Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

This must be what justice looks like, not vengeful, just peaceful exuberance.

Pessimism assures that nothing of any importance will change.

Live so that if you miss a day of work people aren’t hoping you’re dead.

Make the republican party small enough to drown in a bathtub.

’Where will you hide, Roberts, the laws all being flat?’

Jack Smith: “Why did you start campaigning in the middle of my investigation?!”

Text STOP to opt out of updates on war plans.

People really shouldn’t expect the government to help after they watched the GOP drown it in a bathtub.

The low info voters probably won’t even notice or remember by their next lap around the goldfish bowl.

Come on, media. you have one job. start doing it.

Never entrust democracy to any process that requires Republicans to act in good faith.

Welcome to day five of every-bit-as-bad-as-you-thought-it-would-be.

I like political parties that aren’t owned by foreign adversaries.

Since we are repeating ourselves, let me just say fuck that.

“Everybody’s entitled to be an idiot.”

This isn’t Democrats spending madly. This is government catching up.

But frankly mr. cole, I’ll be happier when you get back to telling us to go fuck ourselves.

Quote tweet friends, screenshot enemies.

Prediction: the gop will rethink its strategy of boycotting future committees.

Our job is not to persuade republicans but to defeat them.

Disappointing to see gov. newsom with his finger to the wind.

“Can i answer the question? No you can not!”

You’re just a puppy masquerading as an old coot.

Beware of advice from anyone for whom Democrats are “they” and not “we.”

You are here: Home / Economics / C.R.E.A.M. / Apples-to-Oranges COVID-19 Coronavirus Update – Wednesday / Thursday

Apples-to-Oranges COVID-19 Coronavirus Update – Wednesday / Thursday

by | 6 Comments

This post is in: , ,


Reader Interactions

6Comments

  1. 1.

    Rusty

    The diagnosis number is way up given the change in methodology ( which seems more practical), but also 254 deaths. That is a very large jump in fatalities.  Not sure where this puts the fatality rate and if there can be any accurate calculation given the bouncing numbers.  It does belie any optimistic reports of slowing.

  4. 4.

    Cermet

    As they discover more people with that flu (better testing) the vast majority are mild. Not underplaying how deadly this flu is to older people but this flu isn’t SARs.  On a far more scary note, this death rate is not unlike the 1918 flu (from the WP.) However, that flu targeted healthy people.

    We can only hope that China holds the line and this doesn’t burn through the world nor start up again next fall (assuming it doesn’t continue through spring/summer – that would be unique and guarantee that flu this sweeps the world.)

    Still, they will develop a vaccine at some point this year.

  5. 5.

    YY_Sima Qian

    Most of the jump are formerly suspect cases now shifted to confirmed, under the new methodology, where a combination of travel history, exposure to confirmed or suspect cases, symptoms, and CT scan can result in confirmation by doctor’s diagnosis. The stock of suspect cases in China has been declining rapidly, now at 13K, compared to 30K just 4 days ago, even with ~ 3K new suspect cases identified per day. The optimistic read is that the 15K jump represents clearing of the “inventory” in Hubei, and thus a one time event (perhaps with a tail tomorrow), and not a new baseline. With the new methodology, we should expect a higher daily increase in confirmed cases, as the previous methodology of was constrained by availability of test kits. Not surprised at the jump in deaths, the difference is the kind of cases where people were dying before a chance for confirmation. This may represent a new baseline.

    Note that the new methodology applies to Hubei province only, but other province may not have the challenges associated with confirming suspect cases by test kit. Now, I would expect the majority of the suspect cases in Hubei and rest of China may be suffering other contagious diseases. I have seen news reports of hundreds of suspect cases being cleared a day at some location or another, But I have not seen the Comprehensive data on clearing suspect cases conveniently compiled and updated anywhere.

    Anyway, it is always better to have data that more accurately captures reality, no matter how ugly. It is also a reminder that no matter what one thinks of the CCP regime and the quality of data out of China, one should not just credulously accept whatever claims or narratives that criticizes or questions the regime and its actions. Just yesterday, a claim were making the rounds on western social media and news outlets that China was redefining the methodology for categorizing confirmed cases to suppress the numbers. It was based on a poor quality report from Apple Daily (a Hong Kong tabloid as well known for its yellow journalism as for the anti-CCP stance of its owner) that completely misrepresented the Chinese government document source material.

    In other news, the CCP regime just sacked and replaced the Party Secretaries of Wuhan city and Hubei Province. Long overdue in IMO. The Japanese seems to only have conducted 336 tests for COVID-19 , and found 135 positives. Even understanding that those with symptoms and at higher risk have been tested first, I shutter to think about the current and future infection rate on the ship. Apparently one of the Japanese personnel conducting the tests has also been infected.

  6. 6.

    MoCA Ace

    @Cermet: You display your willful ignorance by continuing to call it the Flu, even after having it explained to you multiple times.  Enjoy your Pie!

    That was kinda fun… never pied anyone before.

Comments are closed.