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You are here: Home / Foreign Affairs / War for Ukraine Day 292: A Very Quick Update

War for Ukraine Day 292: A Very Quick Update

by Adam L Silverman|  December 12, 202210:08 pm| 13 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

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I’ve had a very long day, which is why this update was delayed. And I’ve got one more tomorrow. So I’m just going to hit President Zelenskyy’s address, any assessments of what’s going on, a highlight or two of other things, and then what you’re really here for: Patron!

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump:

Good health to you, fellow Ukrainians!

A report about the day that is coming to an end.

First, I congratulated the warriors and commanders of the Ground Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine on their professional holiday. Today is their day. In the Mariyinsky Palace, I presented state awards – “Gold Star” orders, “Cross of Combat Merit” decorations, and other awards.

And it was an emotional ceremony. There were relatives of the Heroes who gave their lives in battles against the invaders. There were warriors who would return to the frontline. And there was such a special moment when we all felt what united us and how much we were all waiting for our victory.

The victory will definitely come.

The second important event of the day was participation in the G7 leaders’ summit. The Group of Seven. This is already the fifth such summit this year, in which Ukraine participates and fully presents its position. Today, we specifically outlined what we have to do next year.

I thanked the partners and urged them to continue to help Ukraine in 2023 as they did this year. It is very important that all elements of support for our state are preserved and do not lose momentum. It is equally important to take new steps that will preempt the Russian terror.

One of the main such steps is the summit, which we are planning for this winter. A summit on the implementation of our Peace Formula. No matter what the aggressor intends to do, when the world is truly united, it is the world, not the aggressor, that determines future developments. This is what we offer to all conscientious states. To everyone who values the UN Charter and simply peace.

Thirdly, representatives of our state are already working in France. The head of the government, the First Lady of Ukraine and others. The key task is two conferences on the reconstruction and resilience of Ukraine, on getting through this winter. They will take place tomorrow. And also – the direction of French forces – both of the state and businesses, communities of France – to specific projects on the recovery of Ukraine. Energy sector, cities, enterprises, hospitals… So now is an important time in France for our country, and tomorrow I will also take part in the relevant events.

And other extremely important things.

Today, three of our EOD technicians – employees of the State Emergency Service – died in the Donetsk region during demining. My condolences to the relatives… Doctors are fighting for the lives of two more of their colleagues. It happened in Kostyantynivka, Kramatorsk district. One of our territories most contaminated by Russian landmines, tripwire mines and unexploded shells. Since February 24, employees of the State Emergency Service alone have removed more than 300,000 explosive items. The EOD technicians of the National Police removed more than 180,000 such items. And demining is also carried out by other state services and the army.

And this is one of the most important areas of our communication with partners. Among other things, we must gather the maximum of global capabilities to overcome the Russian mine terror as soon as possible. And I thank once again all our partners who help. I am thankful to all our heroic employees of the State Emergency Service, our police, and the military who carry out demining. Every defused Russian mine, every disposed projectile, every detected and defused tripwire mine is the saved lives of our people.

Every day we add new energy forces to Ukraine. After each Russian attack, we restore the system. As much as possible. We are doing everything to bring to Ukraine as much equipment as possible, which can compensate for the damage caused by missile hits. And I thank all Ukrainian entrepreneurs, volunteers, all our partners who help with this.

But we should all be aware that Russia has not given up its terror tactics. The absence of massive missile strikes only means that the enemy is preparing for them and can strike at any time. Although it is obvious that even without light we know well where to shoot and what to liberate, Russia still hopes for blackouts. This is the last hope of terrorists…

So as long as they have missiles – and Russia still has them – please take seriously all warnings from the Ukrainian military command, from our Air Force and air alarms. At all levels, we must be prepared for any hostile intentions. And we will do everything to get through this winter.

I thank everyone who helps Ukraine!

I thank everyone who works for our victory!

Glory to all who fight for independence!

Eternal memory to every Ukrainian whose life was taken by this war!

Glory to Ukraine!

Here is former NAVDEVGRU Squadron Leader Chuck Pfarrer’s latest assessments of the situation in Izium, Bakhmut, and Melitopol:

IZIUM AXIS/1345 UTC 12 DEC/ South of Krasnorichenske, UKR is exploiting a lodgment E of the P-66 HWY and are in contact across the Krasna River at Pischane. Increasing pressure on Kremenna, UKR tactical elements are also engaging RU units N of the Sievro-Donets and E of Dibrova. pic.twitter.com/oDLyKCstlq

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) December 12, 2022

BAKHMUT /0015 UTC 13 DEC/ Following a heavy and destructive series of artillery barrages, RU forces were able to achieve a lodgment in a residential area south of the H-32 HWY. UKR artillery targets RU Lines of Communication & Supply (LOCS). pic.twitter.com/7pt4fDrBqO

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) December 13, 2022

NO PLACE TO HIDE: On 12 DEC, a demolition raid was conducted against the M-14 HWY bridge over the Molochna canal E of Melitopol. This UKR Partisan attack succeeded in buckling the road deck and rendering the bridge unsuitable for the transportation of tanks or artillery. pic.twitter.com/LBZU1jdVks

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) December 13, 2022

Here’s a thread on Russian cyber warfare operations:

Pleased to share my first working paper with @CEIPTechProgram, part of our series examining the cyber dimension of Russia's war on Ukraine. Click 👇 for details, scroll on for a brief 🧵/1https://t.co/bmQVdoNqpF

— Gavin Wildе (@[email protected]) (@gavinbwilde) December 12, 2022

As my colleague @NickNmb outlined recently, 🇺🇦 has adeptly marshalled its own cyber defenses, with assistance from a broad coalition of state and commercial partners, putting strategic gains from offensive cyber ops increasingly out of 🇷🇺 reach. /3https://t.co/t2xA68GkNU

— Gavin Wildе (@[email protected]) (@gavinbwilde) December 12, 2022

More about the strange cast of characters leading the VIO and its apparent GRU subordinate units – which appear focused more on psychological ops and counter-propaganda – in this earlier piece & 🧵 /5https://t.co/VGdBrhe3Qu

— Gavin Wildе (@[email protected]) (@gavinbwilde) December 12, 2022

What's more, (as @MarkGaleotti has written) turf battles among the FSB, GRU, and the military are deep and fierce – particularly over cyber. @AndreiSoldatov & @irinaborogan even assess that the Security Council is the final arbiter overseeing major ops. /7https://t.co/n1a2n0mN6l

— Gavin Wildе (@[email protected]) (@gavinbwilde) December 12, 2022

The slapdash, close-hold planning of the invasion cut 🇷🇺's information warfare game plan off at the knees. All emphasis on the "initial period of war" was discarded for the tale spun by the FSB 5th Service (per @gregpmiller & @CatherineBelton report) /9https://t.co/tmvZSsCaX7

— Gavin Wildе (@[email protected]) (@gavinbwilde) December 12, 2022

I was excited to preview some of these insights @CYBERWARCON last month, alongside my brilliant colleague @JonKBateman, whose own contribution to this series is coming soon! /END pic.twitter.com/QxOGauRgn4

— Gavin Wildе (@[email protected]) (@gavinbwilde) December 12, 2022

That’s going to be it for tonight.

With the exception of your daily Patron!

First an update on ordering the signed Patron cards:

If you have any troubles with payment or order — please write to [email protected] 🙌🏻We have some troubles with payment systems due to troubles with electricity due to troubles with stupid neighbors, you know 😅

— Patron (@PatronDsns) December 12, 2022

And an appeal for support of Ukrainian sappers:

2/2 Today, three sappers were injured in the Donetsk region. Two were wounded.Thank you for supporting my fundraising: it is necessary to have an opportunity to help with treatment immediately:https://t.co/FPu7wpXd6x

PayPal: [email protected]

— Patron (@PatronDsns) December 12, 2022

There is no new video posted at Patron’s official TikTok for today.

Open thread!

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Reader Interactions

13Comments

  1. 1.

    Alison Rose

    December 12, 2022 at 10:33 pm

    “Stupid neighbors” is one way to put it, that’s for sure. Speaking of those stupid neighbors, the stupidest one decided to skip his annual marathon news conference. Gee, I wonder why. It’s a mystery.

    I love that the Ukrainian word for “first” in the phrase “First Lady” is перша, which, when he says it quickly in a sentence, almost sounds like “special” to me. She is indeed a special lady!

    I hope you have some chiller days ahead, Adam. Thank you as always for making time for these updates even when time is even more of a limited commodity than usual.

  2. 2.

    bookworm1398

    December 12, 2022 at 10:43 pm

    500,000! The mind boggles at the extent of the mining.

    Russian spies may have misread Ukraine, or the politicians may have heard only what they wanted to hear and discarded the rest.

  3. 3.

    Jay

    December 12, 2022 at 10:44 pm

    Result of a HIMARS strike in Alchevsk, Luhansk Oblast, this morning, which collapsed part of a hostel (dormitory). Ukrainians sources indicate that Wagner was stationed there. pic.twitter.com/QDZFwmXWkc— Dmitri (@wartranslated) December 12, 2022

  4. 4.

    Jay

    December 12, 2022 at 10:49 pm

    Another of Russia's lowlife puppets in #Ukraine finds his day job tough going. Vitaly Bulyuk, Russia's deputy governor of occupied Kherson region, has been involved in a car explosion. Not thought to be badly injured, although one person said to be killed. https://t.co/dJYDmBeYEk pic.twitter.com/iKXfbOu1sw— Glasnost Gone (@GlasnostGone) December 12, 2022

  5. 5.

    Chetan Murthy

    December 12, 2022 at 10:51 pm

    I just watched the Letterman episode with President Zelenskiyy.  Wow, that was something.  He’s something, as are all the Ukrainians who got interviewed for the episode.

    Near the end of the show, Letterman said what I (and I think, everyone who comes here) believe: that Ukraine is fighting this war partially for us, for our country, in a very real and concrete way — that their victory will materially aid our victory over the forces of Fascism on our own land.

  6. 6.

    Jay

    December 12, 2022 at 10:54 pm

    Ukrainian embassy in #Greece receives "bloody package," says #Ukraine's foreign ministry. “The sender's address is the same as all the other envelopes previously received at 🇺🇦 embassies & consulates – a #Tesla car showroom in German town of Sindelfingen." https://t.co/sCvXRZadpd pic.twitter.com/5JRttD2vKi— Glasnost Gone (@GlasnostGone) December 12, 2022

  7. 7.

    Sister Golden Bear

    December 12, 2022 at 11:27 pm

    @Jay: A damn shame for sure. /s

  8. 8.

    way2blue

    December 13, 2022 at 12:04 am

    @Chetan Murthy:

    I’m halfway through Letterman’s interview of Zelenskyy.  The episode is very well crafted, shifting between his exchange with Zelenskyy and scenes from around Ukraine.  Such an amazing man, such a spirited people.

    I’m impatient for Ukraine to have the weapons it needs to close the sky and to roll up the orcs in the fields, woods, towns, ports…

  9. 9.

    Anoniminous

    December 13, 2022 at 12:44 am

    @bookworm1398:

    Russia has a long history of shooting the messenger.

  10. 10.

    Anyway

    December 13, 2022 at 12:51 am

    @way2blue:

    Just watched the Zelenskyy interview. Inspiring man, brave people. Slava Ukrainiani! Hope Zelenskyy gets the chance to go “seaside” in 2023…

  11. 11.

    Origuy

    December 13, 2022 at 1:18 am

    For those who have moved to the elephant site, someone to follow for Ukraine news is @[email protected]

  12. 12.

    Bill Arnold

    December 13, 2022 at 1:02 pm

    Thanks for the information warfare links.
    Gavin Wildе links to his piece about “acmeology”, which is a useful indirect window into Russian propaganda.
    In Russia’s Information War, a New Field of Study Gains Traction – As an authority in the new and obscure discipline of “acmeology,” which attempts to model how individuals and groups can achieve their highest possible professional potential, Aleksandr Starunskiy is at the forefront of disinformation (Gavin Wilde, September 14, 2022)

    Particularly since Russia’s initial incursion into Ukraine in 2014 and its election interference in the United States in 2016, Western commentators and academics have intensively studied the “science” behind the Russian information warfare, its historical underpinnings and contemporary tradecraft. Its nexus with Starunskiy’s “acmeology” raises an underexamined angle: the degree to which Moscow relies on such novel theories as an explanatory salve for a world so frequently unfriendly toward Kremlin ambitions — and the degree to which the West should assume there is much “science” to Russian information warfare at all.

    It’s not wise to be entirely dismissive of such fringe psychological frameworks; they are used to shape real human collectives, and will produce some surprising successes, in some cases, and also odd-looking failures.

  13. 13.

    way2blue

    December 13, 2022 at 1:48 pm

    Adam, a belated thank you for posting this update after your too long day.  These updates—even the abbreviated ones—are indispensible.  Slàinte mhath.

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