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You are here: Home / Open Threads / Candidates We Supported: Crowd Source Fill In the Blanks

Candidates We Supported: Crowd Source Fill In the Blanks

by WaterGirl|  November 9, 202211:05 am| 55 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads

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I actually have to get some work done today for a client, since I got nothing done yesterday or the day before, and I have a Friday deadline!

Can you guys help fill in the blanks on the results that aren’t covered in the previous posts?

I’m going to ask BlueGuitarist to find results for the down-ballot races that we hope had reverse coattails, so I haven’t included those below.

Thanks for any information you guys are up for providing!

 

 

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55Comments

  1. 1.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 9:58 am

    Here’s what I am aware of so far:

    BLUE WINS TONIGHT

    Democratic Governors 

    California – Gavin Newsom
    Colorado – Jared Polis
    Connecticut – Ned Lamont
    Illinois – J.B. Pritzker
    Kansas – Laura Kelly
    Maine – Janet Mills
    Maryland – Wes Moore (flip)
    Massachusetts – Maura Healey (flip)
    Michigan – Gretchen Whitmer
    Minnesota – Tim Walz (hol)
    New Mexico – Michelle Lujan Grisham
    New York – Schumer
    Pennsylvania – Josh Shapiro (hold)
    Wisconsin – Tony Evers

    Democratic Senators 

    California – Alex Padilla (hold)
    Colorado – Michael Bennet (hold)
    Connecticut – Richard Blumenthal (hold)
    Maryland – Chris Van Hollen (hold)
    New Hampshire – Maggie Hassan (hold)
    Oregon – Ron Wyden (hold)
    Pennsylvania – John Fetterman (flip)
    Washington – Patty Murray (hol)

    Democratic House

    Alabama – Terri Sewell (hold)
    Colorado – Brittany Pettersen
    Connecticut – Courtney (hold)
    Florida – Max Frost (hold)
    Florida – Robert Wexler (hold)
    Hawaii – Brian Schatz  (hold)
    Illinois – Lauren Underwood (hold)
    Illinois – Nikki Budzinski (pickup)
    Indiana – Frank Mrvan (hold)
    Kansas – Sharice Davids (hold)
    Maine – Chelsie Pingree (hold)
    Michigan – Hillary Scholten (pickup!)
    Minnesota – Angie Craig (hold)
    New Mexico – Teresa Fernández (hold)
    New Mexico – Melanie Stansbury (hold)
    New York – Joe Morelle (hold)
    North Carolina – Wiley Nickel (pickup!)
    North Carolina – Don Davis
    Ohio – Emilia Sykes (hold)
    Ohio – Greg Landsman (pickup!)
    Ohio – Marcy Kaptur (hold)
    Pennsylvania – Summer Lee (hold)
    Pennsylvania – Chrissy Houlahan (hold)
    Pennsylvania – Chris Deluzio (hold)
    Pennsylvania – Robert Matzie (hold)
    Rhode Island – Seth Magaziner (hold)
    Texas – Vicente Gonzalez (pickup!)
    Virginia – Abigail Spanberger (hold)
    Washington – Adam Smith (hold)
    Washington – Pramila Jayapal (hold)
    Washington – Susan DelBene (hold)
    Washington – Kilmer (hold)
    Washington – Larson (hold)

    Secretaries of State

    Michigan – Jocelyn Benson

    Attorneys General

    Michigan!

    State Supreme Court

    x

    Statehouses

    Michigan turned the statehouse blue
    Pennsylvania MAY have turned the statehouse blue

    Critical State Initiatives Passed

    California – Reproductive rights passed
    Kentucky – Reproductive rights passed (likely but not called yet)
    Michigan – Reproductive rights passed
    Montana – Reproductive rights passed (likely but not called yet)
    Vermont – Reproductive rights passed
    Michigan – Voting rights passed
    Michigan – whatever the first one was
    Maryland – legalization of marijuana
    Missouri – legalization of marijuana

     


    DISAPPOINTMENTS

    Governors

    Beto
    Stacey Abrams
    Charlie Crist

    Senate

    Tim Ryan doesn’t defeat Vance
    Cherie Beasley does not pick up a senate seat in NC
    Rubio beat Val Demings

    House

    Elaine Luria

    Secretaries of State

    Georgia – Bee Nguyen

    Attorneys General

    Kansas – Kobach beat the excellent Democrat.

    State Supreme Court

    both seats in NC flipped to Republicans
    Republicans won both OH supreme court seats
    Republican won OH supreme court chief justice

  2. 2.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 9:59 am

    Attorney General races:

    Let's Post "Called" Races & Race Updates In This Thread (Part 2)

  3. 3.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 10:00 am

    State Supreme Court, OH and NC went down.  What about MI?

    Let's Post "Called" Races & Race Updates In This Thread 1

  4. 4.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 10:00 am

    U.S. House races.  Can you share results for the ones that aren’t listed in comment #1?

    Let's Post "Called" Races & Race Updates In This Thread

  5. 5.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 10:03 am

    Governor races:  Crist lost, Stacey Abrams lost.  Janet Mills won, yay!  What about Katie Hobbs and Steve Sisolak?  Still no results yet?

    Candidates We Supported: Crowd Source Fill In the Blanks 1

  6. 6.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 10:06 am

    Of course we still don’t know about Catherine Cortez-Masto, but I’ll add her here anyway for completeness.

    Candidates We Supported: Crowd Source Fill In the Blanks 2

  7. 7.

    TaMara

    November 9, 2022 at 11:21 am

    I’ll keep an eye on Caraveo and add as soon as we know. :-)

  8. 8.

    PaulB

    November 9, 2022 at 11:27 am

    Alaska’s Peltola is not on track to win outright, but with 47.1% of the vote to Palin’s 26.6%, it’s a virtual certainty that she will win when the ranked-choice votes are counted.

  9. 9.

    Mike E

    November 9, 2022 at 11:28 am

    @WaterGirl: I’ll characterize the Don Davis win as a flip even though he replaces Butterfield because that district has changed, though not as much as Nickel’s (obviously)… NC went from 8-5 repub to 7-7 Dem, kicking one of their seats to the curb and picking two!

  10. 10.

    PaulB

    November 9, 2022 at 11:30 am

    Illinois House candidate Eric Sorenson has won.

  11. 11.

    James E Powell

    November 9, 2022 at 11:30 am

    I look at those Ohio results & it seems to me that Our Tim never had a chance. Ohio has to be regarded as a completely red state, vestigial Democrat Sherrod Brown notwithstanding. That doesn’t mean we don’t compete there, it just means we have to adjust expectations to like Missouri levels. I think we have better chances in North Carolina.

  12. 12.

    PaulB

    November 9, 2022 at 11:32 am

    Gabe Vasquez, in New Mexico, is up by 963 votes with 99% of the votes in. The race has not been called.

  13. 13.

    PaulB

    November 9, 2022 at 11:33 am

    Deleted, since it’s already been noted above.

  14. 14.

    Josie

    November 9, 2022 at 11:38 am

    Henry Cuellar – Tx  – House – hold

  15. 15.

    Old School

    November 9, 2022 at 11:38 am

    @WaterGirl:

    Attorneys General

    Aaron Ford (NV) – Leading, but not called

    Jen Jordan (GA) – Lost

    Josh Kaul (WI) – Won

    Kris Mayes (AZ) – Leading, but not called

    Rochelle Garza (TX) – Lost

  16. 16.

    TaMara

    November 9, 2022 at 11:40 am

    @James E Powell: I really, really don’t want to give up on Ohio…but I understand it may be necessary.

  17. 17.

    Kent

    November 9, 2022 at 11:41 am

    Here in the WA 3rd Balloon-Juice supported Marie Gluesenkamp Perez is leading vile MAGAt Joe Kent 53-47 with 54% of the vote counted.  We probably won’t get another vote count drop until this afternoon/evening as we are all  mail-in voting and they scan the ballots in batches in each county.

    NYT still has the race favoring Kent and I don’t quite understand the math.  The district is 1/2 suburban Portland (Vancouver/Camas) and about 1/2 rural red MAGA land.  In terms of the vote counted so far, Perez is winning Clark County (Vancouver) by +18 but losing by double digit percentages in all the rural counties.  But of the remaining vote to count it looks like well over half of it is still in Clark County.

    For reference, Clark County was exactly 50/50 Clinton/Trump in 2016 and went for Biden by about +4 in 2020.  So winning Clark by +18 is huge if that holds up.   And Perez isn’t even from Clark County, she is from rural Skamania County.

    Who the hell knows, I guess we will soon enough.  This would have been a shoe-in race for Jamie Hererra Beutler had the Trumpers not beat her in the primary.  So there’s that.

  18. 18.

    Old School

    November 9, 2022 at 11:42 am

    @WaterGirl:

    Governor

    Katie Hobbs (AZ) – Leading, but not called

    Steve Sisolak (NV) – Losing, but not called

  19. 19.

    Almost Retired

    November 9, 2022 at 11:42 am

    Don’t forget the Michigan ballot proposal we supported, expanding early voting and drop boxes in that state, among other election protection provisions.  It won with nearly 60%, making it harder to suppress the vote in MI.

  20. 20.

    Kelly

    November 9, 2022 at 11:44 am

    Jamie McCleod-Skinner, OR CD 5, not called, currently trailing 48 to 52 with 48% of the votes counted.

  21. 21.

    PaulB

    November 9, 2022 at 11:46 am

    House results so far:

    Andrea Salinas – Leading by 4,572 votes with 66% of the votes in
    Brad Pfaff – Lost
    Elaine Luria – Lost (noted above)
    Emilia Sykes – Won (noted above)
    Eric Sorenson – Won
    Gabe Vasquez – Leading by 963 votes with 99% of the votes in
    Greg Landsman – Won (noted above)
    Jamie McLeod-Skinner – Losing by 9,419 votes with 74% of the votes in
    Jevin Hodge – Leading by 4,455 votes with 71% of the votes in
    Josh Riley – Losing by 6,185 votes with 99% of the votes in
    Marcy Kaptur – Won (noted above)
    Marie Gluesenkamp-Perez – Leading by 11,123 votes with 59% of the votes in
    Mary Peltola – Likely winner once ranked-choice votes are counted
    Mercedes Krause – Lost
    Sharice Davids – Won (noted above)
    Susan Wild – Leading by 4,713 votes with 96% of the votes in
    Susie Lee – Leading by 1,702 votes with 86% of the votes in
    Tony Vargas – Lost
    Yadira Caraveo – Leading by 3,451 votes with 65% of the votes in

  22. 22.

    PaulB

    November 9, 2022 at 11:52 am

    Not on our list, but it looks like Mandela Barnes has been defeated by Ron Johnson in Wisconsin. The race has just been called.

  23. 23.

    C Stars

    November 9, 2022 at 11:53 am

    @Almost Retired: oh, that’s good news indeed

  24. 24.

    Mike E

    November 9, 2022 at 11:53 am

    @James E Powell: NC won’t be your huckleberry, sadly. Florida/Texas, here we come!

  25. 25.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 11:53 am

    @PaulB: Yay!  is that a hold or a pickup?

    By the way, your comments are so helpful.  You usually say that Democrat x won in x state.  So helpful so I don’t have to google to make sure it’s not a R that won or which state it is.

  26. 26.

    gus

    November 9, 2022 at 11:58 am

    @Watergirl: A hold. Cheri Bustos was the incumbent, chose not to run in ’22.​

  27. 27.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 11:58 am

    @Josie: Thank you!

  28. 28.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 11:59 am

    @Old School: Wow, TX and GA were not good nights for us, except hopefully Rev. Warnock.

    I had no idea the Josh Kaul race had been called.  Yay!

  29. 29.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 12:00 pm

    @Old School: Thanks for the update!  Fingers crossed for both. You never know!

  30. 30.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 12:01 pm

    @Almost Retired: Yes!  It’s on the list at #1 under:

    Critical State Initiatives Passed

    I have to think the two initiatives – where they were registering people in order to have them sign petitions – made a big difference in the MI results.

  31. 31.

    Matt McIrvin

    November 9, 2022 at 12:22 pm

    3 of the 4 Massachusetts ballot questions have been called.

    The one that hasn’t is the millionaire’s tax, Question 1, which is narrowly leading.

    Question 2 (require dental insurers to devote some % of funds to providing service): Yes

    Question 3 (liberalization of liquor laws, but, broadly, in a manner to favor liquor stores over food markets): No

    Question 4 (retain driver’s license access for undocumented immigrants): Yes

  32. 32.

    RaflW

    November 9, 2022 at 12:25 pm

    FWIW I was able, through a weird artifact of twitter on a browser, to see who posted the misleading/wrong tweet about Caraveo at 1:30 in the morning WI time. It was Fox 31 KDVR. Sorry about the mixup. I wouldn’t have posted or gotten stoked if it had been a person or outside media, but it was a Colorado blue check news feed. But even those make mistakes!

    A 9 News Next reporter just said Adams County won’t have their results for the CO-08 race till 1pm MST. So we wait.

  33. 33.

    James E Powell

    November 9, 2022 at 12:26 pm

    @TaMara:

    I don’t believe in giving up on any state, but if Democrats are going to return to competitive, it will have to be Next Gen Democrats. Since I don’t live there anymore, I have no idea who any of them are or who they could be. Shontel Brown? Andrew Ginther? I don’t know any other names.

  34. 34.

    MomSense

    November 9, 2022 at 12:32 pm

    @PaulB:

    Damn we really need ranked choice everywhere.  Going to save Golden too.  Would have saved Beasley

  35. 35.

    RaflW

    November 9, 2022 at 12:32 pm

    @James E Powell: Posted in maybe thread two last night about OH. Maybe Kay has a different view, and I’d defer to her if so.

    But I believe that if Tim Ryan hadn’t run as hard and as smart as he did, I do not believe we’d be waking up today to the OH House delegation being 10-5. We can’t know for sure what it woulda been, but I’d guess at least 11-4, maybe 12-3.

    Landsman and Sykes probably benefitted significantly from his efforts (I say that in comparison to if a minor Dem player with limited fundraising appeal or ability to connect with issues/voters was fielded). It’s expensive, and heart breaking, but we have to contest every Senate seat with our A game.

    Yes, even FL. Yes, even TX or OH.

  36. 36.

    MomSense

    November 9, 2022 at 12:34 pm

    @RaflW:

    I also think a lot of our winning Democratic Governors benefitted from Republicans having to spend money in TX and GA even though it is so damned painful to lose those.

  37. 37.

    Matt McIrvin

    November 9, 2022 at 12:46 pm

    @MomSense: Granted with that vote count, Peltola would win a first-past-the-post election outright, too. If anything the ranked-choice system gave Palin more of a chance. (But I suppose the counterargument is that having such a system encourages third-party candidates to exist.)

  38. 38.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 12:51 pm

    @PaulB: Thanks for the updates on all of those!

  39. 39.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 12:52 pm

    @PaulB: Fuck.  I really wanted him to win.  At least it’s not a pickup for the Rs, seat-wise.

  40. 40.

    GibberJack

    November 9, 2022 at 12:54 pm

    Thank you, WaterGirl, for all your effort on this election.

  41. 41.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 12:54 pm

    @gus: Thank you!

  42. 42.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 12:55 pm

    @RaflW: Appreciate the update.

  43. 43.

    WaterGirl

    November 9, 2022 at 12:57 pm

    @GibberJack: Very kind of you to say, thank you.

  44. 44.

    RaflW

    November 9, 2022 at 1:00 pm

    @Mike E: North Carolina House races were one of the bright spots that helped me get to sleep at 2am (poor quality sleep though it might still have been). Props to the campaigns and voters there!

  45. 45.

    James E Powell

    November 9, 2022 at 1:01 pm

    @RaflW:

    I’ve said we have to compete everywhere. In fact, I’m pretty sure I’ve been saying that since before there were blogs.

  46. 46.

    RaflW

    November 9, 2022 at 1:11 pm

    So, as some folks here may have heard me mention, our family has a cabin in WI. My BF and I have been here, helping our friend in her quixotic run for the State Assembly. We’re incredibly proud of her, even as she lost (her seat was open because the assemblywoman Amy Loudenbeck is seeking the S.O.S. office – and currently ahead by 148 votes with 2,512,463 votes counted. EEEP).

    We’re a bit crushed by the returns for Mandela Barnes. But we feel like Evers being retained, a legislative supermajority being avoided, and Josh Kaul being A.G., we as a openly gay & political couple (4′ x 4′ yard sign for our unabashedly pro-choice Assembly candidate here at the cabin!) that we’re acceptable safe for the time being.

    And our home state of MN flipping the state Senate blue? WooHoo. Trifecta! Take that, MN GOP. Your swing towards Trumpism didn’t connect with voters

    eta: @James E Powell sorry if that read as combative rather than supportive of your view! I’m still kinda hopped up from all the news, pending results, and weird sleep.

  47. 47.

    Paul W.

    November 9, 2022 at 1:26 pm

    Minnesota flipped to total legislative control for Dems! https://www.house.leg.state.mn.us/sessiondaily/Story/17479

    We do need to list underperformance/gerrymander in NY as a big disappointment (though not terminal in the FL is). And of course FL itself.

    Can we list as a positive some things not directly about wins/losses?

    • No matter what Kevin McCarthy is going to have a SHITTY next term!
    • Ron DeSantis is going to come for Trump, and they are going to tear each other apart. Ron is going to claim he has the magic ticket (he doesn’t the Dems in FL just suck and he brazenly defied courts in a way even Trump is jealous of) to a Republican presidency and if there is one thing Trump will die defending it is his own ego and grip on the party.
  48. 48.

    James E Powell

    November 9, 2022 at 1:35 pm

    @RaflW:

    No worries. Just wanted to be clear. I’m a no defeat, no surrender person. We are not contesting ideas in these elections, we are fighting evil.

  49. 49.

    Paul W.

    November 9, 2022 at 1:38 pm

    I missed the edit window, but this tweet recaps a lot of the news as well!:
    https://twitter.com/JessicaPost/status/1590346261257162752?s=20&t=-WEhJadab0dVWsCM5Ae8fw

  50. 50.

    Madeleine

    November 9, 2022 at 2:06 pm

    @Almost Retired: Thanks for the 60% info. I hadn’t found it yet. This is HUGE!

  51. 51.

    Wolvesvalley

    November 9, 2022 at 3:07 pm

    NBC has projected Susan Wild as the winner in PA-07.

    If the relative percentages of the already-counted votes persist in the not-yet-counted ones, I have figured out that she will win by 4,388 votes (155,241 to 150,852). But the remaining votes are almost certainly mail-in ones (which tend to be from Democratic voters), so I think her final margin will be somewhat larger.

  52. 52.

    AM in NC

    November 9, 2022 at 4:03 pm

    @James E Powell:   This North Carolinian likes that plan.  We are unfortunately gerrymandered to hell and back, but we have a Democratic Governor and Attorney General (who will probably be the Dem frontrunner after our Gov. is term limited out), and our Senate races are always close.

    If we could expand capacity building in more rural and exurban areas, I think we could start making real gains in state-wide and some close state legislature districts.   We need a 100 county Democratic Party presence, and not just working the 2 months before the elections.

    Would love to see NC put on the “long term capacity building with local groups” BJ list for next cycle.  We should and could be Virginia instead of South Carolina!

  53. 53.

    JimV

    November 9, 2022 at 4:26 pm

    I just want to personally thank WaterGirl for all her work here. I’ve never donated as much as in this election, because I wasn’t as sure it was going to do some good.

  54. 54.

    Mousebumples

    November 9, 2022 at 8:02 pm

    Belated – I know Brad Pfaff won, but I’d like to think our $ helped Tony Evers win. So thanks to everyone who chipped in!

  55. 55.

    WaterGirl

    November 10, 2022 at 9:43 am

    @Mousebumples: I think you meant Brad Pfaff lost?

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