.@CDC has issued its long awaited-update on the pandemic risk posed by the #H5N1 #birdflu virus circulating in dairy cows. It's up a bit from the last H5 risk assessment CDC conducted, but is still in the lower half of the moderate risk range. https://t.co/rkz2nG7YHm
— Helen Branswell đ¨đŚ (@HelenBranswell) August 9, 2024
In May I wrote about researchers' plans to infect cows in high-security labs with avian influenza #H5N1 to better understand the infections and how easily the virus is transmitted. The results from two of these experiments are now out here in a preprint:https://t.co/xo7pMEncvI
— Kai Kupferschmidt (@kakape) August 10, 2024
BUT:
"The frequent interface between humans and affected animals (cattle, poultry or wild birds) provide opportunities for reassortment of the bovine B3.13 with human seasonal influenza viruses or other AIVs in circulation."— Kai Kupferschmidt (@kakape) August 10, 2024
Federal testing on more retail dairy products finds no live H5N1 virus
Testing of 167 samples from 27 states included different cheeses, including aged varieties made from raw milk, butter, ice cream, and milk.https://t.co/wafu4aUUk6 pic.twitter.com/OlvPFPQ7Hb
— CIDRAP (@CIDRAP) August 13, 2024
CDC: Covid is now 'endemic throughout the world'
"The categorization does acknowledge that the SARS-CoV2 virus that causes COVID will continue to circulate and cause illness indefinitely."
KUOW.prghttps://t.co/PkA0LA0f1a
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 10, 2024
Should You Get Another COVID Shot Now? The virus is spreading, but new vaccines coming this fall could offer better protection: We asked experts about the right time for a booster (NYT) https://t.co/jdcJk3YJVj
— Candice Rose (@CandiceRose) August 13, 2024
… The virus is circulating at high levels across the country. That might suggest itâs prime time for another dose of protection. But updated vaccines that target newer variants of the virus are expected to arrive this fall.
Experts said the right time for your next Covid shot will depend on your health status and what youâre hoping to get from the vaccines.
If youâre trying to get the most protection against the leading variants:
Doctors say that many people may want to wait for the updated vaccines, which have been retooled to better protect against the current dominant strains of the virus. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention has recommended that everyone ages 6 months or older receive an updated shot when they become available.An upcoming vaccine from the biotechnology company Novavax will target JN.1, a coronavirus variant that accounted for the bulk of cases in the United States this winter. The Pfizer and Moderna shots coming this fall will target KP.2, a newer offshoot of JN.1 thatâs been circulating this summer. The variants responsible for the largest share of cases in the United States right now, KP.3 and KP.3.1.1, are closely related to KP.2 and JN.1…
US: 'There could be a silver lining to a large summer [Covid] wave'
Ashish Jha: "A big summer wave tends to lead to a little bit of a smaller winter wave and vice versa."
đ¤https://t.co/pw5AL12xo4https://t.co/bxyi6TdgZD
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 10, 2024
US: COVID-19 Wastewater Data
Data up to August 9th 2024
CDChttps://t.co/TG7ksAzRje pic.twitter.com/TXxyhW6esq
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 11, 2024
US: More than half of states reporting 'very high' COVID-19 wastewater activity levels
At least 27 states are reporting "very high" levels, wastewater data shows.
ABC7 Los Angeleshttps://t.co/y4L2DdUPlW
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 13, 2024
US: Are schools ready to handle COVID-19?
"COVID test positivity and ER visits have been trending upward since the spring."
ABC Newshttps://t.co/lxlB2jeBbR
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 13, 2024
Last night's update: 168,243 new cases, 761 new deaths https://t.co/Hw2ztif2iS
— BNO News (@BNOFeed) August 12, 2024
So far this year, more than 4.4 million COVID cases have been reported in the U.S., causing at least 324,544 hospitalizations (partial data) and 35,092 deaths.
— BNO News (@BNOFeed) August 12, 2024
======
Summer COVID surge hits at least 84 countries and continues to climb https://t.co/ePf3jLmUsH
— Just Here For The News (@ktho641521) August 10, 2024
Unpaywalled reprint of an excellent Washington Post story:
A summer COVID-19 wave â and the accompanying fevers, coughs and general misery â continues to wash over the Americas and parts of Asia and Europe, including the Paris Olympics, offering the latest evidence that the coronavirus moves in ways distinct from other respiratory ailments.
The World Health Organization said this week that the virus is increasing in at least 84 countries despite perceptions that the pathogen is a remnant of the past. Disease trackers sounded alarms that diminished testing and low vaccination rates could provide fertile terrain for more dangerous viral variants to take hold…
The rise in global cases comes during pandemic fatigue and a decline in testing for the virus and reporting of cases.
As a result, health agencies confront significant challenges in monitoring and understanding the virusâ impact.
âI am concerned,â Van Kerkhove said. âWith such low [vaccine] coverage and with such large circulation, if we were to have a variant that would be more severe, then the susceptibility of the at-risk populations to develop severe disease is huge.â
Wastewater analysis offers one of the main methods for gaining insight into infection levels. Van Kerkhove said circulation rates are estimated to be two to 20 times higher than baseline levels established for comparison purposes at each testing station.
At the peak of the omicron variant in January 2022, the concentration of the coronavirus in wastewater samples peaked at 23 times higher than earlier levels, according to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Levels were just barely above baseline at most stations nationally in April and May, but they have risen in the past two months to seven times the baseline concentration â a considerable increase but far below the rate of the nationâs largest outbreaks.
With the increase, public health experts worry that more severe variants of the coronavirus could emerge heading into fall and winter, and with waning vaccination rates, people with a higher risk of severe infection could face more dangerous outcomes.
Elevated infection rates during summers months in the Northern Hemisphere deviate from the typical pattern of respiratory viruses, which usually thrive during the fall and winter. While current hospitalization rates are lower than peak levels during the pandemic, WHO is calling on governments to bolster vaccination initiatives for high-risk groups…
China: July sees rise in COVID-19 cases
"The COVID-19 infection surge in July is part of an upward trend, but overall, the number of cases remains lower compared to the peak in autumn and winter of last year,"
Global Timeshttps://t.co/cmYkTKZEeO
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 11, 2024
Hong Kong: 4,500 Covid cases last week
Seven outbreaks in care homes involving 60 patients.
"The situation is worrying."
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 10, 2024
South Korea: COVID wave could peak when students return to school
"Officials are taking necessary measures to minimize the damage as a new COVID variant, KP.3, spreads throughout the countryâs most major cities."
The Korea Timeshttps://t.co/hN3dOAYDQ0
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 13, 2024
Russia: 20% of those infected with JN.1 face 'severe post-covid complications'
Academician of the Russian Academy of Sciences also warns of gastrointestinal symptoms of Covid that resemble poisoning.https://t.co/bUZmiXnwev pic.twitter.com/RmPFj1WKhW
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 13, 2024
======
Thread:
How many lives did #Covid19 vaccines save? A new paper in Lancet Respiratory Medicines estimates that in Europe alone (34 countries/areas included here) about 1.6 million lives were saved by the vaccines til March 2023.https://t.co/QXJjwV5VkV
— Kai Kupferschmidt (@kakape) August 12, 2024
A new #LongCovid comprehensive review @NatureMedicine https://t.co/WT5oSq6kfQ
by @zalaly @ahandvanish @LisaAMcCorkell @leticiasaurus @swulfie @VirusesImmunity and me
This thread by Ziyad takes you through the essential pointshttps://t.co/hFbsn8j3bs pic.twitter.com/wpDQNNuxXT— Eric Topol (@EricTopol) August 9, 2024
About 400 million people worldwide have had long Covid, presenting a global economic cost of $1 trillion a year, a new report estimates. (Authors are @zalaly @EricTopol @VirusesImmunity @swulfie @ahandvanish @LisaAMcCorkell @leticiasaurus) https://t.co/b3LEBwOpca
— Pam Belluck (@PamBelluck) August 9, 2024
Nature: Around 400 million people globally have had Long Covid
Long Covid is estimated to have an annual economic impact of approximately $1 trillion – equivalent to about 1% of the global economy.https://t.co/0E17w4Fdjj
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 9, 2024
New studies estimate #long-COVID rates, identify risk factors
About 34% of infected postmenopausal women had symptoms for 8 weeks or more, while 61% of survivors in a second study had symptoms at 2 years.https://t.co/NcpVGY39T8 pic.twitter.com/qr1ncGX9LQ
— CIDRAP (@CIDRAP) August 12, 2024
Prioritizing the elderly for COVID boosters reduces overall deaths in range of socio-economic settings, study finds @plos https://t.co/dsLgV2KwGK
— Medical Xpress (@medical_xpress) August 9, 2024
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US: Covid wastewater readings in six states are already HIGHER than winter levels
Florida, Oregon, Washington State, Arkansas, Louisiana and Wyoming have all seen readings exceed those of last winter.
CDC https://t.co/FthGLhKRbb pic.twitter.com/Ek2Gvexmvp
— CoronaHeadsUp (@CoronaHeadsUp) August 9, 2024
COVID drops to 10th leading cause of death in US
Deaths from COVID dropped by 68.9% in one year.https://t.co/Co2CNq58L1 pic.twitter.com/vCMcoycHbr
— CIDRAP (@CIDRAP) August 8, 2024
p.a.
Fellow retiree and guy I worked with for years, now mid-70s, one of those people ALWAYS in great shape just from being active (& swimming), is down to 120lbs (he went 180-ish) & can’t do anything for more than 5 mins without resting. Drs finding nothing. The thinking is long covid.
oldster
Thanks for the great roundup, Anne Laurie.
I wish Novavax, Pfizer et al would roll out those updated formulations sooner! I really want to get a new booster before the school year starts, but if I do then I cannot get the new stuff for at least four months. So, I will wait.
TBone
I’m a bit frustrated that the article in Nature offers another “roadmap.” I need answers, and I’m pretty sure we already know how to get there. Gah. I’m suffering almost every day (a few good days sprinkled in here and there keep me sane and hopeful). I need to definitively know why I have fewer good days. Symptoms cycle more quickly, come and go every few days – WHY?
Matt McIrvin
The wastewater counts from Boston suggest that the summer wave has passed peak there, but the same is not true everywhere in the region and the decline is frustratingly slow. In any event, if it has passed peak, it never got nearly as high as last winter here. I’m generally masking on the bus and would like that new booster, though I suppose getting it too early means I’ve got less protection later in the winter.
TBone
@p.a.: I’m so sorry your friend has no answers. This is another reason why I’m so very frustrated – long Covid seems to be mirroring the way long Lyme patents have been handled by the medical establishment. Not good! If they don’t have methods for medical diagnosis, they need to start doing clinical diagnosis!
There are two primary types of diagnosis: clinical and medical. Clinical diagnosis relies on a patientâs medical history and physical examination. In contrast, medical diagnosis incorporates additional tests and imaging studies to confirm clinical findings.
Even with the lack of definive medical testing and treatment for long Covid, simply getting a proper diagnosis takes a huge weight off of the patient’s shoulders.
Lapassionara
Again, many thanks AL, for this wealth of information.
ItinerantPedant
COVID is endemic. Well, of COURSE it is. This was only gonna âendâ that way.
In the course of human history weâve eradicated one virus. ONE. Smallpox. Which is more lethal (more motive to not FAFO) and harder to transmit. COVID is way less lethal than even when it started and that wasnât lethal enough to stop the FAFO crowd. And is airborne.
Itâs why I always asked âdefine overâ when someone said, âWhen COVID is over.â  Many meant gone. Itâs clear many thought it could be wiped out. No. But we can now predict when waves happenâŚwhen houses and businesses transition to mostly treated, recirculated air. This IS what âoverâ looks like. I said, two years ago, âHow you act now is going to be the rest of your life, because this is it.â
R-Jud
Attended a family reunion in NJ last week and we all caught COVID. Very relieved to be testing negative just as I prepare to fly back to the UK today, and we’ve all had mild cases, but Christ, what a drag. Bought myself and The Child some N95s for our flights.
Betty
The WHO statement about Covid increasing in 84 countries is certainly a vast under count. Here in Dominica the government gave up on identifying or responding to Covid several years ago. The latest “flu” making the rounds is most likely Covid, but no one is calling it that.
Manyakitty
@R-Jud: ugh. No fun at all. Feel better soon!
Off topic, but I keep looking for your podcast on YouTube music but I can’t find it there. Should I just try to listen from your website?
TBone
@Betty: in my central PA location, we’ve done the same thing. đ
TBone
https://www.dailykos.com/stories/2024/8/14/2262466/-Cartoon-Give-and-let-die
R-Jud
@Manyakitty: Hi! Thanks so much for listening! I will need to look into why it’s not there; thank you for flagging that up. It is available on Spotify in the meantime, but listening from the site also works!
Tomorrow’s episode will be a day late, due to the ‘rona. Couldn’t quite finish the edit in time.
Manyakitty
@R-Jud: thanks so much! Also, too, you have a legit excuse. Take care of yourself!
narya
Attended an outdoor beer event this weekend–most places I was were (a) outside, or (b) well-ventilated, or (c) if indoors and not-(b), we were there early and some distance from others. We’ll see if that strategy worked . . .
Thanks for the roundup, AL–I’m eagerly awaiting the new vax formulation (I got my last booster in April, so any time now would be good).
A Man for All Seasonings (formerly Geeno)
I hate that I’m constantly reading that woman’s name as “Helen Brain-swell”.
— Old man worried about his faculties
Gretchen
Thanks so much for staying on top of this, AL! My worry is the kids. There is no effort to keep it from spreading through the schools over and over. I know one school where a parent owns an HVAC company, and he  put in new air cleaners, but most schools didnât bother. Special ed teachers are seeing more kids with delays.
Glidwrith
@TBone: COVID is a syncticial virus, meaning it fuses cells together to hide from the immune system. My best guess for long COVID sufferers is all those little pockets of uncleared virus are triggering the immune system, so when a pocket is targeted, you get symptoms.
I donât have any suggestions for treatment, beyond getting every updated booster possible and donât get COVID again.
VFX Lurker
Thank you for these important posts, Anne Laurie.
I tested positive for COVID-19 on Sunday. Because of your posts, I knew to seek Paxlovid immediately. I learned that I needed a prescription before I could get Paxlovid at a pharmacy. So, I scheduled a video visit, got a prescription, and then got Paxlovid. I started Paxlovid that night.
My husband tested negative on Sunday and positive on Monday. He has slightly reduced kidney function after a number of kidney stones in 2022, so the teledoc prescribed the “renal dose” of Paxlovid. He started this reduced dose of Paxlovid on Monday night. As per the doctor and pharmacist’s instructions, he is abstaining from taking his statins until he finishes his Paxlovid course.
With insurance, each video visit cost $25, and Paxlovid itself cost $0. We both felt much better after taking Paxlovid and taking time to rest.
We’re both up-to-date on our vaccinations — again, because of your posts. My parents also got the Spring boosters because of your posts.
Thank you for keeping us informed for the last 4.5 years.
Paul in KY
Am going up to VA on 09/10 to get my latest Rona shot. Have all of them but latest.
Winsomeone
Husband and I got our 1st, and hopefully last, Covid infection while across the country visiting family. Let our guard down for one hour with the grandkids and zap. Symptoms within two days, scrambled to get an Urgent care visit on a Sunday and started Paxlovid that night. The Paxlovid side- effect of tasting like we were sucking on pennies the entire five days was unpleasant, but worth it. And then the rebound four days later for another seven days. And lingering cough a month later. Trip ruined, expensive prolonged AirBnB stays, feeling unwell. Lesson learned.
Bill Arnold
@Betty:
The USA CDC (generally?) flu season starts week 40 (end of September)
Here are their stats through week 31 (it’s now week 33):
https://www.cdc.gov/flu/weekly/weeklyarchives2023-2024/data/whoAllregt_cl31.html
Very low rate, with a (then) sub 1% test-positivity rate.
As you say, summer “flu” is almost certainly something else, probably SARS-CoV-2 since the current variants are extremely infectious.
soapdish
Time to add Monkeypox to the mix?