More than 3,000 American Covid deaths reported today, 7-day average > 2,500, and the sharp continued rise indicates this peak may exceed that before there were vaccines. Which is unfathomable. pic.twitter.com/LVDa0pgCgL
— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) January 28, 2022
The comforting lies people tell themselves…
— chris dorf (@chrispdorf) January 28, 2022
CDC study finds shorter hospital stays during #omicron wave, even as infections and death toll mount. The variant's rapid spread has led to large numbers of hospitalizations & more than 2200 deaths daily https://t.co/lvwpsBSMBL
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) January 27, 2022
#Omicron will likely recede more slowly in the U.S. than in other countries, according to at least one expert, who underscores that the continued high coronavirus positivity rate is also concerning https://t.co/1qmiIBNYCX pic.twitter.com/Zr90w8Pfck
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) January 27, 2022
======
10 billion doses in 1 year is really a stunning human achievement
Yet still much work to do in 2022 pic.twitter.com/qgVbjQalDT— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) January 27, 2022
The #Omicron wave is a wake-up call about the need to vaccinate the world. The risk of new variants remains high as long as billions of people are unvaccinated https://t.co/bvu5D13PbW
— delthia ricks ? (@DelthiaRicks) January 28, 2022
From a thread by a China correspondent for a German media outlet:
1/ The moment of truth has come for Chinas's Zero-Covid policy.
I learned by coincidence that Xiong'an, "China's City of the future" near Beijing, was put under Wuhan-style lockdown this Monday. What's stunning: 3 days in, almost nobody in China knows about this.
[THREAD ?]— Xifan Yang 杨希璠 (@yangxifan) January 27, 2022
13/ Xiong'an isn't just a normal city. Xiong'an is Xi Jinping's pet project. Xi calls it China's "City of the Future": 160 000 construction workers have settled there since 2017 to build big-scale infrastructure projects, high-rises, high-speed railways and factories.
— Xifan Yang 杨希璠 (@yangxifan) January 27, 2022
15/ Why has Xiong'an not announced its lockdown like any other Chinese city? It's too much of a face loss for Beijing, and especially Xi Jinping. So they rather play it sneaky – and bet on no one noticing it.
— Xifan Yang 杨希璠 (@yangxifan) January 27, 2022
Hong Kong is cutting the length of mandatory quarantine for people arriving from overseas from 21 to 14 days, even as the southern Chinese city battles a new surge in COVID-19 cases. https://t.co/YcPwIcZc3C
— The Associated Press (@AP) January 28, 2022
With thousands of people locked down in tiny apartments, quarantine centers filling up and businesses shuttered, Hong Kong is scrambling to sustain a zero-COVID policy that turned one of the world's most densely packed cities into one of the most isolated https://t.co/JLmB3a2yFZ
— Reuters (@Reuters) January 28, 2022
Philippines to reopen in February to vaccinated foreign tourists https://t.co/xMwNz19aQs pic.twitter.com/70tpUYAdDm
— Reuters (@Reuters) January 28, 2022
Thai health authorities have approved new guidelines outlining the parameters for declaring the coronavirus pandemic an endemic disease. Official figures show that the country already meets the three criteria. https://t.co/ME7tWoPJRF
— The Associated Press (@AP) January 28, 2022
Russia reported a record number of new coronavirus infections for the eighth day running on Friday. A total of 98,040 new infections and 673 deaths were recorded over the last 24 hourshttps://t.co/vJ32M2Vhuu
— The Moscow Times (@MoscowTimes) January 28, 2022
Paris hospitals chief sparks debate on whether unvaccinated patients should pay for treatment https://t.co/0DHdbbfmsZ pic.twitter.com/j288PsWaB7
— Reuters (@Reuters) January 28, 2022
All is for the best, in this best of all possible worlds…
Omicron's fall has plateaued – should we worry? https://t.co/N991Lvzm8M
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) January 28, 2022
Covid passes and face mask rules end in England https://t.co/YReahIBm2K
— BBC News (World) (@BBCWorld) January 27, 2022
Canadian international-affairs columnist:
What caused European governments to lose control of the pandemic was exactly this fallacy–that those not yet vaccinated are something akin to an ethnic group, an ontological status to which rights accrue. Rather than people who've not yet paid their taxeshttps://t.co/P90QT6Qve4
— Doug Saunders (@DougSaunders) January 28, 2022
'Truck off with your mandates': Canadian truck drivers determined to shut down central Ottawa over a federal government COVID-19 vaccine mandate rolled across the country toward the capital https://t.co/bUph6JN6NM pic.twitter.com/BpIdfHwlUF
— Reuters (@Reuters) January 28, 2022
======
After Omicron, some scientists foresee ‘a period of quiet’ — The variant’s modest toll in many countries has led to a sense of optimism. But new surprises are likely. | Science | AAAS https://t.co/0dLbVXE5qW
— Johns Hopkins Berman Institute of Bioethics (@bermaninstitute) January 27, 2022
People with weakened immune systems who receive three doses of a coronavirus vaccine are far less likely to be hospitalized with Covid, the CDC reported on Thursday, reinforcing the case for additional doses in that group. https://t.co/K0F1gaiibW
— The New York Times (@nytimes) January 27, 2022
Boosters increase protection against death from Omicron in over-50s to 95% – UKHSA https://t.co/EDii2IgwwW pic.twitter.com/dRYsDUOM4z
— Reuters (@Reuters) January 28, 2022
“A mess on a national scale:” @EricBoodman reports on the Hunger Games-like searches immunocompromised people are undergoing in desperate bids to find a scarce Covid drug. https://t.co/LINLfc7HnG
— Helen Branswell (@HelenBranswell) January 27, 2022
======
Millions of health care workers across the U.S. must be vaccinated as a result of a mandate from President Joe Biden’s administration. The requirement for many Medicare and Medicaid providers began to take effect for health workers in some states Thursday. https://t.co/bmrUCHZajw
— The Associated Press (@AP) January 27, 2022
A Colorado children’s museum has temporarily closed because adult visitors who were angered by its mask mandate were harassing staff. It will stay closed until Feb. 4 to give staff members a break and to evaluate how to respond to visitor aggression. https://t.co/a22R2lbn8m
— The Associated Press (@AP) January 27, 2022
Substack earns at least $2.5 million a year from just five anti-vaccine leaders who have amassed tens of thousands of subscribers, each paying $50 a month."https://t.co/GDnK1FenZo
— Sarah Posner (@sarahposner) January 27, 2022
BREAKING: Spotify has shutdown its live customer support due to an unprecedented number of complaints after they doubled-down on their Joe Rogan anti-vax campaign pic.twitter.com/yscw97xTkt
— LeGate (@williamlegate) January 27, 2022
I honestly thought that a pandemic would be *end* of the anti-vaccine movement, because sometimes, despite my choleric nature, I actually overestimate the general goodness and intelligence of ordinary human beings. https://t.co/ds3V20UzG8
— Tom Nichols (@RadioFreeTom) January 28, 2022
Are we not, every one of us, the star of our own Hollywood blockbuster?
I saw this nonsense floating around a conspiracy nut board, and it made something click for me: These folks are basically operating on cinematic epistemology. They believe what would be true if the news were a Hollywood movie. pic.twitter.com/R9NugOn8F1
— Julian Sanchez (@normative) January 23, 2022
NeenerNeener
Monroe County, NY:
There were 609 new laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 on 1/27.
There were 291 positive home COVID tests reported on 1/27.
Still not good, but better than it was 3 weeks ago.
Barbara
Another reason to avoid Substack. I don’t know what to do about the proclivity to fall for malicious disinformation about vaccines. Or why anyone would think being played for a dupe makes them part of an elect cognoscenti.
Baud
@Barbara:
It’s mimicry. We challenged their conventional wisdom about white supremacy, so they challenge our conventional wisdom about science.
debbie
@Barbara:
Confirmation bias. “All I want to hear about is anything that proves I’m right.”
Ha
I read the Twitter thread from the last tweet above – Julian Sanchez – and, it makes so much sense to me. I mean, it is known that people are easily propagandized thru visual medium because they believe what they see, so why not believe you’re living in a movie, especially since Hollywood has churned about movies and shows about plucky rebels and outcast scientists who turn out to be right for a long time now. I wonder if they think that Roma Downey from “Touched by an Angel” will come heal them, if they believe in God enough.
New Deal democrat
No significant changes from yesterday. US cases now down 30% from peak. Deaths held at 2250. All 4 Census regions declining, with the Northeast down 65%. Only 7 States, mostly rural, with cases increasing over 10% from one week ago.
Here is the problem going forward: under the most optimistic scenario, where there is virtually nobody left to infect, cases should be dropping *below* where they were before Omicron. And yesterday in all the earliest hit countries and US States, including South Africa, with the sole exception of Ireland, cases appear to be leveling off at a level *above* that pre-Omicron. In the US, that pre-Omicron level was over 100,000 a day, with deaths over 1200 a day.
satby
@Barbara: Both Heather Cox Richardson and Dan Rather post on Substack. The problem is that Substack isn’t moderating for misinformation like other social media platforms have done a half-assed job of doing.
satby
On the topic of the healthcare worker mandate, we never heard back from the potential intern who wants to work in healthcare without getting the vaccine. Not really surprised, but it was disappointing.
Matt McIrvin
@Ha: It depends on the movie. The other Hollywood scenario is that some stalwart scientist comes up with the vaccine at the climax, then we flash forward to a quick denouement where the pandemic’s over and roll credits. That the vaccine exists, then there’s a huge grassroots anti-vaccine movement that kills a million people because they’re wrong and a bunch of dopes is not the story they usually want to tell.
Rusty
Sadly the anti-vaxxers are winning. In NH the state legislature, controlled by the Republicans, is seriously considering rolling back all vaccine requirements, not just those for Covid-19. I think there is something in the human condition that wants to make someone want to think they know more than anyone else.
The core of believing conspiracy theories is that you somehow have access to secret information that others don’t have or are too stupid to understand. It boosts the ego and makes people feel validate. Finally, there is just basic contrarianism. “No ones going to tell me what to do!” I have extended family members that will do the opposite whatever they are asked to do, just to show they can. I always hated the bumper sticker almost always on cars owned by lefties “Question Authority”. I always thought it was mindless contrarianism. Now we see it all in full bloom with the growing and stronger anti-vax movement. They are going to be a nightmare for a long time to come.
Spanky
Happy to hear the fallout for Spotify, because I was fairly doubtful there would be much outcry for dropping an ancient rocker dude for a modern “edgy” guy.
Kay
We’ll have more information on whether “anti-vaxx on covid” merges with “anti-vaxx on all childhood vaccines” when the covid vaccine for under 5 comes out, which will send them into a frenzy.
It’s so funny how all the anti-vaxxers say they “aren’t afraid” when so much of anti-vaxx is pure fear mongering. The vaccine kills boys and young men, the vaccine causes infertility, the government will put the unvaccinated into camps. They’re much more afraid than I am.
Baud
@Spanky:
It was an effective protest that actually raised awareness.
Baud
@Kay:
Their entire culture is fear based.
debbie
@Baud:
Fear is their method, but it’s really all about their hatred.
Spanky
@Rusty: People can’t differentiate between “question authority” and “unquestioningly oppose authority”.
Baud
@Spanky:
No, they can’t.
Kay
@Rusty:
It was inevitable it would bleed through to all vaccines. You see it in even some of the centrist “we’re DONE with covid- boring!” articles- vaccines for children in school are always presented as “a choice”, so why wouldn’t all the childhood vaccines be a choice?
Spanky
@Baud: Which beat my expectations. And really, were my oh-so-very-low expectations unreasonable?
Baud
@Spanky:
I don’t think so. Most such efforts fail, I think.
Matt McIrvin
It seems like there are a lot of people–elderly right-wingers particularly–who got vaccinated early on, but are now refusing to get boosted because they’ve been mainlining Tucker Carlson ever since. And because they got those early shots, when the virus gets them they might get pretty sick, but thanks to their B- and T-cell immunity they’re almost certainly not gonna die. They’ll recover and keep on railing about how the vaccine that saved them is poison and voting for antivaxxers.
And, I confess, there’s a part of me that resents that a little.
The Thin Black Duke
I wish there was a vaccine that immunized people against stupidity.
Enhanced Voting Techniques
@Baud: worth point out anti science from these people is nothing new, Scopes Trail and all that.
Baud
@Matt McIrvin:
They’ll be dead soon enough.
Baud
@Enhanced Voting Techniques:
Good point.
The Thin Black Duke
Overpopulation won’t be a problem soon.
Dougb
I wonder if someone with some deep pockets could launch a class action lawsuit against one of the prominent anti-Vaxxers spreading disinformation – say against Robert Kennedy Jr. or perhaps against a bunch of them. I think the only way to hit back effectively against some of this is to hold some of those key individuals accountable and I think a severe financial hit, along with dragging them through discovery, might be the only way.
Kay
@Baud:
I used to read Alex Bereneson’s twitter and it’s like he wasn’t getting enough attention/subscribers with “the vaccines don’t work” so he amped it up to the “vaccines kill”. While sneering at liberals for being so “afraid”.
So everyone understands if they succeed in ending all child vaccine mandates in schools the initial numbers of children impacted will be really small – it will take a while for the vaccinated number to drop off- and then they can say it doesn’t matter because it’s a tiny number of children affected, which neatly fits within their current covid frame?
Baud
@Kay:
They’re daring people to stand up to them. So far, it’s a reasonable dare.
lee
Just wanted to post an update about my bout with coronavirus.
It has been 2 weeks since I tested positive (PCR) and almost 3 weeks since I started feeling the symptoms.
The worst of it was about 3 days worth of congestion and a low fever (99.9 was the highest). I still wake up with some slight congestion if I don’t take a muscinex before bed. Other than that I seem to be completely over it.
This was a mild case and not a HermanCainAward because of being vaxxed and boosted. I’ve got cousins that still refuse to get vaccinated.
Kay
@The Thin Black Duke:
I also love the anti-vaxx “middle position” which is that other people need to get the vaccine so anti-vaxxers can determine if it kills people, then they’ll get or not get it.
I listen and think “so I’m your canary and you’re standing here just telling me that”
Just the most selfish, self centered people on the planet.
Baud
@lee:
Glad your symptoms were mild. Vaccines are a miracle.
Thanks, science.
Kay
@Baud:
I saw Berenson on CSPAN prior to covid- he wrote a book about how marijuana use contributes to mental illness – and even then he seemed horribly bitter and prone to thinking he’s a brave truthteller that people try to silence, so it was a preexisting condition. He’s absolutely convinced of his own brilliance too. He reminds me a little of Scott Adams, the Trumpster cartoonist.
debbie
@Kay:
They’ve run plenty of news reports of anti-vaxxers who end up in the hospital with COVID. Every single one of them says they’re sorry they didn’t get vaccinated.
If this testimony from their own tribe doesn’t change their minds, I don’t know why we keep wasting our time with them. Fuck empathy. They’re all Trumpian narcissicists and only crave our attention.
germy
More sad than funny
satby
@lee: I never was able to schedule the PCR test in time that I thought would confirm I had a breakthrough case, but I had the same symptoms as you, including the long lingering congestion. It finally subsided enough just this week so that I don’t need to take anything any more, four weeks after I first got sick. Glad I was vaxxed and boosted and had only a “mild” case that lasted almost a full month.
Matt McIrvin
@debbie:
I’ve also seen the stories of the ones who go to their grave insisting that they don’t have COVID and the doctors and nurses who are treating them are lying monsters. Those tend to be secondhand reports from the staff.
Soprano2
@New Deal democrat: Do they have any idea why that is happening? Why are cases leveling off at a higher level? Is it re-infection?
germy
@debbie:
This was on TV last night. Family didn’t learn anything:
https://youtu.be/j8aWiHXnz_I?t=78
Kay
@debbie:
My paying attention to them is essentially defensive, honestly. Over and over and over again, these Right wing groups start as fringe and then grow and are normalized within the Republican Party. I feel I need to watch them. I don’t know if it does any good, but I’m just that way temperamentally. I do best case/worst case just as a matter of course. I feel more in control if I can see the hit coming.
Soprano2
@Matt McIrvin: I agree. My mother got vaccinated without any protest or question at all, just scheduled the appointment and got the shots. We found material from Alex Berenson in her house, though, so I think she would have resisted any more booster shots. Yesterday we went to a visitation for one of our regular karaoke singers who died suddenly of a heart attack – he was 74. I talked to one of his friends who told me he had lost 16 friends in the past two years. I just can’t wrap my head around that. We started talking because he was complaining about the anti-vaxxers around here who won’t get the shots, and how they’re prolonging this situation.
Matt McIrvin
@Soprano2: I think South Africa and the UK are slightly different situations. South Africa is the case where most people are unvaccinated and there were relatively few controls–Omicron ripped through almost everyone and now we’re seeing it getting the few stragglers.
The UK is where most people are vaccinated, they also had some non-medical controls that got the initial spike down, but the government is super-eager to lift them and tell everyone to go out and party at the slightest sign of hope. So we get a rapid drop and then this secondary burst of cases that happens with a larger number of people who weren’t infected yet. It looks less like a smooth exponential tail.
satby
@germy: well, how could they live with themselves if they admitted that they did cost their family member her life? Of course not just their fault, she wouldn’t get the vaccine either. I’m just gratified that organ transplant protocols require vaccines be current for all recipients. No sense wasting money on those that actively choose death instead.
Soprano2
@Kay: I think it’s hilarious how they sneer at others for being afraid, because they seem to be afraid of everything – cartoon M & M characters, changes in Mr. Potatohead toys, and now Minnie Mouse wearing a pantsuit! The country is going to end because Disney changed the clothing of a cartoon mouse. They are afraid of a lot of the wrong things, and not afraid of things that are actually dangerous, like Covid and firearms. They have the worst risk assessment tools of any group of human beings.
Kay
@debbie:
They grow in one of two ways- each faction grows or the factions combine. QANON and the anti-vaxxers was a natural fit, just like conservatives who object to public schools existing were a natural fit with the CRT panic people.
Soprano2
The one miscalculation I made was that the most selfish, self centered people on the planet wouldn’t rush to take a vaccine that protects themselves, and not just others.
NotMax
Accumulation of data continues.
No refuge.
FYI.
Kay
@Soprano2:
I just hope it doesn’t spread to infectious disease we’ve mostly eradicated, but I don’t see how it won’t. If you object to vaccine mandates in schools you’re almost compelled to include all of them, because the justification isn’t the vaccine- it’s “parental rights” or “my choice”. It doesn’t matter if the vaccine works. It also doesn’t matter how many die- they’ve made it a moral stand.
smith
They work so hard to get our attention I sometimes think they must have a big ol’ crush on us.
NorthLeft12
Greetings from Canada. About the truck convoy currently barreling towards Ottawa, apparently almost 90% of Canadian truckers are fully vaccinated and they have little empathy for the small minority who are staging this circus.
A circus that is rapidly being taken over by the right wing and rabid anti-vaxxers and pro-COVID crowd. Their cheering supporters are the same dumbasses that protest at hospitals and vaccination sites and public health offices and homes of public officials.
They are the worst of the worst and of course, the Conservatives appear to be ready to go all in on their support of them even though the majority of their base support vaccine mandates and public health measures.
78% of Canadians have two doses, and 48% have the booster too. We have a ways to go and it is concerning that the vaccination rates have slowed across the entire country.
Spectacles like this don’t help.
PS Kudos to native son Neil Young and his stand against vaccine/COVID misinformation peddling. I can’t believe anyone would give Joe Rogan $100M for any reason. Fuck you Spotify.
Wag
@satby: At the medical school where I teach we had one student who refused the vaccine because it conflicted with their religious (Buddhist if you can believe it) beliefs. He was expelled and refunded his tuition money. “Go away and don’t look back”.
debbie
@Kay:
It’s like you don’t notice the first cockroach that enters your apartment, but then suddenly, there are hundreds of them all around you.
New Deal democrat
@Soprano2:
While I’m sure there are unique facts for each country, per Matt McIrvin, my K.I.S.S. approach is that human behavior is fundamentally the same, and it is powerful evidence that we are seeing similar patterns across virtually the whole spectrum of countries, regardless of their vaccination and infection levels.
So if we don’t see South Africa or the U.K. dropping below pre-Omicron levels, why should we expect the US to be a lucky outlier? Hope I’m wrong about that.
Goku (aka Amerikan Baka)
@Matt McIrvin:
“Huge grassroots”
I don’t see this? They’re a bunch of cranks
Wag
@Matt McIrvin: Most reports from beyond the grave are second hand. Only rare exceptions
YY_Sima Qian
On 1/27 China reported 39 new domestic confirmed (2 previously asymptomatic) & 12 new domestic asymptomatic cases.
At Xi’an in Shaanxi Province 22 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There are currently 111 active domestic confirmed cases in the province.
Guangdong Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently are 59 active domestic confirmed & 6 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province.
At Guangxi “Autonomous” Region 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 3 active domestic confirmed (2 at Dongxing in Fangchenggang & 1 at Ningming County in Chongzuo) & 1 active domestic asymptomatic (at Chongzuo) cases in the province.
Tianjin Municipality reported 4 new domestic confirmed cases (1 mild & 3 moderate), all at Hebei District, all family members of the domestic confirmed case reported on 1/26. Phylogenetic analysis places the new cluster to the larger outbreak centered at Jinnan District. The authorities believe the index case of the cluster was infected during centralized quarantine. 44 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 134 active domestic confirmed & 1 active domestic asymptomatic cases (all presumed Omicron). 1 residential building has been elevated to High Risk. 10 residential compounds & 1 residential building are currently at High Risk. 12 residential compounds remain at Medium Risk.
Beijing Municipality reported 8 new domestic confirmed (2 previously asymptomatic, 4 mild & 4 moderate) & 1 new domestic asymptomatic cases, all but 1 at Fengtai District, all of the 7 new domestic positive cases are from persons under centralized or home quarantine, all related to the Delta outbreak at cold storage warehouses in Fengtai District. There currently are 62 active domestic confirmed cases & 14 active domestic asymptomatic cases. 1 residential compound is currently at High Risk. 1 community was elevated to Medium Risk. 1 community, 4 residential compounds, 1 village & 1 warehouse are currently at Medium Risk.
At Liaoning Province there currently are 1 active domestic confirmed (at Shenyang) & 4 active domestic asymptomatic (3 at Dalian & 1 at Shenyang) cases in the province.
Shandong Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently at 2 active domestic confirmed (at Jinan) & 1 active domestic asymptomatic (at Liaocheng) cases in the province, all part of the transmission chain from the cold storage warehouses outbreak at Fengtai District in Beijing.
At Shanxi Province there currently are 2 active domestic confirmed cases in the province (1 each at Datong & Yuncheng).
Hebei Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. There currently are 10 active domestic confirmed cases (5 at Xiong’an, 4 at Langfang & 1 at Baoding) in the Province, all part of the transmission from the cold storage warehouses outbreak in Beijing. 1 village at Xiong’an is currently at Medium Risk.
Yili Prefecture in Xinjiang “Autonomous” Region reported 1 new domestic confirmed & 1 new domestic asymptomatic cases (both at 4th Division of Xinjiang Production & Construction Corps). 1 domestic asymptomatic cases was released from isolation. There currently are 11 active domestic confirmed (9 at Horgos & 2 at 4th Div. of XPCC) & 29 active domestic asymptomatic (26 at Horgos & 3 at 4th Div. of XPCC) cases at the border crossing. 4 residential compounds & 1 residential building are currently at Medium Risk.
Heilongjiang Province reported 9 new domestic confirmed & 9 new domestic asymptomatic cases. There currently are 18 active domestic confirmed & 28 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province.
Shanghai Municipality did not report any new domestic positive cases. 1 domestic asymptomatic case was released from isolation. There currently are 2 active domestic confirmed & 16 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city. 1 village remains at Medium Risk.
At Wuxi in Jiangsu Province there currently are 2 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining.
Zhejiang Province reported 16 new domestic confirmed cases (all mild, all presumed Omicron), all at Hangzhou. The new cluster is concentrated at a cooking equipment factory, among employees & families. A number of raw materials used at the plant have tested positive. The outbreak occurred just as workers are returning home for Chinese New Year. The Hangzhou authorities has declared that the genetic sequence of the cluster is not related to any of the recent domestic outbreaks in the province, or recent imported cases into the province. Interesting, the sequence is highly identical to a sequence uploaded to GISAID on 12/11 overseas, but they did not mention which country. There currently are 83 active domestic confirmed & 1 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 1 business at Hangzhou has been elevated to Medium Risk.
Huanggang in Hubei Province reported 1 new domestic asymptomatic case, a traced close contact of domestic positive cases at Hangzhou in Zhejiang, who returned from Hangzhou on 1/25. The case tested negative on 1/26, but positive on 1/27.
Anshun in Guizhou Province reported 1 new domestic confirmed case, a traced close contact of domestic positive cases at Hangzhou in Zhejiang, who returned from Hangzhou on 1/25. The case was placed under centralized quarantine on 1/26.
At Shangrao in Jiangxi Province there currently is 1 active domestic asymptomatic case, part of the transmission chain from the factory outbreak at Hangzhou in Zhejiang.
Henan Province did not report any new domestic positive cases. 17 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 788 active domestic confirmed cases in the province.
At Yunnan Province there currently are 10 active domestic confirmed (1 at Dehong Prefecture, 5 at Kunming & 4 at Sipsongpanna Prefecture) & 6 active domestic asymptomatic (all at Sipsongpanna Prefecture) cases remaining. 1 zone at Mengla County in Sipsongpanna Prefecture remains at Medium Risk.
Imported Cases
On 1/27, China reported 25 new imported confirmed cases (1 previously asymptomatic), 42 imported asymptomatic cases, 3 imported suspect cases:
Overall in China, 157 confirmed cases recovered (62 imported), 27 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation (25 imported) & 3 were reclassified as confirmed cases (1 imported), & 3,015 individuals were released from quarantine. Currently, there are 2,361 active confirmed cases in the country (994 imported), 9 in serious condition (1 imported), 808 active asymptomatic cases (696 imported), 3 suspect cases (all imported). 40,464 traced contacts are currently under centralized quarantine.
As of 1/27, 2,989.48M vaccine doses have been injected in Mainland China, an increase of 5.43M doses in the past 24 hrs.
On 1/28, Hong Kong reported 115 new positive cases, 4 imported & 111 domestic (105 are connected to previously reported positive cases & 6 do not have sources of infection identified, yet).
On 1/28, Taiwan reported 71 new positive cases, 44 imported (8 each from the US & the Philippines, 5 from Mainland China, 3 from Indonesia, 2 each from Japan, Vietnam & Sweden, & 1 each from Bangladesh, Austria, Denmark, the Netherlands, the US & Turkey, 8 still under investigation) & 27 domestic.
Matt McIrvin
@Goku (aka Amerikan Baka): It’s about 15% of the whole population. That’s tens of millions of people. More if you count people who are hesitant about getting boosters, though it seems like for most of the unboosted, that’s more a product of dealing with confusing and shifting messages than being a hardcore conspiracy antivaxxer.
I actually think the messaging on boosters is a place where the administration could be doing better right now. There’s not as much urgency about it as there should be. For a while it was hard to get good numbers on this, but only about 30% of the country is boosted. Maybe the whole “you said X but now you’re saying Y!!” exasperation that comes from new scientific information is a barrier.
Cermet
@New Deal democrat: First and foremost, thanks for crunching these numbers – its always a pleasure to read your post.
I’m not convinced Maryland’s numbers are really accurate – its still too high death rate doesn’t jive, and its infection rate is too low compared with the surrounding areas.
As for Omicron not dropping below pre-Omicron levels, this illness still does still infect people that had delta and people with one or two vaccinations. So, this will be likely chronic for a while and we might have to wait for spring to see levels go back to those low numbers – I hope they go back down.
Cermet
@The Thin Black Duke: There is – its called education. Amazing how many people attend school but utterly fail to learn – even at the college/university level!
Guac
@Matt McIrvin: Agreed that the booster messaging has been weak. A neighbor of mine is 60, and she was shocked that I had gotten a booster shot: “But you’re not 65!!” She’s been “waiting until it’s her turn” to get boosted. This was in early December. I explained that she can go right now to get a shot.
Also, I noticed yesterday that CovidActNow website has updated my county’s vax rates to include boosters (about 25% here… not sure how accurate that is).
Robert Sneddon
Scotland — 7,258 new cases of COVID-19 and 16 new reported deaths of people who have tested positive. Hospital numbers continue to fall slowly with ICU occupancy remaining around the 30 mark. I presume some of the reported deaths will be from ICU cases while some people already hospitalised have gotten sick enough to be moved into ICU to balance the numbers. Note that ICU numbers in Scotland do not specify that the patients are all receiving mechanical ventilation support.
Vaccination of the as-yet-unvaccinated adult holdouts isn’t happening with most first and second doses now being given to 12-17 year olds. There is as yet no vaccination program for children younger than 12. Booster shots for the 18+ age group is creeping up to the 75% mark (mostly driven by a big takeup by those aged 50+) with the health authorities having decided that boosters for 12-17 year olds are not necessary at the moment.
lowtechcyclist
I disagree. There’s a vast difference between ‘Question Authority’ which is something that needs doing on a regular basis, and ‘Disregard Authority (and create new authorities that you don’t question)’ which is what these folks are doing.
Ohio Mom
@Kay: I think that’s an attorney thing. You can’t help your clients protect themselves unless you can morbidly imagine extreme worse case scenarios. And then contingency worse case scenarios.
Your paying attention to the whackos is like an exercise program, I think, keeping the ability to see worst cases play out sharp.
Brachiator
@The Thin Black Duke:
People would run from it like a plague.
lowtechcyclist
Well then, people have been getting vaxxed for a year now, and people were getting the booster as early as what, September? They can put up or shut up.
YY_Sima Qian
I think the Die Zeit reporter is being rather melodramatic w/ calling the quiet lock down of Xiong’an as “Moment of Truth for China’s ‘Zero COVID’ Strategy”. That makes zero sense, why would that matter one way or the other. It is curious why the the local authorities did not announce the lock down in a news conference by the local health commission, which is the normal practice. Then again, Xiong’an authorities has not been hold regular press conferences since the discovery of 5 cases imported from Beijing on 1/23 & 1/24. A search on Toutiao does not show any government notices, but a search on Baidu quickly turn up hundreds of Weibo (Chinese counterpart to Twitter) posts by Xiong’an residents describing the start of lock down, going out purchasing supplies for last the duration, or living under lock down. Apparently it will last 7 days. So clearly information about Xiong’an’s lock down is not censored. Residents were likely notified by their local community workers via WeChat groups.
The Xiong’an New Area has 3 constituent counties, the one w/ the cases locked down 1st on 1/25, & the other 2 quickly followed on 1/27. Is it a massive overreaction? Absolutely! No new cases have been reported there since 1/24, even though mass screening has a been conducted. 7 days means the residents will be spending Chinese New Year under lock down, which is completely unnecessary given there has been no community transmission found. Is it unprecedented in China? No. During the large outbreak in Hebei Province in Jan. 2021, a county in Langfang, bordering Beijing, immediately locked down after discovering a single case (a person w/ travel history to the epicenter Shijiazhuang), “to protect the capital”.
While Xiong’an New Area is indeed Xi Jinping’s pet project, I really don’t see the Chinese authorities acting differently just because of that. After launching the project w/ much fanfare back in 2015, it has drifted off news pages & out of people’s consciousness. It was always going to be a decades long project. It has also been slower going than hoped. The idea is to relocate much of the national level government bureaucracies, as well as some of the many universities, out of Beijing into Xiong’an to relieve the burden on the overly crowded former (w/ congested roads, limited water supply & mountains that trap air pollution from surrounding regions). However most Beijingers refused to relocate, due to lack of top grade hospitals, schools & shopping/entertainment establishments (at least for now) that they had take for granted in Beijing. So the government had to hire new workers at Xiong’an to staff the new bureaucracy, & have the old hands in Beijing coach/guide them. As of today, most of Xiong’an is still rural, consisting of the same villages & townships that it always had.
Chinese governance model is that of distributed [hard] authoritarianism, where Beijing sends the local authorities goals & guidances, hold the local authorities accountable to achieving the objectives, & monitors progress, but largely leave the implementation to the local authorities. Xi’s centralization effort has strengthened the authority of the center, & himself specifically, but has not changed the fundamental nature of governance. To imagine every doing of every local party boss to be at the order of Beijing, or even Xi Jinping himself, is rather myopic, but all too common in new coverage & analysis of China. If there is any actions where Beijing is trying to save face, it is the seeming hesitancy (a delay of a day or 2) in locking down sub-districts & order district-wide mass screenings in face of the Delta outbreak spreading from cold storage warehouses in Fengtai District in Beijing. The whole point of the Olympic bubble is to prevent breaches causing a large outbreak in the capital. It is awkward if there are more cases outside of the bubble the in.
YY_Sima Qian
@NotMax: Given that Beijing & the IOC has made the questionable decision of proceeding w/ the Winter Olympics at this time, having protocols in places to minimize spread w/in the bubble makes sense. We know that Omicron is pretty transmissive even in a vaccinated & boosted population, a large outbreak in the bubble could wipe out entire events & render the competition meaningless. That would be embarrassing & costly for all involved.
laura
I’m putting a candle in the window for Amir Khalid. He’s missed.
Tenar Arha
@Kay: Yeah, unfortunately I think they will come back. It’s not just that the Supreme Court just opened a big loophole in the federal government’s requiring COVID vaccination as part of OSHA. Now the most radical legislatures are proposing to eliminate all long-standing vaccine requirements.
Like this Legislation has been introduced in the Georgia Senate with to ban any public entity from requiring *any* vaccination as a precondition for services or facility access, wiping out the preexisting standards.
Matt McIrvin
@lowtechcyclist: The Royal Society “nullius in verba” only goes so far in a world where you can’t build a particle accelerator in your garage. But weighing battling arguments from authority is actually tough.
JustSuze (finally stopped lurking)
@laura: Wonderful idea!?
grandmaBear
@Kay: 3 years ago when my granddaughter was diagnosed with lymphoma their policy (Cincinnati childrens) was that they wouldn’t start treatment until the child was up to date on all vaxxes. Since she was up to date she could start right away, while others were delayed. Timeliness is important with cancer. And these kinds of demands are obviously not new. We also got used to hand washing, masks and remote schooling early.
Cermet
@YY_Sima Qian: Fully agree and can’t stand the media that complain about it (or the athletes as well – they are the ones being protected!) Its not like they live there under those conditions – whiners one and all.
Sloane Ranger
Thursday in the UK we had 96,871 new cases. This is a decrease of 2.2% in the rolling 7-day average. New cases by nation,
England – 85,288 (down @5000)
Northern Ireland – 4243 (down @50)
Scotland – 4333 (down @300)
Wales – 3007 (up @300).
Deaths – There were 338 deaths within 28 days of a positive test yesterday. The rolling 7- day average is down 1.1%. 302 deaths were in England, 6 in Northern Ireland, 20 in Scotland and 10 in Wales.
Testing – The rolling 7-day average for number of tests conducted was down by 3.5% as of 26 January.
Hospitalisations – As of Wednesday, 26th January there were 16,510 people in hospital and 561 on ventilators. The 7-day average for hospital admissions was down by 15.3% as of 23rd January.
Vaccinations – As of 26th January, 90.9% of all Uk residents aged 12+ have had 1 shot, 84% havd had 2 and 64.5% have had a 3rd shot/booster.
The Moar You Know
Anecdote warning: the past three weeks in San Diego the freeways were clear during rush hour. BUNCH of folks had to be out sick from work. Normal drive time home from work on a Friday is 45 minutes. First weekend of Omicron, it took 13 minutes. That’s 1980s level traffic. Same for the second week. Third had a bit more traffic.
Omicron surge here is over, yesterday took me 30+ minutes to get home, today is Friday and I have no reason to assume today won’t be anything but a regular 40-45 minute commute.
The Moar You Know
@Spanky: what fallout? They had to send their call center workers home without pay?
The core problem: Rogan makes them more money than Young. Period. The outcry doesn’t mean jack shit. In two weeks it will all be old news, and Rogan will still be on Spotify, spewing his shit, because more people listen to him than Neil Young.
frosty
@lee: I have a friend who’s four weeks out from catching it – vaxxed and boosted. Still dealing with brain fog and fatigue. This virus sucks.
Kelly
All but one grandchild came down with and recovered from COVID last week as well as 3 out of 4 parents. Discomfort was comparable to a nasty case of the flu. Everyone had their shots. Everyone is OK now.
Oregon new cases have plateaued for a week at just under 3x September 2021 previous record.
Starboard Tack
@The Moar You Know: Before Covid I was in a big band with mostly 20ish white male folks. Some of them were Rogan fans that I reminded that Rogan got famous for getting people to eat bugs. He’s still feeding his fans dreck.
Ruckus
@Barbara:
They aren’t playing.
They are who you think they are.
Another Scott
@The Moar You Know: Interesting. One of the economic numbers that Bill McBride at CalculatedRiskBlog tracks is Apple traffic. There are lots of quasi-real-time numbers out there that policymakers could use to inform lots of policy actions. Here’s hoping that they are using them…
Cheers,
Scott.
Ruckus
@New Deal democrat:
Oh Wait.
They are fighting to keep it going. They may not know or understand that but they are doing exactly that, fighting to keep it going. To prove what is my question. I have answers to that but not one of them make any logical sense. Especially to someone who lived when people suffered from so many things, polio, measles/encephalitis, chickenpox/shingles being three in order of their disasters on the human body. I had the second 2, I had/have 4 friends/acquaintances with polio. Those after the slash are side effects some get if you didn’t know. I’ve had both of them. You do not want any of them. Believe me.
Ruckus
@debbie:
Is that their hatred of anyone that doesn’t agree with them because if even some of those people are correct then their entire world view is shit?
Ruckus
@Soprano2:
They have picked their lives and of course all their decisions are correct and final. I’ve never understood people that don’t see that life is always the next day and the whatever that the next day brings. IOW they think they are in control, that they get to choose what happens next. And possibly if they didn’t live in this world that might work, if you take the earth out of the equation, earthquakes, thunder/lighting, tainted water, crop failures, large animals who aren’t in the dying mood, fire…. We have effectively made life a statistical problem, rather than a day to day fight for survival. And as a person who tutored statistics in college I can guarantee that many people do not understand statistics in the least. At least any more than they understand fight for survival. Because they don’t see themselves as at risk. They have been/are being told that conservative politics will protect them from all that stuff in the world. Which of course is completely fucking wrong, all conservative politics does is cost them real life prosperity – that is it is a lie about living, because it is not about living it is about not living at all, it is about belonging to a cult.
soapdish
@debbie: Reminds me of this:
https://twitter.com/iamragesparkle/status/1280892350202511361
RaflW
Semi on topic of the anti-vax conspiracies: When I saw that a bridge collapsed in Pittsburgh just hours before Biden was to arrive there to give an infrastructure speech (and once I noted that there were no fatalities), I started thinking “oh, crap, the Qberts out there are gonna start saying the bridge was blowed up by the FBI.” I daren’t look to see if my prediction is coming true (yet).
debbie
@germy:
Fucking idiots. Seriously.
WaterGirl
@JustSuze (finally stopped lurking): Hi there. I just saw and approved your comment, which I am guessing is you’re first.
Now your comments should show up for everyone right away.
However, there may be an issue with the parenthesis in your nym, so if your comments still go into moderation when you press post, that will be the issue and you’ll likely want to change your nym so you don’t have that problem.