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You are here: Home / Foreign Affairs / War for Ukraine Day 959: A Brief Wednesday Night Update

War for Ukraine Day 959: A Brief Wednesday Night Update

by Adam L Silverman|  October 9, 202410:36 pm| 11 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

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A social media post by Waffle House on their own social media page showing all the Waffle Houses in the greater Tampa Bay area as closed due to Hurricane Milton.

(Current Status)

A quick housekeeping update. We’re all good here at the hotel. Rosie, Ruby, and the Mominator are all doing fine. Tomorrow, we’re moving to a hotel in Tallahassee, which is about two hours closer to home.

I’m going to just run through the basics tonight.

Russia committed another war crime in Odesa today.

6 people have been killed and 8 injured in a russian attack on a port infrastructure facility in Odesa. A civilian container ship flying the Panamanian flag was struck.

Four of the injured are in critical condition. All the victims are Ukrainian citizens.

This marks the third…

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 9, 2024

6 people have been killed and 8 injured in a russian attack on a port infrastructure facility in Odesa. A civilian container ship flying the Panamanian flag was struck.

Four of the injured are in critical condition. All the victims are Ukrainian citizens.

This marks the third attack on a civilian vessel in just four days. russia resorts to open terrorism and not only against Ukraine.

These strikes, which are on non-Ukrainian ships, are being launched from parts of Russia that Ukraine currently is unable to strike because of the limitations being imposed by the President Biden and his natsec team. These Russian strikes are intended to shut down the shipping corridor, deter commercial carriers from making port anywhere in Ukraine, destroy Ukraine’s ability to export grain and other agricultural products, and starve Ukraine of necessary funding. It is also intended to cause a spike in global food prices and increase food insecurity in the global south. The former is intended to help Trump and the other politicians and parties that Putin supports. The latter is intended to exacerbate migration into Europe and the US so that Trump and the other politicians and parties that Putin support have additional support for the wedge issues they’re working.

Because of the President’s and his senior natsec appointees’ risk aversion, Putin has manipulated the Biden administration into protecting the air space over Russia while not protecting the air space over Ukraine.

The Russian hunting of Kherson citizens by drone, which is also a war crime, also continues unabated.

#Kherson region #DroneAttacks continue:

Today, Oct 9, by 17.46:

💔1 killed by drone
💔6 injured

A man bicycling
A man, 68
A woman, 58
A man, 21, on a bus
A man, 41, on his balcony
A man, 22#SaveKherson pic.twitter.com/aVd3iu4CPd

— Zarina Zabrisky 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@ZarinaZabrisky) October 9, 2024

President Zelenskyy’s addressed the South-East Europe Summit earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

Russia Must Accept That Europe Has Borders – Speech by the President at the Ukraine – South-East Europe Summit

9 October 2024 – 18:07

Thank you so much, Andrej!

Dear Prime Minister Plenković!

Dear colleagues!

Your Excellencies!

Dear journalists!

I’m glad to see you all and grateful for the work we’ve done together – Ukraine and your countries. This is our third meeting in this format, and I am thankful to all of you for your support for Ukraine, Ukrainian people. Thanks, Andrej for today, for our children. Thank you so much for your hospitality to our wounded soldiers recovering here, in your countries, and especially for your participation in the Peace Summit, as Andrej said, Peace Summit and immediate joining to the final Communiqué – all of you really try to end this war in a just way. It’s so important for us. And we do value the relationships between our nations, everything that strengthens us and makes the world more stable. Unfortunately, stability is becoming a rare resource. So every source of security for people, every source of true peace in international relations is precious.

No one in Europe has to be reminded how important stability is for the Balkans. Just as the situation in Eastern Europe, what happens in the Balkans defines whether Europe is suffering from war. That’s why Ukraine’s resistance to Russian invasion is a condition for your stability. If Russia had succeeded in subjugating our country and threatening all of Eastern Europe, there’s no doubt that the next region Moscow would use to destabilize Europe would be the Baltics or Balkans. So we share a common interest in ensuring that Russia lacks the power to continue its aggression or interfere in the lives of other nations.

Dear friends!

We must do everything to reduce Russia’s capacity to destabilize Europe and the world.

First, I’m grateful to every country that has already concluded bilateral security agreements with us, with Ukraine. There are 26 agreements as of now. Most of those represented at our Summit today are already part of this. And I invite all the others. It’s crucial that this security structure covers all of Europe. When countries are united by strong security ties, this fabric of peace becomes impossible to tear apart by external interference.

Second. Russia’s war against us, against our people, against Ukraine shows the world what modern warfare looks like. Every leader has to focus on ensuring their armies are technologically advanced. And we offer cooperation in this. And Ukraine is capable of producing more modern weaponry, and we need investments to make this happen. And this will help us now. But after this war, it will guarantee the strength of your own arsenals. Drone production, electronic warfare, equipment, and ammunition manufacturing in Ukraine – these are opportunities for your region to protect its peace as well. And I want to highlight ammunition production. Your region has potential here. Please invest in developing these industries in your countries, especially in components for ammunition.

Third. Even though there’s much political tension, we must ensure that our unity in Europe remains as stable as possible. If Europe isn’t united, if it’s not united today, it won’t be peaceful. So the integration processes that have begun must reach their results. The EU must unite the entire continent – all of Europe’s democratic nations, including all your countries and all this region and our Eastern Europe. And I thank everyone supporting Ukraine’s membership in the EU. This will certainly be achieved. And we must coordinate our efforts for faster, common success. I propose that we work even more closely with candidate countries at the team level to make our integration smoother.

Next. As part of the G7+ meeting in New York, recently we signed a declaration on Ukraine’s recovery. Over 30 countries have already supported it. And I invite all other partners to join as well. This will boost economic growth for all of us and strengthen our Ukrainian resilience.

And we’re not just talking about rebuilding of what was destroyed by Russia, by this war, but also about creating new energy, industrial, and social opportunities that will make Europe stronger, and global competition. This will play a role in our century just as the Marshall Plan did for Europe’s strength in the last century.

Fifth. Since July, we’ve been working on the points of the Peace Formula, and by November, a document – Peace Framework – will be ready that outlines the detailed conditions for a just end to the war. And we’re preparing the Second Peace Summit. And I thank all of you involved in this process.

And of course, the question remains – how do we force Russia to make peace? And how do we compel those responsible for the war to follow the Peace Formula?

Right now, Russia is avoiding honest diplomacy.

And that’s why we in Ukraine have developed an action plan that can bridge the gap between the current situation and a successful Peace Summit. For us, this is a Victory Plan. For each of your countries, it’s a plan for reliable stability. When the Plan is fully implemented, Russia will lose the ability to threaten us, to threaten Europe.

The Plan was presented to the United States – our largest security donor. Now we are sharing its points with all those who can help us achieve its goals. You can help with a key geopolitical goal.

The first point of the Plan focuses on whether the deficit of geopolitical certainty in Europe will be resolved. Does Ukraine have a place in NATO? If “yes,” and this is properly confirmed – Putin will lose geopolitically. Russia must accept that Europe has borders, independent nations, and each nation has the right to choose its future. The truth is that Russia’s acceptance of this reality can only begin with the understanding that Ukraine will never again be subjugated by Russia.

Your nations and people are just as interested in this outcome as we are. That’s why inviting Ukraine into NATO and future membership for Ukraine would be real steps toward peace. Without geopolitical certainty, peace is impossible. So, I thank all those who are truly resolute today.

In October, November, and December, we have a real chance to move things toward peace and lasting stability. The situation on the battlefield creates an opportunity to make this choice – a choice for decisive action to end the war no later than in 2025.

And we’re counting on President Biden’s leadership. We rely on the strong and wise steps of Britain, France, Germany, and Italy to bring security and peace to Europe. And we’re counting on each and every one of you – on all of you.

Together, we can achieve everything we need.

Thank you so much! Thank you, Andrej, again for the invitation!

Glory to Ukraine!

Estonia (the quoted tweet):

Timothy Snyder addressed this point in my recent interview with him (which I’ll be publishing tomorrow); he argues that Russia was “never going to use a nuclear weapon in Ukraine” and persuading the U.S. that they were was an incredibly successful act of psychological warfare. https://t.co/95R7YsjSGG

— Jimmy Rushton (@JimmySecUK) October 8, 2024

Both Chairman Mikhelson and Professor Snyder are correct.

More from Professor Snyder:

Prof @TimothyDSnyder at @BulwarkOnline. On America’s three big mistakes in this war.

1. Underestimating Ukraine.
2. Obsessing about how putin feels.
3. Being reactive & too slow.

Nothing that can’t be corrected though. Except, so many lives were lost.#StandWithUkraine pic.twitter.com/yPlmsmow7S

— olexander scherba🇺🇦 (@olex_scherba) October 9, 2024

France:

Thank you for your unwavering support!
Together, we are stronger. 🇺🇦🤝🇫🇷 https://t.co/hjj8LxNZBW

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 9, 2024

Here’s the machine translation of Macron’s tweet:

I made this commitment: our military is currently training 2,300 Ukrainian soldiers in Grand Est, with the equipment they will use during missions.

The Anna of Kyiv brigade will be trained and equipped thanks to the solidarity of France.

Germany:

Germany delivered IRIS-T SLM and two IRIS-T SLS launchers to Ukraine https://t.co/PWgaFVac0k pic.twitter.com/k7qhrD6NU2

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 9, 2024

I told Viktor Orbán that he is the useful idiot of Russia and China. He was not amused: pic.twitter.com/bGiJGoiQPI

— Moritz Körner (@moritzkoerner) October 9, 2024

More from the European Parliament, where Viktor Orban had a long day.

🇪🇺President @VonDerLeyen looks right at @PM_ViktorOrban as she discusses Ukraine. And she has uncharacteristically tough words.

“The world has witnessed the atrocities of Russia’s war. And yet, there are still some who blame this war not on the invader, but the invaded. Not on… pic.twitter.com/IMPNTvNKzl

— Dave Keating (@DaveKeating) October 9, 2024

🇪🇺President @VonDerLeyen looks right at @PM_ViktorOrban as she discusses Ukraine. And she has uncharacteristically tough words.

“The world has witnessed the atrocities of Russia’s war. And yet, there are still some who blame this war not on the invader, but the invaded. Not on Putin’s lust for power, but on Ukraine’s thirst for freedom. So I want to ask them [Orban], would they ever blame the Hungarians for the Soviet invasion of 1956?”

“We Europeans may have different histories and different languages. But there is no European language in which peace is synonymous with surrender and sovereignty is synonymous with occupation. The people of Ukraine are freedom fighters, just like the heroes that freed central and Eastern Europe from Soviet rule.”

“And there’s only one path to achieve a *just* peace for Ukraine and for Europe. We must continue to empower Ukraine’s resistance with political, financial and military support.”

Russian occupied Luhansk Oblast:

What is the difference between Peony flowers and russian Pion (Peony) howitzers?
russian artillery systems will definitely be destroyed in Ukraine.

📹: Luhansk OTG pic.twitter.com/iLSlbPNQuy

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 9, 2024

Kherson Oblast:

Ukrainian air defenders shot down a Shahed UAV in the Kherson region.

📹: South Air Command pic.twitter.com/QsAHDxrMOD

— Defense of Ukraine (@DefenceU) October 9, 2024

Kherson is a living NIGHTMARE

I just went to a city in Ukraine where the Russians have been killing civilians with POV drones constantly and it’s getting worse

What I saw was shocking. The locals told me the only thing protecting them is the leaves 🍃 on the trees and now, the… pic.twitter.com/v7H6ZGmJOt

— Caolan (@CaolanRob) October 8, 2024

Kherson is a living NIGHTMARE

I just went to a city in Ukraine where the Russians have been killing civilians with POV drones constantly and it’s getting worse

What I saw was shocking. The locals told me the only thing protecting them is the leaves 🍃 on the trees and now, the leaves are falling and there’s no protection and no plan

It’s an unprecedented evil I didn’t think humans were even possible of.

Everyone in that city looks up at the sky constantly because they are being hunted from above.

This is the future of warfare and it should terrify the world

Here’s my full documentary on Kherson

#Kherson #DroneAttacks

Serhiy, a volunteer from Kherson, survived. A Russian drone dropped a grenade on him, but he hid behind the tree. He was injured; had a 2-hour surgery.

“No cars left. They target bicyclists. And ambulances.”

Leaves are falling. Soon, the shelter’s gone. pic.twitter.com/DxjeRTbwN5

— Zarina Zabrisky 🇺🇸🇺🇦 (@ZarinaZabrisky) October 9, 2024

Kharkiv:

Explosion in Kharkiv ‼️ it’s the second air attack on our city today

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 9, 2024

Bryansk Oblast, Russia:

Guess they didn’t move everything that back. The 67th GRAU arsenal in Karachev, near Bryansk, is now feeling it with secondary explosions after a successful drone attack. pic.twitter.com/KvJBo2F6nn

— Maria Avdeeva (@maria_avdv) October 9, 2024

/2. Additional videos of the detonation of Russian ammunition in Karachev, Bryansk region. pic.twitter.com/MkwWCpSU0c

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 9, 2024

Krasnodar Oblast, Russia:

One more video of exploding drones storage in Krasnodar, russia. The best part is in the end https://t.co/feRmiWPzaa pic.twitter.com/ECZ7DBGYo2

— Kate from Kharkiv (@BohuslavskaKate) October 9, 2024

/2. Many Russian media outlets are now writing the narrative that this fire is not the result of any missile strike and that it is supposedly just an ordinary household fire.

However, local witnesses, and videos of detonations, have a different opinion. Witnesses say they heard… pic.twitter.com/qGqxEy0KnH

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 9, 2024

Here’s the full text of both tweets above:

/1. About half an hour ago, there was an attack on a Russian warehouse in Oktyabr’skii, Krasnodar region of Russia.

Official Ukrainian statement is that a storage with Shahed kamikaze drones was targeted by the Ukrainian NAVY (usually that means that Neptune missile was used for the attack). As claimed, 400 Shahed kamikaze drones were stored there.

(46.4869531, 38.2742935)

/2. Many Russian media outlets are now writing the narrative that this fire is not the result of any missile strike and that it is supposedly just an ordinary household fire.

However, local witnesses, and videos of detonations, have a different opinion. Witnesses say they heard missile whistle.

/4. Another video by the locals of the Krasnodar region of the detonating Russian storage with allegedly Shahed kamikaze drones pic.twitter.com/BCZJW0QCjQ

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 9, 2024

/3. Official Ukrainian statement regarding the strike on Russian Shahed storage in Krasnodar region:

The Defense Forces of Ukraine successfully hit the Shahed UAV storage base

Today, the strike group of the forces and the Naval Forces of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, in cooperation with units of the Security Service of Ukraine, attacked the Shahed UAV storage base near Oktyabrsky settlement in the Krasnodar region of the Russian Federation.

According to available information, about 400 attack drones were stored there. According to the results of objective control, an accurate hit on the target was recorded. A secondary detonation was observed on the territory of the object.

The destruction of the Shahed UAV storage base will significantly reduce the ability of the Russian occupiers to terrorize peaceful residents of Ukrainian towns and villages.

Combat work on the military objectives of the invaders continues.

Glory to Ukraine!

https://t.me/GeneralStaffZSU/17847

/6. Location of the targeted Russian warehouses with Shahed kamikaze drones. 165km from the frontline pic.twitter.com/1xIMxUmMXZ

— Special Kherson Cat 🐈🇺🇦 (@bayraktar_1love) October 9, 2024

That’s enough for tonight.

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Reader Interactions

11Comments

  1. 1.

    Jay

    October 9, 2024 at 11:23 pm

    Thank you, Adam.

  2. 2.

    Jay

    October 9, 2024 at 11:23 pm

    WP acting up

  3. 3.

    HumboldtBlue

    October 9, 2024 at 11:23 pm

    Good to hear youse are OK, Adam.

  4. 4.

    J. Arthur Crank

    October 9, 2024 at 11:32 pm

    I’m glad you are relatively safe.   Being cooped up in a motel room probably isn’t fun, but I imagine it is far better than the alternative right now.

  5. 5.

    KatKapCC

    October 9, 2024 at 11:37 pm

    persuading the U.S. that they were was an incredibly successful act of psychological warfare

    Distressing that our president and his security team are this gullible and dumb. At least on this issue.

  6. 6.

    Jay

    October 10, 2024 at 12:00 am

    @KatKapCC:

    It’s not just the US, and keep in mind segments of every Western Government has been corrupted and compromised by dirty ruZZian money for decades.

    Look at Hungary, Slovakia, etc.

  7. 7.

    KatKapCC

    October 10, 2024 at 12:21 am

    @Jay: Sure, but the US has been the key blockade here regarding long-range strikes and other things. Let’s not pretend the Biden admin is some minnow in this conversation.

  8. 8.

    AlaskaReader

    October 10, 2024 at 12:38 am

    Thanks Adam

  9. 9.

    Jay

    October 10, 2024 at 12:53 am

    @KatKapCC:

    It’s the US and Germany.

    When European NATO members lead, the US eventually followed, tanks, arty, AD, aircraft,………..

  10. 10.

    Jay

    October 10, 2024 at 1:14 am

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jQQCq1ijRjc

    Russia’s Eternal Shame

    History of Everything

    Trigger Warning.

  11. 11.

    YY_Sima Qian

    October 10, 2024 at 2:16 am

    Good to hear you are doing OK Adam!

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