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You are here: Home / Foreign Affairs / War for Ukraine Day 372: Something Appears To Have Gone Boom Outside of Moscow

War for Ukraine Day 372: Something Appears To Have Gone Boom Outside of Moscow

by Adam L Silverman|  March 2, 20237:11 pm| 29 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

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Wakie wakie, Moscow Oblast pic.twitter.com/m9MoaHeHJ7

— Illia Ponomarenko 🇺🇦 (@IAPonomarenko) March 2, 2023

Ukrainska Pravda is reporting that there appears to have been an explosion in Kolomna, which is just southwest of Moscow:

An explosion occurred in the Russian city of Kolomna, Moscow Oblast, on the evening of 2 March. It is not yet known what exactly happened.

Source: Russian state-owned news agency RIA Novosti; BAZA and MASH Russian Telegram channels

Details: A powerful explosion was heard in the suburbs of Kolomna, a city just over 100 kilometres from the Russian capital Moscow.

Residents report that the sound was heard throughout the city.

Propagandists report that emergency services have arrived at the scene of the explosion.

There are no details of what happened yet.

You can hear the explosion at RIA Novosti’s telegram channel, which Ukrainska Pravda linked too. And yes, RIA Novosti is a Russian state controlled “news” media channel. The Jerusalem Post is also reporting the apparent explosion:

A large explosion was heard near the city of Kolomna, southeast of Moscow, on Thursday night, according to RIA Novosti.

The background of the incident is as of yet unclear. Emergency services arrived to the area after the explosion.

There’s a lot of speculation going on so far, as well as a lot of denials that there was an explosion at all. However, Kolomna, Moscow Oblast has one notable location. The company that makes the Iskander missiles, KB Mashinostroyeniya, is headquartered in Kolomna.

Now we wait for more information to be reported.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump:

The occupier will inevitably feel our strength of justice – address by the President of Ukraine

2 March 2023 – 21:27

I wish you health, dear Ukrainians!

A brief report on the day.

I have just spoken with the President of Brazil. It was a useful conversation. We are resuming contacts between our countries at the highest level.

I informed him about Russia’s attacks against our people, about the killing of children, about the strikes on our civilian infrastructure.

I thanked Brazil for supporting our resolution on peace and territorial integrity for Ukraine.

We discussed diplomatic efforts to stop Russian aggression and restore peace for our country, the region, and the world.

In particular, international efforts to implement our Peace Formula.

Today I also spoke with the President of Switzerland. This is our first conversation with the new President.

I thanked him for the support package for Ukraine and our people. We discussed further bilateral cooperation and possible interaction on international platforms.

I heard that Switzerland is interested in implementing our Peace Formula. This is a very good signal.

I held a meeting of the Staff, which focused solely on the frontline and security situation.

The Commander-in-Chief made a general report. There was an intelligence report.

Detailed reports from specific combat areas, from the commanders of our groups of troops.

Khortytsia Operational and Strategic Group of Troops – key attention to Bakhmut.

Tavria Operational and Strategic Group of Troops – discussed the Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia directions. General Tarnavskyi delivered a detailed report.

Today’s brutal Russian missile attack on Zaporizhzhia will face our military and legal response. The occupier will inevitably feel our strength. The strength of justice in every sense of the word.

And I want to thank all our rescuers who have been clearing the rubble of the house whose block was destroyed by the missile since the night before.

They managed to rescue 11 people, and more than 70 received help.

Two people are currently on the list of those killed. My condolences to the families!

Odesa Operational and Strategic Group of Troops – a report about the situation in the southern direction. In particular, the situation in Kherson and the region.

Of course, we do not ignore the north of our country, the border.

Commanders are well aware that their task is to do everything possible to suppress terrorist fire. And we are constantly working with our partners to increase the range of our capabilities.

Today, I signed several decrees awarding our warriors. In total, 847 defenders received state awards on this day.

Soldiers of our mechanized brigades, tankmen, artillerymen, marines, intelligence officers, Air Force, Special Operations Forces, territorial defense, the National Guard, the National Police, border guards, SBI and SES employees.

As of today, the number of our defenders whose bravery and efficiency have been recognized with state awards is over 40 thousand. I thank everyone who defends our country!

I am grateful to all those who daily accustom Russia to the idea that Ukraine cannot be broken.

We will endure. We will win. And we will bring all Russian terrorists to justice.

Glory to our warriors! 

Glory to Ukraine!

Here is former NAVDEVGRU Squadron Leader Chuck Pfarrer’s most recent assessment of the situations in Bakhmut and Kreminna:

BAKHMUT/1900 UTC 2 MAR/ At great cost, RU continues ops against UKR Lines of Communication and Supply (LOCS). RU units are in contact within the N & E areas of the city and continue to infiltrate and consolidate lodgments within the urban area. UKR reinforcements arrive in AO. pic.twitter.com/NdD9JPs5Hi

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) March 2, 2023

KREMINNA /1840 UTC 1 MAR/ RU offensive operations were renewed across the P-66 HWY north of Kreminna. Within the last 24 hours, UKR broke up RU attacks west of Holykove, and east of Makiivka and Novosadove. RU has again failed to reach the Zherebets River estuary. pic.twitter.com/5w8goKkKCF

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) March 1, 2023

Bakhmut:

About 5,000 people remain in Bakhmut, including 37 children, says Head of the Donetsk Regional Military Administration Pavlo Kyrylenko. Unbelievable considering the level of devastation. The city was home to more than 75,000 residents before Russia invaded and bombarded it. https://t.co/ED9a7HSNKy

— Christopher Miller (@ChristopherJM) March 2, 2023

Here’s the interview with English subtitles:

Vuhledar:

The battle for Vuhledar is Russian tanks and BMPs running into mines across open terrain. Stopping. Getting hit by ATGMs and artillery. Then trying to assault again the next day after UA units replace mines in the field. It’s far from smart, but it’s no epic tank battle.

— Michael Kofman (@KofmanMichael) March 2, 2023

Zaporizhzhia:

Awful terrorist missile attack on residential five-story building in Zaporizhzhia. At night when people were sleeping. 2 killed, 11 rescued including a pregnant woman. Search and rescue continues. pic.twitter.com/uDJvepFA9W

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) March 2, 2023

WAR CRIMINALS: A RU targeting cell worked long hours to identify a Ukrainian apartment complex. They passed the coordinates to a RU missile unit– who then programed their weapon. A commander pushed the button and sent his missile to kill sleeping civilians. This was a WAR CRIME pic.twitter.com/sv0nxkqBAk

— Chuck Pfarrer | Indications & Warnings | (@ChuckPfarrer) March 2, 2023

For us, it truly is a "perfect day" at the front. For our enemy — not so much. More trouble is coming. Occupier, beware. pic.twitter.com/Cman5ipX04

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) March 2, 2023

Bellingcat has video and analysis of the Ukrainian drone attack on the RU AF A50:

The drone flies in this direction towards the A50 parked at the airbase. pic.twitter.com/CGI6jSrcEF

— Bellingcat (@bellingcat) March 2, 2023

The translation of the statement posted along with the video on Telegram by BYPOL can be read below: pic.twitter.com/juHTNJ0WXZ

— Bellingcat (@bellingcat) March 2, 2023

You may have seen reporting that there was a false flag attack in Bryansk today. Or an attack that wasn’t. There was, it is not a false flag, but it’s complicated. Here’s some details:

Going off of Dan's tweet — Bratstvo (mostly leftovers of the old St. Mary's Battalion) has done cross-border raids into Bryansk as well. This isn't a false flag.https://t.co/7QKOzbXv7i https://t.co/nBFagxiPoU

— Aric Toler (@AricToler) March 2, 2023

There you gohttps://t.co/dZTQLAEgb7

— Aric Toler (@AricToler) March 2, 2023

Read through the thread I linked to a few tweets up: https://t.co/nBFagxiPoU

There are actual people who have died in Bryansk raids from a few months ago, including Ukrainians who were previously in the St. Mary's Battalion. They were publicly mourned by their friends.

— Aric Toler (@AricToler) March 2, 2023

As for what these guys actually did over in Bryansk, I have no clue, the truth there is surely being distorted by the Kremlin. But we've already seen Ukrainian saboteur raids into Bryansk months ago, leading to four deaths on the Ukrainian side.

— Aric Toler (@AricToler) March 2, 2023

The RDK was founded in Aug 2022, made up largely of ostensible anti-Putin Russian far-right extremists in Ukraine. Kapustin, leader, is a Moscow-born neo-Nazi who spent time living in Cologne 🇩🇪 and speaks German and English fluently in addition to his native Russian

— Michael Colborne (@ColborneMichael) March 2, 2023

Kapustin, like some other far-right Russians, has long had links with Ukraine’s far right, as we @Bellingcat have written about. Kapustin at one time was a key cog in the Azov movement's once-prominent international outreach efforts (@ChristopherJM) https://t.co/pzpVGwLSDR

— Michael Colborne (@ColborneMichael) March 2, 2023

But he got in more trouble that put a damper on his int’l activities — Germany banned him from Schengen in 2019, largely confining him to Ukraine. While there’s no hard proof, apparently German intel thought he might have ties to Russian security services https://t.co/hMbA4EjqUq

— Michael Colborne (@ColborneMichael) March 2, 2023

Rundo, as I’ve alluded to in a few articles in tweets but never really stated outright, is very likely pro-Russia now, despite his past travels to Ukraine and onetime support from the country.

(People on the far right reading this…think about it, guys, come on) pic.twitter.com/V9FJ3erWno

— Michael Colborne (@ColborneMichael) March 2, 2023

Fast forward to today, as Kapustin brags about his far-right ‘unit’ making an incursion into Russia, and people on this platform stating, evidence-free, that this was some ‘false flag.’ No, likely not; this was something Ukraine’s military intelligence very likely signed off on! pic.twitter.com/TWdYxXlt9j

— Michael Colborne (@ColborneMichael) March 2, 2023

In short, to end the thread: Ukraine, you don’t need the RDK and you don’t need Kapustin

(also hi denis) pic.twitter.com/SYcrTezdOy

— Michael Colborne (@ColborneMichael) March 2, 2023

"…a Ukrainian military intelligence official, Andriy Yusov, said "these are people who are fighting with arms against the Putin regime and those who support him… Perhaps Russians are beginning to wake up, realise something and take some concrete steps"https://t.co/zPcFvtSAiv

— Michael Colborne (@ColborneMichael) March 2, 2023

Basically the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) are sketchy. Their founder and leader is a neo-NAZI. But they’re useful and largely deniable. And so you get this meshugas.

That’s enough for tonight.

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    29Comments

    1. 1.

      Alison Rose

      March 2, 2023 at 7:23 pm

      Basically the Russian Volunteer Corps (RDK) are sketchy.

      I’m shocked, shocked to find…

      I appreciate people labeling russia’s war crimes for what they are, but at the same time, it seems that most of the world has decided wagging a finger and imposing minimal sanctions is about the sum total of punishment they’ll receive for it. Even once the war is over and Ukraine has won back all of its land, I don’t see a lot of urgency from many countries regarding pursuing penalties for all of it. I’d like to be proven wrong, but I fear I won’t be.

      On a lighter note, an ATM somewhere in Ukraine offers the user a choice of languages, but if you choose russian, you get a blue and yellow screen reading Слава Україні. The only option is to go back to the main menu by selecting a button labeled Героям слава. Perfecto.

      Thank you as always, Adam.

      Reply
    2. 2.

      YY_Sima Qian

      March 2, 2023 at 7:27 pm

      When fighting for national survival, one typically can’t be very choosy about allies. As long as such extremist elements are marginalized in the effort & kept on a leash so that they do not target civilians or civilian infrastructure, it is not a big danger.

      More important that these elements are not allowed to enter positions of power during the post-invasion reconstruction. In that regard, I think Ukrainian ultra-nationalists (every country has then) need to be more closely watched.

      Reply
    3. 3.

      NutmegAgain

      March 2, 2023 at 7:59 pm

      I’m feeling terrible for that town near Moscow. ::snerk:: not.

       

      Hard to go wrong with the Velvet Underground, although I might have chosen European Son, in the Defense of Ukraine tweet. Lyrics below. Oddly fitting, but that’s what they do.

      You killed your European son

      You spit on those under twenty-one

      But now your blue car’s gone

      You better say so long

      Hey hey, bye bye bye
      You made your wallpapers green

      You want to make love to the scene

      Your European son is gone

      You’d better say so long

      Your clown’s bid you goodbye

      Reply
    4. 4.

      oldster

      March 2, 2023 at 8:21 pm

      I hit on the Iskander factory?

      OMG — let’s hope it’s true.

      Such beautiful poetic justice.

      Thanks as always, Adam.

      Reply
    5. 5.

      Gin & Tonic

      March 2, 2023 at 8:29 pm

      @YY_Sima Qian: The Ukrainian far-right is an insignificant political factor. In the last parliamentary election they got a bagel.

      Reply
    6. 6.

      lashonharangue

      March 2, 2023 at 8:29 pm

      Thanks Adam.  Am I understanding this correctly?  These are the few neo-nazis that were supposed to represent Ukraine according to Russia.  They were excluded from the regular military.  The UKR military intelligence thought they could use them – more for pysops purposes than actual impact.  And they would probably get themselves killed as a twofer. The neo-nazi gets to play out his violent fantasy and figures he will be a mission impossible hero that will look great politically post-war.

      Reply
    7. 7.

      FelonyGovt

      March 2, 2023 at 8:34 pm

      The company that makes the Iskander missiles, KB Mashinostroyeniya, is headquartered in Kolomna.

      A long-ago coworker of mine might have said, “That’s an interesting aspect.”

      Reply
    8. 8.

      YY_Sima Qian

      March 2, 2023 at 8:36 pm

      @Gin & Tonic: Absolutely, not saying otherwise. However, the historical experience of other countries fighting off existential threats do suggest that succumbing to ultra-nationalism is a real danger. Something to be vigilant about. In any case, I think Ukrainian popular sentiments will definitely be tempered by the process of EU accession.

      Reply
    9. 9.

      FelonyGovt

      March 2, 2023 at 8:39 pm

      Glad that now that Brazil has non-fascist, non-insane leadership, their relations with Ukraine are hopefully back on track.

      Reply
    10. 10.

      dimmsdale

      March 2, 2023 at 8:54 pm

      Just nodding in to say a big THANK YOU, Adam. Constant reader/lurker, wouldn’t miss these posts of yours. Love how you’ve managed to draw in a bunch of smart, well sourced commenters, too. With all these informed perspectives, I’m glad to be here soaking it all in. Thanks EVERYBODY!

      Reply
    11. 11.

      HumboldtBlue

      March 2, 2023 at 9:01 pm

      David Willey of the Tank Museum provides details on the tanks being sent to Ukraine. It gets a little deep into technical detail at points, but it’s informative.

      Reply
    12. 12.

      buskertype

      March 2, 2023 at 9:07 pm

      @dimmsdale: yep, same here. I read almost every evening. thanks Adam.

      Reply
    13. 13.

      Mallard Filmore

      March 2, 2023 at 9:09 pm

      @lashonharangue: 

      These are the few neo-nazis that were supposed to represent Ukraine according to Russia.

      According to the YouTuber Denys Davydov, these are RUSSIAN neo-nazis. Since they are operating out of Ukraine, I’m not sure if that changes Putin’s view of the situation.

      YouTube link: https://youtu.be/1Kl_BycXWc8

      video title: “Update from Ukraine | Civil war in Ruzzia | Opposition forces assault in Bryansk Region of Ruzzia”

      Reply
    14. 14.

      Geminid

      March 2, 2023 at 9:15 pm

      CNN reported a story related to Ukraine’s grain exports. The USAID announced $44 million in investments to “support storage and infrastructure” for grain transport. Some will go to Danube basin ports at the southwestern Ukrainian cities of Ismail and Reni. Some will be invested in facilities at the eastern Slovakian city of Cierna nad Tisov, just across the Ukrainian border. There is a very extensive rail yard there because of the change from the wider Ukrain gauge to the standard European.

      Reply
    15. 15.

      Adam L Silverman

      March 2, 2023 at 9:18 pm

      @lashonharangue: I think that’s most likely it.

      Reply
    16. 16.

      Adam L Silverman

      March 2, 2023 at 9:19 pm

      @Mallard Filmore: Correct.

      Reply
    17. 17.

      Gin & Tonic

      March 2, 2023 at 9:21 pm

      @Mallard Filmore: You need a scorecard to keep track.

      What the Bellingcat guy is alleging is that these are pro-Ukrainian (or at least anti-Putin) ethnically-russian neo-nazis. They may be tactically aligned with the far-right ethnically-Ukrainian nationalists (who may or may not be neo-nazis.) Do not confuse them with the anti-Ukrainian ethnically-russian neo-nazis.

      Reply
    18. 18.

      Adam L Silverman

      March 2, 2023 at 9:37 pm

      @Gin & Tonic: You are correct. I read through the old reporting being linked to on the group and its leader. He’s Russian, from Russia, is anti-Putin Russia as it is currently constituted, and is a neo-NAZI who’d been living in Germany running a white supremacist mixed martial arts competition. They people in his militia/organization are ethnically Russian, one would gather they’re also neo-NAZIs, and they’re opposed to Putin and Russia as it is currently constituted.

      The whole thing is just weird!

      Reply
    19. 19.

      zhena gogolia

      March 2, 2023 at 9:38 pm

      @Gin & Tonic: If they’re connected with the FSB (as one of those tweets asserts, I think, although my head is spinning), doesn’t that kind of make it a false flag? Apparently the Russian media is going hogwild with this one.

      ETA: Now I can’t find the tweet where I saw that.

      Reply
    20. 20.

      Jay

      March 2, 2023 at 9:56 pm

      Less than $2,000 left to create the world's first NAFO fighter jet.You can contribute to the NAFO Air Force here – https://t.co/ZghQ5UZ3Dz @SignMyRocket pic.twitter.com/zpyUlVjiLv— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) March 2, 2023

      Reply
    21. 21.

      Gin & Tonic

      March 2, 2023 at 9:58 pm

      @zhena gogolia: You know every Slav will view this as darkly and conspiratorially as possible. I’m going to wait a couple of days and see how it shakes out.

      Reply
    22. 22.

      YY_Sima Qian

      March 2, 2023 at 9:59 pm

      @Gin & Tonic:

      @Adam L Silverman:

      I had to read that part of today’s update 3 times before I got them straight. I was utterly confused the 1st time through.

      Reply
    23. 23.

      EZSmirkzz

      March 2, 2023 at 10:53 pm

      Hey Adam, not sure if you read Greg Palast, a lot of peeps don’t anymore,

      As a New York Tribune columnist, the abolitionist Karl Marx, wrote before the US Civil War, when some Britons supported the slavers: “History speaks twice; the first time as tragedy, the second as farce.”

      Indeed, there is a nauseating, horrifying humor watching one-time fighters against injustice, self-proclaimed “anti-war” activists, dancing cheek to cheek with Marjorie Taylor Greene, Ted Cruz, Tucker Carlson and fascist pin-up Silvio Berlusconi sharing their love, or at least, their sad excuse-making, for Vladimir Putin’s invasion of Ukraine.

      At its core, these strange bedfellows’ sympathy for the Russian invasion rests, ultimately, on the canard that it was NATO’s expansion that provoked Putin to attack.

      Pay attention to Putin’s own words.

      On July 12, 2021, months before his tanks rolled, Putin issued a detailed statement of his casus belli, his justification for total seizure of Ukraine, not just the Donbas, in a 21-page-long essay, “On the Historical Unity of Russians and Ukrainians.” No one should speak of this war unless they have read this, Putin’s Mein Kampf.

      His link didn’t work for me but this one does.

      Nowhere, nowhere, nowhere in his essay does Putin say one word about NATO expansion.

      That doesn’t mean it didn’t factor in, could just be Putin making a non emotional argument.

      One other thing you might find interesting,

      Lockheed executives told Reuters that investments made over the last year in their 282,000-square foot plant means that Lockheed only needs to make a few upgrades to meet increased production demands.

      Meanwhile, in an earnings call with investors, Lockheed’s CEO said, “On HIMARS specifically, we have already met with our long lead supply chain to plan for increasing production to 96 of these units per year.”

      After beginning with a HIMARS production rate of 48 launch platforms per year in 2022, Lockheed has since increased this figure to 60 annually.

      A good resource for OSINT sleuths or old farts with too much time on their hands is the Big Project, a massive collection of newspapers around the world written in English. 98% of information is redundant, but eventually they all come up with the 2% that may connect the dots. Hope it helps.

      Reply
    24. 24.

      Chetan Murthy

      March 2, 2023 at 11:00 pm

      @EZSmirkzz:

      That doesn’t mean it [NATO] didn’t factor in, could just be Putin making a non emotional argument.

      It seems pretty obvious that NATO was a big part of why Putin invaded: once the CEE countries joined NATO, he could no longer threaten them militarily, and gosh that must have put the butthurt on.  After all, those lands are Russia’s — as is every land that Russia has ever occupied.  It’s like that Family Circus meme — “Dolly He hit me back!”

      Reply
    25. 25.

      EZSmirkzz

      March 2, 2023 at 11:19 pm

      @Chetan Murthy:

      It seems like an integral part of his reasoning for sure, but politicians are always yanking  on the emotional issues of their target audience. I’m not a fan of emotional arguments.

      As Palast pointed out in his piece Kyiv was Russian when Russia didn’t exist.

      Along the line of John’s post up above, there is a tendency for people to read their perceptions into what other people are writing online.  I tend to discount emotional arguments, but especially when made by politicians or partisans as we term them now. No one’s an efing virgin in this stuff.

      Reply
    26. 26.

      Hangö Kex

      March 3, 2023 at 12:45 am

      @dimmsdale: ​

      Just nodding in to say a big THANK YOU, Adam. Constant reader/lurker, wouldn’t miss these posts of yours. Love how you’ve managed to draw in a bunch of smart, well sourced commenters, too. With all these informed perspectives, I’m glad to be here soaking it all in. Thanks EVERYBODY!

      Meant to post the same thing; quoting it instead. :)​

      Reply
    27. 27.

      Hangö Kex

      March 3, 2023 at 1:01 am

      re kabooms: I’d expect an increase when more explosives are manufactured, handled and transported (in a hurry) as must be the case with Russia ramping up ordnance production as best they can manage (i.e. not that well, one would believe or – at least – hope).

      Reply
    28. 28.

      Bruce K in ATH-GR

      March 3, 2023 at 4:46 am

      So the war appears to be coming home to Russia, huh? Vladimir Vladimirovich might do well to study historical precedents, specifically what happened pretty much every time in recorded history someone launched what they thought would be the proverbial “short victorious war”. The precedent of Tsar Nicholas II and the Russo-Japanese War might be particularly relevant…

      Reply
    29. 29.

      VOR

      March 3, 2023 at 8:41 am

      @YY_Sima Qian: When fighting for national survival, one typically can’t be very choosy about allies.

      Unfortunately true. Churchill was a long time anti-communist but worked with Stalin. He said “If Hitler invaded hell I would make at least a favourable reference to the devil in the House of Commons.”

      Reply

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