Harris has run a great, almost flawless campaign.
Walz was a great pick, and win or lose, I can’t see that any of the alternatives would have been better.
She took over the Biden campaign apparatus with very little apparent agida. They’re the A-team and it shows.
Her campaign has quickly seized on Trump’s mis-steps, the garbage comments being the most recent example.
Her social media people are really good, and their impact on the vote via TikTok, Instagram and other outlets that most of us over the age of 40 don’t use is something that will have to be studied by other campaigns.
She was able to campaign with Liz Cheney as well as AOC, and make the most of both of them.
Finally, and most importantly, Kamala, Tim, Doug and Gwen all seemed to be having the times of their lives doing it.
Baud
100%
Mowgli
LFgooooo!!!
I want so much to move past the last decade of Trumpfuckery.
Ceci n est pas mon nym
Was going to link to a New Yorker “Realistic Election Day Schedule” humor article, but I find it hits a little too close to home to laugh right now. Working on an entertainment schedule that may or may not be enough to distract us till the first returns, particularly in our state (PA), come in.
It’s a good thing that PA has already been counting the mail-in ballots since 7 am this morning so a lot of those will be reflected in the totals. Also that most counties in the US will be reporting how many absentee ballots are yet to be counted. I think that’s going to help alleviate a lot of the uncertainty and anxiety.
dmsilev
Yep.
If, God forbid, she loses, it’s not because she didn’t run a good campaign or was a good candidate, it’s because a critical mass of the electorate took a long look at Donald Trump and said “yes, please”.
The signs and portents from the last couple of weeks are promising, so hopefully that horror will not come to pass.
Fake Irishman
My nym is Fake Irishman and I approve this message.
EarthWindFire
I keep thinking we’re going to surprised tonight in a good way, just because this campaign has been so amazing. Keep hope alive!
lee
Her social media people are the best any politician has ever put together.
lollipopguild
In basketball you are asked to “leave it all on the court’ give it everything that you’ve got. MVP and her team have done this to the nth degree.
Ceci n est pas mon nym
It’s hard to imagine how the Harris-Walz campaign could have been any better, or how The Former Guy’s “campaign” could have been any worse. These are the best odds we could possibly have hoped for.
@Fake Irishman: This is not my nym and I approve this message too.
Splitting Image
There will be cause for drinking either way.
FelonyGovt
100%. If she loses it’s because too many of our countrymen (and women) are awful people. But I’m still “nauseously hopeful” as the saying goes.
John S.
Looking forward to a Conan-style victory where we crush our enemies, see them driven before us, and hear the lamentations of their men.
JeffH
Ab-so-friggin-lutely. I thought Obama’s 2008 campaign was the best I’d ever see. I was wrong.
White & Gold Purgatorian
Gawd I love Nancy Pelosi. She just predicted Hakeem Jeffries is gonna be Speaker of the House next term. Says we will have the votes, which she can count better than maybe anyone living.
My family went to vote at our polling place this morning. I’ve never seen it so packed. That is not necessarily a good thing as it is historically pretty red, but there are also lots of new homes here in the last 4 years, so who knows. Only saw one MAGA hat and one t shirt on voters there, so definitely not the same Trump vibe as the 2016 election. Anyway, my 96 year old mother got to vote for a woman for president – again! – and hopefully we will finally get the job done this time.
rattlemullet
Well, I would say when you have good hearts and you speak honestly, truthfully, it is very easy to be having the time of your lives. They know they are privileged and honored to be in this place at this time in American history and they are making the most of it by expressing and showing kindness.
Baud
@John S.:
I see what you did there.
Leto
@Ceci n est pas mon nym: I’m happy that the state started counting at 7am. Should hopefully get our totals in quicker, and get this resolved faster.
Barbara
@Mowgli: I can’t endorse this enough times. I don’t know who I loathe more — the people who wish they could be like him or the people who know what he is and think he can be of use to them even though they loathe him. And the only thing these two groups seem to have in common is a shared hatred for people like me.
lee
My election prognostication:
Harris gets 270 EC east of the Mississippi (when everything is all said and done)
House Dem majority
Senate: Tie because the Independent running in Nebraska wins and caucuses with the Rethugs.
Texas: Cruz Loses
Also Texas: Enough Democrats get elected to the state house that it stops vouchers.
Leto
@Ceci n est pas mon nym: I can think of plenty of ways which traitor tots campaign could’ve been worse. I think we saw part of that with his Bund 2.0 rally, and if this had gone on longer, could’ve totally devolved to that. So much of this abhorrent behavior has been normalized and that both pisses me to no end.
Barbara
@Leto: I am pretty sure that last time the Republican dominated legislature prohibited the counting of any mail in ballots until well after Election Day itself. They did it intentionally to sow doubt in the results.
bbleh
Along with all the strategic and tactical brilliance — keeping the media at arm’s length, overwhelming the Reps’ ground game, their social media presence — the EMOTIONAL VIBE of the campaign has been pitch-perfect. What could be not just a better contrast but an ACTIVE, AFFIRMATIVE counter to Trumpism and Trump himself than a JOYFUL woman fighter (also btw a prosecutor, felon, ahem). It’s not just a clear alternative; it’s an ANTIDOTE.
Seanly
Wife & I voted early Friday week ago & there were a handful of folks there. Office was mostly empty this AM & heard that lots of folks were waiting in line to vote. Lines to vote in Idaho (state is deep red but Boise area is purple)
Go Harris/Walz!
eclare
@White & Gold Purgatorian:
That is great news from Nancy. I remember that she was on Colbert a few weeks before the 2018 midterms, and she confidently predicted that we would take the House.
If she says we will again this year, I believe her.
Fair Economist
I’m so impressed with this campaign. And of course especially with Harris. Just an amazing job.
Baud
@bbleh:
No NYT interview!!! So happy!
mvr
@lee: I don’t know, weren’t Madison’s at the top of their game?
oldgold
This seems to be hopeful news.
“Voter turnout is extremely high,” said Philadelphia Democratic Party Chairman Robert Brady, the former congressman. “I’ve been doing elections for 50 years chair and I’ve been chairman for 40 years and right now it’s the highest we’ve ever seen for this point in time. A high turnout is great for us.”
eclare
I just voted, no lines. Since I’m in TN it won’t matter for the EC, but let’s add all we can to the popular vote to let TCFG know how much we fucking loathe him.
frosty
@Leto: Other states open the ballots and prep them before Election Day so all they have to do is feed them through the scanner. PA is among the slowest. It’s the reason I voted in person today to try to minimize the E-Day Red Mirage.
We’ll see how it works.
comrade scotts agenda of rage
President: Kamala Harris 338 electoral votes to 200
Senate: 52 Democrats maintain the majority
House: Democrats go from 212 to 232, GOP goes from to 220 to 203
Baud
Illinois, but hopefully it’s a widespread attitude.
OId Man Shadow
But just think of how we missed out on the quick primary judged by Oprah and Zendaya.
RobertB
@lee: I thought the NE independent was an independent because they didn’t want to get Democrat cooties on them, because Nebraska, but would caucus with the Democrats.
RobertB
@OId Man Shadow: Don’t forget MrBeast!
JML
My final map prediction: https://www.270towin.com/maps/60kJ4
Just a gut feeling. Slim majority for the Dems in the House, and the big shocker is increasing their majority in the Senate when Tester holds on and Nebraska sends Fischer packing for Osborn, who sneaks across the line because of low information voters who think he was the Nebraska football coach.
nauseously optimistic.
caphilldcne
I’m getting sunburnt out here in PA manning a Democratic booth at a polling site. Hoping for the best!
Splitting Image
@comrade scotts agenda of rage:
I think this is as good a guess as any. I’ve seen people predicting a 270-268 vote with Nebraska’s Omaha district being the deciding vote. It could happen, but it involves Harris losing states that I’m very confident she will win. I think that a 400+ victory with Florida and Texas flipping over is equally likely, if not very likely overall.
I think the Senate is where the real speculation is going. There is less polling to be had, a number of toss-ups that could go either way, and a number of tossers that people are eager to see gone.
I’m hopeful for a trifecta.
And for Thomas, Roberts, and Alito to stroke out at the shock. Another trifecta.
hueyplong
@White & Gold Purgatorian: It’s probably just force of habit, but for me Nancy Pelosi saying “we got this” is about as comforting as it comes.
RaflW
@bbleh: “all the strategic and tactical brilliance — keeping the media at arm’s length…”
I hope Democrats will study and emulate the Harris-Walz strategy. They didn’t avoid the press, but they told the self-important ‘gatekeepers’ that they have done a shitty job and didn’t earn her/their attention.
Good.
Baud
@White & Gold Purgatorian:
@hueyplong:
Especially comforting because, in the event, the worst happens tonight with the EC, we’ll at least have that veto point and some accountability.
Geminid
@RobertB: Dan Osborne keeps saying he won’t caucus with either party. Whether he’ll keep that promise if elected remains to be seen.
But if Osborne ends up picking a side I think he’ll go with the Dems. He and Angus King could form their own little moderate-Independent posse, maybe make John Fetterman an honorary member.
RaflW
Also once again have to thank & congratulate the Harris team for just blasting off when needed. Putting all the pundits who wanted a contested convention — or whatever other fanboi bullshit they imagined — in a tight little box and patting them on the head, there there kiddos, the adults are running this. Bravo.
AxelFoley
@JeffH: Nah, I still got Obama’s 2008 campaign as the GOAT. Harris 2024 is second.
mvr
Sitting in the Omaha Democratic office in case anyone needs a ride to the polls and making phone calls to Democrats while I wait as I write this. I hope it isn’t needed, but better safe than sorry.
ArchTeryx
Like folks have been saying, if we lose, please don’t go and slag all over MVP. She ran a perfect campaign. If the voters, or at least enough of them in the right states, choose to vote for fascist dictatorship, there’s nothing anyone could have done to stop it. Hopefully, we won’t just throw away MVP and have her back for a rematch with Vance in 2028. Trump will be long gone by then.
RaflW
@Geminid: Is there a mechanism whereby the Senate has two Minority leaders? Kidding, but one could just about see a 49-49-2 Senate happening.
jackmac
I want to see four (or even eight) years with the delightful Kamala, Tim, Doug and Gwen.
Come on remaining voters. Make it so.
narya
Shoutout to Nephew the Younger, who bugged my brother and SIL to vote. Neither would have voted for TCFG, but bro apparently sat out 2016. They’re in PA, so yay. Nephew the Elder is voting for TCFG but is in Utah, so I care less about that. Except he’s out of my will!
ArchTeryx
@RaflW: No, but there can be power-sharing arrangements between the two parties, especially in the committees. And, IIRC, both parties have a portion of the floor schedule to set in that case, so nobody can completely freeze out everything from the other party. Frankly, as it should be.
Spanky
I see the stock markets are reacting to the apocalyptic election by (checks ticker) rising a percent or so.
zhena gogolia
@rattlemullet: Well put.
TooManyJens
@RobertB: He’s said he won’t caucus with anybody. I don’t know if that will end up changing but I doubt he’ll caucus with Republicans. If he just wanted to be a Republican Senator, there were easier ways.
frosty
@AxelFoley: I’m with you. I worked both elections. Although 2024 is excellent, I haven’t seen GOTV as organized as 2008 in any other campaign. I showed up at our local HQ on Election Day and they told me sorry, all our walk lists have been done. Go to York and see what they need.
zhena gogolia
@Baud: Yay!!!
Sure Lurkalot
@Leto:
Our legacy media needs to be delegitimized. My NYT subscribing sis asked me how anyone could listen to both Harris and Trump speak and choose the latter and I replied (with some exasperation as we’ve talked about this before) that the more and more fascist and extreme he became, the more the national media treated him like a bog standard politician lest they (horrors!) put their fingers on the scale by telling the truth.
zhena gogolia
@OId Man Shadow: 😂
hueyplong
@TooManyJens: If his caucusing choice matters, the pressure will be unbelievably intense (as will be his power).
zhena gogolia
@RaflW: The best interviews I saw were on The View and Stephen Colbert.
Other MJS
@Leto: “Traitor tots” is a keeper. And BTW
ArchTeryx
@Leto: That’s the part that really frightens me – and pisses me off. He opened a Pandora’s Box that was slammed shut after Jim Crow was finally broken. It was never locked – stuff always was leaking out – but it was still shut. Now it’s wide open and Jim Crow’s making a bid for national control.
dm
Hoping Jimmy Carter gets to see his choice ratified by the nation tonight.
scav
@TooManyJens: Won’t caucus with anybody? Might sound good on the election trail. “I’m something different! Maximum bipartisanshipism!” Not exactly as useful on the hill or in the halls if you’re trying to get anything done. (beyond being personally elected, of course.)
mvr
@TooManyJens: FWIW, insofar as he’s using Act Blue to fundraise it would be a betrayal to caucus with the Republicans. His positions are a mix of D and R positions. I gave him some of my money, but I’m not as gung ho as some folks on here are. Some local Dems were pissed when he took the I’m an independent stance. I still think he’s better than the alternative, and the bad positions he holds are unlikely to change things – for example term limits are unconstitutional at the federal level. Maybe we’ll find out what he would do and that would be cool.
jonas
Dems are lucky to have such a deep bench of both talent and commitment. Our people are smart and patriotic and determined as fuck. We’re gonna be ok.
Sure Lurkalot
@narya:
Elections do have consequences!
ArchTeryx
@scav: Eh, it’s campaign-trail bullshit, saying what he has to prevent the fascists – which have a very large majority in Nebraska – from turning out en masse against him. That way, he loses, and we get another bog standard fascist vote in the Senate.
But if he is elected, he’ll have to caucus with someone if he wants any committee assignments whatsoever, and committees are where it is really at in the Senate. Otherwise he sits in a chair alone, and that’ll do him nor Nebraska any good.
cmorenc
@FelonyGovt:
Especially the Evangelicals, who are willfully blind their making the bargain with the Devil in agreeing to support Trump to get policy goals they dearly want. The Devil tempts you by offering things you dearly desire and think worth having, but you have to give up your soul in return. The message of Luke 4.1-13 (Temptation of Christ in the desert by the devil) seems lost on these folks who are themselves so fond of selectively quoting scripture to ignore the actual message of Jesus, thinking that kissing his robes is the most important part of the New Testament, rather than parts like the Sermon on the Mount.
KatKapCC
@Baud: After she’s declared the winner (knock wood!!!!) she should tell the NYT they’ll get the first interview, and then show up in the room, tell them “LOL go fuck yourselves”, slip on some aviators, and strut away.
lee
@RobertB: That’s what he currently claims. But if he wins I expect him to change his mind with ‘Kamala’s too liberal and she must be stopped’ or some nonsense.
lee
@mvr: Did Cawthorn have a social media team or did he just Xit that toxic sludge on his own?
mvr
@lee: I was actually referencing James Madison, but that interpretation of the comment is funny as well!
hueyplong
@mvr: James Madison Cawthorn sounds a lot like a Jeopardy answer/question.
lee
@cmorenc: I’ve got some relatives that are Evangelicals. About a 7-10 days ago they stopped posting about supporting Trump and just start posting random Bible quotes. I’m curious if there is a going to be a significant number of Evangelicals that just sit out the election.
Aziz, light!
Vance has all the appeal of a colonoscopy. He won’t be their nominee.
hueyplong
@Aziz, light!: The “establishment” Republicans probably hate him and the Trumpers will remember only that he failed in the Renfield role.
Taken4Granite
Reporting from the field in New Hampshire.
Expect delays in races being called because there appears to be a systematic effort by Republicans to delay counting of absentee ballots until after the polls are closed. That is the case in my town, and I have every reason to think they are trying this in other blue towns. Ordinarily, absentee ballots would be counted during the day, but all it takes is a petition by any ten residents to delay the counting in a particular town.
Turnout in my town appears to be at record levels, with large numbers taking advantage of same-day voter registration. I’m taking this as a good sign.
rikyrah
She was tasked with saving democracy in America in 100 days.
She gave it her all. She did the very best she could.
She has nothing to be ashamed of in the least.
Lawrence Niemeyer
@Geminid: If Osborne doesn’t caucus with a party he doesn’t get committee assignments. I suspect he will likely choose the Dems if we can get to 49 without him.
geg6
@rikyrah:
Yep. So impressive!
Citizen Alan
How would that even work? Is there any mechanism for getting committee assignments except through party membership? How does he expect to get anyone to vote for whatever bills he chooses to sponsor?
Chief Oshkosh
@Splitting Image:
Here’s my prediction for those three:
Thomas and his Harridan Wife accidentally back their mega-RV into a sinkhole in the parking lot of a mega-church in Dallas and get trapped inside. They eventually die there because the congregants who discover them pray to the lord baby Jesus that he strike them down because miscegenation is a deadly sin. Dallas police arrive after the fact and agree with the congregants.
Roberts catches a rare flesh-eating disease from fingering too many dark $100 bills on their way to being laundered. He dies screaming “I’m rich! Rich! Filthy rich!”
Alito finally succumbs to asphyxiation resulting from having his head so far up his ass. His Harridan Wife dies when, in a rush to raise a flag of distress to get the EMTs to come help her husband (calling 911 is for “the little people”), she gets tangled up in the flagpole line, bizarrely hanging herself upside-down. The flag looked good, though.
White & Gold Purgatorian
@hueyplong: Ditto. I felt better as soon as I heard her.
Citizen Alan
Back when Fred Clark was posting more prolifically about the Left Behind series, I remember being astonished at his explanation of how Evangelicals like Tim LaHaye viewed the Beatitudes. Basically, they think it has nothing to do with the real world we live in. Rather, Jesus was describing what it will be like for Christians in Heaven after the Second Coming. IOW, “Blessed are the Peacemakers” is not a call for Christians to work towards peace in this world but rather a promise of Peace in the next world. Consequently, anyone who actually does work for peace in this world is either a liar who is a knowing tool of the Antichrist or a fool who is an unwitting tool of the Antichrist.
Which is how the Antichrist turned out to be the Secretary General of the United Nations.
H.E.Wolf
Worse than that: none of your baked goods until he sees the light someday! :)
Villago Delenda Est
Tim has been sampling fried foods all over the midwest, and even in Arizona, Nevada, and North Carolina, and cannot possibly be happier.
Villago Delenda Est
I’m hearing this in Daffy Duck’s voice.
Mike S. (Now with a Democratic Congressperson!)
@RobertB: I watched Osborn’s interview with Brian Tyler Cohen and Osborn didn’t answer the question about who he would caucus with or who he would vote for for Majority leader. I think he’s hoping he can just vote present because the Dems will hav a majority without him and he will be able to keep his independent cred, but I got the feeling if he ends up being the deciding vote between a D or R majority leader, he’ll support the Dem.
I hope he doesn’t need to vote, because I think he’ll vote the right way on most issures. He’s a big union guy, it’s why he got into politics/
Ruckus
@dmsilev:
His shows from the last couple weeks have been quite a bit less turnout and people walking out during. I’d bet that many on the right would never admit it but they are seeing why I gave him the moniker of shitforbrains long ago. There are a lot of conservative men who will likely never vote democrat in their lives. Most of them seem to be physical working class who seemingly wish they had something else going on other than working their pure labor (no real thought required) jobs with a future of working the same job until that job is taken over by a machine/computer or runs out of any need whatsoever. Sure there are conservatives that went to college and do more serious jobs but as the concept of conservatism gets closer and closer to shitforbrains level, especially as he is rapidly aging out and proving it publicly even his hard core supporters will see their way past him. shitforbrains gets points on the conservative side because he supposedly has MONEY and bullshit. But as he ages out and people find out how much more that means than his actual money, just like his political “strengths,” even more of them will walk away from him. They want a strong person who shows them strength and just money isn’t that. They very likely will never join this side of the aisle, but as long as they have no one to vote for on their side……
Gloria DryGarden
@Citizen Alan: that’s weird! I did not know..
asjust your Bible to suit your lifestyle.
RaflW
OK. Some good news for a change!
I’d been quite worried about this. I was not in the mood for GOP shenanigans in the MN legislature this biennium of all bienniums. Still holding hope that we will soon have our first native and first woman governor here.