Namely, advertising:
here is a very heavy-handed article featuring lots of political consultants who earn lots of money placing FB ads saying campaigns should be placing more FB ads https://t.co/yH9kv6hOkL
— Rachel Cohen (@rmc031) October 20, 2019
article waits until 26th paragraph to point out Trump’s online ads are made up of lies; https://t.co/wL0V9f1uXa
— Eric Boehlert (@EricBoehlert) October 20, 2019
somehow I doubt if Elizabeth Warren unleashed a torrent of fabricated claims via FB ads, that NYT would marvel at how savvy she was
— Eric Boehlert (@EricBoehlert) October 20, 2019
SeND Us MoR Money OR YR CaMpaIGN Dies!!!…
There's a multi-billion dollar industry that can only exist if the 2020 race looks like a dead heat. They make their money convincing the press that elections are decided by the constant sturm and drang of ad buys, even when all evidence shows one candidate floundering.
— Boo-risma Executive Board Member (@agraybee) October 20, 2019
With impeachment marching forward and Trump in a death spiral, this has been chosen as this week’s reason why Dems Are So Bad At This. https://t.co/1zID3fMJK5
— Boo-risma Executive Board Member (@agraybee) October 20, 2019
Who in America is at risk of forgetting Trump is bad if they go 24 hours without seeing a Facebook ad. https://t.co/7R2BhkDnQN
— Boo-risma Executive Board Member (@agraybee) October 20, 2019
And there it is. Like I said, a lot of people are making a fortune off telling you that Republicans are routing Democrats at every turn. https://t.co/IsW7EeUtYm
— Boo-risma Executive Board Member (@agraybee) October 20, 2019
Trump spent $44 million on Facebook ads (and Clinton spent $28 million) in 2016. That's small in the context of a presidential campaign! By comparison, Trump received $2.6 *billion* worth of earned online media, and about $5b worth of earned media overall. https://t.co/Xtteo8cCRx
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 20, 2019
I think the main point is that Trump’s Facebook ad spending is primarily good for trump fundraising. Trump isn’t using it for persuasion (nor does he need to, 13 months out).
If Dems ARENT fundraising on FB, that likely points to different behavior from their target audiences.
— davekarpf (@davekarpf) October 20, 2019
Far more likely is that they've studied this stuff with *some* empirical rigor, rather than buying into the largely evidence-free media mythology about the effectiveness of digital campaign ads.
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 20, 2019
Interesting point. Is the big ad buy worth as much as what Trump had at this point in 2015 — wall-to-wall rally coverage? Debatable https://t.co/PH0eij1D7y
— Dave Weigel (@daveweigel) October 20, 2019
i'm all for more aggressively targeting Trump in Democratic campaign ads, some D's wrongly believe that voters will dislike or tune out if they're told/ reminded of Trump's behavior, but damn maybe SOME sort of cost-benefit analysis would be cool. https://t.co/rJN6SFTHvl
— Rachel Cohen (@rmc031) October 20, 2019
We’ve finally reached the point where the 24/7 media attention to Trump is working against him.
In 2016, he was a novelty. In 2019, he’s old cheese.
Running more ads doesn’t change that; it reinforces it. https://t.co/idMNflxnMI
— The Hoarse Whisperer (@HoarseWisperer) October 20, 2019
Smedley Darlington Prunebanks (formerly Mumphrey, et al.)
What is it the kids say these days? Grifters gonna grift.
Smedley Darlington Prunebanks (formerly Mumphrey, et al.)
And the suck-ass New York Times gonna suck ass.
JPL
He meaning the president is bonkers. Buckle up.
smintheus
This plea for more and bigger spending is about as convincing as a hard sell orchestrated by a handful of Fargo car salesmen.
Patricia Kayden
Romney has found (or borrowed) a spine.
Ken
It could only happen if Trump were to shut up and keep out of the news for the same 24 hours. So, never.
NotMax
So long as they are actively permitting ads consisting of demonstrable lies run unimpeded, I’m going to start referring them Twofacedbook.
HumboldtBlue
Just wait until Tulsi Gabbard hears about this you damn dirty liberals!
MisterForkbeard
@Patricia Kayden: I’m sure he also declined to actually DO anything about Trump other than whine to the media.
Lit3Bolt
Trump: I think I should call my campaign headquarters Evil Inc.
Rick Wilson, Tom Nichols, Mitt Romney: That’s stupid. Call it Hillary Is Evil, Inc.
The current state of soul searching among Republicans, ladies and gentlemen.
Duane
@smintheus: The folks that sell facebook ads want to sell more of them. Imagine that. The hucksters don’t just sell health supplements. Nice ad placement in the FNYT though.
What Have The Romans Ever Done for Us?
I think most of the public is so sick of Cheeto Benito that his ads are counterproductive. They just further remind people they want him off their TV, internet, etc.
Uncle Cosmo
@Patricia Kayden: Spina bluffida. Rmoney will end up folding like a toilet-paper origami imitation of what a statesman should look like.
Villago Delenda Est
These vile people are simply mercenary parasites.
The Founders roll over in their graves. Not what they ever imagined.
Citizen_X
@Lit3Bolt: I think we have to consider the possibility that Hillary might not win this election, my friends.
rikyrah
I’m not your tap dancing negro (@PantherFist13) Tweeted:
I think it’s important to repeat that Hilary WAS NOT warning black people about Trump, she was warning white folks. We had known FOR YEARS who Trump is, so we aren’t surprised at any of this. She is TRYING to warn y’all again. Will you listen this time, or let racism win again?? https://twitter.com/PantherFist13/status/1185536462131027969?s=17
glory b
This is also why, in their reporting, money is everything to them. Sanders had the best week, because he raised the most cash.
The fact that his numbers have been stuck where they are since forever doesn’t seem to matter.
I pointed out to my kids that the people talking about this on television work for businesses that expect to get a big chunk of the money being raised, so take theur pronouncements with a grain of salt.
rikyrah
FB changed its policy about false ads in the.middle of the night,.with no notice. Cause they ain’t shyt, and didn’t want the hassle of coming up with a fancy excuse as to why they were violating their own policy. They wanted to take the money in peace for the lying ads.
Once again..
FB ain’t shyt ???
Enhanced Voting Techniques
@Patricia Kayden: I was considering this; if Trump and Pence have to resign, Mittens is the only Republican with stature who isn’t implicated on this mess who could replace them.
Cacti
@glory b:
Those AOC and Michael Moore endorsements are great news…
For his competitors.
Splitting Image
Sounds like the New York Times is advising people to close their Facebook accounts and install a stronger ad blocker.
smintheus
Meanwhile, Buttigieg is still concern trolling us about how expensive single payer would be. And the national media keeps letting him pretend that he was *not* always 100% for Medicare for All before he was always 100% against it.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/after-weeks-of-criticism-warren-says-she-will-release-a-plan-to-pay-for-medicare-for-all/2019/10/20/b73ba578-f379-11e9-8cf0-4cc99f74d127_story.html
Amir Khalid
@rikyrah:
Hillary was, and is, dead-on right about Trump. Unfortunately, in pointing out his racism she may have succeeded at the wrong thing: reminding the white racists that he was one of them.
smintheus
@Splitting Image: Being smart enough to use an ad blocker probably disqualifies you from being a potential Trump supporter.
geg6
@Amir Khalid:
Believe me, they will never forget that. He legitimized them. They’ll worship him forever for that.
TS (the original)
@Enhanced Voting Techniques: And if trump has to resign – who would Pence appoint as VP
glory b
@Cacti: Grrr, don’t get me going about Michael Moore again! Every time I turned msnbc on the other day, he was on!
The big news would have been if AOC didn’t endorse him. Her endorsement wasn’t much IMO.
Ruckus
Not me for sure, I go weeks without seeing anything on FuckBook. I used to be on there quite a bit, have lots of friends and that was how we kept up and how I found out who liked shit for brains. At least I know who aren’t my friends any longer.
West of the Rockies
@rikyrah:
I’m sure you know that the racists and homophobics, and misogynists will vote for Trump again. Those who are not those things will not.
hells littlest angel
I see two levels of horrible here:
1. The political zeitgeist is being driven by a bunch of cold-blooded cynics who think it’s all about a propaganda war, and nothing else matters.
2. They may be right.
Cacti
@glory b:
I saw she called his heart attack a “gut check moment”.
Which I guess is accurate, insofar as it means “is likely to die before 2024”.
debbie
@Ken:
Maybe this is Zuckerberg playing eleven-dimensional chess. //
Jim, Foolish Literalist
Yeah, I hate Bernie and I’m ambivalent about Ocasio-Cortez, but I think his cult is larger and much more invested than her fan base
I’ll relax, or start looking into Irish or French or Canadian citizenship, when I see polls in Wisconsin and Pennsylvania a year from now
Mary G
@Ruckus: That was my first thought – liberals don’t spend hours a day liking things on FB.
ETA: is it me, or is the FTFNYT getting worse as time goes on? Putting the report about the investigation into Hillary’s emails found no wrongdoing on page 16 and only after they got dragged on Twitter?
debbie
@rikyrah:
Sigh. Also anyone who lived in NYC. There’s a reason he got a minuscule percentage of the vote in Manhattan.
randy khan
What’s most interesting to me about this story is that Trump is spending so much on ads now – more than a year ahead of the election. It seems to me that you wouldn’t be doing that unless you thought you needed to shore up your support, as nobody is going to remember these ads a year from now.
Or your consultants have figured out they will make the most money if they run a lot of fundraising ads to get more money to spend later. I could go either way.
hells littlest angel
@Cacti: I saw she called his heart attack a “gut check moment”.
About 15 inches north of a gut check, I’d say. But it’s an easy mistake to make because old men pull their pants up so high.
Ruckus
@Enhanced Voting Techniques:
Dense might resign, if Mother told him to, shit for brains will never resign. His feeble brain won’t allow him to, because he’d have to admit he is wrong to do that. That ain’t gonna happen. Unless someone paid him to. That might do the trick, but I doubt it. He gets to say anything he wants, to anyone he wants, he has a plane that takes him wherever he wants and none of this costs him a dime. He’s gone this long without reading anything handed to him or doing any conceivable work whatsoever, what could possibly make him resign?
Leto
@Ruckus: OT and from the thread below: do you still own a bike shop? I might have some questions concerning a selection.
Ruckus
@debbie:
Noticed your snark tags but I was going to say that there is about as much chance of that as of me being the queen of all Africa. Which is to say, far less than zero.
Another Scott
@randy khan: Or Donnie is continuing his MO of trying to be in the news every.single.day and trying to guide the discussion so that it is only.about.him. Spending money on ads makes FB pay even more attention to him, so he’s working the refs, so to speak.
The best thing the country could do is quit paying attention to what he says and how he tries to rile everyone up, and instead concentrate on what he and his administration is doing. And supporting every candidate and organization that is working to vote the monsters out.
Not that I expect us all to resist the siren call of Donnie’s latest travesty… :-/
Cheers,
Scott.
Sally
@randy khan: Or maybe they figured they have to make their money now before he becomes too toxic and they’re unable to “fundraise” off him.
Ruckus
@Mary G:
FTFNYT hovers right around being totally in trump’s ass and every once in a while allowing someone to write something worth the ink. That is not going to change until the owners do. The owners want the crap they publish, to be the crap they publish. If they didn’t, they’d change it. They are in it 10000% for the conservative side and trump is their leader, such as that is. As long as he doesn’t hurt their bottom line it will not change.
Frankensteinbeck
@Amir Khalid:
That was exactly how the Deplorables speech played out. Assholes flocked to the opportunity to be loud and proud about what assholes they are.
Ruckus
@Leto:
I do not but I can help you out with info for sure. I even have a nice carbon fiber bike – my personal one, that is for sale. My health stuff really does not allow me to ride.
Leto
@Ruckus: Do you have an email I can shoot some questions to? A burner email or whatnot?
Marcopolo
So I don’t think anyone has mentioned this yet, but there are two things that everyone thinking about how FB works should keep in mind: 1) folks under thirty don’t really use it and much like IA, OH, & MO the average FB user is now 50+, Caucasian, and not the most educated person (ie FB & Fox have converging user profiles); and 2) FB promotes content on the basis of how well it activates user engagement (things that provoke an emotional reaction are #1 in that department (and the basis for the vast majority of Republican politics) & FB only cares slightly—or not at all in the case of political ads—whether content is truthful), they really don’t care whether their users have a better or worse grasp on objective reality at the end of the day. And as their bottom line is their prime directive, and increased traffic = increased revenue & profit, they have no incentive whatsoever to create or enforce any infrastructure truth, accuracy, fairness, etc…
Anyways, my 2 cents.
PPCLI
I haven’t been able to pay much attention to the news this weekend. Did Marco Rubio express his disappointment that the G7 wouldn’t be held in Florida?
Matt McIrvin
@West of the Rockies:
No, but will they vote for Trump’s viable opponent, or will they go third-party or stay home over some intra-opposition pissing match? That’s the key question that determines whether Trump can still get reelected with a majority of the country desiring his impeachment and conviction. The answer may be yes.
West of the Rockies
@Matt McIrvin:
Just reading the tea leaves, I believe Democrats are fired up and will turn out (unless we end up with BS–then I’m not so sure). I don’t see a Tulsi or Andrew third-party ticket chipping away significantly.
Hell, then again, Stein voters were just abundant enough to muck up a state or two…
Dammit, now I’m nervous!
Another Scott
@Patricia Kayden: You mean Pierre Delecto.
Cheers,
Scott.
cmorenc
@smintheus:
Buttigieg is very unlikely to be the D Presidential nominee anyways.
The Dangerman
@TS (the original):
If Trump resigns, a new VP has to be approved by both Senate and House. Yeah, that’s gonna happen.
Ruckus
@Leto:
I do now
Ruckusnumber1000
at the
gmail
randy khan
@The Dangerman:
Finally, a job for Joe Biden!
Another Scott
LOLGOP on Eclectablog – Democrats shouldn’t help the press pretend they care about ‘paying’ for things:
Yup.
Read the whole thing. He makes good points, as always, as a good polemicist should.
Cheers,
Scott.
Matt McIrvin
@West of the Rockies: Watch. There will somehow be some fairly popular reason that the Democratic nominee is ACTUALLY a monster worse than Trump. The exact reason will depend on which of the candidates gets nominated, but it will make it clear to millions (which particular millions depends on the nominee) that that particular candidate was the wrong one and a terrible mistake. And there will be so much tut-tutting about it on the New York Times editorial pages.
The Dangerman
@randy khan:
I’ve been trying to guess candidates and I can’t think of a single one that could pass both Houses. I have no idea what happens then if, say, Pence has to resign, too (assuming, and I think it is a safe one, that Republicans will NOT accept a Presient Pelosi without a monstrous fight)…
Kent
@Enhanced Voting Techniques:
The Senate is utterly corrupt. Other than a few retreads like Kasich they’d probably have to turn to one of the GOP governors.
Matt McIrvin
@The Dangerman: Have we seen Nancy Pelosi’s birth certificate?
lgerard
@PPCLI:
Some did
Kent
@Cacti:
Why aren’t the press asking both Biden and Sanders if they are PLANNING to be one-term Presidents. 2024? We should be looking for a candidate who can serve until 2028. That is a fucking huge issue to me. Toss away every advantage of incumbency in 2024 because two selfish old white men can’t let go? Fuck them. Sanders would take office at age 79 and leave office at age 87 if he served two full terms. How many 87 year old men do any of you know who are vibrant enough to deal with a 24/7 job like the presidency? Biden would be 86 at the end of his second term.
Kent
@The Dangerman:
There are none. They’d have to nominate some non-partisan placeholder type who was guaranteed not to run in 2020. Like say a Warren Buffet type person. Or some well-respected retired general.
The Dangerman
@Kent:
It would have to be someone that has never voted, has never registered, and never voiced an opinion on anything remotely controversial.
I can’t think of anyone.
John Revolta
@Kent: This is a very good point.
Jeffro
@Kent: Truly, who cares? Let’s get trumpov out via impeachment if we can and at the ballot box if we must, and make the GOP own his/their disasters all the way. We can sort it out later.
Kent
@The Dangerman: I expect the dems would go along with a relatively nonpartison placeholder type who was guaranteed not to run in 2020. “For the good of the country” and all that bullshit. I doubt they would sit still for anyone who was a potential candidate in 2020 or 2024. So no Rubio or Cruz or Kasich or anyone like that.
Jeffro
@Kent: I know it was a rhetorical question, but they aren’t asking Biden ’cause he’s the consensus ‘safe choice’ for unseating trumpov, and they aren’t asking Sanders ’cause, well, he ain’t Hillary. I dunno. The lady faints for a moment from bronchitis or pneumonia or whatever back in 2016, and it’s all “DROP OUT DROP OUT QUIT HIDING YOUR HEALTH CONDITION DROP OUT!” The 78-year-old guy in 2019 has an actual heart attack, his campaign doesn’t admit it for three days, and when he gets back on the trail it’s all “Hey Bernie! Whereyabeen?”
Fucking ridiculous.
It would be more of an issue if the other Dem nominees would make it more of an issue, but right now they all have a mild version of “don’t alienate that other so-and-so’s base” just like the other GOP candidates had in spades w/ trumpov’s supporters in 2016.
I mean, you could make a plausible case that several of the remaining Dem candidates are just hanging in there hoping that something medical and obvious happens to Biden, so that they can suddenly occupy the blessed ‘centrist/moderate’ lane all to themselves. Good luck with that.
Jeffro
Here’s hoping that Warren people are talking to several of the 1-2% candidates’ people and expressing just how much they’d appreciate a drop-out and endorsement, and essentially guaranteeing the 1-2%ers’ that they’ll get a cabinet post, party platform plank, etc. Do it now before you have to do it at the convention.
Mike in NC
OT: Anybody watching “Watchmen” on HBO? So far has nothing to do with either the graphic novel or the 2009 movie adaptation (which was OK).
FlipYrWhig
@Mike in NC: Are you asking who watches the watchmen? ;)
Mary G
@Jeffro: I can see Pence nominating Mittens, and if the Democrats don’t go along, Republicans will point to opposition of Twitler and his stellar reputation with the Know-Nothings, and we’re going to assassinate Pence, so Pelosi will be president, and the talking heads will pound on it 24/7. Then Mitts is their nominee and wins.
Mary G
If only:
prostratedragon
@lgerard:
[sigh] Back to those meatless Tuesdays.
Steeplejack
@Mike in NC:
I haven’t watched Watchmen. (Should I?) My current oddball quotient was just now watching the first episode of Treadstone, a spinoff from the Jason Bourne movies. Someone is reactivating sleeping assets. Eek!
Like a lot of first episodes, it’s trying to spin up five or six different plot threads, which is a heavy lift and kills the continuity. Don’t know if I’ll keep on with it. But the production values are good, and it’s got potential.
Ruckus
@Steeplejack:
If you get Netflix you could watch The Bucket List.
Morgan Freeman, Jack Nicholson directed by Rob Reiner.
I thought it was very good. Being old and having cancer, maybe it struck a cord with me, but even without that I thought it was a pretty damn good 1 1/2 hr.
J Green
Driftglass & Blue Gal say when Democrats are asked about how they will pay for anything they propose, they should say “MEXICO WILL PAY FOR IT” and leave it at that. The reason should be obvious.
smike
@Mary G:
Excuse me, ma’am, but please pass the pipe to the person on your immediate left at this time. Thank you.
Sally
@J Green: I strongly agree with that! And maybe the same department that is paying for “Wall“ should pay, at least in part, for healthcare and other Dem priorities. Though monies for service housing and schools shouldn’t be plundered. I’m sure there are some DoD programs ripe for efficacious trimming. Or maybe all the money we are making off Chinese tariffs could pay ….
Van Buren
@Kent: Michael Bloomberg just got excited.
Uncle Cosmo
@J Green: It’s obvious, all right. Or it will be obvious to most of the neither-rich-nor-poor (NRNP) classes – as just the latest version of Lucy & The Football, starring them as Charlie Brown.
1) Democrats propose programs to help the poor & working & middle classes;
2) When asked how they’ll pay for them, the Democrats say they’ll make the rich pay;
3) Once the programs are signed into law, the rich call in their favors to amend the funding mechanism to ensure that they not only won’t pay for the programs but will make even more money off them;
4) Democrats raise taxes on the NRNP classes instead, shrugging their shoulders & whimpering that the money has to come from somewhere;
5) NRNP voters turn the Democrats out in the next election.
The NRNP have seen (or think they’ve seen) this “Democrat” variation on Lucy & the football over & over again.
Any Democrat running for President on a platform of lots of new programs (side-eying you, Senator-Professor) should commit her/himself to not enacting those programs until & unless a funding mechanism is signed into law that actually soaks (or at least mildly moistens) the 0.1%. Otherwise the NRNP will dismiss them as just another instance where no matter what gets promised, in the end they’ll get stuck with the bill.
Scamp Dog
@Uncle Cosmo: I’d like to see a constitutional balanced budget amendment that has some teeth: that as long as there are American troops involved in combat operations anywhere in the world, the top marginal tax rate goes to 90%, with that level applying to everyone in the top 10% of earnings. This probably wouldn’t actually balance the budget, but it would slow down our war-mongering.
How this would get passed is beyond me, but I think it’s a great idea.