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You are here: Home / Foreign Affairs / War for Ukraine Day 1,444: The Butcher’s Bill from Last Night’s Russian Attack

War for Ukraine Day 1,444: The Butcher’s Bill from Last Night’s Russian Attack

by Adam L Silverman|  February 7, 202610:35 pm| 24 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

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Ukrainian Independence Day painting by NEIVANMADE. The background is black with grotesque armored faces in dark blood red with Russian Z war symbols on their helmets. In the center is a tree. It's roots are red, it's trunk, which has windows is lighter at the top than the bottom. The crown of the tree is the color of the Ukrainian flag: blue at the top, yellow at the bottom. It is shaped like a heart. The outer leaves are Ukrainain Soldiers holding shields with the Tryzub on them. Spikes are protruding from the Soldiers towars the Russian grotesques. The inside of the heart are Ukrainian civilians being protected by the Ukrainian Soldiers.

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

Since Cole asked me to do the earlier one off explainer post, I’m just going to run through the basics.

The cost:

Chief Master Sergeant Mykhailo Protsenko, a 30‑year‑old rescuer, was killed while responding to the aftermath of a russian attack in Yagotyn, Kyiv Region.

He died when structures collapsed; his colleague remains hospitalized with serious injuries.

Mykhailo leaves behind his wife and two young sons

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 2:58 PM

This Ukrainian girl lost both of her parents when a Russian drone struck their apartment just outside Kyiv.

[image or embed]

— UNITED24 Media (@united24media.com) February 6, 2026 at 5:35 PM

Here’s what Russia threw at the Ukrainians last night:

Last night, russia unleashed 400+ drones and dozens of missiles on Ukraine.

Once again, the main targets were critical infrastructure — thermal power plants, substations, and energy nodes supplying entire regions.

[image or embed]

— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 3:49 AM

The enemy launched over 400 drones and ~ 40 missiles.
💡The primary target was Ukraine’s energy system – generation facilities and distribution substations.

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 10:04 AM

Damage has been reported in Volyn, Ivano-Frankivsk, Lviv, and Rivne regions.
In Rivne, a residential high-rise was hit.
In Vinnytsia region drones struck the administrative building of an ordinary agricultural college. There were also strikes in Kyiv and Kharkiv regions.

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 10:04 AM

And here’s the Ukrainian air defense tally:

💢Overnight, Ukrainian air defence neutralized 406 out of 447 enemy targets.

Destroyed/suppressed:
▪️14 of 21 Kh-101 cruise missiles
▪️10 of 16 Kalibr cruise missiles
▪️382 of 408 enemy UAVs of various types
▪️0 of 2 Zircon missiles intercepted

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 10:28 AM

While this was going on, it appears Trump and his team are continuing to try to sell Ukraine out to Putin.

⚡ President Zelenskyy says there’s a rumored $12T US–Russia pact.

He says the draft “Dmitriev package,” cited by Ukrainian intelligence, may implicate Ukraine’s sovereignty and security.

— UNITED24 Media (@united24media.com) February 7, 2026 at 4:48 AM

From United24 Media:

Ukraine has voiced strong opposition to a proposed economic cooperation initiative between Russia and the United States—reportedly valued at $12 trillion—citing concerns that it could undermine Ukrainian sovereignty and security.

During a press conference with journalists on February 7, President Volodymyr Zelenskyy stated that Ukrainian intelligence has identified a draft initiative for economic collaboration between the US and Russia.

The project is informally referred to as the “Dmitriev package,” named after Kirill Dmitriev, a key representative of the Russian government.

Zelenskyy warned that certain provisions within the package may touch on issues affecting Ukraine’s territorial integrity and national interests. “We clearly demonstrate that Ukraine will not support even the possibility of agreements made about us without us,” he said.

The Ukrainian president emphasized that Kyiv will oppose any arrangement that contradicts the Constitution of Ukraine, including potential recognition of Crimea as Russian territory. “Even if we speak about compromises, they still must be fair,” Zelenskyy added, noting that Ukraine expects transparency in any deal involving its interests.

Zelenskyy reiterated that no lasting resolution to the war can be reached without credible security guarantees for Ukraine. He stated that the signing of such guarantees must precede other agreements. “I would very much like us to first sign the security guarantees and then sign other documents. This is not only about fairness, but also about trust,” he said.

More at the link.

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

Another Massive Russian Attack – Typical of Their Style – Came in Fact Against Ongoing Diplomatic Efforts at Various Levels – Address by the President

7 February 2026 – 17:06

I wish you good health, fellow Ukrainians!

Today, recovery efforts continue in many of our regions following the Russian strike. Another massive Russian attack – typical of their style – came in fact against ongoing diplomatic efforts at various levels. Over 400 Russian drones were launched, many of them “shaheds,” and nearly 40 missiles of various types. Our Ukrainian warriors managed to shoot down a significant number of them, but not all.

It is also crucial that Ukrainian diplomats, Ukrainian government officials, and Ukrainian military personnel continue working actively with our partners on what is truly effective – missiles for the Patriots, missiles for the IRIS-Ts, and all other systems we have. All of this is needed practically every day to protect lives.

Last night, the Russians struck, among other targets, facilities critical to the operation of Ukraine’s nuclear power plants. And this is dangerous for Ukraine, for our entire region, and for Europe. Today, units at Ukraine’s NPPs reduced power generation, and one unit was automatically shut down. This is a level of attack that no terrorist in the world has ever dared, and Russia must feel the response of the entire world – of all those who truly care about security. And Russia must show that not only such strikes and the war matter to it, but also the ongoing negotiations that are supposed to deliver results.

I want to thank the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine, all our rescuers in the State Emergency Service of Ukraine, utility services that are working, and all energy companies – both state-owned and private enterprises. Everyone must now work in maximum coordination, and I want to thank today all those working like this – professionally and with true dedication.

Across our entire country, repair and emergency crews are deployed. Forces are engaged practically from Volyn region to the border communities of Chernihiv and Kharkiv regions. There is still much work to be done in Kyiv, Kyiv region, central Ukraine, Ivano-Frankivsk, Vinnytsia, and some other regions.

I also instructed the Government and the Ministry of Internal Affairs to provide all necessary assistance to Odesa and Mykolaiv regions due to difficult weather conditions – severe temperature swings, challenging road conditions in the southern regions, and general strain on municipal services. Help must be delivered.

Today, I also met with the Minister of Defense of France: Madam Minister is visiting Ukraine. I briefed her on the consequences of today’s strike. We discussed what is urgently needed for Ukraine’s resilience and for our defense: primarily air defense, military aviation, and joint efforts for our defense, for strengthening Europe. I thank France for all the support provided. I will also be grateful for the implementation of what we discussed today.

One more thing. We had a detailed discussion with our negotiating team after talks with the Americans and in the trilateral format with the Russians. I believe that every meeting is important; every meeting adds clarity on when and how the war can truly end. For Ukraine, and for the overall reliability of any agreements, it is essential that there are security guarantees and that Russia does not return to Ukraine with a third invasion. Security guarantees are what can truly provide greater trust in the diplomatic process and the results we need.

We are currently working on the draft documents the team returned with, as well as on the timeline for further activities – future meetings and steps. I want to thank the team for their work, and in the coming days, we will continue preparing for the next formats with the team. I will also keep our European partners informed on what is on the table and the prospects ahead.

Ukraine is interested in Europe being part of these processes, and what we have achieved in engaging Europe and factoring in Europe’s interests is already quite serious. We continue to count on the same substantial support from Europe and from the United States, and I thank everyone in the United States who truly wants peace – and also on behalf of our other partners around the world. We all need to work together for real peace.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

“Glory to united, independent, European Georgia without the Georgian Dream!”

Day 437 of #GeorgiaProtests

We need:

1. Further isolation of the regime, a Russian proxy and sanctions evasion enabler, pro-Iran, pro-CCP;
2. Further targeted sanctions;

📷 MOSE

1/2

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 1:39 PM

3. Aid to CSOs and independent media;
4. International investigation into chemicals use against protesters;

2/2.

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 1:39 PM

A large turnout on day 437 of daily, uninterrupted protests in Georgia. 🇬🇪

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 11:29 AM

February 7 — Traditional Saturday march on the 437th day of continuous protest.

📷 Levan Zazadze

#GeorgiaProtests

[image or embed]

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 2:44 PM

Poland:

The Trump administration continues to hack away at the soft power branch that US hegemony sits on. Alienating America’s most loyal European ally is as self-destructive as it gets.

[image or embed]

— Maria Popova (@popovaprof.bsky.social) February 6, 2026 at 5:58 PM

From The Associated Press:

WARSAW, Poland (AP) — The U.S. ambassador to Poland announced on Thursday that the United States will have “no further dealings, contacts, or communications” with Włodzimierz Czarzasty, the speaker of the lower house of the Polish parliament, over what Rose called “outrageous and unprovoked insults directed against President Trump.”

Amb. Tom Rose did not specify what those alleged insults were, but Czarzasty had issued a public statement on Monday in which he said he would not support an initiative of his Israeli and American counterparts to nominate U.S. President Donald Trump for the Nobel Peace Prize.

Czarzasty is one of the leaders of a left-wing party in the liberal government led by Donald Tusk.

Ever since Trump came to power, Poland has had to walk a fine line between defending its European allies while not upsetting its most powerful ally, the United States, on which peace in neighboring Ukraine depends. Warsaw has so far managed to do this by having Tusk handle European Union matters and letting President Karol Nawrocki, who came to power supported by the national-conservative opposition party Law and Justice, connect with Trump.

More at the link.

Roman Giertych – Polish politician. Currently a member of the Polish Parliament and a lawyer.

[image or embed]

— ulvhednar.bsky.social (@ulvhednar.bsky.social) February 6, 2026 at 6:23 PM

Well-put by Giertych and striking how this idiotic behaviour by the Ambassador is bringing the Polish political class together. Giertych and the speaker are on opposite ends of the Polish political spectrum; there’s no love lost between them

— Maria Popova (@popovaprof.bsky.social) February 6, 2026 at 9:42 PM

Serious people abroad taking PET (Putin-Epstein-Trump) seriously.
www.reuters.com/world/poland…

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— Timothy Snyder (@timothysnyder.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 7:07 PM

From Reuters:

WARSAW, Feb 3 (Reuters) – Poland will launch an investigation into possible links between the late sex offender Jeffrey Epstein and Russian intelligence, as well as any impact on Poland, Prime Minister Donald Tusk said on Tuesday.

The U.S. Justice Department’s recent release of millions of internal documents related to Epstein has revealed the late financier and sex offender’s ties to many prominent people in politics, finance, academia and business – both before and after he pleaded guilty in 2008 to prostitution charges.

Tusk told a government meeting that authorities would establish a team to investigate any potential fallout in Poland from Epstein’s crimes, in particular in relation to what he said was possible involvement by Russian secret services.

Russia’s foreign ministry did not immediately reply to a written request for comment on Tusk’s allegations. The Russian Embassy in Warsaw also did not immediately respond to an emailed request for comment.

“More and more leads, more and more information, and more and more commentary in the global press all relate to the suspicion that this unprecedented paedophilia scandal was co-organised by Russian intelligence services,” Tusk said.

“I don’t need to tell you how serious the increasingly likely possibility that Russian intelligence services co-organised this operation is for the security of the Polish state. This can only mean that they also possess compromising materials against many leaders still active today.”

More at the link.

I’ve seen some posting that the Russians accidentally hit a Polish ammo depo in last night’s attack on Ukraine, but until I see reporting with legitimate sourcing consider this somewhere between RUMINT and not yet confirmed.

Hungary:

“We must choose a government that will say ‘no’ to everyone – Moscow, Brussels, Washington – when necessary,” – Orban.

So that means choosing not your government.

Because I’m struggling to count how many times you’ve said ‘no’ to Putin.
Somewhere between zero and… still zero.

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 11:13 AM

Moldova:

⚡ A Russian Gerbera drone crashed in northern Moldova.

Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Moldova condemned the incident near Sofia village in Drochia district as a possible airspace violation and public safety threat.

[image or embed]

— UNITED24 Media (@united24media.com) February 7, 2026 at 9:27 AM

Back to Ukraine.

LELÉKA will represent Ukraine at Eurovision 2026 in Vienna with the song “Ridnym”

When we oppose our fears
And turn all our woes to cheers
I know the roots still carry water
When all the seeds we’ve sown
Blossom and lead us home
We’ll see the trees grow even taller

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 4:10 PM

Ukrainian rescuers are true titans, working tirelessly around the clock-even in extreme cold-to save lives from the relentless consequences of russia’s never‑ending attacks.

The video shows their “ice armor” formed after extinguishing a fire in extreme cold.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 3:27 PM

 

Witness the extraordinary story of Mykola Lyubarets, a pilot who defied Russian encirclement to fly a near-suicide mission into Mariupol.

🔗 youtu.be/uNllB9xoVns

[image or embed]

— UNITED24 Media (@united24media.com) February 6, 2026 at 2:09 PM

⚡ On February 6, the 2026 Winter Olympics officially kicked off in Italy. The grand opening took place in Milan.

Ukraine will compete in 11 out of 16 sports at the 2026 Olympics, with a total of 46 athletes representing the country.

[image or embed]

— UNITED24 Media (@united24media.com) February 7, 2026 at 3:56 AM

⚡ Ukrainian Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha warns Russia’s strikes risk a nuclear incident in Europe.

He says repeated drone and missile attacks on Ukraine’s nuclear infrastructure are steadily escalating the danger.

🔗 united24media.com/latest-news/…

[image or embed]

— UNITED24 Media (@united24media.com) February 7, 2026 at 11:19 AM

From United24 Media:

Ukraine’s Foreign Minister Andrii Sybiha has warned that Russia’s continued strikes on Ukraine’s nuclear energy infrastructure pose a growing risk of a nuclear incident in Europe.

In a post on social media, Sybiha said the danger is increasing due to repeated drone and missile attacks targeting critical facilities.

According to Sybiha, recent Russian strikes on Ukraine’s power grid have forced all three operational nuclear plants to reduce output, triggering automatic shutdown protocols and unit disconnections.

“Each such situation is a direct threat,” he wrote on X, adding that no nuclear incidents have occurred so far only “thanks to the professionalism of Ukrainian nuclear energy professionals.”

In addition to direct attacks on power infrastructure, Sybiha referenced new concerns raised by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which has documented multiple drone flyovers near the Rivne and Khmelnytskyi nuclear power plants. The agency classified these incidents as significant security threats.

Sybiha also cited earlier Russian actions at other nuclear sites. These include the use of drones to strike the New Safe Confinement structure at the Chornobyl site and the occupation of the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP), which Russia converted into a military installation during the full-scale invasion.

He warned that such escalations are likely to continue unless the international community imposes stronger deterrents. “Solutions are ready,” he stated, listing proposed sanctions on Russia’s state nuclear company Rosatom, amendments to the IAEA Statute initiated by Ukraine, and enhanced air defense systems to shield energy infrastructure from aerial attacks.

Sybiha emphasized the cross-border risk of nuclear disruption, noting that the Rivne plant is located just 135 kilometers from the borders of the European Union and NATO. “Every air defense system and interceptor provided to Ukraine now is a contribution to the nuclear safety of the entire European continent,” he said.

More at the link.

A heavy night bomber drone of the Lazar unit pursues a fully loaded Russian BM-21 and takes it to the afterlife along with itself.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 8:20 AM

In January, special unit “Prymary” hit 6 enemy air-defense assets along the frontline:
• Pantsir-S1 air defense system
• Tor-M1 air defense system
• Tor-M2 air defense system with its transport-loader vehicle
• RLM-ME radar (part of the Nebo-M radar complex)
• “Protivnik-GE” surveillance radar

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 4:04 AM

Ukrainian forces hit a Uragan MLRS, a drone command post, and an FPV drone production center overnight the General Staff said. Strikes also targeted troop concentrations near Chasiv Yar and logistics sites in occupied areas.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 6:05 AM

Kyiv:

KYIV – Only 1.5 hours of power in last 20. Ecoflow that powers fridge dead. Using the large rechargeable flashlights, the main lights in rooms, sparingly. Another Ecoflow is fully drained after recharging Internet battery. Only powerbanks left for devices. Will last a day or 2.

[image or embed]

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 1:33 PM

Power back at 2130! Frantic scramble to plug in everything to recharge. If we get at least an hour we can fully recharge the Ecoflows. Glory to Ukraine’s power workers, and fuck fascist Russia!

— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 3:06 PM

Russia:

Russian economic collapse: China getting record oil discounts as India sales fall off a cliff.

India dropped Russian oil to gain US tariff relief, and now China has Russia over a barrel.

And as oil profits disappear, their collapse will keep accelerating.

GDP goes splat.📉🫟

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 2:03 AM

🚨Big Russian companies are being left to collapse due to federal budget exhaustion preventing bailouts.

Companies representing OVER 30% of the economy’s revenue are in trouble, and many are expected to ask for funds.

…except there’s no money left.

Get popcorn, NOW. 🍿🍿🍿

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 3:28 AM

Russians seem a bit upsetty about their Starlink terminals no longer working 😏

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 12:55 PM

Tver Oblast, Russia:

Friendly drones attacked the Redkinsky Experimental Chemical Plant near Tver on Russian swamps🥀

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 10:51 AM

The facility produces specialised chemical components for the aviation & defence industries; listed as a defence enterprise and is part of the supply chain of Russia’s military-industrial complex.

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 10:51 AM

Ukraine’s SBU hit a plant in Redkino in Russia’s Tver region that makes fuel components for Kh-55 and Kh-101 missiles NV sources say. A large fire was confirmed by NASA FIRMS data. The facility is sanctioned by the US and UK.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 6:02 AM

🔥

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 10:51 AM

Belgorod Oblast, Russia:

Belgorod, russia. Blackout.

Probably decided to turn off the lights out of shame for constantly attacking Kharkiv.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 2:09 PM

Multiple explosions were heard in Russia’s Belgorod this morning. A strike on the Luch thermal power plant reportedly knocked out power across the city and nearby villages.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 3:00 AM

Belgorod came under its third missile attack of the day with explosions and blackouts reported again this evening. Russian media also claim a HIMARS strike hit the Bryansk region.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 2:25 PM

Kursk Oblast, Russia:

“Something unknown” hit a gas station in Russia’s Kursk region.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 7:57 AM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

As we feed the Ukrainian cats 😸 today, the Hachiko team is using a new tool: a drone detector that can pick up video signals from Russian attack drones. This is life on the front lines of Ukraine now…

[image or embed]

— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) February 7, 2026 at 11:29 AM

Open thread!

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Reader Interactions

24Comments

  1. 1.

    AlaskaReader

    February 7, 2026 at 10:44 pm

    Thanks Adam

  2. 2.

    Gin & Tonic

    February 7, 2026 at 10:49 pm

    Adam, thanks for highlighting the idiocy of the US Ambassador to Poland. Uniting the entire political spectrum against the US is brilliant work.

  3. 3.

    Adam L Silverman

    February 7, 2026 at 10:58 pm

    @AlaskaReader: You’re welcome.

  4. 4.

    Adam L Silverman

    February 7, 2026 at 10:59 pm

    @Gin & Tonic: You’re welcome. Thanks for the heads up on it.

  5. 5.

    Jay

    February 7, 2026 at 11:25 pm

    Thank you, Adam.

  6. 6.

    Jay

    February 7, 2026 at 11:28 pm

    Pete
    @splendid_pete
    Feb 6
    This is Noah Krieger, AKA Murad Salmanovich Dadaev, brother of the hitman Suleyman Dadaev who sits in prison in Austria for assassinating Ramzan Kadyrov’s critic.

    Publicly, he poses as a rising star in Germany’s far-right AfD party, wearing fedoras and smoking cigars while preaching about “German patriotism” and demanding the deportation of foreigners. Privately, he is a Chechen native who changed his name to hide a direct bloodline to political murder. While he plays the role of a German nationalist, intelligence reports suggest he is actually operating as an influence agent for the Kremlin and Kadyrov’s inner circle.

    The secret he tried to bury is his link to the brutal 2009 Vienna murder of Umar Israilov, a whistleblower who exposed torture under Kadyrov.

    His brother, Suleyman, pulled the trigger and is serving 19 years in an Austrian prison. Investigators believe Murad (Krieger) didn’t just watch, he acted as a spotter, conducting surveillance on the victim before the execution.

    Until recently, Krieger squatted in a historic 19th-century villa in Hanover, styling it as his business empire’s HQ. In reality, he had stopped paying rent. When the courts finally ordered his eviction in December 2025, the villa conveniently went up in flames the night before the bailiff arrived. Police are investigating for arson.

    The video shows he is being forcefully evicted by police from the Hanover villa he was illegally squatting in, just hours after a suspicious fire broke out on the property to likely destroy evidence.

    Always take out the trash!
    Feb 6, 2026 ·

    nitter.poast.org/splendid_pete/status/2019669364383863006#m

  7. 7.

    Jay

    February 7, 2026 at 11:31 pm

    ChrisO_wiki
    @ChrisO_wiki
    15h
    1/ General Vladimir Alexseyev, who was shot yesterday in a Moscow apartment building, may have been secretly visiting his mistress before the attack. Despite a reputation as an uncorrupt officer, he is said to have enjoyed the same luxurious lifestyle as many of his peers. ⬇️

    Feb 7, 2026 ·

    Thread,

    nitter.poast.org/ChrisO_wiki/status/2020117631785656345#m

  8. 8.

    M Hall

    February 7, 2026 at 11:31 pm

    About these projections of impending economic collapse for russia: How can we gather any real hope from these projections when similar projections have been reported every year for years now already? How is russia even able to operate currently after so many projected economic dooms?

  9. 9.

    wjca

    February 7, 2026 at 11:34 pm

    Does the US have any ambassadors left to whom the characterization “diplomat” could be applied with a straight face?

  10. 10.

    Jay

    February 7, 2026 at 11:42 pm

    Elisa Mosini 🇪🇺🇮🇹
    @MosiniElisa
    Feb 6
    Source: Economist/YouGov
    Trump is teaching a growing segment of Republicans to view Canada and the EU as unfriendly or enemies (Canada: from 12% to 27%, EU: from 17% to 29% among Republicans).

    Canada and the EU need stronger independence and closer mutual collaboration
    🇪🇺🤝🇨🇦

    Feb 6, 2026 ·

    nitter.poast.org/MosiniElisa/status/2019832718490583143#m

  11. 11.

    Westyny

    February 7, 2026 at 11:44 pm

    Thank you, Adam.  I look forward to our eventual rebuilding of our diplomatic core.

  12. 12.

    Jay

    February 7, 2026 at 11:56 pm

    @M Hall:

    Have you seen ruZZia ouside of Moscow, St. Petersburg and a few other cities?

    It basically is the 14th Century there still.

    Didn’t take much in ways to survive in the 14th Century.

    So they still do, the vast majority mine billions in diamonds, gold, oil, grow crops, feed ruZZia, then go home to a place that would be elevated to a shack if they had tarpaper, have a hole in the back yard to shit in or if in an apartment, a dirt street to dump the bucket into, no running water, wood or coal for heat, eat buckwheat porridge for breakfast, lunch and dinner like the 14th Century serfs they are.

    No real Government services, except for the Tsar’s men, who keep “order” with brutal violence.

  13. 13.

    Jay

    February 8, 2026 at 12:00 am

    (((Tendar)))
    @Tendar
    10h
    Former Deputy Minister of Justice of the Russia, Sergey Tropin, has been found dead in a bathtub. According to Russian authorities he drowned.

    I guess the windows were locked too tightly.

    Feb 7, 2026

    nitter.poast.org/Tendar/status/2020195862123778259#m

  14. 14.

    Lyrebird

    February 8, 2026 at 12:00 am

    @Gin & Tonic: Yes, quite a masterstroke to do that.

    And thanks Adam.  Mr. Giertych’s letter is beautiful – wish he’d never had to write it, though!

  15. 15.

    YY_Sima Qian

    February 8, 2026 at 12:20 am

    @Jay: The villages I’ve visited in Buryatia in 2017 (& these are touristy places) were not better than the poorest parts of the Chinese countryside. I doubt their living conditions have improved much since, whereas their Chinese counterparts have due to state intervention.

  16. 16.

    YY_Sima Qian

    February 8, 2026 at 12:25 am

    Jeffrey Lewis on the 2020 PRC nuclear “test” asserted by the Trump State Department (pretty technical):

    Dr. Jeffrey Lewis @ArmsControlWonk

    A few (ok, many) thoughts on possible Chinese nuclear testing, after @UnderSecT declassified the fact that the IC believes China has been conducting low-yield nuclear explosions including on on June 22, 2020. Ends with Trump getting a Nobel Prize if he wants it. Weird journey.

    …

    Dr. Jeffrey Lewis @ArmsControlWonk

    TL;DR: One possibility is that the Chinese are doing 1-point safety tests, with an overrun range in the hundreds of tons. If so, and Trump wants a Nobel Prize, we should just agree with the other nuclear powers that these don’t count as explosions.

    The last time the US had a safety problem, apparently with the B83, they discovered it AND solved it with simulations because our laboratories are amazing. If it had required a one-point safety test, I would have understood the unfortunate circumstance.
    https://www.washingtonpost.com/national/national-security/supercomputers-offer-tools-for-nuclear-testing–and-solving-nuclear-mysteries/2011/10/03/gIQAjnngdM_story.html

  17. 17.

    Jay

    February 8, 2026 at 12:40 am

    @YY_Sima Qian:

    So, after the “fall” of the So- Be- It- Union I worked for a BC Logging Company, (well, technically International), Wet Coast from Oregon to Alaska.

    Their business plan was to buy ruZZian timber licenses and mills in Russia’s eastern Siberia, modernize them and make a fortune.

    So, I wound up in Eastern Siberia, looking at the mills from a technical/modernization angle. The Russian workers, I could find no fault with. They kept ancient equipment running with spit, baling wire and ingenuity.

    Their living conditions were horrid. Their pay and working conditions were horrid. Most worked two jobs, the formal job at the mill, a second growing small share crops, a goat or cow, hunting and fishing to get food other than buckwheat porridge. Lot’s and lot’s of poaching.

    And they drank.

    Just to get from the Soviet Era “hotel” to the mill, required 4WD.

  18. 18.

    Carlo Graziani

    February 8, 2026 at 12:43 am

    Honestly, I read of US diplomacy concerning Ukraine as meaningless kabuki theater with an audience of one (guess who). Since the US no longer funds the Ukrainian war effort, and has deliberately alienated all its European ex-allies who do have skin in the game, the notion that what the Trump administration wants for Ukraine matters is hilariously delusional.

    I like that Zelenskyy and his merry band continue to play US negotiators as if they gave a shit what the US wants, and as if it mattered that the US thinks that a territorial settlement on terms favorable to Russia would be reasonable. Humoring the hapless, irrelevant erstwhile superpower into not making inept choices that do actual damage must be entertaining at some graveyard-humor level.

  19. 19.

    Jay

    February 8, 2026 at 12:57 am

    @Carlo Graziani:

    As you probably know from anytime in the Corporate World, or Academia, what Ukrainian Negotiators and Politicians are doing, is soul sucking.

    They go back to their Hotels, or home, have a few stiff drinks, update their resume’s and surf Linked In.

    They can’t even vent. Too many eyes and ears.

  20. 20.

    wjca

    February 8, 2026 at 1:33 am

    @Carlo Graziani: the notion that what the Trump administration wants for Ukraine matters is hilariously delusional.

    Not quite.  If Trump went from just parroting whatever Putin tells him to actively assisting Russia, that would matter.

    I suspect that this is behind Ukraine’s approach to the US-sponsored “peace talks”: keep dangling in front of the fools the possibility that they can pull together some kind of deal.  (Aided by the fact that Putin still has delusions of a military victory, and so keeps sabotaging the efforts.)

    It would be great to have American backing; even just the pittance they got from Biden.  But keeping Putin from getting suppirt — that’s the driver.

  21. 21.

    Chetan Murthy

    February 8, 2026 at 1:36 am

    @Lyrebird: @Gin & Tonic: All these MAGAts are such clowns.  They can’t even be bothered to write grammatically correct English!  “who‘s despicable ….”  Crrikey.  Mr. Giertych’s letter, OTOH, is standard correct English.

    I know, I know, it’s such a small thing.  But geez, can’t they at least hire competent proofreaders among their attache’s ?

  22. 22.

    Sister Inspired Revolver of Freedom

    February 8, 2026 at 10:17 am

    @wjca: Certainly not the US ambassador to Canada, Pete Hoekstra. 😠

  23. 23.

    Sister Inspired Revolver of Freedom

    February 8, 2026 at 10:25 am

    Thank you Adam. Even more enlightening than usual.

  24. 24.

    Bill Arnold

    February 8, 2026 at 11:54 am

    @YY_Sima Qian:
    That Jeffrey Lewis thread is informative; thanks. The bit at the end is typical Jeffrey Lewis.

    Dr. Jeffrey Lewis@ArmsControlWonk
    The [flags of some nuclear powers] should just reach a new, private side agreement on what nuclear “test” activities are permitted, as well as some test site transparency measures. Make Witkoff & Kusher do it. If that includes safety experiments that result in some yield, I really DGAF.
    .
    If @realDonaldTrump did THAT — negotiated a side agreement to bring the CTBT into force and “end nuclear testing” — he’d definitely get that Nobel Prize. Frankly, if he did that, he’d deserve it. If, on the other hand, he resumes testing, he can kiss that Nobel goodbye.

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