Good explainer — worth clicking over:
Next week brings a marathon of hearings as the U.S. decides whether to open COVID-19 vaccinations to kids under 5.https://t.co/7pXfjEjkOB
— AP Health & Science (@APHealthScience) June 10, 2022
The Biden administration intends to be ready:
Next week, the FDA and CDC will consider authorizing and recommending vaccines for kids under 5.
Our Administration is already prepared to launch a comprehensive, nationwide effort to ensure that parents can get their youngest kids vaccinated easily.
We expect pediatricians and other providers to offer appointments as early as the week of June 20th.
We are committed to reaching every family where they are – and are working to ensure parents have the facts they need to make informed decisions for their child.
Vaccinating America’s youngest kids would be a historic milestone in the nation’s fight against the virus.
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Shanghai kicks off new round of mass COVID testing, Beijing cases jump https://t.co/kZU0lNc3qO pic.twitter.com/gYQoTVMHFr
— Reuters (@Reuters) June 11, 2022
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As of June 9, 2022, nearly 99% of the U.S. population lives in an area with a substantial or high COVID-19 *transmission* level.
Transmission levels are a better metric to judge risk than "Community Levels" which focus on hospitalizations, a lagging indicator. https://t.co/JwWZ6NKfdy pic.twitter.com/mYT6rBhm1H
— People's CDC (@PeoplesCDC) June 10, 2022
War For Ukraine Day 106: The Battle for Sievierodonetsk Is Being Fought Inch By Inch
NeenerNeener
Monroe County, NY:
94 new cases reported by the NYSDOH. The Monroe County tracking site stopped reporting in the middle of the week for some unspecified reason.
Amir Khalid
Malaysia’s Ministry of Health reported 2,166 new Covid-19 cases yesterday, for a cumulative reported total of 4,523,018 cases. It also reported one death for an adjusted cumulative total of 35,709 deaths – 0.79% of the cumulative reported total, 0.79% of resolved cases.
There were 22,751 active cases yesterday, 677 more than the day before. 936 were in hospital. 24 confirmed cases were in ICU; of these patients, 13 confirmed cases cases were on ventilators. Meanwhile, 1,488 more patients have recovered, for a cumulative total of 4,464,558 patients recovered – 98.7% of the cumulative reported total.
2,165 new cases reported yesterday were local infections. One new case was imported.
The National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme (PICK) administered 12,226 doses of vaccine on 10th June: 1,016 first doses, 9,307 second doses, and 1,903 booster doses. The cumulative total is 71,032,773 doses administered: 28,006,607 first doses, 27,125,147 second doses, and 16,115,626 booster doses. 85.8% of the population have received their first dose, 83.1% their second dose, and 49.3% their booster dose.
Wvng
Anne, thank you for keeping this going.
mrmoshpotato
So – how will Rethuglicans react to in utero COVID infection?
mrmoshpotato
@Wvng:
Seconded. As always, thank you so much for these daily updates.
NeenerNeener
@mrmoshpotato: By ignoring it, of course!
Baud
@mrmoshpotato:
Blame the mother for not using horse laxative.
Ohio Mom
@mrmoshpotato: By voting against any funding to help the develpmently affected newborns and their families as they go through life.
rikyrah
@Ohio Mom:
This!
evap
I am currently in Israel and I have seen only a handful of people wearing a mask, even in crowded indoor places. Before our flight (from Dublin to Tel Aviv) we were told by the airline that masks are mandatory on board, and spouse and I wore them. Very few, including flight attendants, were wearing them. Also almost nobody in Dublin wears a mask. I was surprised, mask wearing in Atlanta is much more prevalent.
NotMax
‘@Ohio Mom
“They can pull themselves up by their bootie straps.”
//
zzyzx
I’m not surprised that people’s patience has ended after 2+ years and a much lower death rate with this current strain and vaccines. I mean we’re getting close to the winter 2020-21 number of cases (and with reporting being stricter then, maybe we’re even at it), but with 1/20 the number of deaths.
I mean long Covid is still a thing and it sucks and I’d prefer to not get it again, but it’s starting to get closer to the flu, so it makes sense that people’s risk assessments are changing.
Laura Too
Anne Laurie I hope you know how much I and everyone appreciates all of your hard work. I seldom get to comment anymore due to work constraints but I read your updates and most comments every day. It is so helpful to find out about how everyone else is experiencing this as well.
Laura Too
@evap: grab some Taffix while you are there. I swear that has kept me from getting Covid despite some very high level contact. It will be much cheaper than buying on ebay.
Chetan Murthy
@mrmoshpotato: Oh shit. Shades of the Spanish Flu! oh shit!
Matt McIrvin
@zzyzx:
I’m always wary of that kind of comparison just because the deaths have such a time lag associated with them. The big Omicron wave in winter 2021-22 got underrated because the media characterized Omicron as “milder”, but the number of infections was so large that it ended up killing just as many people as the 2020-21 wave anyway. But it didn’t look like that at first.
eachother
Yes Anne Laurie I am following your articles. Thank you.
There is an element of morbidity or is it co-morbidly for me. Maybe wrong use of words but I am interested in being informed about Covid-19. Already tons of proof it is a mess and we are in it. More mess info in your article today. But it is mess-future I am tracking and wondering about, and with your help and commenter’s input, the curtain is being drawn back.
If past is prologue, the future of Covid has me nervous.
zzyzx
@Matt McIrvin: I get that but we’ve been at about this case level for a month now and it’s not even that we’re seeing the first signs of a build, but the death rate is still actually declining. Yesterday’s Worldometers 7 day average of deaths in the US was lower than any date since March 2000.
The big push in Omicron cases last winter started in mid December and the deaths started to rise less than a month later in the first week of January.
If we’re going to see the movement, it should be happening by now.
YY_Sima Qian
On 6/10 Mainland China reported 65 new domestic confirmed (1 previously asymptomatic), 73 new domestic asymptomatic cases, 0 new domestic suspect cases, & 0 new deaths.
At Guangdong Province 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 1 active domestic confirmed & 4 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks.
Guangxi “Autonomous” Region reported 6 new domestic asymptomatic cases, all at Dongxing in Fangchenggang. There currently are 35 active domestic asymptomatic (34 at Fangchenggang & 1 at Chongzuo) cases remaining.
At Tianjin Municipality 1 domestic confirmed case recovered. There currently are 6 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining.
At Shandong Province there currently are 1 active domestic confirmed (at Tai’an) & 10 active asymptomatic (9 at Weihai & 1 at Dezhou) cases in the province.
Inner Mongolia “Autonomous” Region reported 19 new domestic confirmed (1 previously asymptomatic) & 24 domestic asymptomatic cases. 1 domestic asymptomatic case recovered. There currently are 167 active domestic confirmed & 278 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the region.
Jiuquan in Gansu Province reported 1 new domestic asymptomatic case, a traced close contact of domestic positive cases elsewhere & under centralized quarantine.
At Hebei Province 9 active asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 15 active asymptomatic cases in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks. 1 industrial park at Langfang is currently at Medium Risk.
Liaoning Province reported 3 new domestic confirmed (2 at Dandong & 1 at Benxi) & 3 new domestic asymptomatic (all at Dandong) cases. The case at Benxi is a person recently returned from elsewhere. 1 domestic confirmed & 3 asymptomatic case recovered. There currently are 28 active domestic confirmed & 117 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks. 2 residential compounds at Dandong are currently at Medium Risk.
Jilin Province reported 3 new domestic asymptomatic cases. 11 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. As the province does not consistently break down recoveries by confirmed & asymptomatic cases or by jurisdictions, I can no longer track the count of active case counts in the different jurisdictions.
Beijing Municipality reported 36 new domestic confirmed (35 mild & 1 moderate) & 25 new domestic asymptomatic cases, spread across 14 districts, 58 frequented the same bar & 3 are their traced close contacts, all already under centralized quarantine. 27 domestic confirmed & 3 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The municipality is not publishing the count of active domestic positive cases there. 2 sites remain at Medium Risk.
Shanghai Municipality reported 7 new domestic confirmed & 9 new domestic asymptomatic cases, 10 were already under centralized quarantine & 6 via community screening (at Baoshan, Fengxian, Hongkou & Jing’an Districts). There were 0 new deaths. 31 domestic confirmed & 248 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 208 active domestic confirmed (10 serious & 10 critical) in the city. The city is no longer publishing the number of active asymptomatic cases. 28 sites are currently at Medium Risk.
At Hubei Province there currently is 1 active domestic confirmed (mild, at Wuhan) case remaining.
At Jiangsu Province 1 domestic asymptomatic case recovered. There currently are 3 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in each administrative division, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks.
At Zhejiang Province 17 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The province is not publishing the count of active domestic positive cases there.
Fujian Province reported 1 new domestic asymptomatic case, at Fuzhou, a traced close contact of domestic positive cases elsewhere under centralized quarantine. There currently are 7 active domestic asymptomatic (5 at Zhangzhou & 2 at Fuzhou) cases in the province.
At Jiangxi Province there currently are 11 active domestic asymptomatic cases (10 at Yichun & 1 at Shangrao) remaining.
At Henan Province 1 domestic confirmed & 10 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 5 active domestic confirmed & 37 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks.
At Sichuan Province 9 domestic confirmed & 19 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The province is not publishing the count of active domestic positive cases there.
Yunnan Province reported 1 new domestic asymptomatic case, at Menglian County in Pu’er. There currently are 2 active domestic confirmed & 9 active domestic asymptomatic cases remaining. As the province does not break down recoveries by administrative divisions, I cannot track the count of active cases in administrative divisions, given the multiple simultaneous outbreaks.
Imported Cases
On 6/10, Mainland China reported 14 new imported confirmed cases (1 previously asymptomatic), 58 imported asymptomatic cases, 1 imported suspect case:
Overall in Mainland China, 88 confirmed cases recovered (17 imported), 389 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation (67 imported) & 2 were reclassified as confirmed cases (1 imported), & 6,296 individuals were released from quarantine. Currently, there are 786 active confirmed cases in the country (193 imported), 24 in serious/critical condition (all domestic), 2,798 active asymptomatic cases (477 imported), 2 suspect cases (imported). 106,518 traced contacts are currently under centralized quarantine.
As of 6/10, 3,388.256M vaccine doses have been injected in Mainland China, an increase of 810K doses in the past 24 hrs.
On 6/11 Hong Kong reported 851 new positive cases, 74 imported & 777 domestic (417 via RT-PCR & 360 from rapid antigen tests), 0 deaths.
On 6/11, Taiwan reported 79,663 new positive cases, 65 imported & 79,598 domestic (including 446 moderate or serious). There were 211 new deaths (ages ranging from 30+ y.o. to 90+ y.o., 198 having a range of underlying conditions, 70 fully vaccinated and boosted).
Another Scott
@zzyzx: OTOH, SARS-CoV-2 is a human coronavirus. We’ve known since at least 2020 that immunity from previous coronavirus infection wanes in less than 6-12 months and reinfection is easy. All the evidence is that nothing is different with SARS-CoV-2. Masks and boosters are effective and cheap insurance.
The flu kills, also too.
My $0.02.
Cheers,
Scott.
Bill Arnold
@zzyzx:
Is Long Influenza a major thing, severely affecting millions? Did I miss something these past several decades of life? Or is SARS-CoV-2, which enters cells very differently/has very different tissue tropisms, a qualitatively different virus?
Peoples’ assessment skills are basically worse than non-existent. They are driven by propaganda and ignorance, and fatigue. Some of that ignorance about how to assess general scientific ignorance when a new thing (virus in this case) is being studied.
I think back to that young pregnant anti-vaxxer woman writing in The Federalist[1] about her risk assessment about COVID during pregnancy. It was always the case that her risk assessment was horrible, and the evidence continues to emerge. And her propaganda piece leveraging her own pregnancy was influential, probably killing at least several women, long-term disabling many more, and causing disabilities in some babies. She probably refuses to admit her responsibility for killing and permanently damaging other, and probably even refuses to admit that she made a stupidly ignorant and politically driven risk assessment that caused increased risk to her own fetus, and her own baby if it was born alive.
[1] Vaccine Mandates Are A Nightmare For Women Who Could Get Pregnant (KELSEY BOLAR, JUNE 02, 2021)
Glidwrith
Some immunology training here, but not my main specialty, threat assessment:
1. We are probably going to have two waves per year, based on Africas data and which we echo, Jul/Aug and Dec/Jan.
2. Herd immunity is not possible, unless we get a sterilizing vaccine available.
3. If you are not vaccinated, COVID will find you and increasingly kill you.
4. Successive waves of infection will continue to increase the number of long Covid cases.
5. No one knows yet the long term survival rate of those with long Covid. The metric I have in mind is the 5 year survival rate used to assess the effectiveness of cancer therapies. As the virus has evolved, we’re already looking at a mortality rate of 0.7% in known, directly-caused deaths. I don’t have even a wild-assed guess of long Covid deaths would look like because we’re barely into year 3 of this shit.
Bottom line: keep that mask on as if it was a spacesuit protecting you from the void.
Matt McIrvin
If I lived alone, I would probably consider shutting down much of my public life, forever. Just don’t go publicly indoors again for the rest of my life if I can avoid it. No more concerts, no more restaurants, no more movies, no more shows, no more museums, no more going to stores ever again. For 20, 30, 40 more years if necessary.
My family isn’t going to stand for that, though–they’re not going to do it, being the weird hermit of the family is hard, and they point out that to be really safe on that level I’d have to isolate myself from them too.
So I roll the dice.
zzyzx
@Matt McIrvin: I mean there’s nothing wrong with being a hermit per se, but if I tried to do that – and I really did for over a year – I’d get so depressed that I wouldn’t see the point of living. We all have to make our own decisions about how important leaving the house is.
Matt McIrvin
@zzyzx: Part of it is that I know people who are actually doing this and I feel kind of guilty comparing myself to them.