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You are here: Home / Foreign Affairs / War for Ukraine Day 1,209: The Cost

War for Ukraine Day 1,209: The Cost

by Adam L Silverman|  June 17, 20259:34 pm| 8 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

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A painting by Ukrainian artist NEIVANMADE. The words "NEVER AGAIN" are repeated over and over, from left to right and top to bottom, in a faded, washed out black against a white background. Red, the color of blood, runs and drips down across 2/3rds of the painting. "WHILE YOU TOLERATE TYRANTS" is written/painted in the bottom white corner below the three rows of "NEVER AGAIN".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Just a quick note on the Iran stuff: I’ve now reviewed all of Trump’s social media posts, plus his off the cuff remarks to the press on Air Force one. My professional assessment is: 🤷🏻‍♂️ and 🤦🏻‍♂️. Based reviewing all the posts and statements we appear to be not at war and at war, not involved in operations against and involved operations against Iran all at the same time. Off the looking glass and through the map.

The cost:

Kyiv:

There are no words for this kind of grief.
A Ukrainian couple watches the ruins of their home in Kyiv — destroyed by a russian drone. Somewhere beneath the rubble lies their son.

Don’t close your eyes! Don’t shut your hearts!

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 1:57 AM

In the heart of a European capital, firefighters pull bodies from the rubble of a building that collapsed after being bombed by a member of the UN Security Council.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 1:41 PM

The body of a 31yo man was recovered from the rubble of the house destroyed by russia in Kyiv today. His parents spent the whole day waiting, hoping he would be rescued. All of us hoped too. This is a nightmare. I wish I could wake up from this horror.

[image or embed]

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 2:44 PM

You think, this time they’ll wake up. After this attack. After this child pulled from the rubble. After this mother screaming at the sky. But they don’t. They never do.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 2:46 PM

It’s a quiet betrayal, dressed in loud words of concern. Speeches about peace. Promises to end the war in 24 hours or by next month. Glimpses of hope, dangled in front of us — only to be withdrawn, as if we were plagues to be avoided.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 2:46 PM

Some are asleep in ignorance. Some in indifference. Some wear the rose-tinted glasses of diplomacy. And in that sleep, lives are lost. Lives are taken — by russian missiles, by collapsed buildings, by shattered hearts too tired to keep beating.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 2:46 PM

This war has stolen something from everyone. Some lost their homes. Others, their loved ones. Many lost sleep. Some lost peace. And more and more, people are losing hope.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 2:46 PM

President Zelenskyy did not make an address today as he was at the G-7 today. He was supposed to meet with Trump, but that didn’t happen as the latter left early to head back to DC for meetings regarding the Israel-Iran war of 2025.

Georgia:

Rustaveli Avenue is blocked for the 202th consecutive night.

#GeorgiaProtests continue in 8 cities across the country.

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 1:40 PM

Day 202 of daily, nationwide protests in Georgia. 🇬🇪✊

We end every march chanting ’til the end!, and we mean it.

[image or embed]

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 2:05 PM

It can all change unexpectedly any day, but these days it seems like Georgia is going through scenario 2👇🏻

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 7:49 AM

1. A relatively quicker victory where the regime’s physical violence is once again unhinged on a mass scale that leads to another round of sharp deterioration on the ground and quick desertion by regime pillars; 2/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 7, 2025 at 6:24 AM

2. A somewhat slower victory where the regime physical violence is relatively limited and the society goes through a complete cycle of biblical cleansing, with new social contract & paradigms consolidating before the regime is forced to concede, rather than simultaneously with/after our victory; 3/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 7, 2025 at 6:24 AM

3. A very slow victory with initially largely suppressed street protests that launches a prolonged guerilla societal protest and economic instability due to the regime’s oppressive and economic inability to stabilize itself as a dictatorship. 4/

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 7, 2025 at 6:24 AM

When we ask for sanctions, we ask to help us avoid whatever costs can be avoided. They cannot win, but they can cause much suffering to Georgians and instability to the wider region.
#GeorgiaProtests 5/5.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 7, 2025 at 6:24 AM

1/ The Georgian Dream has submitted a bill to its parliament to abolish the National Security Council, according to the Administration.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 6:56 AM

2/ If approved, the Council will be dissolved on September 1, 2025, and its functions transferred to the “Government of Georgia in line with the parliamentary model of governance.”

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 6:56 AM

3/ Established in 2019, the Council is Georgia’s top national security body, composed of permanent and invited members. It met only a few times. Until resigning as GD Interior Minister on May 28, Vakhtang Gomelauri served as its Secretary.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 6:56 AM

4/ The current Council replaced an earlier version that included the President as a permanent member.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 6:56 AM

📢”Without sustained international pressure on both Georgian Dream officials and the leaders of institutions responsible for the media crackdown, independent journalism in #Georgia cannot survive,” – reads the joint statement.

#MediaUnderAttack
#RepressionInGeorgia

📌 ipi.media/georgia-inde…

[image or embed]

— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) June 17, 2025 at 6:08 AM

The International Press Institute warns that Georgia’s independent media are on the brink of collapse under unprecedented pressure from the GD as journalists face detentions, physical attacks, censorship, arbitrary fines, and legal threats under repressive new laws like the Foreign Agents Act

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 6:20 AM

Bad news also for those Georgian Dream latte-sipping, manicured elite nobodies who’ve been dreaming of the protest and torture of people suddenly undoing itself without any social consequences whatsoever, and them finding themselves as embraced as they were before any of this.

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 6:14 AM

This is how the regime court operates in Georgia.

False witness Gogita Kharatishvili, a policeman, was asked to identify Valeri Tetrashvili, a regime prisoner. Without hesitation, he pointed to someone in the chamber.

The tiny, insignificant detail? Valeri wasn’t even present.

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 7:07 AM

Saba Jikia (19) faced 4-7 years in jail in Georgia.

His alleged crime? Kicking an officer during crackdowns.

— The only video doesn’t clearly show the incident.
— The officer who claims to have been hit says he wasn’t injured.

📷 Publika

The video of the actual ‘crime’ in replies.

[image or embed]

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 3:28 PM

The “Parliamentary commission” that “investigates UNM era crimes” has AGAIN summoned opposition leaders Nika Gvaramia, Mamuka Khazaradze, and Giorgi Gakharia.

Gvaramia is already in pre-trial detention for refusing to show up when he was summoned the previous time…

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 4:06 PM

Oh Canada!

🇨🇦🇺🇦Canada is preparing a military assistance package for Ukraine, valued at 2 billion Canadian dollars (approximately 1.5 billion U.S. dollars).

The assistance package is set to include among other things: Drones, helicopters and ammunition

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 1:49 PM

/2. In addition to direct assistance, Canada will offer Ukraine a $2 billion loan. Notably, the interest on this loan will be covered using revenues generated from frozen Russian assets.

Canada also imposed new sanctions targeting over 200 vessels linked to Russia’s so-called “shadow fleet”

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 1:49 PM

The Gulf of Oman:

Two oil tankers collided and caught fire early June 17 in the Gulf of Oman, just off the entrance to the Strait of Hormuz. The vessels involved were: Front Eagle
and Adalynn.

The 23-year-old Adalynn has been frequently sighted plowing the route between Russia’s Ust-Luga and India

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 12:08 PM

The US:

The daughter of U.S. President’s special representative Keith Kellogg reacted to the massive Russian attack on Kyiv.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 11:19 AM

(Reuters) – The Trump administration shelved in recent weeks an inter-agency working group it had set up to formulate strategies for pressuring Russia into speeding up peace talks with Ukraine, according to three U.S. officials. www.reuters.com/world/asia-p…

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 6:36 AM

Reuters has the details:

WASHINGTON, June 17 (Reuters) – The Trump administration shelved in recent weeks an inter-agency working group it had set up to formulate strategies for pressuring Russia into speeding up peace talks with Ukraine, according to three U.S. officials.

The effort, which was established earlier in the spring, lost steam in May as it became increasingly clear to participants that U.S. President Donald Trump was not interested in adopting a more confrontational stance toward Moscow, said the officials.

Despite pledging during his campaign to end the war in Ukraine on the first day of his presidency, Trump in recent months has grown increasingly frustrated that his push has yielded no breakthroughs. He has begun saying that the United States may abandon its efforts to broker peace altogether.

In light of that threat, the working group’s task seemed increasingly irrelevant, added those officials, who requested anonymity to describe sensitive internal discussions.

“It lost steam toward the end because the president wasn’t there. Instead of doing more, maybe he wanted to do less,” one of the officials said.

The death of the working group, the existence of which has not been previously reported, is likely to deepen European allies’ concerns over Trump’s at-times conciliatory tone toward Russia and his reluctance to express full-throated support for Ukraine ahead of a pivotal summit of NATO allies later this month.

More at the link.

Back to Ukraine.

The destruction of Russian chemical weapons that were loaded into BM-21 Grad MLRS rockets.

In their communications, Russian soldiers urge each other to take cover and put on gas masks, as the targeted Grad was “loaded with chemicals.”

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 9:53 AM

Images of Russian brutality emerging from Kyiv and Odesa, where at least 15 people were killed and more than 130 injured in a relentless, all-night missile and drone attack.

🎥: via Andriy Yermak/Telegram

[image or embed]

— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) June 17, 2025 at 8:42 AM

The latest attack came hours after Trump said Russia should be allowed back in the G8 and that he would not impose new sanctions on Moscow, despite pressure from G7 allies and members of the US Congress, including many Republicans. Trump has said he Putin may be “tapping him along.”

[image or embed]

— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) June 17, 2025 at 8:42 AM

WARNING!! WARNING!! GRAPHIC IMAGERY!! WARNING!! WARNING!!

In fact, Putin’s army has escalated its war against Ukraine and shown no signs of wanting to negotiate an end to it.

[image or embed]

— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) June 17, 2025 at 8:42 AM

ALL CLEAR!!!!

Russia’s air strikes ramped up in past weeks, each attack bigger and lasting longer than in previous months. Russia used to launch 100+ Iran-designed drones at Ukraine but now it’s launching 300+ and 400+ as production increases. Ukraine’s Air Force said Russia fired 472 missiles + drones overnight.

[image or embed]

— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) June 17, 2025 at 8:42 AM

Russia’s military is also employing new tactics, flying its drones higher than much of Ukraine’s small air defenses can reach, stretching Kyiv’s more limited resources and forcing difficult decisions over which drones and missiles to try to shoot down.

[image or embed]

— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) June 17, 2025 at 8:47 AM

Then, once the drones reach their target area, many of them plunge downward at a steep angle that makes it difficult to shoot them down. They used to fly low and slow. Upgrades have allowed them to fly faster, at greater altitudes, and carry larger warheads.

— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) June 17, 2025 at 8:47 AM

175 drones, at least 14 cruise missiles, 2 ballistic missiles targeted Kyiv, where apartment buildings were damaged or destroyed, according to the head of the civilian-military admin. A day of mourning has been declared. via my FT colleague @fabricedeprez.bsky.social:
on.ft.com/3TwBMyo

[image or embed]

— Christopher Miller (@christopherjm.ft.com) June 17, 2025 at 8:47 AM

A visualization of the movement of Shahed drones and missiles throughout the night.
Russia launched at least 440 Shahed drones and 32 missiles.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 7:29 AM

“The goal of the strikes was achieved. All designated targets have been destroyed,” declares the russian ministry of defense, speaking of apartment buildings and civilians.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 5:58 AM

Odesa:

Not only Kyiv but also Odesa suffered from russian attacks last night that killed one person and wounded 14.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 4:07 AM

Russia also attacked Odesa tonight. At least 17 people were injured, and at least 1 person was killed

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 8:09 AM

Russia also attacked Odesa. At least one drone struck an apartment building ‼️

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 16, 2025 at 10:25 PM

The moment a Russian “Shahed” drone struck Odesa was captured on video by local residents.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 6:29 AM

Kyiv:

Ukrainian foreign minister: Russian attack on Kyiv a signal to G7.

[image or embed]

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 4:16 AM

The horrifying moment a russian drone deliberately struck a Kyiv apartment building.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 1:00 AM

Utter barbarism: Cluster munitions released by a Russian missile tear through a residential area in Kyiv early on June 17 during a massive air attack by fascist Russia on the capital of democratic Ukraine. At least 15 dead and 114 injured by combined drone and missile air raid.

[image or embed]

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 8:03 AM

[image or embed]

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 4:34 AM

A couple in Kyiv stands before the ruins of a building, clinging to each other, tears falling as their son remains beneath the rubble.

Russia will claim it struck NATO generals and whatnot. But they are just murdering sleeping civilians, tearing families apart, and turning homes into dust.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 8:01 AM

Russuan ballistic missile that completely destroyed one section of a residential high-rise in the capital penetrated so deeply that it collapsed the concrete floors into the basement. – Minister of Internal Affairs, Ihor Klymenko.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 7:45 AM

All services are working intensely to clear the rubble as quickly as possible.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 7:45 AM

Smoke over Kyiv.

Putin has been emboldened by Trump’s weakness and inaction: The war will continue to increase in intensity and widen geographically until the West gives democratic Ukraine enough support to defeat fascist Russia.

[image or embed]

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 5:03 AM

My aunt’s apartment is next to the shahed’s impact point.

She’s okay because she was in the bathroom deeper in the apartment.

[image or embed]

— Oleksandr Shymanskyi 🇺🇦🏳️‍🌈 (@shymanskyi.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 3:58 AM

Kostyantynivka:

Today, in the direction of Kostyantynivka, Russians attempted an unusually large-scale mechanized assault, which is not typical nowadays. As a result, Russians lost 15 units of heavy equipment. t.me/Zigun_Mangus…

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 3:55 PM

Kramatorsk, Kupyansk, and the Serebryansk Forest:

Border guard artillery units are targeting Russian forces in the Kramatorsk and Kupyansk directions, as well as in the area of the Serebrianske Forestry.

As a result, 9 enemy shelters, 2 drone control points, and 3 infantry groups have been destroyed.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 7:47 AM

Zaporizhzhia:

Last night, Russian drones blew up my friend (and early WCK partner) Alex Beluga’s humanitarian warehouse in Zaporizhzhia. Thankfully nobody was hurt 🙏 but we lost 1000s of pounds of Hachiko pet food & supplies—incinerated by the blasts. Despite this, we won’t stop our work!😾

[image or embed]

— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 11:18 AM

Some more video from the scene this morning, dog food still smoking! If you are able to help us replace the food, I would be grateful 🙏 hachikofoundation.org/donate

[image or embed]

— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) June 14, 2025 at 5:40 PM

Stavropol Krai, Russia:

The Russian outlet The Moscow Times reports that drone attacks have halted production at the “Nevinnomyssky Azot” plant in Stavropol Krai, Russia — one of the largest producers of ammonia and nitrogen fertilizers in the country.
www.moscowtimes.ru/2025/06/16/o…

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) June 17, 2025 at 6:18 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

❗️🇺🇦Ukrainian cat intercepts FPV drone

[image or embed]

— 🪖MilitaryNewsUA🇺🇦 (@militarynewsua.bsky.social) June 11, 2025 at 8:30 AM

Touch not the cat bot a glove!

Open thread!

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    8Comments

    1. 1.

      Adam L Silverman

      June 17, 2025 at 9:39 pm

      I’m gonna get cleaned up and rack out. I will try to check back in later.

      Reply
    2. 2.

      persistentillusion

      June 17, 2025 at 9:46 pm

      Thank you, Adam.  Your insightful commentary is always welcome.

      Reply
    3. 3.

      Princess Leia

      June 17, 2025 at 9:54 pm

      Thank you, Adam.

      Reply
    4. 4.

      Jay

      June 17, 2025 at 9:57 pm

      Thank you, Adam.

      Reply
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      AlaskaReader

      June 17, 2025 at 9:58 pm

      Thanks Adam

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      Westyny

      June 17, 2025 at 10:09 pm

      Thank you, Adam.

      Reply
    7. 7.

      Parfigliano

      June 17, 2025 at 11:22 pm

      Schrodinger’s War.

      Reply
    8. 8.

      Sister Inspired Revolver of Freedom

      June 17, 2025 at 11:49 pm

      Thank you Adam.

      Reply

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