Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

Is it irresponsible to speculate? It is irresponsible not to.

Let me eat cake. The rest of you could stand to lose some weight, frankly.

Let’s finish the job.

I’ve spoken to my cat about this, but it doesn’t seem to do any good.

My years-long effort to drive family and friends away has really paid off this year.

It’s easy to sit in safety and prescribe what other people should be doing.

Sitting here in limbo waiting for the dice to roll

We are aware of all internet traditions.

Republicans do not pay their debts.

Not all heroes wear capes.

And we’re all out of bubblegum.

It may be funny to you motherfucker, but it’s not funny to me.

“Jesus paying for the sins of everyone is an insult to those who paid for their own sins.”

I’d try pessimism, but it probably wouldn’t work.

We’ve had enough carrots to last a lifetime. break out the sticks.

Putin must be throwing ketchup at the walls.

Republicans in disarray!

Today’s GOP: why go just far enough when too far is right there?

Insiders who complain to politico: please report to the white house office of shut the fuck up.

I like you, you’re my kind of trouble.

If senate republicans had any shame, they’d die of it.

The party of Reagan has become the party of Putin.

Since when do we limit our critiques to things we could do better ourselves?

When your entire life is steeped in white supremacy, equality feels like discrimination.

You are here: Home / Economics / C.R.E.A.M. / Apples-to-Oranges COVID-19 Coronavirus Update – Wednesday / Thursday

Apples-to-Oranges COVID-19 Coronavirus Update – Wednesday / Thursday

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6Comments

  1. 1.

    Rusty

    The diagnosis number is way up given the change in methodology ( which seems more practical), but also 254 deaths. That is a very large jump in fatalities.  Not sure where this puts the fatality rate and if there can be any accurate calculation given the bouncing numbers.  It does belie any optimistic reports of slowing.

  4. 4.

    Cermet

    As they discover more people with that flu (better testing) the vast majority are mild. Not underplaying how deadly this flu is to older people but this flu isn’t SARs.  On a far more scary note, this death rate is not unlike the 1918 flu (from the WP.) However, that flu targeted healthy people.

    We can only hope that China holds the line and this doesn’t burn through the world nor start up again next fall (assuming it doesn’t continue through spring/summer – that would be unique and guarantee that flu this sweeps the world.)

    Still, they will develop a vaccine at some point this year.

  5. 5.

    YY_Sima Qian

    Most of the jump are formerly suspect cases now shifted to confirmed, under the new methodology, where a combination of travel history, exposure to confirmed or suspect cases, symptoms, and CT scan can result in confirmation by doctor’s diagnosis. The stock of suspect cases in China has been declining rapidly, now at 13K, compared to 30K just 4 days ago, even with ~ 3K new suspect cases identified per day. The optimistic read is that the 15K jump represents clearing of the “inventory” in Hubei, and thus a one time event (perhaps with a tail tomorrow), and not a new baseline. With the new methodology, we should expect a higher daily increase in confirmed cases, as the previous methodology of was constrained by availability of test kits. Not surprised at the jump in deaths, the difference is the kind of cases where people were dying before a chance for confirmation. This may represent a new baseline.

    Note that the new methodology applies to Hubei province only, but other province may not have the challenges associated with confirming suspect cases by test kit. Now, I would expect the majority of the suspect cases in Hubei and rest of China may be suffering other contagious diseases. I have seen news reports of hundreds of suspect cases being cleared a day at some location or another, But I have not seen the Comprehensive data on clearing suspect cases conveniently compiled and updated anywhere.

    Anyway, it is always better to have data that more accurately captures reality, no matter how ugly. It is also a reminder that no matter what one thinks of the CCP regime and the quality of data out of China, one should not just credulously accept whatever claims or narratives that criticizes or questions the regime and its actions. Just yesterday, a claim were making the rounds on western social media and news outlets that China was redefining the methodology for categorizing confirmed cases to suppress the numbers. It was based on a poor quality report from Apple Daily (a Hong Kong tabloid as well known for its yellow journalism as for the anti-CCP stance of its owner) that completely misrepresented the Chinese government document source material.

    In other news, the CCP regime just sacked and replaced the Party Secretaries of Wuhan city and Hubei Province. Long overdue in IMO. The Japanese seems to only have conducted 336 tests for COVID-19 , and found 135 positives. Even understanding that those with symptoms and at higher risk have been tested first, I shutter to think about the current and future infection rate on the ship. Apparently one of the Japanese personnel conducting the tests has also been infected.

  6. 6.

    MoCA Ace

    @Cermet: You display your willful ignorance by continuing to call it the Flu, even after having it explained to you multiple times.  Enjoy your Pie!

    That was kinda fun… never pied anyone before.

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