Holy cow, 5 hours since the last post.
Just caught up on that post, wondering what else I missed today since I am still playing musical chairs at home.
Open thread!
by WaterGirl| 75 Comments
This post is in: Open Threads
Holy cow, 5 hours since the last post.
Just caught up on that post, wondering what else I missed today since I am still playing musical chairs at home.
Open thread!
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schrodingers_cat
Finished another longtime WIP in Johanna Basford’s Enchanted Forest
I used a stencil, Colored pencils, watersoluble crayons and fineliner pens on this one.
Eolirin
@schrodingers_cat: That’s really nice. I like your use of color.
schrodingers_cat
@Eolirin: Thanks.
David Collier-Brown
First 32 ridings in the Canadian Federal Election have closed: Liberals (~ Leftist Democrats) 22, Conservatives (~ Tea party) 10, Other, 0.
Real-time results are at https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal/2025-federal-election-results/article_6ba67981-eff4-4bde-98f9-26c94fa46a36.html
Jackie
Torture chambers next?
Fair Economist
@schrodingers_cat: Pretty!
Jay
@David Collier-Brown:
Polls have closed. Counts are not final. CTV has Liberals leading in 23, Con’s in 9.
Jackie
@David Collier-Brown: Will we know who won tonight?
hitchhiker
Just want to say thanks for everything, water girl. We’ve had such a bloody row to hoe, and it’s good to know this space is being kept.
Especially glad for Betty’s Canada thread earlier — so refreshing to hear Canadian jackals discuss their politics. They must get mighty sick of us.
Eolirin
@Jay: I know very little about Canadian politics, how many ridings are there total?
Eolirin
God, I’m just noticing I’m dissociating pretty hard. Oof.
Fair Economist
@David Collier-Brown: Unfortunately it’s not looking good. Conservatives are running ahead of 2021.
VFX Lurker
Lovely work.
Jay
@Jay:
It’s now 33, Liberals 21, Cons 11, BQ 1.
These are not Riding results, just leads in the count.
Jay
@Eolirin:
343.
Eolirin
@Jay: Long way to go then. Thanks.
Jay
@Fair Economist:
These are Riding counts of the votes being tallied. Early voting always swings Cons. Not a single riding yet has declared a winner, they are just reporting the votes as they are counted.
Citizen Dave
@Jackie: I remember reading once about Canada’s use of paper ballots, yet the results are known the night of…
Here’s a real source, the Toronto Star: Special ballots are “counted in waves,” or entered into the aggregation and reporting system in batches on election night and in the days following if necessary.
Also:
Once your vote is cast, how is it counted?
Canada still uses paper ballots and all ballots are counted by two election workers in front of witnesses, usually the candidates or their representatives, according to information provided by Elections Canada.
https://www.thestar.com/politics/federal-elections/canada-election-2025-once-your-vote-is-cast-how-is-it-counted/article_8c7eb2e4-cb0c-4066-9599-92537a34fca8.htm
I’m sure others know much more than me–I’m just a lowly googleholic.
RevRick
Just listened to some video clips of a speech by Gov. J. B. Pritzker that were linked by Heather Digby on her website. They were part of a post crying out “It’s Time to Stop the Circular Firing Squad.”
Smart Democrats, she suggests, would go to the Port of Los Angeles, point to all the empty containers and say, “Trump did this!”
New Deal democrat
Just read the summary of the EU’s counter proposal to Russia for a ceasefire and negotiations to end the Ukraine war.
The only thing I would change is “The guarantor states will be European and willing non-European countries. No restrictions on the presence, weapons, and operations of friendly foreign forces on the territory of Ukraine.”
I would let Russia know those guarantor troops are being sent to Ukraine by a specific date, whether Russia agrees to the peace terms or not.
frosty
Because a commenter in the last thread liked the photo WG used today, here’s the backstory.
I wish it was mine, but no. The photo is on the way back from Channel Islands National Park when the ferry pilot moved so we could see a pair of bald eagles. This is the point when one eagle snatched a gull out of the water then took it to the nearby cliff for dinner. I watched it through binoculars. My friend next to me watched it through his camera. This was the best of a couple hundred shots.
WaterGirl
@Eolirin: Can you say more?
Fair Economist
@Jay: The CBC has called a flip to CON in a district that was very tight in 2021. Not official, I know. https://newsinteractives.cbc.ca/elections/federal/2025/results/
Eolirin
@New Deal democrat: If the EU were willing to commit troops, I think this would be over already.
WaterGirl
@David Collier-Brown: Is there a good Cliff Notes version of how this works in Canada? Actually, a Cliff Notes version of the Cliff Notes would be good. :-)
edit: maybe the kindergarten-level explanation of the Cliff Notes of the Cliff Notes…
Jay
@New Deal democrat:
ruZZia just want’s a temp ceasefire so that long range Ukrainian drones don’t rain on Pootie Poot’s parade.
Fair Economist
@Eolirin:
Indeed. IMO if any substantial EU country (or the UK) sent troops Putin would immediately call for a ceasefire.
Eolirin
@WaterGirl: Oh this happens a lot nowadays. Things don’t currently feel “real” and my connection to my body is really floaty. I do a lot of meditation/qigong type stuff, so when I’m not like this I have a really concrete sense of my body. Memory and attention are also impacted.
It’s just stress and high baseline anxiety. I’ll be okay. Just snuck up on me.
ETA: As an analogy I’m sure most people have the experience of driving somewhere and getting there and realizing they didn’t quite process the trip, so they don’t really remember the drive? It’s kinda like that but for everything.
WaterGirl
@frosty: I didn’t mean to lie! :-) I just thought the photo was gorgeous when it came in with your OTR post, and I don’t read the posts as they come in so I can enjoy them when they go up. ;-)
Do I need to change the credit?
“Image by frosty’s friend Bob, but frosty was there”
Martin
@Citizen Dave: Canada has a very nice system because the counts are done locally, and at a time when nobody knows the larger picture, so nobody knows where votes would be needed to swing a race, or how many votes. That’s why Florida 2000 went so badly because we did know those things and so all the energy in the universe got focused on a handful of locations to engineer the needed outcome.
The US needs to learn that lesson – that partial reporting while counts are still happening is where the problems come from because it reveals where the opportunities are and allows legal and narrative focus on just those places.
Jay
@WaterGirl:
Riding by riding, across Canada, the polls close at 7pm, local time.
Now a days, your paper ballot is scanned after you have filled it out.
That allows for a “quick” estimate of the trends and counts, they start getting released after the poll has closed.
After the polls have closed, the hand counting starts, which are the “official” results.
RevRick
@Jay: Only in the Atlantic Provinces. They close in the rest of the country at 9:30, except British Columbia, which closes at 10.
schrodingers_cat
@VFX Lurker: Thanks! Means a lot coming from a working artist!
Did you see the one I posted last week from Hanna Karlzon’s Magical Dawn.
Jay
@WaterGirl:
Oh, btw, we don’t vote for the PM, we vote for the MP in our riding, which ever party has the most MP’s elected, gets to try to form the Government, (coalition) unless they have a majority.
WaterGirl
@Eolirin: Well, that doesn’t sound like fun. I really appreciate you saying more about that. I want to make it better for you somehow. If you think of a way, please send me an email.
WaterGirl
@Jay: Are riding like precincts are in the US?
Gin & Tonic
Boy, somebody should call off the rest of this Cavs-Heat game.
Jay
@WaterGirl:
Yup, except Elections Canada shapes them, (a neutral 3rd party) based on population, not a Political Party or “bipartisan” Committee.
Eolirin
@WaterGirl: Honestly WG, the concern is about as much as anyone can do right now, and I really do appreciate it. Thank you.
I have consistent access to treatment and services, as long as medicaid sticks around anyway.
A lot of this is learning to come to terms with and find acceptance and meaning in the unpleasantness. I do an okay job most of the time.
And I’m really grateful that I’ve been able to share some of the things I’ve learned from having to go through these things in a way that seems to have been valuable to people. It makes a lot of the suffering feel worth it.
Fair Economist
@WaterGirl: Ridings are more like Congressional districts. Much smaller, though; slightly fewer elected for 1/10th the population.
Jay
It’s now Liberals leading in 23, Con’s in 10. BQ dropped off the board.
Princess
Lots of people still voting when I walked by my polling station a few minutes ago.
prostratedragon
@Gin & Tonic: Ummm hmmm! My inner soundtrack has switched to funeral music.
Princess
@Jay: ?? The only polls that have closed are in Atlantic Canada. BQ isn’t running in any of them.
Jay
@Princess:
Gaspe.
MagdaInBlack
Since it’s an open thread, I have a question: Is anyone else reading (or trying to read) “Careless People” the new FB expose ?
I am really struggling with the writing style. I feel like I’m reading a 10th grade what I did on my summer vacation essay. I’m bored and this should not be boring.
I’m kinda glad I used digital credits for the e-book, because I’d be pissed if I had spent money on it
eta: I’m gonna have to re-calibrate my brain with some Tom Levenson writing.
WaterGirl
@Fair Economist: So bigger than a breadbox but smaller than a building. Got it! :-)
Actually this has been helpful. Thanks to all who contributed.
Princess
@Jay: Ahhhh
WaterGirl
@Eolirin: Doing an okay job at that most of the time is more than most of us could do, I’ll bet.
I really appreciate your presence here.
Jay
@MagdaInBlack:
https://lexisantamaria.substack.com/p/top-10-insane-moments-from-the-facebook
All you need to know about how the sausage is made.
frosty
@WaterGirl: No need to change the credit since it was from my OTR. But if you want to it was my friend John.
It was a pretty amazing experience. The gulls in the water were calling out and were clearly disturbed. Then the eagle in the picture goes down and grabs one.
I wanted to get a picture but I knew I wouldn’t have time to drop the binocs, pick up the camera, turn it on, hit autofocus, and click the shutter. John took care of all that on burst mode. He ends up with a LOT of pictures!
Chetan Murthy
@WaterGirl: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Electoral_district_(Canada)#:~:text=For%20example%2C%20the%20four%20federal,the%20entire%20population%20of%20Prince
By contrast: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_United_States_congressional_districts#Extremes
Chetan Murthy
@WaterGirl: oops, looks like my reply got thrown in moderation. I found some links with stats for CA ridings and some more for US cong districts. For comparison.
MagdaInBlack
@Jay: Thank you, because I’m not going to make it thru this “book.” It’s tedious.
And I’m a History major. You know we read boring stuff ;-)
Eolirin
@Jay: There’s a reason Meta pays something like twice the industry standard to attract and retain talent. And they still have a lot of talented engineers refuse to consider them.
Jay
@RevRick:
My poll in Coquitlam/Port Moody closes at 7pm PST, 10 pm your time, 11:30 in Newfoundland.
According to Elections Canada.
David Collier-Brown
@Jackie: Yes, but not until most of the polls close. British Columbia polls close at midnight EDT, so it could take that long.
It’s usually decided by the time Ontario and Quebec report, after 9 PM EDT. That’s where the majority of the voters live. I’m expecting a land-rush of results right about now
David Collier-Brown
@Eolirin: 343, where a majority is 172
Jay
@David Collier-Brown:
Liberals, 26, Cons, 18, BQ, 6.
Again, leading, no ridings called.
Jay
@Jay:
Liberals 32, Cons 22, BQ 8, again, leading.
Not a surprise, Ontario rural leans Cons, (morons).
Jackie
@Citizen Dave: Thank you 😊
WaterGirl
@frosty: changed!
Glad someone got the pic. It’s amazing.
RevRick
@Jay: I was giving the times by EDT. So, well starting hearing from the whole country pretty quickly. It looks like the Liberals are taking the absolute majority of the votes.
BRyan
Deleted
David Collier-Brown
@WaterGirl: Sure.
We vote by timezones, closing at 9 PM.
We count the ballots by hand, with two people counting and each party allowed to have scrutineers watch from a few feet away (I scruted, once)
The majority of the population is in Ontario and Quebec
As of 9:30 EST, we have many results in from the Atlantic time zone, and the Ontario/Quebec results are being counted
We elect 343 Members of Parliament, where a majority is 172
Sometimes it takes two parties together to get 172, which we call “a minority government”
The head of the majority party becomes Prime Minister
Each party elects their own head
Within my lifetime, we passed our own constitution, so the courts can act as a check and balance to some degree. The far right hates this, and wants to override the constitution… which is just possible, but the party that does so is looking for a defeat, for “moral turpitude”.
The parties are, from left to right
NDP (roughly aligned with Bernie)
Liberals (leftist Democrats)
A hole where the Progressive Conservatives used to be (no-longer-existent Republicans)
Conservatives (the Tea Party, pretending to be Republicans)
The People’s Party (far right), where the Reform party used to be, before Reform (Tea Party) took over the Conservatives
The Bloc Quebecois, who are centrist folks who are Quebec patriots and boosters.
The Green party, who are green
We have elections roughly every 4 years, unless the government of the day pisses enough MPs off that they vote “no confidence”, and an election is forced early.
As I speak, the numbers from riding which have reported is
NDP 1
Liberals 72
Conservatives 44
PPC 0
BQ 12
Green 0
Jay
@David Collier-Brown:
If they win their seat in their riding, looking at you Pierre,
If they don’t win their seat, the usual practice is that an MP in a safe riding, gives up their seat, and the “Leader of the Party’, runs in a byelection.
RevRick
@WaterGirl: Election is by first-past-the-post in each riding, which is a seat in Parliament. So, whoever gets the most votes, even if it divides 33.4, 33.3, 33.3, wins
WaterGirl
@RevRick: helpful, thanks!
WaterGirl
@David Collier-Brown: wow, great job on meeting the request!! :-)
rikyrah
@schrodingers_cat:
Beautiful 🤩
RevRick
And Carney and the Liberals are projected to win!
Jackie
@RevRick: OH, CANADA! So much wiser than the USA. SAD.
WaterGirl
@RevRick: please let it be so!!!!
Divadias
I was sitting in the city Aquarium, when the lights went out in Spain. Luckily in Basque country, the electricity was quickly restored. However, banking, credit cards and internet remains dicey this morning.
Matt McIrvin
@Divadias: That first sentence is a great song lyric.