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Balloon Juice

Come for the politics, stay for the snark.

The cruelty is the point; the law be damned.

Wow, you are pre-disappointed. How surprising.

They are not red states to be hated; they are voter suppression states to be fixed.

You’re just a puppy masquerading as an old coot.

At some point, the ability to learn is a factor of character, not IQ.

Accused of treason; bitches about the ratings. I am in awe.

Fucking consultants! (of the political variety)

“The difference between stupidity and genius is that genius has its limits.”

In after Baud. Damn.

Trump’s cabinet: like a magic 8 ball that only gives wrong answers.

There is no compromise when it comes to body autonomy. You either have it or you do not.

That meeting sounds like a shotgun wedding between a shitshow and a clusterfuck.

One way or another, he’s a liar.

Mediocre white men think RFK Jr’s pathetic midlife crisis is inspirational. The bar is set so low for them, it’s subterranean.

Incompetence, fear, or corruption? why not all three?

When I decide to be condescending, you won’t have to dream up a fantasy about it.

Something needs to be done about our bogus SCOTUS.

Whoever he was, that guy was nuts.

Baby steps, because the Republican Party is full of angry babies.

They were going to turn on one another at some point. It was inevitable.

Let there be snark.

“woke” is the new caravan.

“Can i answer the question? No you can not!”

President Musk and Trump are both poorly raised, coddled 8 year old boys.

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Open Thread:  Hey Lurkers!  (Holiday Post)

Open Threads

You are here: Home / Archives for Open Threads

Monday Morning Open Thread: How *About* That Weather?

by Anne Laurie|  July 14, 20256:24 am| 138 Comments

This post is in: How about that weather?, Open Threads, Proud to Be A Democrat

Emergency crews have suspended their search for victims of catastrophic flooding in central Texas amid new warnings that additional rain will again cause waterways to surge.

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— The Associated Press (@apnews.com) July 13, 2025 at 1:15 PM

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Armies of Texan volunteers are leading flood recovery and cleanup, supplementing official efforts even as more flooding hits and the search for the missing continues.

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— The Associated Press (@apnews.com) July 14, 2025 at 2:00 AM

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Noem lays down a marker: 'the best we've seen out of FEMA.' Mainstream media ought to take up the challenge and do some serious compare/ contrast about FEMA responses. Here's a good place to start: The Biden admin pre-positioning of resources BEFORE Hurricane Helene hit vs Noem's Texas efforts.

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— @NewsJennifer (Jennifer Schulze) (@newsjennifer.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 10:49 AM

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California is proud to help Texas in this moment of crisis.

Tragedy tests us — how we come together to help communities recover defines us. https://t.co/pKtiFbps82

— Governor Gavin Newsom (@CAgovernor) July 12, 2025

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President Trump has so far withheld federal relief funds, with many arguing that California Gov. Gavin Newsom and other Democrats in the deep-blue state have mishandled the fires and should be forced to rescind liberal policies in exchange for aid.

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— The Washington Post (@washingtonpost.com) July 9, 2025 at 7:33 PM

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FEMA Acting Administrator David Richardson finally visited Texas Hill Country today more than a week after the deadly floods.
Photos posted on X and Reddit show Richardson there, and I’ve confirmed via the FEMA daily internal brief.

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— Marisa Kabas (@marisakabas.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 11:44 PM


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at one point he wore a jaunty hat

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— Marisa Kabas (@marisakabas.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 11:46 PM

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The DOD is halting a critical atmospheric data collection program—the Defense Meteorological Satellite Program—at the end of June. They've given weather forecasters just days to prepare,
Hurricane season is upon us. In days we'll be "blind," hurricane experts are saying.

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— Fiona "Fi" Webster ?????? (@fiona-webster22.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 10:30 AM

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As someone put it quite well:
1.) It is very, very hard to actually blow up the american economy, even with everything. Even the major financial crises we weathered significantly better than other countries.
2.) No one has really ever pulled every single fucking "blow it all up" lever all at once

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) July 9, 2025 at 6:07 PM

Monday Morning Open Thread: How *About* That Weather?Post + Comments (138)

Late Night Open Thread: Buyer’s Remorse

by Anne Laurie|  July 13, 202510:48 pm| 108 Comments

This post is in: Grifters Gonna Grift, Open Threads, Republicans in Disarray!, Trumpery

america as a country may now simply be too stupid for democracy https://t.co/MNPCTOeKjF

— Fordow Focused (@canderaid) July 12, 2025


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as this gets worse you're going to see endless efforts at reputational retcon by people who knew EXACTLY what they signed up for
and by people who were too ignorant or dis/misinformed to understand what they were signing up for, but lack the humility to own that

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— Karl Bode (@karlbode.com) July 11, 2025 at 11:09 AM

Of course the PodBros are lying — they encouraged their listeners to vote for Trump because another Trump administration would be entertaining, and besides, at least he wasn’t a Black female Democrat. But the Epstein files botchery is giving them an excuse to pretend they were somehow mislead by yet another dishonest pol. Per the Daily Beast:

Podcaster Andrew Schulz gave Donald Trump street cred in the world of chronically online young men, but he’s been having second thoughts.

On a Thursday episode of his Flagrant podcast, the comedian torched the president for “doing the exact opposite” of his campaign promises.

“There’ll be people that they’ll DM me like, ‘You see what your boy’s doing? You voted for this.’ I’m like, ‘I voted for none of this,’” he said. “He’s doing the exact opposite of everything I voted for. I want him to stop the wars—he’s funding them. I want him to shrink spending, reduce the budget—he’s increasing it.”

Schulz voted for Trump last year even after laughing in his face during a 90-minute podcast that has racked up nearly 10 million views. Schulz erupted in a fit of giggles after the then-Republican candidate called himself “basically a truthful person.”…

The podcaster, who commands an audience composed chiefly of young men, predicted that Trump would win by a landslide after their interview. He was gleeful after a listener declared that “Flagrant is gonna get Trump elected.”

But the recent controversies that have roiled the administration, from its aggressive deportation blitz to the Medicaid cuts in Trump’s megabill, have forced Schulz to rethink his support.

“I already expect politicians to not do most of the s-–t they say,” he said. “I don’t want to be too cynical, but now I’m getting to the point where it’s like, ‘Can they do anything?’”…

Actions have consequences? What hellworld is this?

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I'm all for people admitting error and apologizing for their poor choices, but much like journalists who kissed Elon Musk's ass for 15 years that's not what you're going to get.
A lot of these guys are going to claim Trump suddenly and mysteriously changed, dodging any personal responsibility

— Karl Bode (@karlbode.com) July 11, 2025 at 11:11 AM

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maga: “I am not to blame, this seemed vague!”

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— This Machine Kills Malarkey (@lavendesic.bsky.social) July 11, 2025 at 2:48 PM

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So hard to predict that Trump would be a bad president based on nothing more than his entire life and also that time he was already president for four years and it went horribly and ended in a recession and a pandemic where a million Americans died.

— Benjamin Johns (@baj.bsky.social) July 11, 2025 at 11:26 AM

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These manosphere douche saddles are a bunch of poorly educated, failed stand-ups who stand for nothing and fell ass backwards into a way to make a buck. You have to be a world class dipshit to let them inform your politics in the first place.

— Nicky Six Names (he/him) (@sicksnames.bsky.social) July 11, 2025 at 11:34 AM

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But it does (Murphy the Trickster God willing) seem that a lot of non-MAGA cultists are using Trump’s sweaty disavowals as an excuse to sidle towards the exits… and the True Believers are no longer buying ‘Who are you gonna believe, me or your lying eyes?’.

Dry-eyed summary from the Atlantic — “Conspiracy Theorists Are Turning on the President” [gift link].

This is, after all, deeply suspicious behavior!…

a deranged Trump claims Obama and Hillary wrote the Epstein files and urges people to not care about them 🥴

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— Aaron Rupar (@atrupar.com) July 12, 2025 at 5:26 PM

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An unusual sight: President Trump is getting ratio’d on Truth Social for asking his followers to move on from the Epstein files. Some say he’s “gaslighting,” others say it will cost him supporters or even “kill MAGA.” A sampling of some replies getting heavy engagement.

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— Sahil Kapur (@sahilkapur.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 10:05 PM

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Sad update: it appears that the crazy people I've spent years training to be rabid animals have, for reasons too complicated to explain right now, completely turned against me

— Matt Jordan (@itsmattjordan.com) July 12, 2025 at 10:33 PM

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Just checked the bad place and can confirm they’re losing their fucking minds

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— Laura Bassett (@lebassett.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 7:06 PM

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Trump (sobbing): I never thought leopards would eat MY face.

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— Aditya Sood (@adityasood.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 7:54 PM


 
Will this stay ‘news’ by tomorrow? Who knows — but any wounds we can help inflict are useful…

one read I think is right: an essential element of MAGA backlash over Epstein stuff is that Trump is fucking with MAGA grifter money

— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 10:27 AM


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btw these people are psychotic and have firearms

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— post malone ergo propter malone (@proptermalone.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 7:49 PM

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The combination of anecdotal evidence I've seen is a bunch of journalists saying "Huh, seeing people talk about this who never talk about politics."

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— Schnorkles O'Bork (@schnorkles.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 8:25 PM

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as cliche as it sounds, my wife and i were out for breakfast yesterday and heard a boomer couple in the booth behind us talking about Trump/Epstein
ofc we live in a D+30 county but it was still a Midwestern Diner so hoping the NYT drop by for a profile at some point

— Bucky Workclothes (@buckybandido.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 8:29 PM

Late Night Open Thread: Buyer’s RemorsePost + Comments (108)

War for Ukraine Day 1,235: A Brief Sunday Night Update

by Adam L Silverman|  July 13, 20258:55 pm| 13 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

Despite spending a good chunk of the weekend napping or actually sleeping overnight, I’m wiped. I blame the humidity. Regardless, I’m going to just run through the basics tonight.

“However desperate the situation and circumstances, don’t despair. When there is everything to fear, be unafraid. When surrounded by dangers, fear none of them. When without resources, depend on resourcefulness. When surprised, take the enemy by surprise.” – Sun Tzu

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 3:01 PM

One of my former bosses was a US Navy fighter pilot. At one point he was a commander of the air group (CAG), I just checked with him and he confirms that this does in fact qualify as an aircraft carrier:

Behold a naval drone that is a launch platform for an fpv drone

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— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 1:25 PM

Technically an aircraft carrier

— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 1:29 PM

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

show full post on front page

We Count on the United States Fully Understanding What Can Be Done to Compel Russia to Peace – Address by the President

13 July 2025 – 21:00

I wish you health, fellow Ukrainians!

Briefly about this day – it was not an easy one. A meeting with the military and the Minister of Defense – not only about the front line, but also about our further actions. Ukrainian production, deep strikes, our responses to Russian attacks. I am grateful to everyone who is truly steadfast in defending our state, our independence, and our people. Today, we also discussed the upcoming visit of General Kellogg – negotiations on further support will take place during the week. I instructed Commander-in-Chief Syrskyi and Chief of the General Staff Hnatov to present the information we have on Russia’s capabilities and our prospects. We are also preparing meetings between President Trump’s special envoy and the heads of the Security Service of Ukraine and our intelligence services. The information provided will be comprehensive. We count on the United States fully understanding what can be done to compel Russia to peace.

Today, I received a report from Head of the Security Service of Ukraine Vasyl Maliuk regarding the protection of Ukrainian interests and our responses to Russian murderers. Every encroachment on Ukraine must receive a strong and severe response – and it will.

Today, I also had an important conversation with Ukraine’s Prime Minister Denys Shmyhal. Tomorrow, the Government will present new social initiatives – payments to support Ukrainian mothers: payments after childbirth and support during the first years after birth. There are also dedicated funds for Ukrainian schoolchildren – for the School Starter Pack and free meals in schools from first to fourth grade, and in frontline areas – from first to last grade. The Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine will present all the details tomorrow.

Today, Denys and I also discussed our steps – strategic steps – for transforming the executive branch. Changes will be made. In particular, in the defense sector and across all projects aimed at our resilience – both as a state and as a society. We need an audit of every agreement with our partners – what is actually being implemented. It is also necessary to significantly reduce non-critical state expenditures and, as much as possible, channel the efforts of society toward economic development through deregulation. The primary focus is on increasing Ukrainian production, particularly of weapons, enhancing Ukrainian strength, and expanding our capabilities. There will also be new personnel decisions in key embassies.

The coming week must bring about positive changes in Ukraine’s interests.

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

For the 228th consecutive day, Rustaveli avenue is blocked. ✅

Georgians keep resisting and protesting every day in 8+ cities. 🇬🇪✊

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 1:53 PM

The continuous protests in Georgia have been going on for 228 days now.

#GeorgiaProtests

📷 Aleksandre keshelashvili

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 3:09 PM

GD “responded” to 17 FMs and Kaja Kallas, accusing them of being “deep state” puppets, equal to the Soviet Union, etc.

It’s purely for internal consumption, and in particular to keep their core electorate encouraged. According to the latest ISSA polls, 49% of GD voters believe in the “deep state.”

— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 7:42 AM

1/ The family of Mamuka Gatserelia, 23, who fought against Russia in #Ukraine, in Mariupol, at Azovstal ინ 2022 and was captured by Russian forces, is asking for help. His mother says she hasn’t received a letter from him in two months.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 5:06 AM

2/ In 2024, a Russian court sentenced Mamuka Gatserelia to life imprisonment. Russia states that he opened fire on four Russian soldiers, killing three and wounding one.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 5:06 AM

“Mzia, in your darkest moment we stand with you and we will not let go until you are free,” said CPJ’s @gypsyrights.bsky.social outside Women’s Prison where Mzia Amaglobeli is held.

Reps from @globalfreemedia.bsky.social, @rsf.org & @pressfreedom.bsky.social visited prison site in act of solidarity

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) July 13, 2025 at 6:19 AM

“I’m also here on behalf of IPI’s global network of more than a thousand journalists & editors from a hundred countries around the world who also stand in support of Mzia,” Amy Brouillette, @globalfreemedia.bsky.social’s advocacy director, outside the prison where Mzia Amaglobeli is held.
#FreeMzia

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) July 13, 2025 at 7:04 AM

🗣️“Mzia is not just a journalist — she is a symbol: of resistance, of dignity, and of the fight for press freedom in #Georgia and beyond. And she is not alone – we are with her and we won’t stop until she’s free. #FreeMzia,” said Jeanne Cavalier, head of @rsf.org’s Eastern Europe & Central Asia desk

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) July 13, 2025 at 7:35 AM

The DPRK:

That is a lot of shells…

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 6:49 AM

North Korea has supplied Russia with over 12 million artillery shells and 28,000 containers of weapons, according to a report by South Korean intelligence, cited by Yonhap News Agency. en.yna.co.kr/view/AEN2025…

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 7:10 AM

/2. North Korea supplies Russia with up to 40% of all the munitions used against Ukraine, according to the head of Ukraine’s Military Intelligence. www.bloomberg.com/news/article…

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 7:10 AM

Even if a significant number of these are duds, this will allow Putin and Russia to continue the genocidal re-invasion of Ukraine far longer than would have otherwise been possible. I also expect that the Russians have sent technical subject matter experts to help the North Koreans to fix the quality control problems in their munitions production.

Germany:

Truly grateful and happy to see Germany’s commitment to helping Ukraine growing so firmly and steadily. Every step of support matters. It saves lives.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 7:46 AM

While the German Chancellor Merz publicly stays open-minded about the delivery of Taurus KEPD-350 to #Ukraine, the German Minister of Defence Pistorius just said in an interview with FT that Germany will not deliver Taurus KEPD-350 despite the recent massive Russian attacks.

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— German Aid to Ukraine (@deaidua.org) July 13, 2025 at 5:36 PM

Launch the verdammt Tauruses already!

The US:

Georgia invaded Georgia and Georgia and russians reacted

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— Mira of Kyiv 🇺🇦 (@reshetz.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 1:41 PM

A spoof book cover. It has a bunny standing on it's hind legs, wearing a yellow rain coat, and holding a closed red umbrella in its right hand. It is facing slightly to the left and it's left hand is raised and pointing to the spook title, which reads: "Oh Christ. It's THIS ASSHOLE AGAIN."

Back to Ukraine.

💙💪 Snipers, signalers, medics, scouts — their professionalism speaks for itself. When the “300th” sounds, it is often women’s hands that are the first to provide assistance, and these hands have a special power that heals not only the body but also the soul.

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— Vitalis Viva (@vitalisviva.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 1:14 PM

Kharkiv:

Kharkiv last night 😍

Photo: Oleksandr Osipov

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 8:47 AM

Mama, I want to go to Venice.
No, we have Venice at home.

Venice at home:

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 9:28 AM

Storm in Kharkiv last night

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 9:28 AM

Kharkiv Oblast:

Russia cynically destroys wheat fields in Kharkiv Region

This afternoon, Russian aircraft launched another insidious attack, this time targeting a wheat field near the village of Shevchenkove in the Kupyansk district. A guided aerial bomb hit the field, setting 60 hectares of wheat ablaze.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 2:16 PM

Fortunately, there were no casualties or injuries, state emergency services reported.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 2:16 PM

Russian FPV drone attacked a police car in the Kharkiv region. 4 officers were injured.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 4:08 PM

Sumy Oblast:

Kindrativka village, Sumy region. Another one Russia erased from existence.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 11:20 AM

Kyiv:

Not even 2100, and the air raid sirens are sounding in Kyiv. Most of central and eastern Ukraine on alert after fascist Russia launched drones at Ukraine from five different locations – Akhtarska, Oryol, Khalino, Millerovo, and Navlya. Another big attack expected tonight.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 13, 2025 at 1:54 PM

That’s enough for tonight.

Your daily Patron!

There are no new Patron skeets or videos today. Here is some adjacent material.

Ukrainians love their cats. My favorite Ukrainian cat:

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— The Hate Won’t Win (@pam327.bsky.social) July 7, 2025 at 9:57 AM

DOG OF WAR

Today’s Dog of War is Lary. Nastia met him at her university prom as she was getting her bachelor’s diploma. We believe he is there to be awarded his LLM in legal studies.

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— Tim Mak (@timkmak.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 9:30 AM

Open thread!

War for Ukraine Day 1,235: A Brief Sunday Night UpdatePost + Comments (13)

Boomer Nostalgia Open Thread: Nuclear Terrors

by Anne Laurie|  July 13, 20254:43 pm| 130 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, KULCHA!, War

Missing the Cold War? This Sunday, July 13, beginning at 8:00 PM EDT, Turner Classic Movies will be showing a double feature about the risks of unintentional nuclear war, featuring 1964’s “Fail Safe” at 8:00 PM and 1965’s “The Bedford Incident” at 10:00 PM.

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— Stephen Schwartz (@atomicanalyst.bsky.social) July 11, 2025 at 1:36 PM


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I'm in my mid-50s and starting to become the littlest bit prone to nostalgia (and I do mean the littlest bit).
As @radiofreetom.bsky.social states in this very worthwhile piece, I'm not being nostalgic when remembering this era–an important read:
www.theatlantic.com/magazine/arc…

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— Richard P Clark (@zippyrich.bsky.social) July 10, 2025 at 2:55 PM

Story I’ve told before: When I was in second or third grade, one of my parochial-school classmates asked our nun why we weren’t doing the then-fashionable duck & cover drills. She told us that our proximity to Manhattan meant we’d die before we even saw the light of a nuclear explosion, so our only real defense was to always keep our souls in a state of sinlessness. Even now, I’m not sure she wasn’t correct… Gift link:

Back in the late 2000s, I was teaching a class on nuclear weapons to undergraduates who had mostly come of age after the fall of the Soviet Union. As I tried to explain what it was like to grow up worrying about a sudden apocalypse, a student raised his hand and said: “What were you so afraid of? I mean, sure, nuclear weapons are bad, but …” And here he gave up with a puzzled shake of his head, as if to say: What was the big deal?

I paused to think of a better way to explain that the annihilation of the world was a big deal. People who grew up during the Cold War, as I did, internalized this fear as children. We still tell our campfire tales about hiding under school desks at the sound of air-raid sirens. Such things seemed mysterious, and even irrelevant, to my students in the 21st century. And then it occurred to me: They haven’t seen the movies.

During the Cold War, popular culture provided Americans with images of (and a vocabulary for) nuclear war. Mushroom clouds, DEFCON alerts, exploding buildings, fallout-shelter signs—these visuals popped up in even the frothiest forms of entertainment, including comic books, James Bond movies, and music videos. The possibility of a nuclear holocaust was always lurking in the background, like the figure of Death hiding among revelers in a Bosch triptych, and we could imagine it because it had been shown to us many times on screens big and small.

Ensuing generations have grown up with their own fears: Terrorism, climate change, and now AI are upending life across the globe, and nuclear war might seem more like a historical curiosity than a concrete threat. But at this moment, Russia and the United States each have roughly 1,500 deployed strategic warheads, many of them on alert, with thousands more in their inventories. This is an improvement over the madness of the Cold War, when the superpowers were sitting on tens of thousands of deployed weapons, but the current global stockpile is more than enough to destroy hundreds of cities and kill billions of people. The threat remains, but the public’s fears, along with the movies that explored them, have faded away. Americans need new films to remind new generations, but Cold War–era movies are not just relics. The horrors they depict are still possible…

Testament was the one that gave me nightmares in the 1980s, but nothing compared to the radition-poisoned teddy bear from Judith Merrill’s Shadow on the Hearth when I read it as a precocious third or fourth grader.

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I gave a lecture in the early 2000s at the Naval War College on nuclear strategy: MAD, Massive Retaliation, Flexible Response, etc, and an USAF major, early 30s (?) comes up to me and says: Great lecture, sir, I'd never heard any of this stuff.
Me: WTF

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— Tom Nichols (@radiofreetom.bsky.social) July 10, 2025 at 1:46 PM

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Kathryn Bigelow's new film – "A House of Dynamite" – about a missile attack on the USA will drop in October.

www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie…

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— Tom Nichols (@radiofreetom.bsky.social) July 10, 2025 at 12:26 PM

Boomer Nostalgia Open Thread: Nuclear TerrorsPost + Comments (130)

Sunday Morning Open Thread: Dance Like the Whole Universe Is Watching

by Anne Laurie|  July 13, 20257:32 am| 125 Comments

This post is in: Excellent Links, Open Threads, Tech News & Issues

Hundreds of scientists are set to take part in the first performance of a new Scottish country dance inspired by the ripples in spacetime whose existence was first theorised by Albert Einstein.
More: gla.ac/3ICip4Q
#GR24Amaldi16 #GravitationalWaves #Glasgow
@uofgravity.bsky.social

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— University of Glasgow (@uofglasgow.bsky.social) July 11, 2025 at 4:49 AM

Another gift from Satby!

… Researchers from the University of Glasgow teamed up with the culture and research organisation Science Ceilidh to develop a dance to mark the 10th anniversary of the historic first detection of gravitational waves – a groundbreaking discovery which established a new field of astronomy.

The dance will be premiered next week at the joint GR–Amaldi meeting, an international science conference which will be held at Glasgow’s Scottish Exhibition Centre between Monday 14th and Friday 18th July.

The dance has been developed to creatively represent the gravitational-wave signals measured by the Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory (LIGO), as well as the black holes that create them.

The first observation of gravitational waves was made by LIGO on 14 September 2015. The gravitational-wave signal – a ripple in spacetime – had originated from the merger of two black holes, each about 30 times the mass of our Sun, to form a black hole of about 60 times the mass of our Sun. LIGO’s detection provided the first direct observation of gravitational waves almost a century after Einstein predicted their properties in his general theory of relativity.

The detection inaugurated the field of gravitational-wave astronomy, which uses extremely sensitive detectors to measure the miniscule ripples in spacetime. Sophisticated analysis of gravitational-wave signals enables astronomers to make observations of cosmic events that are not possible with conventional telescopes…

The dance was developed through workshop sessions between Glasgow physicists and the Science Ceilidh team. The dance represents the life-cycle of black holes and how they form orbiting pairs before finally colliding to create, in just a few seconds, the signal detected on Earth.

At the climax of the dance, participants are encouraged to let out a celebratory ‘whoop’ which represents what astrophysicists call the ringdown. That is the final stage of a binary black hole merger which ‘rings’ spacetime like a bell and sends out the ripples which make detection possible on Earth….

Dancing and thinking about the fundamental nature of the universe just about sums up the ideal state of the human condition for me! We can't all have LIGO in our basements, but we can move and think about this stuff!

— Peter Haas 🤠 (@peterhaas.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 5:19 AM

Sunday Morning Open Thread: Dance Like the Whole Universe Is WatchingPost + Comments (125)

Late Night Open Thread: America’s Fascists Love Alligators

by Anne Laurie|  July 12, 202511:42 pm| 136 Comments

This post is in: KULCHA!, Open Threads, Republican Venality, Trumpery

"American fascism writ large yearns for ethnic cleansing and the concentration camp; in the south, American white supremacy yearns for the Alligator." defector.com/why-do-fasci…

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— Defector (@defector.com) July 10, 2025 at 7:36 PM

In June, Florida’s attorney general James Uthmeier extolled the benefits of the concentration camp they were rushing to build in the wetlands of the Big Cypress Nature Reserve, west of Miami and just north of the Everglades. The swamp location wasn’t incidental to the 5,000-bed facility, but a plus. “It presents an efficient, low-cost opportunity to build a temporary detention facility because you don’t need to invest that much in the perimeter,” he crowed. “If people get out, there’s not much waiting for them other than alligators and pythons.”

What happened next was, perhaps, predictable. The Department of Homeland Security formally named the camp “Alligator Alcatraz,” a sweaty piece of branding that the rest of the administration picked up with customary glee. DHS social media posted AI-generated images of smug-looking alligators wearing ICE baseball caps. Online stores run by the Florida GOP (and Uthmeier himself) immediately began selling “Alligator Alcatraz”-branded T-shirts and beer koozies. During Trump’s first term, the New York Times reported, the president had often fantasized behind closed doors of a moat beneath his border wall, one that could be filled with snakes and alligators; when he toured the installation on July 1, he leaned and swayed and grinned at the sight of chain link cages under tent awnings, and returned again and again to the reptiles in the surrounding swamps. “We’re going to teach them how to run away from an alligator,” he rambled in response to a reporter’s question. “OK, if they escape prison, how to run away, don’t run in a straight line, run like this. And you know what? Your chances go up at about one percent, okay? That’s a good thing.”

It is, as with so much in the second Trump administration, an act of performative cruelty and malice and money-grubbing dressed up—not especially convincingly—as expediency. But like so much marsh gas, the lurid fantasies which drive these people are continually bubbling up to the surface. American fascism writ large yearns for ethnic cleansing and the concentration camp; in the south, American white supremacy yearns for the Alligator.

Let’s begin with the fact that there are two types of alligators, and they have very little do with one another. There’s the real American alligator (A. mississippiensis), a large but—as crocodilians go—rather docile and shy predator of the southern wetlands, subsisting on everything from fish to deer. Forget that one, please. We are concerned here with the symbolic one: the Alligator, Scourge of the Swamp, the monster that dwells in the mire of the American imagination. This latter form “is most fond of human flesh as an item of diet,” according to a characteristically breathless 1923 report in the Oakland Tribune. “Hunters say that while an alligator will risk its safety for a young dog, it will jeopardize every hope of life for a live baby. And in the matter of color … black babies, in the estimation of the alligators, are far more refreshing, as it were, than white ones.”…

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Whether or not this ever happened is a subject of some debate. The Jim Crow Museum maintains that it did, if rarely; Snopes, kicking the tires on the more prominent stories, suggests it probably didn’t. Certainly it was something later Southern writers were eager to laugh off. In 1968, baseball pitcher Bob Gibson recalled being heckled with “gator bait” stories during his time in Columbus, Georgia. Clearly stung—and thumbing his suspenders with every word—the sports editor of Columbus’ newspaper fired back, wondering how Gibson could be “naive enough to fall for such a fantastic tale,” one that had to be “tongue-in-cheek.”

Gibson, of course, wasn’t falling for anything. That this bit of racist invective was not a literal threat does not mean that it wasn’t a serious one: It’s hard to laugh off a joke when the punchline is your disposability. And as folklorist Patricia Turner writes in her 2002 book Ceramic Uncles and Celluloid Mammies, it was a joke that white Southerners simply delighted in making. Among several too flatly racist to repeat, Turner records one where Lyndon Baines Johnson’s helicopter stops over in Louisiana to award a medal for integration to two white men pulling a black man on water skis through a swamp. After LBJ leaves, the two white men glance at each other, baffled. “Who in the shit was that?” “I don’t know, but he doesn’t know a goddamn thing about catching alligators.” …

I piously hope the Goddess of Consequences will let me live to see this day…

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— JoeMyGod (@joemygod.bsky.social) July 11, 2025 at 6:22 PM

Late Night Open Thread: America’s Fascists Love AlligatorsPost + Comments (136)

War for Ukraine Day 1,234: The Cost

by Adam L Silverman|  July 12, 20258:53 pm| 3 Comments

This post is in: Foreign Affairs, Foreign Policy, Military, Open Threads, Russia, Silverman on Security, War, War in Ukraine

A painting by Ukrainian artist NEIVANMADE. The words "NEVER AGAIN" are repeated over and over, from left to right and top to bottom, in a faded, washed out black against a white background. Red, the color of blood, runs and drips down across 2/3rds of the painting. "WHILE YOU TOLERATE TYRANTS" is written/painted in the bottom white corner below the three rows of "NEVER AGAIN".

(Image by NEIVANMADE)

It’s been a long week everywhere. So I’m going to just run through the basics tonight.

The cost:

The number of casualties in russian strike on Chernivtsi has risen to 26. Details have emerged about the two fatalities.

Diana Kravchenko, 26, was the manager of a Chernivtsi pharmacy. She was in a building during the missile attack

Sviatoslav Lazarenko, 43, an employee of the Sniatyn City Council

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 10:00 AM

was fatally wounded by shrapnel while driving on Chernivtsi’s main street.

💔 May their memory be a blessing.

Source: Ruslan Zaparanyuk, head of the Chernivtsi Regional Military Administration.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 10:00 AM

As I’ve been writing/saying:

Lately, russia has intensified bombing of Ukraine’s western regions — Volyn, Rivne, Lviv, Chernivtsi — areas that were once relatively calm. This escalation is deliberate: to make Ukrainians feel unsafe everywhere, to drive people into exhaustion and sleep deprivation. Terror.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 6:28 AM

Here’s Ukraine’s air defense tally from last night/this morning:

Attacks by fascist Russia on democratic Ukraine now regularly include over 500 drones and missiles. Ukrainian authorities warned more than a month ago that Kremlin planned to scale-up attacks, but no preemptive action was taken by Kyiv’s Western allies. The US even temporarily cut aid.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 3:24 AM

Here’s First Lady Zalenska’s full speech at the Ukraine Recovery Conference earlier in the week.

 

Here is President Zelenskyy’s address from earlier today. Video below, English transcript after the jump.

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We Are Doing Our Utmost To Provide Ukraine With As Much Equipment As Possible To Intercept Drones And Missiles – Address by the President

12 July 2025 – 21:04

I wish you good health, fellow Ukrainians!

Throughout the day, response efforts continued across various regions of our state, from Kharkiv to Lviv, following Russian strikes. The Russians continue to use a specific tactic of terror against our state: launching saturated strikes on individual cities or regions of ours. They are trying to have the intensity of such strikes at around 300 “shahed” drones per attack.

Overnight from Friday to Saturday, 339 “shaheds” were launched. By early evening today, air raid alerts resumed and “shaheds” appeared again in the sky. A significant number of them are being shot down by our warriors, but, unfortunately, not all. Moreover, the Russian army continues to use hundreds of special “shahed” imitator drones in each strike. The purpose of these drones is to overwhelm our air defense and impede the downing of “shaheds.” This is their deliberate and vile terror.

Tragically, there were casualties from the Russian strike last night. Two people were killed in Chernivtsi. My condolences to their families and loved ones. Dozens more were affected – in Chernivtsi, in the Lviv region, and in Kharkiv. All are receiving the necessary assistance. There is also damage in the Volyn region.

We are doing our utmost to provide Ukraine with as much equipment as possible to intercept drones and missiles. We are moving closer to an agreement – and it will be a multi-level agreement – for new Patriot systems and missiles for them. We are investing in our domestic production capacities, primarily for drones, including interceptor drones. We will continue our active drone operations on Russian territory in response to their attacks. And, as always, we will act asymmetrically – and effectively.

I have just had a meeting with Ukraine’s Defense Minister Umerov. We discussed in detail our engagement with partners regarding supplies. We are preparing some unconventional steps to broaden support for Ukraine, support specifically aimed at protecting lives.

We also reviewed the implementation of agreements on defense packages and the status of drone contracting. I instructed that all available volumes of the currently prioritized drone types be contracted. I also thank our manufacturers here in Ukraine, as well as our partners in the United States and our partners in Europe, for their readiness to work swiftly to strengthen our drone capabilities – both for Ukraine’s defense and for active operations against Russia.

We must also bring new momentum to the work of Ukraine’s Ministry of Defense, and, in many respects, to our diplomatic work, particularly with the United States. Decisions on this will be announced shortly.

I also spoke with the Chairman of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine, Ruslan Stefanchuk, about next week’s parliamentary sessions. It is very important that these sessions deliver concrete results. The law on multiple citizenship has already passed – and this is a significant matter, particularly for those who are fighting for Ukraine. I am very much looking forward to the unblocking of this law so I can sign it without delay.

Two other major decisions on international agreements have also been prepared: first of all, the Agreement on the Establishment of the Special Tribunal for the Crime of Russian aggression – it must be ratified; and the decision to withdraw our country from the Ottawa Convention on landmines should be supported as well. Russia has never been a party to this convention and is very actively using all types of mines. And we in Ukraine need parity in protection, and that includes the political and legal foundations for such parity. In fact, the entire Central and Eastern European region, everyone bordering Russia, is reassessing their position on landmines, which is perfectly understandable.

A draft law on a Military Ombudsman has also been prepared for the second reading. And this important systemic step is needed to implement the required changes within the Armed Forces. I will be grateful to all Members of Parliament who support these and other critically important decisions for our country this week.

I thank everyone who stands with Ukraine!

Glory to Ukraine!

Georgia:

Day 227 of unyielding #GeorgiaProtests

📷 MOSE

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 3:32 PM

Today, activists from all over Georgia visited and marched in Saba’s city, Zugdidi.

Day 226 of daily protests in 8+ cities across the country.

📷 Shushana Matsaberidze

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— Rusudan Djakeli (@rusudandjakeli.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 3:40 PM

Today, there was a protest march in Zugdidi in honour of regime prisoner Saba Jikia. #GeorgiaProtests

📷 Shushana Matsaberidze

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 3:54 PM

1/ The Foreign Ministers of 17 European countries, together with the EU’s High Representative, issued a joint statement expressing concern over recent political developments in Georgia, including the detention of opposition leaders and increased pressure on civil society.

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— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 4:00 AM

2/ The statement refers to the imprisonment of opposition figures and the arrests of government critics, protesters, and journalists as troubling signs ahead of Georgia’s local elections.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 4:00 AM

3/ The ministers warned that such actions risk undermining democratic institutions and values, which form the basis of Georgia’s relationship with European partners.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 4:00 AM

5/ They called GD to release individuals they believe to be unjustly detained, to reconsider recent legislative changes, and to engage in constructive dialogue with all relevant stakeholders to help defuse tensions and reaffirm Georgia’s democratic commitments.

— Publika.ge (@publikage.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 4:00 AM

There is no 4th skeet. 🤷🏻‍♂️

Predictably, illegitimate FM Maka Botchorishvili accused the joint statement by 17 states and Kaja Kallas of “spreading fake news about Georgia,” while illegitimate Speaker of the Parliament advised the states to “mind their own business.”

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— Marika Mikiashvili 🇬🇪🇺🇦🇪🇺 (@marikamikiashvili.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 7:31 AM

Zura Japaridze becomes the 4th political prisoner to lose a parent(mother) while detained.

Japaridze said a few days ago he feared the most for his mother.

His family fears he may hear the news from TV before being told directly and ask media not to report it over the weekend.
#RepressionInGeorgia

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) July 12, 2025 at 11:28 AM

🟥 July 11 marks 6 months since the first unlawful detention of Mzia Amaglobeli, founding CEO of Batumelebi & Netgazeti. Her health is worsening in custody

🟥 Eter Turadze’s July 4 courtroom testimony about Mzia

‼️This is court-provided footage, we dubbed it in English.
#FreeMzia #RepressionInGeorgia

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— Batumelebi&Netgazeti (@netgazeti.org) July 11, 2025 at 11:31 AM

Germany:

Ukrainian knowhow + German cash = game-changing long-range missiles.

Ukraine’s armed forces will receive the first batch of locally produced long-range missiles funded by Berlin.

www.kyivpost.com/post/56189

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— Kyiv Post (@kyivpost.com) July 12, 2025 at 10:48 AM

From The Kyiv Post:

The Bundeswehr’s Maj. Gen. Christian Freuding, head of the unit coordinating arms support for Ukraine within the German Federal Ministry of Defense said the Ukrainian military will receive the first batch of locally produced long-range missiles funded by Germany by the end of this month.

Speaking to the ZDF TV channel during a visit to Kyiv on Friday, Freuding said the missiles are being produced under an agreement signed following a meeting between German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelensky in Berlin at the end of May.

Merz said during the press conference following the bilateral meeting on May 28: “Our defense ministers will sign a letter of intent today on procuring long-range weapon systems produced in Ukraine – so-called long-range fires,” before adding, “There will be no restrictions on [the missiles’] range.”

Funding for the program will come from a €5 billion ($5.9 billion) German military aid package announced at the time. The fund will also fund new contracts for air defense systems, munitions, and logistical support, including maintenance infrastructure and Starlink satellite communications, according to Politico.

The long-range missiles will be produced by Ukrainian military industry producers against contracts awarded by the Ukrainian Defense Ministry, approved and funded by Germany.

Freuding said there had been a formal signing of the agreement on Friday before adding that after the first deliveries, “we will be talking about a large three-digit number” of Ukrainian-produced missiles, which will “significantly enhance the country’s defensive capabilities in the coming weeks and months.” He said that Kyiv needed “…  weapons systems that can penetrate deep into Russian territory and attack warehouses, command posts, airfields, and aircraft.

The type(s) of missiles that will be produced have not been specified although according to Bild at the end of May the range of at least some of these weapons will be more than 2,000 kilometers (1,250 miles plus) – bringing military and industrial facilities deep inside Russia including around Moscow, St. Petersburg, and beyond.

More at the link.

Back to Ukraine.

Ukrainian military helicopter pilots becoming skilled at downing drones. F-16 pilots too, though at high speeds engaging them is more dangerous. Ukraine also developing interceptor drones.

But what is really needed is more aid for Ukraine and more sanctions on fascist Russia.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 3:09 PM

🇩🇪🇺🇦Skynex in service in Ukraine

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 6:33 AM

Drone drops spiked strips against Russian motorized infantry.

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— 🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 (@specialkhersoncat.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 5:27 AM

Kharkiv:

This morning began with explosions in Kharkiv as russia attacked the city with eight drones and two aerial bombs. Three people were injured.

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— Iryna Voichuk (@irynavoichuk.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 3:51 AM

Russian drones fell down over Kharkiv this morning. It landed into the river, according to the commentator on the video.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 4:47 AM

Chernivtsi:

Russian attack on Chernivtsi this morning.

The use of cluster munitions in populated areas is illegal!

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 3:46 PM

You can see the trail of fire the cluster munition tears across the ground – absolutely murderous weapon to use on a residential area. Chernivtsi is hundreds of kilometers from the front line. Barbarism.

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— Euan MacDonald (@euanmacdonald.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 3:43 PM

Last night, Chernivtsi came under a savage attack again. I was thinking about the House of Butterflies hospice today and just came across an update. Doctors arranged the sleeping of children in the shelter in advance for their safety.

— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 11:04 AM

However, during the raid, one little girl stopped breathing. The doctors resuscitated her.
Most of these kids were already evacuated from war zones. Even the sound of explosions reopens their trauma.
Don’t look away. This is so cruel. They deserve nothing of what they get.
Source: Marta Levchenko.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 11:04 AM

Chernivtsi is in western Ukraine along the border with Romania. It’s the area where some of my ancestors lived, as the border moved back and forth and the area changed hands, before they moved to England on once side and the US on the other.

Slovyansk, Donetsk Oblast:

WARNING!! WARNING!! GRAPHIC IMAGERY!! WARNING!! WARNING!!

Russia struck Slovyansk in Donetsk region with artillery, killing one person and injuring 3 others.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 9:55 AM

ALL CLEAR!!!!

Kyiv:

During the russia’s air raid on Kyiv, Ukrainian doctors performed life-saving transplants. They transplanted the heart, liver, and kidney of a young girl who had died — giving a second chance to three other children. 13h+ of surgery, under the sound of air raid sirens. Heroic.

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— Olena Halushka (@halushka.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 6:36 AM

During a drone attack on Kyiv, Dr. Borys Todurov, a renowned Ukrainian cardiac surgeon, urgently traveled to Okhmatdyt Children’s Hospital to retrieve a donor heart for a critical transplant operation.

The Heart Institute reported that Dr. Todurov’s team was in a race against time to save a

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 6:30 AM

child’s life. They needed to collect the donated heart from a young donor and then, on the very same night, transplant it into another young patient. This extraordinary effort took place under the challenging circumstances of an ongoing air raid siren as drones attacked the city.

— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 6:30 AM

Lutsk:

Russian drones strike the residential area of Lutsk this morning.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 12, 2025 at 6:16 AM

Lviv:

Morning in Lviv, Ukraine.

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— Kate from Kharkiv (@kateinkharkiv.bsky.social) July 11, 2025 at 11:04 PM

Dnipropetrovsk Oblast:

⚡️Russian troops tasked to create 10-kilometer buffer zone in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ukraine’s spy chief says.

According to Ukraine’s military intelligence head Kyrylo Budanov, Russia’s earlier announcement of its entry into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast serves a political goal.

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— The Kyiv Independent (@kyivindependent.com) July 11, 2025 at 2:09 PM

From The Kyiv Independent:

Russian troops have been tasked with establishing a buffer zone up to 10 kilometers (6.2 miles) deep into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast, Ukraine’s military intelligence head Kyrylo Budanov said in an interview with Bloomberg, published on July 11.

Budanov’s remarks come as Russian troops continue their offensive in the neighboring Donetsk Oblast, pushing closer to Dnipropetrovsk Oblast — a major industrial region in central Ukraine.

In mid-June, Ukraine’s military denied reports that Russian troops had entered the region, with President Volodymyr Zelensky saying that Ukrainian troops had intercepted Russian reconnaissance units attempting to breach Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

“It’s not realistic for Russia to seize all of Donetsk Oblast by the end of the year,” Budanov said.

According to Budanov, Russia’s earlier announcement of its entry into Dnipropetrovsk Oblast serves a political goal.

The Russian Defense Ministry on July 7 claimed to have seized Dachne, which would mark the first village to be under Russian control in Dnipropetrovsk Oblast.

The Ukrainian military denied the claimed capture, calling it “disinformation.”

Dnipropetrovsk Oblast lies further west and has not seen significant Russian incursions, it is frequently targeted with missile, drone, and aerial bomb strikes.

Russian troops have been escalating their assaults in the area and are attempting to breach into the region.

That’s enough for tonight.

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