Tonight’s post is going to be short and sweet. Both because President Zelenskyy will be speaking to a joint session of Congress shortly and because today was very long day for me day #3 in a row.
Here’s the video stream for President Zelenskyy’s address to the joint session of Congress at 7:30 PM EST:
As of right now – 6 PM EST – there is no daily address posted on the President of Ukraine’s website. I’m guessing the joint presser with President Biden that WG posted the video for earlier and the address later this evening will be it given the time differences.
Just a quick hit from the joint press conference:
Biden closes press conference with Zelensky with this: “Mr. President, we are staying with ukraine as long as Ukriane is there.”
— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) December 21, 2022
Also, this is excellent Information Warfare:
Biden’s tie is the colors Ukrainian flag pic.twitter.com/YHfGjOZ0kO
— Julia Ioffe (@juliaioffe) December 21, 2022
Everything else after the jump!
Here’s a bit from President Zelenskyy’s arrival. The woman in the blue coat is Ukraine’s ambassador to the US Oksana Markarova. The man in the digicam with the Ukrainian flag shoulder patch is the Ukrainian Defense Attache/Senior Defense Official (DATT/SDO) Major General Borys Kremenetskyi.
And here’s video of Zelensky’s historic arrival in the US. via Freedom/UATV channel. pic.twitter.com/BfyvQ9ytRM
— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) December 21, 2022
Thank you, uncle Joe. The best U.S. president in many decades. https://t.co/ZqAlRnTzHF
— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) December 21, 2022
A year ago, I would absolutely not believe I’d ever see this. pic.twitter.com/dwFyVVcn33
— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) December 21, 2022
Here is The Kyiv Post‘s defense correspondent Illia Ponomarenko’s take on the Russian assault on Bakhmut:
From the Russian side, the battle of Bakhmut is just an epitome of idiocy. They’re smashing their best forces in senseless frontal attacks for MONTHS, advancing several hundreds of meters forward and then rolling back again.
So that Wagner’s Prigozhyn could someday possibly…— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) December 21, 2022
And amid that they eventually end up losing major cities and regions in Kherson or Kharkiv.
It’s when a dumb war is fought for political and propagandistic reasons. It’s a bloodbath for nothing but saving Putin’s face and ass.— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) December 21, 2022
Here is former NAVDEVGRU Squadron Leader Chuck Pfarrer’s most recent assessment of Ukrainian Suppression of Enemy Air Defense (SEAD):
KNOCKOUT PUNCH: On 20 DEC, UKR conducted 12 Suppression of Enemy Air Defense (SEAD) missions, hitting a dozen RU Surface to Air Missile (SAM) sites. The strikes destroyed Transport, Erector Launch (TEL) vehicles and air defense command centers all over RU occupied territory. pic.twitter.com/mUettNnDk6
— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) December 21, 2022
That’s enough as I’m sure you’ll want to focus on President Zelenskyy’s address to Congress, which is where our focus should be tonight.
Your daily Patron!
Still no new tweets, but we do have new video from Patron’s official TikTok!
@patron__dsns З тремтінням подушечок лап представляю вам свою першу офіційну іграшку!😍 #песпатрон
The caption machine translates as:
With trembling paw pads, I present to you my first official toy! 😍 #PatrontheDog
Somebody better be ordering me late Chanukah gifts…
Open thread!
RobertDSC-Mac Mini
Wild Weasel and Iron Hand. That’s what comes to mind when reading about SEAD.
Alison Rose
That photo of Zelenskyy and Biden!!! I let out a very loud “Aww!!” and my cat looked at me, assuming it was about her.
The ease and comfort between then is very obvious and lovely to see. I’m sure for Zelenskyy it’s a real relief to have a US president he can stand to be in the same room with. I appreciated Biden’s optimism during the presser about being able to continue aid to Ukraine with the next Congress. I wonder if that was in part intended to put republicans on a hot seat about it. Not that many of them give a damn.
I’m also glad the J6 committee delayed releasing their report until tomorrow. It would have seemed kind of…I don’t know, dickish to do it today.
If there will be an interpreter for the address to Congress, I do hope it’s a decent one, though I recognize that live interpreting of Zelenskyy’s quick speech patterns must be difficult.
Thank you as always, Adam.
zhena gogolia
@Alison Rose: For that they’ll have a text in advance, so it should be better.
FelonyGovt
Interesting about Biden’s tie. I hadn’t noticed the colors.
Wyatt Salamanca
Adam,
Many thanks for your valuable analysis/insights and for your tireless efforts to keep us all up to date on the latest developments in the War for Ukraine.
Have a Happy Chanukah and a Happy, Healthy New Year!
Dan B
Saw Ms. Makarova on Amanpour. I felt like I didn’t learn anything new thanks to Adam’s and other front pagers. Great work, thanks!
Nelle
Thank you, Adam, for your tireless work to keep us informed.
NotMax
FYI.
Russian ads entice cash-strapped families to join the military so they can afford cellphones and groceries
Alison Rose
@NotMax: JFC.
Dan B
@Dan B: Markarovka
Geminid
@RobertDSC-Mac Mini: I read that the US is providing kits to to make bombs precision guided. These SEAD missions may be preparing for Ukrainian airstrikes. Aside from the actual destruction this could further demoralize Russian forces.
Albatrossity
Have there been any tweets from the Patron account since MuskMelon hammered some Ukrainian Twitter accounts?
CarolPW
@FelonyGovt:
The blue in the tie is not the same as in the flag, but the blue of Jill’s dress is.
Kent
If Zelenskyy, his people, and his US supporters are smart he will spend a good bit of time meeting GOP members of Congress and letting them bask in his fame and glory and doing as many personal photo ops and such as they want. As vile as they might be, it would be good politics leading up to the GOP takeover of the House in a few short weeks
Don’t let traitors like Tucker Carlson and his Russian backers turn Ukraine into a partisan political issue as they so desperately want to do. You don’t need to win over the whole GOP House and Senate. Some are unreachable. You just have to reach enough of them.
Dan B
@CarolPW: It’s such a joy to have a President and First Lady who do all the subtle things instead of bluster. And there are Kamala, Doug, Nancy, etc. who are just as adept.
Gin & Tonic
@CarolPW: The blue in the flag represents the sky, so is supposed to be close to that shade. Interestingly, there are different words for the different shades of blue.
Alison Rose
@Gin & Tonic:
The only thing my brain is capable of thinking of in response to this phrase.
eachother
In the context of karma, I’d say this is heavy artillery kick-back.
There is this rippling feel good of current presidents.
And tectonic vanquishment of a former president.
All three connected majorly.
SiubhanDuinne
I rarely see the Ukraine posts until the wee hours, or even next day, but I managed real time tonight. And I just have to say, I LOVE PATRON SO HARD!!
Alison Rose
Biden officials are talking to Congress about declaring russia an ‘aggressor state’
Not sure what this less forceful declaration would do, but if it’s all they are willing to stretch to, then let’s do it.
CarolPW
@Alison Rose: Exactly, tons of blue names.
@Gin & Tonic: Although we have something called sky blue, I think the flag color is more baby blue. We need the mega-giant box of Crayolas to be sure though.
Geminid
I followed the post’s Illia Ponomarenko Tweets to his account and saw that he links to his recent article for the Kyiv Independent titled “Ukraine enters 2023 with frail upper hand over Russia” (kyivindependent.com).
It seems like a good overview of the course of this war from its beginning and then month by month to the present. Early on Ponomarenko expresses the opinion that:
Mr. Ponomarenko also put up a tweet earlier today that seemed to reference the latest tranche of military aid:
This raises the obvious question, “Why not both?” But I still found it an interesting take, although like he said maybe not a popular one.
Alison Rose
C-Span coverage has started
Amir Khalid
I dunno about this. Given what Marjorie Taylor-Greene has been saying about military aid to Ukraine, I have a lingering fear she will try to disrupt Zelenskyy’s address.
Chetan Murthy
@Alison Rose: Watching that C-SPAN feed gives me the heebe-jeebies: I haven’t been in that sort of crowd in >3yr.
Ohio Mom
@CarolPW: I’m going to give Biden’s tie a pass, it’s close enough. I like to assume he shopped his closet rather than send a staffer on a shopping expedition for a closer match. I’m thinking Jill also probably also shopped her closet.
In English, we also have different names for blue: sky blue, navy, azure come to mind. Artists would add cobalt and ultramarine, then there’s cyan and cornflower, and that’s just off the top of my head. But it’s true, most people probably stick to light blue, dark blue and navy.
Alison Rose
@Amir Khalid: If she does, I hope they drag her out by her hair
Geminid
@Amir Khalid: I guess that’s a risk that has to be run.
LiminalOwl
@Ohio Mom: My mother’s journal records a conversation between me (age four) and my father, about royal blue vs. Prussian blue. Yes, I had the big box of Crayolas. Also Cray-pas, which is where I learned Prussian blue.
CarolPW
@Ohio Mom: I absolutely give the tie a pass – it’s the right mix (blue/yellow) for support and a bit of up yours. But Jill had already done the color match thing when she went to Ukraine, and it wasn’t surprising to me she had the closer blue.
Amir Khalid
Ouch. The Speaker said “President of the Ukraine”.
Alison Rose
@Amir Khalid: FYI there’s a speech thread a couple floors upstairs :)
Bill Arnold
Zelenskyy did a good speech. Using tone and language that spoke to American patriotism(/belligerence) seemed effective. There was a lot of bipartisan standing up and clapping.
The CSPAN captioner was struggling; missed a lot of words, and dropped a few sentence segments.
The lack of a suit seemed to work.
I’m sure some gormless suit-wearers will try to make something of it yet again, but they will be mocked for it.
Carlo Graziani
@Geminid:
There’s a “new” puzzle that I’ve been wondering about since yesterday. Belgorod—a significant military target—is within HIMARS M-31 munitions range of Kharkhiv. Despite which, the Ukrainians have not struck at Belgorod, until, possibly, yesterday, according to Pfarrer. So they want ATACMS for why, exactly?
There’s one possible way that I can make sense of this, which is that the Ukrainians did not have US permission to fire HIMARS rounds into Russia, possibly until yesterday (if Pfarrer can be relied upon). If that’s the case, there’s quite a bit of damage that they could do right now if they got the green light from the US to open up with existing HIMARS assets on the Belgorod logistical hub. For one thing, they could shut down all logistical supply to Luhansk province.
(And I’m more than a little embarrassed that it’s taken me this long to realize this…)
Lyrebird
I would go for the cerulean one to match the flags I have seen in videos from Kherson. The battle flag presented to Congress though looks more like the new “bluetiful” crayon though.
daveNYC
Is Bakhmut actually using up the good forces? Wagner is technically leading the charge, but I though the actual Wagner forces leading the charge were prisoners and mobiks. Throw them in the mix until the Ukrainians run out of ammo/sleep/just get unlucky, then send in whatever semi-professional types Wagner has in the area for the triumphant photo-op.