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You are here: Home / Foreign Affairs / War for Ukraine Day 1,452: Ukraine Faces Another Long Deadly Night

War for Ukraine Day 1,452: Ukraine Faces Another Long Deadly Night

by Adam L Silverman|  February 15, 20269:12 pm| 13 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

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A painting by the Ukrainain artist NEIVANMADE. The upper 1/2 is grey and there are black Shahed drones on it aimed towards the bottom of the painting. The bottom half of the painting has a blood red background and in the center of the bottom is a house, to it's left is a swing set, and to its right is a car. They are charcoal grey on the blood red background background. The drones are targeting the house, swing set, and car. Above the house and below the drones are the words "Russia Kills To Erase Free People".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

All of eastern and central Ukraine – just over 2/3rds of the country – is under air raid alert at 3:30 AM local time/8:30 PM EST. While there’s no indication of drone swarms or inbound missiles on the air raid alert map as of now, these countrywide alerts are usually indications that one or both of those are coming.

President Zelenskyy sat for an interview with Politico yesterday.

❗️Zelenskyy: “A great mistake is to allow an aggressor to take anything. I do not want to be the president who repeats the same mistakes.”

“This was a great mistake right at the beginning, from 2014. I can even say it was earlier — when they attacked and occupied part of Georgia,

[image or embed]

— 🪖MilitaryNewsUA🇺🇦 (@militarynewsua.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 10:23 AM

Zelenskyy to Politico:

“We had Budapest Memorandum, that was just security guarantees.

We gave nuclear weapons, and other different weapons, and a lot of jets, etc. Dozens of jets. And we’ve got security guarantees that our sovereignty will be ours, and we will have independence.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 10:20 AM

At the end, we don’t have such weapons and we don’t have security guarantees, because Russia came and nobody attacked Russia. Nobody saved our independence.”

Moral of the story is you need nukes.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 10:20 AM

Zelenskyy:

Europeans made a lot but didn’t put sanctions on nuclear energy, on Rosatom, on people, on their relatives, their children which live in Europe, in the US, study in the universities of Europe, have real estate in the US.

Fuck away to Russia! Go home!

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 10:44 AM

You don’t respect anybody in the US. You don’t respect rules. You don’t respect democracy. You don’t respect Ukraine, Europe, etc.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 10:44 AM

Here’s the video:

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

There Will Be New Support Packages for Ukraine. The Key Priority Is Missiles for Air Defense, for Protection Against Ballistic Missiles – Address by the President

15 February 2026 – 19:46

Fellow Ukrainians!

I’m already back in Kyiv after two very intense days at the Munich Security Conference. There were many meetings, and most importantly – there will be new support packages for Ukraine. The key priority is missiles for air defense, for protection against ballistic missiles. This has been issue number one throughout this entire winter, as you know. That is why we discussed it in Munich with virtually every leader who can truly help us. Also with Marco Rubio, the U.S. Secretary of State. We hope the agreements will work as needed. Air defense is a daily necessity.

Thanks again to Germany – we now have a new strike-drone production line, and we will continue expanding these efforts: joint development, joint production, pan-European programs, and financial instruments. Today, there is no leader in Europe who is not talking about the need for significantly greater European independence, much greater European self-reliance, and much greater autonomous strength for all of Europe. This is now one of the main trends. We are proposing concrete steps, concrete projects that make Europe stronger.

Next week we expect meetings and work aimed at new energy packages. This concerns both recovery after strikes and the necessary equipment. I want to thank everyone who is already helping.

Several more cold days lie ahead, and everyone has already seen how the Russians exploit this. Please take care of yourselves and heed air raid alerts. We are in constant contact with all partners, emphasizing that each such threat, each such risk, only worsens the overall prospects for ending the war.

Trilateral meetings are expected this week. The Ukrainian delegation has the necessary framework for the discussion. Yesterday we coordinated with Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. Ukraine will always be constructive. The American side knows this. But Ukrainians need to see real progress on security so there’s real trust – trust both in diplomacy and in possible results. Overall, it is precisely the security issue that holds the key to ending the war. Security guarantees for Ukraine are necessary; this is the key priority.

And one more point. We are preparing a new sanctions package targeting Russian individuals who work for the war and put sport at the service of war. The documents are already prepared; this Ukrainian sanctions package should be a signal to others around the world – a signal that one cannot simply turn a blind eye to support for aggression. When Ukrainians at the Olympics are forbidden to even mention the victims of Russian aggression, that is clearly a global rollback of justice. We will restore justice. The sanctions decree will be issued soon.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

THIS!👇🏻

[image or embed]

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 2:45 PM

We are the self declared successor state. Which is why Russia, not Ukrainians & Belarusians, beat the Nazis.

So for that, we are USSR. But when it comes to soviet crimes, we are not the USSR.

Think of it as the Soviet Schroedinger’s Union.

[image or embed]

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 11:58 AM

Georgian students and other protesters have gathered in front of the Deda Ena (“Mother Tongue”) monument.

Students have protested daily since Georgian Dream imposed new rules dictating which programs state universities are allowed to offer and how many students they can admit. 1/2

[image or embed]

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 6:59 AM

This is an unconstitutional interference in academic independence that risks weakening education and tightening government control over universities.

Day 445 of daily, nationwide protests in Georgia. 2/2

— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 6:59 AM

The US via Moscow:

OTD in 2022 Edward Snowden continued his chain of thoughts about how journalistic credibility was instrumentalized for disinformation.

Your Prez will now explain the various ways it was clear that this was a very stupid thing to say…/

[image or embed]

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 8:29 AM

“Questioning official claims without evidence”. Edward appears to have assumed there was no evidence Russia would invade Ukraine. Given invading & taking territory is an invasion, we were in fact debating whether Russia would invade more, not whether we would actually invade in the first place. /

[image or embed]

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 8:29 AM

On July 12 2021 your Prez wrote & published 7000 words about how Ukraine should not exist. Linking the Russian troop deployments to this is something that the reasonable people he mentions could do.

Why he was not able/clever enough to do this is a question.

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 8:29 AM

On Dec 15 2021 Russia gave list of demands to the USA, limiting NATO allowing new members, banning military support to Ukraine & various other limits on sovereignty of several countries.

Failure to comply would lead to a “military-technical response” from Russia.

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 8:29 AM

In this light, we can easily argue that Edward’s either did not know what he was talking about when he suggested claims of an invasion were amplified “without evidence”.

Or he isn’t smart enough to link the facts. Perhaps he really thinks Russia become so large by being peaceful.

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 8:29 AM

Prez has never heard anyone explain why exposing how democracies spy on dictatorships that invade people is bad, yet not exposing how dictatorships spy on democracies they threaten to invade is good.

Greenwald disappears into a puff of anti imperialism at the question.

[image or embed]

— Darth Putin (@darthputinkgb.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 12:02 PM

The Munich Security Conference:

Major statements from Munich yesterday:

🇺🇦: Europe needs Ukraine in NATO, Ukraine’s army is strongest in Europe
🇬🇧: Peace is becoming fragile due to warning signs from Russia, Europe must strengthen defence to reduce US dependency
🇩🇪: US actions have damaged NATO

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 2:09 AM

Shinjiro Koizumi, the Japanese Minister of Defense in Munich:

More than 10,000 North Korean soldiers have been sent to Russia. And Russia has sent North Korean soldiers to Ukraine. Then they are learning a new way of fighting with drones, AI, and cyberspace, and in all domains with conventional .

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 7:11 AM

weapons. Then getting back to North Korea, we need to think about what they are using it for and who they are using it against. So that’s why I said Ukraine is not a distant problem.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 7:11 AM

Only one thing will determine the war’s outcome: who cracks first – @radek-sikorski.bsky.social

He said Ukrainians are holding, Russia’s economy is cracking, and Putin will not tolerate Ukraine as an independent nation.

That’s why we will never surrender: surrender means the end of Ukraine.

[image or embed]

— Maria Drutska (@mariadrutska.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 2:50 AM

Kaja Kallas in Munich:

“The greatest threat Russia presents right now is that it gains more at the negotiation table than it has achieved on the battlefield.”

Exactly. For a year, the USA has been pressuring Ukraine to surrender in a war it hasn’t lost, and those

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 7:17 AM

efforts are likely to intensify before the midterms.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 7:17 AM

Hillary Clinton: “Give the Ukrainians Tomahawks, give them more missiles for their Patriots, allow them to inflict more damage beyond the border into Russia.

That’s when they actually started thinking about coming to the negotiating table—when Ukraine was able to reach targets inside Russia.

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 1:15 PM

Apparently, it’s not enough pain for Putin to have hundreds of thousands of Russian soldiers killed and injured.

Inflict pain on the refineries, inflict pain on the missile sites—inflict the kind of pain that will actually create the conditions for a better negotiation.”

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 1:15 PM

The Winter Olympics:

Three‑time U.S. champion and 2008 World bronze medalist in figure skating and commentator at the 2026 Olympics Johnny Weir showed his support for Ukraine by wearing a vyshyvanka (traditional Ukrainian embroidered shirt).

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM

The vyshyvanka Johnny chose to wear on air was gifted to him by Mykhailo Medunytsia, a skater from Odesa who now lives in the United States and works as a coach at the Johnny Weir Skating Academy.

❤️‍🩹

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 12:00 PM

The US:

Anne Applebaum: “Steve Witkoff has no experience with Russia or diplomacy. I fear he imagines a US-Russia pact where he, his son, Trump’s family or their circle benefit personally

It’s disturbing that American foreign policy conducted not for the US, allies or world peace, but for private interests

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 5:43 PM

Putin knows Trump is vulnerable to such deals – that’s why he keeps suggesting them.

Witkoff and Trump’s entourage behave like Russians: capture the state, use it for personal wealth.”

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 5:43 PM

Back to Ukraine:

“You had a bad week?
In captivity, they have bad years.”

Be the voice of the Ukrainian prisoners of war — russian captivity kills.

[image or embed]

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 11:11 AM

Yana Shelemba, a Ukrainian MMA fighter from Kharkiv, has become a 3-time European champion by winning the gold medal in the 61.2 kg weight category at the European Championship in Belgrade, Serbia:

“For me, every tournament is not just a competition, but an opportunity to prove

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 12:35 PM

that Ukrainian athletes are strong in spirit and unbreakable. I stepped into each fight thinking about my country, my university, and the people who support me. This gold is our shared victory.”

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 12:35 PM

Russian 2S19 Msta-S 152mm self-propelled gun with an open hatch was found hidden at a Russian base by drone operators of the State Border Guard Service of Ukraine.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 5:53 AM

Russia fired around 1,300 drones, 1,200 guided bombs and 50 missiles at Ukraine in a week Zelensky said. Energy remains the main target.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 3:42 AM

Kharkiv:

This is a Russian drone, able to kill dozens at a time with its payload, casually flying over Kharkiv, the second-largest city in Ukraine, today

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 8:05 AM

Kharkiv, day, traffic, and russian drones 🤯

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 8:09 AM

Kyiv:

Patriot air defense system in Kyiv intercepting Russian Iskander ballistic missiles on February 12.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 5:21 AM

Myrnohrad, Donetsk Oblast:

Russia keeps pushing to encircle Myrnograd from the north the 79th Tavria Assault Brigade reports. Ukrainian drone recon spots most groups on approach and takes them out. Small infantry teams remain the occupiers’ only option bleeding manpower fast.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 4:57 AM

Russian state media are scrubbing reports on “capturing southern Myrnograd” despite the Defense Ministry declaring the whole city taken in December. War bloggers increasingly slam commanders for claiming towns too early, pointing to what happened in Kupiansk.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 9:44 AM

Pokrovsk, Donetsk Oblast:

Ukrainian drone operators from the 425th Skelia Brigade hunted occupiers in Pokrovsk.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 7:55 AM

Kupyansk, Kharkiv Oblast:

Ukrainian fighters sweeping buildings and shelters for Russian occupiers in Kupiansk, Kharkiv region.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 6:29 AM

Moscow, Russia:

Mysterious drones attacking Moscow 👀

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 9:37 AM

Air defenses engaging over Moscow region after alerts were raised across several northern Russian regions.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 9:50 AM

Belgorod Oblast, Russia:

Something interesting happened in russian Belgorod 🔥

[image or embed]

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 5:10 PM

Russia’s Belgorod under missile fire again right now with explosions near the thermal power plant.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 2:43 PM

Krasnodar Krai, Russia:

Ukraine’s General Staff confirmed hits on the Tamanneftegaz oil terminal in Krasnodar region and a Pantsir-S1 near Kacha in occupied Crimea. Strikes also targeted an artillery repair unit in Donetsk and troops in Zaporizhzhia.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 6:23 AM

One of Russia’s largest oil export ports, the Port of Taman, was attacked overnight.

The Governor of Krasnodar Krai, confirmed that as a result of a strike by Ukrainian drones, four fuel storage tanks are currently on fire.

[image or embed]

— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 4:44 AM

Overnight drones hit at least two targets in Russia’s Krasnodar region Oko Gora reports. An oil tank caught fire at Temryuk port and a fuel depot near Yurovka was struck. Explosions also heard in Sochi.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 5:07 AM

Bryansk Oblast, Russia:

Bryansk under drone attack with reports of several hits on the Novobryanskaya 750kV substation. The city is without power.

[image or embed]

— WarTranslated (Dmitri) (@wartranslated.bsky.social) February 15, 2026 at 1:18 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

It’s Caturday, so the dogs of Ukraine know to let the cats eat first. 😸 This is in Sloviansk in the Donetsk region, which is under frequent attack. Putin wants Ukraine to hand over this area, but the Hachiko team is still here helping the pets!

[image or embed]

— Nate Mook (@natemook.bsky.social) February 14, 2026 at 11:04 AM

Open thread!

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  • Adam L Silverman
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    13Comments

    1. 1.

      Jay

      February 15, 2026 at 9:37 pm

      Thank you, Adam.

      Reply
    2. 2.

      Jay

      February 15, 2026 at 9:42 pm

      MAKS 25 🇺🇦👀
      @Maks_NAFO_FELLA
      5h
      🇺🇦💡 For the first time in a long time, Kyiv is almost completely powered — 95% of the capital without outages this evening

      Feb 15, 2026

      nitter.poast.org/Maks_NAFO_FELLA/status/2023145402145608169#m

      Reply
    3. 3.

      lashonharangue

      February 15, 2026 at 9:51 pm

      Thanks Adam.

      Reply
    4. 4.

      Adam L Silverman

      February 15, 2026 at 9:54 pm

      @Jay: @lashonharangue: You’re welcome.

      Reply
    5. 5.

      AlaskaReader

      February 15, 2026 at 10:14 pm

      Thanks Adam

      Reply
    6. 6.

      Gin & Tonic

      February 15, 2026 at 10:25 pm

      I understand Weir may not be everyone’s cup of tea, but he is a long-time enthusiastic supporter of Ukraine.

      Reply
    7. 7.

      Adam L Silverman

      February 15, 2026 at 10:26 pm

      @AlaskaReader: You’re welcome.

      Reply
    8. 8.

      Gloria DryGarden

      February 15, 2026 at 10:38 pm

      So great that Weir is wearing Ukrainian clothes on air during his skate commenter work. I wish someone would ask him about it.

      Hay, I’m happy to learn or all the power in Kiev tonight. That’s really great

      Reply
    9. 9.

      Westyny

      February 15, 2026 at 10:47 pm

      Thank you, Adam.

      Reply
    10. 10.

      Gin & Tonic

      February 15, 2026 at 10:50 pm

      @Gloria DryGarden: The correct spelling is Kyiv.

      Reply
    11. 11.

      Sister Inspired Revolver of Freedom

      February 15, 2026 at 11:47 pm

      Thank you Adam. Go Johnny!

      Reply
    12. 12.

      AJ of the Mustard Search and Rescue Team

      February 16, 2026 at 12:51 am

      Thank you Adam. Hope you had a good week.

      Reply
    13. 13.

      Gloria DryGarden

      February 16, 2026 at 1:51 am

      @Gin & Tonic: thank you for telling me.

      Reply

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