After a record 178 COVID19 cases were reported in Oregon on Thursday and nearly 800 in past week, Gov. Brown announced late yesterday a one-week statewide pause in the State’s pending county reopening requests. Testing, tracing can help them isolate the focus of the outbreak. https://t.co/gbgBaKUKZR
— Scott Gottlieb, MD (@ScottGottliebMD) June 12, 2020
All states have relaxed at least some of their social and economic distancing measures.
Some states are still seeing significant downward trends on case count and positivity rate in the face of rising testing counts.
Other states are seeing upticks as more movement leads to more infection opportunities.
The big question that I have is how do states and regions respond to new information? Are we on an open above all else glide path, or will state and local officials respond to new information that is presented through testing and positivity rates to course correct? I think state and local officials will respond to overflowing emergency rooms and ICUs that are over capacity. But those are lagging indicators. Individuals in the hospital right now are likely to have been infected sometime in May. A person newly diagnosed yesterday is highly unlikely to be in the hospital today.
Will state and local leaders respond to localized information flows early enough to keep the hospitals from getting crushed? Can they pause re-openings and more importantly, will their citizens follow pause orders?