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You are here: Home / Open Threads / Welp

Welp

by John Cole|  April 20, 202310:27 am| 147 Comments

This post is in: Open Threads, Clown Shoes

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Twitter gonna be lit today

Welp

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Previous Post: « Thursday Morning Open Thread: Once Again, C.R.E.A.M.
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Reader Interactions

147Comments

  1. 1.

    Shalimar

    April 20, 2023 at 10:31 am

    I want SpaceX to do well even though I loathe the twit who owns 45% of it.  This isn’t good.

  2. 2.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 10:32 am

    I blame woke people.

  3. 3.

    Dorothy A. Winsor

    April 20, 2023 at 10:32 am

    Speaking of clown shoes:

     

    Exclusive: Election denier Mike Lindell offered $5 million to anyone who could prove him wrong. An arbitration panel just ruled he must pay. https://t.co/p9yA0brkj6— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost) April 20, 2023

  4. 4.

    Manyakitty

    April 20, 2023 at 10:35 am

    Rocket go boom.

  5. 5.

    MT

    April 20, 2023 at 10:35 am

    Compared to Musk’s other business ventures, the launch was a huge success!

  6. 6.

    Victor Matheson

    April 20, 2023 at 10:36 am

    @Shalimar: I am 100% with you there. Affordable and reliable rocketry is an important good, and it would be nice if the world had it even if Musk is one of the big beneficiaries of it.

  7. 7.

    john (not mccain)

    April 20, 2023 at 10:36 am

    Too bad Elon wasn’t on board

  8. 8.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 10:36 am

    @Dorothy A. Winsor:

    Hahahaha.

  9. 9.

    hells littlest angel

    April 20, 2023 at 10:37 am

    I warned them not to put it in self-driving mode.

  10. 10.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 10:38 am

    @Victor Matheson:

    I’m glad it was unmanned.  But this stuff happens.  See space shuttle.

  11. 11.

    NotMax

    April 20, 2023 at 10:40 am

    “Abort! Abort!”

    “Nuh uh, dude. This is Texas.”

  12. 12.

    Thor Heyerdahl

    April 20, 2023 at 10:41 am

    It lost its blue checkmark?

  13. 13.

    dmsilev

    April 20, 2023 at 10:41 am

    Most rockets go boom or similar on the first launch test. And this monstrosity is really really complex, so not at all surprising that it didn’t work quite right. So, meh, whatever. Enjoy the snarking on Elon Musk’s Hellsite.

  14. 14.

    twbrandt

    April 20, 2023 at 10:42 am

    “Rapid unscheduled disassembly” is certainly one way to put it.

     

    As if the flight test was not exciting enough, Starship experienced a rapid unscheduled disassembly before stage separation
    — SpaceX (@SpaceX) April 20, 2023

  15. 15.

    Fraud Guy

    April 20, 2023 at 10:42 am

    I guess it’s tomorrow:
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-pzKg7IxhNA

  16. 16.

    bbleh

    April 20, 2023 at 10:42 am

    There’s a … whatchacallit … meta-something … meta-for? here, right

    @twbrandt:  “rapid unscheduled disassembly” is something that happens to me about every other afternoon.  This is … more.

  17. 17.

    Manyakitty

    April 20, 2023 at 10:43 am

    @twbrandt: seems on par with my local Target rebranding their candy aisles as ‘Packaged Sugar’

  18. 18.

    twbrandt

    April 20, 2023 at 10:43 am

    All snark aside, it’s an amazing accomplishment.

  19. 19.

    Matt McIrvin

    April 20, 2023 at 10:44 am

    I’ve wondered for a while if Starship is the program SpaceX keeps going to keep Elon Musk out of the business that pays the bills.

    It concerns me that NASA’s Artemis program chose a Starship-derived lunar lander and I’ve been wondering if there are plans to change that. I haven’t heard a lot about it lately and it always seemed like the sketchiest part of the project.

  20. 20.

    Dangerman

    April 20, 2023 at 10:44 am

    Oh, sure, Brilliant. Let’s test a new rocket on 4/20 when everyone is higher than shit.

  21. 21.

    Manyakitty

    April 20, 2023 at 10:45 am

    @Dangerman: lol. And yesterday was bicycle day.

  22. 22.

    Matt McIrvin

    April 20, 2023 at 10:45 am

    @twbrandt: It’s an old rocketry joke.

  23. 23.

    Hilbertsubspace

    April 20, 2023 at 10:47 am

    @Shalimar: Ditto.  I mean they said this could happen, but…. shit.

  24. 24.

    kindness

    April 20, 2023 at 10:47 am

    From what I read, this rocket is using a new technique in separating the 1st stage from the 2nd.  In this case the 2nd stage failed to separate and (apparently) when the 2nd stage’s rockets ignited it exploded the whole thing.

    Needz moar drawing boards.

  25. 25.

    Llelldorin

    April 20, 2023 at 10:48 am

    I’m surprised the range officer let that go as long as they did. That flight hit “we are not going to space today,” at about the 3m mark.

  26. 26.

    The Moar You Know

    April 20, 2023 at 10:49 am

    The range officer blew it up when it was obvious (and it was obvious for quite a while) that the rocket was just spinning out of control and wouldn’t separate.  That’s why the put the self-destruct stuff in rockets in the first place.

    The weird thing is that it would not separate.  That’s pretty much a rocketry 101 job and SpaceX has not had a problem with it before.

  27. 27.

    Betty Cracker

    April 20, 2023 at 10:51 am

    I immediately looked to the east to see the kerblooey cloud, but this was launched in Texas.

  28. 28.

    Dangerman

    April 20, 2023 at 10:52 am

    @kindness:  In this case the 2nd stage failed to separate and (apparently) when the 2nd stage’s rockets ignited it exploded the whole thing.

    Pure guess, but I’m gonna say Range Safety Officer pushed the big red button labelled “Boom”. Looked out of control for a moment.

  29. 29.

    dmsilev

    April 20, 2023 at 10:53 am

    @kindness: No, the second stage never lit. The “flight termination system” triggered, which is rocket-speak for “we told the thing to blow itself up, and it did”.

  30. 30.

    Bugboy

    April 20, 2023 at 10:56 am

    From SpaceX Twitter:

    …Starship experienced a rapid unscheduled disassembly…

    Pretty amazing way to say “it blew up”?

  31. 31.

    planetjanet

    April 20, 2023 at 10:56 am

    Jack E. Smith has me rolling on the floor this morning.

    https://twitter.com/7Veritas4/status/1649062062922911744?s=20

  32. 32.

    Wag

    April 20, 2023 at 10:57 am

    Kinda like the bird app over the past several months…

  33. 33.

    Mike in NC

    April 20, 2023 at 10:58 am

    President DeFascist will name Elon Musk (AKA Leon Skum) as head of NASA.

  34. 34.

    Matt McIrvin

    April 20, 2023 at 10:58 am

    All that said… yeah, this kind of thing is pretty normal for an early test launch of a rocket. You expect some of them to blow up. One of the big problems with the Shuttle program was that the whole project depended on fantasy assumptions that that wouldn’t happen– they couldn’t even launch without a crew, and after the first few flights there was no escape system.

  35. 35.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 10:58 am

    @Dangerman:

    the big red button labelled “Boom”.

    Coming soon to Tesla as an optional add-on.

  36. 36.

    MobiusKlein

    April 20, 2023 at 10:59 am

    @kindness: ​
     
    I imagine the RCA (root cause analysis) board will be busy for many months.
    For the rest of the commentariate, it’s way too early to point a finger at what went wrong.

  37. 37.

    West of the Rockies

    April 20, 2023 at 10:59 am

    Is there any video of the explosion?

  38. 38.

    jonas

    April 20, 2023 at 11:00 am

    @dmsilev: That’s pretty much what I’ve been reading as well. Folks who know rocket engineering say that this was actually a pretty remarkable flight even if it did break up eventually. It’s not uncommon for the first couple of test shots to just blow up on the launch pad.

  39. 39.

    twbrandt

    April 20, 2023 at 11:01 am

    @planetjanet: that is hilarious!

  40. 40.

    TheronWare

    April 20, 2023 at 11:02 am

    @Shalimar: I second that!

  41. 41.

    Tony G

    April 20, 2023 at 11:02 am

    Must be a glitch in the Full Self Rocketing software.  It will be fixed by the next upgrade.

  42. 42.

    Layer8Problem

    April 20, 2023 at 11:02 am

    “No, y’see the problem was ALL YOU HATERZ who aren’t showing Elon enough love for his mad engineering skilz!!  If you had believed, it would still be up there!”

  43. 43.

    J.

    April 20, 2023 at 11:04 am

    Metaphor for Twitter and hopefully Musk too.

  44. 44.

    Tony G

    April 20, 2023 at 11:05 am

    @Shalimar: Should a profit-seeking corporation, which is incentivized to cut corners on safety precautions be building and launching rockets?  I know that we must obey the Invisible Hand, but still …

  45. 45.

    Layer8Problem

    April 20, 2023 at 11:05 am

    @Baud:  “Due to overwhelming customer demand, we’ve extended our innovating past Ludicrous Mode with our new Boom Mode!”

  46. 46.

    Tony G

    April 20, 2023 at 11:06 am

    @Layer8Problem: We all should have clapped louder.

  47. 47.

    The Kropenhagen Interpretation

    April 20, 2023 at 11:07 am

    Starship experienced a rapid unscheduled disassembly

    Things go up, they come down in smaller pieces. No one can explain these things.

  48. 48.

    Shalimar

    April 20, 2023 at 11:11 am

    @Tony G: They have done a better job than any other organization the last decade.  I’m with you.  I would prefer NASA to remain in control of the whole design and build process.  But that ship sailed a long time ago.

  49. 49.

    The Kropenhagen Interpretation

    April 20, 2023 at 11:11 am

    Starship is also a lofty title for a vehicle that only has a hope of reaching one star, the only star we ever could have reached.

  50. 50.

    Steeplejack

    April 20, 2023 at 11:12 am

    @West of the Rockies:

    There is a video in this tweet.

  51. 51.

    Maxim

    April 20, 2023 at 11:12 am

    My brain keeps trying to read the first part of the headline in the photo as “SpaceX’s unscrewed Starship” which is not a phrase I really want to interpret.

  52. 52.

    West of the Rockies

    April 20, 2023 at 11:13 am

    @Layer8Problem:

    Quick, everybody say, “I do believe in Elon!”

  53. 53.

    Timill

    April 20, 2023 at 11:15 am

    @jonas: Yup: it didn’t destroy the launch pad, and the booster actually lit enough engines and flew pretty much as planned.

    Boom later is pretty much expected, so a good result all round.

  54. 54.

    West of the Rockies

    April 20, 2023 at 11:15 am

    @Steeplejack:

    Thank you, Steeplejack.

  55. 55.

    The Kropenhagen Interpretation

    April 20, 2023 at 11:16 am

    @West of the Rockies:

    Obligatory.

  56. 56.

    Seanly

    April 20, 2023 at 11:18 am

    I’m reminded of the story my materials science professor told about early US rocketry. In his telling, admirals & generals wanted the BEST steel for the piping in the rockets in the 1950s. Stainless steel was the most expensive so of course it must be the best! But the material got brittle at cold temperatures  such as when rocket fuels are pressurized. Then they try pumping cold fuels at high pressures and the pipes burst and kablooey.
    I’m not sure how true his story was as I think he was trying to impart that you need to pick the metal as balancing strength, ductility and behavior in the expected environmental conditions.

  57. 57.

    rikyrah

    April 20, 2023 at 11:18 am

    Oh well, Cole.😒

    Poor Elon.🙄

  58. 58.

    scav

    April 20, 2023 at 11:18 am

    Live by the hype, die by the hype.

  59. 59.

    Layer8Problem

    April 20, 2023 at 11:18 am

    @The Kropenhagen Interpretation:  And if it does reach that star, it’ll turn into, like, glowing plasma, right?  That’s going to really mess up the reusability but if he’s doing the piloting I’m all for it.

  60. 60.

    The Kropenhagen Interpretation

    April 20, 2023 at 11:21 am

    @Layer8Problem: If Elon is piloting, it will turn into dull plasma.

  61. 61.

    UncleEbeneezer

    April 20, 2023 at 11:22 am

    @Baud: Speaking of “Woke”, I’m reading a great book titled Mothers of Conservatism: Women & The Postwar Right by Michelle M. Nickerson that chronicles the rise of Housewife Populism in Southern California in the 1950’s and chapter two is notes that when looking at their own words for what drove them, one of the most common metaphors that comes up again and again is that of a great political awakening (to the threats of Communism, Progressive Education, Integration etc.). They don’t use the word “woke” but it’s all essentially the same damn concept of suddenly becoming aware and spurred to action.  They also created the template for the school board bullying that we are now seeing about woke-ness, all across the country.  The War on (Liberal, Racial, Trans etc.) Woke-ness, literally started from (Conservative) Woke-ness.

  62. 62.

    The Kropenhagen Interpretation

    April 20, 2023 at 11:26 am

    @UncleEbeneezer: Republicans have been railing against the hottest current term for basic decency since time immemorial. Plus ça change, it’s all the same shit. 

    Fuckem.

  63. 63.

    Edmund dantes

    April 20, 2023 at 11:26 am

    @Tony G: the us military and NASA had a fair few rockets blow up on the launchpad. This has nothing to do with that. There is a reason the joke is “this is not rocket science”.

  64. 64.

    Jeffg166

    April 20, 2023 at 11:27 am

    Reminds me of being a kid in the 50s, watching all the rockets launched at Cape Canaveral blow up.

  65. 65.

    Steve in the ATL

    April 20, 2023 at 11:28 am

    @MT: @hells littlest angel: @NotMax: everyone is en fuego today!

  66. 66.

    Ruckus

    April 20, 2023 at 11:29 am

    @Layer8Problem:

    “mad engineering skilz!”

    I must have missed that part of his character. Maybe I wasn’t looking hard or deep enough. And here I was thinking that hard or deep wouldn’t really work in this situation….

  67. 67.

    Edmund dantes

    April 20, 2023 at 11:29 am

    If you watch the video from spacex’s livestream. Around the 45:34 mark you can see one of the parts of the ship actually explodes and throws off derbis. It was near where the hydraulic control box was for the engines. So a good chance something went wrong near there.  Also they kicked up a ton of debris at liftoff that might have damaged some engines right at the start.

  68. 68.

    The Lodger

    April 20, 2023 at 11:31 am

    @Maxim: No, Virgin has left the spaceflight business.

  69. 69.

    Matt McIrvin

    April 20, 2023 at 11:31 am

    @The Kropenhagen Interpretation: But did it build this city on rock and roll?

  70. 70.

    The Kropenhagen Interpretation

    April 20, 2023 at 11:33 am

    @Matt McIrvin: Only the best building materials for this city, of course.

  71. 71.

    eversor

    April 20, 2023 at 11:33 am

    Ka-boom!

    To be expected and all that granted.

  72. 72.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 11:37 am

    @Steve in the ATL:

    everyone is en fuego today!

     
    Today we are all SpaceX starships.

  73. 73.

    Bupalos

    April 20, 2023 at 11:38 am

    @Shalimar: I’d rather NASA handle space rather than this weird capitalist commercialized thing we’re doing.

  74. 74.

    Elizabelle

    April 20, 2023 at 11:42 am

    Good morning.  Here’s the SpaceX Youtube replay.  Action begins around 43 minutes.

    Background sounds remind you that this is not all about Elon.  Also, impressed with the female announcer.  Talk about unflappable.  Just after 48 minutes.  Rocket blows itself up.

    “I want to remind everyone that everything after clearing the tower was *BOOM* icing on the cake.”

    Also, incredible video from the starship.  Such improvements in the intervening years.

  75. 75.

    p.a.

    April 20, 2023 at 11:42 am

    Fuck Starship- too much Marty Balin.  Airplane was o.k. though.

  76. 76.

    PaulWartenberg

    April 20, 2023 at 11:46 am

    @twbrandt:

    “Rapid unscheduled disassembly” is certainly one way to put it.

    Layman’s terms: IT BLEW UP.

  77. 77.

    Patricia Kayden

    April 20, 2023 at 11:56 am

    @Baud: We woke folk need to sleep more. Zzzzz

  78. 78.

    ArchTeryx

    April 20, 2023 at 11:59 am

    Everyone’s having a good laugh over the Rapid Unplanned Disassembly of the Starship rocket, but this test almost certainly qualifies as a “successful failure.”

    Apparently they were testing a new passive stage separation system, relying on aerodynamic forces instead of explosive bolts. It failed miserably and the rocket blowed up real nice. But before it blew up, they got data that hopefully will tell them the flaws that can be corrected next time round.

  79. 79.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 12:01 pm

    @ArchTeryx:

    successful failure

     
    That’s how I’ve described myself in many a cover letter.

  80. 80.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 12:03 pm

    @Elizabelle:

    Action begins around 43 minutes

     
    Video is 32 minutes long.

  81. 81.

    SFAW

    April 20, 2023 at 12:03 pm

    @PaulWartenberg:

    Layman’s terms: IT BLEW UP.

    Or the George Takei version: It Blow’d Up.​

  82. 82.

    UncleEbeneezer

    April 20, 2023 at 12:04 pm

    @Patricia Kayden: No lies told.  Seriously, one major down side of really paying attention to all the Isms/Phobias and GOP Fuckery is that it really can have detrimental effects on sleep.

    No Rest For The Wioked

  83. 83.

    Frankensteinbeck

    April 20, 2023 at 12:04 pm

    I loathe Musk, but I’m in the group of not making fun of something that’s actually normal.  You do tests because some of them fail.

    @scav:

    Live by the hype, die by the hype.

    But here, you have a point.  By pretending he’s god, Elon invites criticism for having human limits.

  84. 84.

    Bugboy

    April 20, 2023 at 12:05 pm

    @ArchTeryx: The literal embodiment of “move fast and break things”?

  85. 85.

    brendancalling

    April 20, 2023 at 12:06 pm

    @john (not mccain): ya beat me to the punch.

  86. 86.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 12:06 pm

    @Frankensteinbeck:

    People are only making fun because it’s Elon.  He deserves it.

  87. 87.

    Ken

    April 20, 2023 at 12:07 pm

    @Seanly: John Clark’s Ignition! has lots of stories along those lines. There was a lot of experimentation, and many booms, as they figured out ways to keep the fuels and oxidizers from eating through the lines.

  88. 88.

    Jackie

    April 20, 2023 at 12:08 pm

    @PaulWartenberg: Premature ejaculation?

  89. 89.

    Delk

    April 20, 2023 at 12:13 pm

    That horrible furniture CEO lady had a pretty good boom. But this boom might be slightly better.

  90. 90.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 12:17 pm

    @ArchTeryx:

    Why wouldn’t they first do a test run with a smaller rocket? Or did they?

  91. 91.

    Bill Arnold

    April 20, 2023 at 12:22 pm

    Meanwhile, from “Teslarati”, a headline worthy of Russian media:
    SpaceX Starship completes first successful test flight (Joey Klender, April 20, 2023)

    SpaceX’s Starship completed its first successful flight test with an incredible liftoff at South Padre Island, Texas, after years of testing and regulatory barriers.
    …
    After the launch, the expectations were for Starship to separate and continue its path to space, while the Super Heavy Booster would return to Earth.
    Several engines were lost, and the rocket suffered “a rapid unscheduled disassembly before stage separation.”

  92. 92.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 12:25 pm

    @Bill Arnold:

    The flight ituation has developed not necessarily to SpaceX’s advantage.

  93. 93.

    Bill Arnold

    April 20, 2023 at 12:25 pm

    @Frankensteinbeck:

    I loathe Musk, but I’m in the group of not making fun of something that’s actually normal.

    They (well, some of them) declared success. That’s mainly what’s being mocked.

  94. 94.

    Burnspbesq

    April 20, 2023 at 12:26 pm

    @MobiusKlein:

    For the rest of the commentariate, it’s way too early to point a finger at what went wrong.

    Dunno about that. All of Leon’s companies seem to be not-so-good at the basic blocking and tackling of assembling things well enough that they do what they’re designed and intended to do. That’s a corporate-culture issue, and corporate culture starts at the top.

  95. 95.

    scav

    April 20, 2023 at 12:28 pm

    @Bill Arnold: Yeah, those “regulatory barriers” sure put a crimp in their drive to test explode their gizmo.  Always be pushing the political agenda.

  96. 96.

    Sister Golden Bear

    April 20, 2023 at 12:28 pm

    Musk is good at the “rapid unscheduled disassembly” of the things he owns.

  97. 97.

    The Moar You Know

    April 20, 2023 at 12:29 pm

    Why wouldn’t they first do a test run with a smaller rocket? Or did they?

    @Baud: 223 launches of the Falcon 9.

    Problem is, a smaller rocket is NOT the big rocket.  So you’re gonna blow up some big rockets, which is pricey.

    I think the only big rocket that never had a failure was the Saturn V, but all the smaller rockets that ended up being rolled into that rocket had plenty.

    I expect a few more Starship failures.

  98. 98.

    Bill Arnold

    April 20, 2023 at 12:30 pm

    @Baud:

    The flight situation has developed not necessarily to SpaceX’s advantage.

    Ooh. Elon “Emperor of Mars” Musk, indeed!

  99. 99.

    Sister Golden Bear

    April 20, 2023 at 12:30 pm

    @Dangerman: I hope that for 4/20 Eve you left out milk and edibles for Snoop Dog.

  100. 100.

    Baud

    April 20, 2023 at 12:32 pm

    @The Moar You Know:

    So the Falcon 9 used the same separation tech?

  101. 101.

    Layer8Problem

    April 20, 2023 at 12:33 pm

    @Baud:  A delightful paraphrase.

  102. 102.

    Elizabelle

    April 20, 2023 at 12:33 pm

    @Baud:  Ah.  They edited it, since it first went up.

    They can edit it still further, no?

  103. 103.

    Bill Arnold

    April 20, 2023 at 12:35 pm

    SpaceX Starship’s pronouns are was/were. pic.twitter.com/X3aZRae88M
    — Austin Kocher, PhD (@ackocher) April 20, 2023

  104. 104.

    mrmoshpotato

    April 20, 2023 at 12:35 pm

    So – seeing as how it’s 4/20, do we drink or smoke to this?

  105. 105.

    Fleeting Expletive

    April 20, 2023 at 12:36 pm

    @Dangerman: Dude, they’re trying to keep it quiet!!

  106. 106.

    The Moar You Know

    April 20, 2023 at 12:37 pm

    So the Falcon 9 used the same separation tech?

    @Baud: no.  This shot used a brand-new experimental technique that obviously didn’t work.

    No explosives, just spin the two stages apart.  Which…sure, it could work.  And I get not wanting to use explosive bolts.  New data point:  this plausible idea does not work.

  107. 107.

    Burnspbesq

    April 20, 2023 at 12:37 pm

    @Bill Arnold:

    Are those the same guys that thought Tesla’s first-quarter results were an unqualified success?

  108. 108.

    Timill

    April 20, 2023 at 12:38 pm

    @Baud: SpaceX have been doing launches of the Starship second stage for a couple of years now, which uses the same methane engines as the booster.

    Eventually you have to light the blue touch paper and see what breaks.

  109. 109.

    Layer8Problem

    April 20, 2023 at 12:41 pm

    @Bill Arnold:  If Musk hangs his name on it I stand ready to mock.  That he has actually earned.

  110. 110.

    twbrandt

    April 20, 2023 at 12:42 pm

    @Dorothy A. Winsor: An additional funny thing about this is that the guy who proved Lindell wrong voted for Trump twice.

  111. 111.

    trollhattan

    April 20, 2023 at 12:44 pm

    MOAR engines is a Soviet tactic. Ladies and germs, meet the N1.

  112. 112.

    Bill Arnold

    April 20, 2023 at 12:45 pm

    @Burnspbesq:
    Not a connoisseur of such things, but it looks reasonably factual:
    https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-tsla-q1-2023-earnings-results/

  113. 113.

    The Moar You Know

    April 20, 2023 at 12:46 pm

    So the Falcon 9 used the same separation tech?

    @Baud: forgive me, I missed your point entirely.  Why didn’t they try it on a Falcon 9?  I have no idea, but my guess would be that every Falcon 9 in the pipeline already has a mission and they didn’t want to fuck up the flow by pulling one out to test.  Would’ve been a lot cheaper though.

  114. 114.

    sdhays

    April 20, 2023 at 12:48 pm

    @Burnspbesq: Obviously, this is absolutely true for Tesla and Twitter, but is this true for SpaceX? I thought their record was pretty good.

  115. 115.

    Timill

    April 20, 2023 at 12:50 pm

    @The Moar You Know: The first bit of tumbling appeared from the commentary to be a part of the separation manoeuvre, and the Falcon 9 isn’t going to be stressed for aerobatics.

  116. 116.

    scav

    April 20, 2023 at 12:51 pm

    @Layer8Problem: I also reserve the right to mock egregious ad-speak whenever encountered.

  117. 117.

    ETtheLibrarian

    April 20, 2023 at 12:54 pm

    said with an eyeroll emoji……But wasn’t it supposed to be a success because it got off the ground?

  118. 118.

    BlueGuitarist

    April 20, 2023 at 12:54 pm

    @ArchTeryx:

    @Baud

    NYT, or maybe DougJ, conveying the idea of “successful failure”

    “SpaceX’s Starship rocket launched but fell short of its most ambitious goals when it exploded minutes into its flight”
    Should these be nominated as a rotating tag

    together

    “Rapid unscheduled disassembly”
    “fell short of its most ambitious goals”

    or separately?

  119. 119.

    trollhattan

    April 20, 2023 at 12:57 pm

    @BlueGuitarist:

    “Hair was mussed.”

  120. 120.

    Cameron

    April 20, 2023 at 1:00 pm

    So all those patriotic Texas radio stations started playing, “Oh, say can you see/by Elon’s early light,” and I thought I wasn’t hearing it right.

  121. 121.

    Burnspbesq

    April 20, 2023 at 1:02 pm

    @Bill Arnold:

    Well, the results were in line with analysts’ expectations, but most measures were off by double digits year-on-year. 19 percent gross margin is pretty bad for a car company. Teslarati is considered a fanboi site, so their chosen spin is unsurprising.

    And the much-ballyhooed rollout of the “magic dock” that allows non-Teslas to charge at Superchargers appears dead in the water, with no increase in the number of stations so equipped in the two months since the first 11 went online.

  122. 122.

    Kelly

    April 20, 2023 at 1:07 pm

    Night before last at 4:45 am my 86 year old Mom woke up, decided to check the time and weather on her cell phone. Weather app wasn’t working so she rebooted her phone. Accidentally dialed me. I reach for my phone, knock it to the floor. By the time I try to pick up my phone shows Mom called but she’s not answering. I ring back. Not available. That’s due to the reboot in progress but I don’t know that. Fortunately she lives next door. Put on my big rain coat and flip flops. Accidently dial my brother as I put my phone in my pocket. Explain to him that Mom called me and isn’t answering as I walk over in the cold, dark rain. All is well. I managed to get back to sleep. My brother, a retired construction worker is usually up at 5 anyway.

  123. 123.

    Roger Moore

    April 20, 2023 at 1:11 pm

    @Bill Arnold:

    It looks factual, but they’re being overly generous in a lot of ways.  The one that stands out to me is that they’re focusing on non-GAAP measures rather than GAAP.  They do mention the GAAP numbers, but given how flexible GAAP is, using non-standard accounting makes me nervous.

  124. 124.

    Roger Moore

    April 20, 2023 at 1:22 pm

    @Burnspbesq:

    Yeah, their sales grew, but the increased sales came from lowering prices and thus their profitability.  Their year-on-year profits were pretty flat, so their increased sales aren’t helping the bottom line.

    That’s not to say these are doom and gloom numbers.  Tesla has managed to boost itself to become routinely profitable and it’s now an established player in the automotive marketplace.  If it were priced like any other car manufacturer with its market position- a solid if not major producer with OK profit- that would be one thing.  But its share price seems to assume it will soon become a dominant manufacturer while being able to maintain its old profit margin.  The numbers don’t support that idea at all.

  125. 125.

    E.

    April 20, 2023 at 1:33 pm

    @Victor Matheson: But that’s an opinion of yours, not a fact, innit?

  126. 126.

    boatboy_srq

    April 20, 2023 at 1:33 pm

    @Tony G: reminder: the original Space Shuttle was a Raytheon product.

  127. 127.

    boatboy_srq

    April 20, 2023 at 1:35 pm

    @Maxim:  for want of a nail, the shoe was lost;… ?

  128. 128.

    Shana

    April 20, 2023 at 1:55 pm

    @Delk: I assume you mean that the lady is horrible, not the furniture? Because I think the Herman Miller furniture, on the whole, is pretty cool, Eames chairs, George Nelson designs from the 60s. Lots of cool stuff there.

  129. 129.

    Sebastian

    April 20, 2023 at 2:08 pm

    @Matt McIrvin:

    They also damaged the launchpad.

  130. 130.

    Sebastian

    April 20, 2023 at 2:10 pm

    @Shalimar:

    That’s the narrative that SpaceX pushes. Their reusable rockets are anything but, the cost for refurbished rockets is $60m ($80m for a new one). Elmo advertised $6m for refurbished launches.

  131. 131.

    Uncle Cosmo

    April 20, 2023 at 2:41 pm

    @Baud: Why wouldn’t they first do a test run with a smaller rocket? Or did they?

    Numerous tests with the second stage (vs the full stack with the first-stage) but mostly to work out landing it under power, so it never had to go above 30,000 feet or so and only used the three sea-level Raptor engines. IIRC the booster has only had one static fire of all 33 engines, for a few seconds while the rocket never left the pad.

    If the problem really was a newish passive method for stage separation, it might have been more prudent to test that with a full stack and a second-stage with just enough fuel to get a couple hundred miles downrange and land on one of the recovery ships. Put the other recovery ship a few miles downrange and after separation, have the booster blast back and (attempt to) land on it. That tests three critical operations with one launch. But hey, I’m not even a bottle-rocket scientist…

     

    @Shalimar: I want SpaceX to do well even though I loathe the twit who owns 45% of it.

    Musk took Robert Zubrin’s “Mars Direct” concept (with RZ’s blessing AFAICT) and threw his bazillions into making it so, including hiring a bunch of real rocket scientists to do the engineering. Seems like a reasonable and mostly non-destructive (RUDs excepted!) way to spend his cash on something that might just be worthwhile “For All Mankind.” ;^D

    Yeah, I think he’s a prick, but I’m rooting for SpaceX and Starship. Go back to the ultimate inspiration (Heinlein’s The Man Who Sold The Moon, 1950) and you’ll find that his ur-Muskrat, corporate megacapitalist Delos D. Harriman, was no more a rocket scientist (and about as big a prick**) as Lone Skum; he just had this idée fixe of flying to the Moon.

    ** As I recall it, for budgetary reasons the Moon rocket ends up being launched from somewhere in the Midwest where the discarded lower stages could come down on populated regions; Harriman’s response is to offer to pay off anyone who loses property (or, one imagines, life and/or limb) to the re-entering pieces – a 21st-century robber-baron solution if I ever saw one.

    This isn’t good.

    But it ain’t too bad. I’m old enough to remember when Sputnik went up (4 Oct 1957) and that December the embarrassed US rushed its orbital launcher onto a Florida launch pad for a December launch. The insufficiently tested, special-built** Vanguard rose three feet from the pad, keeled over, crashed and exploded. (The grapefruit-size satellite landed some distance away and was later tracked down by its “meep-meep-meep” radio signals. IIRC one national newspaper called it “Kaputnik.”)

    ** Von Braun at Redstone Arsenal said they were ready to put up a satellite early in 1957 with a Jupiter-C rocket (a Redstone short-range ballistic missile, essentially a V-2 on steroids, with solid-fuel upper stages) but the Eisenhower Administration shied away from using a military-derived vehicle for a non-miltary scientific project scheduled for the Internationl Geophysical Year of 1956-57, and opted for the civilian Vanguard project instead. After “Kaputnik” Wernher and The Boys In The Bund got their shot (so to speak) and launched Explorer I on the first try on 1 February 1958. (ETA: The Jupiter-C configuration was not designed for satellite launching but to put a payload on a high (~600-mi) trajectory and then down in the ocean ~3000 miles downrange, to test the ablative heat shielding for the new ICBMs.)

    One thing I noticed during the flight was that 3 of the booster engines in the outer ring of 20 weren’t burning. Were I SpaceX or Mr Skum, I would be a lot more concerned about that than about a cockamamie passive stage-separation protocol. (Although the non-burning engines did not fail catastrophically and destroy the stack as did engines in the Soviet N-1 tests.)

  132. 132.

    Eduardo

    April 20, 2023 at 2:51 pm

    @Elizabelle:

    Impressive, thank you for the link.

    Been following SpaceX for like a decade now, remembering now all the failed attempts to recover the first stage, and the unbelievable feeling when it succeeded the first time.

    Rooting for this great American company.  Not about Musk, indeed.

  133. 133.

    Sebastian

    April 20, 2023 at 3:03 pm

    @Eduardo:

    If you knew about the corporate culture at SpaceX and the people they hire in management (witnessed it firsthand) you’d be singing a different tune, my friend.

  134. 134.

    RobertDSC-iPhone 8

    April 20, 2023 at 3:07 pm

    Parts my company processed were part of that rocket. Kinda sad it went down the way it did.

    The last 3 companies I’ve worked at have had connections with SpaceX, so I’ve seen things here and there over the years. Still hate the owner’s guts, though.

  135. 135.

    Eduardo

    April 20, 2023 at 3:08 pm

    @Sebastian: You are probably right — sausages and all.  And it would be a great disappointment.

  136. 136.

    Another Scott

    April 20, 2023 at 3:25 pm

    @West of the Rockies:

    Space.com has a story with video.

    I heard a little NPR news blurb about it, with a crowd counting down the numbers to launch. It was very weird – almost cult-like.

    It looks like several things went wrong – some engines not starting, some going out; engines not shutting off when they were supposed to; severe loss of control in the last minute or so (look at the speed numbers in the video in the last minute).

    They’ve got lots of things to figure out before they stick people in that thing…

    But, it’s part of the process of figuring out new things.

    Cheers,
    Scott.

  137. 137.

    Timill

    April 20, 2023 at 3:59 pm

    @Another Scott: The flight of umpteen million miles starts with a single launch…

  138. 138.

    TriassicSands

    April 20, 2023 at 3:59 pm

    Despite blowing up, this “test” was a success. But I don’t believe a Saturn V rocket ever exploded and shouldn’t that be the model of what “success” is? I guess standards have slipped in the last half century.

  139. 139.

    No One You Know

    April 20, 2023 at 4:06 pm

    @bbleh: “‘rapid unscheduled disassembly’ is something that happens to me about every other afternoon.”

    Nominated for rotating tag!

  140. 140.

    WaterGirl

    April 20, 2023 at 4:20 pm

    @Kelly: Yikes.  Happy ending, though.

  141. 141.

    Another Scott

    April 20, 2023 at 4:29 pm

    @Uncle Cosmo: Vanguard was a US Navy program.

    65 years of Vanguard (it’s still up there).

    Cheers,
    Scott.

  142. 142.

    Steeplejack

    April 20, 2023 at 4:47 pm

    I haven’t seen something that big and expensive disintegrate over Texas since Ted Cruz ran for President.
    https://t.co/0htYOW54Pg

    — The Hoarse Whisperer (@TheRealHoarse) April 20, 2023

    Includes detailed video.

  143. 143.

    Odie Hugh Manatee

    April 20, 2023 at 4:56 pm

    The look on Elon’s mug when it blew up was priceless… OK, it cost a shitload but it was worth it to see him brought back to ground for a bit. I was rooting for 4:20 on the timer just for karma.

    My wife said that it’s sad that Elon couldn’r last more than four minutes…

  144. 144.

    Keith P.

    April 20, 2023 at 5:06 pm

    The launch was still largely a success – the booster launched and got several minutes of metrics along with a failure point (separation) to investigate.  Some of the engines didn’t fire, but I’m not sure if they were intended to or not, since at least some of the Falcon engines are optimized for vacuum (although I wouldn’t expect any of those to be on the booster).  Regardless, that’s 32 separate series of engine data, so lots of samples to figure out where breakdowns are most likely to occur.  Once the separation failed and it was going to keep spinning, it makes sense to push the big red button and blow it up (assuming that was a self-destruct).

    And these ships are getting cheaper to build as they just keep cranking more and more of them out, so that it didn’t blow up on the pad, Roman Roy-style, was a good day IMO.

  145. 145.

    KrackenJack

    April 20, 2023 at 7:57 pm

    @The Moar You Know: They have the actual rocket scientists, of course, but rotationally unlatching components that are moving through the atmosphere at 8000 km/s seems like a tough engineering problem. And costly to test.

    Maybe they should just go with press-fit to hold the stages together.

  146. 146.

    Sebastian

    April 20, 2023 at 8:31 pm

    @Eduardo:

    Like with all Musk ventures you have highly talented and passionate people who are being worked to the breaking point and the management (at least all I had to interact) are raging assholes.

  147. 147.

    Tehanu

    April 20, 2023 at 11:32 pm

    @Shalimar:  I want SpaceX to do well even though I loathe the twit who owns 45% of it. This isn’t good.

    Couldn’t agree more.  What a shame.

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