Folks,
At 6:35 pm Eastern today, Space X will launch their first commercial Falcon Heavy Flight. Should be exciting!
Perhaps most exciting is their attempt to land three boosters simultaneously. I’m hoping for an exceptional show.
URL is https://www.spacex.com/webcast
This video should go live approx 20 minutes before launch. Enjoy the marvel, everybody!
ETA: Looks like flight is postponed until 8 pm. Let’s hope it’s still a go and we can see the landing!
Alain the site fixer
Sorry for brief, incorrect video. Amazing to see a black hole/event horizon. Just amazing. But this triple landing should be unreal, if anything like the dual-landing. Enjoy folks, must go to big screen to see it.
JPL
@Alain the site fixer: Google already has it up. It looks just like we were told it would.
Martin
Launch was pushed back earlier today to 8PM EDT, with a window that closes at 8:32PM. They were a few hours late rolling out to the pad, so this is likely just an extension of that delay. Backup launch time is tomorrow from 6:35PM to 8:31PM EDT.
Brachiator
While we are waiting…. Interesting read….
What We Learned From the First Black Hole Image
jl
@Brachiator: So, more evidence that Roger Penrose is correct and that general relativity rules, and quantum mechanics needs to adjust to conform where they produce different predictions?
I got no clue, IANAP. Any of the BJ physicist squad want to give advice?
Alain the site fixer
It’s kind of mind-boggling to see the picture, tbh. I mean I’ve known about them as theory for all my life, but to see it for real is just unbelievable, almost. It’s just awe-inspiring. Something so huge, so powerful, so far away, and yet we can image it. Just amazing.
trollhattan
Does Trump know Musk is putting an Ay-Rabb satellite into orbit? Oops, don’t mind me, it’s Sawdi and thus, a-ok.
Have watched launches since the Mercury Program and never, ever tire of it. The delays, yes, the launches, no way.
Alain the site fixer
@trollhattan: I agree, I never tire of launches, but the extra flair of the twin-landing last time was just amazing, and so now a triple – I mean that’s a bit of poetry and magic wrapped up and given us to excite and encourage about the future. It works!
miroker
At 18:46EST, when you click on video it says will be live in 4 hours. But 20:00 is in 2 hours, hope that does not portend something for the launch success
Alain the site fixer
@Alain the site fixer: and yes, I know it’ll only be two on the pad and the big one on the drone ship, but still that’s just incredible.
Alain the site fixer
@miroker: their website still says 8 pm; launch window closes at 8:32, so if not before then, it will be postponed so not sure where the time stuff comes from.
dmsilev
@jl: Opinions differ. The thing is, quantum mechanics _also_ tests out as correct to some ungodly level of precision. Most people I’ve heard talk about the question believe that GR and QM are different limits of some underlying model which we haven’t yet figured out. There have certainly been many many attempts to come up with such a theory (string theory being the most well known), but getting testable predictions out of those theories is really really hard.
Betty Cracker
The mister is trying to talk me into going out in the canoe in the middle of the river (away from the trees) to watch the launch. I may be persuaded.
Martin
@Betty Cracker: Oh, do it. Launches are fun to see. Waiting for a Vandenberg return to launch to go up with my son.
Martin
For those trying to understand the scope of the black hole announcement
The fact that something of that scale is as dynamic as it appears to be is very intriguing. Overall, it look as we expected it to, but it was expected to be more stable given its size. Daily fluctuations of something that is 1-2 light days in size will take some work to understand.
Also, nice recognition from MIT here. Good work Katie!
cope
@Betty Cracker: Pics, please.
I will attempt from my back yard and since it will be getting pretty dark by then, I want to try a time exposure. The problem is that I do not know exactly where to point the camera. I want to use max zoom and that will really decrease my field of view. If I were smarter, I would always shoot from the same spot and place or note some kind of marker directly toward the launch site. The angular difference between the two different launch sites SpaceX uses significantly influences which way to point my camera. I know this one is going off from 39A, the more northern of the two. Anything spectacular, I will share. If it’s a bust, I’ll blame the weather.
Edit: I’ll be using a tripod so I really need everything set up in advance. Shooting something like this from the hip using a long zoom is not something I have mastered.
Cheryl Rofer
Musk just tweeted that there is a heavy high-altitude wind shear, and if it doesn’t go away, there will be no launch. If it’s got anything to do with the winds we’re getting, fuggetaboutit.
miroker
@Betty Cracker: I thought you were over near Tampa.
Hidalgo de Arizona
Launch has been pushed to tomorrow. :'(
?BillinGlendaleCA
@cope:
Always works for me.
cope
Scrubbed for today.
David Evans
@jl: It’s more evidence that GR rules at very large scales. The crunch between GR and QM comes at small scales and I don’t think these observations are relevant to that. Unless further analysis shows something odd about the spectra that might mean QM is going wrong.
miroker
It is scrubbed for tonight, try again tomorrow.
jl
@dmsilev: @David Evans:
OK, thanks, but i sense waffling. Any implications for how black hole evaporation works, entropy and loss of information?
My cards on the table, I kind of like the Penrose cyclic cosmology idea.
Or, am I still going to get ‘Who knows?’
Edit: I read an article someplace today that said the new research shows that black holes of all sizes seem to obey exact same GR rules of behavior.
Skepticat
Interesting story about the young woman who made the photo of the black hole possible.
https://edition.cnn.com/2019/04/10/us/katie-bouman-mit-black-hole-algorithm-sci-trnd/index.html
We had a SpaceX nose cone wash up on our beach a few months ago, and now it’s basic decor at the marina.
JAFD
@miroker: Headline from back in my childhood:
“Air Force fires Atlast Missle”
Betty Cracker
@Martin: My dad took my sister and me to a few Apollo launches. They still rank among the most spectacular things I’ve ever seen.
Gin & Tonic
@Betty Cracker: We managed to be in the stands for a night-time space shuttle launch, which was, as you say, spectacular.
?BillinGlendaleCA
@Betty Cracker: We had the rocket engine testing going on for those rockets about 10 miles from where I grew up. Even though it was half a century ago, I still remember the noise and vibration. They’d happen about once a week around 1965 to 1967.
Spanky
When I still worked at GSFC I wrangled a shuttle launch pass and gave it to my dad. That must have been in the late 80s or around 1990. He really enjoyed it, and that was about the time he was 80. He stopped traveling soon after, so I was happy to have given him one of the thrills of his lifetime.
Never saw one myself. When the missus retires maybe we’ll come down to Cracker Country and watch a Falcon Heavy.
J R in WV
Oh, man, you guys make me so jealous, Apollo and Shuttle… all in the past now.
Aleta
Seems like big rockets for just a satellite. Unless a big geostationary sat?
Oh.
So, is this something that could only be done with the Falcon Heavy?
Or is it a trial for the upgraded boosters and to showcase them?
Brachiator
I’ve seen a shuttle landing. Never seen a launch live. That would be amazing. Maybe one day.
Ken
@miroker:
COMPUTER: Quiet, I have to run through millions of precision calculations to safely activate the experimental space drive. OK, I think we’re ready. Launch in ten… nine… eight… six… five…
HUMAN: We are in such trouble.
(From an old episode of Red Dwarf, probably on Youtube somewhere but I haven’t checked.)
David Evans
@jl: You’ll certainly get “who knows?” from me. I’m just an onlooker. I would be surprised if these observations told us anything about evaporation etc, They don’t seem to be detailed enough for that. But maybe there is more that hasn’t been processed.
Robert Sneddon
@Aleta: No, it’s not something that could only be launched by a Falcon Heavy.
Modern comsats are built to fit into a standard “straitjacket” of size-on-stack and mass and can be launched by a few different vehicles — Ariane 5, larger Atlas variants and the like and the Arabsat is within that size and weight limit. The Falcon Heavy is overkill for something that size but I suspect SpaceX offered the owners a cheap launch with the added risk this was only the second launch of this particular vehicle setup so its track record is not as good as, say, Ariane 5 which has not had a complete launch failure since 2002 (one launch went wrong a couple of years ago but the payloads reached their operational locations by burning fuel that they needed for extended lifetime operation hence they will need replacing sooner than expected).
SpaceX has its eye on the NRO launch “market” to put big spysats into orbit. At the moment only the Delta 5 Heavy can carry out those launches using a rocket configuration very similar to Falcon Heavy (three similar vehicles strapped together). However the launch tempo for those satellites is about one a year which is not as lucrative as commercial geosync and other launches. SpaceX will probably configure Falcon Heavy to launch multiple geostationary satellites in a single launch once it gets enough launches under its belt for the insurance premiums to come down.