? Total Confirmed: 537,808
? Total Recovered: 123,312
? Total Deaths: 24,127Last update: 2020-03-27 10:00 (UTC)#Coronavirus #COVID19 #Outbreak Coronavirus COVID-19 (2019-nCoV) pic.twitter.com/dP9jCGNxv1
— Coronavirus Alert! (@Coronavirus_en) March 27, 2020
Here's a visual timeline of how the coronavirus became a pandemic pic.twitter.com/abeuUI9iEw
— TRT World (@trtworld) March 27, 2020
1. Barcelona, Madrid, NYC, & Paris are all on track to be worse than Milan or Wuhan.
2. California is below that trajectory. I was wrong to dread Newsom as a governor. Along with various mayors and private organizations who pushed quarantine, Newsom is saving thousands of lives https://t.co/v5m7GJCgrC— Rogue Works Progress Admínistration (@GabrielRossman) March 26, 2020
An impending glove shortage is hitting the world, compounded by measures to contain the deadly coronavirus in a country that dominates production: Malaysia https://t.co/gnJuqBQtvv
— TIME (@TIME) March 27, 2020
JUST IN: Number of coronavirus cases in Malaysia reach 2,161
— The Spectator Index (@spectatorindex) March 27, 2020
Nations reeling from conflict, poverty and poor health care will be unable to contain the coronavirus without significant international assistance, risking that the disease will ricochet back to recovering populations, the United Nations warned https://t.co/phILU4rvmh
— The New York Times (@nytimes) March 25, 2020
Japan on Friday announced that it is suspending visas issued to the Philippines and 10 other countries in Southeast Asia, Middle East and Africa due to the continuing threat of the coronavirus disease 2019. https://t.co/RQ0k35CF15
— GMA News (@gmanews) March 27, 2020
(Friday) The #Coronavirus Indonesia update has 153 new cases, thus increasing the long list of Covid-19 cases in Indonesia to 1,046 cases, 87 fatalities, and 46 recovery.#CoronaUpdate pic.twitter.com/WBkmig0ucp
— Breaking News Report (@Reportnewscom) March 27, 2020
Here's my interview with Min Pok-kee 민복기, a top doc behind the Covid-19 response in South Korea. This fight, he said, "has both national and global repercussions. It isn’t enough for Korea alone to survive." Do read & share.
h/t @anthonylydgate @WIREDhttps://t.co/GlcTm0SRj0
— E. Tammy Kim 김태미 (@etammykim) March 26, 2020
Health officials in Singapore reported 73 new confirmed cases of the novel coronavirus on Wednesday, making it the country’s largest single-day increase in cases https://t.co/25d2HpLTQ5
— CNN International (@cnni) March 26, 2020
Singapore's infamous Orchard Towers and the government-sanctioned brothels in Geylang have shut up shop due the coronavirus. Hundreds of migrant sex workers are now stuck in limbo https://t.co/WQoVbqQuvT
— Joe Brock (@JoeReuters) March 27, 2020
Hong Kong's Labour Department is calling on the 100,000s of largely Filipino and Indonesian domestic workers to "stay home" during their one day off a week.
Except many of these women, who keep HK running, already live in tiny rooms in already tiny flats.
— Jerome Taylor (@JeromeTaylor) March 27, 2020
Now it's the thinly disguised Thai military junta that is declaring a state of emergency and arresting anyone who criticizes its bungled response to COVID-19. Another autocratic government placing its political interests above public health. https://t.co/JnjyaVh8HQ pic.twitter.com/oswAzIV19n
— Kenneth Roth (@KenRoth) March 27, 2020
??1??: January 30, the rest of China cheers on the hot dry noodle of Wuhan, who is sick in bed.
??2??: March 25, hot dry noodle has recovered. Caption reads, "Hubei [province] restarts."
Illustrated by ???momo for People's Daily, follow her on Weibo: https://t.co/mBZi8Zvy6Q pic.twitter.com/a9CYWggtBa
— Jason Li (@jasonli) March 25, 2020
Photo thread:
Six weeks after Beijing went into lockdown, the panic stage is clearly behind us, but not the economic consequences. I went out today, during evening rush hour, to do my biweekly food shopping, and while there were a lot fewer people on the street than on Monday, including at… pic.twitter.com/c4BrqPDH8z
— Michael Pettis (@michaelxpettis) March 26, 2020
How many have died in Wuhan? Govt says 2731, but funeral homes suggest otherwise: Wuchang Funeral Home (1 of 3 in the city, 1 of 8 in greater Wuhan) opened on Mar 23, says it’d issue 500 numbers/day for families to pick up ashes, it’ll try to give all out by Apr 5.
500×14=7000 pic.twitter.com/CtmxqkrHkA— Yaxue Cao (@YaxueCao) March 26, 2020
"It's like I suddenly became an untouchable."
Previously hailed as 'heroes', doctors, nurses and other frontline workers in the fight against coronavirus in India are coming under attack – and in some cases evicted https://t.co/6YrTeWMVOG pic.twitter.com/hDGBlf1b7A
— Al Jazeera English (@AJEnglish) March 27, 2020
Police in Karachi doing its best to keep the people away from Assembly in mosques but facing big challenges #COVID2019 #coronavirus pic.twitter.com/td3v0VBS4a
— Murtaza Ali Shah (@MurtazaViews) March 27, 2020
Who could have seen it coming? Like the old joke about the Soviet medical team that arrived in [X country] and were asked where their medical equipment was. "It's in the fifth tank." https://t.co/YFkhz4hF8A
— Mig Greengard (@chessninja) March 25, 2020
This isn't something I've seen much of in the Russian media and I'm happy to make it available here in English: firsthand accounts of what it's like to be hospitalized in Moscow for coronavirus. Four patients, four different stories. https://t.co/ATc0zyExke
— Kevin Rothrock (@KevinRothrock) March 25, 2020
The number of coronavirus cases in Israel has risen to 3,035 after 342 new cases were confirmed over the past 24 hours, the country’s Health Ministry said on Friday.#coronavirus pic.twitter.com/uyfci9tMMr
— Syed Emaan (@KashmirAForgot1) March 27, 2020
JUST IN: 144 new coronavirus deaths in Iran, raising death toll to 2378.
— The Spectator Index (@spectatorindex) March 27, 2020
“There’s a shortage of just about everything.” https://t.co/GLaUsNOZPj
— The New Humanitarian (formerly IRIN News) (@newhumanitarian) March 27, 2020
Ghana’s confirmed corona virus cases now at 136. pic.twitter.com/VjUQmsI9er
— BENGARZI TV on Youtube (@BENGHARZI) March 27, 2020
Charting Europe’s capacity to deal with the coronavirus crisis — The data suggest that Spain is particularly ill-equipped to deal with the outbreakhttps://t.co/3ZcUPeWRuz
— Alfons López Tena (@alfonslopeztena) March 27, 2020
People in my neighbourhood Northeast #London taking part in the national applause for the #NHS
I also proudly applaud my younger sister a paediatrician, her pharmacist husband & all other doctors & nurses in #Iran who are working around the clock in these difficult days #COVID19 pic.twitter.com/93iNqqrpKs— Nafiseh Kohnavard (@nafisehkBBC) March 26, 2020
Simple, straightforward thread on the British scientist who said he's more optimistic now about the death toll in Britain. It's not that he changed his mind. It's that Britain *made the interventions he asked for*, and so the prognosis is now better, per his *original* model. https://t.co/dUu7be9U08
— (((Yair Rosenberg))) (@Yair_Rosenberg) March 26, 2020
The new coronavirus tests, which rely on blood, not a nasal or throat swab, could help pinpoint people who’ve recovered from undetected cases of #Covid19 and might be immune. https://t.co/Dp7te85BkS
— STAT (@statnews) March 27, 2020
So many questions re #SARSCoV2: will warm weather make it go away? We don't know yet, though obviously we'll have more data soon as seasons start to change in affected areas. But I'll cite @mlipsitch's paper here which sums it up: "(tl;dr) Probably not." https://t.co/ymy2HUaQyU
— Dr. Tara C. Smith (@aetiology) March 26, 2020
Actual peer-review science on chloroquine:
This thread is stunning. The lead French investigator and team behind that non-randomized chloroquine paper has a history of faking data and being banned from journal publications. But there's more… (1/2) https://t.co/4nv5oNZdLb
— Kenn White (@kennwhite) March 26, 2020
In fact there were originally 26 patients in the treatment group, but 3 were dropped because they got worse, 1 died, 1 quit, and 1 couldn't tolerate the drug. It's possible HCQ actually *increased* mortality, but simply inadequate data to draw conclusions.https://t.co/bKEtXg964E
— Kenn White (@kennwhite) March 26, 2020
Exactly. Raoult might be the new Wakefield, but in that case it will not take so long to discover it.
— Oqaqiq (@oqaqiq) March 26, 2020
New genomic study debunks claims that the novel #coronavirus causing #COVID-19 was created in a lab. Learn more. #NIH https://t.co/6rk0FaFV65
— Francis S. Collins (@NIHDirector) March 26, 2020
WereBear
Bullshit got them into this. Why can’t bullshit get them out? (h/t to Will Rogers)
rikyrah
Thanks for this post???
New Deal democrat
It is crucial for people to realize that Trump will NEVER intervene meaningfully to help stop the virus.
If Americans don’t want to suffer through 100,000s if not over a million deaths, the States which have implemented lockdowns, now forming two super-regions, must take the next step and shut down or quarantine incoming visitors, including at airports, train stations, and at highway roadblocks. The choice is that stark.
YY_Sima Qian
Due to fear of COVID-19 infection, funeral homes in Wuhan had not been returning the cremated ashes to families since the height of the epidemic in late Jan. / early Feb. Due to lack of testing capacity and hospital beds, I am quite certain a large number of people infected with COVID-19 died without having ever been tested, or even diagnosed. This situation likely lasted until mid-Feb. with the redefinition of confirmation to include clinical diagnoses (thus relieving the testing availability bottleneck) and completion of the temporary/makeshift hospitals (thus relieving the treatment availability bottleneck). My WAG is that mid to high hundreds of infected people had died and not been captured into the COVID-19 mortality statistics. Then there were the people with life threatening conditions that passed away due to lack of available care. My WAG is that there could have been hundreds of such cases in Wuhan, as well. On the other hand, there has probably been a drop in deaths from auto and industrial accidents during the lock down. Similar things might have been happening in at least three other cities in Hubei Province, to lesser degrees. I do not believe other provinces in China suffered such fates, as hospital systems there were never overburdened.
The same thing is happening in northern Italy and greater Madrid right now, and will likely happen in NYC and other US cities in the coming weeks.
The only way to guesstimate the deaths that can be directly and indirectly attributed to COVID-19 is look at the total deaths in Wuhan from 1/1 to 3/31, and compare to the same periods in previous years.
Ohio Mom
I did not know, could not have imagined, that straightlaced Singapore, where chewing gum is banned and lawbreakers are caned, has a huge government sanctioned brothel staffed by migrant workers.
The things I am learning.
p.a.
Curious abt Italy, and how a (historically) mess of a city like Naples isn’t a hot spot. Or is it just that Lombardy is so bad Naples isn’t getting press?
p.a.
@Ohio Mom: It looked like they were getting cov19 under control until these last numbers came out.
Ohio Mom
If you follow Leonid Schneider’s twitter link, you will see a photo of the French doctor who perpetrated the hydroxycholoroquine hoax with a fudged and manipulated study.
And this isn’t his first time he’s done something like this. Anyway, he could be a separated-by-birth with Trump’s old New York doctor, same greasy long grey hair, same posture, same belligerent facial expression.
Ohio Mom
p.a.@7: Yeah, if there is any place that could put into place and enforce the draconian measures needed to stop COVID19 cold, you have to think it would be Singapore. I guess their police state has met their match in the virus, which is a sobering thought for those of us living in more laissez-faire cultures.
Another Scott
UK Prime Minister BoJo tests positive.
Of course.
Here’s hoping the queen survives this…
:-(
Cheers,
Scott.
phdesmond
Anne, thanks again for the roundup.
MomSense
I am so angry about the lack of PPE and ventilators. The only reason not to use the DPA to manufacture them is to make sure the medical device manufacturers profit yugely from this. They are killing our doctors and nurses. Trump should hang for this.
schrodingers_cat
@MomSense: Agreed.
Exregis
The rate quoted, 4.5%, for deaths is wrong in two ways. First of all, there will be more deaths among the Confirmed, and we won’t know how many until they die. So we are undercounting Deaths resulting from the current Confirmed. One should look at closed cases — recovered plus dead — for that is where one can see how many of those who got CoViD19 actually survived. That death rate figure would be Deaths / (Recovered + Deaths) or 16.4%. Secondly, any death rate algorithm is currently wrong because we do not know how many closed cases there were or how many recovered. The US at first didn’t test those who showed symptoms unless they met stringent requirements, like traveling from China or knowing someone confirmed to have CoViD19. So a whole bunch of people may have had the disease but would not be listed in the Confirmed or Recovered category. They may not even be listed in the Deaths category because autopsies are often not performed.
As Warren and others have said, we need much more testing. The results from Iceland where 50% of those with the virus were asymptotic is important in limiting spread. Those folks are dangerous but uncounted.
Fair Economist
@YY_Sima Qian: In Bergamo, Italy, excess mortality is six times the official COVID mortality, without any attempt to cover things up. Once the hospitals are full, they can’t count any more and those all die at home, along with everybody who has a treatable heart attack, etc. I’m guessing lots of deaths among those on dialysis too.
artem1s
@p.a.:
northern Italy is ski country. Probably became a hotspot the same way Aspen did. Jettsetters passing it around the globe. Europe’s version of spring breakers.
L85NJGT
@p.a.:
60% of Italian fatalities are from Lombardy. The south is generally considered to have a poorer healthcare system. Lots of hand waving about demographics and points on curves, but likely there is some factor or combination of factors that isn’t understood.
The hospital staff in Bergamo thinks the hospital itself has become a factor in the intensity of the local outbreak.
YY_Sima Qian
@L85NJGT: That was the case early in Wuhan, as well. After two weeks of radio silence from the Wuhan and Hubei authorities during the Party congresses in early to mid-Jan., the sudden open acknowledgement of human to human transmission on 1/20, followed by the establishment of the Cordon Sanitaire around Wuhan on 1/23, caused whiplash and panic among the segments of the population in Wuhan. Being still in the middle of the flu season, tens of thousands of people with COVID-19, seasonal flu, common cold, and hypochondriacs all rushed to the hospitals, cross-inflecting each other. That was one of the early mistakes made in Wuhan.
The initial lock down on 1/23 was just to isolate the city. It took another day to stop public transportation within the city, two more days to stop ride sharing service, another week to restrict access at community/compound level, and finally early to mid-Feb. to start isolating mild/suspect/close contacts from their families and communities. In each of these steps, Wuhan actually trailed other provinces in China, who were facing much smaller outbreaks, primarily introductions from Wuhan and Hubei. That is why Beijing finally lost patience and replaced the leadership in Wuhan and Hubei.
L85NJGT
Looking at a 30-60 day need window, the ramp-up and distribution time frames, DPA is probably now pointless.
Then there is staffing – there are not enough respiratory therapists to meet current production. I was told one of the big healthcare manufacturers was press ganging their ventilator field techs and sending them to NYC.
New Deal democrat
With the exception of Louisiana, not a single State of the Confederacy or the Great Plains has gone to a lockdown.
By contrast, every State in the mountain West and Pacific West with the exception of Wyoming, Arizona, and parts of Utah *has* gone into lockdown, as have every State of the Union east of the Mississippi, plus Minnesota, except for Maine and Kentucky.
This sets up a ghastly natural experiment in how well, or more likely poorly, voluntary social distancing works as a strategy. Most likely, over the next two weeks the rate of increase in infections in the locked down regions will decrease, while the exponential rate of increase in the region not locked down will continue.
Since Washington under Trump is *never* going to help, the two super-regions in lockdown need to quarantine, if not prevent entirely, persons entering their States. They have the police power to do so, and so long as they do not interfere with cargo shipments, Trump cannot use federal authority to stop them.
Another Scott
@New Deal democrat: Virginia has been on lockdown since March 24. Schools have been closed state-wide since March 13.
Cheers,
Scott.
Enhanced Voting Techniques
Northern California is, Los Angles County just passed Santa Clara county on deaths. That’s a bit alarming.
Enhanced Voting Techniques
Lombari is a manufacturing center so more travel between them and China. It’s better to call this the Jet Travel Virus.
Uncle Cosmo
Y’know, Mom, we really ought to be very reluctant to characterize people by physical characteristics. It’s classic ad hominem & we of the portside persuasion
rightlycorrectly react with fury when our brethren far to the starboard do it to us. And it’s so tempting (“who ya gonna believe, him or your own eyes??”) and so devilishly easy (because anyone with any public exposure at all has surely been photographed in an unappealing if not downright ugly pose – go check the RWNJ sites if you dare for images of HRC, Nancy Smash, Uncle Joe, etc.)Scorn Dr. Quicheater’s alleged results on the basis of his history of misdeeds against sound science, & I’m right beside you, but I can’t abide mocking his appearance, any more than the Jackaltariat would tolerate ageism or sizeism or any other sort of irrelevant bigotry.
suezboo
SAfrica on 21 day lockdown. Confirmed cases 1000+, so you know there’s a lot more out there. First two deaths (young-ish people) in my province. Personally, I’m in isolation but then I always am.I am worried about my two carers who can’t come to work and must deal with people who are ignorant or nonchalant.
Emma
@Ohio Mom: and unsanctioned, in the case of Orchard Tower. Not the whole thing, but maybe a good half of the building is taken up by skeezy “massage parlors” with frosted windows. Supposedly allowed to operate due to bribes to PAP officials, but it would take a massive investigation to figure out who’s paying who how much, and that would be too much bother for the Straits Times. Would be totally unsurprised if a lot of those “migrant sex workers” were trafficked.
On another note, caning and “banning” bubble gum (no one gives a shit if you’re chewing in public, just dispose of it properly) are not the be-all-end-all of Singapore. You wouldn’t like it if I thought Trump and Michael Bay movies were the be-all-end-all of the US.