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I conferred with the team and they all agree – still not tired of winning!

Boeing: repeatedly making the case for high speed rail.

Despite his magical powers, I don’t think Trump is thinking this through, to be honest.

The line between political reporting and fan fiction continues to blur.

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Anyone who bans teaching American history has no right to shape America’s future.

Seems like a complicated subject, have you tried yelling at it?

A consequence of cucumbers

Putting aside our relentless self-interest because the moral imperative is crystal clear.

There are more Russians standing up to Putin than Republicans.

Baby steps, because the Republican Party is full of angry babies.

It’s always darkest before the other shoe drops.

Oh FFS you might as well trust a 6-year-old with a flamethrower.

Let there be snark.

If you’re pissed about Biden’s speech, he was talking about you.

Only Democrats have agency, apparently.

An almost top 10,000 blog!

Trump makes a mockery of the legal system and cowardly judges just sit back and let him.

Washington Post’s Catch and Kill, not noticeably better than the Enquirer’s.

The next time the wall street journal editorial board speaks the truth will be the first.

Biden: Oh no. We’ve upset Big Pharma again.

I might just take the rest of the day off and do even more nothing than usual.

Don’t expect peaches from an apple tree.

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You are here: Home / 2021 / Archives for June 2021

Archives for June 2021

COVID-19 Coronavirus Updates: Friday / Saturday, June 4-5

by Anne Laurie|  June 5, 20216:37 am| 35 Comments

This post is in: COVID-19 Coronavirus, Foreign Affairs

I made a little interactive that updates the CDC's tally of vaccinations to determine how close the country is to getting a free beer. The fuller the mug, the sooner Anheuser-Busch gives out 200,000 free brews. https://t.co/2OmydGZptX pic.twitter.com/nPYVYN8RCw

— Philip Bump (@pbump) June 4, 2021

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COVID-19 Coronavirus Updates: Friday / Saturday, June 4-5Post + Comments (35)

Apparently the Blog Took a Siesta!

by Adam L Silverman|  June 4, 202110:05 pm| 128 Comments

This post is in: Birdwatching, Crock Pot Craziness, DPRK, Faunasphere, Food, Food & Recipes, Foreign Affairs, Humorous, Nature & Respite, Open Threads, Silverman on Security

I have no idea where all the other front pagers have been since Tony Jay’s guest post. I know where I’ve been. I had a teleconference on a project I’m involved in, then I went and ran an errand for the Mominator, then I came home and worked out, then I walked the dogs in the steam room we call the outdoors here, and now I’m typing this. As soon as I hit publish I’m going to go get the grime off, turn on the Avs game, and have something to eat.

In the meantime, I have baby wild turkeys!!!!!!!!

Apparently the Blog Took a Siesta!

Apparently the Blog Took a Siesta! 1

They’re SOOOO CUTE!!!!

Also, I really think I have a chance to win this year!

Annual Pyongyang Burrito Eating Contest begins in 57 minutes.

— DPRK News Service (@DPRK_News) June 4, 2021

I don’t care what the odds makers say!!!

Odds makers say Marshal Kim Jong-Un is heavy favourite.

— DPRK News Service (@DPRK_News) June 4, 2021

Open thread!

 

Apparently the Blog Took a Siesta!Post + Comments (128)

Tony Jay Guest Post: UK Coronavirus / Media Politics, Pt. II

by Anne Laurie|  June 4, 20214:00 pm| 114 Comments

This post is in: COVID-19 Coronavirus, Foreign Affairs, Guest Posts

First section of this installment here.

… That any of the above came as much of a surprise to Mr and Mrs G. B. Public is testimony to the sheer scale of the propaganda effort being sold to British customers as ‘News’, as it is to the sheer audacity of the Infotainment outlets packaging deliberate misinformation as ‘News’, and to the delusional willingness of millions of my fellow countrypeeps to believe whatever convenient myths they’re offered rather than credit the evidence of their own eyes, just as long as those myths comfort their nagging sensation of itchy guilt and come wrapped up in the bright colours and familiar sounds of ‘News’. Everyone already knew this and yet people still voted for them, cry the talking-heads, so by virtue Rule 538.4a of the Mini-Machiavelli 4 Modern Maestros guidebook it’s obviously not important and going on about it is just losertalk.

Which would be a good and valuable point to make, if it wasn’t a pile of disingenuous nonsense and neither good, nor valuable, or even really a point at all. Everyone didn’t ‘know’ this. Some people had been saying things like it, yes, often loudly and frequently, with tons of real-time evidence to back up their claims, but without the enormous national megaphone accorded to the architects of pro-Tory misinformation their warnings have had all the bandwidth of a fart in a bath and had been routinely dismissed as either partisan sniping or unproven conspiracy theorising, or both, and in any case definitely not the kind of opinion the forelock-tugging flagstraddlers of Lesser Brexitannia would either want or need to be exposed to. Coming from such a senior figure within the Conservative Government, a man who only a year ago we were being told was so integral to everything the Government was trying to do that he was basically the Hand to Flobalob Johnson’s flatulent King, and to paraphrase the corporate motto of the World’s Greatest Soccerball Team, ‘This Means More’.

Now, let’s be very clear here. Dominic Cummings is a genuinely nasty bastard with a Ripper’s trail of carnage soaking his ledger and, should he one day be found hanging from a pedestrian footbridge with a bound and gagged Nigel Farage stuffed up his arse, the tracks of my tears would be drier than a Martian wadi. He’s a professional liar with clear links to the murky techno-anarchist fraternity of bomb-throwing dataminers financially fluffed into being by American billionaires, Russian kleptogarchs, Australian hatevendors and various Middle-Eastern ‘interests’ with cash to stash and boycotts to swerve, his stated aim of blowing up the entire British Civil Service so that it can be replaced with a eugenically-selected caste of creative/destructive megaminds wielding dictatorial powers in order to ‘get shit done’ sounds no different to me than any other misanthropic loser’s Statement of Aims and translates easily to “In this post-Apocalyptic dystopia of my creation all of my fiery dreams of intercourse will come true!” and according to the people who track such things it was his ‘family trip’ to Barnard Castle during the first Lockdown, combined with the obvious lies he told about it and the concerted Human Shield thrown up around him by Johnson and All Tories Everywhere (oh yes, a year ago it was an unpatriotic sin to doubt the ethereal honesty of St Dominic of Cummings) that more than anything else shattered the Public’s faith in Lockdown being a “We’re all in it together” national effort.

That said, and in full knowledge that his transparently obvious motivation on Wednesday was to present himself as the only sensible guy in all of the rooms where the deaths from Covid of tens of thousands of innocent people were being dismissed as the price of doing business, and that his cosy closeness to certain Tory aspirants to Flobalob Johnson’s shaky throne (Rishi Sunak, I’m looking right at you) means that a good portion of his invective has to be seen as brush-clearing for the next round of Tory Party reconstruction, at the end of the day he was in all of those rooms and he was there as Johnson’s eyes, ears and rending jaws. When the Prime Minister’s former chief political advisor goes in front of a pair of Parliamentary committees to answer questions about the Government’s response to Covid and basically calls it a complete failure that they should all fall on their swords for…. yeah, that’s the kind of thing that gets things moving.

Will it? Ha-ha-haaaaaaaa (wipes eyes) no, no it won’t.

First, a brief shuffle backwards across the kelp-streaked stones of yesterweek to lay out where we were before Cummings began his extended roast. It was a busy time, and as usual in Lesser Brexitannia, that’s not a good thing. Following the conclusion of local and regional elections in which they deliberately equated the successes of the NHS Vaccination program with voting Tory to ‘Get Brexit Covid Done’, the Government had ‘suddenly’ noticed that the spread of the so-called ‘Indian Variant’ of Covid (Modi-Johnston Variant sounds more apt to me) in places like Bolton and Bedford might blow a huge, gaping hole in their plans to end all Lockdown restrictions on the 21st of June.

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Tony Jay Guest Post: UK Coronavirus / Media Politics, Pt. IIPost + Comments (114)

TGIF Open Thread

by Anne Laurie|  June 4, 20213:33 pm| 66 Comments

This post is in: Biden Administration in Action, Open Threads, President Biden, Proud to Be A Democrat

First Lady Jill Biden marked her 70th birthday with a quiet bike ride down Gordon's Pond Trail, which was not closed to the public according to Secret Service, so onlookers who passed the Bidens by wished her well. https://t.co/A2Br5Q5wbK pic.twitter.com/vvcaykRsJh

— ABC News (@ABC) June 3, 2021

Because we need some lighter news.

Thank you, HumboldtBlue:

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TGIF Open ThreadPost + Comments (66)

Now you’re talking…

by Betty Cracker|  June 4, 202112:42 pm| 203 Comments

This post is in: Domestic Politics, Open Threads, Politics

Even if our party’s filibuster-philes hog-tie the Biden-Harris admin’s legislative agenda and sacrifice it on the altar of senatorial comity while Mitch McConnell cackles with glee and red state governors plot the Trump Restoration, there are still cool things the executive branch can do:

Statement by President Joseph R. Biden, Jr. on the National Security Study Memorandum on the Fight Against Corruption
JUNE 03, 2021

STATEMENTS AND RELEASES

Strengthening the resilience of rights-respecting democracies is one of the defining challenges of our era. Corruption eats away at the foundations of democratic societies. It makes government less effective, wastes public resources, and exacerbates inequalities in access to services, making it harder for families to provide for their loved ones. Corruption attacks the foundations of democratic institutions, drives and intensifies extremism, and makes it easier for authoritarian regimes to corrode democratic governance.

Corruption is a risk to our national security, and we must recognize it as such.

The sleazy Trump gang was an object lesson in how corruption undermines democracies. To me, the most astounding revelations about Paul Manafort were not the crimes themselves but that he so openly peddled influence and trafficked in bribes for decades. And he’s just one dude.

Public corruption in particular and white collar crime in general do “eat away at the foundations in democratic societies” in all the ways outlined in the memo. They also generate cynicism and apathy, which make it easier for homegrown authoritarians at every level to slither into positions of power. It really is a national security issue, and kudos to the president and his team for recognizing it as such.

Speaking of our filibuster-philes, Michelle Goldberg of The New York Times gives voice to how many of us are feeling these days:

Democrats hope that Manchin, who has said Democrats should have faith that there are “10 good people” in the Republican caucus, will lessen his opposition to filibuster reform when Senate Republicans repeatedly prove him wrong. It’s harder to know what Sinema actually believes and thus what could sway her; she seems above all dedicated to a view of herself as a quirky maverick, and delights in trolling the Democrats who elected her. In April, after infuriating progressives by voting against including a federal minimum wage increase in the coronavirus relief package, she posted an Instagram photo of herself wearing a ring spelling out a dismissive obscene phrase that begins with “F” and ends with “off.”

This gap between the scale of the catastrophe bearing down on us and the blithe refusal of Manchin and Sinema to help is enough to leave one frozen with despair. Democrats have no discernible leverage over Manchin and little over Sinema, though they ought to consider primarying her. (Unlike Manchin, she’s not the only Democrat who could win a Senate seat in her state.) Those who want our democracy to endure have no choice but to keep asking, imploring and cajoling these two lawmakers to value it above the false idol of bipartisanship, but so far there’s little sign they will.

So we’re stuck. The overarching story of American politics right now is that Republicans are laying the groundwork to accomplish legally what they failed to do by force on Jan. 6. Sinema could help fortify our country against a tide of Trumpist authoritarianism that could soon wash away everything that makes it worthwhile. Instead she’s showing us her ring.

“Frozen with despair” is an excellent way to describe it. One Michelle Goldberg is worth metric fuck-tons of Douthats, Stevenses and Brookses, plus a Jupiter-sized conglomerate of Bruenigs.

Maybe Republican overreach will save us. They can’t control or stymie the federal government right now without colluding with delusional Democratic senators, but red state governors and statehouses are busily making citizens’ lives worse every day by converting daft conspiracy theories about voter fraud, critical race theory, shootin’ arns, blastocyst sentience, minimum wage-scorning layabouts, trans youth plots to dominate women’s sports, Antifa super-soldiers, etc., into real laws.

It’s pure performance art, and most of these measures DeSantis, Abbott, etc., preen about on Fox News aren’t popular with the citizens of their states, let alone the country. Maybe the states, meth labs of democracy, will heighten the contradictions at last? Hahaha, probably not!

I get tired of waiting for unaffiliated and/or apathetic Americans to rise up and say enough is goddamn fucking enough, but here we are. At least there’s corruption to squash, and if Team Biden puts teeth into those efforts, it will leave bite-marks on Republican asses nationwide.

Open thread!

 

Now you’re talking…Post + Comments (203)

Sad Day for Raven and All of Us: Goodbye Bohdi

by WaterGirl|  June 4, 20219:46 am| 140 Comments

This post is in: Absent Friends, Furry Friends

Raven shared his sad news with us this morning.

What a wonderful life you gave him, Raven.  And what a beautiful photo.

We knew it was coming, but I am still in tears. ?

Sad Day for Raven and All of Us: Goodbye Bohdi
Bohdi as a baby, with Lil Bit

Sad Day for Raven and All of Us: Goodbye BohdiPost + Comments (140)

Improving choice in the complex ACA choice environment

by David Anderson|  June 4, 20219:05 am| 10 Comments

This post is in: Anderson On Health Insurance

At the Health Affairs Blog, Patrick O’Mahen and I lay out the challenging choice environment for people trying to buy insurance on Healthcare.gov.  We know from the Medicare Advantage research space that choice quality crashes when people are faced with more than fifteen choices.  The price of bad choice is most heavily borne by individuals with cognitive decline and limited resources.  Overly burdensome choice complexity is a regressive tax.

Improving choice in the complex ACA choice environment We first looked at the number of unique plans that were subsidy eligible on Healthcare.gov from 2014-2021 on a population weighed basis so that a county with 2,000 residents and 2 plans counts weigh less than a county with a million residents and 65 plans.  We sliced the universe into four buckets and considered 50 or more plans to be an OUCH indicator for plan choice.  That is a lot of choice.  And it is an amount of choice that varies considerably over time.  2021 had 45% of people on Healthcare.gov looking at 50 or more plans.  This was similar to 2015 and 2016, but very different from 2018-2020.

I think there is a lot of very interesting work that can take this image as a jumping off point, but that is not where I’m going this morning.

Instead, Patrick and I propose that states and exchanges bear the burden of expertise by offering options where the individual puts in some basic criteria such as :

  • Maximum premium to pay
  • Have to have doctors/hospitals
  • Current Drugs
  • Measures of liquidity/assets (ability to afford a deductible etc)

And then from these sets of relatively clear preferences, expert decision support systems would be used to pick a pretty good if not perfect plan.

Another option is for states to integrate their exchange functionality with other state based social welfare databases so if other data systems indicate that an individual is eligible for a zero premium plan, the individual is placed into  a zero premium plan with the option to opt out.

 

In both these cases, the entity that is able to handle complexity and expertise bears the cost of complexity instead of the individual.  These steps would likely increase enrollment and improve the risk pool as the hassle and attention costs of enrollment can be waived away for individuals who are likely to be relatively low users of healthcare services.  I think that expert decision support and the assumption of administrative burden by the state is where most of the action will be over the next couple of years as these frictions dominate modest changes in net premiums that rejiggering subsidy regimes can do.  I also think that the choice environment is likely to get more crowded in 2022-2023 and beyond as the large national insurers are re-entering the markets en masse and the current insurers are either holding constant or expanding their service areas.

 

Sidenote 1: Exhibit 1 in a wide variety of forms has been the image/graphic/exhibit that has been lodged between my eyes the most for the past six months.

Improving choice in the complex ACA choice environmentPost + Comments (10)

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