When you invade earth but you have to spend two weeks in quarantine. pic.twitter.com/9JXTW5XItU
— You Had One Job! (@_youhadonejob1) June 12, 2020
U.S. coronavirus infections top 2.13 million, making up more than a quarter of global confirmed cases, according to Johns Hopkins University https://t.co/3FXLkt2QdL
— The Wall Street Journal (@WSJ) June 17, 2020
COVID-19 updates ?
??India registers a jump of 2,000 deaths in a single day
??Pakistan reports a record daily death toll of 140
??Australia's borders likely to remain closed until 2021
??Japan finds coronavirus in wastewater https://t.co/lBckkKNrMc pic.twitter.com/EuMyzQBq8M— Al Jazeera English (@AJEnglish) June 17, 2020
Arizona, Florida, Oklahoma, Oregon and Texas all reported record increases in new COVID-19 cases after recording all-time highs last week https://t.co/ZDhCywsb4p pic.twitter.com/s2npDd2U4Z
— Reuters (@Reuters) June 17, 2020
How long can Arizona sustain daily #Covid19 case increases in the 2,400 range?
The virus isn't gone, people. Acting like it is is asking for a whole lotta pain. https://t.co/pHItygUJme— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) June 17, 2020
New York: great #COVID19 news: "The state saw 1,538 hospitalizations & 25 deaths over the last 24 hrs & reached a 3-day average death rate of 24…
'That is something to celebrate … we went up the mountain and came down the mountain,' @NYGovCuomo said.https://t.co/Ew0N5GtJeU— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) June 16, 2020
?? ?? ?????, ???? ????????? ???? ???? ???? #??????? ?? ??? ???? ? ?????? ???? ???? ?? ????? ??? ?.
We cannot become numb to the numbers. The actual magnitude is massive. pic.twitter.com/fGAneJExoC
— Craig Spencer MD MPH (@Craig_A_Spencer) June 16, 2020
Masks ?
"Mandating public use of face masks is assoc'ed w/a reduction in the #COVID19 daily growth rate…the average daily county-level growth rate decreases by…2.0%-points," w/21+ days after signing orders-to-mask.https://t.co/5NWuImVs8a— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) June 16, 2020
Beijing extends movement curbs to contain resurgent coronavirus https://t.co/MU5YlGgXrg pic.twitter.com/rbxI7bIcjP
— Reuters (@Reuters) June 17, 2020
Coronavirus in Beijing: 27 neighbourhoods not allowed to leave as spike continues https://t.co/hutp5L0OZN
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) June 17, 2020
Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern called a slip-up that lost New Zealand its COVID-free status an ‘unacceptable failure,’ after two people with the coronavirus were allowed to move around the country https://t.co/Q8bXW3y5BI pic.twitter.com/18L8gcQjDZ
— Reuters (@Reuters) June 17, 2020
Australia says borders likely to stay closed until 2021 https://t.co/FYmcUfui62 pic.twitter.com/rsAtLfgrYy
— Reuters (@Reuters) June 17, 2020
Special disinfection tunnel set up to protect Russia's President Vladimir Putin from coronavirushttps://t.co/7wL61QEdAG pic.twitter.com/WpWNgeSC3L
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) June 17, 2020
Coronavirus: 'India's healthcare system failed my family' https://t.co/taPwsCUqmC
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) June 16, 2020
Pakistan shuts down districts in 20 cities as coronavirus infections risehttps://t.co/QoeW0xdPti pic.twitter.com/dwsHkdMJd6
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) June 16, 2020
"We still have a heavy fight": Iran has been the Mideast's hot spot for the pandemic but is only now seeing its highest single-day spikes in reported cases. Health experts worry a growing complacency among Iranians may further allow the virus to spread. https://t.co/Y0U9QZ0LuW
— AP Middle East (@APMiddleEast) June 17, 2020
Coronavirus: Violence mars Paris protest for health workers https://t.co/Nyi6b5oWnU
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) June 16, 2020
Sweden has made less progress than expected in achieving immunity to the coronavirus, according to its state epidemiologist https://t.co/iKVZqGmrhu
— Bloomberg Markets (@markets) June 17, 2020
"a disdain for evidence, an obsession with centralised control, and the privileging of private over public interests." The disgrace of our 'Test and Trace' system in England brilliantly dissected by Dave McCoy. https://t.co/k847AfTptI
— Anthony Costello (@globalhlthtwit) June 16, 2020
Public health experts have warned that Africa could become the next epicenter of the Covid-19 pandemic. The WHO said last week that confirmed cases in Africa had doubled in 18 days to reach 200,000; the first 100,000 took 98 days. https://t.co/KmKOCWXya9
— The New York Times (@nytimes) June 16, 2020
Doctors in Nigeria's public hospitals on strike over what they see as inadequate protective equipment and pay
How vulnerable are health workers in Nigeria? https://t.co/wHSu0CftSH
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) June 17, 2020
"What’s happening in Brazil is unique on a global level. Despite soaring numbers, officials never implemented measures largely successful elsewhere in the world. There has been no national lockdown. No national testing campaign. No agreed-upon plan." https://t.co/1RqRdPWcSl
— Oliver Stuenkel ?? (@OliverStuenkel) June 17, 2020
Mexico's total coronavirus cases rise to 154,863 and 18,310 deaths https://t.co/g8uF2fwYYM pic.twitter.com/KRPhegBj3s
— Reuters (@Reuters) June 17, 2020
"Testing newly symptomatic people should be top testing priority." — important thread from @DiseaseEcology. https://t.co/G7gk8beE9E
— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) June 15, 2020
Researchers identify potent antibody cocktail with potential to treat #COVID19 https://t.co/gFtY99mlTx via @medical_xpress
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) June 17, 2020
The World Health Organization moves to update its guidelines on treating people stricken with COVID-19 after 'great news' in drug study https://t.co/LZJ7IbB0BO pic.twitter.com/HUkEljvszL
— Reuters (@Reuters) June 17, 2020
… Trial results announced on Tuesday showed dexamethasone, used since the 1960s to reduce inflammation in diseases such as arthritis, cut death rates by around a third among the most severely ill COVID-19 patients admitted to hospital…
Although the dexamethasone study’s results are preliminary, the researchers behind the project said it suggests the drug should immediately become standard care in severely stricken patients.
For patients on ventilators, the treatment was shown to reduce mortality by about one third, and for patients requiring only oxygen, mortality was cut by about one fifth, according to preliminary findings shared with WHO.
The benefit was only seen in patients seriously ill with COVID-19 and was not observed in patients with milder disease…
Show me the data: U.S. doctors skeptical of reported COVID breakthrough https://t.co/MCHPziKbKP pic.twitter.com/N9KcUqhjyh
— Reuters (@Reuters) June 17, 2020
This is exciting news. My only caution — and I've separately tweeted lists of references — is that I've interviewed many #SARS 2003 survivors that have suffered permanent side effects from steroids used on them, including depression, listlessness, bone loss, weakness & NM-pain. https://t.co/NsT2Co7jwO
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) June 16, 2020
House #Republicans to @POTUS #Trump : Hell no, don't pull the USA out of @WHO . NO NO NOhttps://t.co/g4BB4MyXZq
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) June 16, 2020
FDA decision to revoke waiver for malaria drugs to treat Covid-19 is "a Deep State blindside by bureaucrats who hate the administration they work for more than they’re concerned about saving American lives," Trump trade adviser @peternavarro45 tells me. https://t.co/0qDuRF34NA
— Sheryl Gay Stolberg (@SherylNYT) June 17, 2020
Its true we are still in middle of 1st wave of COVID infxns, but in 21 states that wave is rising quickly. In many of those places, while we have more diagnostic testing, there are substantially increasing #s of COVID pts in hosp.s and ICUs. Very concerning. https://t.co/s3Fj8QVWz0
— Tom Inglesby (@T_Inglesby) June 16, 2020
Perhaps the best argument that we're seeing a decline right now is that our increase in testing has finally caught reality — and daily cases a month ago were actually way higher.
Pence can't say that, of course, because of what it implies about his boss. https://t.co/N1N6LBiTnt
— Philip Bump (@pbump) June 17, 2020
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s daily numbers. 10 new cases, all from local infection, comprising seven Malaysians and three non-Malaysians including one immigration detainee. Total 8,515 cases.
140 more patients recovered, total 7,873 recovered or 92.5% of all cases. There are 521 remaining active cases, of which four are in ICU with no one on a ventilator. No new deaths, total stands at 121 deaths. Infection fatality rate 1.42%, case fatality rate 1.51%.
NotMax
Run-on consequences.
Mentioned last week having driven by row upon row of cars parked nose to tail on shoulders and in all the fields surrounding the airport. Personally saw no less than 500, probably over 1000 if those hidden by terrain or obscured by scrub are taken into account.
gkoutnik
Unique? I can think of another country with no rational national response. Oh, right – it’s the one I live in.
OzarkHillbilly
Figures, I can’t take it.
NotMax
@gkoutnik
Mom’s older sister in Brazil wanted to send her some newspaper articles from there but mail to the U.S. is not being accepted by the Brazilian postal service.
Jay Noble
PM Ardem sounds pissed and the reason for the slip up? People who thought they should be the exception.
NotMax
@Jay Noble
Can’t have an avalanche without snowflakes.
terben
From the Australian Dept of Health:
‘As at 3:00pm on 17 June 2020, a total of 7,370 cases of COVID-19 have been reported in Australia, including 102 deaths and 6,870 have been reported as recovered from COVID-19.
23 new cases today, 21 in Victoria. 15 of the Victorian cases are among people quarantined, having returned from countries now suffering high rates of infection, eg India, Pakistan and Bangladesh.
Australians are a gregarious bunch who like to travel for business and pleasure. Many of these are returning home to the relative safety that we offer. Inevitably some of these returnees are infected.
One such case was detected in my state today. Someone who had returned from Pakistan showing symptoms of Covid-19, tested positive while in quarantine in Melbourne, recovered and subsequently travelled to Adelaide. He was tested on arrival and was positive to an antibody test. He is now in self isolation for 2 weeks at home.
Patricia Kayden
Trump: “Just stop testing! No tests — no Coronavirus! Simple.”
Seriously, Trump has stuck his head in the sand on this issue.
OzarkHillbilly
@Jay Noble: The story I read of it said the exceptions were in the rules.
Amir Khalid
This entry from The Guardian‘s liveblog is a reminder: you can never let your guard down against the coronavirus.
OzarkHillbilly
FTFY, free of charge just ’cause I like you,
NotMax
@OzarkHillbilly
They are but the devil is in how those are (pardon the term) policed.
Baud
@Amir Khalid:
Really? We don’t have enough accountability here, but that seems ridiculous.
OzarkHillbilly
@NotMax: The devil is everywhere.
Amir Khalid
@Baud:
Harsh, perhaps, but not ridiculous. It did happen on their watch, after all.
satby
Every week, less and less people wear masks in this area. And a stunning number of them are elderly. I’m really expecting a disastrous summer of overwhelmed hospitals starting in another few weeks.
Brachiator
If Arizona doesn’t change anything, it might become an interesting disaster model. About 17.5 percent of the state population is age 65 and older.
Here is a May 15 NPR story.
And the June 14 result
The July 15 numbers could be staggering. But the key date might be August 20, which would include Fourth of July holiday celebrations.
Barbara
@Jay Noble: That’s a lot of people. I read about a group of Italian travelers who went to Martinique to escape the Italian lockdown, who were outraged to learn upon entry that they were required to quarantine for two weeks. Martinique is an overseaes departement of France. I wouldn’t want to be shut inside on a Caribbean island for two weeks either, but I wouldn’t try to travel from an active hot spot with the expectation of facing no restrictions.
Baud
@Amir Khalid:
Everything every private citizen does happens on some government’s watch. But it’s politics so whatever works works.
Baud
@satby: I think all of this is a secret Republican to get liberals to be against spending our hard earned tax dollars on those people.
BellyCat
@OzarkHillbilly: Beat me to it!
NotMax
@Baud
Awaiting the announcement as to whether the watch under the Baud! administration will be digital or analog.
:)
NotMax
Morning thread slept in today?
OzarkHillbilly
@BellyCat: I realized after I posted that that I still hadn’t got it quite right. So… FTFM:
Seriously, Trump has stuck his head
in the sandup his ass onthisall issues.OzarkHillbilly
Time to go. Somebody say “Hello.” to the morning thread for me.
mrmoshpotato
@Brachiator:
Unintentional dark humor first thing in the morning?
I like it.
mrmoshpotato
@NotMax: It’s the Baud! administration – it will be atomic! Cesium watches for all!
NotMax
@mrmoshpotato
Cesium the day!
New Deal democrat
@Brachiator:
As it turns out, the explosion in new cases in Arizona wasn’t on the 15th, but on the 16th. The 7 day rate of new infections rose by close to 20% yesterday alone, to 214 per million.
Over the last 3 weeks, cases in Arizona have doubled every 9 days. At this rate, they will be as bad as NY was at its peak in two weeks.
Alabama, Arkansas, and South Carolina aren’t too far behind, and also show exponential increases of doubling about every two weeks.
While the death rate nationally has continued to decrease slightly, it has started to increase in Arizona and Arkansas.
Amir Khalid
@Baud:
The two women were released from quarantine without being tested. Someone on the health ministry made that mistake. Then someone else misreported the extent of their contact with locals on their 400-mile drive to Wellington. PM Ardern and the Health Minister aren’t directly responsible, of course, but the buck has to stop somewhere.
mrmoshpotato
@NotMax: Given the recent events (of the past 3.5 years), the morning thread probably went on a Tuesday night bender.
(The thread, not its author.)
NotMax
@mrmoshpotato
Good-bye, Woozy Tuesday.
;)
mrmoshpotato
@NotMax: Who could hang a name on you?
The people who named the day “Tuesday,” perhaps?
YY_Sima Qian
Yesterday, Beijing reported 31 new domestic confirmed cases, as well as 3 new suspect and 6 new asymptomatic cases, all directly connected to the Xinfadi produce exchange. The neighboring Hebei Province reported 1 new domestic confirmed and 1 new asymptomatic cases, both connected to Xinfadi. The province of Zhejiang in Eastern China reported 1 new domestic confirmed case, a vendor at Xinfadi. Since 6/14, 356K people deemed at higher risk of exposure (people determined by epidemiological investigation and big data to have direct connections to Xinfadi and other produce markets with cases, residents in communities surrounding these markets, and residents in compounds with cases) have been tested with RT-PCR. That is an ~ 0.04% positive rate. Beijing authorities claims that a further 355K people determined by big data to be at risk will be tested today. All testing labs in Beijing are running 24/7, increasing Capacity by several fold.
In next phase of the testing campaign, Beijing aims to mass screening 6 categories of people: all residents of communities/neighborhoods deemed Medium or High Risk, all workers and vendors at all markets, medical personnel, public devices personnel, students and schools staff that had returned to classroom instruction, and frontline community workers and volunteers.
So far, most of the cases have direct exposure to Xinfadi, secondary infections are a small minority, and I am not ware if any tertiary infections, yet. Combined with the very low positive rate, despite massive testing and tracing, it would seem Beijing did in fact catch this outbreak early, though the origin is still unknown.
However, the earliest cases had developed symptoms (albeit often very much) by 6/4 – 6/6, while they were not tested until 6/10 – 6/11, and the authorities did not announce the first confirmed case until 6/12 and the outbreak until 6/13 – 6/14. Detection and reaction a few days earlier could have significantly reduced the number of infections, and more importantly reduced the geologic scope of the outbreak, and thus reduced the cost of test/trace/lock down response. The Chinese authorities had to figure out how to better educate the population (especially the relatively marginalized population without local “Hukous”) on all the symptoms of COVID-19, encourage them to visit fever clinics at the first sign of symptoms, and remove deferents to seeking medical assessment and testing.
Cities around China are placing everyone who came from Beijing since 5/30 (not just those with connections to Xinfadi) into centralized quarantine and have them tested. Probably an overreaction, given the still relatively small outbreak to date in Beijing.
Cities across the country have also launched campaigns to test environmental samples and workers/vendors working in major produce markets, wet markets, and supermarkets. No positive results, yet.
Brachiator
An interesting tidbit from the UK Science and Technology May meeting. Comments from Sir David Spiegelhalter, Winton Professor of the public understanding of risk at the University of Cambridge. This appears to be an attempt to provide a quick informal write-up of the talk of scientists on the panel.
I wonder if this is also what is seen in the US.
Enhanced Voting Techniques
El Presidenties Base is actually backing him up on deliberately breaking the Virus abatement efforts in local communities.
Nelle
@Amir Khalid: I’m having a hard time believing they didn’t stop once for the bathroom or anything else. I lived roughly halfway between the two cities. That’s a long drive, slowing down for towns and geography. Just south of us, the speed drops to 25 km several times as one negotiates tight curves between rock and lake or up and through ravines where it becomes the Desert Road. It’s mostly two lane road and requires alert and intense driving. I once met some Americans who said they were la-dee-da when they set off from Auckland and they looked spent when I saw them on arrival on Wellington. They said, never again in one go. I think these women stopped and went into public loos, at the minimum.
NotMax
@Nelle
Kiwi wee-wee?
;)
VOR
I see fewer and fewer people wearing masks at the grocery store or when picking up take-out at restaurants. Facebook shows me people crowding together at restaurants or events without a care in the world. As a society, we are just stupid. It makes me think of this clip from Terminator 2: https://youtu.be/kpEDSvaP_-8
frosty
@NotMax: in early May we passed along a single track railroad line in Eastern Colorado where unused car carriers were sidelined. For 20 miles.
J R in WV
@Amir Khalid:
I’m cynical, but I suspect the two “compassionate” travelers lied when first questioned, as they know they fucked up bigly. Obviously completely irresponsible. Whoever let them go is the responsible party besides the two ill travelers.
They came to visit ill relatives, and to kill them and others all around them. Typical special kitties, would be Trumpoids here. Or Karens.
glc
Coming back to CA, this vignette from Orange County is impressive:
https://www.latimes.com/california/story/2020-06-16/groups-clash-in-orange-county-over-mask-requirements
Maybe not impressive to those who know Orange County. I just wish they weren’t next to LA County.
Another Scott
@satby:
WHO:
Or, as someone in the news put it more bluntly: Every previous new pandemic has had at least a 2nd wave, and that 2nd wave hits in the winter, and it is worse than the first. There’s no reason to think that COVID-19 will be any different.
There is still no effective treatment (The Evil Dex slightly reduces fatalities for people in ICUs – it’s not a cure).
There is still no vaccine.
There is still far too much community spread.
:-(
Be careful out there!!
Cheers,
Scott.
Royston Vasey
@Nelle: I currently live in Wellington. I agree that it is unlikely that made the journey from Auckland to Wellington (once they had found the right road out of Auckland) without taking a break.
They said they stopped by the side of the road for a toilet break. However, it is more likely that they needed additional fuel around maybe Taupo, Waiouru, or Taihape. Here they could of used contact-less pay-at-the-pump and used the bathrooms all without meeting anyone.
The simplest answer would be for a Health official to visit them in Wellington and get the honest truth from them.
RV in NZ
Betty
@Barbara: As far as I know, most islands are requiring the 14 day quarantine at your own expense, either at a special facility or hotel. One reason I am not leaving as I would have to do that when I came home at a special facility.
Royston Vasey
@Amir Khalid:
Sunday 7th June – Left London, UK
Wednesday 10th June – Arrived London-Doha-Brisbane-Auckland
Entered managed isolation in Auckland hotel
The women had just lost a parent and were distraught. The pair asked for and received compassionate leave.
Saturday 13th June – Drove from Auckland to Wellington
Picked up car from friend (and then got lost trying to get to motorway & went north instead of south)
On the journey, claimed not to stop.
Monday 15th June – Positive test result
Since their arrival in Wellington, the pair have been in contactless home isolation