit. I’m too overwhelmed to redo it…but yes, you’re right. Phil B. has stayed here.

  270. 270.

    BlueDWarrior

    Beto is still within 100K with most of the big counties still not reported. Harris isn’t even to close until like… now maybe?

  273. 273.

    CaseyL

    Thank FSM for this thread. The other one had me ready to slit my wrists.

    Kris Kobach losing is excellent news!

  274. 274.

    sixthdoctor

    @cain: This tweet says it all…

    I swear Florida could be voting between ice cream and a kick to the head and the results would be 50.5%-49.5%.— Benjamin Park (@BenjaminEPark) November 7, 2018

  276. 276.

    Quinerly

    @Mandarama: Raven pointed out rightfully how long it had been since he ran a campaign. I see his point. Time does get away… I just remember him be very popular statewide a few years back.

  283. 283.

    Haroldo

    And 538 is back up into a much more comfortable range (90% Dem with a +34 seat pick up). Relief.

  284. 284.

    opiejeanne

    @CaseyL: I didn’t read the other one, but Twitter was like that. So full of despair.
    I think we’re ok, although some of my pets haven’t won yet, like Gillum and Beto, but there’s still time and not all precincts are in.

  288. 288.

    opiejeanne

    @mad citizen: How many precincts are still left, though? How can they call it for Cruz if the blue areas haven’t been counted and one area’s polls just closed?

  289. 289.

    cain

    @BlueDWarrior:

    Beto is still within 100K with most of the big counties still not reported. Harris isn’t even to close until like… now maybe?

    Looks like they called it for Cruz. :( Beto did an amazing job!

  291. 291.

    cain

    I’m sad about Beto. But we have not seen the last of him. We’ll be seeing him again. I had wished we could have kicked out Cruz, but unfortunately that didn’t happen.

  295. 295.

    gene108

    @Matt McIrvin:

    Been living in this district 20+ years. We have had a Republican Rep in all but two. Dem won in 2008 and lost in 2010.

    Lots of negative to out right lies about Andy Kim by Tom MacArthur. Probably has had an effect.

  299. 299.

    Aleta

    ME: Golden just pulled ahead of Poliquin, still close though. Neither have 50% so far (ranked choice). Mills D for Gov is looking good atm.

    (Comments are loading slowly for me.)

  301. 301.

    Matt McIrvin

    @lgerard: It’s flipping back and forth. I don’t really expect Steve King to lose but God damn, it’s great to see him sweat.

  304. 304.

    Raven Onthill

    Nate Silver projects a Democratic win in the House, with a 95% confidence level. TPM comments that it appears a blue wave washed over the suburbs.

    OK, some hope left. My family (ravens being family-oriented birds) probably keeps its health insurance.

    On the other hand, Republicans have held the Senate. Not surprising, but unhappy. More Republican judges, more Republican foreign “policy.”

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