#Omicron
We know little, but the risks are substantial and we should act in a precautionary way (boosters, good masks, ventilation). Lovely animation from @VickiGSP here. pic.twitter.com/0psSZ8PdZL— Trisha Greenhalgh (@trishgreenhalgh) November 29, 2021
President Biden says the new COVID-19 variant is "a cause for concern, not a cause for panic." He urged Americans to get fully vaccinated and return to face masks indoors in public settings. But he said he was not considering any widespread U.S. lockdown. https://t.co/cmoaP35kre
— The Associated Press (@AP) November 29, 2021
BREAKING: CDC strengthens COVID-19 booster shot recommendation to include all adults as new omicron variant spreads. Earlier this month, the U.S. opened boosters to all adults but recommended them only for those 50 and older or people in long-term care. https://t.co/ICC96j7xMq
— The Associated Press (@AP) November 29, 2021
A few months back I got grief for my supposed cowardice after I told @helenbranswell that I would not travel internationally—not because I'm afraid of the COVID risk, but because I'm afraid of stupid governmental responses.
I was not overly pessimistic.https://t.co/DJblVNl8TL
— Carl T. Bergstrom (@CT_Bergstrom) November 29, 2021
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World Health Organization warns Omicron coronavirus variant poses high risk of infection surges around the globe https://t.co/skoTqf7jsz
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) November 30, 2021
Japan and France confirm their first cases of the new variant of the coronavirus as countries around the world scramble to close their borders or find ways to limit its spread while scientists study how damaging omicron might be. https://t.co/urcrK18MIl
— The Associated Press (@AP) November 30, 2021
Discovery of the #omicron variant in more than 14 countries to date is the latest evidence that the global COVID-19 pandemic is far from over. Increased vaccination and testing are immediate steps that should be taken.
Our statement with @SHEA_Epi: https://t.co/vV3woRe2jS pic.twitter.com/xKeGhkrbml
— IDSA (@IDSAInfo) November 29, 2021
According to the chief epidemiologist of China CDC, China's zero tolerance approach has avoided 200m Covid infections and 3m deaths. He also suggests that the strategy will stay in the foreseeable future. pic.twitter.com/4ws7l5xS7q
— Yanzhong Huang (@YanzhongHuang) November 30, 2021
India says Omicron shows up on tests, advises states to ramp up checks https://t.co/2VnXK3OHD2 pic.twitter.com/xo5nrJYEq5
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 30, 2021
Singapore boosts testing, holds off on further reopening over Omicron variant https://t.co/oDqk4vceg6 pic.twitter.com/IhmIn4aaF7
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 30, 2021
Hong Kong expanded a ban on entry for non-residents from several countries as authorities raced to curb a potential outbreak of the Omicron virus, while Australia's cabinet will review containment steps after five people tested positive https://t.co/RJL9fcPmU0 pic.twitter.com/z1KB6pDqnK
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 30, 2021
Russia on Tuesday confirmed 32,648 Covid-19 infections — the lowest number in 6 weeks — and another 1,229 deathshttps://t.co/TNLfuq7sjz
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) November 30, 2021
A Siberian man spent 3 days in a Tomsk hospital pretending to be a doctor and caring for his COVID-infected grandmother, posting online videos decrying the state of Russian healthcare. The woman later died, and he has left Russia amid alleged death threats https://t.co/bcrBxcdYqx
— Matthew Luxmoore (@mjluxmoore) November 29, 2021
The backers of the Russian Covid-19 vaccine Sputnik V said Monday that the jab is effective against the new Omicron coronavirus variant but they were also developing an adapted booster https://t.co/QWYkmnkipY
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) November 29, 2021
Russia’s rollout of a nationwide QR code system that would restrict access to public places and transport is running into widespread opposition from anti-lockdown activists even as the pandemic death toll soars, @felix_light reports https://t.co/dSHgPxeV7H
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) November 30, 2021
Rise in German COVID-19 infections flattens https://t.co/sHn9Xv6DFg pic.twitter.com/O6HhhhAtI0
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 30, 2021
Man who went to a *Covid party* to build his immunity dies from the virus. The 55-year-old died in Austria after contracting Covid in Italy. Parties are prevalent in the city of Bolzano & elsewhere. They're like anti-vaxxer chickenpox parties but deadlier https://t.co/0B9Lh1sWOG
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) November 29, 2021
Mask mandates to tackle Omicron come into force in England https://t.co/BsT56iIdZg pic.twitter.com/XUAPLR9rsx
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 30, 2021
Saluti, here is your unroll: On developed country privilege, and the marginalisation of the global… https://t.co/oKaE2mns4X Enjoy :) ?
— Thread Reader App (@threadreaderapp) November 29, 2021
The African Vaccine Acquisition Trust (AVAT) works w/@gavi & #COVAX to buy & distribute #COVID19 #vaccines in Africa. Their plea to World — don't ignore us & don't just dump vaccines on us when you feel like it. We need predictable supplies & planning.https://t.co/tOMWverOrJ
— Laurie Garrett (@Laurie_Garrett) November 29, 2021
Ecuador announces restrictions for travelers due to Omicron coronavirus strain https://t.co/uxPTtp5VW3 pic.twitter.com/uo0YsKzVlo
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 30, 2021
Chile has approved Covid shots for children 3 & up. Nicaragua & Cuba are vaccinating toddlers as young as 2. Chilean kids will receive the Chinese CoronaVac shot already used there for youngsters 6 to 15. For 16 to 18-year-olds, Chile uses Pfizer's mRNA vax pic.twitter.com/BCif9jSpSz
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) November 29, 2021
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‘No red flags’ yet: South African scientists caution against panic over the new variant. https://t.co/SLhkYpK3tE
— Lynsey Chutel (@lynseychutel) November 29, 2021
… The concern in South Africa was prompted in part by a sudden increase in the country’s test positivity rate, which rose to nearly 10 percent from 1 percent, according to data released by South Africa’s National Institute for Communicable Diseases.
The increase largely stems from cases in Gauteng Province, a densely populated economic hub that is home to Johannesburg, said Michelle Groome, head of public health surveillance and response at the institute. But based on the data, the number of new recorded cases is still lower in South Africa, relative to its population, than in many European countries.
The country’s administrative capital, Pretoria, where 219 people are hospitalized with Covid, is at the center of the new wave, according to data from the institute. But scientists do not yet know how many of these hospitalizations were a direct result of Omicron.
While new hospital admissions are still relatively low, there has been a “steep rise” over the past two weeks, said Waasila Jassat, a public health specialist at the National Institute for Communicable Diseases.
The rate of fatalities has not increased, Ms. Jassat said. While new cases were highest among people under 35, hospitalizations were more common among people over 65 and very young children.
Existing coronavirus treatments seemed to be effective against Omicron, Mr. Karim said, though there was not enough data yet on the efficacy of monoclonal antibodies, which are rarely used to treat Covid-19 in South Africa.
It is also still too early to know whether the potency of the variant warrants tightened precautions like travel bans, scientists said…
BREAKING: Toddlers make up 10% of hospital cases in omicron epicenterhttps://t.co/xoBoWLXFBp @LoniPrinsloo1 @business pic.twitter.com/KMXvqCKWa8
— David S. Joachim (@davidjoachim) November 29, 2021
How do you detect the Omicron Covid variant? https://t.co/13V5WOQVE1
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) November 29, 2021
We should get behind this incredibly cost-effective plan to fight pandemics.
As Eric Lander points out "cost of the COVID-19 pandemic to the United States alone has been an estimated $16 trillion, which makes spending $65.3 billion seem paltry." https://t.co/ewcD1ukwAf
— Erik Brynjolfsson (@erikbryn) November 28, 2021
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BIG: There were ZERO Covid-19 deaths yesterday in New York City — with a population of almost 9 MILLION and an adult vaccination rate of nearly 90 PERCENT.
Vaccines work! Pass it on.
— Jon Cooper ?? (@joncoopertweets) November 29, 2021
For the data nerds, the 95% compliance figure is "at least one shot."
Also, previously the Corps has told me that they have not granted a religious vaccine exemption in at least 10 years.
Marine Corps Reserve compliance is at 79% (at least one shot) but they have until Dec. 28
— Konstantin Toropin (@KToropin) November 29, 2021
Republican officials around the country are testing a new mechanism to build loyalty with unvaccinated Americans while undermining Biden administration mandates: unemployment benefits. https://t.co/UzRxneS5xs
— Axios (@axios) November 29, 2021
Big ‘divorced dad who shows up (when it’s not too much trouble) to be indulgent during weekend visits’ versus ‘mean custodial mommy who makes you eat vegetables and do homework’ energy from the GOP Death Cultists:
… Driving the news: Florida, Iowa, Kansas and Tennessee have changed their unemployment insurance rules to allow workers who are fired or quit over vaccine mandates to receive benefits.
The big picture: Extending unemployment benefits to the unvaccinated is just the latest in a series of proposals aligning the GOP with people who won’t get a COVID shot.
– Republicans see a prime opportunity to rally their base ahead of the midterms. No matter how successful their individual efforts, the campaign is a powerful messaging weapon.
Details: Nine GOP-controlled states have passed laws requiring exemptions for the Biden administration’s vaccine mandate, or banning private companies from requiring vaccination altogether, according to the National Academy for State Health Policy…
“what a political hack, with no soul”
all true https://t.co/jzlJjjPVo7
— Eric Boehlert (@EricBoehlert) November 29, 2021
RI principal let students attend homecoming dance maskless earlier this month – just like him. Kids started testing positive for Covid-19. So did he. He died yesterday. https://t.co/4Cf6xJx2Jv
— Adam Gaffin (@universalhub) November 28, 2021
YY_Sima Qian
On 11/29 China reported 21 new domestic confirmed (2 previously asymptomatic) & 0 new domestic asymptomatic cases.
Inner Mongolia “Autonomous” Region reported 21 new domestic confirmed cases (2 previously asymptomatic). There currently are 41 active domestic confirmed cases in the region.
Heilongjiang Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. 3 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 43 active domestic confirmed & 1 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province.
Shanghai Municipality did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently are 3 active domestic confirmed & 1 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city. 3 residential compounds are currently at Medium Risk.
Xuzhou in Jiangsu Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently is 1 active domestic asymptomatic case in the city, a traced close contact of the party at Shanghai (having shared a meal w/ the party from Shanghai while at Suzhou on 11/20, returning to Xuzhou on 11/21).
Hangzhou in Zhejiang Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently are 2 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city, both traced close contacts of the party at Shanghai (having shared a meal w/ the party from Shanghai while at Suzhou on 11/20, returning to Hangzhou on 11/22).
Dalian in Liaoning Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. 6 domestic confirmed cases recovered & 1 domestic asymptomatic case was released from isolation. There currently are 146 active domestic confirmed & 20 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city. 1 Medium Risk site was re-designated to Low Risk. 4 sites remain at Medium Risk.
At Hebei Province 3 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 23 active confirmed (6 at Shijiazhuang & 17 at Xinji) & 1 active domestic asymptomatic (at Shijiazhuang) cases in the province.
At Rizhao in Shandong Province there currently are 3 active domestic confirmed & 5 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city.
At Sichuan Province 5 confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 6 active domestic confirmed cases remaining (5 at Chengdu & 1 at Zigong).
Chongqing Municipality there currently are 5 active domestic confirmed & 3 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining.
At Henan Province 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 63 active domestic confirmed cases remaining (47 at Zhengzhou & 16 at Zhoukou).
Dehong Prefecture in Yunnan Province reported 1 new domestic confirmed & 2 new domestic asymptomatic cases, all at Ruili (1 via screening of persons under centralized quarantine & 2 via screening of persons living in restricted movement zones). 2 domestic confirmed cases recovered & 1 domestic asymptomatic case was released from isolation. There currently are 35 active domestic confirmed & 30 active domestic asymptomatic cases at the prefecture. 1 zone & 1 village at Ruili remain at Medium Risk.
Imported Cases
On 11/29, China reported 18 new imported confirmed cases (2 previously asymptomatic), 22 imported asymptomatic cases, 0 imported suspect cases:
Overall in China, 36 confirmed cases recovered (16 imported), 12 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation (10 imported) & 4 were reclassified as confirmed cases (2 imported), & 2,290 individuals were released from quarantine. Currently, there are 790 active confirmed cases in the country (407 imported), 7 in serious condition (3 imported), 462 active asymptomatic cases (395 imported), 3 suspect cases (all imported). 32,997 traced contacts are currently under centralized quarantine.
As of 11/29, 2,499.813M vaccine doses have been injected in Mainland China, an increase of 7.772M doses in the past 24 hrs.
On 11/30, Hong Kong reported 6 new positive cases, all imported.
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s Ministry of Health reports 4,879 new Covid-19 cases today in its media statement, for a cumulative reported total of 2,632,782 cases. It also reports 61 deaths as of midnight, for an adjusted cumulative total of 30,370 deaths – 1.15% of the cumulative reported total, 1.18% of resolved cases.
Based on cases reported yesterday, Malaysia’s nationwide Rt is at 0.95.
394 confirmed cases are in ICU, 172 of them on ventilators. Meanwhile, 5,168 more patients have recovered, for a cumulative total of 2,537,204 patients recovered – 96.4% of the cumulative reported total.
Nine new clusters were reported today, for a cumulative total of 5,947 clusters. 231 clusters are currently active; 5,716 clusters are now inactive.
4,855 new cases today are local infections. 24 new cases today are imported.
The National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme (PICK) administered 109,139 doses of vaccine on 29th November: 4,538 first doses, 6,711 second doses, and 97,890 booster doses. As of midnight, the cumulative total is 53,345,233 doses administered: 25,830,221 first doses, 25,370,746 second doses, and 2,332,750 booster doses. 79.1% of the population have received their first dose, while 77.7% are now fully vaccinated.
Spanky
“Principal dies unexpectedly”? I think not.
Spanky
I think YY_Sima Qian and Amir were waiting to jump on this post. :*)
And I must thank you both for constructing day by day accounts of the pandemic in your respective countries. I hope it can be useful in the future.
Amir Khalid
@Spanky:
I certainly was. I was impatient for the Thanksgiving break to end.
lowtechcyclist
It worked, he’s permanently immune.
All uncertainties concerning his future have been resolved.
Matt McIrvin
@Amir Khalid: We’ll probably be seeing the disruptive effects of the Thanksgiving break on US data reporting for another day or two (and then there will be a huge spike in everything from the data backlog, which will be hard to distinguish from the actual virus-spreading effect of holiday gatherings).
Matt McIrvin
@Spanky: He was fully vaccinated, though I’m guessing not boosted, since that was before the booster recommendation–fatal breakthrough infections are uncommon, though not unheard of.
lowtechcyclist
But wouldn’t these be the same states that have basically gutted their unemployment benefits to begin with?
mrmoshpotato
@Spanky: Yeah. Tell me about it.
mrmoshpotato
Benefits into the Sun.
terben
In Australia today, there were 9 Covid related deaths. This brings the total to 2006. The first Covid death occurred on March 1st 2020, the 1000th on August 30th 2021 and the 2000th only three months later.
The outbreaks continue in Victoria and NSW, which account for the majority of cases and deaths.
The positive news, such as it is, is that the vaccination program is well under way, with the oldest segments of the population given priority early in the program and younger cohorts gradually included. At this time, vaccines are not approved for children under 12, but the single dose rates for the 12+ population are 91.5% and double dosed, 85.8%.
The last cohort to be approved for vaccination, the 12-15yo, are 76/66% (1st/2nd dose)
mrmoshpotato
@Matt McIrvin: Ummmm.
Playing with fire there.
Bruce K in ATH-GR
Greece: new cases remain at the uncomfortably high plateau, with 6,677 new cases reported last night, 104 dead, and intubations increasing to 657.
The Greek government is now going to make it mandatory for every Greek over 60 years of age to be vaccinated – imposing a fine of 100 euro on any violator. (I assume that there will be medical exemptions granted for those who are physiologically unable to handle the vaccines. The Greek Orthodox Church has already categorically rejected the concept of religious exemptions from vaccination.)
NotMax
FYI.
New Deal democrat
The holiday backlog of tests in the US is finally being reported, but we probably still won’t have a full picture for another day or two. What is interesting is that over the Thanksgiving holiday, cases dropped much more this year vs. last year both nationwide (25% vs. 10%) and specifically in the Midwest, where last year Thanksgiving was the peak of the wave (30% vs. 20%). That may just be even less reporting this year than last, or it might be something more.
Meanwhile, Dr. Jorge Caballero found similar testing signatures in Portugal, Italy, the Netherlands, UK, and the State of Minnesota during either late summer or earlier in autumn to the results in South Africa during the past several weeks:
https://mobile.twitter.com/DataDrivenMD/status/1465392204365500418
He concludes:
“Based on the data I’ve seen so far, and that I’ve highlighted here, I’m more inclined to believe that Omicron began somewhere in Europe in mid-to-late Summer. It then made its way to South Africa, not the other way around….
“What I’m seeing in the data suggests that Omicron has flown under the radar for several months. We didn’t realize it was there b/c our testing + sequencing systems are biased toward symptomatic disease, which may be different or less common for Omicron vs. Delta.”
He did get some serious pushback in the comments, to the effect of how could so many countries’ assays miss the same thing?
He followed up with this:
https://mobile.twitter.com/DataDrivenMD/status/1465458930620895232
“Among nations w/ multiple Omicron cases: the mutation that is being used to screen for the variant is most commonly found in the Netherlands, Germany, and Denmark. South Africa ranks last on this list. Note: the mutation is also found in Alpha variant, but the point stands.”
And includes a graph showing that the relevant mutation has been found in over 40% of all samples in the Netherlands and Germany, and only 1% in South Africa.
Again, there has been some serious pushback in the comments. But if he’s right, either Omicron has been around for a long time, or else many of the “positives” for Omicron are actually finding a variant of Alpha.
NotMax
Aggregators do vary, however several now showing U.S. total reported deaths over 800,000.
p.a.
Local news reporting the principal died suddenly of a heart attack.
Elizabelle
re RI principal. Per the article, he was fully vaccinated. Maybe not boostered, but …
Also sounds like he might have been placed on leave for the stunt with not observing COVID protocols at the dance. There was an “acting principal” in the mix.
Those students got a good closeup lesson on biology and statistics. They will not forget it. Thanks, Mr. Habershaw.
Get and use those pulse oximeters, people. Sleeping 20 hours a day?
Elizabelle
@p.a.: Yes. Heart attack sounded like a possibility too.
I would guess either heart trouble or your lungs filling up, unbeknownst to the patient, might keep you sleeping 20 hours a day.
Could be both. To be continued.
YY_Sima Qian
@Spanky: I did not have to take care of my daughter tonight, nor did I have to prepare for con calls w/ US based team. I did post daily China updates through the Thanksgiving long weekend, to the last A.L. roundup before the holiday, if only for record keeping.
Enhanced Voting Techniques
The unemployment checks for the unvacconated is another sign the Right is all for socialism, just for only for the right kind of people, much like the Nazis.
Mousebumples
So happy about the expansion of the CDC booster recommendation to cover all adults. I’ve now convinced my otherwise healthy just to get his booster and have him scheduled for Saturday.
Now just waiting to vaccinate my 2 year old…
BellyCat
Big ‘divorced dad who shows up (when it’s not too much trouble) to be indulgent during weekend visits’ versus ‘mean custodial mommy who makes you eat vegetables and do homework’
Whoa… With respect, this is an offensive stereotype. When courts start giving equal custodial rights to fathers, this type of statement can be rolled out again (and ‘dad’ should be replaced with ‘parent’). I expect the year to be somewheres about 2357 , but that’s probably optimistic.
Matt McIrvin
@New Deal democrat: There have been other people arguing that that mutation isn’t a reliable indicator of Omicron outside of the situation in southern Africa, and that the earlier appearances were non-Omicron variants.
Matt McIrvin
@lowtechcyclist: Would not be surprised to see them giving extra unemployment money to the unvaccinated.
NotMax
@Matt McIrvin
“It’s not an unemployment check, it’s cancel compensation.”
//
Ken
There is a zen koan about a student who meditates and practices for decades, and at last triumphantly shows his teacher that he can now cross a river by walking on the water. The teacher responds, “Oh my student, you have wasted thirty years of your life learning this trick, when there is a ferry boat just half a mile from here.”
Re-read, replacing meditation with a COVID party, and ferry boat with vaccine. The part about wasting thirty years of life can stay….
NeenerNeener
Monroe County, NY:
The Monroe County website says 2643 new cases last week.
Deaths now at 1492, up 7 from the previous week.
There are 429 patients hospitalized with COVID, and 104 are in the ICU.
Vaccinations at 64.5%. This doesn’t seem to have moved at all.
Soprano2
Y’all should read the story about that dance in RI – it was outside, although they did have food inside. The principal was fully vaccinated, so I can understand why he would feel comfortable attending without wearing a face mask. If you think fully vaccinated people are going to wear face masks everywhere forever, including to events that are held outside, well that’s not going to happen. It also says he had chest pains when he was rushed to the hospital, so his death could be from a combination of factors. He wasn’t even in the hospital! He might have died even if he did everything right – masks are not a magical talisman, after all, they’re just another level of protection. I’m not saying that what they did was great, but the level of seeming to celebrate his death here is disconcerting. People are imperfect beings – he was vaccinated, so he had an expectation of protection from severe illness and death even if he did get Covid. The kids, OTOH, had no such expectation if they weren’t vaccinated, and I didn’t see any information in the article about that.
Robert Sneddon
@New Deal democrat: The Omicron variant is massively different from any other widespread variant of COVID-19 and it’s pretty much impossible to miss it in gene sequencing compared to anything previously found. This MedCram video shows the phylogeny tree of COVID-19 variants derived from GSAID at about time 0:40 and details the massive number of differences in the Omicron variant and other widespread variants starting around 5:00.
The Netherlands has found Omicron gene signatures in a couple of older samples taken around the middle of November, even before its existence was announced by the South African authorities but that’s as far back as it goes. I think DataDrivenMD is making great leaps in the dark if he’s claiming that the Omicron variant has been around for months and hundreds of gene sequencing labs worldwide have missed its standout existence until now while identifying many new lesser Variants Of Interest and thousands of slight variants from known precursors over the same period.
The Netherlands has updated their numbers on the passengers from the two aircraft from South Africa that arrived at Schiphol on Friday, with another positive case of Omicron variant COVID-19 taking the total to 14. Scotland’s reported cases of Omicron variant COVID-19 has been increased to 9 with all cases seemingly mild and being treated at home while isolated.
Soprano2
@Matt McIrvin: Whatever virus spreading there was at Thanksgiving won’t show up in the stats until next week, will it?
Matt McIrvin
@Soprano2: Delta’s latency period is only a few days, much shorter than the variants of COVID involved in earlier waves, so it’s possible that the effects will be visible sooner than that. Some people who caught it over Thanksgiving will already be sick.
prufrock
@lowtechcyclist: It’s going to be funny watching a highly paid engineer try to get by on Florida’s pathetic unemployment benefits.
Don’t spend it all in one place!
Reboot
Would love it if the genderizing of the two political parties could fade away. Getting tagged with the ‘mean mommy’ or ‘nurturing mommy’ labels seem like yet another obstacle the Democratic Party has to deal with. Thanks, George Lakoff! (Not.) In a world more in touch with reality, being perceived as ‘mom’ would be a compliment, but this is not that world.
jonas
The only ones that have been reported, to my knowledge, in my county are among the very elderly, nursing home patients, etc., who had other frailties.
Fair Economist
Flu report for week ending 11/20, delayed due to holiday:
Positivity and cases continue to increase. Positivity increased from 0.7% to 1.0%. At least it’s not currently exponential. Cases reported for the previous week increased from 257 to 415. Increases continue to be entirely in H3N2, demonstrating immunological escape for this particular seasonal strain.
Unfortunately flu is still totally swamped by COVID in frequency so the usual symptomatic reporting to identify flu outbreak locations is totally swamped. I poked around in a few states and I’m not seeing a way to combine them into a coherent report, entirely aside from the hassle of looking at 50 different reports. Casually, it looks like the new H3N2 is spreading nationwide with states like NM and OH reporting large percentage jumps from very low prior rates, while MI (the locus of the current outbreak) reports decreases. PA is reporting a large outbreak, roughly tying for worst of last few years, but those cases are not being reported to the national registry; trying to figure that one out.
@New Deal democrat cites:
The guy you are citing doesn’t understand sequencing. Most industrialized countries are doing a fair amount of full sequencing (not just looking for dropouts on a PCR test) and that’s going to definitively catch any Omicron. They’re not there; nothing on the global phylogeny trees until this month. While this doesn’t rule out an occasional case that didn’t get sequenced, it does rule out any large outbreak; and based on the S. Africa expansion, there’s no way it was rattling around in Europe for 2 months *without* causing a major outbreak that would have been caught.
This guy is confusing a particular PCR dropout, indicating there have been *any* mutations in one small area of the virus, which the actual Omicron sequence. That particular dropout also happens for the Alpha variant, as well as any number of minor variants.
Cameron
@lowtechcyclist: That’s certainly true in Florida. When Nosferatu was governor, he made sure one had to jump through a million hoops to collect. Then the current guv decided not to extend benefits for all the shiftess moochers. And now he’s recruiting his zombie army for 2024.
jonas
@NeenerNeener: Yep. Upstate NY is a mess right now. Low vaccination rates, healthcare worker shortage, and so on. Not as many people dying as last winter, but similar numbers filling up ERs and ICUs. Virtually everyone under 50 in the hospital with Covid right now in my county is unvaxxed. Idiots.
Feathers
Town of 800 losing their only doctor after anti-vaxxer tomfoolery Link
smith
@Reboot: The “mommy” label is particularly inapt right now, when the leader of our party is pretty much the embodiment of the caring dad/granddad. I’d be happy if the Dems were recognized as the nurturing, supportive parents vs the narcissist/abusive parents in the other party, though.
Sloane Ranger
Pleased to report that I had my booster today. Just went round the corner and it was done and dusted in 20 minutes, including 15 minutes hanging around in case I had a bad reaction. Can I now claim membership of House Moderna based on my booster, or do I have to stay in House AstraZeneca?
Anyway, here are yesterday’s (Monday’s) numbers from the UK, where we had 42,583 new cases. The rolling 7-day average is up by 3.7%. Please bear in mind that Monday’s and Tuesday’s figures always include an element of catch-up from the weekend when admin offices were, in the main, closed. New cases by nation,
England – 34,906 (up 2770)
Northern Ireland – 1464 (up 59)
Scotland – 2244 (up 67)
Wales – 3969 (up 1706, but there is no reporting at all from Wales on Saturdays).
Deaths – There were 35 deaths within 28 days of a positive test yesterday. The rolling 7-day average is down by 18.4%. 21 deaths were in England, 4 in Northern Ireland, 10 in Wales and none in Scotland.
Testing – 1,019,456 tests took place on Sunday, 28th. The rolling 7-day average is up by 4.7%. The PCR testing capacity reported by labs on that date was 716,982.
Hospitalisations – As of Friday, 26 November, 7530 people were in hospital and 925 were on ventilators. The rolling 7-day average for hospital admissions was down by 11.2% as of 23rd November.
Vaccinations – As of Sunday, 28th, 50,941,327 people had had 1 shot of a vaccine, 46,341,057 had had 2 and 17,896,864 had had a 3rd shot/booster. 88.6% of all UK residents aged 12+ had had 1 shot by that date, 80.6% had had 2 and 31.1% had had a 3rd shot/booster.
dc
Where the anti-vaxers, anti-maskers, assorted crazies, right-wing grifters, anti-humans and close to two years of pandemic have left me. I read that the anti-mask, pandemic spreading principal died of Covid, and the word “good” played immediately in my head.
Peale
@Ken: As apt as the analogy is…I do think “Let’s go, Bodhidharma” is the appropriate response to that master.
New Deal democrat
@Fair Economist: Thanks. That’s why, given the big pushback in the comments, which made sense, I cited his argument as interesting, but was in no position to endorse it.
Brachiator
The GOP will probably offer free health insurance next.
dc
@dc: I’ll reply to myself. If he was fully vaxed and the event was outside (I need to read the article before commenting), his decision was not crazy, even if against the rules. It doesn’t change my point about how hardened I’ve become because of these last years (I include the entire Trump years with the pandemic to top it off).
gvg
@Spanky: He was vaccinated though, and the party was outdoors.
oatler
Then there’s the Austrian anti-vaxxer who tried to immunize himself by injecting bleach, and as Brian Ferry sang, “Dim the lights, you can guess the rest”.
Soprano2
@dc: You didn’t read the story, then. I don’t wear a mask everywhere, but I’m not “anti-mask”.
Freemark
@Spanky: Yep seems expected to me too.
Freemark
Replying to my own comment guy wasn’t the full on nut the headline implied.
Nobody in particular
@lowtechcyclist:
That’s very Marxian, as in Groucho.
Yeah, herd immunity is achieved in two ways. Vaccination Mandates or just letting the disease run rampant and the quip indicates the efficacy of the latter. I’m antifascist, not anti-authoritarian. A mandate is authoritarian and I’d already have done it.
Nobody in particular
@Soprano2:
The vector is airborne. Masking indoors and distancing is the first and best line of defense until vaccinated. I stopped gloves and disinfectant after I was fully vaccinated but it is mainly airborne and you can never be too cautious.
Lacuna Synecdoche
@mrmoshpotato:
Not anymore. He’s dead.