Good god this is going to be awful and we will inevitably get sucked in:
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has just released a statement on the strikes.
“Moments ago Israel launched Operation Rising Lion, a targeted military operation to roll back the Iranian threat to Israel’s very survival. This operation will continue for as many days as it takes to remove the spread,” he says.
“In recent months, Iran has taken steps that it has never taken before, steps to weaponise this enriched uranium,” he adds.
“If not stopped, Iran could produce a nuclear weapon in a very short time. It could be a year. It could be within a few months, less than a year. This is a clear and present danger to Israel’s very survival.”
We are going to get sucked into this and this is going to create generations of Osama’s.
Albatrossity
War criminals gotta crime, I guess.
Suzanne
One of my friends noted, “They’ve got to do something with all the weapons we give them”.
Fuck.
Captain C
Netanyahu will do anything, sacrifice anyone to stay out of jail. His brother gave his life for his country, to save hostages. Netanyahu would happily let the current hostages die and his own country burn to stay out of jail.
Harrison Wesley
It’s been an interesting ride. Oh, well. I don’t think political messaging is going to be of much assistance here, will it?
matt
tyrants need wars of choice to preserve their hold on power.
Interesting Name Goes Here
Gaza must not be speaking loud enough.
HinTN
@matt: @Harrison Wesley: @Captain C: @Suzanne: @Albatrossity: and John
Yes, yes, yes, yes, yes and yes
Suzanne
CNN is saying that it is looking likely that the strikes took out much of the general staff, including the head of the military.
HinTN
@Suzanne: Leaving hotter heads to respond. FFS
Iran is a bigger power than Israel has skirmished with in recent times. Israel may have good intel but this could go sideways for them fast.
Suzanne
@Interesting Name Goes Here: You know, I have to note…. 50,000 people are dead in Gaza, including 15,000 children, and there’s a cohort of Americans who say nothing about that. Despite the fact that our tax dollars are providing the weaponry. But they make sure that their voice is heard criticizing pro-Palestine protestors for not voting the right way in our election. Forgive me if I think that’s fairly despicable.
Interesting Name Goes Here
@Suzanne: The pro-Palestinian folks should be happy. They got what they wanted. Genocide Joe is gone.
And the price of being rid of him is that the genocide got turbo-charged and is expanding out to new countries now.
But criticizing them is despicable? OK.
HinTN
Anyone think Iran hasn’t been watching what Ukraine is doing 1) to their Shaheds and 2) to Ruzzia with their own UAVs?
I’m not sure Israel is ready for this.
Suzanne
@Interesting Name Goes Here: The war crimes (at best) being committed in Gaza by Israel are orders of magnitude worse than protestors being assholes.
No One of Consequence
@HinTN:
Oh I think that a relatively young Iranian population, who is rather well educated (on the whole), can do the math supporting asymmetrical warfare. What does one patriot missile cost? How many drones with explosive ordinance could be purchased/made for an equivalent cost?
From Wikipedia:
welp…
-NOoC
Marc
@Interesting Name Goes Here: In the interest of community, I won’t write the first thought that came to my mind. I’ll say nicely that it’s about time some of y’all let go of 2024, 2025 is going to be a doozy.
Another Scott
Bibi’s cartoon bomb diagram at the UN was September 27, 2012. He’s wanted this for many, many, many years.
Grr…
Peace and comfort to the innocents – tonight and in the future.
Best wishes,
Scott.
HinTN
@No One of Consequence: Yep! Ever read Reading Lolita in Tehran? They should be our best ally but we suck.
Interesting Name Goes Here
@Suzanne: They could have been orders of magnitude less worse had the protestors not contributed to handing the nation over to a bunch of manosphere-huffing, Sopranos-cosplaying, elitist-wannabe, obnoxiously bigoted and racist jackasses.
But I suppose we’ll never know now, will we?
This is what they wanted. They should have read the fine print. They signed up for the class, and the time to drop out has passed.
Harrison Wesley
Good night and good luck? Maybe good night, we’re fucked.
Marc
@Another Scott: I’ll note that Bibi has defied both Trump and the EU over the past week. Why should either feel compelled to do anything at all?
O. Felix Culpa
@Marc: 2025 is gonna be a doozy because of 2024. Receipts, they have been kept.
MadiX
In theory, there’s probably a way in which this makes sense as retaliation for Iran’s past attacks.
In practice:
This is probably vaguely sort of justified if you look at it from a certain angle, but it’s a really bad idea.
bbleh
Boy I’ll bet the Saudis are upset about all this! /s
I wonder how much of that is filtering back to the TACO guy and influencing his … impulses.
azlib
This action by Israel was inevitable given the insane foreign policy stances of this administration. I am sure any sane MIddle East analysts are horrified.
Marc
@O. Felix Culpa: Do I need to go back to calling some people here names cause they kept trying to blame anyone except white people for 2024? That was fun.
Harrison Wesley
Fortunately Your Favorite President will resolve the situation to everybody’s satisfaction within 24 hours. Bigly.
HinTN
@Interesting Name Goes Here:
They can still get an F.
Elizabelle
Two national leaders, who should be in prison for corruption, but they’re in office precisely to avoid that outcome.
Today is just death from the sky.
O. Felix Culpa
@Marc: I agree with your assessment of blame. Did then, still do now. As for name-calling, not my favored approach to discourse, but you get to choose.
MagdaInBlack
@Marc: Yeah, I’m not a fan of the “shoulda/coulda/woulda” rehashing either. This is where we are and ya, it sure is shaping up to be a stunner.
Jackie
@Harrison Wesley:
WAIT!! What happened to the two weeks timeframe? It’s ALWAYS two weeks.
Gvg
@Suzanne: I think the problem is the protestors who are honest, we’re so stupid/blind/ incompetent that they made it likely that a worse enemy would gain power and both result in more Palestinian deaths AND endanger us and them here in the US.
The other part is the suspicion that not all the protestors were honest, some of them really wanted this. Not just the agents of Russia, there really was some real hatred of Israel. Some of that is even earned, but plenty was just nasty tradition.
This is the reason it is so hard to have a logical debate about Israel. As soon as you make any criticism about them, that you could make about anyone else not Jewish lsraeli, some of the people who come to the discussion turn out to be bigots. You can’t stay on topic and just examine the subject when multiple people with different flavors of reality distortion views are screeching. Add in that not all of them even realize they are displaying bigotry and I think it’s no wonder politicians avoid the subject so much. It’s only the young who think nobody has ever tried to discuss it.
sab
Arabs in the USA have traditionally been Republican since forever.They held their noses and voted for Biden, and he did what he has always done, so they felt betrayed. This was just business as usual
ETA Oblivious to ethnic cleansing and genocide was a new low but also typical USA foreign policy.
Harrison Wesley
@Jackie: Maybe I got that wrong. Probably confusing it with lowering egg prices or some shit.
Jackie
@MagdaInBlack:
I agree, and we’re likely to be lambasted for this.
Yesterday was yesterday. We need to focus on NOW and FORWARD.
PatD
@Interesting Name Goes Here: Biden wasn’t going to stop Israel from attacking Iran. Not after what happened on Oct 7th. It may feel good to believe otherwise but Bibi has telegraphed this for years.
YY_Sima Qian
@Interesting Name Goes Here: How many people supportive of the Palestinian cause actually voted for Trump? Or failed to vote? Are we really trying to blame the loss in 2024 on some of the least influential & politically powerful groups in America, no matter how loud they can be?
& not facilitating Israeli warmongering was the sensible course of action from a foreign policy (even cold realpolitik) perspective, & not becoming complicit in the Israeli war crimes & crimes against humanity in Gaza was the morally upright thing to do. Do these considerations count for nothing?! Not a word of criticism for the “Israel, right or wrong” interest groups that have long been effective in constraining US regional policy away from the sensible & the morally upright, including during Dem administrations?
No One of Consequence
I’m not going to re-open any old wounds. I will, however, say this:
If you are 100% pleased with everything your President does, then you are not paying attention.
I believe that Obama should have been impeached. He ordered a lethal drone strike on a US citizen on foreign soil. Knowingly. Without, to my understanding, observation of Due Process. If that is so, it is a clear Constitutional violation of the deceased rights, with malice aforethought, requiring impeachment. Did I want that? Hell no.
But was I furious to learn that he did in fact, do so? Indeed.
This, from the President I was most proud to have voted for, twice. The second time? Knowingly. Am I a bad person? Perhaps. I have earned the title before. Did I understand that to NOT support Obama would have been to support his opponent? Yes, yes I did. The math wasn’t that hard, and I am not so childish as to believe that a protest vote in a Presidential contest is anything other than Privilege. My eyes were open during the general, but also the primaries. Woulda, coulda, shoulda. Well, Al Gore was fat, and W loved him some Political Philosopher Jeebus. Pity the two couldn’t have been switched in place when it really mattered: on Sept 12 2001.
Whole lot of dead people might still be alive had we chosen competence over conformity. Was true when Gore lost. Was true when Hillary lost. Was true when Kamala lost. It will be true when Pete loses too, I fear.
The world will be even more scary tomorrow morning. If for no other reason than conformity isn’t all that likely to help us out of this mess. And competence doesn’t interest the American people enough.
And as for blame for 2024: Lay it squarely where it belongs: The citizens that could not be bothered to vote. Had they shown up and did their part, unlikely we would be here right now.
Alas,
-NOoC
Another Scott
@Marc: Bibi loved showing Democratic presidents that they couldn’t boss him around without consequences.
Bibi probably felt it was time to knock 47 down a peg or few for his snub as well. And no time like the present, amirite??
:-/
Haaretz.com (from May 14):
These people run on spite, and fear of a world where they are not in control.
Like Biden, 47 can’t cut Israel off (or not for long), because the MAGA / GQP folks, the MSM, the “conservative, religious” leaders and organizations, etc., etc., would go nuts, among other things.
Grr…
Best wishes,
Scott.
Socolofi
Huh. Looks like every foreign leader has learned TACO also applies to foreign policy. Trump isn’t going to do anything to Israel, so they can, and will, do whatever they want.
The super cynic in me wonders if Trump let Bibi know they were close to some kind of deal with Iran, so Bibi intentionally scuttled it by launching an attack.
Interesting Name Goes Here
@YY_Sima Qian: Oh, I’m well aware that it wasn’t just them, but given the current situation and how this week’s theme seems to be “You get a monkey’s paw, and you get a monkey’s paw, and you get a monkey’s paw, and you get a monkey’s paw”, I think it’s only fitting that that particular shining moment of OOPS gets a bit of a revisit.
O. Felix Culpa
@Jackie: I think we can and should do both. Knowing how we got here is at minimum essential to not repeating the mistakes of the past. I recall derisive comments on this very blog about Democrats historically choosing to look forward and not back, allowing the unaddressed sins of the past to fester. Maybe we shouldn’t keep doing that.
Back to the OP, Israel (Bibi) is running amok. And we don’t have any adults in the White House. Oy vey.
Suzanne
@Gvg: I agree, for the most part. I talk about it much less than I used to, because I very much don’t want to be misinterpreted. This issue specifically seems to be impossible to discuss without causing offense. Okay,
But I am incredibly repulsed with the tenor of some remarks I’ve seen, as if Gaza was only worth giving a shit about if the protestors in the U.S. voted for Dems. It’s gross. They’re not instruments for us.
A valued commenter here phrased it well…. “Politics is for something”. I am just as heartbroken about last year as anyone else, but I wanted to win because politics is for something, including the people of Gaza.
YY_Sima Qian
Israel dropped entire residential buildings to target individuals, at a time when the buildings a re full of people asleep, w/ complete disregard for collateral damage (just like in Gaza). I’ve went there before, but it is increasingly difficult to distinguish Israel conduct in the region from Russian conduct in Ukraine.
Based on the tit for tat over the past year, I get the sense Bibi wants this war much more than Khamenei. However, w/ all of the top Iranian military & IRCG brass targeted & killed, Khamenei doesn’t have much of a choice now, Bibi is directly threatening the viability of the Islamist regime.
I will be pleasantly surprised if Iranian retaliation is limited to military facilities, & Dimona.
YY_Sima Qian
@Suzanne: +1
TurnItOffAndOnAgain
@No One of Consequence: Oh drones. The things that everybody stopped talking about when Obama wasn’t president anymore.
Harrison Wesley
@YY_Sima Qian: I think a lot of the relationship involves the American insistence on the reality of the unipolar rules based order. This continuing nasty fantasy of American hegemony requires our allies/vassels to regularly spank the wogs who disagree with the arrangement. We support Israel in actions detrimental to both our countries in pursuit of this crap.
YY_Sima Qian
Well, entirely unsurprising comment from Fetterman:
Interesting Name Goes Here
@Suzanne: They were instruments for the people who worked hardest and screamed loudest to deliver the world of today.
Tell me, where are their voices? It’s been very quiet since November.
Shalimar
So the USA, Russia, Israel, and North Korea are the Axis powers in this world war. I don’t think anyone would have guessed that 10 years ago.
O. Felix Culpa
@Suzanne: I differentiate between support for the beleaguered people of Gaza and *some* cynical protestors who helped undermine the Democratic candidate. The suffering in Gaza is horrific and deserves attention.
YY_Sima Qian
@Socolofi: Here is hoping Trump gets pissed that Bibi took away his long coveted Nobel Peace Price. Not that TACO will do anything.
Marc
If Trump had quietly warned Israel not to attack, it would be one thing, but he did so publicly. Providing immediate help would be a significant loss of face for Trump. Watch, there’s a good chance he’ll make Bibi grovel first. Meanwhile, all those Navy ships sitting around out there might have some sort of problem with intercepting the missiles this time. Don’t defy the boss.
HopefullyNotcassandra
@Marc: no doubt.
You know who actually has freaking immunity not mass produced in goyper imaginations? A senator, in his home state, asking a member of the executive branch a question
Article I, section 6, clause 1 of the Constitution of the United States
me
@YY_Sima Qian: Well, since Field Marshal Krauthammer is dead Fetterman can take his place.
YY_Sima Qian
This about sums it up:
It takes a lot to make the cynical & nasty Islamist authoritarians in Tehran to appear the aggrieved party.
PatD
@Marc: I could go two ways on this. Part of me think Trump actually set Iran up with promises of a deal while actually signing off on Israel’s attack. Maybe there’s a personal angle with that alleged Iranian assassination plot.
Scenario 2 is that Bibi thought Trump might actually make a deal and took his shot at scuttling it. If that’s the case, Trump will find a way to get even because he’s a snake and takes everything personally.
Jackie
I wish this was getting more attention:
FFOTUS is probably thrilled Israel/Iran is hogging the news. BOTH are important, but MSM is shouting SQUIRREL and the decision that Trump had no right to sic the National Guard on L.A. is being mostly ignored by Israel’s attack on Iran.
YY_Sima Qian
@me: Much better from Joaquin Castro:
YY_Sima Qian
Well, there are still some sober people in the DOD:
BellyCat
Can anyone explain why Fetterman has such an erection for Israel’s aggression, regardless of innocent civilian deaths?
I clearly can’t keep up…
RevRick
How will Iran respond? Will they heave missiles at Ras Tanura? Close off the Strait of Hormuz? Sink some oil tankers?
The assumption that Iran will directly attack Israel is not necessarily true. A regime with a strong apocalyptic bent might feel that their best strategy might be to cripple the West, since they believe that Israel is wholly a creation of the West.
Marc
@Jackie: I noticed, just as I noticed that Newsom told the NG that their deployment would be over as of noon tomorrow. I’ll wait and see if that actually happens.
Trollhattan
These assholes will shift WWIII from eastern Europe to the Midd East. Yay?
Jackie
@Marc:
Trump has until noon (I think) to appeal. So it’s going to be iffy – time wise. I have faith Newsom and CA will ultimately persevere. <fingers crossed>
YY_Sima Qian
Jack Reed also not mincing words:
YY_Sima Qian
Also:
Aziz, light!
Okay, sure, why not?
prostratedragon
Archon
@RevRick: Iran is actually in a position to play the aggrieved victim here in the world of global opinion. They can say not only did we make a good faith deal only for the next President to tear it up but when we got back to the table to renegotiate with the guy who already broke the deal we get attacked by the US client state.
Iran is obviously a bad actor but at this point I don’t see them as worse actors than the United States.
prostratedragon
@Marc: See me just above.
Jackie
Waaay off topic, but this caught my attention skimming headlines:
https://apnews.com/article/nevada-new-voter-id-law-cdb217073dcf2e974dcd300a0bd37eff?utm_source=copy&utm_medium=share
Marc
@prostratedragon: Yep, thanks, I was expecting that.
Marc
On the top 10 list of bad actors, Iran is below several of our “friends” and “allies.”
prostratedragon
Escalation:
Jackie
@prostratedragon: Just read that. GRRRR
prostratedragon
License plate.
Jackie
@Jackie: Update:
Everything beyond this is paywalled.
YY_Sima Qian
The butterfly fluttering its wings:
JaySinWa
@Jackie: here is the germ of the article
Paywall free link https://www.nytimes.com/live/2025/06/12/us/la-protests-trump-marines-ice?unlocked_article_code=1.Ok8.8KTT.VJKFQ5FQbWzo&smid=url-share
bjacques
@YY_Sima Qian: yeah, the Law Of Unintended Consequences is sure getting a workout, but even SCROTUS can’t overturn that one.
NotMax
Haven’t yet read the comments so maybe someone already mentioned that Netanyahu has been saying Iran is six months away from a nuclear weapon for like 20 years.
NotMax
@YY_Sima Qian
Saw War Ghetto.
Kayla Rudbek
And in other news, the Federal Circuit is dealing with the tariff appeal cases (why they have jurisdiction is something that I need to go research, but in my experience watching all the patent cases coming out from them, whatever the status of the law is, the Federal Circuit can always mess it up) https://patentlyo.com/patent/2025/06/federal-circuit-tariff.html unfortunately paywalled, maybe Reuters Legal will have something about it in the morning
Jackie
@JaySinWa: Thanks JaySinWa 😊
prostratedragon
@NotMax: Check. So long I’m tempted to think that’s where Friedman got ir from.
Me a lot lately: “La mufa [Foul Mood],” Piazzolla; cello & piano
prostratedragon
If these guys are trained federal officers (or any other kind), then I’m Leontyne Price.
NotMax
@prostratedragon
There’s always room for a slice of Piazzolla.
Transitioning to a lighter mood, same goes for Victor Borge.
;)
prostratedragon
@NotMax: And without dropping a note (except on purpose).
Bruce K in ATH-GR
The only good thing I found in this nightmare is that I learned about the Pentagon Pizza Index on Reddit: namely, if pizza joints around the Pentagon suddenly get a flood of orders, that’s an indication that a lot of DOD people suddenly have their noses to the grindstone, and thus, something major is about to go down and it’s probably going to be Bad News.
No One of Consequence
@TurnItOffAndOnAgain: Has become de rigeur, non?
prostratedragon
@Bruce K in ATH-GR: If it isn’t high right now, that, too, would be bad news.
Bruce K in ATH-GR
@prostratedragon: Yeah, well, we’re living in the fascists’ world at the moment, so Bad News is kind of the default these days.
Odie Hugh Manatee
@Captain C:
This. Bibi is only blowing up everything to save his ass from prison. At this point I think the government of Israel is totally out of control and we should stop supplying them with war materials.
I am so over anything to do with Israel at this point. You can’t fly straight when you only have a right wing.
Martin
Unrelated but much of the US semiconductor industry is furloughing at least part of next month due to drop in demand due to tariffs.
That was the industry that was supposed to be ascendent, and to my knowledge they’ve never needed to furlough before.
Baud
Potemkin socialism
Apparently the deal isn’t official yet.
Aussie Sheila
@Baud:
Yes, exactly that. He’s losing it imo.
The people he hopes are listening aren’t and the ones who are listening are either scoffing or feeling betrayed.
Either way, he’s fucked. Not right away, but by the end of your summer, I’m betting he’s a laughing stock.
prostratedragon
@Bruce K in ATH-GR:
Justin Ling:
Margarita can make a nice brunch.
Bruce K in ATH-GR
@Aussie Sheila: I dunno – one of my nightmares is what the current Washington maladministration will do if they get truly desperate, and I worry that when they do take whatever desperate action comes into their minds, “minimum safe distance” will be somewhere beyond Earth’s outer Van Allen radiation belt.
YY_Sima Qian
@Baud: A “golden share” is one that gives the holder de facto veto power over major corporate decisions, even if the share is only 1%. The PRC government (or government investment funds) often holds 1% such “golden share” in private companies in what it considers “strategic” industries. The “golden shareholder” typically does not get involved in day to day operations, or otherwise drive corporate directions aside from exercising the veto power.
The USG has often accused PRC companies where the PRC government holds such “golden shares” as being the CPC regime’s puppet or proxy. By that logic, US Steel will become a puppet or proxy of the Trump regime
However, Trump probably did not understand what “golden share” means when Bessent explained it to him.
Aussie Sheila
@Bruce K in ATH-GR:
I always put my trust in the broad electorate. Note, not in the political leadership offered from time to time.
Despite the terrible circumstances of the moment I retain my optimism in the ability of people to do what needs to be done to secure their own security and happiness.
Terrible things may happen, but it won’t go unnoticed or unavenged.
Baud
@YY_Sima Qian:
100%. What’s left of Trump’s mind stopped at the first syllable.
YY_Sima Qian
A chilling thought for all involved (including Israelis), if true:
sab
@YY_Sima Qian: Kind of what he did to Gaza with Hamas.
YY_Sima Qian
@sab: That would be a much greater strategic roll of dice than w/ Hamas. A nuclear Iran raving mad & out for revenge really is an existential threat to Israel, even one that is a pariah in the eyes of the West. Far more than an Iran that forever holds the prospect of getting nukes as a point of leverage, & financing a regional “arc of resistance”.
Noskilz
We’re definitely living in interesting times.
I’m sure whatever is in store for the region won’t be good – our govenment is run by delusional idiots, Netanyahu has done something dangerously unwise while he is already seemingly engaged in about 3 other conflicts, Iran is going to want to make some kind of suitable response, etc… – but we can’t be sure what will happen next, and how events unfold will matter.
Let’s keep tabs on events as they unfold and do what we can to mitigate the damage when we can without jumping straight to taking for granted the most catastropic scenario possible, This is the Stupid Ages so maybe the worst possible thing will happen, and things will definitely be worse than necessary, but it also seems like things are so weird in so many places that is very difficult to be sure of what happens next beyond “probably nothing good.”
Ken B
@Marc: A load of air defense munitions intended for Ukraine was diverted to ‘the Middle East’ earlier this week.
Someone in the Trump administration knew this was coming, and is clearly okay with it.
brantl
@Suzanne: ever worked for a company that got caught making the wrong decisions and had to pay the price for it even though you didn’t work for them when they made the decisions I have, it’s just like that.
brantl
@Suzanne: relativity of scale doesn’t make stupid smart.
brantl
@Marc: that was you? I thought that was some other childish little twerp.
brantl
@Gvg: The Israeli government’s policies earned a great deal of that hatred. An awful lot of it was earned.
brantl
@HopefullyNotcassandra: he wasn’t either going to nor returning from a session of the house. He was in the building outside of his jurisdiction that should be quotes, but he shouldn’t have been attacked either.
HopefullyNotcassandra
@brantl: speech and debate clause immunity extends to the lawmaker doing their duty outside of the physical building. Senator Padilla was detained while attempting to question the secretary of Homeland Security during a press conference.
The speech and debate clause has afforded immunity to a lawmaker who published “The Golden Fleece of the Month Awards” because that was part of his publishing duty. http://cdn.loc.gov/service/ll/usrep/usrep443/usrep443111/usrep443111.pdf
https://constitution.congress.gov/browse/essay/artI-S6-C1-3-1/ALDE_00013300/
The second link includes a lengthy discussion of the speech and debate clause, as well as how our courts have interpreted it to date.
What matters is was the lawmaker, in this case Senator Padilla, engaged in his legislative duties (broadly construed)? If the answer is yes, the lawmaker is immune.
Clearly Senator Padilla was present as a Senator from California, asking a question of a member of the executive branch as a Senator from California
There is no doubt the speech and debate immunity clause applies in this instance. The Goypers know it too. This is why they are pushing that he was disrespectful and not wearing his senate pin. Both claims are irrelevant.
chemiclord
Good thing we didn’t elect Kamala Harris, who would have simply continued Genocide Joe’s policies…