Reuters Ipsos, vs Trump
Today: Biden +6
March 9: Biden +1https://t.co/l01B9xN896— The Bearded Crank (@beardedcrank) April 1, 2020
Dana Houle is a long-term campaign professional:
Big difference btwn a challenger releasing internals vs an incumbent doing it. Challengers often release internals to convince donors/pols/activists they’re viable & a good investment
Incumbents usually do it to wave away the buzzards circling above the campaign https://t.co/HOCtdkMZ14
— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) March 31, 2020
On this very date, Mar. 31, 1968, we gathered in the college dorm living room to watch Lyndon Johnson announce that he was standing down from reelection, even though he'd beaten back anti-war primary challenges. That's obviously not going to happen here, but. . . .
— Betsy MORE PPE NOW ? #StayHome (@Betsy_Cazden) March 31, 2020
(LBJ knew when to hold ’em, when to fold ’em, and when to walk away. Unlike certain other incumbents.)
Mike Francesca, sports radio macher & lifetime Trump guy (really — he’s known Don since they were both teenagers):
I'm feeling pretty good about the election. There are a lot of people like this, and unlike in 2016 the Democratic nominee doesn't make them feel like they're in some kind of existential moral quandary. https://t.co/jlzuXw4r5y
— Staying inside to own the virus (@agraybee) March 31, 2020
Russia, if you're listening, I hope you're able to find the millions of coronavirus tests and tons of PPE that are missing. I think you will probably be rewarded mightily by our press.
— Daily Trix (@DailyTrix) March 31, 2020
The coronavirus polling bump is real. But Trump’s is abnormally small, @henryolsenEPPC writes https://t.co/bK9i3uSYch
— Washington Post Opinions (@PostOpinions) March 31, 2020
there is a weird polling disconnect between people simultaneously telling pollsters they're ok with how trump has handled the virus and also saying they're going to vote against him in growing numbers
would love this explained https://t.co/y96uB446Bd
— Gerry Doyle (@mgerrydoyle) April 1, 2020
… Biden, who does not currently hold office, has been struggling to stay in the public eye as the coronavirus forced millions of Americans inside their homes. While Trump has held daily televised briefings about the virus, Biden has had to shut down fundraisers and other campaign events, and election officials in many states have postponed their nominating contests.
Still, the poll found that the number of people who approve of Trump in general, and also those who like the way he has handled the U.S. coronavirus response, had changed very little over the past few weeks. About 44% said they approved of Trump’s overall performance and 48% said they liked the way he had responded to the coronavirus outbreak.
That compared with a 70% approval rating among respondents for their state governors’ handling of the pandemic.
Trump initially underplayed the severity of the coronavirus, sparred with governors over their requests for medical supplies and floated the idea of reopening the economy against the advice of public health officials. But he shifted course to back extending the shutdown measures to slow the spread of the virus.
The poll showed that the coronavirus had rattled the entire country, with 89% saying they were “very” or “somewhat” concerned by the respiratory disease.
Twenty-six percent of adults in the United States said they had lost their jobs or been furloughed as stores closed and employers were forced to cut back on staffing because of guidance from health officials for people to stay at home. That was up 3 percentage points from a similar poll that ran last week…
My hot take? People unconsciously differentiate between ‘the crisis leader in the WH’ and ‘that putz on the TV making an ass of himself every day’. They won’t, under those circumstances, vote a sitting President out… but they won’t show up at the voting booth to keep the guy in, either. Which means — as ever — that it’s up to us to push up turnout for Biden.
In an interview with radio host Enrique Santos, @JoeBiden said he’s “ready to debate President Trump on Zoom or Skype, anytime he wants,” per @MariannaNBCNews
— Mike Memoli (@mikememoli) April 1, 2020
Biden called Kellyanne C’s bluff
This is really shrewd. Either Trump takes Biden’s call, which elevates Biden’s stature, or he doesn’t & he looks like a coward. https://t.co/ieoN99BLEO
— Dana Houle (@DanaHoule) April 1, 2020
trollhattan
Kellyanne’s still alive? I’ll bet not only is she toxic to the virus, if you stand close to her you’ll be inside her sphere of viral invincibility! But you’ll also be next to Kellyanne, so…call it a draw?
Joe’s probably more shrewd than folks want to allow, e.g., timing his entry into the field long after nearly everybody. All he has to do for for now is address COVID-19 on various platforms and act like not-Trump. Which is automatic in his case.
dmsilev
Trump and his minions will bluster and rant and then they will find some way of weaseling out. So, coward plus added obfuscation.
eric
@dmsilev: he should call Acosta’s cell phone during the briefing and ask to be put on speaker :)
Jeffro
There is no way trumpov wins in November – it’s all way, way downhill from here for him – and yet we must fight as if he’s almost certain to win.
(he’s going to get creamed, though! warms my soul :)
The GOP is seriously under-estimating the overwhelming desire of a majority of voters to simply get rid of trumpov. Full stop. Even a rock, or a pile of turds, wouldn’t be holding back ventilators from blue states in order to favor red states.
dmsilev
By the way, for those of us (which is to say all of us) who suspected that Trump and his family are trying to profit off of this, collect your winnings:
Exclusive: Kushner Firm Built the Coronavirus Website Trump Promised
I know, I was shocked too.
Jeffro
And that WaPo tweet sums it up well: no rally-round-the-flag effect for this jackass. A majority of voters are ready to change horses mid-stream because this time, well, ANYONE would do a better job.
NotMax
Huh? There’s an election this year? It’s so-o-o- hard to keep up.
:)
dmsilev
@Jeffro:
Hell, the 2018 midterms showed that, and that was before a once-in-a-century pandemic and with a healthy job and stock market.
Captain C
“Now 200,000 people are disposable?” — Mike Francesa
Put that next to footage of Deadbeat Donnie talking about how 200,000 dead are a win and you may just have a devastating ad.
mad citizen
@eric: This is a GREAT idea! Bravo.
I’ll say again, I would not be surprised if the Orange One bails at some point during the year. And he won’t care when and how it puts the party left behind in a bind.
Uncle Cholmondeley
Biden shouldn’t offer to call — he just just call. And have someone recording everything. It could be turned into an effective ad, it seems to me.
Google “looking for Rudy” to see how it was done effectively 30 years ago (!
ETA: eric beat me to the idea, but you should still watch the Looking for Rudy ad.
eric
@mad citizen: Fox News has it top of the fold on their webpage. Interesting to see how this plays. If trump says no, were I biden i would call cuomo and offer help/advice. then dewine. go for it
raven
Fuck LBJ.
West of the Cascades
“LBJ knew when to hold ’em, when to fold ’em, and when to walk away. Unlike certain other incumbents.”
and unlike certain prominent but stubborn candidates who can’t break 30% in their party’s primary elections …
A Ghost to Most
t* got an abnormally small bump.
/Beavis
Well, our driveway has now become the right of way for the big dig. Trucks parked in inconvenient places, hard hats everywhere. I had to “momback” my wife out of the garage to avoid a stray pickup.
At least we will have something to watch this month.
kindness
Trump is playing Bernie’s game. Trump thinks he can win it all with just his base. No one has explained to Trump his base is 38% of the citizenry.
Bad at math I guess.
BruceJ
Gee, what a convoluted way of saying ‘She had gurl cooties!’
Anonymous At Work
Kinda too soon to be quoting The Gambler or other Kenny Rogers material…
WaterGirl
I’ve never heard of Mike Francesca, but wowser! Good for him.
raven
@WaterGirl: sports
MattF
This. Makes me weep. But think, do you see any Trump voters there?
Mary G
???
eric
@WaterGirl: he is a new york sports guy, with an emphasis on new york. new yorkers like him take being a new yorker seriously, and this was an attack on new yorkers taking care of new yorkers under horrific conditions. it is a provinical and visceral reaction, and i dont mean those in any pejorative sense.
NotMax
@Mary G
Sent crews out to paint over the words “Welcome To” on signs at the border yet?
//
The Dangerman
DAMN, I didn’t realize it was so late in the year …
I still think there is a nonzero chance Trump stands down. If it’s clear he’s gonna get his ass handed to him, he will declare victory, say he was the greatest president ever, say we plebes don’t deserve him so we can all go DIAF, request his bust replaces Washington’s on Rushmore, and walk away. Of course, this assumes that the game isn’t rigged.
Damn unlikely, but if I had some good odds, I’d still take that bet right now.
RedDirtGirl
What do people here think about the sexual assault accusation against Biden? It’s not getting much media attention, but it is out there now. Can we get Warren back in the race?
Mary G
@Mary G:
Mary G
@RedDirtGirl: I think it lacks credibility.
Jeffro
Why is DeBlasio giving any sort of updates at all? Didn’t he want to keep the schools and bars and what not open? Is it just to spite/try to outshine Cuomo? Man, what a jackass.
Crashman06
@Captain C: I’m shocked that he’s lost the Sports Pope.
CaseyL
@RedDirtGirl:
I really like sour cherry pie.
Jeffro
Meanwhile, Henry Olsen killing time during the pandemic by speculating on how AOC rises to power in just a few short years.
Can’t really tell if it’s scaremongering for him and his crowd or just a wank-fest for him. Not really inclined to read it again to find out.
NotMax
@RedDirtGirl
Give it as much credence as the one thrown at Warren.
Occam’s Razor says if it didn’t arise either of the times he was on the ticket as Veep, there’s no there there.
Suzanne
From Vanity Fair:
Jesus take the wheel.
This little shit is ruining the country.
Baud
@Jeffro:
I predict it’ll be with the aid of cyborgs.
Jeffro
@CaseyL: You too? =)
Mary G
Betty Cracker
@RedDirtGirl: I looked into it and concluded it’s bullshit, and I am definitely not a Biden fan. Explained why in a thread yesterday here, in case you’re interested.
CaseyL
The CW about T* stepping down has been that he can’t, because the instant he’s out of office, State Attorneys General are going to line up to file a carload of criminal charges against him – the kind he can’t pardon himself out of. Now, if he bugs out in the middle of the night and heads off to a dacha in Russia….
LuciaMia
I dont care how well the numbers look, how good the polling. Im not gonna completely exhale till around 2AM November 4th.
Patricia Kayden
JPL
Bunch of military men and Barr on stage shoulder to shoulder and the president spoke about social distancing. Then my tv went click.
MattF
@Jeffro: Given that AOC is a bogeyman on the right, I’d assume scaremongering. But idle meandering is also plausible.
Baud
@LuciaMia:
I’m not going to exhale until we know how many faithless electors we have.
LuciaMia
Cause thats who we want in government. Someome who has to learn or fake it on the fly.
Chyron HR
Ha ha. Nice try, but that’s obviously a character from Metal Gear Solid.
The Dangerman
@LuciaMia:
How long does it take to count all the mail ins (assuming mailing becomes significant)…
Matt McIrvin
@CaseyL: He could just make coronavirus aid contingent on them dropping the charges. I’ve been assuming that’s coming sooner or later.
Ruckus
@CaseyL:
Not sure how he could sneak out in the middle of the night without the secret service hanging around. And would vlad want him there…..
NotMax
@Jeffro
(a) It goes with the territory. Part of the job is being a conduit of information to his constituents.
(b) He can be more specific about local neighborhoods or separate borough issues than can Cuomo. Also things directly germane to NYC (subways, major airports, road closures and so on).
Less vital as information and during a less dire occurrence but shall point out that La Guardia read out the funnies over the radio during the big newspaper strike as a service to Noo Yawkahs.
NotMax
Monthly test of warning sirens wailing outside. More mournful a sound than normally now.
TS (the original)
The mess that the next president will have to clean up is unprecedented. What President Obama had to do in 2009 will be nothing compared to 2021.
And I have no doubt, every remaining GOP politician will be given space in the media to scream about the terrible administration that can’t sort it out.
JPL
So twitter is telling me that the press briefing has to do with trump’s war on drugs, cuz why not.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@Patricia Kayden: reminds me of what Steve Bannon claims to have said about Pelosi after watching trump’s first post-inauguration encounter with Pelosi
Being Bannon, take the accuracy with a grain of salt, but at the very least by the time Rucker and Loennig interviewed him for their book, that’s what he wanted people to think he knew, early.
@JPL: Clicked my TV on, and it looks like the briefing is over? That’s a record short one, and he needed a bunch of uniforms around him today? Sounds like he had a bad night in spite of the breathless praise of the likes of Eric Lipton
feebog
That clip with Francesca is devastating. He has known Trump for years and up until now has been a fanboy. You can see the frustration and anger flaring thru out.
chris
@CaseyL:
In my dreams the whole damn familyis forced to retire on a Russian state pension in a nice 3BR/1Bath condo in Norilsk.
WaterGirl
@raven: I know who Dave Zirin is. Similar in any way? Or is this guy a right-winger?
edit: answered by others above and below.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@JPL: that doesn’t strike me as a good reading of the national mood, but if I knew anything about the national mood trump’s game show never would’ve made it further than maybe TBS before dropping down to the Gameshow Network, and he’d still be pitching steaks and probably “Trump Reverse Mortgages”
joel hanes
@Ruckus:
If the President said “I’m taking a chopper to Reagan, and boarding a private flight,” I doubt the Secret Service would try to stop him … I don’t think challenging his decisions are part of their charter.
I do wonder what the agents would do, particularly the guy with the football, if they learned that the private flight was going to Leningrad …
NotMax
@chris
Or overlooking Lake Karachay.
;)
David ? ☘The Establishment☘? Koch
Looks like Wilmer is gonna lose every county in Wisconsin (a state he won 4 years ago by 14 points).
You get the feeling he wants to quit and avoid the continued humiliation but his wife and kids won’t let him.
dmsilev
@Jim, Foolish Literalist: Over already, or did the networks just cut away because they’re finally getting tired of Trump rambling and praising himself?
WaterGirl
@eric: Thank you! So normally political, in the Republican Democrat sort of way? Or has he been a Trumper?
The Dangerman
@chris:
Dream big (small?).
Yurt. No bath facilities, but given a shovel.
Make that garden trowel.
Teaspoon?
khead
I went to a COVID-19 briefing and all I got was a “Just say no to drugs” t-shirt.
WaterGirl
@RedDirtGirl: It’s pure bullshit, and no matter what candidate we had, we would have despicable attacks against them.
Edmund Dantes
Man, it goes to show if you have any modicum of political skill, Trump could be riding a high of Cuomo popularity.
people have memory-holed Cuomo dilly dallying on shelter in place when De Blasio was talking it up for NYC.
JPL
So he’s still on the local ABC and CBS station and when I clicked over I heard mention hezbollah. This is moving into I’m in deep dodo part of his presidency
hezbollah and drugs ,oh my
Crashman06
@WaterGirl: He’s an arrogant, blow hard New York sports talk DJ; the main one in NYC for decades. He’s exactly the kind of older, rich, white ethnic tri-stater whose been on board the Trump train since day one. He just hasn’t moved to Florida yet.
joel hanes
@kindness:
Trump thinks he can win it all with just his base.
And with Russian help, vote suppression, shenanigans writ large, and a brazen refusal to follow the law
See Kemp in Georgia, and almost anything in Alabama.
chris
@NotMax: Acceptable.
RedDirtGirl
@CaseyL:
@Jeffro:
Really? I get pied for asking a question?
@Betty Cracker: Thanks, BC, glad to get your read on it.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@dmsilev: just looked up at the TV and they’ve gone back to it– apparently he’s talking about the ‘Rona right now.
He and Barr look to be less than six feet apart….
raven
@WaterGirl: Nah, Mike’s a rwnj. Now this guy is from Mattoon, went to Illinois and lives here in Athens.
Waiting For Superman: CV Stories, 1 April 2020
Microwaves have come a long way.
Will Leitch
Throughout this difficult period, this newsletter will be a daily look at what it is like to actually live through this moment, until this moment is over. It will feature brief opening remarks from me every day, but will mostly be stories from you about how this is affecting you, your family, your friends … your daily life. (The regular weekly newsletter will continue uninterrupted.) Email me your story at [email protected].
Baud
@David ? ☘The Establishment☘? Koch: Nice to see a good GE poll out of Wisconsin.
MattF
@David ? ☘The Establishment☘? Koch: I get the opposite feeling, that he wants to go on, but everyone is telling him it’s time to quit.
Baud
@MattF:
Agree. He’s hoping Biden dies or gets caught up in a fake scandal that his followers are pushing.
joel hanes
@RedDirtGirl:
Have you looked into the previous public representations that the alleged victim has made about the same incident ?
Have you looked into the other things she’s written and released to the public ?
Have you looked at who she works with ?
All that ad hom aside (ad hom isn’t always incorrect, even if it’s a logical fallacy), the alleged behavior is so different than any other complaint about Biden’s behavior that it seems … strange.
WaterGirl
@Crashman06: nodding. I am starting to get a feel for who he is and why this is a big deal.
EthylEster
@WaterGirl: Maybe a little more research is required…
The sports-radio icon still plans to vote for Trump in November, he told The Daily Beast, but could barely contain his fury over the president’s handling of the pandemic.
chris
@The Dangerman: Nasty! But when I said the whole family I meant ALL of them including Melamine’s parents.
RedDirtGirl
@joel hanes: I did read up on it. Was just looking for some jackal insight.
joel hanes
@RedDirtGirl:
I get pied for asking a question?
Are you familiar with the question
“Have you stopped beating your wife?”
It’s just a question.
WaterGirl
@EthylEster: Wow. As long as someone creates an ad of him saying what he said, this guy can vote for whomever he wants.
Crashman06
@EthylEster: That’s too bad but I shouldn’t be surprised. It’s a cult after all.
EthylEster
@RedDirtGirl: Look at who is pushing it.
LuciaMia
His kids, maybe. But Melania? She , from the beginning, has looked like she has one last fuck to give, And thats way gone.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@MattF: I saw a quote from him, he was on The View today, implying that he’d be letting down democracy if he dropped out now. And there’s a poll showing increased support for M4A that has RoseTwitter all triumphant today. I personally find the wording of the poll and the numbers a bit vague, but they seem to think it means something.
WaterGirl
@LuciaMia: I thought they were talking about Bernie, not Trump. But maybe I got that backwards?
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@RedDirtGirl:
nerves are strained these days, and yesterday we had an old school troll sea-lioning on the topic for a couple of hours.
I’ve long wanted to ask, do you take your nym from the Emmylou song?
RedDirtGirl
@joel hanes: Wow. Okay, then.
cain
@RedDirtGirl:
It’s one of the reasons why I hate these filters personally. When you asked that question you fell into a bucket of people who are possible Bernie supporters wanting to troll. That particular bit is some nonsense from the Bernie camp.
Some folks though reach for that filter fairly quickly because life is too short. :-)
Sloane Ranger
The US is looking at a massive crisis with a highly contagious disease and Trump launches a massive military operation involving cramming lots of people into lots of small ships. This doesn’t sound like a particularly good idea to me. In fact it looks like a cynical attempt to move the the news cycle away from the pandemic with lots of ra ra patriotism.
I notice Trump partially tries to justify this as protecting the nation against the coronavirus. He doesn’t say how. I assume it has to do with his theory that the virus is being brought in by scary Brown people rather than being spread internally.
Baud
@Jim, Foolish Literalist:
RedDirtGirl
@Jim, Foolish Literalist: Thanks for providing some context. Hadn’t seen the earlier. And yes, that’s where the nym comes from ?.
WaterGirl
@RedDirtGirl: I think Jim, Foolish Literalist explained it pretty well. Nearly 60 comments, back and forth, on that subject yesterday with comments that were in the same neighborhood as yours.
I don’t think that’s where you are coming from at all, but nerves are frayed and I think that’s why you got the response that you did.
So please just assume that you accidentally stepped in a pile of poop, and wipe your shoes, but please don’t take it personally.
Tom Q
@RedDirtGirl: I think some people are over-sensitive: there have been some bros pushing the story hard the past couple of days, and they fear you might be one.
Since I know you from the meet-up, I can vouch you’re just asking an innocent question.
The claim IS, however, total bullshit.
RedDirtGirl
@WaterGirl: I appreciate you saying that. Thanks.
EthylEster
@WaterGirl: But whose minds will be changed by the ad? The guy hates what Trump is doing wrt COVID but he will still vote for him. I don’t think he is the only deplorable who can hold these seemingly contradictions in his/her mind. My BIL has recently admitted that he now thinks Trump is crazy. But he still voting for him.
lamh36
Evening BJ.
Spent my entire off day doing NON-COVID related things. Reading a good book, lying in my be watching some streaming and now getting ready for online class at 6pm.
Back to tomorrow for 4 days thru the weekend, then off for a full 4 days after. I’ll be counting down the next 4 days at work!
How’s everyone day been going so far?
Mai naem mobile
@LuciaMia: I am not going to exhale until the Inauguration because who the hell knows what Trumpov is going to do between Nov and January along with McConnell.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@RedDirtGirl: heart-breakingly beautiful song
WaterGirl
@lamh36: I’m glad you had a good day and that you have some serious time off ahead. Also glad to see that you are taking care of yourself. This is not the time to get rundown.
I spent some time today looking at the cool stuff people posted in the previous thread, so I am not feel anxious today like I was yesterday. Yesterday was not a great day for me.
Baud
@lamh36:
Hello. Doing pretty well. Glad to hear you had an enjoyable day.
Mai naem mobile
@EthylEster: so Francesca is like some NJ man during the 2016 election who got screwed by Trumpov in the Trumpov University scam but was still going to vote for him.
Chyron HR
@Jim, Foolish Literalist:
Do you think at some point during Bernie’s off-season campaign (before he primaries Biden in 2024), anyone in the revolution will dare to explain to Bernie that if his policies are so goddamned popular, the reason he keeps losing must be because everyone hates HIM?
Ruckus
@joel hanes:
Understand, they have to protect him but can not stop him. In theory.
Would the pilot of AF1 fly him to Russia on a moments notice? Can they?
Would the SS guard him or stop him? I have no idea, but it might be an interesting discussion.
On another note, my boss just called, we have a lot of work, but nicely he doesn’t expect me back for a month at least. Good guy, when I told him I was hunkering down he said your job is here when you want it. That kind of boss is rare, I don’t know what I would have done when I owned my business, I’d like to think that I would have said the same for my employees.
PST
There is a softball game going on in the deserted street in front of my apartment. Bernie and I are watching from the balcony. It looks like a mom and dad with their three three kids in the maybe 8 to 12 range, so I suppose it is harmless. They’ed all be home together anyway.
Calouste
@Chyron HR: I don’t think anyone in the
cultrevolution is self-aware enough to come up with that.dmsilev
Crime of the Year:
Beverly Hills police find 192 rolls of toilet paper inside stolen SUV
Ruckus
@David ? ☘The Establishment☘? Koch:
Not sure the wife and kids are the problem.
He and trump are two sides to the same coin. A lot of self valuation that only some others see and that most don’t believe at all.
NotMax
Fool every day, not just April the first.
NotMax
@Ruckus
“So long, and thanks for all the grift.”
//
mrmoshpotato
@trollhattan: The Script Keeper
Jinchi
It seems an age ago but March 9th was less than a week after Super Tuesday and 10 more states have voted in primaries since then. On March 10th, Trump was still being quoted denying the problem.
Steeplejack (phone)
@RedDirtGirl:
Your inclusion of “Can we get Warren back in the race?” seemed to indicate that you thought there was some substance to the accusation.
mrmoshpotato
@NotMax: “We’re not sorry, we meant to come to this”
p.a.
The sports icon still plans to vote for Trump… “Don shit in a cup and told me it was chocolate Haagen Dasz, but it’s the thought that counts”
nasruddin
@LuciaMia: I’d keep the O2 running til noon 20 Jan 2021
Barbara
@Captain C: I just cannot fathom Trump saying how “only” 200,000 dead will be a victory. Oh, I understand his logic, trying to move the goal posts and preemptively claiming that he did a good job, but it’s just mind blowing because it shows that he is more worried by how he looks after the catastrophe than the death of more than 200,000 fellow citizens.
Sister Golden Bear
Good news: Later this afternoon, I should have a fully functioning sewer line again. Meaning weeks of living dangerously will finally be over.
Not so good news: Unexpectedly hard day yesterday, since it was (at least on paper) my last day of work.*
But the actual separation paperwork couldn’t be signed until yesterday for whatever reason. I knew that day was coming so it was both weirdly anti-climatic and unexpectedly emotional.
It’s especially weird with the coronavirus, since there wasn’t even a chance to go into work today to say final goodbyes to folks. The paperwork was done electronically, and we all got pre-paid mailers to send in our laptops, badges, etc.
Just one more piece of feeling unmoored from normal reality at the moment. I’m a million miles away and there’s nothing left to bring me back today.
*I’d actually found out at the end of January that I, and half the office here, would be laid off after the company was bought out (the layoff was big enough that they had to give us 60 days notice). I actually haven’t been to work in weeks — they’d encouraged people to wrap up their projects ASAP and then not come in (don’t want potentially disgruntled employees in the office natch).
Brachiator
@Sister Golden Bear:
I’m not sure I’ve ever seen a gruntled employee.
Good luck in the days and months and years ahead.
MomSense
Has anyone heard from Nicole? She said last week that her neighbor tested positive.
NotMax
@Sister Golden Bear
Taco Bell time!
:) :)
Duane
Missouri’s Governor Parson made an announcement today. Not that he finally grew a spine and was issuing stay in place orders. Instead he cutting 500 million from the higher education budget and would use 350 million in federal money to cover other budget shortfalls. It’ll get worse, and not just Missouri. The tax cut, small government states are going to be devastated.
Barbara
@MomSense: Last night or this morning, she did post about getting a call from a distant relative worried about her because she was in NYC.
LuciaMia
On another respite thread I mentioned the Brit sitcom The Detectorists. Its on Amazon Prime and might be running on some folks PBS stations. Its funny, sweet, touching and unexpected. Has one of the loveliest opening songs which introduced me to the songwriter, Johnny Flynn. Wonderful songs, wonderful voice. (It reminds me of the Dransfield brothers.)
zhena gogolia
@LuciaMia:
We love Johnny Flynn! Based on his performance as Dobbin in Vanity Fair and as Mr. Knightley in Emma.
piratedan
my apologies for going OT, but this sucks…..Adam Schlesinger of Fountains of Wayne has died due to succumbing to COVID-19 in NYC… he was 52.
Sab
@The Dangerman: US Postal Service runs out of money in June, so we won’t have mail ins by November.
MomSense
@LuciaMia:
Such a great show.
J R in WV
@RedDirtGirl:
The accuser is well known to be a kook, has claimed to be engaged to marry V. V. Putin ( Yes, THAT Putin!) among many other strange and unbelievable statements. So I don’t believe her for a minute, nor do the reporters who don’t work for OANN or Breitbart.
joel hanes
@Ruckus:
Would the pilot of AF1 fly him to Russia
In my imagined scenario, it’s not AF1 but a private jet, chartered through two levels of shell corporations belonging to one or another Russian oligarch.
But I suppose that if he commanded the Air Force to take him there, they might do it. I just don’t think that would feel like the safest escape route to His Orangeness.
Enhanced Voting Techniques
@joel hanes: Remember Putin was exposed. Russia might be in the middle of a succession crises when Doll Hands looks to bail.
Martin
@joel hanes: The saudis would be the ones to get him out, just as they cleared out on 9/12 despite US airspace being closed.
Sister Golden Bear
@NotMax: In the future, all restaurants are Taco Bell.
japa21
@joel hanes:
If he is going to use AF1 he will have to do it prior to the actual inauguration. Otherwise, President Biden would have to approve it.
opiejeanne
@WaterGirl: Francesca almost certainly knows Buddy Baker, whose parents died on Sunday of COVID-19. Baker is an NFL agent. His parents had been married for 51years, and died 6 minutes apart. He said they were perfectly healthy a few weeks ago.
Just devastating, to lose both just like that, and I hope that they were not alone when they died.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@Sister Golden Bear:
Trump’s America. Hillary wanted us to have taco trucks on every corner
Edmund Dantes
@Duane: there are going to be a ton of states making drastic cuts once the sales tax and business revenue drops hits the books as tons of states have “balanced budget” amendments in their constitutions.
joel hanes
The idiots keep saying the quiet parts right out loud, and the ads write themselves.
https://twitter.com/AdamParkhomenko/status/1245447114022359042
prostratedragon
Question from the Grand Boulevard section of Chicago: Where is this fog coming from all of a sudden?
joel hanes
@Martin:
Saudis
Don’t know why that didn’t occur to me.
But I wonder what further use Trump would be to MBS.
Or to Putin, for that matter.
joel hanes
@japa21:
I had thought that the whole conversation was about Trump seeing the endgame and taking a bunk before the election.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
snark just fails sometimes
EthylEster
@Sab: Drop boxes work very well if you are living instate.
japa21
Don’t know if it’s been mentioned, but George Takei announced he will be the final torch bearer for the Olympic Games next year.
joel hanes
@Edmund Dantes:
states have balanced budget
Which is why, IIRC, the national state-of-emergency statutes provide for the Federal government to step in and backstop the finances of states. (someone correct me if I’ve got that wrong)
To my knowledge, Trump has not yet invoked that power.
From the pattern of his behavior so far, one would expect him to do it selectively, for, say, Florida, but not for Michigan or Washington.
NotMax
@Jim, Foolish Literalist
Super Sekrit™ data which no one else has access to.
//
Nicole
@piratedan: No, I was just checking the comments to see if anyone else had mentioned it. I’m so sad at this news. I loved, loved, LOVED Fountains of Wayne (I once sat through a Matchbox 20 concert purely because FOW was the opening act.) A wonderful, witty songwriter, and apparently a pretty good human being, too. “No Better Place” is one of my favorite songs ever.
joel hanes
@TS (the original):
The mess that the next president will have to clean up is unprecedented. What President Obama had to do in 2009 will be nothing compared to 2021.
In some ways it will be easier — I can’t imagine that even Biden will hesitate to demand the resignation of every single Trump political appointee on day 1. None of this keeping Comey as the head of the FBI shit.
And I’ll bet that Biden’s advisors will have nomination lists ready to go for most of those offices.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@joel hanes:
Robert Mueller was head of the FBI when Obama took office
joel hanes
@Jim, Foolish Literalist:
Thanks. I regret the error.
Please note that Mueller is a Republican.
opiejeanne
@RedDirtGirl: There was at least one troll on this here blog recently, doing the “just asking” thing about the accusations about Biden. People are a bit testy about it still. The miscreant got banned, it was so bad.
Brachiator
@The Dangerman:
People have been saying variations of this ever since Trump decided to run for president.
Sadly, he’s not going anywhere.
We are going to have to vote Trump out. And then maybe someone can slip him a ticket to Russia or North Korea.
Jim, Foolish Literalist
@joel hanes:
Okay.
trollhattan
@Baud:
At that point I’d magically find myself in the “Draft Cuomo” crowd. (Does Liz still have any delegates?)
Lymie
Here’s a great site to see model projections overall and state by state: https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
I’m in N.H. so that’s what I am talking about. Might be worth front page, unless I have missed it.
There’s a dropdown atop the page that defaults to USA national picture, but you can drop down to find New Hampshire. If you hover over the charts, it reveals the underlying data points. Some relevant NH statistics from today’s update:
Be safe. These forecasts are based on social distancing, and you can see how the “worse case” quickly gets beyond control.
trollhattan
@opiejeanne:
But I learned what sea-lioning was, so all was not lost.
?BillinGlendaleCA
@opiejeanne: I believe Tom L. just gave it a Time-Out and wiped it’s comment and all replies.
Sab
@EthylEster: Thanks. That does make me feel better.
Our postal people have changed a lot in the last month. The regular carrier used to be a young woman. Presumably she is home with her kids since day care closed. Now it is an old white guy. It looks like they have brought retirees back into service. Anyone know anything about that?
Baud
.
Baud
@?BillinGlendaleCA:
That was a different thread. Same fake scandal though.
ETA: More precisely, it happened in at least two threads recently.
opiejeanne
@dmsilev: Talk about crime of the year, of all the things to use as kindling!
From KIRO (CBS affiliate in Seattle:
BELLEVUE, Wash. — Prosecutors say a Bellevue dentist, who was facing eviction for not paying rent, tried to burn his office down last week by lighting medical masks and gowns on fire that health care workers have been desperately trying to get their hands on during the coronavirus pandemic.
Dr. Mohammad Rafie of A to Z Dental in Bellevue has been charged with first-degree arson for allegedly starting several fires on March 23 inside his 116th Avenue NE office that’s located in a complex housing 28 businesses.
Investigators say some of the offices, including the one directly below A to Z Dental, had people inside when Dr. Rafie started the fires but luckily no one was hurt thanks to sprinklers that helped keep the fire from spreading.
https://www.kiro7.com/news/local/charges-bellevue-dentist-tried-burn-his-office-down-by-lighting-medical-masks-gowns-fire/3QFWBXJKQFHQNFXTV7GCT532CE/
opiejeanne
@Jinchi: March 9 was my 70th birthday and we were already staying in. I baked myself a birthday cake.
jackmac
@prostratedragon: Todays warm air temps and cold Lake Michigan air are the culprits.
?BillinGlendaleCA
@Baud: Yeah, there wasn’t any action taken on the earlier thread and the topic was discussed.
Uncle Cosmo
@MattF: “Everyone” isn’t telling him to quit. “Everyone who isn’t making a pile of $$$ every day his campaign continues” comes a lot closer.
errg
@piratedan: Oh no, that’s awful. Fountains of Wayne was an incredible band, with a ton of amazing songs, I don’t know why they never got more attention. I’ve seen them live probably 10 times, and they were always great. Really sad news…
MCA1
@Anonymous At Work: I probably shouldn’t share one of my favorite memes going around last week, then. I actually thought it paid tribute to Rogers perfectly, if a touch irreverently: “Kenny Rogers dippin’ in the middle of the Apocalypse might be the most ‘know when to fold ’em’ shit of all time.”
Gravenstone
@Suzanne: Kind of frightening how much damage an unelected fuckweasel can do if he has access to the right ear.
opiejeanne
@trollhattan: I’m surprised you didn’t know. You always seem to be up on stuff like that. I stumbled across the comic strips explaining it a while back, not that I’m up on the latest things these kids are saying.
Jay Noble
@LuciaMia: I’m just exhaling a little bit then if all goes well, then some more on Jan. 3 and Finally on Jan. 20. Lotsa damage can be don in those 2 and a half+ months.
Mallard Filmore
@RedDirtGirl: I, for one, am pleased that your curiosity has been satisfied and do not need to bring this up again.
Gravenstone
@joel hanes: I would hope the football has a built in incendiary device to remove it from play if under threat of being lost.
Gravenstone
@David ? ☘The Establishment☘? Koch: Got my absentee ballot today. Biden is the lat name on the list, and there are 10 others no longer running listed as well. Expect some wasted votes for shits and grins.
JaySinWA
@Suzanne:
While I don’t disagree, the number of invasive ventilators that NY needs may not be that high, if the Institute for Health Metrics estimates are any where close to accurate projections for NY indicate about 9,300 at peak. Of course this is one statistical model and might well be wildly wrong. And obviously Jared is not qualified to make that judgement.
From https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections
WaterGirl
@opiejeanne: Shit.
NotMax
@Gravenstone
May not appear in the same position for others. Some places practice changing the order of names printed so it isn’t the same on every ballot.
terry chay
@EthylEster: a lot can change her fore the election and it is only heading one direction. Also, those two probably won’t vote. Elections are about motivations and what they are saying is they aren’t motivated to vote, not that they will vote for Trump.
Jinchi
@Mary G: Wow! Hallmark has gotten hard core.
Gravenstone
@Baud: Honestly, that was my nagging fear until Tulsi officially dropped out – that Biden and Sanders would get sick, or worse and she’d be the last contestant on the island. That would have deeply sucked.
Jay Noble
@NotMax: Ours in Nebraska are done for the year as far as in person. Goodbye prom, Track season, baseball, soccer and Graduation. I bet there will be some make-up Proms and Graduation in late July early August if things work out just so they get them before they head off to college.
Martin
@Suzanne: If only the federal government had an expert somewhere, in some center that handled disease control, that could figure out how many respirators NY likely needed.
I blame Obama.
Jinchi
@opiejeanne: Happy birthday. Hopefully, next year you get to celebrate it with all your friends and we’ve all forgotten the Trump era.
Omnes Omnibus
People really need to chill about accusing others of being a troll or insta-pieing them.
Jinchi
Luckily, being the last one standing doesn’t get you the ring. Even our disfunctional system isn’t that screwed up. If tragedy struck Biden and Sanders, Tulsi wouldn’t automatically have picked up the nomination. The delegates would be freed up to pick a new nominee and Warren or Buttigieg or any of the other candidates would be more likely than Tulsi. I think the delegates could even pick someone who didn’t run in the primaries, like Cuomo.
That’s is why candidates don’t quit. They just suspend their campaigns.
Gin & Tonic
@Omnes Omnibus: Fuck you, troll.
Omnes Omnibus
@Gin & Tonic: Pie for you!
ziggy
Well, if anyone is left, I think this is good news—the new Shenzen law in China is going to ban eating dogs and cats. It may be temporary, but let’s hope it is a start and moves into something more permanent.
sdhays
@joel hanes: I don’t know. Dump doesn’t strike me as self-aware enough to really be clear enough on any potential danger to his personal freedom. I think it’s more likely that he ignores all the signs that he’s going to be arrested and detained while awaiting trial until the police show up with the handcuffs.
sdhays
@Jim, Foolish Literalist: Ah, what might have been…
ballerat
@EthylEster: Like most trumpers he’s only mad because some of the wrong people are getting hurt, mostly financially. Just like the trumper farmers.
And just like trumper farmers he’ll still vote for Trump because they all know he still hates the same people they hate and generally will hurt the same people they want hurt.
ballerat
@Jim, Foolish Literalist: I missed the troll thing yesterday, and thought she was trolling but didn’t pie her. Still think she is, as a matter of fact.
AnotherBruce
@The Dangerman: I think there is a non-zero chance that, before he can do any of that. He will be arrested by SDNY