Wondering how to manage your risk of contracting Covid at this point, as holiday gatherings approach? We asked 34 infectious diseases experts how they're comporting themselves. Some surprises here for me. https://t.co/mpurY7JEvG
— Helen Branswell đșđŠ (@HelenBranswell) November 21, 2022
New data: Congratulations to the great state of Maine, which has become the first state to vaccinate 50% of seniors with a bivalent booster â far above the national average of 30%.
35.2 million Americans â 11.3% of the 5+ population â have received their bivalent booster. pic.twitter.com/BOB8ZBdfxj
— Benjy Renton (@bhrenton) November 18, 2022
As of 10 November 2022, it is estimated that 94% of Americans have had Covid at least once, much of those infections in the past year. Ranking of states w/ most vulnerability d/t lack of vaccines/ boosters https://t.co/W5zzyrD0vN @HarvardChanSPH pic.twitter.com/FlY9MqC3Jq
— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) November 21, 2022
======
The pandemic is “over”; live with it, or die with it…
(link)
Beijing shut parks, shopping malls and museums while more Chinese cities resumed mass testing for COVID, as China fights a spike in cases, deepening concerns about its economy and dampening hopes for a quick post-coronavirus reopening https://t.co/BFnPRonFu3
— Reuters (@Reuters) November 22, 2022
(link)
Shijiazhuang â a city of some 11 million people â has forbidden residents in areas deemed high risk for Covid-19 from leaving their homes, with everyone else advised to stay at home "in principle" https://t.co/gO4lB3ABz8
— Bloomberg (@business) November 22, 2022
(link)
the vaccination of elderly Chinese is a fascinating study in the limits of coercive power. like, ultimately, the state is not going to hold old people down and stick needles in them (to its credit!), and they exist largely outside the factors that push others into the jab.
— James Palmer (@BeijingPalmer) November 21, 2022
It certainly saved a lot of lives, but the exit is going to be needlessly rough.
— Naomi Wu æșæą°ćŠć§Ź (@RealSexyCyborg) November 22, 2022
(link)
There's a 2nd BA.5 wave happening in Japan, the country that has best managed the pandemichttps://t.co/z68bDAyl3a pic.twitter.com/FTGx5BB1qt
— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) November 20, 2022
======
… This is the first time in the pandemic that a variant with clearcut, marked immune evasion has not induced a major new wave. Examples of prior variants with increases in immune escape properties include Beta, Gamma, Omicron BA.1, BA.2, and BA.5. Each of these led to major waves globally or in specific continents (Beta in South Africa, Gamma in South America).
Under pressure from prior infections, vaccinations, boosters and combinations of these, the virus is having a harder time finding new hosts. To date, BQ.1.1 has not been able to induce a new wave in 2 countries, a very positive sign. Sure, there are Omicron lineages with 7 mutations on top of BA.2, like CH.1.1 and BQ.1.1.10, and 8 or 9 mutations (XBB.3 and 4) but are they going to look any different? You might think that BQ.1.1 would qualify as an acid test and so far its outcome looks far more favorable than initially projected. For further context, all of this is happening with minimal mitigation, such as the very low use of masks or avoidance of indoor gatherings. No less in colder weather, heading into winter.
(link)
Chinese stock exchanges said they will strictly vet listing applications from COVID-19 testing companies, in response to media reports voicing concerns over fundraising plans by beneficiaries of the pandemic. https://t.co/BJ6dLENtlA
— Reuters Health (@Reuters_Health) November 22, 2022
(link)
======
Unlike the prior 2 holiday seasons in the US, a major surge is unlikely, which is not in keeping with new, dominant variants with marked immune evasion. https://t.co/DqMJ7LAALu
However, waning of immunity, poor uptake of boosters, and lack of mitigation sets up vulnerability pic.twitter.com/rEQSBzeewg— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) November 21, 2022
Under Elon Muskâs new direction for Twitter, several anti-vaccine accounts with tens of thousands of followers are now verified by paying $7.99 a month for Twitter Blue. My latest for âŠ@GuardianUSâ© https://t.co/NQHDv35sqw
— Melody Schreiber (@m_scribe) November 21, 2022
Another exaggerated concern resurfaces:
(link)
Reader Interactions
22Comments
Comments are closed.
New Deal democrat
The CDCâs variant update last Friday showed that the.Alphabet Soup of variants (most of which are direct descendants of BA.5), primarily BQ.1&1.1, has largely displaced their parent, which is down to 24% of all cases.
Â
Typically new waves have peaked when the displaced variant is down to 10% or so of all cases, which should be the case with BA.5 in two or three weeks.
This is noteworthy, because so far no important wave has appeared.
Biobot updated yesterday, showing a small increase but still very close to their 6+ month low set last week, equivalent to ârealâ daily new cases of about 200,000.
At 42,700, in the past few days cases have increased to a 1 month high. Hospitalizations have increased to 25,000, 2,100 above their low of one month ago. Deaths have increased to 336 from last weekâs lows, but are still in the range of their lowest 2 months during the entire pandemic.
Regionally Biobot shows continuing increases in the West and Midwest, but the Northeast and South flat but with a very slight increase in the past few days. The West also continues to show increasing confirmed cases (now including CA), with the South and Midwest generally flat, and the Northeast still decreasing (but with NY flat or possibly slightly increasing).
My guess is that the increase slowly spreading out to more States means that the winter wave has begun (and will probably get a big boost from Thanksgiving and Black Friday).
But Dr. Eric Topol, in his substack, sounds a cautiously optimistic note, calling the BQ.1.x variants the first displacing variants not to cause a new wave. At least not yet.
 This tone continued yesterday in his twitter feed, where He wrote â Unlike the prior 2 holiday seasons in the US, a major surge is unlikely.â
This is probably not coincidental with what he also separately wrote, that â As of 10 November 2022, it is estimated that 94% of Americans have had Covid at least once, much of those infections in the past year,â citing the following preprint:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2022.11.19.22282525v1
Amir Khalid
Malaysiaâs Ministry of Health reported 2,121 new Covid-19 cases yesterday, for a cumulative reported total of 4,969,420 cases. It also reported 14 deaths, for an adjusted cumulative total of 36,609 deaths â 0.74% of the cumulative reported total, 0.74% of resolved cases.
19,511 Covid-19 tests were conducted yesterday, with a positivity rate of 8.4%.
There were 27,141 active cases yesterday, 343 more than the day before. 1,900 were in hospital. 92 confirmed cases were in ICU; of these patients, 58 confirmed cases were on ventilators. Meanwhile, 1,764 more patients recovered, for a cumulative total of 4,905,670 patients recovered â 98.7% of the cumulative reported total.
All 2,121 new cases reported yesterday were local infections. No new cases were imported.
The National Covid-19 Immunisation Programme (PICK) administered 2,570 doses of vaccine on 21st November: 57 first doses, 29 second doses, 402 first booster doses, and 2,082 second booster doses. The cumulative total is 72,466,531 doses administered: 28,113,417 first doses, 27,523,932 second doses, 16,261,199 first booster doses, and 567,983 second booster doses. 86.1% of the population have received their first dose, 84.3% their second dose, 49.8% their first booster dose, and 1.7% their second booster dose.
Baud
@Amir Khalid:
Did you feel any of the Indonesian earthquake?
Mimi
Purely anecdotal: a woman I know who works at O’Hare is fully vaxxed and has had Covid 4 times. I suppose she could be lying but I doubt it.
Amir Khalid
@Baud:
We generally don’t feel or notice any aftershocks over here from an earthquake in Java. Aftershocks from a quake in/near Sumatra, which is just across the Melaka Strait from Peninsular Malaysia, might be felt here, but even then they would be mild.
Matt McIrvin
The epidemiologist who goes to country music concerts unmasked because masks are “not culturally welcome” there is a dismaying case to me. If I were a country fan I’d be strongly tempted to go in masked specifically to piss people off, but personal safety is a consideration.
I’ve been to several packed concerts and shows since the beginning of the pandemic, after having to bail on some in the scary early days. I keep an N95 on tight and trust in my vaccinations.
But I am now willing to eat indoors in public, and I wasn’t for a long time. That’s undoubtedly the riskiest thing I do.
Baud
@Amir Khalid:
Interesting. Thanks.
NeenerNeener
Monroe County, NY:
77 new cases on 11/18/22.
79 new cases on 11/19/22.
76 new cases on 11/20/22.
51 new cases on 11/21/22.
Deaths at 2079, up 9 from last week.
Matt McIrvin
I’m wondering (in my inexpert way) if the “alphabet soup” mix of variants is inducing a mix of immune responses in the population that makes it harder for any one variant to really get a toehold.
rikyrah
@Matt McIrvin:
Going to a concert unmasked ?
Hell no
zhena gogolia
@rikyrah: Going to a country concert? Hell no.
YY_Sima Qian
On 11/21 Mainland China reported 2,145 new domestic confirmed (592 previously asymptomatic), 25,754 new domestic asymptomatic cases, 0 new domestic suspect cases, & 2 new deaths.
Guangdong Province reported 781 new domestic confirmed (434 previously asymptomatic, 681 at Guangzhou, 35 at Zhanjiang, 24 at Zhaoqing, 16 at Shenzhen, 7 at Zhuhai, 5 at Zhongshan, 3 at Jiangmen, 2 each at Foshan, Huizhou, Qingyuan & Yangjiang, 1 each at Shantou & Shaoguan) & 8,241 new domestic asymptomatic (7,957 at Guangzhou, 190 at Foshan, 14 at Shenzhen, 12 each at Meizhou & Zhanjiang, 11 each at Dongguan & Zhaoqing, 8 at Qingyuan, 6 at Yangjiang, 5 each at Shantou & Zhongshan, 3 at Zhuhai, 2 each at Huizhou & Jieyang, & 1 each at Jiangmen, Heyuan & Shanwei) cases. 76 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community (40 at Guangzhou, 10 at Shenzhen, 7 at Zhanjiang, 6 at Foshan, 3 each at Yangjiang & Zhongshan, 2 each at Huizhou, Shantou & Zhuhai, & 1 at Shaoguan), the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown, or came from elsewhere. 586 domestic confirmed & 979 domestic confirmed cases recovered. There currently are 9,321 active domestic confirmed & 75,119 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 241 sites at Guangzhou, 70 at Zhanjiang, 52 at Zhaoqing, 29 at Shenzhen, 23 at Dongguan, 17 at Yangjiang, 10 at Qingyuan, 9 at Huizhou, 7 at Zhongshan, 6 each at Jiangmen & Jieyang, 5 each at Meizhou, 3 at Zhuhai, 2 each at Chaozhou, Foshan & Maoming, & 1 at Shaoguan are currently at High Risk.
Guangxi âAutonomousâ Region reported 3 new domestic confirmed (2 previously asymptomatic, all at Guilin) & 233 new domestic asymptomatic (199 at Guilin, 18 at Beihai, 5 each at Chongzuo & Nanning, 3 at Fangchenggang, & 1 each at Guigang, Pingxiang & Yulin) cases. 1 domestic confirmed & 5 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 11 domestic confirmed & 880 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the region. 15 sites at Guilin are currently at High Risk.
Hainan Province reported 5 new domestic confirmed (3 at Sanya & 1 each at Dongfang & Haikou) & 19 new domestic asymptomatic (17 at Haikou & 1 each at Sanya & Wanning) cases, none from the community. 3 domestic confirmed & 1 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The province is not publishing the count of active domestic positive cases. 6 sites at Sanya & 1 each at Haikou & Wanning are currently at High Risk.
Hunan Province reported 11 new domestic confirmed (7 previously asymptomatic, 3 each at Chenzhou & Zhuzhou, 2 each at Changde & Xiangtan, 1 at Loudi) & 121 new domestic asymptomatic (66 at Changde, 19 at Xiangxi Prefecture, 11 at Zhuzhou, 10 at Shaoyang, 9 at Huaihua, 2 each at Yiyang & Yongzhou, & 1 each at Hengyang & Xiangtan) cases. 8 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community (4 at Changde, 2 at Huaihua, & 1 each at Chenzhou, Hengyang & Shaoyang), the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown, or came from out of province. 20 domestic confirmed & 123 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 130 active domestic confirmed & 3,683 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 93 sites at Xiangxi Prefecture, 79 at Changde, 38 at Zhuzhou, 22 at Huaihua, 8 at Shaoyang, 6 at Yongzhou, & 2 at Xiangtan are currently at High Risk.
Hubei Province reported 9 new domestic confirmed (all at Wuhan) & 353 new domestic asymptomatic (170 at Wuhan, 68 at Xiangyang, 25 each at Huangshi & Xianning, 16 at Huanggang, 14 at Jingzhou, 9 at Jingmen, 7 at Yichang, 5 at Ezhou, 4 at Qianjiang, 3 each at Enshi Prefecture & Xiaogan, 2 at Tianmen, & 1 each at Suizhou & Xiantao) cases. 114 were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure (89 at Wuhan, 7 at Yichang, 5 at Jingmen, 4 each at Huangshi & Qianjiang, 2 each at Huanggang & Jingzhou, & 1 at Ezhou) (2 at Xiangyang, & 1 each at &), the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown, or came from out of province. 86 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 46 active domestic confirmed & 2,028 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 47 sites at Wuhan & 6 at Huanggang are currently at High Risk.
Inner Mongolia âAutonomousâ Region reported 77 new domestic confirmed (7 previously asymptomatic, 58 at Hohhot, 14 at Ordos, 3 at Chifeng, & 1 each at Hinggan League & Hulun Buir) & 745 new domestic asymptomatic (422 at Hohhot, 176 at Tongliao, 45 at Chifeng, 34 at Ulanqab, 31 at Baotou, 15 at Hinggan League, 13 at Bayan Nur, 6 at Xilingol League, & 1 each at Hinggan League, Hulun Buir & Wuhai) cases. 131 domestic confirmed & 1,583 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 1,087 active domestic confirmed & 9,446 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the region. 1,259 sites at Hohhot, 183 at Baotou, 159 at Ulanqab, 97 at Tongliao, 44 at Chifeng, 10 at Ordos, 5 at Bayan Nur, 3 at Xilingol League, 2 at Hinggan League, & 1 at Wuhai are currently at High Risk.
Gansu Province reported 14 new domestic confirmed (all previously asymptomatic) & 983 new domestic asymptomatic (902 at Lanzhou, 46 at Baiyin, 7 at Tianshui, 6 at Longnan, 5 at Qingyang, 3 at Jiayuguan, & 2 each at Linxia Prefecture & Wuwei) cases. 8 domestic confirmed & 85 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 110 active domestic confirmed & 12,997 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 523 sites at Lanzhou, 59 at Baiyin, 7 each at Jiayuguan & Linxia Prefecture, 6 each at Tianshui & Wuwei, 5 at Gannan Prefecture, & 4 at Qingyang at are currently at High Risk.
Shanxi Province reported 89 new domestic confirmed (4 previously asymptomatic, 26 at LĂŒliang, 22 at Yangquan, 14 at Datong, 13 at Shuozhou, 5 at Jincheng, 4 at Linfen, 2 each at Jinzhong & Taiyuan, & 1 at Xinzhou) & 382 new domestic asymptomatic (170 at Xinzhou, 82 at Shuozhou, 23 at Jincheng, 21 at Changzhi, 19 at LĂŒliang, 15 at Jinzhong, 11 at Taiyuan, 9 at Datong, 8 at Yuncheng, 4 at Yangquan, & 1 at Linfen) cases. 28 domestic confirmed & 373 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 1,261 active domestic confirmed & 4,420 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 204 sites at Shuozhou, 158 at Xinzhou, 122 at Taiyuan, 50 at Jinzhong, 43 at Yuncheng, 35 at Datong, 19 each at Changzhi & Yangquan, 13 at Linfen, & 7 at LĂŒliang are currently at High Risk.
Shaanxi Province reported 23 domestic confirmed (6 previously asymptomatic, 9 at Ankang, 6 at Xiâan, 3 at Weinan, & 1 each at Hancheng, Hanzhong, Tongchuan & Xianyang) & 715 new domestic asymptomatic (260 at Yulin, 189 at Xiâan, 150 at Xianyang, 57 at Ankang, 22 at Weinan, 10 at Shangluo, 9 at Baoji, 8 at Hancheng, 5 at Tongchuan, 2 each at Yanâan & Yangling, & 1 at Hanzhong) cases. 75 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure (37 at Xiâan, 15 at Yulin, 8 at Weinan, 7 at Xianyang, 3 each at Hancheng & Shangluo, & 1 each at Ankang & Yanâan), the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown, or came from out of province. 10 domestic confirmed & 13 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 471 active domestic confirmed & 3,962 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 253 sites at Yulin, 252 at Xiâan, 47 at Xianyang, 21 at Weinan, 13 at Ankang, 11 at Hanzhong, 7 at Yangling, 6 each at Hancheng & Shangluo, 2 at Yanâan, & 1 each at Baoji & Tongchuan are currently at High Risk.
Ningxia âAutonomousâ Region reported 115 new domestic asymptomatic (55 at Yinchuan, 23 at Guyuan, 15 at Zhongwei, 14 at Wuzhong, & 8 at Shizuishan) cases. 7 were found in the community (all at Yinchuan), the rest are persons under quarantine or movement control, or coming from out of region. 42 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 1 active domestic confirmed & 228 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city. 73 sites at Zhongwei, 36 at Yinchuan, 29 at Wuzhong, & 19 each at Guyuan & Shizuishan are currently at High Risk.
Xinjiang âAutonomousâ Region reported 19 new domestic confirmed (7 each at Kashgar Prefecture & ĂrĂŒmqi, & 5 at Hotan) & 929 new domestic asymptomatic (319 at Kashgar Prefecture, 298 at Hotan, 288 at ĂrĂŒmqi, 9 at Aksu Prefecture, 7 at Hami, 5 at Kizilsu Prefecture, 2 at Shihezi) cases. 11 domestic confirmed & 641 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The region is not publishing the counts of active domestic positive cases. 665 sites at ĂrĂŒmqi, 196 at Hotan, 94 at Aksu Prefecture, 81 at Kashgar Prefecture, 26 at Hami, 11 at Kizilsu Prefecture, & 2 at Bayingol Prefecture are currently at High Risk.
Shandong Province reported 22 new domestic confirmed (13 at Jinan, 6 at Qingdao, 2 at Linyi, & 1 at Taiâan) & 966 new domestic asymptomatic (393 at Liaocheng, 359 at Jinan, 43 at Dezhou, 29 at Weifang, 22 at Taiâan, 20 at Jining, 18 at Linyi, 17 at Binzhou, 13 at Heze, 11 at Zibo, 10 at Qingdao, 8 each at Dongying, Weihai & Zaozhuang, 4 at Rizhao, & 3 at Yantai) cases. 148 were found were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure (70 at Jinan, 25 at Dezhou, 12 at Liaocheng, 8 each at Linyi & Zibo, 5 each at Binzhou, Qingdao & Weifang, 3 at Weihai, 2 each at Heze, Jining & Taiâan, & 1 at Zaozhuang), the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown, or coming from out of province. 13 domestic confirmed & 83 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 155 active domestic confirmed & 3,576 domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 215 sites at Jinan, 143 at Liaocheng, 107 at Dezhou, 61 at Jining, 48 at Linyi, 19 each at Qingdao & Taiâan, 18 at Heze, 15 at Zaozhuang, & 8 at Zibo are currently at High Risk.
Hebei Province reported 5 new domestic confirmed (all at Shijiazhuang) & 806 new domestic asymptomatic (684 at Shijiazhuang, 29 at Langfang, 18 at Qinhuangdao, 14 at Cangzhou, 13 at Xiongâan New Area, 11 at Xingtai, 10 at Zhangjiakou, 9 at Handan, 5 each at Baoding & Chengde, 3 each at Hengshui & Tangshan, & 2 at Xinji) cases. 3 domestic confirmed & 186 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 31 domestic confirmed & 4,647 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 498 sites at Shijiazhuang, 263 at Xingtai, 120 at Langfang, 113 at Qinhuangdao, 101 at Handan, 89 at Cangzhou, 80 at Zhangjiakou, 32 at Tangshan, 26 at Baoding, 12 at Hengshui, 9 at Chengde, 4 at Xinji, & 1 at Xiongâan New Area are currently at High Risk.
Henan Province reported 75 new domestic confirmed (3 previously asymptomatic, 73 at Zhengzhou & 1 each at Jiyuan & Xuchang) & 798 new domestic asymptomatic (768 at Zhengzhou, 7 at Jiaozuo, 6 at Xinxiang, 4 each at Hebi & Xinyang, Luohe, 3 each at Anyang & Luoyang, 2 at Puyang, & 1 at Xuchang) cases, & 1 new death. 72 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure (259 at Zhengzhou, 4 at Xinxiang, 3 each at Jiaozuo & Luoyang, 2 each at Puyang & Xinyang, & 1 at Anyang), the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown, for came from out of province. 5 domestic confirmed & 136 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 2,537 active domestic confirmed & 23,787 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 1,394 sites at Zhengzhou are currently at High Risk.
Liaoning Province reported 22 new domestic confirmed (4 previously asymptomatic, 13 at Shenyang, 8 at Tieling, & 1 at Panjin) & 84 new domestic asymptomatic (32 at Tieling, 12 at Shenyang, 8 at Panjin, 6 at Huludao, 5 at Fuxin, 4 at Dalian, 3 each at Chaoyang, Dandong & Yingkou, 2 each at Benxi, Fushun, Jinzhou & Liaoyang) cases. 30 of the new domestic positive case were founding the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure, the rest are persons under quarantine or lock down, or came from out of province. 3 domestic confirmed & 25 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 75 active domestic confirmed & 418 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 50 sites at Tieling, 23 at Dandong, 9 at Liaoyang, 5 at Fushun, & 1 at Yingkou are currently at High Risk.
Jilin Province reported 312 new domestic asymptomatic (190 at Songyuan, 93 at Changchun, 11 at Siping, 10 at Yanbian Prefecture, 6 at Baicheng, & 1 each at Baishan & Liaoyuan) cases. 7 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The province is not publishing the counts of active domestic positive cases. 137 sites at Songyuan, 32 at Siping, & 28 at Changchun is currently at High Risk.
Heilongjiang Province reported 28 new domestic confirmed (4 previously asymptomatic, 22 at Harbin, 5 at Suihua, & 1 at Mudanjiang) & 293 new domestic asymptomatic (156 at Suihua, 51 at Qiqihar, 39 at Heihe, 29 at Harbin, 11 at Daqing, 4 at Mudanjiang, & 1 each at Hegang, Jixi & Yichun) cases. 36 of the new domestic positive cases were founding the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure (20 at Qiqihar, 11 at Harbin, 2 each at Heihe & Suihua, & 1 at Daqing), 5 in the community (3 at Suihua & 1 each at & Yichun), the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown. 3 domestic confirmed & 328 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 180 active domestic confirmed & 4,856 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 298 sites at Suihua, 140 at Harbin, 93 at Qiqihar, 67 at Heihe, 20 at Daqing, 6 at Yichun, 2 at Mudanjiang, & 1 each at Hegang & Jixi are currently at High Risk.
Beijing Municipality reported 274 new domestic confirmed (12 previously asymptomatic) & 1,164 new domestic asymptomatic cases. 207 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure, the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown. 73 domestic confirmed & 74 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The municipality is not publishing the count of active domestic positive cases there. 1,055 sites are currently at High Risk.
Tianjin Municipality reported 1 new domestic confirmed & 264 new domestic asymptomatic cases, 95 were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure, the rest are persons under quarantine or movement control. 1 domestic confirmed & 23 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The municipality is not publishing the count of active domestic positive cases there. 253 sites are currently at High Risk.
Shanghai Municipality reported 4 new domestic confirmed & 44 new domestic asymptomatic cases, none from the community. 11 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 31 active domestic confirmed case in the city. The city is no longer publishing the number of active asymptomatic cases. 25 sites are currently at Medium Risk.
Anhui Province reported 2 new domestic confirmed (1 previously asymptomatic, both at Bengbu) & 53 new domestic asymptomatic (14 at Huaibei, 12 at Fuyang, 9 at Wuhu, 8 at Hefei, 7 at Liuâan, 5 at Bengbu, 4 at Suzhou, 3 at Chuzhou, 2 at Anqing, & 1 at Maâanshan, Tongling & Xuancheng) cases. none from the community. 9 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure (3 each at Suzhou & Wuhu, 2 at Liuâan, & 1 at Anqing), the rest are persons under quarantine or lock down, or came from out of province. 5 domestic confirmed & 10 domestic asymptomatic case recovered. There currently are 17 active domestic confirmed & 754 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 14 sites at Huaibei & 5 at Wuhu are currently at High Risk.
Jiangsu Province reported 51 new domestic confirmed (6 previously asymptomatic, 20 at Nanjing, 12 at Yancheng, 11 at Lianyungang, 3 at Zhenjiang, 2 at Wuxi, & 1 each at Huaiâan, Suzhou & Taizhou) & 233 new domestic asymptomatic (54 at Suzhou, 41 at Lianyungang, 23 at Zhenjiang, 19 at Nanjing, 16 each at Huaiâan, Suqian & Yangzhou, 14 each at Nantong & Xuzhou, 10 at Yancheng, 9 at, 8 at, 3 at Wuxi, & 4 at Taizhou) cases. 7 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure, the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown. 10 domestic confirmed & 41 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 283 active domestic confirmed & 1197 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 103 sites at Lianyungang, 91 at Zhenjiang, 33 at Nanjing, 15 at Taizhou, 10 at Yancheng, 7 each at Nantong & Xuzhou, 4 at Suqian, & 2 at Huaiâan are currently at High Risk.
Zhejiang Province reported 37 new domestic confirmed (20 previously asymptomatic, 15 at Hangzhou, 6 at Wenzhou, 4 each at Huzhou & Shaoxing, 2 each at Ningbo & Quzhou, & 1 each at Jinhua, Lishui, Taizhou & Zhoushan) & 67 new domestic asymptomatic (20 at Hangzhou, 16 at Ningbo, 13 at Jinhua, 7 at Wenzhou, 5 at Jiaxing, 3 each at Quzhou & Shaoxing) cases. 8 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure, the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown, or coming from out of province. 5 domestic confirmed & 6 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The province is not publishing the counts of active domestic positive cases.
Fujian Province reported 10 new domestic confirmed (3 previously asymptomatic, 6 at Xiamen, 2 at Fuzhou, & 1 each at Nanping & Zhangzhou) & 20 new domestic asymptomatic (10 at Quanzhou, 7 at Fuzhou, & 1 each at Longyan, Nanping & Xiamen) cases. 13 domestic confirmed & 72 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 144 active domestic confirmed & 426 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 15 sites at Fuzhou & 1 at Longyan are currently at High Risk.
Jiangxi Province reported 4 new domestic asymptomatic (2 at Nanchang & 1 each at Fuzhou & Jiâan) cases, all coming from out of province. 3 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 10 active domestic confirmed & 162 active domestic asymptomatic cases there. 12 sites at Fuzhou & 6 at Yingtan are currently at High Risk.
Sichuan Province reported 240 new domestic confirmed (24 previously asymptomatic, 173 at Chengdu, 16 at Deyang, 11 at Neijiang, 7 at Liangshan, 6 at Ngawa Prefecture, 2 at Meishan, & 25 persons transferred from out of province to unspecified location) & 821 new domestic asymptomatic (335 at Deyang, 184 at Chengdu, 32 at Neijiang, 23 at Ngawa Prefecture, 15 at Mianyang, 13 at Yibin, 10 each at Luzhou & Zigong, 9 each at Guangyuan & Suining, 8 each at Liangshan & Meishan, 7 each at Guangâan & Ziyang, 4 at Dazhou, 3 at Bazhong, 1 each at Leshan & Nanchong, & 142 persons transferred from out of province to unspecified location) cases. 41 domestic confirmed & 79 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The province is not publishing the counts of active domestic positive cases. 309 sites at Chengdu, 208 at Deyang, 51 at Neijiang, 21 at Yibin, 12 at Ngawa Prefecture, 11 at Liangshan, 5 at, 4 each at Bazhong &, 3 at Leshan Meishan, 2 at Dazhou, & 1 at Nanchong are currently at High Risk.
Chongqing Municipality reported 178 new domestic confirmed (38 previously asymptomatic) & 6,157 new domestic asymptomatic cases. 732 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure, the rest are persons under quarantine or lock down. 87 domestic confirmed & 338 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 2,074 active domestic confirmed & 40,518 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the city. 3,849 sites are currently at High Risk.
Guizhou Province reported 13 new domestic confirmed (2 previously asymptomatic, 7 at Zunyi, 3 at Guiyang, 2 at Bijie,& 1 at Qiandongnan Prefecture) & 75 new domestic asymptomatic (40 at Bijie, 20 at Zunyi, 5 at Qiannan Prefecture, 4 each at Guiyang & Liupanshui, & 1 each at Anshun & Tongren) cases. 5 domestic confirmed & 13 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. There currently are 115 active domestic confirmed & 373 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 29 sites at Zunyi & 2 at Bijie are currently at High Risk.
Qinghai Province reported 3 new domestic confirmed (2 previously asymptomatic, all at Xining) & 576 new domestic asymptomatic (411 at Xining, 125 at Haidong, 25 at Yulshul Prefecture, 8 at Huangnan Prefecture, 3 each at Haibei & Hainan Prefectures, & 1 at Golog Prefecture) cases. 6 domestic confirmed & 148 domestic asymptomatic cases. recovered. There currently are 52 active domestic confirmed & 4,172 active domestic asymptomatic cases in the province. 249 sites at Xining, 5 at each Haibei & Hainan Prefectures, & 1 at Haidong currently at High Risk. 522 sites at Xining, 51 at Haidong, 23 at Huangnan Prefecture, 3 at Yulshul Prefecture, & 2 at Haibei Prefecture are currently at Medium Risk.
Tibet âAutonomousâ Region reported 2 new domestic confirmed (both at Chamdo) & 15 new domestic asymptomatic (7 at Lhasa, 3 each at Chamdo & Ngari Prefecture, & 2 at Nagqu) cases. 7 domestic confirmed & 15 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The region is no longer publishing the count of active domestic positive cases. 13 sites at Chamdo & 2 at Ngari Prefecture are currently at High Risk.
Yunnan Province reported 147 new domestic confirmed (1 previously asymptomatic, 135 at Kunming, 7 at Zhaotong, 2 each at Dehong & Honghe Prefectures, & 1 at Dali) & 161 new domestic asymptomatic (56 at Kunming, 42 at Yuxi, 15 at Dehong Prefecture, 10 at Lincang, 11 at Zhaotong, 9 at Qujing, 4 each at Dali & Honghe, Sipsongpanna & Wenshan Prefectures, & 1 each at Baoshan & Chuxiong Prefecture) cases. 17 of the new domestic positive cases were found in the community or are persons deemed at risk of exposure (63 at Kunming & 1 each at Chuxiong, Dehong & Honghe Prefectures, Qujing & Yuxi), the rest are persons under quarantine or lockdown, or came from out of province. 9 domestic confirmed & 75 domestic asymptomatic cases recovered. The province is not publishing the counts of active domestic positive cases. 127 sites at Qujing, 93 at Kunming, 16 at Yuxi, 11 at Dehong Prefecture, , 6 each at Lincang & Wenshan Prefecture, 5 at Honghe Prefecture, & 1 at Zhaotong are currently at High Risk.
Imported Cases
On 11/21, Mainland China reported 80 new imported confirmed cases (7 previously asymptomatic), 148 imported asymptomatic cases, & 0 imported suspect cases:
Overall in Mainland China, 1,137 confirmed cases recovered (50 imported), 5,689 asymptomatic cases were released from isolation (85 imported) & 599 were reclassified as confirmed cases (7 imported), & 153,954 individuals were released from quarantine. Currently, there are 23,296 active confirmed cases in the country (690 imported), 110 in serious/critical condition (all domestic), 228,128 active asymptomatic cases (1,194 imported), 0 suspect cases. 1,246,843 traced contacts are currently under centralized quarantine. There have been 5,231 total COVID-19 deaths to date.
As of 11/21, 3,442,539M vaccine doses have been injected in Mainland China, an increase of 163K doses in the past 24 hrs.Â
As of 11/21, Hong Kong reported 7,139 new positive cases, 634 imported & 6,505 domestic, & 13 new deaths. There have been 10,623 total COVID-19 deaths to date.
On 11/21, Taiwan added 18,179 new positive cases, 29 imported & 18,150 domestic (including 66 moderate or serious). There were 38 new deaths (from 20+ to 90+ y.o., actual dates of death range from 10/5 – 11/19, 37 have chronic underlying conditions, 21 fully vaccinated & boosted). There have been 14,029 total COVID-19 deaths to date.
Matt McIrvin
@zhena gogolia: Does Lyle Lovett count? He puts on a good show. I have a feeling the crowd there would be OK with masks though.
evodevo
@zhena gogolia: No shit…talk about a pure concentration of unvaxxed MAGAts…you might as well go to the local WalMart and lick the door handle…
lowtechcyclist
I haven’t been to a concert in 15 years (parenthood kinda broke the habit there) so I’m not likely to start going again soon, Covid or no Covid. All the classic-rock-era bands and artists are 15 years older, and why would I want to see them again now? And there aren’t that many more current bands that have enough songs I’ve heard and liked that I’d want to see them. Maybe Vampire Weekend or Cage the Elephant; perhaps the Lumineers. But they’d probably have come and gone before I knew that they were on tour and appearing locally.
My wife and I went to Ocean City for her birthday in late October, and we ate in restaurants. For the most part, we ate at off-hours when there was a ton of space between us and the next occupied table, so we’re still being pretty circumspect about how and when we dine out.
We’re getting together with the extended family (22 of us at last count) for Thanksgiving, but we’re a very pro-vax crowd. Maybe some of the youngest kids won’t be vaxxed, but everyone else will be.
Shopping? I mask up, always. Ditto airports and airplanes. Back in the spring of 2021, I joked that I’d stop masking when Covid was killing fewer people than motor vehicles were, here in the U.S. We’re still nowhere close.
YY_Sima Qian
The exit from “Dynamic COVID Zero” in China is going to be messy & full of zigzags, as local & national authorities constantly shifting mitigation measures to balance between socio-economic impact & case incidence. It appears to me that different jurisdictions are trying different combinations, perhaps w/ the permission of Beijing, to explore the best way forward. China certainly will not throw the floodgate wide open, which will lead to a tsunami & collapse the health care system.
As have been the case elsewhere in the world when a society 1st emerge from strong mitigation measures, much of the population will stay home as much as possible & cancel travel plans as case rate escalates. There are already disruptions in domestic logistics and express deliveries, as distribution centers & warehouses are hit w/ outbreaks & local soft lock downs. Through this winter there will likely be significant disruption to international supply chains, worse than any impact of lock downs due to “Dynamic COVID Zero”.
Naomi Wu is right that the slow opening is lifting some of the mitigation measures known to be effective at stopping Omicron transmission, while at least some local authorities are continuing w/ the COVID theater that is spraying disinfectants onto street pavements.
At this point, I think the medical advise has to change for the vaccination rate of the > 80 y.o. cohort to rise. There have been 5 deaths attributed to COVID-19 in the past 3 days, all > 85 y.o. w/ a arrange of underlying chronic conditions, which means they were likely unvaccinated.
Wuhan placed 5 districts into soft lockdown from Monday, for 5 days to start. Soft lockdown means closing entertainment venues & shopping malls, all eateries are take out only, people are working from home when possible, & residents are discouraged from leaving their homes (but not strictly enforced). The district that we live in are not (yet) in soft lock down. However, as cases creep closer & closer, & given the large percentage of cases in Wuhan found from the community, I don’t think this will last. At least we are well stocked.
Matt McIrvin
@lowtechcyclist: Saw St. Vincent, Lake Street Dive, Franz Ferdinand, They Might Be Giants, the Boston Pops and BSO, some local bands, also several concerts by my wife’s community band.
They Might Be Giants were an interesting case: they repeatedly begged fans on social media to come to the concerts masked, and the posts were magnets for outraged comments by “longtime fans” who seemed to pop up out of nowhere just to own the libz. At the show I went to (Portsmouth, NH) I’d say maybe 50 or 60 percent of the crowd was actually masked. I saw audience pictures from other shows where masking was much higher.
Soprano2
@New Deal democrat: I checked the MO Sewershed site today; my city is still flat at almost the lowest rate of Covid since they began wastewater monitoring. Honestly I’m surprised it’s that low.
New Deal democrat
@Soprano2: Thatâs probably the 94% previous infection rate at work.
BTW, Happy Thanksgiving!
Old School
@Matt McIrvin:
I saw a Lyle Lovett/John Hiatt show a month or two ago. I was wearing a mask – although there weren’t many masked in attendance. Probably 5-10%.
VFX Lurker
I doubt it, too. I know an unlucky person in her 50s who was fully vaxxed + double-boosted but caught COVID (likely Omicron) this summer. It got bad (her oxygen levels dropped), but she did not go to the hospital, and she recovered at home.
She credits her vaccinations with her survival and with keeping her out of the hospital.
Emily B.
@VFX Lurker: @Mimi: I got my bivalent booster (booster #4 for me) two and a half weeks before attending a family wedding in October, figuring I’d be at peak immunity for the wedding. No one wore a mask at any of the festivities, including me. Alas, I tested positive four days later.
I think that big events like weddings, reunions, conferencesâany time when a lot of people from all over spend a couple of days together, talking and eating and drinkingâare still pretty risky.