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You are here: Home / 2025 Activism / 218-51-1-5 is what happened today

218-51-1-5 is what happened today

by David Anderson|  July 3, 20255:05 pm| 50 Comments

This post is in: 2025 Activism, Absent Friends, Anderson On Health Insurance

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🚨🚨 NEW: House passes sprawling domestic policy bill, sending it to Trump's desk

Final House vote is 218-214, with TWO Rs voting no (Massie & Fitzpatrick).

Senate passed it 51-50.

www.nbcnews.com/politics/con…

[image or embed]

— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur.bsky.social) July 3, 2025 at 2:33 PM

This was predetermined in November. Republicans are going to pass massive upper income tax cuts and gut social insurance spending — that has been a constant since 1981.

The way forward is to get at least one of those veto positions. 218 is the most straightforward in 2026.

The one thing that modestly surprised me is that the House had several votes to spare so Republicans running in Harris won districts could have voted NO and hoped YES. All but one in that situation decided to take the electoral hit of passing a grossly unpopular bill. That is WEIRD.

A LARGE SHOELESS FOOT STEPPING ON A PILE OF LEGOS

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    50Comments

    1. 1.

      WaterGirl

      July 3, 2025 at 5:14 pm

      Now it has to go to reconciliation, right?

      Reply
    2. 2.

      Elizabelle

      July 3, 2025 at 5:15 pm

      More afraid of Trump and their colleagues than their constituents.  That is sad, and weird.

      Reply
    3. 3.

      Captain C

      July 3, 2025 at 5:19 pm

      All but one in that situation decided to take the electoral hit of passing a grossly unpopular bill. That is WEIRD.

      Some combination of death threats and not wanting to alienate their own friends and social circle?

      Reply
    4. 4.

      Hunter Gathers

      July 3, 2025 at 5:19 pm

      That one vote may not have been swayed by a free trip to the White House gift shop.

      Reply
    5. 5.

      David Anderson

      July 3, 2025 at 5:21 pm

      @WaterGirl: nope house passed the Senate bill as is … Just needs a signature

      Reply
    6. 6.

      Mathguy

      July 3, 2025 at 5:26 pm

      Don Bacon (NE-2) is an asshole and decided to retire rather than face the music in 2026. Sells himself as a moderate, votes purely reactionary in every important decision.

      Reply
    7. 7.

      CaseyL

      July 3, 2025 at 5:28 pm

      With ICE now funded to become Trump’s private army, maybe the GOP really doesn’t have to worry about future elections.

      Reply
    8. 8.

      dm

      July 3, 2025 at 5:31 pm

      I wonder if walking on a bunch of legos like that is actually nicer, because the legos can scrunch and move out of the way.  Unpleasant, but not UNPLEASANT.  Like walking on gravel.

      Or might be a new kind of self-empowerment the way barefoot-on-hot-coals was a couple of decades ago….

      Reply
    9. 9.

      HopefullyNotcassandra

      July 3, 2025 at 5:33 pm

      @Captain C: May I suggest wingnut welfare and wingnut internecine warfare are intertwined?

      The Supreme Court declared (for every goyper’s convenience) that receipt of tips was not bribery.  Oh no!  That gift was but a tip!  ( Somewhere Bob Ney must be sobbing.  He only accepted a golf vacation to Scotland !)

      Unless I missed something ( and this bill is bigly dangerous, sadistic, looong and in senate flush for days), tips are now tax free.*

      Let the not-corruption, corporate appreciation gift-giving begin!

      * please correct me if I missed something.

      I am truly hoping our gop electeds didn’t just sell out our hospitals for thirty pieces of silver and a few White House geegaws tax free.  Although what good reason can there possibly be for this vote? I certainly cannot find it

      Reply
    10. 10.

      WaterGirl

      July 3, 2025 at 5:35 pm

      @David Anderson: Wow.  I have been away all day.  The House passed the exact piece of shit bill that came out of the Senate?  Pathetic.

      A sad day for America.

      Reply
    11. 11.

      NotMax

      July 3, 2025 at 5:36 pm

      Welcome to die Zukunft.
      //

      Reply
    12. 12.

      bbleh

      July 3, 2025 at 5:36 pm

      All but one in that situation decided to take the electoral hit of passing a grossly unpopular bill. That is WEIRD.

      I’ve seen many versions of this comment, both prospective and now retrospective, and I’ll say again, I DON’T think it’s weird.

      First and most basically, they don’t care about the well-being of people on Medicaid, whether they vote for them or not.

      Secondly, almost all of them are FAR more afraid of PRIMARY voters than of voters in the general election, because primary voters skew extreme, which among Republicans means MAGAt.  Vote against the Supreme Leader’s bill and you are pretty much guaranteed to have some frothing wingnut run against you in the next primary, and the VAST majority of them are more likely to lose that race than a general election against a Democrat.

      Third, as innumerable polls and reports have pointed out, voters don’t know what’s in the bill.  More of them probably believe the Supreme Leader when he says he “won’t touch Medicaid or Medicare” than know even the first thing this bill contains.  When the sh!t finally does hit the fan, their voters are more likely to blame Democrats or Immigrants or Inner-City Welfare Types than this bill or their Congress-critter.

      And fourth, as they know well because they’ve got it down to a science the last 40 years or so, even IF voters make the connection, most of them will STILL vote Republican, because Republicans will pull out the old racism-infused moralism, blah blah “welfare” blah “immigrants” blah blah “inner-city” blah, and the very voters whom their vote and their bill have fked over will line up to vote righteously for them again.

      Reply
    13. 13.

      Captain C

      July 3, 2025 at 5:39 pm

      @HopefullyNotcassandra: I’m sure that decision had nothing to do with Clarence Thomas being the GOAT at taking bribes, er, gifts and tips from his friends who certainly wouldn’t do that to influence SCROTUS decisons that said friends had a stake or interest in.

      Reply
    14. 14.

      RevRick

      July 3, 2025 at 5:43 pm

      @bbleh: I looking at you, Ryan MacKenzie. He was one of 21 GOP Representatives who had written to the House Ways and Means Committee asking that the energy tax credits be protected. They were gutted and he voted for the Abomination.
      His care for the environment is like the Platte River in the summer: a mile wide at the mouth, but only 6 inches deep.

      Reply
    15. 15.

      Jackie

      July 3, 2025 at 5:44 pm

      @WaterGirl:

      Now it has to go to reconciliation, right?

      No. The Senate bill is the same bill the House passed today.

      FFOTUS is celebrating 4th of July with a yuuuge signing ceremony sometime tomorrow. :-(

      Reply
    16. 16.

      trollhattan

      July 3, 2025 at 5:46 pm

      File also, too, under assholes gonna asshole.

      “The Imperial Irrigation District (IID) Board of Directors approved on Tuesday a resolution opposing the continued expansion of utility-scale solar projects on active or historically farmed agricultural land within the District’s service area.

      The action comes as more than 13,000 acres of Imperial Valley farmland have already been converted for solar energy development—projects that largely export electricity to urban centers like San Diego, providing little to no benefit for local communities, the IID said in a prepared statement. “Our identity and economy in the Imperial Valley are rooted in agriculture,” said IID Board Chairwoman Gina Dockstader. “Solar energy has a role in our region’s future, but it cannot come at the cost of our farmland, food supply, or the families who depend on agriculture. This resolution is about protecting our way of life.” …

      Special note: 13k acres in an ag area 100% dependent on irrigation water is nothing. As in nothing.

      Also, if you want, you can raise the panels and graze critters there.

      Reply
    17. 17.

      Elizabelle

      July 3, 2025 at 5:46 pm

      Well, they did it to themselves.  And I am staying off any news sites for a few days.  Don’t even want to see the spin and whatever the Vichy Times comes up with.

      It’s like praising Jim Jones for being a visionary leader.  He got ALL those people to go along with him!  Oh.  Wait.

      Reply
    18. 18.

      NotMax

      July 3, 2025 at 5:47 pm

      @Jackie

      Featuring the pilots who bombed Iran as props, it has been reported.

      Reply
    19. 19.

      Archon

      July 3, 2025 at 5:53 pm

      I’m no student of history but has a representative Republic’s legislative body ever passed anything close to as upward distributive as this bill?

      Reply
    20. 20.

      Steve LaBonne

      July 3, 2025 at 5:57 pm

      The swing district members figure they still have some chance in the general but none at all if they’re primaried. Perfectly rational from their selfish, twisted point of view.

      Reply
    21. 21.

      Jackie

      July 3, 2025 at 5:57 pm

      @NotMax: You mean the MAGA Congress isn’t ordered to attend?

      Reply
    22. 22.

      trollhattan

      July 3, 2025 at 5:59 pm

      @NotMax: ​
      No doubt they’ll be THRILLED at being doxxed. And the ICE asshats get to wear masks?

      Reply
    23. 23.

      comrade scotts agenda of rage

      July 3, 2025 at 6:00 pm

      @Mathguy:

      All he has to do is look on the other side of the Capitol to see two masters of that, Suzie Furrowbrows and Murderkowski.

      Reply
    24. 24.

      Elizabelle

      July 3, 2025 at 6:02 pm

      @Archon:  I think they made huge progress at overturning the New Deal and its follow on legislation, and other social welfare programs.  Maybe the GOP will hold its next members’ meeting at Hyde Park, and they can urinate on his grave.

      It took decades, but they are getting there.

      Reply
    25. 25.

      no body no name

      July 3, 2025 at 6:05 pm

      @Elizabelle:

      They’re afraid of Trump because of their constituents.

      Reply
    26. 26.

      ArchTeryx

      July 3, 2025 at 6:09 pm

      We thought the same in 2017, to, but they made some huge tactical errors along the way that, in the end, sunk their attempt at Obamacare repeal. They missed the 51.

      They got a lot smarter this time. No keggers after their mass murder bill passed in the House – they passed it in the dead of night and said as little as possible about it. The Senate was virtually guaranteed to pass the bill – they had several Golden Tickets to give out even with Thune claiming one. Opposition was given no time to mobilize and while disability advocates once again sent their wheelchair army, once again they were all arrested and hauled away – mostly out of sight of cameras. They didn’t even make a blip on the radar.

      And unless several unexpected things happen, they just signed my death warrant. They just did it 8 years later than expected.

      Reply
    27. 27.

      Elizabelle

      July 3, 2025 at 6:13 pm

      @ArchTeryx:  All I can say is hang in there.  You live in a blue state, I believe?

      Republicans.

      No common good for thee.  Grift for TRUMP and me.

      Reply
    28. 28.

      gene108

      July 3, 2025 at 6:14 pm

      @HopefullyNotcassandra:

      Although what good reason can there possibly be for this vote? I certainly cannot find it

      To destroy the social contract the Progressive Era and New Deal created, where the wealthy would be taxed at higher rates to provide a safety net for others.

      They are changing this. The wealthy pay less in taxes, the safety net gets gutted, and the savings from gutting the safety net gets spent on creating a police state via a huge spending boost to DHS.

      They’re rewriting the social contract government has had with the governed for 90+ years.

      I think RJK, Jr.’s eugenics-curious healthcare policy is part of changing what people can expect the government to do.

      Reply
    29. 29.

      Marcopolo

      July 3, 2025 at 6:17 pm

      Question for David.  Get my health insurance via ACA in MO. My income falls between 150-200% of poverty. I currently get a pretty good subsidy with a silver plan. I did not have insurance for a decade before the ACA & it has been a lifesaver for me for, what, about 15 years now.

      With passage of this bill I assume my costs will skyrocket (will cross that bridge when it arrives), but should I be worried that the ACA might not even exist to offer me plans come next year?  I turn 63 this year & was hoping to get to 65 and on Medicare before all hell broke loose but there you go.  Guess fingers crossed Medicare exists a few years from now.

      thanks in advance for your answer.

      Reply
    30. 30.

      tobie

      July 3, 2025 at 6:19 pm

      My biggest fear is the $44 billion budget for ICE, which will be Trump’s private paramilitary force. SCOTUS gave Trump the ability to strip enough citizens of their birthright citizenship to ensure Republican victories in 2026 and beyond, and ICE will be there to quash dissent. Amy Coney Barrett will sanctimoniously intone that as long as a person’s citizenship is in question they can’t possibly vote. I’m angry and heartbroken at the same time.

      Reply
    31. 31.

      greenergood

      July 3, 2025 at 6:20 pm

      Watching from across the Pond, I feel sick at what the land of my birth has done – and how many legistlators are happy about it – nightmare …

      Reply
    32. 32.

      Marcopolo

      July 3, 2025 at 6:21 pm

      @ArchTeryx: Makes me appreciate John McCain all the more.  I hope whoever runs against Hawley here in MO cuts an ad that mentions Hawley’s book about “masculinity” & points out McCain was a real mensch & Hawley (who said he wouldn’t vote to cut Medicaid) is just a loser wanker.

      Reply
    33. 33.

      WTFGhost

      July 3, 2025 at 6:23 pm

      Yeah, that’s what happened.
      Republicans expect tender hearted Democrats to fix things. We can’t, not until people stop hating us.

      Now, I posted a parody song, a filthy one, and, hey, no engagement, no worries, it’s my “ugly baby” that looks so beautiful to me. But maybe you don’t get, maybe you just don’t feel, a filthy, immature ditty, like:

      (To the tune of Leroy Brown)It was a big, bad, fugly bill
      baddest thing from the Capitol Hill
      Badder than a disco dance
      And mean as Don Shitzinpantz!

      And I generally wouldn’t either, except…

      Tomorrow, I would want the entire Democratic caucus leading every voter in the US in a ROUSING chorus of this, or some more biting parody, rather than just feeling badly because people are going to die. I want to throw our defiance in the mouth of their victory, and have them suddenly DO MORE because they’re afraid something big and bad is coming, and it’s no longer the fugly bill.

      That “doing more” is what will help break them.

      So: find something. Find something funny, outlandishly immature, ridiculously unsporting, and find what you’d yell in the Trumpbaby’s face to try to make it go all crinkly, like it does before he needs a diaper change. It is, literally, the time to, metaphorically, spit in their faces.

      All my humble opinion, but finding a laughing defiance in the face of their unflinching hate is the proper response for someone like me. I hope you find the right response for you – and that it makes you happy, or proud, or rage-filled, or vengeful feeling, etc..

      Just remember: if we made this bill toxic enough, they’d have to undo it.

      Reply
    34. 34.

      WTFGhost

      July 3, 2025 at 6:35 pm

      @HopefullyNotcassandra: There is a limit of $25000 annually on tips, and, it may be restricted to tipped employees, i.e. those that don’t get minimum wage.

      As for this:

      I am truly hoping our gop electeds didn’t just sell out our hospitals for thirty pieces of silver and a few White House geegaws tax free.  Although what good reason can there possibly be for this vote? I certainly cannot find it

      Someone posted that Southern men held honor and esteem above their own lives, and would FIGHT DUELS and WARS and and and, that made them more MANLY than those effete northerners, who’d say “dude, your bad opinion of me is not worth killing you over, much less dying over.”

      Well – if true, this is them being able to rub in our face how they put EVERY SINGLE POISON PILL they’d ever IMAGINED into this bill, and “See? Ha ha haha ha! You can’t stop us!” They *DOMINATED*. They have HIGHER STATUS. They are thereby MORE MANLY.

      Last time they felt that way, we had to kill an awful lot of them. I hope that’s not necessary again, but it’s looking to get that way. There’s too many people who chase a Black man down, and when he tries to swipe a gun off them, shoot him, and claim self defense from the kidnapping victim!

      (At least four, IIRC, though I think they all went to jail.)

      Reply
    35. 35.

      Geminid

      July 3, 2025 at 6:43 pm

      @Steve LaBonne: Even if one of those swing district Republicans could eke out a primary win, enough Trumpers would stay home in November to sink them. The hard-core MAGA people have little party loyalty.

      Reply
    36. 36.

      ArchTeryx

      July 3, 2025 at 6:46 pm

      @Elizabelle: Yes, I do. But there is absolutely *no* way we can make up for the loss of close to $10B in Medicaid funding. And my job itself depends on Medicaid – I am a financial analyst for NYS. People are already panicking because every single person associated with the Medicaid program in New York just got put on a RIF list. And with work requirements, my disabilities, and the extreme cuts to Medicaid funding, the chances of my getting it after the layoffs hit are remote.

      It’s not an immediate or instant threat like it was in 2017, but it’s a train that will not be stopped now.

      Reply
    37. 37.

      Betty

      July 3, 2025 at 6:48 pm

      @Hunter Gathers: Fitzpatrick had a die-in either at his office or home. I have seen both reported. He seemed to hide out for a while and then voted no.  Not sure if the die-in persuaded him, but maybe there should be more of them to make the point.

      Reply
    38. 38.

      Betty

      July 3, 2025 at 6:50 pm

      @WaterGirl: And for Lisa. She was sure the House would fix it.

      Reply
    39. 39.

      MrPug

      July 3, 2025 at 6:56 pm

      They really seem to think, unfortunately with some justification, that there will be no, or at least very little, penalty to pay for passing one of the least popular bills in the history of the country.  November 2026 is a long way away and the really worst of the bill, from impacting people’s access to healthcare and, you know, food, won’t happen until after that.

      Reply
    40. 40.

      gene108

      July 3, 2025 at 7:14 pm

      @MrPug:

      November 2026 is a long way away and the really worst of the bill, from impacting people’s access to healthcare and, you know, food, won’t happen until after that.

      I read an article a little while ago, I can’t remember where, that quoted a doctor at a rural hospital. The biggest problem with closing rural hospitals, and clinics will be for people with chronic conditions to receive care.

      People dying from kidney failure or heart disease because of uncontrolled diabetes or high blood pressure will take quite some time before being readily apparent in health data.

      So even after the worst hits, it’ll take awhile for the effects to become noticeable.

      Reply
    41. 41.

      David Anderson

      July 3, 2025 at 7:28 pm

      @Marcopolo: The ACA will be here next year and if you get the benchmark Silver plan, you’re probably paying an extra $20 to $40 per month

      Reply
    42. 42.

      NotMax

      July 3, 2025 at 7:31 pm

      Pic caption?

      “Salaam aleikum, y;all.”
      ;)

      Reply
    43. 43.

      NotMax

      July 3, 2025 at 7:32 pm

      # 42 – wrong thread.

      Reply
    44. 44.

      WTFGhost

      July 3, 2025 at 8:06 pm

      @MrPug: Well, they’ve just told us that our most important job for the next 15 months is to stuff this ugly turd back down their throat.

      Reply
    45. 45.

      Wapiti

      July 3, 2025 at 8:14 pm

      @trollhattan: If some farmer has a really low priority for water (I think it’s based on seniority, when that piece of land first started using water), they’re pretty well dry and broke in a drought. Better to grow solar that pays out whether you’re in drought or not.

      Reply
    46. 46.

      dm

      July 3, 2025 at 8:35 pm

      @trollhattan: Many vegetables do well under solar panels too — some of them the story of thing the Imperial Valley is famous for.

      https://www.canr.msu.edu/news/agrivoltaic-opportunities-grow-crops-in-solar-energy-systems

      https://www.telkes.org/landowner-news/what-can-you-grow-with-agrivoltaics-a-guide-to-crops-for-dual-use-farming

      Reply
    47. 47.

      AnnaN

      July 3, 2025 at 9:06 pm

      I’m pretty sure that the consequences of future elections has no bearing on how the Repubs voted.  I find it easy to believe we will no longer have national elections which matter.   This is our Putin Era.

      Reply
    48. 48.

      Marcopolo

      July 3, 2025 at 9:26 pm

      @David Anderson: Ty for the reply.  That’s much less worse than i expected.

      Reply
    49. 49.

      HopefullyNotcassandra

      July 3, 2025 at 9:50 pm

      @Captain C:  Some might think so.

      I couldn’t possibly comment.

      Reply
    50. 50.

      HopefullyNotcassandra

      July 3, 2025 at 9:59 pm

      @WTFGhost: thank you for the clarification.

      I hear you otherwise.

      There certainly are more sadists running around than I thought.

      Bless their tiny hearts, these Goypers want every zygote born and folks on Medicaid to be bankrupted every time.  No baby can be covered until 30! days after birth.

      Reply

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